5-8-11

[Mr. IWS]

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[Mr. IWS]

Rickenbach
MLB Over Easy - Twins over
10* Total Dominator - Royals over

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG (MLB)
1 OF 7

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 7 +100

R. A. Dickey hasn't been spectacular thus far but he's looking forward to facing a Dodgers lineup that averages just 3.6 runs per game. LA is also getting only 3.3 runs per game vs. RHP this season. Backing up Dickey is a very good Mets bullpen that has kicked out a 3.36 ERA thus far. Clayton Kershaw owns a 3.37 ERA, allowing just 17 earned runs (to 45 strikeouts) in 45 and a third. Over the past two seasons, the Mets are 50-31 to the UNDER vs. poor-power teams like Los Angeles (those averaging under 1 home run per game). The Dogers are 5-1 UNDER in their last six vs. a winning team and 9-2-1 UNDER in their last 12 on the road.
Take the UNDER in this game.

[golden contender]

Sunday NBA Playoff Total Of the Year has 18-1 Totals system + 92% MLB Afternoon totals system. NBA Cashed big with Boston and MLB Remains hot. Free MLB Totals system below.

On Sunday the MLB Free Play is on the Over in the Arizona at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 911/912 at 4:05 eastern. This game fits a totals system that has cashed 10 of 12 times with an average 11 runs per game. Arizona has gone over in 4 of 5 games as a road dog from +100 to +125. They have played over in 9 of 11 day games, while averaging 5 runs per game. In the Series 12 of the last 18 have played over between these 2 here in San Diego. Joe Saunders goes for Arizona. In his starts vs The Padres 3 of 4 have flown over. He has a 5.09 era over his last 3 starts. The Padres have A. Harang on the mound today and he has been terrible over his last few starts with a 7.41 era. Look for this one to go over the total. On Sunday I have the 18-1 NBA Playoff Total of the Year and a Solid 92% Totals Play in MLB. NBA Cashed big with the Celtics and Bases remains hot For the free Play take the over 7 runs in the Arizona at San Diego game.


O/U: 10-2-0 (3.5 rpg)


Runs Hits Errors Walks Strike Outs Grounders Fly Balls Team left on base
Team: 6.6 10.2 0.67 3.9 5.1 10.3 8.5 7.0
Opp: 4.4

[Mr. IWS]

DAVID MALINSKY

4* SAN DIEGO / ARIZONA UNDER 7.5

We have been picking on Joe Saunders a lot in the early part of this season, noting his lack of confidence in working with the roof open at Chase Field, one of the worst settings in the Major Leagues for his style of pitching. But that ugly 0-2/7.59 performance at home now sets us up for excellent value the other way, as he moves to a ball park that is the best for his style, and a Padre lineup that may well be the best for anybody’s style.

The current Saunders ERA is more than a full run above his career allowance, and in reality it has almost all been about his new “home” mound – on the road it has been a 2.25 allowance through two starts, with only seven Hits allowed over those 12 IP. He will relish the chance to step way down in class against an offense that has been shut out a remarkable eight times already, and held to one or two runs on eight other occasions. That makes it two or less in nearly half (16 of 33) of all games to date.

Meanwhile we also catch Aaron Harang in a prime bounce-back spot here, after he struggled to find his mechanics in the first inning against Pittsburgh in his last outing, getting tagged for two-run homers from Garrett Jones and Chris Snyder, before settling down after that. Harang gets the break of facing the Diamondbacks without Stephen Drew, and that exacerbates issues for a team that was already lacking depth in the middle IF with Willie Bloomquist on the DL. It means a likely start for Josh Wilson at SS, which is fine for the defense behind Saunders, but a huge drop in punch at the plate. And off of last night’s Arizona blowout on this diamond all key bullpen arms are rested and ready, so the latter stages are in good hands.