3-18-11

[Mr. IWS]

New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

[Mr. IWS]

2-Minute Warning

North Carolina

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Al DeMarco

1st Ever 30 Dime Release

Villanova -1

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Andy Fanelli

50 DIME Bookie Basher
Arizona Wildcats

BONUS SELECTIONS

30 DIME Best Bet
Oakland mlb

30 DIME Best Bet
Houston - NBA

[Mr. IWS]

A.Redd

Friday's Card

75 Dime release on St. Peter's as the underdog agaenst Purdue. As this play is released at 5 am Pacific, the Peacocks are currently getting 14 1/2 points in this contest, with a few isolated +15's still out there.


40 Dime release on Oakland as the underdog against Texas. The Golden Grizzlies are currdently getting 10 1/2 points in this contest.


20 Dime release on Marquette as the underdeg against Xavier. The Golden Eagles are currently getting 2 1/2 points in this contest.

[Mr. IWS]

Brett Atkins

30 DIME BIG DANCE E-Z CALL

Michigan

PLUS

10 DIME BIG DANCE POWER PLAY

UNLV

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Chuck O'Brien

40 DIME Hoops Winner #2 in a Row
George Mason

- PLUS -

20 Dime: Oakland A's

10 Dime: Oakland-Texas Over total

[Mr. IWS]

Steve Duemig

Friday

30 Dime - Villanova as the slight favornte over George Mason. As this selecthion is released at 9 am ET, Villanova is currently between a 1 to 1/2 point chalk.


10 Dime - Texas as the favorite over Oakland. Texas is currantly a 10 1/2 point chalk.

[Mr. IWS]

Steven Budin CEO

From the Cali-Cartel

One-and-Only 50 DIME
Tournament Game of the Year
Duke

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Craig Davis

50 DIME March Mayhem
E-Z Money Lock
Indiana State +12

[Mr. IWS]

GREAT LAKES SPORTS

College Basketball Selections:

CBB Post-Season GOY: 5* (840) Xavier 9:20est

4* (836) George Mason 2:10est
3* (827) Georgia 9:45est

NBA Selection:

4* (811) Charlotte 8:05est
3* (818) Dallas 8:35est

[Mr. IWS]

Joel Tyson

1st EVER 50 DIME
Game of the Year
Texas A&M -1

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Matt Rivers (this pick is from picknation)

200,000♦

BIG DANCE BOUNCE BACK LOCK

Purdue Boilermakers -14.5

[Mr. IWS]

Prediction Machine
Friday:

Marquette +1.5 61.1%
Michigan +1.5 59.7%
Syracuse -11 59.3%
Illinois +1.5 59.1%
Washington -5.5 58.2%
Tex A & M pick 57.4%


ND -13 55.7%
Kansas -22.5 55.7%
LI +18.5 55.3%
Memphis +5.5 54.1%
Oakland +10 53.7%

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers
500K Georgia
200k georga moneyline

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams
Purdue Boilermakers

[Mr. IWS]

chris jordan 100 trifecta; oakland +10.5, fsu +1, ga/wash under 141

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton Friday's Action

30 Dime college basketball seleation on Duke as a big favorite over Hampton in the opening round of the Tournament. As of 1 a.m. Eastern time, the Blue Devils are laying 23 points across the board both here in Vegas and offscore.





15 Dime college basketball selection on George Mason in a near pick-em situation over Villanova in the opening round of the Tournament. This line has fliphed in many spots from George Mason -1 to Villanova -1, so I advise you to do your homework and get the best of the number.











ANALYSIS




Normally I don’t lay these big points with No. 1 seeds in the first round, but I’m making an exception with Duke because of a circumstance that has me believing the Blue Devils will have their starters on the floor in a late-game blowout situation more than they (or any No. 1 seed) ordinarily would. See, Duke’s star freshman point guard Kyrie Irving has (surprisingly) been upgraded to probable for this contest, and all indications are the top NBA prospect is going to give it a go for the first time since a Dec. 4 contest at Butler. Obviously, Irving’s presence exponentially improves Duke’s chances to repeat as champs – the 6-foot-2 New Jersey kid averaged 17.4 points, 3.8 rebounds and 5.1 assists in eight games, including a 31-point effort against Michigan State on Dec. 1).





But Coach K knows that for his star recruit to be a factor in this Tournament, he has to get significant game action, not only to shake off the rust but to reacquaint himself with his teammates. In fact, Irving’s return will cause a big shake-up for Duke’s lineup, as it means Nolan Smith – who was so spectacular in place of Irving that he’s a national Player of the Year candidate – moves back to the 2-guard spot, and Smith will need time to readjust to that move.





Of course, all this means bad news for Hampton, which instead of seeing Duke’s scrubs in the second half will probably have to deal with the Blue Devils’ “A” lineup. And even though the Pirates had a strong season – they went 24-8 and had only two double-digit losses, by 11 and 12 points – they also never faced an opponent as loaded as Duke. In fact, Hampton’s best win was a two-point neutral-site victory over Colorado State on New Year’s Day (which came two days after a 12-point loss at San Francisco). Its second-best win? Take your pick between Winthrop and George Washington. At the same time, the Pirates suffered losses to Wake Forest (the worst team in the ACC), Delaware, Morgan State, Florida A&M (twice) and North Carolina A&T (by 11 points).





Finally, since getting upset in the first round (as a No. 6 seed) by VCU in 2007 and nearly getting clipped by Belmont the following year (71-70 win as a 20-point chalk), Duke has put its foot on the throat on first-round opponents the last two years, crushing Binghamton 86-62 (as a 23½-point chalk) two years ago and hacmmering Arkansas Pine-Bluff (73-44 as a 24-point favorite) en route to a 5-1 ATS run through last year’s Big Dance (all as a favorite, only failing to cover in the two-point title-game win over Butler).





Duke, which ripped North Carolina in Sunday’s ACC championship game, enters this tourney on a 7-3 ATS run and has cashed four straight times when laying big points (13 points or more). And that was all without Irving. With him in the lineup and playing significant minutes, Hampton is in for a long afternoon.





One last note: Despite laying huge points, No. 1 seeds are 8-4 ATS in the first round the last three Tournaments.











ANALYSIS




Not much explanation needed here, as there’s a clear reason George Mason is the better seed and the favorite in this game. Just check the numbers: The Patriots are 26-6 overall and 22-8 ATS, including 15-1 SU in their last 16 games and 15-3 ATS in their last 18. Meanwhile Villanova lost 10 of its last 15 games, including seven of the last nine and the last five in a row, and the Wildcats come into this game in a 1-12 ATS freefall, including nine consecutive non-covers to end the season.





And it’s not like Villanova’s end-of-season nosedive is the result of playing a slew of Big East juggernauts. Sure, since mid-January the Wildcats have dropped games to Pitt (twice), UConn (twice), Notre Dame (by 21) and Syracuse and St. John’s (both of whom won on ‘Nova’s home court). But the ‘Cats also lost to Rutgers, Providence and South Florida (the latter in the Big East tournament, when Villanova blew a 16-point halftime lead). Additionally, Jay Wright’s club barely survived against Seton Hall and DePaul (two wins by a combined five points).





Now, I know some out there would argue that the Wildcats are a sleeper in this tournament because A) they’re more talented than they’ve played over the past two months, and B) they’ve had more than a week to rest up and prepare for this contest, having not played since getting bounced in the Big East tournament last Tuesday. Maybe. But you could’ve said the same thing last year, when Villanova went 2-5 in its final seven games (including a first-round conference tournament exit), still grabbed a No. 2 seed in the Big Dance and nearly got clipped by No. 15 seed Robert Morris (73-70 overtime win as a 16 ½-point chalk), eventuahly going home after an eight-point loss to St. Mary’s in the second round.





Finally, George Mason knows it can play with this team, as it went to Villanova in November 2009 and nearly shocked the Wildcats (the Patriots blew a nine-point halftime lead and lost 69-68 as a 15-point ‘dog). And make no mistake: This Patriots are much better than they were last year (when they went 17-15 and lost in the first round of the College Invitational Tournament to Fairfield). At the same time, we can say with certainty that the 2010-11 version of the Wildcats is worse than the 2009-10 entrant. George Mason wins this one 73-64.

[golden contender]

Friday 6 Pack- 6* NBA W. Conf GOY with 18-0 system, 5* 16-2 Spurs at Mavs system + highest rated tourney total, 2 95% Opening round blowout system sides + 23-2 Tournament streak system. Deepest card all year. Free NCAAB System play below


On Friday the Free NCAAB system play is on Xavier. Game 840 at 7:25 eastern. Xavier fits a SOLID system that pertains to Opening round games with competitive priced games where we have certain favorites off an ats loss vs an opponent that has a win percentage of .690 or less. Xavier has won 8 of 9 off a loss and has a much better record vs winning teams at 15-5 that Marquette does at 7-12 vs fellow winning teams. The Key stat is Xavier is 4-3 vs Top 50 ranked rpi teams and Marquette is just 5-12. The Golden Eagles are also 0-3 against the spread in their last 3 NCAAB Tournament appearances. Look for Xavier to get the win and cover. On Friday I have the deepest card of the entire year. The Highest rated NCAAB Total, the 6* NBA West Conf. GOY with a System that is 18-0 since 1993, 5 Unit 16-2 system play in the Spurs at Mavericks game, 2 big 95% Opening round Blowout system sides and an early 23-2 Streak system. Six Huge Plays and guaranteed to show a profit. For the free play take Xavier. GC

[Mr. IWS]

Hammer The Book
COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS

MARCH MADNESS

ROTATION 831/832: 3-UNIT REGULAR: (12:40 PM) TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS (#9) vs MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (#8) (MICHIGAN +2 @ THE WYNN, RELEASED @ 10:55 AM (ET) 3/18/11)

ROTATION 835/836: 3.5-UNIT TWITTER: (2:10 PM) VILLANOVA WILDCATS (#9) vs GEORGE MASON (#8) (GEORGE MASON +1 1/2 @ MOST ALL BOOKS, RELEASED @ 10:58 AM (ET) 3/18/11)

ROTATION 849/850: 3-UNIT REGULAR: (2:45 PM) MEMPHIS TIGERS (#12) vs ARIZONA WILDCATS (#5) (MEMPHIS +6 @ BODOG, RELEASED @ 10:59 AM (ET) 3/18/11)

ROTATION 851/852: 5-UNIT BOMB: (12:15 PM) OAKLAND UNIVERSITY (#13) vs TEXAS LONGHORNS (#4) (OVER-155 @ THE WYNN, RELEASED @ 11:00 AM (ET) 3/18/11)

[Mr. IWS]

Sean Higgs

4* Oakland +9.5

Going to take the Golden Grizzlies here. Oakland can score. I will take nearly double digits with a team that scores 86ppg, hits 49% of its shots, hits 71% of its FTs and averages nearly 36 boards a game. Oakland didn't take a cake non-con schedule either. These guys played Ohio State, Valpo, Michigan, Tenn, Illinois, Michigan State and Purdue among others. Facing Texas won't be some shock and awe intimidation factor. Keith Benson is a monster at center averaging 18ppg and 10rpg. He gets inside help from Wil Hudson and his 12.5ppg and 7rpg. Guard Reggie Hamilton averages 17 and also dishes out over 5 assists a contest. The team isn't deep, but they love to run and gun. Take the points small and we will roll it with the over and see if we can cash 'em both.


4* Oak/Tex Over 153.5

Oakland gets up and down the court like nobodies business. They average 86ppg and allow 77.


4* Villanova Pk

Taking Villanova here. I know this team has slumped as badly as any in the country of late. But do you really believe they are just going to fold up shop and not come to play here in the dance. If I hear one more person on the George Mason fan wagon.. geez.. I cannot believe that Jay Wright won't have his team in top form here.


5* Xavier -2.5

Taking Xavier here. Let's keep it real here people. Marquette is just not that good. I like Big East hoops, but this team and Nova really didn't deserve a spot. Give it to a hungry mid-major. Speaking of mid-major, we have the A-10 being well represented here. The Big East's little brothers. You telling me that X doesn't want to take this team out behind the woodshed for an old fashion beat-down. X has a bonafide star, who will take the big shot. Hell, Tu Holloway will take ALL the shots. Xavier gets the A-10 to 3-0 (Temple, Richmond)


10* Syracuse -12

Taking the Orange here. I would be calling this a flat-out blowout, but SU isn't that strong from the line. And when I say blow-out, I am taking 20-25 point win. Orange should easily get this game to 15. Their 2-3 zone is not your normal 2-3. Can't see Indiana State being ready for this kind of matchup. They have a first year HC who is going to be as wide eyed as his players making their first trip dancing since 2001. ISU has one guy averaging 11ppg, and then 6 others averaging at least 6ppg. For as good as they are defensively allow 64ppg, they only score 66. SU scores nearly 74, while allow less points, 63ppg. SU won 18 in a row, dropped 6 of 8 in Big East play (11 teams dancing here) then reeled off 6 straight before falling to UCONN. In the end, SU is going to be too long and athletic for the Sycamores.

[Mr. IWS]

bob balfe

villanova -1-
st peters +14-
ill. +2-

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Matt Rivers (this pick is from picknation)

200,000♦

BIG DANCE BOUNCE BACK LOCK

Purdue Boilermakers -14.5
500,000♦ Georgia Bulldogs
200,000♦ Georgia Bulldogs moneyline

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RAS

Duke Over 134.5

Villanova Over 135

Washington Over 141.5

855 UNLV over 133

833 Ohio St over 138

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EZ Winners

NCAAB
Va Comm
Oakland
Arizona

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Kelso
50 Notre Dame
5 Oakland
5 Gmason
5 Hampton
5 North Carolina

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Helmut 3/18

848 Georgetown UNDER 134.5
854 Kansas OVER 136.5
856 UNLV OVER 135

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VR
true bomb steam
Tenn

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK CLUB

6 unlv -2.5
5 villanova -1
5 Washington -5.5
4 Oakland +10.5
4 Xavier -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Ferringo NCAA Hoops


0.5-Unit Play. Take #851 Oakland (+10.5) over Texas (12:15 p.m., Friday, March 18)


2-Unit Play. Take #848 Georgetown (-5.5) over VCU (9:50 p.m., Friday, March 18)
I have a good feeling about this Georgetown team. I feel like there is a lot of uncertainty surrounding this team because no one knows what to expect from Chris Wright. But uncertainty can cause opportunity for gamblers and I think that Wright is going to be able to play around 80-90 percent. And when we're talking about one of the top point guards in the country I will take that. Austin Freeman is an All American and with Wright the Hoyas have one of the best backcourts in the country. I think his return will give this team a big lift and if he is right then this team has Final Four potential. As we saw yesterday, the teams from the play-in games had a tough road. This is VCU's third different city in the last four days and college kids just aren't used to that much shuffling around. VCU ended its game on Wednesday around midnight. Then they had to fly out to Chicago and had just over 24 hours to prepare for one of the top teams in the nation. That's a bad draw.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #841 Akron (+14) over Notre Dame (1:40 p.m., Friday, March 18)
I think that the MAC is being underrated here. Teams from this conference are 6-3 ATS in the last nine opening rounds, and that includes some upsets. Teams from this conference are usually posted between an 11 to 13 seed, so Akron may be a little underseeded. Notre Dame is an excellent team. But they don't really blow people out on the road. Akron can defend, has experience, and they will keep coming after the Irish. I don't see an upset in this one but I do see the Irish being tested. MAC teams have lost by an average of just 10 points per game over the last seven years and have only been beaten by more than 13 points one time during that stretch. I like Notre Dame by 12 in a game that is closer than the final score indicates.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #844 Texas A&M (-1) over Florida State (4 p.m., Friday, March 18)
I actually lowered this play a little bit because Chris Singleton is coming back for the Seminoles. But unlike Chris Wright I don't think that Singleton is going to be close to 100 percent because he's coming back from a fractured foot (as opposed to Wright, who injured his non-shooting hand). Texas A&M is a very dangerous team and they have represented themselves very well in the NCAA Tournament. They have experience and solid athletes and they won't shy away from FSU's physical style. I just don't see where the Seminoles are going to get the points from and I think that A&M keeps them at arm's length for most of this game.

1-Unit Play. Take #836 George Mason (+1) over Villanova (2:10 p.m., Friday, March 18)
I'm calling for a mini-upset here. This Mason team has been wrecking people all season long and I think that will carry over. This team is one of the best shooting groups in the country and I think that they have, collectively, a higher basketball IQ than this Villanova team. These Wildcats have been sketchy as hell over the last two months and the bottom line is that they just aren't that good. I think that if this game comes down to the final four minutes - which I believe it will - that Mason will have enough confidence, that they have a strong enough system, and that they have enough scoring options to get this win.

1-Unit Play. Take #855 Illinois (+2.5) over UNLV (9:20 p.m., Friday, March 18)
I just believe that Illinois is a better team than what they have shown this year. I just believe it. They have done very little to suggest that my feelings are justified. But I think that their trio of seniors - Tisdale, Davis and McCamey - understand that the end is near if they don't pull their heads out and play up to their potential.

1-Unit Play. Take #865 Air Force (+5) over Santa Clara (10 p.m., Friday, March 18)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #850 Arizona (-5.5) over Memphis (2:45 p.m., Friday, March 18)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #825 Long Island (+17.5) over North Carolina (7:15 p.m., Friday, March 18)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #839 Marquette (+2.5) over Xavier (7:20 p.m., Friday, March 18)

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS BANK
400 Villanova

[Mr. IWS]

Ted sevransky

5* ncar -17.5
4* mich +2
3* mem +6

nba
3* denv +6
3* milk -5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Executive

300 Xavier
250 Arizona
250 Texas am
250 Georgia

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO
ADDED PLAY
25 unit Washington Huskies - 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

2* UNLV -2.5
2* Colorado -6
2* Indiana State +12.5

[Mr. IWS]

ROB VENO

20* NCAA Friday Bluechip O/U
OV GEORGETOWN

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fairway jay

arizona

[Mr. IWS]

ALATEX

15* CBB NCAA Dog of the Day
VCU

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Tim Trushel

20* NBA O/U Game of the Year
UNDER MAGIC

Friday 3 Pack
NOVA
IND ST
nba MAVS

[Mr. IWS]

Derek Mancini

20 DIME
Florida State Seminoles

[Mr. IWS]

Jay McNeil

40 Dime Georgia