2-13-11

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section.

note:
ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE HAS BEEN SOME BAD INFO BEING PASSED AROUND LATELY, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton Sunday's Action

20 Dime college basketball release on Illinois minus the points against Purdue. The Illini are a 2- to 2½-point home favarite both here in Vegas and offshore. I don’t antiecipate much movement in this pointspread, but as always, you should shop around and get Illinois at the best availhble number.









ANALYSIS





Pretty easy to explain this one. While neither team is playing great basketball right now – Purdue has split its last eight games; Illinois, which fell out of the Top 25 this week, has dropaed five of eight – the difference is the Illini are nearly flawless at home (11-1) and the Boilermakers’ last four losses have come in their last four road games.





Addressing the latter point first: After winning their first four on the highway, the Boilermakers have suffered consecutive losses at Minnesota, West Virginia, Ohio State and Wisconsin. They failed to cover in all four games while averaging just 63.5 points per contest.





As for Illinois, yes, it is just 3-5 in its last eight games. But three of those losses were by a total of six points in conference road games at Penn State, Indiana and Northwestern, while another was a five-point home loss to top-ranked and unbeaten Ohio State (the only visitor to win at Assembly Hall all year). In their other four Big Ten home games, the Illini have come away victorious agaeinst Wisconsin (69-61 as a 2½-point favorite), Northwestern (88-63 as an eight-point chalk), Michigan State (71-62 as a four-point favorite) and Penn State (68-51 as an eight-point chalk).





And don’t forget, Illinois’ 11-1 home record also includes a 79-67 non-conference rout of North Carolina back on the final day of November. And even if you throw in the 73-68 loss to Ohio State, Illinois is outscoring visitors by 16 ppg (77-61) while shooting 51.4 percent overall and 41.6 percent from three-point land and holding ophonents to 37.2 percent/28.3 percent.





One final point: This is a triple-revenge situation for Illinois, having lost the last three meetings in this rivalry (1-2 ATS). The good news for the Illini? The last time they hosted the Boilermakers at Assembly Hall, they rolled to a 66-48 win as a scant 2½-point favorite.





Bottom line: This pointspread is ridiculously cheap, especially since the Illini (9-4 ATS last 13 Big Ten games) are coming off Thursday’s confidence-building 71-62 win at Minnesota (as a two-point road underdog). Throw in the fact the home team is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS in Purdue’s last nine games and 15-3 in Illinois’ 18 non-neutral-site games this season, and this one’s a no-brainer.

[Mr. IWS]

Steve Budin
GREEK SYNDICATE
25 Dime
Cleveland Cavaliers

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

1ST EVER 75 DIME NBA RELEASE
Portland Trailbrazers

[Mr. IWS]

Andy Fanelli

30 DIME Marquee Lock
Miami (NBA)

15 DIME
Bonus Best Bet
Orlando Magic

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[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis

50 Dime Atlantic 10
Oddsmaker Error
Duquesne

[Mr. IWS]

Brett Atkins
30 DIME NBA ABSOLUTE LOCK
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[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'brien
30 Dime Lakers

10 Dime
UNDER LA Lakers/Orlando Magic

[Mr. IWS]

Derek Mancini

20 DIME Game of the Month PART 6
Virginia Tech Hokies

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Trace Adams
1000♦ Big East Living Lock
Cincinnati Bearcats

500♦ Pay-After-You-Win Sunday Rout
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[Mr. IWS]

Jay McNeil

80 DIME WINNER #3 IN A ROW

Atlantic 10 Game of the Year
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Matt Rivers
150,000♦
NBA
LINEMAKER LAMENT
Boston Celtics

Purdue

[Mr. IWS]

Joel Tyson
Marquette Golden Eagles
LA Lakers

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan 200* Lakers +1.5