6-3-11

[Mr. IWS]

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[Mr. IWS]

RAS (WNBA)

601 - Minn Lynx +4 (CRIS, Greek, 5d, Pinn, others)

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner
250* Over 7.5 Brewers/Marlins
100* Orioles -130
50* Reds -130

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan:

300 run line trifecta:

red sox +115 (buchholz must pitch)

DBacks + 110

Angels + 130 (weaver must pitch)

[Mr. IWS]

401 k sports - matt dennehy


Thurs recap 1-1 -0.2 units
2* Mavs/Heat over 186.5(win)
2* STL/SF under 8.5(loss)

The rookie for the Cardinals pitched much better than his line suggested. He was let down by his defense big time. Theriot bobbled a sure double play ball in the 5th inn and it led to the 1st 2 SF runs. Then to lead off the 6th , the Center Fielder and left fielder couldn't decide who wanted to catch a fly ball that fell in between them. Finally when Lynn got taken out he left 2 runners on base w/2 outs and the pen let those runners score. That is a tough outing for a rookie. I am glad the bullpens were awful & in the end those runs didn't matter.

The heat/Mavs total was closer than I thought it would be, but it really was never in doubt. I am just glad to see the Mavs comeback and stick it to the heat for celebrating.

Fri plays

2* Cleveland +105 over Texas(7pm) - In Texas they are already talking about finding a way to limit the innings on Ogando's arm. All b/c he had his 1st bad outing of the year last time out. That kind of talk usually happens only once a pitcher shows signs of a slowdown in arm speed or a drop in MPH on a fastball. The Rangers pen was used heavily last night, so Ogando will be leaned on to last at least 6 or 7. Masterson is also bouncing back from a tough effort last time out. Masterson has had success vs these hitters. They are just a combined 14-55 lifetime vs Masterson w/just 2 HR and 6 RBI in basically 2 games worth of innings.

2* LA Dodgers +115 over Cincy(7pm) - LA has had their way w/Cincy the last 6 years. They are 35-16 vs the Reds in the last 51 games. Kuroda is 3-0 vs the reds over the L2 years. The dodgers pen, which has been their achilles heel this year, is pitching much better now. This will support their offense, which is much better than originally thought. Arroyo hasn't had much success vs the Dodger hitters:
Gwynn 4-6
Blake 6-16
Loney 8-22
Kemp 6-17
Gibbons 5-15
Miles 10-31
Furcal 9-28
Ethier 8-25
That is a lot of guys with significant AB's who are hitting over .300 vs Arroyo. Bronson has struggled now his L4 starts w/13.5 ERA.

2* White sox -135over Detroit(8pm)- Mark Buerhle has had a ton of success vs the Tigers over his career. He has a career win % of 64%. The key has been his ability to hold down the Big Tiger bats over the years. Cabrera is just 2-20 off Mark B, Boesch is just 1-8, Inge 14-60, and while he isn't playing tonight Ordonez was just 6-39 off Buerhle. Keep those guys from doing damage and watch the wins pile up. Andrew Oliver is going through a learning curve right now and looks like he may be one of those AAAA pitchers right now, a guy who is too good for the minors but isn't ready for the big show yet. Homer Bailey and Charlie Morton were those type of pitchers that come to mind like Oliver. With the way the White sox played the redsox tough, they certainly look poised to break out.

[Mr. IWS]

PITTVIPER SPORTS

ROT# 917- 7:05pm EST: Texas Rangers -105
Risk 3 units to win 2.85 units

ROT# 919- 7:05pm EST: Toronto Blue Jays +123
Risk 2 units to win 2.46 units

ROT# 907- 7:10pm EST: Milwaukee/Florida OVER 7.5 -125
Risk 2.5 units to win 2 units

ROT# 909- 8:15pm EST: Chicago Cubs/ St. Louis OVER 7.5 -120
Risk 2.5 units to win 2.08 units

ROT# 913 - 10:05 pm EST: Houston Astros +110
Risk 2 units to win 2.2 units

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Essler | MLB Total
dime bet 914 SDP / 913 HOU Over 6.5 Betjamaica

Analysis: Not sure, after last night, that I care what lineup the Padres put out or what park they play in. BOTH bullpens were used up and neither starter is terribly capable of shutting down the other team. This total is a reflection of Petco and the two teams offenses and at least a run off.

They way the Astros have been stroking the ball, Moseley shouldn't be able to stop them. They've seen a fair bit of him, and collectively hit well. What I do expect is some regression from an earlier game this year at Houston where he only allowed one run on seven hits against the Astros.

Happ has thrown a ton of pitches, and has allowed a TON of flyball outs. With only one jack in the game last night, I have to believe that might change tonight, even though the Padres typically don't fare well against LHP.

And San Diego committed three errors last night, and Houston his usually good for an unearned run or two.

Just don't see much that keeps this from being a 3-3 game at some point, meaning a win for the good guys.

[Mr. IWS]

JEFF BENTON 75 DIME PLAY ON NY METS

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO

15 UNIT* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies -150 ML
25 UNIT* MLB* Kansas City Royals -150 ML

[Mr. IWS]

goodfella

3* Kansas City ML