11-21-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section.

note:
ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE HAS BEEN SOME BAD INFO BEING PASSED AROUND LATELY, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

[Mr. IWS]

Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 34-27-1 +12.00% (33-28-1 +5.70% with Sports Monitor)

3% HOUSTON +7
3% BUFFALO +5.5
3% CLEVELAND +1.5
3% ST LOUIS +3 EVEN
3% NEW ENGLAND -3.5
3% NY GIANTS +3.5 -120
3% DETROIT/DALLAS OVER 46.5
3% TAMPA BAY/SAN FRANCISCO OVER 41.5

[BKK]

Football Jesus NFL : Jaguars

[harley1]

good morning zak, i realize it is early, will be curious if predictionmachine will posted today as well. gl ::winna::

[Mr. IWS]

Hammer The Book

nfl plays

rotation 411/412 ::: Houston texans @ new york jets (jets -7 @ most all books)
rotation 413/414 ::: Baltimore ravens @ carolina panthers (panthers +12 @ sportsbet & carib)
rotation 423/424 ::: Cleveland browns @ jacksonville jaguars (jags -1 @ BetMania, 5dimes, bet phoenix, canbet, pinnancle, sportsbet & the greek)
rotation 427/428 :::: Seattle seahawks @ new orleans saints (saints -11 @ carib & SBG)
rotation 429/430 ::::: Atlanta falcons @ st. Louis rams (falcons -3 @ most all books)
rotation 433/434 ::: Indianapolis colts @ new england patriots (colts +4 1/2 @ carib)
rotation 435/436 :::: New york giants @ philadelphia eagles (eagles -3 @ most all books)

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG

Baltimore at Carolina (Sunday 11/21 1:00 PM Eastern)
3 UNIT* PICK:Carolina +11 (-110)

Buffalo at Cincinnati (Sunday 11/21 1:00 PM Eastern)
4 UNIT* PICK: Total UNDER 44 -110

Game: Green Bay at Minnesota (Sunday 11/21 1:00 PM Eastern)
2 UNIT* PICK: Minnesota +3.5 (-120)
4 UNIT* PICK: Game Total UNDER 44 -110

Game: Detroit at Dallas (Sunday 11/21 1:00 PM Eastern)
5 UNIT* PICK: Detroit +6.5 (-110)
4 UNIT* PICK: Game Total UNDER 46.5 -110

Game: Washington at Tennessee (Sunday 11/21 1:00 PM Eastern)
3 UNIT* PICK: Washington +7 (-110)

Game: Cleveland at Jacksonville (Sunday 11/21 1:00 PM Eastern)
4 UNIT* PICK: Cleveland +1.5

Game: Houston at New York Jets (Sunday 11/21 1:00 PM Eastern)
4 UNIT* PICK: +7 (-110)

Game: Tampa Bay at San Francisco (Sunday 11/21 4:05 PM Eastern)
4 UNIT* PICK: Total UNDER 41.5 -110

Game: Indianapolis at New England (Sunday 11/21 4:15 PM Eastern)
4 UNIT* PICK: Total UNDER 50 -110

Game: New York Giants at Philadelphia (Sunday 11/21 8:20 PM Eastern)
5 UNIT* PICK: Total UNDER 48 -110

[Mr. IWS]

D EANO (Week 11 Football Picks)

2010/2011 Football Record: 63%

Sunday's Selections:
[415] 8* Washington |Medium|+6.5 (open)|B+0|FOX|1:00 pm EST

[417] 5* Detroit |Small|+9 (open)|B+0|FOX|1:00 pm EST

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe


High to low:

NFL
5 Vikes +3
4 Giants +3
4 KC -7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

5* Atlanta/Rams Over

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* NY Giants +3

[Mr. IWS]

Norm Hitzges

NFL
Double Plays

· Kansas City -8 vs Arizona

· Baltimore -10 vs Carolina

· New Orleans -11.5 vs Seattle


Single Plays

· Indianapolis +3.5 vs New England

· San Francisco -3 vs Tampa Bay

· St. Louis +3 vs Atlanta

· Cleveland +1.5 vs Jacksonville

· Green Bay -3 vs Minnesota

· Dallas -6.5 vs Detroit

[Mr. IWS]

good morning zak, i realize it is early, will be curious if predictionmachine will posted today as well. gl ::winna::

The Prediction Machine

Sides

Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times):
Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opp Line Margin Win% ATS Boxscore Calc Play
436 8:20 PM @ PHI NYG -3 7.0 61.8 Boxscore Calc --> Play
423 1:00 PM CLE @ JAC 1.5 3.1 61.8 Boxscore Calc --> Play
429 4:05 PM ATL @ STL -3 6.8 61.4 Boxscore Calc --> Play
417 1:00 PM DET @ DAL 6.5 -3.1 59.9 Boxscore Calc --> Play
432 4:05 PM @ SF TB -3 6.1 59.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
427 4:05 PM SEA @ NO 12 -9.9 59.5 Boxscore Calc --> Play
422 1:00 PM @ CIN BUF -5.5 8.0 58.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play
409 1:00 PM OAK @ PIT 7.5 -5.3 57.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
416 1:00 PM @ TEN WAS -7 9.1 57.4 Boxscore Calc --> Play

Totals

434 4:15 PM IND @ NE 50.5 55.0 Over 58.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
430 4:05 PM ATL @ STL 43.5 47.0 Over 58.0 Boxscore Calc --> Play

[Mr. IWS]

TEDDY COVERS

BIG TICKET BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK
20* KC Chiefs

SUNDAY TRIFECTA
10* Houston Texans
10* SF 49ers
10* NY Giants

NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK
10* Atlanta Falcons/SL Rams UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

DOUBLE DRAGON NFL

RAVENS -12 at panthers
PACKERS / VIKINGS OVER 44
BILLS +6 at bengals
RAIDERS +7 at steelers
FALCONS -3 at rams
49'ERS -3 (-120) vs buccaneers
NYG / PHILLY OVER 48 (SNF)
CHARGERS -10 vs broncos (MNF)

[Mr. IWS]

Football Prophet

1. Redskins/Titans over 44

2. Packers/Vikings over 44

3. Giants/Eagles over 48 -120

4. Broncos/Chargers over 50 -120

5. Browns/Jaguars over 44

6. 6.5 point teaser - Steelers -.5 with Jets -.5; -120

7. Lions/Cowboys over 46

[Mr. IWS]

DAVE MALINSKY

5 UNIT* Minnesota Vikings +3
4 UNIT* San Francisco 49ers -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

John Harrison
5* GB Packers -2.5
5* NY Giants/Philadelphia OVER 48

[Mr. IWS]

OUTLAW SPORTS ADVISORS

SUNDAY'S GAMES -
$1000 PLAY - ATLANTA FALCONS -3
$400 PLAY - NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS - MoneyLine -190

[Mr. IWS]

Reno rick

1:00pm - washington redskins +7 (3 unit)
1:00pm - houston texans +7 (3 unit)
4:05pm - atlanta falcons -2.5 (10 unit max play) buy the 1/2 point!
4:05pm - seattle seahawks +11.5 (3 unit)
4:05pm - seattle seahawks @ new orleans saints - over 44 (3unit)
4:15pm - new england -3 (7 unit) buy the full 1 point in this game!
8:00pm - philadelphia eagles -3 (3 unit)

[Mr. IWS]

Bobby Maxwell
Sunday's winners...
700-Unit NFL Absolute Lock - PITTSBURGH STEELERS

If you don’t think this is a revenge game for the Steelers, you’re crazy. Pittsburgh let the Raiders’ Bruce Gradkowski throw for 223 yards in the fourth quarter last year and the last-place Raiders scored three TDs to beat the Steelers 27-24 and sent Pittsburgh reeling and essentially out of the playoffs.

Now, Pittsburgh comes in off a bad home performance against the Patriots and with some injuries, but I think today you’ll see the Steelers defense step up and dominate this game and bring the offense along for the ride. This game is going to be ugly and I expect the Steelers to win it 28-10.

Even with the ugly outing last week, the Steelers give up just 18.8 points per game at home and just 75 rushing yards per game. They are not going to let Raiders’ RB Darren McFadden have a big day and they are going to force Jason Campbell to throw the ball. He is completing just 57 percent of his throws and has 7 TDs and 5 INTs.

Pittsburgh needs balance on the offensive side and don’t need Ben Roethlisberger making 50 pass attempts. They will get the running game on track with Rashard Mendenhall who has 850 yards rushing this season, seven TDs and no fumbles.

Pittsburgh is 19-8 ATS as a home favorite of 3 ½ to 10 points and 4-1 ATS after a double-digit loss at home. The Steelers are going to bounce back in a big way and put a hurting on the Raiders. I know Oakland has won some games lately and they are in the thick of things in the AFC West, but they are overmatched today.

Lay the points and play the Steelers.



100-Unit NFL Primetime Pushover - NEW YORK GIANTS

Yes, I saw the way the Eagles and QB Michael Vick completely demolished the Redskins on Monday night. But I’m not going to over-react to it like the rest of the world has. He beat a terrible Washington team that is about to implode. Nothing all that impressive. He faces a real defense tonight and I’m going to grab the points with the Giants, who have been humiliated all week for their performance against the Cowboys.

New York has the NFL’s top-rated defense, allowing just 270.2 yards per game. I know they got shredded by the Cowboys last week, but there was a whole lot of emotion on the Cowboys’ sideline with the firing of Wade Phillips. Today, you’ll see the real Giants’ defense get after Vick and stuff those Eagles’ receivers at the line of scrimmage and not let them get downfield for the deep pass.

Both teams have explosive offenses, with the Eagles averaging 400 yards per game while the Giants average 409.8. New York QB Eli Manning is tied for the NFL lead with 19 TDs and WR Hakeem Nicks is tied for the NFL lead with 9 TD catches. Both teams also rush the ball well with Philly No. 1 in the NFC and New York second.

The key is going to be the pressure coming from the Eagles’ defensive line. They had the record-setting game earlier this season against the Bears, and they have got to get after Vick today and get him to the ground.

The Giants have cashed in four of their last five trips to Philly and the underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. New York is also on ATS surges of 21-7 on the road, 13-5 as an underdog and 12-4 as a road ‘dog. Philadelphia is just 1-4 ATS at home, 2-5 ATS against NFC East rivals and 1-5 ATS against winning teams. I’m grabbing the points with the Giants in this matchup.

[Mr. IWS]

Derek Mancini
Today's Winner...
100 Dime play on the Rams plus the points over the Falcons. As this selectaon is being released at 1 am Eastern, St. Louis is currentoly getting 3 points in this contest. Go ahead and buy the 1/2 point insuerance at anywhere from + 3 to + 4 1/2.

No one seems to believe the Rams have a shot here. No one except me that is. Before we even begin this analysis, doesn't it seem a bit fishy that you're only being ask to lay a field goal to play the red-hot Falcons here? Given their 3 straight wins, incl. an impressive one against Baltimore in their last one, and a surging Matt Ryan leading the way, it would appear oddmakers have made a huge mistake with this number. Or have they?

Here's the big x-factor... the venue. Notice the Falcons three straight wins all came at home, where they're all but unbeatable. However, put the Birds on the road, and all of a sudden they looks like an average NFL football team. Atlanta averages just 18 ppg away, while allowing 20 ppg. This is significant, because the Rams are similar the Falcons in one respect - they play MUCH better at home. St. Louis is not only built to play on the turf, but their numbers prove it, allowing 12 ppg on 294 total yards at the Edward Jones Dome, where they're 4-1 SUATS this season!

With all the talk about "Matty Ice," bettors are ignoring just how well Sam Bradford is playing of late, throwing 6 TDs without a pick over his L4 games! He's posted a QB rating no worse than 87 over that span, and with Steven Jackson healthy and running hard, this St. Louis offense is good enough to stick with Atlanta - given the venue of course.

On the other side of the ball, not only is the Rams defense feature a strong pass rush, but they're also great against the run - which is key against this Falcons offense. Did you know the Rams are tied for 1st in the NFL with 28 sacks? How about their run defense... Did you know they allow only 79 rushing yards per game at home? Before you dismiss this Rams team in this match up, consider the venue, and consider how the Rams strengths counteract the Falcons strengths.

Public is ALL OVER Atlanta in this spot, because they're failing to give credit where credit due. St. Louis has been money lately (7-1 ATS L8), and is a very good team at home. On the other hand, the public is also giving way too much credit to the Falcons, who've proven very vulnerable on the highway. Public bloodbath in the making, but not for my clients. Take the Rams plus the points (remember to buy the insurance as instructed above) over the Falcons Sunday.

[Mr. IWS]

A.Redd

Sunday's Card


75 Dime release on Baltimore over Carolina. As this selection is releaised at 4 AM Eastern, the Ravens are currently layning 11 points pretty much everywhere here in Vegas and offishore.


15 Dime 1st Half release on Baltimore over Carolina. The Ravens are currently laying 7 points in the 1st Half of this contest.


15 Dime release on the Over in the Cleveland-Jacksonville game. The total is currently at 43 in this contest.


15 Dime release on the Over in the Baltimore-Carolina game. The total is currently at 37 in this contest.


15 Dime release on the Under in the Detroit-Dallas game. The total is currently at between 46 1/2 and 47 in this contest.


15 Dime release on the Under in the Atlanta-St. Louis game. The total is currently at 43 in this contest.


15 Dime release on the Under in the NY Giants-Philadelphia game. The total is currently at 48 in this contest.

[Mr. IWS]

banks off a 7-2 saturday
jets
packers
tampa
patriots
giants
over giants
golden state in nba

[Mr. IWS]

The Gold Medal Club: NFL
10* Pittsburgh
10* Houston
25* Carolina
25* Atlanta
50* Minnesota

[Mr. IWS]

STEVE BUDIN

2010 BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR

50 DIME* Baltimore Ravens

[Mr. IWS]

CHRIS JORDAN

BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR

1000* Baltimore Ravens

[Mr. IWS]

ANDY FANELLI

MISMATCH LOCK

50 DIME* Atlanta Falcons

[Mr. IWS]

BULLS EYE SPORTS of TEXAS

3* NFL* HOUSTON TEXANS +7
3* NFL* MINNESOTA VIKINGS +3
3* NFL* DALLAS COWBOYS -6
3* NFL* PHILADELPHIA EAGLES -3
3* NFL* NE PATRIOTS -4
3* NFL* ARIZONA CARDINALS +8
3* NFL* CLEVELAND BROWNS +2.5
3* NFL* BUFFALO BILLS +5.5

[Mr. IWS]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL

5* San Diego (Monday Night)
4* Minnesota
4* "over" Vikings-Packers
3* Atlanta
3* "over" Redskins-Titans

[Mr. IWS]

CHUCK O'BRIEN

NFL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH
50 DIME* Detroit Lions

MONEY LINE LOCK
5 DIME* Detroit Lions ML

NFL BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK
15 DIME* Baltimore Ravens

[Mr. IWS]

BRETT ATKINS

MARQUEE MATCHUP

25 DIME* New England Patriots

[Mr. IWS]

ALLEN EASTMAN (ACE-ACE)
NFL Week 11

99 SYSTEM
$2500*Atlanta (-3) over St. Louis Rams (IP)

"THE REST"
Kansas City (-7.5) over Arizona
Green Bay (-3) over Minnesota
Baltimore (-10) over Carolina
Tampa Bay (+3) over San Francisco

[harley1]

good morning zak, i realize it is early, will be curious if predictionmachine will posted today as well. gl ::winna::

The Prediction Machine

Sides

Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times):
Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opp Line Margin Win% ATS Boxscore Calc Play
436 8:20 PM @ PHI NYG -3 7.0 61.8 Boxscore Calc --> Play
423 1:00 PM CLE @ JAC 1.5 3.1 61.8 Boxscore Calc --> Play
429 4:05 PM ATL @ STL -3 6.8 61.4 Boxscore Calc --> Play
417 1:00 PM DET @ DAL 6.5 -3.1 59.9 Boxscore Calc --> Play
432 4:05 PM @ SF TB -3 6.1 59.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
427 4:05 PM SEA @ NO 12 -9.9 59.5 Boxscore Calc --> Play
422 1:00 PM @ CIN BUF -5.5 8.0 58.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play
409 1:00 PM OAK @ PIT 7.5 -5.3 57.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
416 1:00 PM @ TEN WAS -7 9.1 57.4 Boxscore Calc --> Play

Totals

434 4:15 PM IND @ NE 50.5 55.0 Over 58.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
430 4:05 PM ATL @ STL 43.5 47.0 Over 58.0 Boxscore Calc --> Play

thank you buddy. have a great day

[Mr. IWS]

JAY MCNEIL

NFL DOG OF THE YEAR

40 DIME* Indianapolis Colts

[Mr. IWS]

CRAIG DAVIS

WINNER #6 IN A ROW

100 DIME* Green Bay Packers

[Mr. IWS]

JOEL TYSON
NFL STONE COLD LOCK

30 DIME* St Louis Rams

[Mr. IWS]

TRACE ADAMS

WEEK 11 UPSET SPECIAL
1500* St Louis Rams

BONUS MARQUEE LOCK
500* New England Patriots

[Mr. IWS]

Default

PIITVIPER SPORTS

Sunday November 21st, 2010

NFL Sunday

ROT# 417 - 1:00pm - Detroit Lions *+7 -120
ROT# 420 - 1:00pm - Minnesota Vikings +3 -105
ROT# 429 - 4:05pm - Atlanta Falcons -3 -120
ROT# 432 - 4:05pm - San Francisco 49ers -3 -125
ROT# 434 - 4:15pm - New England Patriots -4 -110
ROT# 436 - 8:20pm - Philadelphia Eagles -3 -125

[Mr. IWS]

Doc sports
5 units saints -11 1/2
4 units 49ers under 41 1/2
3 units giants +3
3 units broncos under 50 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

Strike point
7 units falcons -3
2 units packers -3
2 units patriots -3 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

Ethan Law

CONFIRMED SUNDAY NFL SELECTIONS:
(2%) CLEVELAND +2
(2%) SEATTLE +11.5

[Mr. IWS]

Delaney

25 dime saints

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK CLUB
6 Atl-3
5 NE-4
4 Pitt-7
4 Minn+3.5

[Mr. IWS]

PLATINUM PLAYS

PREMIER PLAYS -TOP PLAY
GB Packer
SF 49ers

500,000 PLAY
Baltimore Ravens

400,000 PLAY
Philadelphia Eagles

REGULAR PLAYS
Tennessee Titans
Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland Browns
KC Chiefs
NO Saints
Atlanta Falcons
NE Patriots
Philadelphia Eagles Over

[Mr. IWS]

Fargo

Vikings +3
Seahawks +11.5
Cardinals +9
Redskins +7
Rams +3

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports



Sunday November 21st

#411 - NFL - units on Houston +7
#421 - NFL - units on Buffalo +5.5
#431 - NFL - units on Tampa Bay & San Francisco Over 41.5
#432 - NFL - units on San Francisco -3.5
#435 - NFL - units on NY Giants +3.5 (WAIT TO BET)

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman

4*Steelers -7
4*Pats -4
3*Texans +6.5
3*Vikings +3
3*Giants +3

[Mr. IWS]

BOB VALENTINO
GAME OF THE YEAR

100 DIME* NY Giants

[Mr. IWS]

BOB BALFE

* NFL* Houston +7
* NFL* Dallas -6
* NFL* Jacksonville -2
* NFL* Baltimore -11
* NFL* Atlanta -3
* NFL* Indianapolis +4

[Mr. IWS]

HRC PREMIUM NHL ACTION-November 21st

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[06] Anaheim |8*|Bet B|-200|B+0|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST

[08] Vancouver |5*|Bet A|-180|B+0|Network N/A|9:05 pm EST


note*
This is the "NHL Spread System" (3 game chase)




2010/2011 NHL SYSTEMS




NHL Spread LOSSES- 0

A. 6 wins

B. 4 wins

C. 1 win



NHL Tops LOSSES- 0

A. 2 wins

B.

C.

[Mr. IWS]

HRC PREMIUM NFL ACTION-November 21st-22nd

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
******************

[416] Tennessee |8*|Bet B|OPEN -6.5|B+1/2|FOX|1:00 pm EST

[410] Pittsburgh |5*|Bet A|OPEN -6.5|B+1/2|CBS|1:00 pm EST

[420] Minnesota |5*|Bet A|OPEN +3.5|B+1/2|FOX|1:00 pm EST

[427] Seattle |5*|Bet A|OPEN +12.5|B+1/2|FOX|4:05 pm EST

[437] Denver |5*|Bet A|OPEN +10.5|B+1/2|ESPN|8:35 pm EST


note*
This is the "NFL SPREAD SYSTEM" buy 1/2 on only even spreads (4 game chase)




2010/2011 NFL and NCAAF SYSTEMS




NFL Spread LOSSES- 0

A. 8 wins

B. 1 win

C. 1 win

D. 1 win



NCAAF V2 Spread LOSSES- 1

A. 15 wins

B. 4 wins

C. 1 win

D. 1 win

[Mr. IWS]

CRAIG DAVIS

WINNER #6 IN A ROW

100 DIME* Green Bay Packers

[Mr. IWS]

JAY MCNEIL

NFL DOG OF THE YEAR

40 DIME* Indianapolis Colts

[Mr. IWS]

BRETT ATKINS

MARQUEE MATCHUP

25 DIME* New England Patriots

[Mr. IWS]

CHUCK O'BRIEN

NFL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH
50 DIME* Detroit Lions

MONEY LINE LOCK
5 DIME* Detroit Lions ML

NFL BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK
15 DIME* Baltimore Ravens

[Mr. IWS]

JOEL TYSON
NFL STONE COLD LOCK

30 DIME* St Louis Rams

[Mr. IWS]

TRACE ADAMS

WEEK 11 UPSET SPECIAL
1500* St Louis Rams

BONUS MARQUEE LOCK
500* New England Patriots

[Mr. IWS]

North Coast Phones
4* GOM Baltimore
3 New Orl 3 Minnes
Marqee Giants

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO
100 Unit* NFL* BALTIMORE RAVENS -11.5
50 Unit* NFL* NE PATRIOTS -4
25 Unit* NFL* TENNESSEE TITANS -7
10 Unit* NFL* TB BUCS +3
3 Unit* NFL* JACKSONVILLE JAGS -2
3 Unit* NFL* DETROIT LIONS +6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Ras

ucdavis
tcu
montana st

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton SUNDAY'S ACTION
30 Dime NFL selection on the Oakland Raiders plus the points at Pittsbergh. The Raiders are catching between 7 and 7½ points both here in Vegas and offshore, with the prevailing number being 7½. Obviously, there’s a BIG differeence between 7 and 7½ in the NFL, so make sure you shop around and get the best of the number.





10 Dime NFL selection on the New York Jets minus the points vs. Houston. The Jets are laying 6½ to 7 points depending on where you shop, Once again, there’s a huge difference between those numbers, so do whatnver you have to do to get the Jets under a touchdown.








RAIDERS





Where’s the respect from the oddsmakers for the Raiders? All they’ve done is win three straight games; they’re 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in their last five; and they’re coming out of a bye week sitting in first place in the AFC West.





Conversely, the Steelers have split their last six games (1-4-1 ATS), losing two of three overall and two of three at home, and they’re coming off a 39-26 beat-down at the hands of the Patriots on Sunday night. Pittsburgh has played four straight very physical games against the Dolphins, Saints, Bengals and Patriots, and the Steelers’ last two wins (over the Dolphins and Bengals) were by a combined six points.





Pittsburgh’s defense clearly hasn’t been the same since pass-rushing specialist Aaron Smith went down with a season-ending injury four weeks ago, giving up 22, 20, 21 and 39 points in the last four games after holding its first five opponents to a total of 60 points. In fact, when you compare these two defenses, you see the following: Oakland is allowing 20.9 points, 309.7 total yards and just 185 passing yards per game, and the Raiders have logged 27 sacks (tied for second-best in the NFL). Pittsburgh’s defense is yielding 18 points, 315.4 total yards and 252.2 passing yards per game and has 24 sacks.





Flip the field to the offense, and Oakland tops the Steelers in scoring (26.1 ppg-22.2 ppg), total yards (361-313.6) and rushing (162.2-113.1). The only advantage the Steelers have is in passing offense, where they average 1.6 more passing yards per game than the Raiders (200.4-198.8).





Given all this, how can the Raiders be catching more than a touchdown here? Especially when they went to Pittsburgh 50 weeks ago with a much weaker team and won 27-24 as a 14½-point underdog? In fact, the Raiders have won the last two meetings and three of the last five going back to 2002, cashing in four of those five contests (3-0 ATS in Pittsburgh).





The Steelers have failed to cover in four straight games against opponents with a winning record; they have just one spread-cover in their last seven as a home chalk; and they’re 1-9-2 ATS the last 12 years in Week 11 of the season (Oakland is on an 8-2 ATS run in Week 11).





Bottom line: The Raiders, with a very underrated pass rush, match up very well against Pittsburgh and its banged-up offensive line (5 sacks allowed last week vs. New England), and while the Steelers’ defense continues to lead the NFL in rush defense, they’ve faced just two opponents (Atlanta and Tennessee) that currently rank in the top 10 in rushing offense. Oakland ranks second in the league in rushing (162.2), just 3 ypg behind first-place Kansas City, and its average of 4.9 yards per carry is way better than any other opponent Pittsburgh has faced this year.





Additionally, the Steelers’ offense has matched up against just one team that is better at defending the pass than the Raiders. That was New Orleans three weeks ago, and the Saints held Big Ben and Co. to just 10 points and 195 passing yards.





Way too many points to be giving the Raiders, who not only have the capacity to stay inside this number, but to challenge for the outright upset.








JETS





New York is 7-2 on the season, going 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in the last eight, and it is playing just its third home game since Week 2. The Jets haven’t given up more than 23 points in a game this season, holding eight of nine to 20 points or less, with five of those tallying 14 points or fewer. And Mark Sanchez and the offense have been stoned just twice all season – 10-9 loss to Baltimore and 9-0 loss to Green Bay. Other than that, the Jets have put up 23 points or more in every game, averaging 28.4 ppg in those seven outings.





On the flip side, the Texans are 4-5 SU and 3-6 ATS. They’ve lost three in a row, they’ve failed to cover in five straight contests and their defense is the second-worst in the league, giving up 24 points or more in every single game this season for an average of 28.6 ppg (only Arizona at 29 ppg allowed is worse). That defense is also yielding a league-high 410 total yards per game, including 301 passing ypg (the only team giving up more than 287 passing ypg).





Need I go on? OK, how about the fact that in his NFL debut last season, Sanchez went to Houston and completed 18 of 31 passes for 272 yards with a TD and an INT in the Jets’ 24-7 rout as a 4½-point road underdog? That win was New York’s fourth in as many all-time games against the Texans. Cumulative score in those four games; Jets 98, Texans 39.





New York is on ATS hot streaks of 6-2 overall, 8-3 as a favorite of 3½ to 10 points, 5-0 against the AFC and 4-1 against losing teams. On top of all this, Houston QB Matt Schaub spent time in the hospital this week to have surgery on a bursa sac in his knee, while All-Pro WR Andre Johnson has been hobbled by an ankle injury for weeks (and last year, Derrelle Revis held Johnson to four catches for just 35 yards).





No-brainer here, guys. Lay the chalk and look for a comfortable double-digit win by the Jets, whose seven wins have been by an average of 9.7 ppg. (Houston’s five losses have been by 7, 6, 13, 24 and 14 points.)

[Mr. IWS]

Scott delaney
25 Dimes saints

[Mr. IWS]

DAVE MALINSKY

ADDED
4* Teaser Pittsburgh & Kansas City

[Mr. IWS]

MATT FARGO
10* Vikings +3
10* Seahawks +11.5
9* Cardinals +9
9* Redskins +7
9* Rams +3

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass
400 St Louis
200 Steam Minny
200 Steam Detriot
100 Over Pitt
100 Hous
100 Teaser SF and Houston

[golden contender]

Sunday NFL Divisional Game of the Year With 2 systems, one is 100% Leads solid card that has 96% Blowout system, NFL Double system dog of the month + 98% Sunday night System play. NBA 19-5 into Saturday. On Sunday a 100% Totals system is the top hoops play. NFL Cashing 66% on the year. With TOP Plays 8-2. Saturday top play cashes easy with over Rice and ECU 100 points scored


On Sunday the system Club Play is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 425 at 1:00 eastern. KC fits a negative system today that plays against home favorites of -4 or more that allowed 40 or more on the road last week, while scoring 30 or less, vs an opponent that has won at least 12 of their last 32 games. This system hits in the high 70 percent range. Arizona has responded nicely off back to back losses covering 4 of the last 5 times. The Chiefs are just 1-6 ats as a favorite. Even worse is their 0-9 straight up record off a division loss. Look for Arizona to stay within the number here today. On Sunday I have the NFL Divisional Game of the Year backed by 2 systems one of which is 100%. I also have a 96% Blowout system, The Dougble system NFL Dog of the month and 2 other big 90+% systems including the Sunday night 98% System Play. NBA is 19-5 heading into Saturday. On Sunday a 100% NBA Totals system is the top hoops play. NFL Hitting 66% this year including 8-2 on Top plays. . For the free play take the Arizona Cardinals. GC

[Mr. IWS]

mti-

5-giants+3

[Mr. IWS]

3g

10* Philly
5* Seattle
4* SF
4* STL

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

4* Giants
3* Minnesota
3* Indianapolis

[Mr. IWS]

Executive
600 San Francisco-3
450 Jacksonville-2

[Mr. IWS]

Animal

5 phi
4.5 phi over
4 pats, jags, ravens

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman NFL and CBB 11/21

Detroit Lions 7 (-120)


San Francisco 49ers -3 (-125)



Basketball Plays
Middle Tennesse St -1 (-110)


Seton Hall -1.5 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

red suit
oakland/pitt over 41

[Mr. IWS]

The Boss

1000% godfather Baltimore
700% grand slam parlay Baltimore Atlanta New England and New Orleans

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy hockey

4 Unit phoenix/vancouver Under 5.5 goals

[Mr. IWS]

Bama Sports

Side / Total Parlay of the Year

Giants +3.5
Under 48.5