6-12-11

[Mr. IWS]

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[Mr. IWS]

BEN BURNS

*10 PERSONAL FAVORITE
Miami Heat

*10 O/U BEST BET
Miami Heat/Dallas Mavericks UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

INDIAN COWBOY

4 UNIT* NBA* Miami Heat

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence POD

3 UNIT* MLB* Seattle Mariners ML

We recommend a 3-unit play on Seattle.

[Mr. IWS]

chris jordan:

1,000 Dallas +5

300 mets listed pitchers (capuno and correia)

300 nationals listed pitchers (zimmerman and stauffer)

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Essler | MLB Money Line

dime bet 978 MIN (+110) Bookmaker.com vs 977 TEX

Analysis: Classic case of the hot team against the cold team with the now-under rated pitcher in Liriano, and you guys know I love home underdogs. I know that Morneau isn't playing, but he didn't play yesterday, either. Harrison is streaky as hell, and he gave up eight hits in four innings last time out, and apparently he has a kidney stone that hasn't passed. Now that may no be a physical thing, if he's obviously taking the mound, but it has to be in his mind somewhere, I would think.

The Twins are simply playing "Twins" baseball again, and actually have a better winning percentage versus left handed starters than right handed starters. And of late their bullpen has been awesome, with an ERA of well under 2.00 the last week. On the other side, the Texas bullpen has an ERA over 5.00 the last week, and Harrison is still listed as "probable". I probably wouldn't list the pitchers, as anyone that might start.

Texas is simply not the same team away from home, and have lost four of six. The Twins can win their first series in some time today, and I expect that Liriano will pitch well, as his pitch count is down and he's had three straight starts where he didn't allow more than two earned runs. And I don't see anyone (Daivd Murphy is 4-6) up and down the Ranger lineup that's brutalized him.

And this line is just begging for Texas money on the perception that Texas is just that much better and will score two touchdowns. I suppose they well could do that, but as always, unless and until they do I am going to bet on "what have you done for me lately", and that clearly means a home underdog that's playing well get my money. Sometimes it really can be that simple. Let's hope these guys get the memo.

[Mr. IWS]

Steve Budin

NEW YORK CREW

50 Dime Winner Dallas Mavs Game 6 Side

[Mr. IWS]

Al Demarco

2nd Biggest NBA Play of my Career

15 Dime Release Mavs

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'brien
NBA FINALS BONUS

15 Dime: Mavs

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

60 DIME NBA Finals Slam Dunk

Mavericks

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams

PAY-AFTER-YOU-WIN

500♦ Game 6 Lock Total

Dallas Mavs

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Valentino

60 DIME NBA FINALS WINNER #2 IN A ROW

Mavericks

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

500,000♦ NBA Finals

GOY Winner # 2 in a Row

Dallas Mavs

[Mr. IWS]

Derek Mancini

25 DIME Playoff Winner

# 11 OF 12

Heat

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

10TH EVER 50 DIME

NBA RELEASE OF MY CAREER

Heat

[Mr. IWS]

RICKENBACH

8* White Sox Over
10* Padres Over

[Mr. IWS]

benton has a 15 dime on the YANKEES in addition to the 60 dime on MAVS

[Mr. IWS]

David Malinsky

4* Rangers / Twins Over 7.5

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG (MLB)

Game: Arizona at Florida (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Florida +110 (moneyline)

Florida has had a run of bad luck, but they are not a bad team. During that eight game skid that just ended, the Marlins lost seven games by one run! The offense has busted out since Arizona showed up, scoring 11 runs in two games. The Diamondbacks are a long way from home and have never faced Florida's young starter southpaw Brad Hand (1.50 ERA). Just up from the minors, the kid has impressed. Hand, who will be making his second major-league start, became only the second player since 1900 to take a loss while going at least six innings and giving up one hit or fewer in his major-league debut as a starter. So he has above average stuff, fanning six in six innings with only one walk and one hit allowed. Arizona plays its best baseball at home, as they have a losing road mark. The Diamondbacks are 17-40 in their last 57 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 16-42 in their last 58 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Starter Daniel Hudson has been strong at home, but is 2-3
on the road with a 4.50 ERA. In fact, the Diamondbacks are 2-5 in Hudson's last seven road starts. Florida has already faced Hudson this season and had no trouble with him (5.14 ERA) getting 10 hits in seven innings. That's no surprise, as Hudson has surrendered 87 hits over 86 innings this year, making this a great spot for the home team.
Play the Marlins!

[Mr. IWS]

MATT FARGO

10* NBA* Miami Heat-Dallas Mavericks UNDER 187
9* NBA* Miami Heat -6