10-22-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section.

note:
ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE HAS BEEN SOME BAD INFO BEING PASSED AROUND LATELY, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

[Mr. IWS]

ROCKETMAN

TOP TRIPLE DIME PLAY
5* Cincinnati Bearcats -7.5

[Mr. IWS]

john fina/winningwaysports
John's Friday Night ESPN2 College Football Winner! ***High Rollers Only***


So Florida

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

100* Play New York Yankees (-115) over Texas

Texas has lost 3 of the last 4 games when attempting to close out a playoff series and they have also lost 6 of the last 9 games as a home underdog of +100 or higher. Colby Lewis has lost 13 of the last 16 games when playing with five or six days of rest and he has also lost 11 of the last 16 games coming off a loss.


NHL Hockey

25* Play Vancouver (-185) over Minnesota

[Mr. IWS]

POWERPLAYWINS
POWER PLAY OF THE DAY

Cincinnati Bearcats

[Mr. IWS]

ANTHONY REDD

60 DIME* South Florida Bulls-CincinnatiBearcats UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

John Harrison

CAMPUS LEGENDS
1 UNIT* Cincinnati Bearcats -7

[Mr. IWS]

TEDDY COVERS

ALCS FRIDAY
NY Yankees

[Mr. IWS]

SUPER SPORTS GROUP

NY v. Texas 8:10pm
PICK: UNDER 9 Game ev (9*) BEST BET OF THE DAY
PICK: Rangers ML ev (6*)

[Mr. IWS]

Accuscore NHL Totals 10/22/10


55 Ottawa Senators/Buffalo Sabres Under 5½
57 Chicago Blackhawks/St Louis Blues Over 5½
59 Minnesota Wild/Vancouver Canucks Over 5½

[Mr. IWS]

POINTWISE

4* cinci ( 4-8 this yr on 4*'s )

CINCINNATI 31 - South Florida 13 - (8:00 - ESPN2) -- No offensive TDs for the
Bulls last 2 games (only TD on KO return). At 80 RYpg in those 2, & Daniels in off
3-INT showing. Now minus 33½ pts ATS for season. Cincy QB Collaros: 5 TD
passes in comeback win at L'Ville,& check Pead's 511 RYs last 3 wks. Cincy call.

[Mr. IWS]

ROCKETMAN

ADDED PLAY

NHL TRIPLE DIME BEST BET
4* Columbus Blue Jackets -135

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data (Fletcher)

5* Cinn -7 still good at-7.5 up to-9.5 I have them winning by 13 +

[Mr. IWS]

SUPER SPORTS GROUP-CFB

USF v. Cincinnati 8pm
PICK: Cincinnati -8 Game (8*)
PICK: UNDER *48 Game (6*)
PICK: UNDER 24 1H (6*)

[Mr. IWS]

Rich green

3* under 9.5 yanks

3* cinci - 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

A. Redd

Cincy/ S. Florida UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

NHL
3* Calgary +130

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTSHANDICAPPERKING

30 dime NHL Play

3* ST.LOUIS BLUES

MLB Freeplay

NEW YORK YANKEES

[Mr. IWS]

MONEYMAKER

BEST BETS
19-16 ON THE YR

CINCINNATI -7’ OVER SOUTH FLORIDA (FRIDAY)

Both teams are 3-3 SU, but Cincinnati is in a 4-way tie for the Big East lead with a 1-0 conference mark. South Florida has dropped both of their Big East games this season but a victory here could put them back into the chase. The Bulls produced a winning record last season but the year ended in controversy after head coach Jim Leavitt was
fired due to allegations of player abuse. They did a great job finding a replacement, hiring Skip Holtz to take over head coaching duties. Holtz has some work to do in rebuilding this team, though he’s got some talent with which to work.
The offense lost the entire wide receiver corps though returned QB B.J. Daniels, the entire offensive line and 3 of their 4 running backs. Despite this favorable situation, the offense has struggled somewhat with the new receivers and Daniels being badly out of sync. Daniels has only 4 TD passes against 10 interceptions, and the team hasn’t scored a touchdown in two Big East games. On the other hand, the Bulls’ defense has been better than expected for a unit returning only 5 starters and 2 linemen.
Not counting a huge class difference in their matchup against Florida, they’ve held their remaining 5 opponents to 20 points or less. Throw out the game against the Gators and they’re allowing a stingy 12.4 points per game. They held their two Big East opponents to date to a total of 33 points but only scored 15 points with no touchdowns. That’s a
problem. Cincinnati was bracing for a ‘down year’ after losing their best offensive players from last year—QB Tony Pike and WR Mardy Gilyard—to the NFL. The transition was made even more difficult when coach Brian Kelly took the vacant Notre Dame coaching job, but Butch Jones hasn’t missed a beat as his replacement. The offense hasn’t been as dynamic, but like the rest of the team appears to be rounding into form as the season progresses. Despite a 3-3 SU record, none of the losses are ‘bad’ ones with two tricky road games (Fresno State, NC State) and a solid effort in a 2 point loss to Oklahoma. South Florida has been a bad pointspread investment in recent years, a trend that is continuing in 2010. Since 2008, the Bulls are 11-17 ATS overall including 5-9 on the road and 6-10 in Big East play. The Bearcats are right around breakeven
in most pointspread categories with one exception—they’re 10-5 ATS against Big East opponents since 2008. They’ve also dominated head to head play in the series, winning 6of 7 SU going 5-2 against the spread. We respect South Florida’s defense, but without much in the way of production from the offense we look for the Bearcats to win and
cover here.

CINCINNATI OVER SOUTH FLORIDA BY 14

[Mr. IWS]

BIG SPORTS PICKS

7:30 pm est - NHL - Tampa Bay Lightning +115
8:00 pm est - NCAAF - South Florida/Cincinnati OVER 48

[Mr. IWS]

401K SPORTS


MLB

1* NY Yankees -110


NHL

1* Tampa Bay Lightning +110

[Mr. IWS]

Black Widow

Play tonight on Cincy Confirmed

[Mr. IWS]

Bobby Maxwell
Friday's winner...
400-Unit Baseball Book Buster - N.Y. YANKEES (must list Hughes as starter for the Yankees)

Texas is back home for Game 6, but I’m not too sure they wouldn’t rather be somewhere else, having gone 1-3 in four postseason home games already this season. Today, I’m banking on the Yankees and young right-hander Philip Hughes (19-9, 4.28 ERA) to get this win and extend this series to a Game 7.

Hughes has to be elated to get a second chance at the Rangers in this series after he gave up seven runs on 10 hits in just four innings of Game 2’s 7-2 loss in Texas. It was his worst outing of the season and snapped a great three-game streak where he dominated the Rays, Red Sox and Twins. In his key start against Minnesota in the ALDS he threw seven shutout innings and struck out six with just one walk.

The rough outing in Texas in Game 2 was rare for Hughes, who had been brilliant in Arlington in his first two starts, throwing 14.1 innings of shutout baseball, allowing just three combined hits.

Colby Lewis (13-13, 3.61 ERA) is on the mound for the Rangers and he was opposite Hughes in that Game 2 win, giving up two runs in 5.2 innings of work. Texas is on several slides with this guy on the hill, including 5-11 in his last 16 starts overall, 4-10 when he faces a team with a winning record and 3-14 when he gets five days of rest.

New York is riding several positive runs with Hughes on the mound, including 24-11 in his last 35 starts and 23-10 when he’s a favorite. They are also on streaks of 16-5 as a playoff favorite, 5-2 on the road in the postseason and 16-7 in their last 23 playoff games overall.

I’m banking on Hughes and the Yankees to get this thing to a very interesting Game 7. Play New York in Game 6 here tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Norhtcoast
marquise S Fla./.Cinci over 48

[Mr. IWS]

Bill Young

BIG EAST BRAWL
6* Cincinnati Bearcats

[Mr. IWS]

FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

1000* Play South Florida (+8) over Cincinnati

Starts at 8:00 PM EST

South Florida has won 7 of the last 8 games coming off a game with a turnover margin of -1 or worse and they have also won 7 of the last 8 games after scoring six or less points in their last game. South Florida has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 games coming off two or more losses and they are only allowing 16 points a game on defense this season.

[Mr. IWS]

MIKE LINEBACK

4* POD NY-Texas OVER 9 -120
3* OPINION* Cincinnati Bearcats -8

[Mr. IWS]

OC DOOLEY

“2 UNIT” AMERICAN LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES PERCENTAGE TOTAL (Yankees at Rangers UNDER 9 in a 8:05 eastern start televised on TBS-------Hughes versus Lewis)

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Game: Ottawa at Buffalo (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 5.5 -120

Something has to give in this one. The Ottawa Senators are winless on the road at 0-3-1, while the Buffalo Sabres are winless at home at an identical 0-3-1 mark to start the season. The Sabres’ problem at home has been the inability to put the puck in the net as they have scored just 7 times in their four home games, or less than 2 per contest. The Senators have had their share of problems finding the net on the road, with just 8 goals in their four road games at 2 per contest. Both of these teams are hungry for a win, which usually leads to a tighter checking game, and not a lot of scoring opportunities. The Senators bounce back to play UNDER to a 12-5-2 mark after serving up 5+ in their previous game, while the Sabres are an UNDER-happy 31-15-5 when they are posted as a favorite from -110 to -150. This one stays UNDER the total.

[Mr. IWS]

LENNY DEL GENIO

NY Yankees ML

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Prophet

Tx/Ny over 9

[Mr. IWS]

Hockey Prophet

POD - Lightning/Thrashers over 6 -105

Buffalo Sabres -140
Calgary Flames +115

[Mr. IWS]

NITE OWL SPORTS

South Florida Bulls @ Cincinnati Bearcats - Friday October 22, 2010 8:00 pm
3 units ATS: Cincinnati Bearcats -7.5 (-110)

This ESPN match-up between Big East rivals Cincy and USF features Bearcats’ steadily improving offense against USF’s good but not great defense, which has held up pretty well so far TY, although they also haven't faced the toughest of schedules. And on the lower end of the scale is the contest between a suspect Bearcat defense and a USF offense which has struggled mightily all year, especially in their three games against legitimate teams, all losses both SU and ATS, at Florida and at West Va, and at home to Syracuse, as 8 point faves. And we capitalized on recognizing these teams’ strengths and weaknesses in last week’s ESPN games involving both of them, as we “cashed” with West Va and the Under last Thursday night against USF, and same story the next night with Cincy and the Over against LVille, a game in which Cincinnati beat Louisville 35-27, and 45 points had been scored by HT.

And we still don't believe the odds makers have a proper handle on just how good this Cincinnati offense is right now, as Bearcats have scored 29, 45, and 35 points over their last three games, with the 29 and 35 coming against against some reasonably tough competition in Oklahoma and Louisville. And Cincy QB Zach Collaros has quietly become one of the most efficient passers in the nation this season, completing over 63% of his passes for 1,455 yards, 17 touchdowns, and just three interceptions. He'll likely improve on those numbers against a South Florida secondary that has decent overall #s so far, but remains largely untested. And note that while the USF Bulls allowed only 20 points against West Virginia last week, the Mountaineers were able to do pretty much whatever they wanted on offense, being limited by conservative play-calling in the second half, and West Va QB Geno Smith was near perfect in that game, completing 24-of-31 passes for 219 yards and two touchdowns. That doesn't bode well for the Bulls as they prepare to face dual (running and passing) threat Collaros and the Bearcats explosive offense on tonight. But the real key on offense for Bearcats has been the return (from minor early season injury) of running back Isaiah Pead, who in the last three games has rushed for an average of 170 yards, which has kept opposing defenses honest and helped set up lots of “play action” passes for Collaros. Moreover, history is also on the side of the Bearcats, as Cincinnati has prevailed both SU and ATS in the last four contests in this series (all competitively priced games with the line being 5 or less and Bearcats “dogged” in two of them), with an average MOV (margin of victory) of 13 points. And Cincy is 3-0 both SU and ATS in their last 3 HGs against USF, with an even greater average MOV of 18 points. But the Cincy defense, while good against the run so far TY (allowing just 112 YRPG and 3.3 YPC), is vulnerable to the pass, allowing 277 YPPG and with only two “picks” all season, and was “abused” for 370 YP by Okla’s Landry Jones in their tight 29-31 loss to Sooners a few weeks ago. Cincinnati has really only faced one dual-threat QB this season, that being Russell Wilson of N.C. State, and he was able to carve the Bearcats up for 333 passing yards and three touchdowns. And South Florida has a mobile QB of its own in B.J. Daniels, but he is nowhere near the QB that NC State’s Wilson is, and he is looking to get his season untracked after a tough start, averaging just 122 YPPG in all games (which includes USF’s home victories over Sun Belt weaklings FAU and Western Ky), and has thrown a whopping 10 INTs, many at really inopportune times, like at the end of the 1H in LW’s loss at West Va, after which Mounties scored a TD in final seconds of 1H to turn a tight 10-3 game into a 17-3 HT lead from which the run-oriented USF offense was never able to recover.

Due mostly to Daniels’ struggles, South Florida has done little to nothing offensively over the last two weeks, producing a grand total of 15 points in losses to Syracuse and West Virginia., and failing to even score a single TD in either game. And although USF’s 1Y HC Skip Holtz is 23-11 ATS as a road dog since 2005 (counting his days as HC at East Carolina), he is now 0-2 as a road dog at USF (that 6-20 loss LW at West Va and a numbing 38-14 blowout loss at Florida in Sept., where Bulls were stampeded by Gators in 2H, 31-7, and gave up 251 YR on 6.8 YPC).

Based on the above and our trademark match-up analysis, we look for Cincinnati to set the tone early with at least one quick score, and then extend the lead throughout the game, and if USF is forced to play catch-up with mistake –prone (10 INTs already TY) QB BJ Daniels having to pass more than Bulls’ OC Fitch would like, Bulls are in a heap of trouble. So while we are not wild about laying > a TD here, we believe that the best option for playing this game is to do just that, and will make this 3 unit ATS pick on Cincinnati at -7.5.

[Mr. IWS]

Jen Barry

30* Big East Move

Cincinnati Bearcats -8 over South Florida

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK CLUB

4 units Cincinnati Bearcats -8

4 units Texas/NY Yankees OVER 9

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO

10 units Cincinnati Bearcats -8 v. USF

5 units Texas Rangers +100 v. NYY

[Mr. IWS]

B&S PICKS

3* PREMIUM PLAY* South Florida Bulls +7.5
3* PREMIUM PLAY* Atlanta Thrashers ML
3* PREMIUM PLAY* Columbus Blue Jackets ML
3* PREMIUM PLAY* New York Yankees ML

[Mr. IWS]

Pure Lock

Reg Cinn

[Mr. IWS]

David Malinsky Says:

4* Cincy/So. Florida Under 48.5

[Mr. IWS]

Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends

*200 New York Yankees -104