7-29-11

[timbob]

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[Mr. IWS]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Chicago White Sox, Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Preview
By Michael Robinson

Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox (-107, 9.5)

There’s a weekend battle of the Sox beginning Friday night when the Chicago White Sox welcome the Boston Red Sox. Chicago has dominated this series lately.

The opener from U.S. Cellular Field will begin at 5:10 p.m. (PT). Gavin Floyd will try to break out of his home slump against ageless Boston knuckleballer Tim Wakefield.

The White Sox (51-52) have been the picture of mediocrity this season, but they’re only 3 ½-games behind Detroit in the weak AL Central. That’s after taking two of three at home against the Tigers. Cleveland is two games back and fading fast.

GM Kenny Williams is never afraid to make deadline moves and he sent pitcher Edwin Jackson and utility-man Mark Teahen to Toronto, with reliever Jason Frasor the main piece coming back. Chicago had an extra starter and Frasor will help the pen, so this should be a net improvement.

Floyd (8-9, 4.11 ERA) is trying to finish the year strong. His first two starts after the All-Star break were wins at Detroit and Cleveland, allowing one earned run over 15 1/3 innings. Both games were on six days rest and he’ll be going on similar rest Friday.

The 28-year-old right-hander saw Chicago lose his last six starts before the break, although only two were poor performances, both at home. He’s struggled much more at home (6.26 ERA) this year than away (3.06 ERA).

The White Sox are 2-5 in his limited seven home starts. The ‘over’ is 5-0-1 in the last six.

Floyd has one start versus Boston this year, allowing four earned runs over 6 2/3 innings in a June road win (7-4). His career mark against the Red Sox is 5-0 with a 3.83 ERA in seven appearances (six starts). The ‘under’ is 4-1 in his last five starts against them.

Boston (64-28) is cruising to a playoff berth and can even afford to take it slowly with its injured players like pitcher Clay Buchholz. The team is 9-3 post-break pending Thursday afternoon’s finale against Kansas City. Boston is a huge 280 favorite behind Josh Beckett.

The Red Sox easily lead MLB in runs scored per game (5.56) and that number is 7.08 since the break.

Wakefield (6-3, 5.15 ERA) didn’t begin the year as a starter, but was pressed into duty per usual. His job is to eat up innings from the back-end of the rotation and wait for the potent offense to take over.

The 44-year-old didn’t get much movement on his knuckleball last Sunday, allowing seven earned runs to Seattle over 6 1/3 innings. Boston still won 12-8 and has won his last four starts despite him posting a 6.94 ERA.

Wakefield was the opposing pitcher against Floyd in June, getting the no-decision after allowing four earned runs over six innings. He’s 4-7 with a 4.83 ERA in 18 lifetime appearances (11 starts) at the White Sox.

The ‘over’ is 7-1-1 in Wakefield’s last nine road starts.

Chicago swept the Red Sox on the road the first series and is incredibly 13-2 in the last 15 against them (6-2 at home).

Boston is 31-13 in its last 44 road games after starting the season 0-7. It’s +7.3 units away for the year.

Chicago is an AL-worst -12.1 units at home (23-26). It started the second half with eight road games (going 5-3) before winning the Detroit home series which ended Wednesday.

The ‘under’ is 8-2-1 for the White Sox since the break and 18-4-4 in their last 26 overall. Their offense is 13th in the AL in July (3.52 runs per game), but team ERA ranks second (2.97 ERA).

Weather should be clear and around 80 degrees after scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. The tough Jon Lester starts for Boston Saturday night versus Philip Humber.

[Mr. IWS]

Friday's Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

Rick Porcello, Detroit Tigers (10-6, 4.67 ERA)

The Tigers are pulling away in the American League Central, and Porcello’s performances have a lot to do with the team’s success. The right-hander has won four straight starts and boasts a 3.33 ERA and a slick 1.19 WHIP during that span. In his most recent outing, Porcello gave up two runs on five hits through six innings.

Ryan Vogelsong, San Francisco Giants (8-1, 2.10 ERA)

The righty is just another reason why baseball bettors should like the Giants to repeat as World Series champs (that and the recent addition of Carlos Beltran). Vogelsong hasn’t tasted defeat since May 26 – his lone loss of the year. This month he’s 2-0 in with a 2.13 ERA, but bettors beware: Vogelsong has allowed at least one home run in six of his last nine starts. Cincinnati, San Francisco’s foe Friday, is fourth in the NL in dingers this season.


SLUMPING

A.J. Burnett, New York Yankees (8-8, 4.21 ERA)

A slumping Yankees pitcher can be the worst investment any sports bettor can make. The chalk the Bronx Bombers demand has made Burnett’s recent skid even more costly. On the season, the inconsistent right-hander is 5.5 units in the hole and heads into Friday with a 0-2 record and 4.94 ERA this month. Burnett hasn’t pitched terribly, allowing three runs in each of his last three starts, but hasn’t pitched past the sixth inning in any of those outings.

Jeff Francis, Kansas City Royals (3-11, 4.65 ERA)

Francis’ first season in Kansas City may earn him the title of “Mr. Slumping 2011," as he’s been a mainstay at the bottom of this daily feature. The 6-foot-5 southpaw hasn’t won a start since June 10 and is 0-5 with a 5.21 ERA since that date. He escapes meeting the Red Sox, and instead gets the nod versus the Tribeon Friday. Francis is 1-2 with a career 7.98 ERA against Cleveland.

[Mr. IWS]

HOT LINES

Friday's Best MLB Bets

Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers (129, 9)

The Angels pounded the Tigers 12-7 in the opener of their four-game series at Comerica Park, and Los Angeles has won seven of nine.

But Detroit, which remains atop the AL Central, should bounce back behind Rick Porcello. The Tigers have won five of his last six starts, and overall are 12-7 when Porcello goes to the mound. In July, Porcello has a 3.33 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.

Umpire Jerry Layne will be behind the plate, another good sign for Detroit. Home teams are 32-15 in Layne’s last 47 games calling balls and strikes.

Angels starter Tyler Chatwood has faced Detroit only once, on July 6. In 5 1/3 innings, the rookie walked five and struck out three in a 5-4 loss.

PICK: Tigers


New York Mets at Washington Nationals (106, 8.5)

The surging Mets are coming off their first-ever four-game sweep in Cincinnati. Third baseman David Wright is in an incredible groove, hitting .455 with a seven-game hitting streak since coming off the DL on July 22. Against the Reds, Wright went 9 for 19 with five RBIs.

Dillon Gee will take the mound on Friday; New York is 12-4 in his starts.

Washington, meanwhile, has dropped five straight and seven of eight. The Nationals have mustered just 10 runs over the last four games.

And the Nationals are planning to start Chien-Ming Wang, who just came off the 60-day DL (shoulder). He hasn’t pitched in the majors since July 2009, when he was with the Yankees.

PICK: Mets

[Mr. IWS]

WNBA NEWS AND NOTES
WNBA: Storm-Lynx Preview
By Zac Powell

Seattle Storm at Minnesota Lynx (-6.5, 147)

The fast-paced Minnesota Lynx are winning games, and having fun doing it.

Trying to keep up with the first-place Lynx are the Seattle Storm, who visit Minnesota on Friday in a Western Conference showdown.

The Lynx (11-4) are seeking their fifth straight win and seventh in eight games. Their four losses are the fewest of any team in the league.

"We're having a lot of fun," Minnesota coach Cheryl Reeve told the team's official website. "I think the biggest thing with this team is that we just have really good people and if you watch the way we play, I'm enjoying coaching them, they're enjoying playing, and we work hard."

The Lynx scored a franchise-record 35 points off turnovers in Tuesday's 85-72 home victory over Los Angeles.

"I was really happy with the fact that we turned them over 25 times - 17 times in the first half," Reeve said. "We like to score off of that."

The Sparks had no answer for an up-tempo Lynx offense that includes four players averaging in double figures - Seimone Augustus (16.3 ppg), Lindsay Whalen (14.1), Maya Moore (13.8) and Rebekkah Brunson (12.9). Augustus led Minnesota with 22 points Tuesday, shooting 10 of 17 from the floor.

"When they're coming down on the break, you've got Whalen in the middle, you've got Maya Moore on one wing and you've got Seimone on the other," Sparks coach Joe Bryant told the Lynx's official website.

"Who do you guard? That's like D-Wade and Kobe Bryant coming down on the wing. Who're you going to guard?"

Seattle (9-7) knows very well how dangerous the Lynx can be, having lost two of three meetings in the season series, though all three games were decided by 10 points or fewer. Augustus led all scorers with 19 points in Minnesota's 69-62 home win July 16, when Tanisha Wright's 16 points paced Seattle.

The Storm have won both of their games since that contest to keep pace 2 1/2 games behind the Lynx. They prevailed 83-77 at Phoenix on Tuesday as Sue Bird filled up the stat sheet with 18 points, seven assists, five rebounds and three steals.

"For us, this is just a really good road win against a very good team," Bird said. "We're kind of hovering around .500, so for us it's about making a push in the second half of the season to move up in the standings."

Bird finished with 15 points in the last meeting between these teams, but scored 24 - her second-highest total of the season - in Seattle's 81-74 home loss to the Lynx on June 9.

[Mr. IWS]

LADY LUCK

Friday's Best WNBA Bets

Indiana Fever at Washington Mystics (5.5, 145)

The Mystics are just 1-6 ATS at home this season. One reason is their gambling defense. Washington’s pressure either forces a turnover or leads to an easy shot for the opposition.

Entering their Thursday night game in New York, the Mystics had allowed opponents to shoot 47.5 percent from the field and 41 percent from beyond the arc. Both marks ranked 11th in the 12-team league.

Indiana, meanwhile, is vying for the top spot in the Eastern Conference. When the Fever hosted the Mystics on July 9, Indiana won 68-57, covering the 8.5-point spread. The Fever put five players in double figures while shooting 47 percent.

PICK: Indiana


Seattle Storm at Minnesota Lynx (-6.5, 147)

The Lynx have won four straight and six of seven, going 6-1 ATS as well. Their 11-4 start is the best in franchise history.

Rookie Maya Moore, the No. 1 overall pick, has been as good as advertised. She’s averaging 13.8 points, third on the team behind Lindsay Whalen (14.1) and Seimone Augustus (16.3). Rebekkah Brunson is tied for the league lead with 10.5 rebounds per game. The Lynx are loaded with talent and very balanced.

One of Minnesota’s recent wins came against the Storm. On July 16, the host Lynx prevailed 69-62 as 5-point favorites.

Seattle has failed to cover in four of its last six road games.

PICK: Minnesota

[Mr. IWS]

CFL NEWS AND NOTES
CFL: Alouettes-TigerCats
By Bill Lankhof

Montreal Alouettes at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (+3.5, 53.5)

NEED TO KNOW

How the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and Montreal Alouettes match up for Friday's CFL game at Ivor Wynne Stadium:

TOP THREE

1. IRRESISTIBLE FORCE VS. IMMOVABLE OBJECT

Brandon Whitaker, the Alouettes’ running back is second in the league in rushing. Jamall Johnson, the Ticats’ linebacker is the league leader in tackles with 26. Something will have to give and this should be a challenge for the Hamilton rush defence which has allowed 430 yards on the ground — ahead of only Toronto and B.C. Whitaker has already won player of the week honours in a game against Toronto. That included 11 receptions, many of them in linebacker territory, when the Argonauts dropped their defenders into deeper protection schemes.

2. CHIPPING AWAY

Hamilton’s receiving corps is coming off two solid performances led by Chris Williams and Dave Stala, who has 12 catches and three TDs the last three games. But the Als’ pass defence ranks fourth in the league and is led by two-time all-star linebacker Chip Cox, who ran back a fumble recovery a CFL-record 108 yards against Toronto. “I’m not scared of him,” said Stala, a former teammate with Cox in Montreal. “He knows what I do; I know what he can do. (He’s) one of the best players in the league ... but I’m up for the challenge.”

3. WATKINS RETURNS

Kerry Watkins’ return could make the Als’ pass game unstoppable. This is a lineup that already includes Jamel Richardson and S.J. Green, making this a keen test for Hamilton’s secondary. The Ticats defence ranks second in the league, allowing a 53.5 % completion rate but it has never faced so many dangerous weapons with Richardson and Green both in the top 10 among CFL receivers. “They’ve got all-stars everywhere,” said Ticats’ coach Marcel Bellefeuille. “We’ll have to be on our game. Not only our secondary, but also our front seven will have to get pressure.”

WATCH THESE GUYS

Anthony Calvillo

Alouettes fans can relax. The blurred vision in his right eye has cleared after being hit by Saskatchewan defensive tackle Dario Romero, “The vision’s not an issue,” said Calvillo, who had only one day of practice this week. Considering he’s a veteran that shouldn’t hamper him. He leads a pass-happy offence that is on pace to break Calgary’s CFL record of 52 TD passes in a season.

Chris Williams

Chris Williams has been a star-quality fill-in for the injured Maurice Mann, collecting 13 catches for 227 yards and two touchdowns the last two weeks. He’s played so well that coach Bellefeuille acknowledged they’d have to keep him in the lineup when Mann returns. “We knew he’d be good and be successful and that he was getting better every week but you don’t expect that kind of breakout,” admitted the Bellefeuille.

TURF BITS

* Montreal offensive guard Ryan Bomben has found a nice part-time job. He has been lining up at tight end and has caught three passes this year for 19 yards.

* The Tiger-Cats are on a two-game winning streak after beginning the season with two defeats. Why? Weeks 1 & 2 the offence averaged 279 yards and 13 points a game. Weeks 3 & 4 it averaged 36 points and 408 yards.

* Brandon Whitaker has 10 runs of more than 10 yards in just 47 attempts and is eight yards behind CFL rushing leader Fred Reid, who has carried the ball 24 more times.

* Als’ coach Marc Trestman said Kerry Watkins would be “eased” back into the offence when he returns this week from sinus surgery. Watkins may have other ideas. “I’m out there. I don’t plan on coming out,” he told reporters.

* Ticats' Marwan Hage has brought 40 minor football players from the Montreal kid’s league in which he played to Hamilton this weekend to watch the game. They’ll be the rowdy bunch in the tent Hage has arranged for them behind the end zone.

* Montreal’s offensive line and backfield have allowed just three sacks in four games. That could make for another frustrating day for Hamilton’s Stevie Baggs, the 2009 CFL co-leader in sacks, who has just two this season.

INJURY IMPACT

Avon Cobourne is playing with a painful turf burn on his knee and also had a foot injury. Ticat receiver Maurice Mann suffered a setback with a cut on his foot that required 11 stitches and will not play. Williams takes his spot with Marquay McDaniel staying in the lineup to back him up.

For the Alouettes, safety Étienne Boulay won’t play after suffering a mild concussion against the Roughriders. Wide receiver Watkins will make his season debut. He hasn’t played after undergoing sinus surgery to remove his adenoids. Offensive-tackle Josh Bourke has been cleared to play after missing one game with a sprained knee.

[Mr. IWS]

CANADIAN BACON

Friday's Best CFL Bets

Montreal Alouettes at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (+3.5, 53.5)

Even when the Tiger-Cats had mediocre teams, the Alouettes found ways to stumble in Hamilton. This season, Hamilton has a pretty good team with lots of tools on both sides of the ball.

Running back Avon Cobourne, who left the Alouettes for the Tiger-Cats because of money issues, will certainly try to prove that GM Jim Popp was right to dig deeper in his pockets.

Anthony Calvillo should play, but at the time of this piece, his vision was still blurry. His cornea was scratched by his helmet when he was hit by Dario Romero last Sunday. Don’t be surprised if McPherson is called upon to replace him at the last minute.

The Alouettes could also be without safety Etienne Boulay, victim of two mild concussions against the Roughriders. If that’s the case, it opens a huge gap in the middle of the secondary since his replacement Tad Crawford has neither the skills nor the vision to shine at that position.

You don’t often see the Alouettes lose two in a row but that’s probably what will happen against the Tiger-Cats Friday night.

PICK: Hamilton


Toronto Argonauts at Edmonton Eskimos (-9, 50)

The Argonauts are simply not the same team without Cory Boyd and his absence will probably be more cruelly felt against the stunning Eskimos, who have flourish behind QB Ricky Ray.

After finishing last in the West in 2010, the Eskimos fully deserve their 4-0 record. On special teams, former Alouette Damon Duval is playing as well as ever and was honored this week for his stellar performance in Calgary, where he completed three field goals, two converts and averaged 47.7 yards on nine punts.

In all aspects of the game, the Eskimos seem balanced. Granted, the loss of DE Greg Peach, who was Defensive Player of the Week, will be felt. And if Joe Sykes can’t nurse his injured ankle in time, it could become a real problem.

That said, even without Peach and receiver Adarius Bowman, who will miss this game because of cracked ribs, the Eskimos will prevail.

PICK: Edmonton

[Mr. IWS]

Friday's Betting Tips: Jays Like Seeing Texas

Who’s Hot

MLB: The Mets are 12-3 in Dillon Gee’s last 15 starts on grass.

MLB: The Blue Jays have won 11 of their last 16 against Texas.

CFL: The Under is 9-2 in the last 11 Montreal-Hamilton meetings in Hamilton.

WNBA: Minnesota is 6-1 SU and ATS in its last seven games.

Who’s Not

MLB: The Over is 4-11 in the Dodgers’ last 15 home games.

MLB: The Reds are 1-6 in their last seven series openers.

CFL: Edmonton is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 Friday games.

WNBA: The Over is 2-7 in Seattle’s nine road games.

Key Stat

30 – That’s how many doubles Carlos Beltran had entering Thursday’s action, most in the NL. The 34-year-old outfielder, traded by the Mets to the Giants, immediately became the biggest threat in San Francisco’s lineup. Beltran was hitting .289 with 15 homers and 66 RBIs.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

All-Star first baseman Gaby Sanchez missed his third straight game Thursday with a sore left hamstring. Florida’s No. 3 hitter took swings in the batting cage before the game and could be back soon. He’s batting .287 with 16 homers and 58 RBIs.

Game Of The Day

Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers (-142, 9)

Notable Quotable

"He'll see how we do things around here, point blank. We had guys come through here with a rap sheet and (people) say he can't be handled, this guy can't do this and, you know what, it worked out fine for us. So I don't think it will be a big problem." -- Patriots defensive lineman Vince Wilfork to the Associated Press, referring to the team’s acquisition of disgruntled defensive lineman Albert Haynesworth.

Tips And Notes

The Arizona Cardinals on Thursday traded for quarterback Kevin Kolb, a major upgrade at the position, but betonline (http://www.betonline.com/).com continues to list San Francisco as the NFC West favorite. The sportsbook pegs the 49ers at +150, followed by St. Louis at +180, the Cardinals at +300 and the Seahawks at +450.

Brewers All-Star second baseman Rickie Weeks went on the DL Thursday with a severely sprained left ankle, but he will not need surgery. Craig Counsell, Josh Wilson and call-up Eric Farris likely will share second-base duties in Weeks’ absence. The platoon likely will be a big dropoff from Weeks, who is hitting .272 with 19 homers, 43 RBIs and 71 runs scored.

Red Sox left fielder Carl Crawford, who missed his second straight game Thursday with a strained left elbow, is expected back in the lineup for Friday’s series opener against the White Sox. Crawford went 1-for-11 in the first two games of Boston’s series with Kansas City, striking out four times on Monday. He got a cortisone shot following Tuesday’s game.

[Mr. IWS]

Today's CFL Picks

FRIDAY, JULY 29
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (7/27) Game 493-494: Montreal at Hamilton (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 113.593; Hamilton 114.896
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 1 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Montreal by 3 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+3 1/2); Over Game 495-496: Toronto at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.967; Edmonton 117.710
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 7; 47
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 9 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+9 1/2); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Today's MLB Picks

Arizona at LA Dodgers

The Dodgers look to build on their 8-2 record in their last 10 home games. Los Angeles is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+100). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, JULY 29
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST Game 951-952: NY Mets at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 15.587; Washington (Wang) 13.980
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-115); Under Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.138; Philadelphia (Halladay) 16.728
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-265); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-265); Over Game 955-956: San Francisco at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 16.102; Cincinnati (Willis) 14.330
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-110); Game 957-958: Florida at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Hensley) 14.854; Atlanta (Beachy) 15.209
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Over Game 959-960: Houston at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Lyles) 14.727; Milwaukee (Wolf) 15.224
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-180); Over Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Garza) 15.414; St. Louis (Jackson) 13.694
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+120); Under Game 963-964: Colorado at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 15.341; San Diego (Stauffer) 14.578
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+105); Over Game 965-966: Arizona at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Collmenter) 15.021; LA Dodgers (Lilly) 15.397
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+100); Under Game 967-968: LA Angels at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Chatwood) 15.122; Detroit (Porcello) 15.758
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135); Under Game 969-970: Texas at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Ogando) 16.343; Toronto (Cecil) 14.754
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-130); Over Game 971-972: Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Francis) 15.291; Cleveland (Carrasco) 14.460
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Over Game 973-974: Baltimore at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.109; NY Yankees (Burnett) 16.107
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-200); Under Game 975-976: Boston at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Wakefield) 16.316; White Sox (Floyd) 15.629
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-110); Under Game 977-978: Minnesota at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 14.856; Oakland (Gonzalez) 16.148
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-140); Over Game 979-980: Tampa Bay at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 14.627; Seattle (Bedard) 15.338
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-110); Under

[Mr. IWS]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Indiana at Washington

The Mystics look to take advantage of an Indiana team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 Friday games. Washington is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Fever favored by only 5. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, JULY 29
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST Game 601-602: Indiana at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 114.803; Washington 109.565
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 141
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 145
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6 1/2); Under Game 603-604: Seattle at Minnesota (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 114.242; Minnesota 121.791
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 9; 147
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+9); Over

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

685- 515 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one FRI Mets -130

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the A's Thursday.

Friday: Indians. Deficit: 2607 sirignanos.

[Mr. IWS]

Hondo

Hondo managed to chip away at the NRN (nasty red number) last night, throwing the good splitter with the Pirates and Twins to lower the deficit to 1,445 ozarks.

Tonight, he expects to see an unhappy Halladay in Philadelphia -- 10 units on Morton, that old salt.

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play FRIDAY

Dbacks -120

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Tigers -145 over Angels

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Network

CFL

MONTREAL ALOUETTES (3-1) AT HAMILTON TIGER-CATS (2-2) Friday, July 29,6:30 p.m. (et)

The uncertainty surrounding the status of quarterback Anthony Calvillo has the Montreal Alouettes wondering how they'll handle their preparations for their meeting with the Hamilton Tiger-Cats on Friday at Ivor Wynne Stadium.

Calvillo, one of the most prolific passers in the history of the CFL who just a few weeks ago set a new record for all-time passing touchdowns, exited against Saskatchewan midway through the second quarter this past Sunday when he suffered an eye injury. Finishing the game for the Als, one that they eventually lost by a score of 27-24, was Adrian McPherson who threw for just 98 yards and a score, but also gave Montreal's offense another facet with his 10 rushing attempts for 41 yards and two majors.

Montreal finished with a mere 305 yards of total offense and turned the ball over a couple of times on interceptions as the Roughriders took advantage of the change at quarterback.

Reports at the start of this week had Calvillo still suffering from blurred vision and a sore eye and it was unclear when he would be ready to return to the field.

Obviously, if McPherson is handling the quarterback duties primarily, the rushing attack for the Als could easily be more productive, even beyond what is expected for a unit that is second in the CFL after four games with 376 yards on the ground. Montreal has punted the fewest times thus far (17 times), but that too could take a hit if receivers for the Als have to adjust their timing in order to work with McPherson.

Hamilton, which has punted just 19 times and is averaging a mere 39.6 yards per kick, could be catching the Alouettes at just the right time, that is as long as the Ti-Cats can figure out how to capitalize on a possible change at QB.

In the eight-point win over British Columbia last week, the Tiger-Cats ran out to a 14-0 lead in the first quarter before scoring a total of just 15 points in the second half as they held on for their second win in four opportunities. Kevin Glenn survived three sacks to have a fantastic game for Hamilton, converting 21-of-31 passes for 334 yards and three touchdowns. Dave Stala turned his three receptions into 37 yards and two majors, while tiny Chris Williams raced for a game-high 189 yards and a score on eight receptions.

Providing the Cats with an alternate form of offense, running back Avon Cobourne, who will be facing his former team this week, generated an even 100 yards on 14 carries and hit the end zone twice, scoring the first and last TDs of the contest.

Cobourne enters the week ranked third in the league in rushing with 264 yards on 48 carries after registering his first 100-yard effort for the Tiger-Cats. A former Grey Cup MVP, Cobourne has been putting in extra time with his offensive line in order to more accurately pinpoint where his cuts will be and where holes will develop, all in an effort to give Glenn some breathing room.

Glenn, responsible for a career-high 33 passing scores a year ago, is off to a quick start this time around with his seven TD strikes, including a total of five in the last two outings.

These two teams will be sizing up each other in back-to-back weeks in early September and then will have one more regular-season meeting on October 16 in Montreal. In terms of the all-time series, the Als own an 85-75-7 advantage in regular-season meetings dating back to 1950.

Hamilton crushed the Alouettes in the last clash in 2010 by a lopsided score of 4-3, yet Montreal has still won six of the last seven matchups and 14- of-16.

Regardless of who is in the huddle and handling the passing duties for the Als this week, having Calvillo questionable and possibly out of action might be the worst thing for the Tiger-Cats since they can't be completely sure who to plan for in the days leading up to the contest.

Montreal 31 Hamilton 17




TORONTO ARGONAUTS (1-3) AT EDMONTON ESKIMOS (4-0)Friday, July 29, 9:30 p.m. (et)

The injury bug appears to have taken a bite out of the Toronto Argonauts, but until the team takes the field at Commonwealth Stadium on Friday night against the Edmonton Eskimos, it won't be known how or if the Argos will be feeling it.

Against the surprising Winnipeg Blue Bombers on Saturday afternoon, starting quarterback Cleo Lemon exited after a helmet-to-helmet collision in the first quarter and never returned. With Lemon on the bench after completing his first five passes of the day, backup Dalton Bell took over the offense for the Argos but was unable to hold off a 33-24 loss to Winnipeg at home.

Lemon sustained damage to his teeth and a split nerve and was still being treated at the start of the week which made his availability for the match up against Edmonton questionable.

Bell finished the day 13-of-27 for 169 yards and a score, but he also suffered a pair of late sacks and tossed a couple of interceptions that prevented the hosts from holding on for the victory.

As for the Eskimos, they are now the only undefeated team in the league after Montreal lost to Saskatchewan over the weekend when Anthony Calvillo was knocked out of the action.

Fred Stamps scored a pair of long touchdowns in the first half as he helped lead the Esks to a 24-19 win over the Calgary Stampeders at McMahon Stadium over the weekend. Stamps caught TD passes of 55 and 65 yards in the contest and finished with five grabs for a game-high 161 yards.

Edmonton quarterback Ricky Ray had a sub par effort, by his own standards, as he converted 12-of-27 passing for 229 yards and the two scores to Stamps. Ray also tossed his first interception of the season, the first since October of last year in fact, but still the Esks moved to a perfect start after four games for the first time in a quarter century (1986).

Running back Arkee Whitlock, back in action after missing the first three games of the campaign with an injury, was responsible for 10 carries leading to a game-high 56 yards.

The Edmonton defense was a bit exposed by the Stamps as the hosts controlled the ball for more than 34 minutes and generated 479 yards. Perhaps the one saving grace for the Eskimos was that Calgary was flagged for 12 penalties for a loss of 154 yards in the meeting.

Obviously the Eskimos are blessed to have someone like Ray taking the ball from center again this season, the quarterback displaying an incredible efficiency rating of 119.7 thanks to eight touchdowns and just the one interception, but a lot of credit also has to go to Jerome Messam who held down the running attack for the squad while waiting for Whitlock to return.

Messam has earned himself more touches as the season goes on seeing as how he is fourth in the league in rushing with 220 yards and has landed in the end zone twice when Edmonton has needed a spark.

However, the spotlight clearly shines on Ray and Stamps, the latter easily leading the league in receiving with 477 yards and four TDs on 22 catches. In just four games, Stamps is already halfway to matching his career high for TD receptions in a season.

Finding a top-flight receiver this year for the Argos might not be as easy, as Jeremaine Copeland leads the way for the group with a mere 12 catches for 203 yards and has yet to tally a major. Copeland might be one of the most accomplished receivers in the history of the league, having logged five seasons with more than 1,000 yards, but an unstable quarterback position certainly can't be helping with his production thus far.

Edmonton owns a 41-38-1 record in the regular-season series against the Argos dating back to 1949. The Eskimos won the most recent meeting in late September last season by a score of 24-6 in Moncton, NB in the CFL's first ever regular season game in Atlantic Canada. Edmonton has now taken three of the last four match ups.

The teams are scheduled to face each other one more time this season during the third week of October.

Not knowing who will be handling the quarterback duties for the Argonauts makes it that much more difficult for the visitors to create a strong game plan. No matter who is throwing the ball down the field for Toronto though, the Eskimos should be ready for them.

Edmonton 41 Toronto 24

[Mr. IWS]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Pirates(RL)
Red Sox

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Over 8 runs bet. Houston and Milwaukee

[Mr. IWS]

Free Silver Key Pick for Friday ML Baseball

Over 9.5 Total Runs, Baltimore at YANKEES

[Mr. IWS]

MLB
Write-Up


Friday, July 29

Hot pitchers
-- Hensley is 1-0, 1.80 in his two starts this year.
-- Halladay is 3-1, 2.72 in his last six starts.
-- Vogelsong is 2-0, 1.93 in his last three starts.
-- Garza is 0-0, 1.29 in his last three starts.
-- Stauffer is 5-3, 2.26 in his last nine starts.
-- Collmenter is 2-0, 1.29 in his last three starts.

-- Porcello is 4-0, 4.07 in his last four starts. Angels are 6-2 on the road when Chatwood starts.
-- Toronto won last three Cecil starts (2-0, 2.54). Ogando is 3-1, 2.54 in his last four starts.
-- Floyd is 2-0, 1.17 in his last couple starts.
-- Gonzalez is 4-0, 0.96 in his last four home starts.
-- Bedard is 3-2, 2.06 in his last eight starts. Niemann is 2-0, 1.65 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Gee is 2-3, 5.71 in his last six starts. Wang is making first start since 2009; he was 55-26, 4.16 in 106 starts for Bronx Bombers. He allowed eight runs in 10.2 IP in two AAA starts this season.
-- Morton is 1-2, 6.17 in his last five starts.
-- Willis is 0-1, 3.71 in three starts for the Reds.
-- Beachy is 0-1, 5.82 in his last four starts.
-- Astros lost last nine Lyles starts (0-5, 5.40). Wolf is 0-4, 5.40 in his last five starts.
-- Hammel is 1-3, 9.58 in his last four starts.
-- Lilly is 1-5, 7.71 in his last seven starts.

-- Carrasco is 0-4, 7.08 in his last four starts. Francis is 0-5, 5.45 in his last seven starts.
-- Guthrie is 1-4, 6.10 in his last five starts. Burnett is 0-2, 5.48 in his last four outings.
-- Wakefield has an 8.29 RA in his last five starts, but Boston won his last four outings, scoring 40 runs.
-- Liriano is 1-1, 5.95 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Over is 10-3-1 in Mets' last fourteen games.
-- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Halladay starts.
-- Seven of Giants' last nine road games went over the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Florida road games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in Lyles starts this season. Seven of last eight starts by Wolf stayed under the total.
-- Over is 10-3 in Garza's last thirteen starts.
-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven games at Petco Park.
-- Four of last five Collmenter road starts stayed under total.

-- Seven of last eight Porcello starts went over the total.
-- Over is 7-3 in Ogando's last ten starts.
-- 10 of last 13 Kansas City games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Oriole road games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Wakefield starts.
-- Nine of last ten Oakland games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Bedard starts stayed under the total.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won eight of their last nine road games.
-- Phillies won 17 of their last 22 home games. Giants are 10-4 in their last 14 games overall.
-- Mets won their last three games, scoring 20 runs.
-- Brewers won six of their last seven home games.
-- Cardinals won five of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers won four of their last five games. Arizona won five of its last six games.

-- Toronto won eight of its last eleven home games.
-- Red Sox won nine of their last twelve games. White Sox won four of their last five games.
-- Royals won six of their last nine games.
-- Bronx won eight of its last twelve games.
-- Angels won seven of their last nine games.
-- Oakland is 8-5 since the All-Star break. Minnesota is 6-2 in its last eight road games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Pittsburgh is 3-5 in its last eight games.
-- Braves are 4-6 in their last ten games.
-- Cubs lost ten of their last twelve road games.
-- Astros lost 14 of their last 18 road games.
-- Cincinnati is 8-14 in its last 22 games.
-- San Diego lost 13 of its last 19 games. Rockies lost four of five.

-- Detroit lost three of its last four games.
-- Rangers are 4-5 in their last nine games.
-- Indians lost six of their last seven games.
-- Baltimore lost nine of its last ten road games.
-- Mariners lost 17 of their last 18 games.Tampa Bay is 9-15 in its last 24 games.

[Mr. IWS]

Khaliagent sports (free plays: 13-5 +15.24 units)

Friday July 29th

Atlanta ml -159 (medium bet to win 2 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Cleveland Insider

PGA- Greenbrier 2nd Round Matchups

G. Woodland -120 over B. de Jonge
B. Haas -125 over A. Romero
T. Gainey -125 over G. McNiell
R. Palmer -115 over B. Gay
B. Jobe -130 over S. Piercy

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Plays

Glenn Long – Owner & Handicapper for over 20 years:

Glenn’s picks for July 29th:
7:05pm - #971 – Kansas City Royals +120 / 3 units

8:10pm – #976 – Chicago White Sox -105 / 3 units

10:05pm - #977 – Minnesota Twins +125 / 3 units

Johnny Yang – Professional Bettor / Handicapper since 1997:

Johnny’s pick for July 29th:
7:05pm - #968 – Detroit Tigers -135 / 10 units

Brooks Riley – Professional Bettor / Handicapper since 2000:

Brook’s picks for July 29th:
7:05pm - #969 – Texas Rangers -135 / 5 units

8:05pm – Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox – OVER 9.5 / 3 units

10:10pm - #965 – Arizona Diamondbacks -110 / 3 units

Carter Williams – Professional Bettor / Handicapper since 2002:

Carter is passing on the board for Friday

[Mr. IWS]

Cleveland Insider

CFL (2-0)

1* Toronto Argonauts +11.5 (buy 3)

3* system

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Friday

Play Philadelphia (-250) over Pittsburgh (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST

Roy Halladay has won 17 of the last 19 games as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have also won 9 consecutive home games when the total posted is seven runs or less. Roy Halladay has an ERA of 1.45 vs. Pittsburgh over his career and he is 7-1 in home games this season with an ERA of 2.44.

Play New York Yankees (-200) over Baltimore (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST

Jeremy Guthrie has lost 7 of the last 9 road games and he has also lost 39 of the last 58 games as an underdog of +100 or higher. Jeremy Guthrie is 3-9 vs. New York over his career with an ERA of 5.66 and he has an ERA of 5.21 over the last three overall starts.

Play Milwaukee (-180) over Houston (Bonus)

Canadian Football Friday

100* Play Hamilton (+3.5) over Montreal
Starts at 6:30 PM EST

Hamilton has won 8 of the last 9 home games when the total posted is between 52.5 and 56 points and they have also won 5 of the last 6 home games as an underdog of 7 points or less. Hamilton is only allowing an average of 13 points a game on defense at home this season and they WON 40-3 vs. Montreal at home last season.

[Mr. IWS]

Todays Picks

San Francisco Giants ML

Kansas City Royals ML

[Mr. IWS]

EasyBaseballBetting
Our systems say to go for:

Marlins (+149),
Orioles (+178),
Giants (+104),
Pirates (+251),
Mariners (-101),
White Sox (-106),
Royals (+121),
Angels (+132),
Athletics (-138),
Nationals (+108).

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks (comp)
Winner yesterday Under Giants

Today no write up
UNDER Pittsburgh / Philadelphia Phillies

[Mr. IWS]

RAS
WNBA

#603 Seattle Storm +9

[Mr. IWS]

Bang Your Bookie

15* Texas Rangers ML -130

[Mr. IWS]

tntsportspicks

Executive Pack

St. Louis Cardinals

Arizona Diamondbacks

Cleveland Indians

Boston Red Sox

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* GOW* Phillies RL -1,5

3* Rangers

3* Padres

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

N.Y. Mets –1 +111/04 -114 over WASHINGTON
If you don’t have the option of laying a single run than the recommendation is to lay the 14 cents with the Mets. The Mets are hot while the Nats are cold with five straight losses and playing hot v cold is rarely a bad idea. Next we have the Nationals giving Chien-Ming Wang a chance and that’s less likely to work then the Cubbies Doug Davis experiment. Ya’all might remember Wang’s last major-league experience back in ’09 when he was run out of the Bronx because he literally couldn’t retire a batter. Trust us on this one, the Nats didn’t find lightning in a bottle with this stiff. Making two starts for Syracuse of the International League, Wang allowed 15 hits and eight runs in 10 innings. With rising control issues, rising BAA, rising hr/f ratio and other concerns, about a thousand things have to go right for this science experiment to work and that’s not happening. The only way we lay off this bet is if the Mets hunted down Russ Ortiz and were starting him here and last time we checked they weren’t. Mets offense stays hot and they really should score a bunch again. Wang and Gee must start if you’re laying the one run. Wang must start while Gee doesn’t have to start if you’re laying the 14 cents. Play: N.Y. Mets –1 +111 (Risking 2 units).

Houston +174 over MILWAUKEE
The Brewers have scored 16 runs over their last seven games, they scored nine runs in their last three home games versus the brutal pitching staff of the Cubs and 10 days ago, in a four-game set at hitter-friendly Chase Field in Arizona, they were shutout twice. Instead of Rickie Weeks they are now forced to go with Craig Counsell and his current 0-41 streak. The Brewers bats are ice-cold with the exception of Ryan Braun. Randy Wolf is showing signs of tiring big time. The Crew have lost four of his last five starts and over that stretch he’s allowed 39 hits in 33 innings while striking out 18, walking 15 and posting a WHIP of 1.62. We’ve also seen his GB/FB ratio tilt heavily in favor of the fly-ball over that span. This is not a guy to be laying more than –180 with right now. Besides, isn’t this the time of year that the Astros get hot every season? Houston is coming off back-to-back wins over Jamie Garcia and Chris Carpenter in St. Louis. Jordan Lyles is winless in 10 starts and you have to be pretty good to remain in the rotation with a record like that. Despite being winless, his base skills have been really good. He has a xERA of 3.90 and Lyles has very good command with just 18 walks and 46 k’s in 61 frames. Lyles owns a solid history of terrific, sometimes elite command, and highly consistent control. Those are two exciting skills to see in any young pitcher, but to see them in a 20-year-old is remarkable and that first illusive win is going to happen real soon. Play: Houston +174 (Risking 2 units).

Chicago +124 over ST. LOUIS
When the White Sox traded away Edwin Jackson and ultimately ended up with a reliever in Jason Frasor, one really has to wonder why they did this in the middle of a pennant race. We all know how scarce reliable starters are these days and it makes even less sense when you consider that the South Side traded away Daniel Hudson to acquire Jackson less than a year ago. Jason Frasor is good but he’s not going to be the difference between winning a pennant or not while a good starting pitcher can be. Did the White Sox staff see some serious warning signs in Edwin Jackson? That’s what it sounds like but we’ll see how that plays out over time. For now, he makes his Cardinal debut for that genius, who said there was no room for Colby Rasmus but had Cory Patterson playing left-field last night. St. Louis has lost two in a row and they’ve scored just eight runs over its past three games. When they face a good pitcher they rarely produce and they’ll face a very good one here in Matt Garza. Garza has changed his pitch mix quite a bit this year. He is throwing less fastballs but is throwing them harder. He is throwing more sliders and changeups in their place. His average fastball velocity is the fifth highest in the NL. His new pitch mix and elevated velocity has resulted in the highest strikeout rate of his career and his 3.19 xERA suggests that his sub-4.00 ERA has even more upside. This is a good stretch run target for sure. Garza has had success against the Cards, holding STL batters to a .232 BA (13-56). He has been particularly effective against Lance Berkman (2-15, .133 BA) and Matt Holliday (2-11, .182 BA) and he absolutely gives the Cubbies a great chance to win. Play: Chicago +124 (Risking 2 units).


CFL
HAMILTON +3½/+149 over Montreal Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers)
Anthony Calvillo is back but is also a hit away from watching this one from the rail again with eye problems (blurred vision). Regardless of whether Calvillo lasts the whole game or not, the Als defense is a huge concern and that defense or lack thereof makes this team a big risk laying road points. Montreal is still the class of the East but like we said when the season began, they’re not as good as last year’s squad and frankly, they’re very fortunate to be 3-1. They lost to the winless Roughies last week and were down by 11 points when Calvillo got knocked out. They were fortunate to win the season opener against the 0-5 Lions and even the 40-17 win over the Argos two weeks ago was a misleading score. The Als only convincing win came against these Tigercats when Hamilton was reeling in week 2. That’s no longer the case, as The TiCats have won two in a row and the offense is clicking on all cylinders. They now have a shot at redemption and it says here they get it against a Montreal team that is getting far too much credit for being a mlot stronger than they actually are. Play: Hamilton +149 (Risking 1.5 units) Play: Hamilton +3½ (Risking 1.53 units to win 1.5).

EDMONTON –8½ over Toronto Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers)
The Argos were a bad club before last week and then the Bombers showed up and started banging bodies. As a result, the Argos will play this one with a ton of injuries and a ton of questions too. For instance, how will they score points and how will they prevent points? The answer to both is they won’t. Toronto is a team in big trouble and no answers are in sight. Meanwhile, the Eskimos are no flukes. They’re playing with intense focus and they’re also playing near flawless football. Edmonton is 4-0 and they’ve won its two home games by a combined 34 points over Hamilton and B.C. Surely they’re not taking a step down in class against an unproductive Argos club that is getting progressively worse with each passing game. The only chance the Argos have of covering is if the Eskies take a week off but with a coaching staff that has this team strongly focused every week and in front of a sellout and crazed crowd, don’t expect that to happen this week. The Eskimos should be able to name the score here. Play: Edmonton –8½ (Risking 3.09 units to win 3).

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

N.Y. Mets –1 +111/04 -114 over WASHINGTON
If you don’t have the option of laying a single run than the recommendation is to lay the 14 cents with the Mets. The Mets are hot while the Nats are cold with five straight losses and playing hot v cold is rarely a bad idea. Next we have the Nationals giving Chien-Ming Wang a chance and that’s less likely to work then the Cubbies Doug Davis experiment. Ya’all might remember Wang’s last major-league experience back in ’09 when he was run out of the Bronx because he literally couldn’t retire a batter. Trust us on this one, the Nats didn’t find lightning in a bottle with this stiff. Making two starts for Syracuse of the International League, Wang allowed 15 hits and eight runs in 10 innings. With rising control issues, rising BAA, rising hr/f ratio and other concerns, about a thousand things have to go right for this science experiment to work and that’s not happening. The only way we lay off this bet is if the Mets hunted down Russ Ortiz and were starting him here and last time we checked they weren’t. Mets offense stays hot and they really should score a bunch again. Wang and Gee must start if you’re laying the one run. Wang must start while Gee doesn’t have to start if you’re laying the 14 cents. Play: N.Y. Mets –1 +111 (Risking 2 units).

Houston +174 over MILWAUKEE
The Brewers have scored 16 runs over their last seven games, they scored nine runs in their last three home games versus the brutal pitching staff of the Cubs and 10 days ago, in a four-game set at hitter-friendly Chase Field in Arizona, they were shutout twice. Instead of Rickie Weeks they are now forced to go with Craig Counsell and his current 0-41 streak. The Brewers bats are ice-cold with the exception of Ryan Braun. Randy Wolf is showing signs of tiring big time. The Crew have lost four of his last five starts and over that stretch he’s allowed 39 hits in 33 innings while striking out 18, walking 15 and posting a WHIP of 1.62. We’ve also seen his GB/FB ratio tilt heavily in favor of the fly-ball over that span. This is not a guy to be laying more than –180 with right now. Besides, isn’t this the time of year that the Astros get hot every season? Houston is coming off back-to-back wins over Jamie Garcia and Chris Carpenter in St. Louis. Jordan Lyles is winless in 10 starts and you have to be pretty good to remain in the rotation with a record like that. Despite being winless, his base skills have been really good. He has a xERA of 3.90 and Lyles has very good command with just 18 walks and 46 k’s in 61 frames. Lyles owns a solid history of terrific, sometimes elite command, and highly consistent control. Those are two exciting skills to see in any young pitcher, but to see them in a 20-year-old is remarkable and that first illusive win is going to happen real soon. Play: Houston +174 (Risking 2 units).

Chicago +124 over ST. LOUIS
When the White Sox traded away Edwin Jackson and ultimately ended up with a reliever in Jason Frasor, one really has to wonder why they did this in the middle of a pennant race. We all know how scarce reliable starters are these days and it makes even less sense when you consider that the South Side traded away Daniel Hudson to acquire Jackson less than a year ago. Jason Frasor is good but he’s not going to be the difference between winning a pennant or not while a good starting pitcher can be. Did the White Sox staff see some serious warning signs in Edwin Jackson? That’s what it sounds like but we’ll see how that plays out over time. For now, he makes his Cardinal debut for that genius, who said there was no room for Colby Rasmus but had Cory Patterson playing left-field last night. St. Louis has lost two in a row and they’ve scored just eight runs over its past three games. When they face a good pitcher they rarely produce and they’ll face a very good one here in Matt Garza. Garza has changed his pitch mix quite a bit this year. He is throwing less fastballs but is throwing them harder. He is throwing more sliders and changeups in their place. His average fastball velocity is the fifth highest in the NL. His new pitch mix and elevated velocity has resulted in the highest strikeout rate of his career and his 3.19 xERA suggests that his sub-4.00 ERA has even more upside. This is a good stretch run target for sure. Garza has had success against the Cards, holding STL batters to a .232 BA (13-56). He has been particularly effective against Lance Berkman (2-15, .133 BA) and Matt Holliday (2-11, .182 BA) and he absolutely gives the Cubbies a great chance to win. Play: Chicago +124 (Risking 2 units).


CFL
HAMILTON +3½/+149 over Montreal Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers)
Anthony Calvillo is back but is also a hit away from watching this one from the rail again with eye problems (blurred vision). Regardless of whether Calvillo lasts the whole game or not, the Als defense is a huge concern and that defense or lack thereof makes this team a big risk laying road points. Montreal is still the class of the East but like we said when the season began, they’re not as good as last year’s squad and frankly, they’re very fortunate to be 3-1. They lost to the winless Roughies last week and were down by 11 points when Calvillo got knocked out. They were fortunate to win the season opener against the 0-5 Lions and even the 40-17 win over the Argos two weeks ago was a misleading score. The Als only convincing win came against these Tigercats when Hamilton was reeling in week 2. That’s no longer the case, as The TiCats have won two in a row and the offense is clicking on all cylinders. They now have a shot at redemption and it says here they get it against a Montreal team that is getting far too much credit for being a mlot stronger than they actually are. Play: Hamilton +149 (Risking 1.5 units) Play: Hamilton +3½ (Risking 1.53 units to win 1.5).

EDMONTON –8½ over Toronto Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xspwagers)
The Argos were a bad club before last week and then the Bombers showed up and started banging bodies. As a result, the Argos will play this one with a ton of injuries and a ton of questions too. For instance, how will they score points and how will they prevent points? The answer to both is they won’t. Toronto is a team in big trouble and no answers are in sight. Meanwhile, the Eskimos are no flukes. They’re playing with intense focus and they’re also playing near flawless football. Edmonton is 4-0 and they’ve won its two home games by a combined 34 points over Hamilton and B.C. Surely they’re not taking a step down in class against an unproductive Argos club that is getting progressively worse with each passing game. The only chance the Argos have of covering is if the Eskies take a week off but with a coaching staff that has this team strongly focused every week and in front of a sellout and crazed crowd, don’t expect that to happen this week. The Eskimos should be able to name the score here. Play: Edmonton –8½ (Risking 3.09 units to win 3).

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Tech Sports

5* Colorado + 113

5* Kansas City + 122

5* Minnesota + 135

[Mr. IWS]

Vic Monte
12 - 17 Max Out Special

2000* MAX OUT SPECIAL - PHILLIES -270

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG (MLB)
1 OF 3
Game: Arizona at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 7 +100

The Dodgers' pitching has been keeping them in games. Here is a team that has shutout six of their last 25 opponents, that is an amazing 24% and they sit 10 games below .500. It is because their bats just don't make enough noise, and good pitching efforts get wasted. The Dodgers' staff has allowed 46 runs in their last 16 games for less than 3 per contest, but has a losing record in their last 11. Arizona starter Joshua Collmenter isn't likely to give the light-hitting Dodgers' offense much to hit, as he has allowed 3 runs in his last three starts. The D-Backs have problems solving lefthanders on the road, running their under tally to 15-7 in their last 22 when facing them on the road. The Dodgers are having similar issues facing right-hand pitching where they are 20-6-1 to the UNDER in their last 27.
The UNDER gets the call.

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan

1,000* Milwaukee Brewers Run line -1.5 +120

[Mr. IWS]

DAQsports
Yesterday: (2-2-0) -34 units, July: (95-90-3) -483 units

Today's selections:

MONEYLINE:
Dbacks -108,
Brewers -186

RUNLINE:
Dbacks +150,
Brewers +110

[Mr. IWS]

SHARP MOVES

OVER - LAA / Detroit 9

OVER - Minnesota / Oakland 6.5

OVER - San Francisco / Cincinnati 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O´Brian

40 Dime OVER - Kansas City / Cleveland

20 Dime New York Mets

[Mr. IWS]

Sport System Specialists
Yesterday 2-4 -7.73
Overall since jun.17 +359.79

PHI -1.5 -115 risking 10.13

NYY -1.5 +100 risking 10.13

BOS ml +100 risking 4.5

ATL -1.5 +140 risking 50

STL -1.5 +170 risking 15.20

TEX -1.5 +130 risking 15.19

TB -1.5 +160 risking 10.13

[Mr. IWS]

Richie Carrera

San Francisco/CINCINNATI UNDER 8.5 (+100) 5 Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Jhonny Detroit
9-1 TWITTER Run
WNBA

OVER 146.5/147.0 IN SEATTLE/MINNESOTA

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN CHANG

---Start Time 10:10 PM EST---
Arizona Diamondbacks (-110, list both pitchers) over LA DODGERS, 5 dimes

[Mr. IWS]

JACK HOWARD

MLB:
San Francisco(+100) Over Cincinnati 5 Dimes
San Francisco/Cincinnati Under 8.5(-120) 5 Dimes
Pittsburgh(+250) Over Philadelphia 5 Dimes
Pittsburgh/Philadelphia Under 7(-115) 5 Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin

San Francisco Giants (-105) over CINCINNATI REDS
Chicago Cubs-ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (Under 8)
CHICAGO WHITE SOX (-105) over Boston Red Sox

[Mr. IWS]

Andy Iskoe

Texas Rangers-TORONTO BLUE JAYS (Under 8.5)
Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) over LOS ANGELES DODGERS

[Mr. IWS]

Ten Units Sports

TORONTO +115

WASHINGTON UNDER (9) -120

CINCINNATI -105

[Mr. IWS]

INDIAN COWBOY

4* WNBA: Seattle +8.5
4* MLB: LA Angels Over 9.5

[Mr. IWS]

spartan
Twitter play

Detroit Tigers

[Mr. IWS]

Keith Glantz


100* St Louis Cardinals

[Mr. IWS]

MAXWELL LTD

5* St Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo

8* Cleveland Indians
8* Atlanta Braves
8* Oakland A's

[Mr. IWS]

Derek Mancini

30 Dime Colorado ML

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook | MLB Money Line

Buried Treasure

dime bet 971 KAN (+125) JustBet (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=57) vs 972 CLE