3-1-11

[Mr. IWS]

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Erin Rynning

20* Golden State

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Tim Trushel

20* Under Memphis

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DOC SPORTS

3 UNIT* New York/Orlando UNDER 212.5
3 UNIT* Golden State/Indiana OVER 217
3 UNIT* Houston/Portland UNDER 202.5

[Mr. IWS]

lem banker
illinois
magic

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Chris Jordan
200♦ Horizon League
Bankroll Builder
UW Green Bay +6

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton Tuesday's Action
25 Dime college basketball seleation on Vanderbilt as a road underdog versus SEC rival Kentucky. At the time I updated this section with my analysis at 2:40 p.m. Easetern time on Tuesday, the Commondres are now a consensus 8-point underdog both here in Vegas and ofhshore, with the number ticking up from 7 1/2.







ANALYSIS






Who has the better record, Vanderbilt or Kentucky? Answer: Vanderbilt is 21-7. Kentucky is 20-8.





Who has the better conference record, Vanderbilt or Kentucky? Answer: Vanderbilt is 9-5. Kentucky is 8-6.





Who has the better pointspaead record, Vanderbilt or Kentucky? Answer: Vanderbilt is 14-9-1 ATS, including 6-2 ATS in its last eight games overall and 4-0 ATS in its last four games on the road. Kentucky is 10-12-1 ATS, including cashing just twice in its last nine games.





Which of these teams owns a victory over the other this season? Answer: Back on Feb. 12, Vanderbilt beat the Wildcats 81-77 as a one-point underdog.





Given all these stone-cold facts, I’d like someone to explain to me how in the world Kentucky is this big of a favorite tonight?!?! It makes absoluetely no sense, especially when you consider that the Wildcats are playing .500 basketball over the last eight games (4-4 SU). Yeah, Kentucky is 14-0 at Rupp Arena and undefeated in its storied building since John Calipari took over the program last year. But only eight of those 14 games were lined contests, with the Wildcats going just 5-3 ATS, including 3-3-1 ATS in SEC home games.





On the other hand, the Commodores are 4-2 SU and 4-1-1 ATS in conference road games, failing to cover in a 67-64 loss at Tennessee as a 1½-point underdog and pushing as a seven-point road favorite in an 81-74 win at Mississippi State. Furthermore, Vandy has lost five games away from home this season, and of those, three were in overtime to Florida, South Carolina and Missouri by 4, 8 and 3 points, respectively, and the others were the three-point loss at Tennessee and a three-point neutral-court loss to West Virginia back on Nov. 19. Translation: Vanderbilt hasn’t lost by more than eight points on the road all year!





Including neutral-site games, the Commodores are 9-2-1 ATS away from home this season and 6-1 ATS as an underdog (the one non-cover coming as a 1½-point pup at Tennessee).





Bottom line: I respect Kentucky’s home-court advahtage, but the oddsmakers aren’t giving Vanderbilt enough credit for A) its experience edge (the Commodores are a veteran team; Kentucky is very young); B) its success away from home this season; and C) its gritty home win over the Wildcats less than 2½ weeks ago.





Give me the points and don’t be surprised if we get an outright upset here, as I truly believe the Commodores are a dark-horse Final Four team – when they bring their “A” game, they’re that good.

[Mr. IWS]

Don Wallace

NBA

ROTATION - 508# - 3UNIT* - INDIANA -5.5 (7:05 EST) - BetED (http://www.beted.com/).COM
ROTATION - 504# - 3UNIT* - TORONTO +5.5 (7:05 EST) - BETUS.COM

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mike hook 2*'s

nba -- mem
cbb--wyo

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kelso 10 alabama, 5 san diego st

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HELMUT

Valparaiso OVER 144

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jon ryan 25* massacre--vir tech

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JACK JONES
ACC GAME OF THE YEAR
25* Boston College +9