Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley bets

[Thewisemann]

Daley 1u to win 1.7u
Kawajiri 1u to win 1.8u
Mousasi 1.94u to win .61u

[Thewisemann]

Parlay,
Mousasi, Aoki 1.25u to win 1.01u
Mousasi, Aoki, Askren .5u to win .58u

[Ludo]

2u to win 1u on Diaz

[Thewisemann]

added mixed parlay,
Aoki, Mousasi, Askren, Hieron .3u to win .52u

[MMA_scientist]

5u to win 1.06u "Not Daley by submission/Not Kawajiri inside distance/Not Beerbohm by submission"

.2u to win 1u on Diaz/Melendez/Mousasi/Takaya/Duarte

[Mr. IWS]

5u to win 1.06u "Not Daley by submission/Not Kawajiri inside distance/Not Beerbohm by submission"


All you need on that is the Kawajiri one, because there is no fuckin way Daley and Beebohm are gonna get a sub. That was a nice find.

[MMA_scientist]

^^ yeah, that is why it is only 5u... I realize it is not a lock. Had I been able to find another "lock" I would have added it to the magic parlay bankroll which would have made it a 12u bet.

[poopoo333]

inb4beerbohmgetsamckenzietine

[MMA_scientist]

^ no.

[edman5555]

Naw, he will probably win by standing kimura.

[MMA_scientist]

I bet on Beerbohm as part of my parlay, but he is going to get hustled by Aoki in the grappling department. I actually did think about the guillotine, but Beerbohm has only gotten that on cans, and Aoki has never been subbed. That said, it would be funny if Beerbohm put Aoki to sleep. I can't stand Aoki and I would cheer if it happened, despite the fact that it costed me 5u. But it isn't going to happen.

[Luke]

5u to win 1.06u "Not Daley by submission/Not Kawajiri inside distance/Not Beerbohm by submission"

.2u to win 1u on Diaz/Melendez/Mousasi/Takaya/Duarte

Serious question , why Kawajiri not inside the distance? Thats the only way I see him beating Gilbert. If it goes to a decision Melendez has won imo

[bloydie]

1.5u - Ben Askren (1.2)
.5u - Mousasi (1.2)/ Askren (1.2)
3u - Mousasi (1.2)
0.5u - Hieron (1.25) / Askren (1.2)
0.25u - Daley by KO (3.5)

[MMA_scientist]

Serious question , why Kawajiri not inside the distance? Thats the only way I see him beating Gilbert. If it goes to a decision Melendez has won imo

Because I don't see how he can stop Melendez. He doesn't have KO power on his feet, and he sure as hell isn't going to submit Melendez. So that leaves just the GNP TKO stoppage. But Gil can scramble and is not going to just get pinned down and pounded on. I just don't see it happening. I think his bet shot at winning is by slighty more top control decision win, similar to how he beat Thompson. Still, it is not a lock, I recognize that. It definitely could happen. But I am willing to pay -500 on it.

[MMA_scientist]

inbfzaksaysnochatter

[sbjj]

1 unit on Aoki @ -200

1 unit on Diaz inside the distance @ +120

[Mr. IWS]

inbfzaksaysnochatter

That is a battle I cannot win. Carry on.

[Luke]

That is a battle I cannot win. Carry on.


LOL

[Luke]

Because I don't see how he can stop Melendez. He doesn't have KO power on his feet, and he sure as hell isn't going to submit Melendez. So that leaves just the GNP TKO stoppage. But Gil can scramble and is not going to just get pinned down and pounded on. I just don't see it happening. I think his bet shot at winning is by slighty more top control decision win, similar to how he beat Thompson. Still, it is not a lock, I recognize that. It definitely could happen. But I am willing to pay -500 on it.

Do you see him winning a decision because I dont

[MMA_scientist]

Do you see him winning a decision because I dont

No, I think Melendez will win a decision.

[Luke]

No, I think Melendez will win a decision.


Well so do I .I think my point is why not just put Melendez -230 in a parlay instead Kawajiri not instead the distance at -650?

[Luke]

Nevermind ,ignore me . I probably dont know what I'm talking about anyway

[MMA_scientist]

Well so do I .I think my point is why not just put Melendez -230 in a parlay instead Kawajiri not instead the distance at -650?

Because I want to win the bet... I feel that Melendez is overpriced, I would put him at about -180. But more than that, I just do not think Kawajiri has the tools to actually stop Melendez, but I do think he can win a decision- so I put him at about -180 and almost all of that is via decision from my perspective. It would just be a different bet, higher reward, higher risk. I like the bet I made better in terms of risk/reward.

[Svino]

Aoki 3.3u to win 1.5u

[High5]

Diaz 2u to win 1.06
Mousasi 8u to win 2.86u
Takaya 5.05u to win 2.21u
Aoki by submission 1u to win 1.33

IF bet on 5d's.....if Takaya wins, 4.71u will be rolled into the bet of Mousasi/Melendez parlay to win 3.3u

[SPX]

Mousasi 8u to win 2.86u


::thumbdown::

[Vandelay]

mousasi 2.2 to win .5

mousasi, askren, hieron, not daley by sub, not beerbohm by sub 1u to win .96

[poopoo333]

5u to win 2.04u on Hiroyuki Takaya
0.5u to win 3.3u on Jardine by decision
0.5u to win 1u on Lyle Beerbohm
0.44u to win 1u on Tatsuya Kawajiri
1u to win 2.2u on Paul Daley


0.25u to win 0.9u on Takaya/Mousasi/Beerbohm/Melendez/Diaz

[Ludo]

2u to win 1u on Diaz

Adding .5u to win 1.1u on Kawajiri

[Dr_Ngo]

Melendez 4.4 U to win 2U
Diaz 2.2 U to win 1U

Lets go Cesar Gracie!

[Natural Born Thriller]

mousasi 4.4 to win 1

[SPX]

Diaz: 5u to win 2.16u
Kawajiri: .4u to win 1u
Takaya: 1.7u to win .67u
KJ (loyalty bet): .25u to win 1u

Parlay: Diaz-Melendez-Mousasi-Takaya-Askren-Chandler-Hieron: .5u to win 2.8u

[High5]

Peralta 1u to win 2.5u

Hedging, I still think Takaya takes this.....just not sure it's a 5u bet. IF bet stays the same

[edman5555]

.25u to win 4.175u
Pending 4/9/11 11:30pm Strikeforce Fighting 1001 Paul Daley/Nick Diaz Over 2½ -125*
Pending 4/9/11 10:00pm Strikeforce Fighting 1301 Keith Jardine/Gegard Mousasi Over 1½ -112*
Pending 4/9/11 10:00pm Bellator Fighting 2102 Ben Askren -550* vs Nick Thompson
Pending 4/9/11 10:30pm Props Fighting 1207 Beerbohm wins by 3 round decision +342* vs Not Beerbohm by 3 round decision

78025695-1 4/9/11 9:13pm 1u to win 1.15u Pending 3 Team Parlay
Pending 4/9/11 11:30pm Strikeforce Fighting 1002 Nick Diaz -200* vs Paul Daley
Pending 4/9/11 10:00pm Strikeforce Fighting 1302 Gegard Mousasi -465* vs Keith Jardine
Pending 4/9/11 10:00pm Bellator Fighting 2102 Ben Askren -550* vs Nick Thompson

78025488-1 4/9/11 9:11pm 1u to win 3u Pending 3 Team Parlay
Pending 4/9/11 11:30pm Strikeforce Fighting 1001 Paul Daley/Nick Diaz Over 2½ -125*
Pending 4/9/11 10:00pm Strikeforce Fighting 1301 Keith Jardine/Gegard Mousasi Over 1½ -112*
Pending 4/9/11 10:00pm

[poopoo333]

^^you accidentally erased your 3rd bet on the 3rd parlay

[High5]

Parlay Melendez / Mousasi 4u to win 2.76u

My IF parlay was cancelled when Takaya lost.

[Luke]

Melendez -230 5 to win 2.17 units

[poopoo333]

2.33u to win 1.79u on Melendez/Kawajiri go distance

[Thewisemann]

since mousasi was cancelled in all my parlays, im + 1.7u in parlays, -2u in straight bets

[High5]

Parlay Melendez / Mousasi 4u to win 2.76u

My IF parlay was cancelled when Takaya lost.

5d's paid me for this parlay!?!? I thought it would be cancelled and considered a push.... Just like my straight up Mousasi bet was. Not complaining....just surprised.

[Luke]

Because I want to win the bet... I feel that Melendez is overpriced, I would put him at about -180. But more than that, I just do not think Kawajiri has the tools to actually stop Melendez, but I do think he can win a decision- so I put him at about -180 and almost all of that is via decision from my perspective. It would just be a different bet, higher reward, higher risk. I like the bet I made better in terms of risk/reward.


Clearly Melendez was over priced . Winning 1 unit is always better than winning 2.5

[Thewisemann]

5d's paid me for this parlay!?!? I thought it would be cancelled and considered a push.... Just like my straight up Mousasi bet was. Not complaining....just surprised.

they should have paid you for 4u on melendez, it will be listed as a win though, figure your balance, and you will probably see that they didnt pay you the winnings of the parlay

[MMA_scientist]

Clearly Melendez was over priced . Winning 1 unit is always better than winning 2.5

stfu homo

[Luke]

stfu homo


haha I was just seeing it you'd respond

[High5]

they should have paid you for 4u on melendez, it will be listed as a win though, figure your balance, and you will probably see that they didnt pay you the winnings of the parlay

78043952 4/9/11 11:08pm $137.74 $304.51 Wager Won 78037168-1 $100.00 $69.04 Win 2 Team Parlay
Win 4/9/11 11:00pm Strikeforce Fighting 1102 Gilbert Melendez -265* vs Tatsuya Kawajiri
Cancelled 4/9/11 10:00pm Strikeforce Fighting 1302 Gegard Mousasi -440* vs Keith Jardine

78043947 4/9/11 11:08pm $137.74 $166.77 Wager Won 78033026-1 $100.00 $69.04 Win 2 Team Parlay
Win 4/9/11 11:00pm Strikeforce Fighting 1102 Gilbert Melendez -265* vs Tatsuya Kawajiri
Cancelled 4/9/11 10:00pm Strikeforce Fighting 1302 Gegard Mousasi -440* vs Keith Jardine

[Luke]

^^^^^^^^^^withdraw ,run ,fast

[Vandelay]

I also had .75 to win .3 on not morales inside distance, not jardine inside distance, not daley by sub, not beerbohm by sub, and not kawajiri inside distance.

And .75 to win 1.275 on daley.

Ended up breaking even basically.