3-11-11

[Mr. IWS]

New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

[Mr. IWS]

Hammer The Book

NBA PLAYS

ROTATION 803/804: 4-UNIT HAMMER: (7:05 PM) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS @ NEW JERSEY NETS (OVER-191 1/2 @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 6:30 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

ROTATION 815/816: 3-UNIT REGULAR: (8:35 PM) SACRAMENTO KINGS @ SAN ANTONIO SPURS (SPURS -11 1/2 @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 6:31 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

ROTATION 817/818: 3.5-UNIT TWITTER: (10:35 PM) ORLANDO MAGIC @ GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (MAGIC -4 1/2 @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 6:32 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS

MARCH MADNESS

ROTATION 855/856: 3-UNIT REGULAR: (7:00 PM) UCONN HUSKIES vs SYRACUSE ORANGEMEN in the BIG EAST CONFERENCE SEMI-FINALS @ Madison Square Garden, New York, NY (SYRACUSE @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 6:38 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

ROTATION 833/834: 4-UNIT HAMMER: (9:25 PM) VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES vs FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES in the ACC CONFERENCE QUARTER-FINALS @ The Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC. (FSU @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 6:40 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

ROTATION 841/844: 3-UNIT REGULAR: (1:00 PM) GEORGIA BULLDOGS vs ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE in the SEC CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT QUARTER-FINALS @ The Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA. (UGA @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 6:41 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

ROTATION 863/864: 4-UNIT HAMMER: (7:00 PM) AKRON ZIPS vs WESTERN MICHIGAN in the MID AMERICAN CONFERENCE Semi-Finals @ The Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH. (W. MICH. @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 6:43 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

ROTATION 847/848: 3-UNIT REGULAR: (7:30 PM) TENNESSEE VOLUTEERS vs FLORIDA GATORS in the SEC CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT Quarter-Finals @ The Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA. (VOLS @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 6:44 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

ROTATION 869/870: 5-UNIT BOMB: (11:30 PM) OREGON DUCKS vs WASHINGTON HUSKIES in the PAC-10 CONFERENCE SEMI-FINALS @ The Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA. (HUSKIES @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 6:46 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

ROTATION 875/876: 4-UNIT HAMMER: (9:00 PM) SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS vs UTAH STATE in THE WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT SEMI-FINALS @ The Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV. (UTAH ST. @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 6:48 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

NHL PLAYS

ROTATION 053/054: 4-UNIT HAMMER: (7:05 PM) CAROLINA HURRICANS @ WASHINGTON CAPITALS (CAPS ML @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 6:22 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

ROTATION 057/058: 4-UNIT REGULAR: (7:35 PM) OTTAWA SENATORS @ TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING (TB LIGHTNING ML @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @6:23 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

ROTATION 059/060: 3-UNIT BOMB: (7:35 PM) NEW JERSEY DEVILS @ ATLANTA THRASHERS (THRASHERS ML @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 6:24 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

ROTATION 063/064: 5-UNIT BOMB: (8:35 PM) MINNESOTA WILD @ DALLAS STARS (STARS ML @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 6:26 AM (ET) 3/11/11)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton Friday's Action
60 Dime college basketball seleation on New Mexico plus the points over BYU in the quarterfinals of the Mountain West Confercence tournament. As of 1 a.m. Eastern time, the projected pointsprhad for this contest is New Mexico +6.











ANALYSIS





If you’ve been a regular client lately, this play shouldn’t surprise you in the least. After all, I scored a 15 Dime winner with New Mexico just yesterday. More importantly, it was just eight days ago that I nailed a 30 Dime winner on New Mexico over BYU, with the Lobos rolling to an 18-point win as an 11-point underdog. And my reasons for backing the Lobos tonight are the same as they were last Thursday: New Mexico simply has BYU’s number. Not only are the Lobos responsible for both of the Cougars’ losses this season – they preceded last week’s 82-64 win in Provo with an 86-77 home victory as a 2½-point underdog on Jan. 29 – but New Mexico has won four straight and five of the last six meetings, including four outright upsets!





The Lobos’ success against BYU can be traced to one particular matchup: New Mexico’s offense vs. BYU’s defense. In their last five victories in this series, the Lobos have scored 82, 86, 83, 76 and 81 points, while shooting a combined 45% from the field. New Mexico has also dominated the Cougars in the rebounding department in the five wins, with a +24 advantage. That includes a 36-25 edge in last week’s meeting, which just so happened to coincide with the first game BYU played without Brandon Davies, the team’s leading rebounder (and third-leading scorer) who was suspended for violating the school’s honor code.





While New Mexico advanced to the Mountain West semifinals with yesterday’s 67-61 victory over a talented Colorado State team as a 3½-point favorite, BYU struggled to get past TCU, winning 64-58 as a 16-point chalk (and TCU was the lowest seed in the Mountain West tournament). The Lobos have now won four in a row, and they haven’t lost a game by more than six points since Jan. 22 (a stretch of 12 contests).





At the same time, BYU’s non-cover against TCU on Thursday puts their pointspread record at 5-6 in their last 11 games (4-6 ATS as a favorite). The Cougars have also now failed to cash in six of their last seven neutral-site contests.





Bottom line: The oddsmakers were put in a pickle here, because they had to make BYU the favorite. But the reality is the Cougars cannot handle New Mexico. It’s been proven a handful of times over the last three years, including twice in the last two months. And it’ll be proven again tonight as the Lobos not only get to the window, but win this game outright!

[Mr. IWS]

Ras

852 Memphis -3

880 Long Beach St -9

871 New Mex +5

881 Cal Santa Barb -4

878 Boise St -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

835 Xavier over 132.5

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK CLUB

4 UNIT* Duquesne -10
5 UNIT* Georgia PK
5 UNIT* Western Michigan +2.5
6 UNIT* Syracuse -3

[Mr. IWS]

Cal Sports

4* NBA Boston

4*Xavier
4*Memphis
4*Akron
3*Wisconsin
3*Cal Northridge

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

830 Boston College/Clemson (Under 130.5)

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
http://www.freeunderdog.com/images/separator650b-today.gif I rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units (http://www.freeunderdog.com/units-explained.html)). Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).
Game: Illinois vs. Michigan (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Michigan +3 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
This very well could be an NCAA Tournament play-in game as both of these clubs stand at 19-12 and both could use a win here to solidify their resumes. The Illini were at one time 13-3 on the season and have fallen dramatically, finishing the slate at 6-9 in their last 15 games. A bigger problem is they own just one win outside of Champagne since before Christmas. The Wolverines were on their way to falling apart, but broke out of a 1-7 stretch to finish at 8-3 and are the team that has the confidence coming in here. The Illini has taken the donut on a neutral court, dropping their last eight against the number. I'll play Michigan and the points.Game: Boston College vs. Clemson (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 131 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
A pair of 20-win ACC teams will hook up in this one, and adding a big win could do both teams some good to bolster their NCAA Tournament resume. That usually means a tightly-contested, defensive match. The Tigers have been all about defense holding four of their last 11 in conference play to 50 points or less. The Eagles like to get out and run, but their history and their opponent here says otherwise. Boston College is 15-2 to the UNDER as a neutral-court dog in their last 17. Clemson enters with an 8-2-1 UNDER mark in their last 11 in the conference. Play the UNDER.Game: St. Joesph's vs. Duquesne (2:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 135 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
It has been a tough go for Phil Martelli and St. Joesph's this season. The Hawks have claimed victory just 10 times on the season and have endured a 20-loss season. This is a team starved for offense and were held in the 50s or less in half of their Atlantic-10 contests. Duquesne has had trouble at the offensive end themselves of late averaging less than 60 points a game over their last three, and all three have gone UNDER the total. The Hawks have slowed things down vs. the better teams and have now played 9-1-1 ATS to the UNDER in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning percentage of greater than .600. Play on the UNDER.
Game: Mississippi vs. Kentucky (3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Mississippi +9.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
The Kentucky Wildcats are rich in talent, but poor in experience in this tournament atmosphere. They have played tough vs. most of the SEC teams, and over their last 13 SEC tilts they have managed just two wins by more than 9 points. Things will get tighter in this one, and the lack of experience will be telling vs. a big number here. Mississippi owns a win vs. the Wildcats this season, so they won't be intimidated in the least. The Rebels are 5-0 ATS as a dog from +7-12.5 in their last five, while the Wildcats are now 0-5 ATS following an ATS win. Ole Miss is the call.Game: Grambling State vs. Jackson State (3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 122.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Jackson State held Prairie View A&M to 38 points in the opener of the conference tournament, but managed just 50 themselves. Grambling State played their game in the 60s vs. Mississippi Valley State. The tone set for this tournament is defense. Grambling State has spent about half of their season scoring in the 50s or less as that has occurred 14 times already this season. Jackson State has now played three of their last four in the 50s themselves. I don't see this one playing out much differently, topping out in the 50s to perhaps 60 to the winner. My call is on the UNDER in this one.Game: Lafayette at Bucknell (4:45 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Lafayette +9 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
The Bucknell Bison had a nice tourney run a few years back, and they have closed the season strong here with 9 straight wins. They barely escaped in their last one over Lehigh by a scant 2-point margin. They appeared tight in that game, and the pressure is always on these small conference teams because there is no bid unless they win out. Lafayette will be confident here as they took the Bison to overtime their last meeting this season. The Bison have now gotten overpriced with the long winning streak, and are now just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 wins. I’m on Lafayette here.Game: Morgan State vs. Bethune-cookman (6:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Bethune-cookman +2.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Bethune-Cookman Wildcats have closed the season with an impressive run, as they come into this one having won eight straight games. What might be more impressive is the fact that they have won the eight games by an average margin of 11 points per game. Morgan State comes in at 16-13 and has lost three of their last four games - not the type of finishes championships are made from. The three losses were not nail biters as the Bears lost by an average of 9 points per game. Play on Bethune-Cookman in this one.Game: Tulsa at U T E P (6:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Tulsa +5.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The UTEP Miners have slipped a bit from a 17-4 start going just 7-4 over their last 11. One of those losses was to this 19-12 Tulsa team. Tulsa has really gotten things together late in the season as they are 9-2 over their last 11 games, and have been an under-the-radar 5-1 ATS in their last six when posted as a dog. They have also gone 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games posted as an underdog. I’m on Tulsa in this one.Game: Penn State at Wisconsin (8:50 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 120.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Big-10 has been notorious for defense, and at the top of that list every year is the Wisconsin Badgers. The Badgers defense is awesome and they went through their Big-10 schedule holding 17 of the 18 teams on their slate to 70 points or less. Penn State certainly isn't an offensive-oriented team, and I would look for them to try and shorten the game here vs. the talented Badgers. These clubs have played 10 of their last 14 matchups UNDER the total, and the Badgers have been 5-1 to the UNDER as a neutral-court favorite in their last 6. I'll call this one UNDER the total.Game: Alabama State at Texas Southern (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Game Total UNDER 120.5 -110 (risk 5 to win 4.6)
The Texas Southern Tigers took on an aggressive, over-their-heads early schedule that left them in a terrible spot at 2-9 to start the season. The stiff competition paid dividends as they rescued their season with a 17-2 mark going forward. They just completed a 50-45 win over Arkansas Pine Bluff, and teams are going to try to shorten the game against. Alabama State saw 25 of their games this season where they failed to get out of the 60s, and another 16 with them not topping the 60 mark. The Hornets are 4-1 to the UNDER in their last five neutral-site games and the Tigers are 4-0 UNDER in their last four on a neutral site. This one will play like the last for Texas Southern. Take this one to go UNDER the total.Game: Texas A & M at Texas (9:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 126 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Texas Longhorns are a tough, physical team that really likes to "man-up” on defense, and make it tough for opponents to get clean shots. They have held 10 of their last 13 Big-12 opponents to 60 points or less with that defense. Texas A&M had a pair of shots against this team and averaged just 54.5 points per game in the two meetings. A&M brings some awesome defense with them as well and have now played to a 19-7-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 27 following an ATS win. The Longhorns’ defense is providing an UNDER run that is now 18-6. The UNDER is the play in this one

[golden contender]

Friday Highest Rated Big East Tournament System Play + BIG 12 Double System and Triple Angle Dog with bite. NBA 100% Power System Play also up now. Big Friday card. Free NBA Play below. Thursday card goes 3-1

On Friday the free NBA Play is on the Boston Celtics. Game 805 at 7:05 eastern. The Celtic have won 9 of the last 10 in this series, including 5 straight in Philly. Boston is a solid 6-0 with 5 spread wins after allowing 105 or more points this season and 9-3 off a straight up favored loss. In their last game they were caught flat footed at home and were down by over 20 points at home to the Clippers. While they made a nice run to get back into the game they still lost 108-103. Tonight they take on a Philly team that is off a tough loss blowing the lead late in the 4th quarter and losing in over time to Ok. City. Boston should play much better tonight. Look for them to move to 18-8 vs winning teams. Lay the small number with Boston. On Friday I have the Highest Rated Big East Conference Tournament game and a Double system BIG 12 Side. In the NBA Its another 100% Cutting edge Power System. Thursday card goes 3-1. For the free Play take Boston. GC

[Mr. IWS]

OWAD - CUSE
5* - ND
5* - Memphis
5* - Duquense OVER
4* - UK
3* - Richmond
3* - Duquesne

[Mr. IWS]

Ferringo NCAA Hoops:


7-Unit Play. Take #876 Utah State (-14) over San Jose State (9 p.m., Friday, March 11)
Note: This is our Conference Tournament Game of the Year.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #856 Syracuse (-3.5) over Connecticut (7 p.m., Friday, March 11)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #854 UTEP (-5) over Tulsa (6:30 p.m., Friday, March 11)

1-Unit Play. Take #843 Georgia (-1) over Alabama (1 p.m., Friday, March 11)
1-Unit Play. Take #840 Temple (-9.5) over LaSalle (6:30 p.m., Friday, March 11)
1-Unit Play. Take #878 Boise State (-3.5) over New Mexico State (11:59 p.m., Friday, March 11)

0.5-Unit Play. Take #833 Virginia Tech (-1.5) over Florida State (9:20 p.m., Friday, March 11)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #838 Duquesne (-10) over St. Joseph's (2:30 p.m., Friday, March 11)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #852 Memphis (-4) over East Carolina (4 p.m., Friday, March 11)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #848 Florida (-3.5) over Tennessee (7:30 p.m., Friday, March 11)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #842 Richmond (-5) over Rhode Island (9 p.m., Friday, March 11)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #861 Texas A&M (+6.5) over Texas (9:30 p.m., Friday, March 11)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #896 St. Mary's (-14.5) over Weber State (10 p.m., Friday, March 11)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #850 Mississippi State (+5) over Vanderbilt (10 p.m., Friday, March 11)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #874 San Diego State (Pk) over UNLV (11:30 p.m., Friday, March 11)

[Mr. IWS]

kelso utep, utah st, texas, oregon, hampton all 10 units. 5 on st marys

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams

1500* LOCK OF A LIFETIME on NOTRE DAME

[Mr. IWS]

HELMUT

854 UTEP -5.5
871 New Mexico +4

[Mr. IWS]

lem banker
virgina tech 10 units
memphis 10 units
unlv 20 units
long beach st 20 units

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

4 Unit College Miss St +5 over Vandy

4 Unit NBA Det +9 v Okc

[Mr. IWS]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

2 Unit Georgia -1 v. Alabama
3 Unit Fla -3.5 v Tenn
2 Unit Syr -3.5 v UConn
3 Unit ND -1 v Louisville
4 Unit SD St pk v UNLV
5 Unit Boise St -3 v NM St