5-3-11

[Mr. IWS]

New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

[Mr. IWS]

Ben Burns (NBA)

10* Boston at Miami U182.5
9* Mem At OKC U198

[Mr. IWS]

Brandon Lang

20 Dime NBA: Boston +5.5 over Miami
10 Dime MLB: Boston -1.5 (+140) over LA Angels
Free Play: Memphis +pts over Oklahoma City

[Mr. IWS]

wayne root

Millionaires: Boston Celtics

Billionaires: OKC Thunder

[Mr. IWS]

DR BOB SPORTS

Strong Opinion
Boston (+5) over MIAMI
04:05 PM Pacific - Rotation 707
Miami had a solid 9 point win in game 1, but Boston applies to a very good 41-11-2 ATS playoff bounce-back situation that is 16-3-1 ATS when applying to a game 2. Boston is also better with Jermaine O’Neal at center most of the time instead of Krstic but my ratings favor the Heat by 6 points even after adjusting for Boston being the team off the loss. The line is close to being fair, but I’ll pass on making the Celtics a Best Bet unless the line goes up. I’ll consider Boston a Strong Opinion at +5 points or more and I’d make the Celtics a 2-Star Best Bet at +6 or more. I also lean Under (181 ½), as game 1 only went over by 7 points despite the two teams combining to make 49% of their 3-point attempts (the game would have gone under if the teams shot a 42% or less from 3-point range, which is likely going forward).
Opinion
Under (197 ½) – Memphis at OKLAHOMA CITY (-6 ½)
06:35 PM Pacific - Rotation 710
Memphis is now 23-5 ATS this season as an underdog of more than 3 points with leading scorer Zach Randolph in the lineup, but Oklahoma City is in a favorable situation following their 13 point home loss in game 1. I have no opinion on the side in this game but I’d lean with Memphis if the line gets to +7 points or more.

Game 1 was much higher scoring than anticipated, but that’s not because of a faster pace, as each team had just 1 more possession than expected. The teams simply were more efficient scoring in game 1 than projected, but that hot shooting is not likely to continue. If the game is at the projected pace then I get a predicted total of 193 points and I’d get 195 ½ points if they play at the same pace as they did in game 1. I’ll lean Under 197 points or higher.

[Mr. IWS]

Ben Burns (The rest of Burns card)

10* OKC -6.5
8* TB -165
7* SD -155
Free Play Vancouver -120