10-13-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section.

note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY IT!!!

[Mr. IWS]

Matt fargo
CFB WED STAR ATTRACTION -78% ANGLES
9* Marshall Thundering Herd

[Mr. IWS]

A redd
7th CFB PLAY OF MY CAREER

40 DIME UCF/Marshall UNDER 44

[Mr. IWS]

Feist
(1) NEW YORK ISLANDERS
(2) WASHINGTON CAPITALS
Take "Over"
A pair of teams that are scorching the nets and not playing any defense. These are two of the top scoring teams in the NHL, with Washington sitting No. 1 in goals, averaging 4 per contest, led by Alex Ovechkin and center Brooks Laich. Meanwhile the Islanders have been scoring and allowing roughly 5 goals per game. Look for an offensive show on the ice, Play the Islanders/Capitals Over the total.

Jim Feist

[Mr. IWS]

Cokin
(101) CENTRAL FLORIDA
(102) MARSHALL
Take "Under"

Dave Cokin

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman
3* Vancouver (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy boyd
NCAAF PRIMETIME TOTAL

3* UCF/Marshall Under 45

Last season, these two teams combined for just 41 points, and I'm expecting another low-scoring affair this time around. UCF has put up some big offensive numbers at home, but it is averaging just 18.5 ppg in two road games this season. It is worth noting that both of those games went under the number by double digits. While Marshall has been blown out on the road, it has been very competitive at home against a pair of quality opponents (WVU, Ohio). We only saw 45 points scored when W. Virginia came to town, and 3 of those points were tacked on in OT. Having had a bye week to prepare for this one, I expect a solid defensive effort from the Thundering Herd. I also expect a strong defensive performance from UCF, which has held all 3 of its non-BCS opponents to 10 or fewer points. In fact, UCF ranks in the top 10 in both scoring and total defense for the season. There are plenty of numbers in our favor as well. The under is 4-0 in the Thundering Herd's last 4 games following a bye week, 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog and 5-0 in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. The Under is also 4-1 in the Knights' last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two sides.

[Mr. IWS]

Joey cassano
Marshall Thundering Herd +5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Powerplaywins
POWER PLAY OF THE DAY

Marshall +5.5

[Mr. IWS]

denver money

mont ML double dime
NJD/BUF over single dime

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO

10 UNIT* UCF -6 @ Marshall

[Mr. IWS]

MADDUX SPORTS
REGULAR PLAY
Central Florida -5.5

[Mr. IWS]

TEDDY COVERS

WEEKNIGHT WIPEOUT TV WINNER
Cincinnati Bearcats

[Mr. IWS]

Lem banker

marshall

[Mr. IWS]

jeff benton wednesday


WEDNESDAY'S ACTION

10 DIME college football selection on Central Florida minus the points at Marshall in Confeaence USA action. The Golden Knights are a solid road favorite here, with the spread ranging from 5 to 5½ depending on where you shop. Obviouisly, it’s important that you have the ability to grab Central Florida at the lowest number possible, but more than anytling do NOT let this line jump to Central Florida -6, as that’s such a key number in football.








CENTRAL FLORIDA





You know me: I’m not a big fan of laying points with road teams in these nationally televised weekday games between conference rivals. But there’s just no way you can recommend Marshall right now.





Since blowing a 21-6 mid fourth-quarter lead and losing 24-21 in overtime to instate rival West Virginia a month ago, the Thundering Herd simply have not recovered. They got blown out on the road at Bowling Green (44-28) and Southern Miss (41-16), and in between was a narrow 24-23 home win over Ohio (Ohio scored on the final play of the game and elected to go for two instead of kicking the extra-point and taking its chances in overtime).





Central Florida, meanwhile, is coming off last Wednesday’s 42-7 destruction of UAB as an 11½-point home favorite, and although the Golden Knights are just 3-2 on the season, they’ve cashed in three straight games and their two losses were by a combined 11 points to opponents (N.C. State and Kansas State) that are far more talented than Marshall.





When you look inside the numbers, you’ll see that Central Florida has outgained four of its five opponents, while Marshall has done so just once in its five games. What’s more, three times this season the Thundering Herd have been out-yarded by more than 100 yards; in the 41-16 loss at Southern Miss on Oct. 2, Marshall had just 170 total yards (including 45 rushing) to 369 for Southern Miss (205 rushing).





Essentially what this play comes down to is the fact that Central Florida’s offensive strength – the Golden Knights average nearly 193 rushing ypg – matches up great against Marshall’s defensive weakness (the Herd yield 173.8 rushing ypg). In fact, the overall defensive numbers show Marshall allowing 35.4 points and 418.2 total yards per outing, while UCF surrenders just 13.8 points and 265.2 total ypg.





Granted, the Thundering Herd have faced two Top 25 teams (Ohio State and West Virginia), while UCF has yet to defeat a quality foe. However, Marshall doesn’t qualify as quality anyway. Besides, the Golden Knights have owned this rivalry, winning five straight meetings and going 5-1 ATS in the last six.





Finally, USC has been a money-making machine lately, be it overall (8-2 ATS run), on the road (9-1 ATS), against Conference USA foes (4-0 ATS) or as a favorite (4-1 ATS). The Herd, meanwhile, have failed to cover in three straight and four of five overall, as well as four straight league games.

[Mr. IWS]

GAMBLERS DATA (Fletcher)

5* UCF Knights -6

4* Pittsburgh Penguins -160
5* Chicago Blackhawks-168

[Mr. IWS]

KIKI SPORTS

Wednesday October 13th

1 unit Marshall +6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Bobby Maxwell
Wednesday's winner...
300-Unit College FB Book Buster - CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS

It’s been a tough season for Marshall to this point, losing by huge margins to Ohio State, Bowling Green and Southern Mississippi. The Thundering Herd come into this one at just 1-4 on the season and 0-3 ATS in the last three, 1-4 ATS this season.

But what really makes me like Central Florida in this one is its ability to run the football, amassing 228 yards last week against UAB in its 42-7 victory as 11 ½-point favorites. The Knights don’t just do it with one RB, although Ronnie Weaver is clearly their leader, but they get quality yards from QB Jeff Godfrey, Weaver, Latavius Murray and Brendan Kelly. They have five players with over 20 yards rushing against UAB.

Central Florida has dominated Marshall the last five years, including two straight wins at Marshall, including a 30-14 win in 2008 as seven-point underdogs. The Knights are 5-1 ATS in the last six matchups against Marshall.

UCF’s defense has been dominant this season, allowing just 265 yards per game, good enough to lead Conference USA. Marshall’s running game is already one of the worst in college football and against the Knights’ defense, expect it to be non-existent today. This defense forced three turnovers in the blowout win over UAB last week and returned two of them for TDs.

Offensively, UCF uses Godfrey and Rob Calabrese at QB with both able to run and throw the ball.

Central Florida comes into this one on ATS streaks of 8-2 overall, 6-2-1 in October, 9-1 on the road, 4-0 in C-USA games and 6-0 against teams with a losing record. The Thundering Herd are on several ATS slides, including 0-4 in conference games, 1-4 overall and 1-3-1 coming off a bye week.

UCF is simply the better team in this matchup – by far. I’ll lay the points and take the Knights in this one as they roll by at least two TDs.

[Mr. IWS]

ROBERT FERRINGO

Toronto/Pittsburgh over 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist's NHL Bailout Game of the Month - Wednesday!

10/13 07:05 PM NHL (11) VANCOUVER CANUCKS VS (12) ANAHEIM DUCKS.

Take: (11) VANCOUVER CANUCKS.
Reason: NHL Bailout Game of the Month: Canucks.

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits

NHL

Montreal Canadiens -125

[Mr. IWS]

THE DUKE SPORTS

Central Florida (-5') for 2 Units

At first glance, we lean towards Marshall on account of their strong home field and demonstrated ability to cover as a home dog throughout three different coaching staffs, including 1-0 ATS in that role under Holliday this season vs West Virginia. However, that was only the second game of the season and WV had little time to diagnose the 'Herds' schemes and personnel. CF, on the other hand, had adequate time to scout and prep their division counterpart and should deliver. CF has covered 9 of their last 10 on the road and sport a 4-0 ATS mark in their last 4 visits to Huntington. The 'Knights' defense is what distinguishes the strength of them over Marshall. CF ranks 8th nationally in points allowed (14 per game). Marshall doesn't pose a meaningful threat on the ground at just 101 yards per game and 3.8 ypc. Furthermore, the 'Herds' QB Anderson is not that mobile. Marshall does have a vertical threat but CF has a fierce pass rush and a fast and well disciplined secondary to limit big plays. On the other hand, CF has a strong run game and QB Godfrey is a duel threat on the ground and through the air. Marshall is a mere 1-3-1 ATS following a bye week, 1-4 ATS off a SU loss of 20+, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games. The road team has taken 6 of the last 8 in this series and we'll jump on CF.

[Mr. IWS]

Hockey Prophet

POD - Canucks/Ducks under 5.5 -105
Buffalo Sabres -145
Tampa Bay Lightning +110
Maple Leafs/Penguins over 5.5
Islanders/Capitals over 6 -130

[Mr. IWS]

Football Prophet

Central Florida/Marshall over 44

[Mr. IWS]

NC
Marquee c. florida

[Mr. IWS]

Ats

3 ucf -5

[Mr. IWS]

NorthCoast

Marquee c. florida

[Mr. IWS]

B&S PICKS

4* BOOKIE BASHER PLAY Marshall Thundering Herd
3* PREMIUM PLAY UCF/Marshall UNDER 46

[Mr. IWS]

SCOTT FERRALL

CHICAGO -170 vs Nashville

WASHINGTON -300 vs Islanders

PITTSBURGH -160 vs Toronto

TAMPA BAY +110 vs Montreal

NEW JERSEY +125 vs Buffalo

ANAHEIM +130 vs Vancouver

[Mr. IWS]

NEW YORK PLAYER CLUB
NCAAF: Marshall +6.5.
NHL: Tampa/Montreal UNDER 5.5, Toronto +1.5, and Nashville +1.5.