Bellator 47

[Vandelay]

July 23rd

Featherweight Championship bout: Joe Warren vs. Patricio Freire
Featherweight Semifinal bout: Pat Curran vs. Ronnie Mann
Featherweight Semifinal bout: Marlon Sandro vs. Nazareno Malegarie
Bantamweight bout: Adrian Wooley vs. David Harris

I think this is the beginning of the end for Warren. I'm goin to unload on freire here as long as his line is under -150. Sandro's line will probably be upwards of -250 and I think Curran beats mann.

[poopoo333]

I don't think Sandro should be -250 against Nazareno but then again I suck at line predictions

[edman5555]

patricio will be the underdog against Freiere.

[poopoo333]

patricio will be the underdog against Freiere.

Makes sense.

[edman5555]

I don't know if he wins though...Warren beat him once.

[Vandelay]

patricio will be the underdog against Freiere.

uh what?

[poopoo333]

BOL!!!

[edman5555]

oops pat will be the udog to warren. warren will be the fav

[Vandelay]

you realize that the first fight was a pickem. he was a slight fave against soto and a large fav vs his last opponent. All 3 fights he looked bad in. The line actually might be above -150 on freire

[poopoo333]

I would take Warren as an underdog for sure. He finds a way to win in every fight.

[edman5555]

i doubt warren will open as a dog..if he does he may get bet to be a fav though.

[MMA_scientist]

I think Friere will be the favorite, and I think Friere will win.

I would take Sandro against Nazareno. Naz has some good bjj, but Sandro is too well rounded. He should be able to survive the ground, and that is Mini Maia's only path to victory.

[poopoo333]

Patricio "Pitbull" Freire out of Bellator 47 with broken hand, title fight to be rebooked for fall (http://mmajunkie.com/news/24277/patricio-pitbull-freire-out-of-bellator-47-with-broken-hand-title-fight-to-be-rebooked-for-fall.mma)

[SPX]

That's fucking gay. I was really looking forward to this fight. I also thought Freire was going to beat Warren and was hoping to get him as a dog.

[Luke]

Patricio "Pitbull" Freire out of Bellator 47 with broken hand, title fight to be rebooked for fall (http://mmajunkie.com/news/24277/patricio-pitbull-freire-out-of-bellator-47-with-broken-hand-title-fight-to-be-rebooked-for-fall.mma)


Well that blows.........I figured the line would be close to a pick , something like:

Patricio -115
Freiere -115

[Vandelay]

Son of a bitch. Freire coulda won that fight with a broken hand

[poopoo333]

MAIN CARD

Nazareno Malegarie vs. Marlon Sandro (featherweight-tourney semifinals)
Pat Curran vs. Ronnie Mann (featherweight-tourney semifinals)
Neil Grove vs. Zak Jensen
Chris Horodecki vs. Chris Saunders

PRELIMINARY CARD


Daniel Langbeen vs. Will Romero
Bryan Goldsby vs. Bo Harris
Daron Cruickshank vs. Sergej Juskevic
Syd Barnier vs. Denis Puric

[poopoo333]

http://www.bestfightodds.com/events/421.png (http://www.bestfightodds.com)

[SPX]

Hmm. . .

Sandro is too high, I think.

And I favor Curran, but Ronnie Mann has looked pretty good so I'm hesitant to bet against him.

[poopoo333]

If Neil Grove is -350 or better I will bet him

[SPX]

What's Sandro's TDD like? I really haven't seen him fight that much. . .

[SPX]

Sandro's line has come down. Anyone considering him? And if so, why?

[Vandelay]

I am. I gotta watch his last cpl fights along with the other dude. I think he is the better striker and wont get caught in his web of submissions.

[MMA_scientist]

^ +1

I think he can avoid the submission, but the issue is whether he is going to get taken down repeatedly. I think Sandro will win here and I am considering him.

[poopoo333]

I think it'll be a close fight. I regret not betting Malegrarie @ opening odds.

Thoughts on Curran/Mann? Curran will probably be the bigger fighter and should have the grappling advantage. I am not too sure about the difference in their striking.

[poopoo333]

I think it'll be a close fight. I regret not betting Malegrarie @ opening odds.

Thoughts on Curran/Mann? Curran will probably be the bigger fighter and should have the grappling advantage. I am not too sure about the difference in their striking.

[poopoo333]

^^fuck you IWS laggy connection

[MMA_scientist]

I think Curran will play it smart and take Mann down. I got Curran in that one and I am probably going to bet him.

[MMA_scientist]

I think Curran will play it smart and take Mann down. I got Curran in that one and I am probably going to bet him.

[SPX]

Double-posting faggots.

[SPX]

Sportsbook just opened Curran/Mann at -115/-115.

Interesting. Had to go ahead and take Curran at those odds.

[MMA_scientist]

I didn't realize Mann was so good on the ground. He has a bunch of wins by submission. Curran has the TD edge, but Mann has god T3D and I think has the standup edge. I guess I am going to stay away from that fight.

I still can't decide on mini Maia versus Sandro either. I was originally thinking Sandro was good enough on the ground, and much better everywhere else, but I am second guessing it now. If Malagarie comes in just committed to grappling, he might be able to take him down over and over and win a decision.

[MMA_scientist]

Grove is a lock though, so maybe Grove/Sandro or Grove/Curran

[MMA_scientist]

Omigawa could not take Sandro down. Also, that fight was a robbery... Sandro won every round CLEARLY. It was 30-27 Sandro and that is how it was scored by SD as well.

See it here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G9QZGKQYoKE

But Malagarie is good, I am still thinking about it. Someone give me some thoughts...

[poopoo333]

I agree with you about the Curran/Mann fight. I think it's too close to call. I originally thought Curran would out grapple Mann but after watching some more video on Mann I think that both guys are very similar in skill level. I am not sure if Mann would be able to get Curran down though, Eddie Alvarez had trouble taking Curran down. I think Curran even took Alvarez down briefly in round 5.

Malegarie has a good chance at winning a decision imo. If he can't take Sandro down, he will at least have the cage to push Sandro up against and work for TDs which we all know judges seem to favor. But I could also see Malegarie go and give up position for submission and end up on bottom with Sandro spending lots of time on top. Sandro should win in the striking, but Malegarie will probably continue to come forward and try to bring it to the mat.

[SPX]

I bet Curran at -115, mostly because I think size will play a roll. Mann is really good everywhere--probably even better than Curran in some technical aspects--but he's a little small and Curran's a fairly big FW. I lean Curran only because I think he might be able to muscle Mann around, but I would not at all be surprised to see Mann win.

[Vandelay]

two no bets for me. Sandro's wild striking and mediocre wrestling should spell doom for him in this fight. He overcommits to his strikes and always looks for the one shot ko. He may knock malegrie out early, but i think malegrie will press for takedowns and us guillotines and kneebars to sweep. Sandro's bjj looked bad in the haoki fight.

Havent looked at the mann/curran fight at all

[flyinggogoplata]

two no bets for me. Sandro's wild striking and mediocre wrestling should spell doom for him in this fight. He overcommits to his strikes and always looks for the one shot ko. He may knock malegrie out early, but i think malegrie will press for takedowns and us guillotines and kneebars to sweep. Sandro's bjj looked bad in the haoki fight.

Havent looked at the mann/curran fight at all

I agree and sandro gases badly.

[MMA_scientist]

So why aren't you guys betting on Malagarie?

[flyinggogoplata]

i dunno

[flyinggogoplata]

Thinking about taking this advice (http://freakonomicsradio.com/the-upside-of-quitting.html).

[Vandelay]

cause I think he can get knocked out, i might end up putting a bet down on him. Depends on where the line ends up at. plus 200 is probably where i bet it. I don't think he will actually win, just that he has a good shot

[SPX]

Any other thoughts on Sandro/Melagarie?

I've been watching some vids and I think this is a hard one to call. Sandro seems to have very good T3D and should clearly be better than Melegarie on the feet, but I really don't know if he's ever faced a grappler that is as skilled and relentless as Melagarie. Malegarie's fight with Daniel Straus was REALLY close and Straus is a good wrestler.

[SPX]

Who's around for this shit tonight?

[Luke]

Who's around for this shit tonight?

I'm watching boxing.










































































































Inb4SPXsaysSCREWboxing

[SPX]

Screw Boxing

[poopoo333]

Stream? I wont be home until another 30 min

[SPX]

http://vipbox.tv/watch/36622/1/bellator-47---summer-series.html

[SPX]

Damn, Grove is 40? I didn't realize that.

[SPX]

Fuck yeah!

Well that was easy. Crazy fight.

[Vandelay]

wow. what the hell did i just witness?

[SPX]

Some crazy awesomeness.

[poopoo333]

That was a scare in the beginning

[poopoo333]

Thanks for the stream x....works perfect on my phone

[SPX]

Agreed. After that shit with Bowling last night I was like, "Oh no, not again."

[SPX]

I wonder why Horodecki got cut from the WEC. He was 2-2 overall and 2-1 in his last 3. Doesn't make sense.

[zY|]

Let's go Sandro!

[SPX]

Seconded.

[poopoo333]

Sandro is a big 145er.

[poopoo333]

Sandro has this in the bag ::thumbdown::

[SPX]

Fight's pretty much going as I expected: Sandro's T3D is too good and Nazareno can't hang on the feet.

Goddamn it. Should've taken the plunge and gone with 5u on Sandro.

[poopoo333]

Where the fuck did T3D come from?

[SPX]

Sandro is a big 145er.

I've thought the same thing in the past. I was surprised to learn he's only 5'6".

[SPX]

Where the fuck did T3D come from?

AC88 said "TDD defense."

T3D

[zY|]

AC88 said "TDD defense."

T3D

You're forcing it.

[SPX]

Go fuck yourself.

I thought it was awesome.

(Not talking shit on AC. It's a common typo.)

[flyinggogoplata]

You're forcing it.
lmao

[SPX]

lmao

zY forces dildos into his ass regularly, so he is an expert on the subject. But I disagree with him in this case.

[flyinggogoplata]

zY forces dildos into his ass regularly, so he is an expert on the subject. But I disagree with him in this case.

you're forcing it again.

[zY|]

BOL

[zY|]

Fun fight, but I wanted to see that dude's face explode.

[SPX]

Banned. Both of you.


Yours truly,

T3D

[SPX]

Any chance the judges give the fight to Malegarie?

[Svino]

Just watched Grove / Jensen. That was an amusing fight.