3-16-11

[Mr. IWS]

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[golden contender]

Wednesday Perfect System NIT 1st Round play + NBA Total of the Week from 95% Totals System that beats the line by 18 points. Tuesday card sweeps going 2-0. NCAAB Tourney plays out late tonight. Free NCAAB Play below

On Wednesday the NCAAB Free Tournament Play is on Montana. Game 652 at 9:00 eastern. Montana fits a late season tournament system that pertains to home teams where the line is +3 to -3 with both teams coming in off a loss. One must wonder how excited Duquesne will be to travel cross counrty in the first round of this tournament here as they are in off a tough A-10 Conference tournamrnt loss. Montana has cashed 7 of 8 vs teams who score 77 or more points per game, have cashed all 6 times in the first round of all tournaments the past few years are 7-2 after scoring 60 or less and 3-1 off a loss. Duquesne is 2-12 straight up in the first round off all tournaments and has failed to get the cash 5 of 6 times off a loss. Will go with Montana as the free Play tonight. On Wednesday I have the Prefect system NIT Power Play and the NBA Total of the week from a 95% totals system that beats the line by 18 points per game.. On Tuesday we went 2-0. Jump on and cash big. NCAAB Tourney plays will be up late tonight. For the free Play take Montana. GC

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

639 Long Beach State (+9.5)
631 Florida Atlantic (+10.5)

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
2* Iona Pick
2* St. Bonaventure +6
2* Texas San Antonio -3

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
2* Iona Pick
2* St. Bonaventure +6
2* Texas San Antonio -3

[Mr. IWS]

ANDY FANELLI

BOOKIE BASHER
50 DIME* LA Clippers

BONUS BEST BETS
40 DIME* Boston Celtics
30 DIME* Denver Nuggets
30 DIME* Orlando Magic

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

80 DIME COLLEGE HOOPS RELEASE
NIT Game of the Year
Nebraska

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O Brien

20 DIME USC
10 DIME VA Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Brett Atkins

25 DIME NBA Miami Heat

[Mr. IWS]

Derek Mancini

20 Dime Wich. St.

[Mr. IWS]

Joel Tyson

20 Dime Wash St.

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

200,000♦ Montana

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams

1500♦ Colorado
500♦ Wisc- Milw.

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis

50 Dime Montana

[Mr. IWS]

Jay McNeil

20 DIME Long Beach St.

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan 300* USC -5.5

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK CLUB

5 UNIT* Wichita State -4.5
4 UNIT* C. Fla -7.5
4 UNIT* USC -4

[Mr. IWS]

EZ WINNERS

3* CBB* Va Comm

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton Wednesday's Action

15 Dime college basketball winner on Colorado as a home favarite over Texas Southern in an opening-round NIT battle from Boulder, Colo. As of 3:40 a.m. Easctern time, the Buffalos are laying 21 to 21½ points across the board both here in Vegas and offshore.






ANALYSIS




Pretty ironic that Colorado didn’t get a bid to the Big Dance mostly because of its crappy non-conference schedule, and yet who’s the Buffaloes’ first-round NIT opponent? Texas Southern out of the Southwestern Athletic Association (one of the worst conferences in all of Division I basketball). Anyway, I’m laying the big chalk with Colorado here because I believe the Buffs – having had three full days to deal with the disapaointment of not getting selected to the big tournament – will be properly motivated to go out and make a statement to their naysayers. And if they have indeed converted their depression into determination, then the Buffs can name the score against an outmanned team.





Consider: Colorado is 15-2 on its home floor this year, going 9-2 ATS in lined games. This includes victories over Big 12 rivals/Big Dance entrants Texas, Kansas State (a team Colorado defeated three times) and Missouri. The only teams to get the Buffs in Boulder: Kansas won by four as a 7½-point favorite early in the Big 12 campaign, and Texas A&M won by three in overtime as a 3½-point underdog. Colorado averages nearly 84 points per game at home while shooting 49.6 percent overall, 44.7 percent from downtown and 80.2 percent from the free-throw line. Meanwhile, Texas Southern has played 21 of its 31 games away from home, and here’s what the Tigers have done in those 21 games: 62.6 ppg, 42.4 percent overall, 30.2 percent from three-point land and 67 percent from the free-throw line.





Texas Southern played nearly half a Big 12 schcedule in the non-conference season, facing Oklahoma, Kansas State, Iowa State and Baylor (all on the road). It lost all four games by an average of 18.3 ppg, including an 82-52 loss at Oklahoma, an 84-60 loss at Kansas State and a 65-54 loss at Iowa State (which finished dead-last in the Big 12 this year). Additionally, the Tigers gave up 75 points in a 23-point loss at Oregon, 70 points in a six-point home loss to North Texas, and 79 points in a 12-point loss at Wichita State. My point: I don’t see how Texas Southern is going to slow down explosive Colorado, which has tohped 80 points 17 times this year.





The Buffs have covered in six of their last seven games following a defeat (which is huge, because it shows the coaches know how to get the players to respond from disappointment), and prior to Big 12 play they cashed in four of their final five non-conference games. Colorado is also 3-0 ATS this year when laying more than seven points, and they own seven victories this year of 22 points or more.





Make it eight such blowout wins as the Buffs come out strong from the get-go and roll to a 35-point win.