8-6-11

[Mr. IWS]

New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

MMA PROFESSOR

Nam Phan (+200) over Mike Brown

Matt Hamil (+160) over Alexander Gustafsson

Mike Pierce (+125) over Johny Hendrix

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Crusher

Play of the Day:
Angels -150

[Mr. IWS]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Cueto And Reds Clash With Chicago Cubs
By: Adam Markowitz

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs (+125, 9)

Rivals from the middle of the pack in the NL Central duke it out at storied Wrigley Field on Saturday afternoon in MLB betting action, as the Cincinnati Reds pay a visit to the Chicago Cubs.

Cincinnati enters this one as fringe potential playoff teams. The Reds really need to get on a roll if they have any hopes of getting into the second season.

Chicago knows that its postseason hopes are finished, but the Cubs have won five straight in one of their best stretches of the entire season.

Those who want to take in this clash on the MLB odds can see it live starting at 10:05 a.m. (PT) on Comcast Sports Network and FOX Sports Ohio.

The pitcher with the best ERA in baseball is scheduled to be on display in the Windy City, as Johnny Cueto is going to take the bump for the Reds. He has a 7-4 mark on the campaign with a 1.72 ERA. The righty is coming off of a complete game shutout against the San Francisco Giants, and he has thrown 16 straight innings without allowing an earned run.

Batters are hitting just .197 against Cueto this year, and as a result, he only has a 0.98 WHIP. His K:BB ratio is just 67:32 over 109 2/3-innings on the campaign, but it is clear that just getting good wood on the ball is tough for batters.

Cueto hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in a game on the campaign, and he has pitched just as efficiently on the road as he has at home. Cueto is 4-2 with a 1.89 ERA this season as visitors.

Carlos Zambrano, who has strung together three consecutive quality starts, will get the ball Saturday afternoon from Chicago manager Mike Quade. The Venezuelan was part of rumors all week that pointed towards him heading to the Bronx, but that deal was ultimately nixed by the Yankees.

Zambrano has a ton of experience against the Reds over his career, tossing over 200 innings vs. Cincinnati with a personal 16-11 record and solid 3.24 ERA. None of that history meant a thing in his only start against them this season, however. Zambrano was a 145 road 'dog on May 16 and was charged with six runs in 5 1/3 frames of Cincinnati's 7-4 victory.

The Reds have gone 19-7 in their last 26 games against Chicago. The North Siders have only gone 2-6 in eight clashes this season, including losing two out of three in the first series of the year here at Wrigley Field.

Neither one of these teams have really done well on the MLB odds this year. Cincinnati is down 10.58 units, while Chicago is out 14.81 units. The Cubs are pitting their 25-31 home mark against the Reds' 24-30 away record.

Temperatures should be warm on Saturday with an isolated chance for storms. Expect temperatures to be in the low-to-mid 80s.

[Mr. IWS]

Saturday's Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

Justin Verlander, Detroit Tigers (15-5, 2.24 ERA)

If the Tigers can keep rolling in the American League Central, there is more than Cy Young buzz surrounding Verlander. The right hander is getting some AL MVP chatter, and his last three starts are more evidence that he deserves the consideration. Verlander is 3-0 with a 1.88 ERA during that span. In his most recent start, he went eight shutout innings, allowing only one hit and striking out nine batters.

Joe Saunders, Arizona Diamondbacks (8-8, 3.56 ERA)

The Diamondbacks won’t leave the Giants alone in the National League West, and Saunders is a big part of this late-season push. Arizona’s lefty is 2-0 with a 1.90 ERA in his last three outings and, going back to June 15, he’s 5-2 with an ERA just over 2.00. Saunders took down the Dodgers in his most recent start, giving up only two runs on eight hits over 7 2-3 innings of work.


SLUMPING

Cory Luebke, San Diego Padres (3-6, 3.21 ERA)

Luebke has struggled since making the move to the starting rotation. He’s winless in his last three outings, touting a 5.40 ERA during that span. A lack of run support has spoiled a few of his good efforts, but even offense wouldn’t bail Luebke out in his most recent performance. He gave up five runs on 10 hits over 7 1-3 innings versus the Dodgers.

Carl Pavano, Minnesota Twins (6-8, 4.90 ERA)

It was a coin toss on who to feature in this slumping spot between Pavano and Chicago’s Jake Peavy, who the Twins will go against Saturday. Pavano’s last two starts have been disastrous, dropping his record to 0-2 with a 12.00 ERA in his last three outings. After allowing eight runs over five inning versus the Rangers, the Twins righty served up seven earned runs on nine hits in just two innings against the Athletics Sunday.

[Mr. IWS]

HOT LINES

Saturday's Best MLB Bets

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins (+105, 8.5)

It was unfair of the Windy City’s South Siders to expect so much from Jake Peavy when he was just coming off injury, but now that he looks like he might be coming around a bit, the White Sox are only going to be looking for more from him.

Peavy threw seven solid innings in dropping a 3-2 pitching duel with New York’s CC Sabathia the last time he toed the rubber. The veteran fired 115 pitches and looked a lot like the Jake Peavy we’re used to seeing on the hill.

"I tried to pace myself and felt a little bit better going deeper in the ballgame," Peavy told reporters. "That's a great sign for me. I'm excited."

Now, if only Ozzie Guillen would start treating him like a guy who’s still trying to get over shoulder surgery. Guillen said the other day that he doesn’t even consider taking Peavy out before he hits 100 pitches and still considers the vet his ace.

He may not be what he was, but we like what we saw from him against the Yanks.

PICK: White Sox


Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs (+125, 9)

In typical Cubs fashion, the club has put together its longest winning streak of the year long after the season is lost – again.

Chicago won its sixth straight game Friday, downing the Reds 4-3 to improve to just 26-31 at Wrigley Field. The Cubs had dropped three at Milwaukee and two at St. Louis before sweeping the Pirates before welcoming in the Reds for this weekend series against Cincinnati.

“It was a good finish (against the Pirates),” manager Mike Quade told reporters. “This game will drive you nuts. You roll into Milwaukee and struggle to score runs. Then the craziness in St. Louis and then we put it together.”

It’ll be tough to keep it going Saturday though. Carlos Zambrano has been pretty solid lately, but you get the feeling he’s on the brink of another meltdown start any day now. Plus, Johnny Cueto’s on the hill for the Reds and he’s been just about unhittable lately.

Cueto is coming off a complete-game shutout of the Giants and he blanked the Mets over five innings in taking a hard-luck loss before that.

PICK: Reds

[Mr. IWS]

WNBA NEWS AND NOTES
WNBA: Liberty - Mystics Preview
By Associated Press


New York Liberty at Washington Mystics (4, 147)

At the end of June, it looked like the New York Liberty were going to struggle to return to the playoffs. The way they're playing now, finishing atop the Eastern Conference is a legitimate goal - especially after acquiring Kara Braxton.

Braxton is expected to make her debut as New York looks to win for the ninth time in 12 games Saturday night when it visits the conference-worst Washington Mystics.

The Liberty reached the East finals last season and had their sights set on advancing to the WNBA finals this year, but a 4-5 record in June put a damper on those expectations.

New York, though, has turned things around by winning eight of 11 and is in a three-way race with Indiana and Connecticut for the No. 1 seed in the conference.

The Liberty (12-8) made a move Thursday to try to separate themselves from the Fever and Sun, obtaining Braxton from Phoenix in exchange for forward Sidney Spencer.

The 6-foot-6 Braxton, who was on Detroit's championship teams in 2006 and 2008, averaged 10.6 points and 4.9 rebounds in 18 games for the Mercury this season. She is among the league leaders in field-goal shooting at 55.9 percent.

"Kara is an All-Star player with championship experience that has been successful in the league for a number of years and will make an immediate impact on the court," Liberty coach and general manager John Whisenant said in a statement.

"We feel this move increases our depth in the post and sets us up for further success as we look to build a championship caliber team."

The Liberty won their second in a row Thursday, holding Chicago to a WNBA-record one point in the fourth quarter in a 59-49 victory at home.

"I don't know if we played that well defensively in any single game this season," said guard Cappie Pondexter, who had a game-high 15 points. "To see that just shows you how we're staying with our game plan, how hard we're working, and how much we're believing in Coach Whis' defense."

New York didn't play well defensively at home against Washington (3-14) on July 28, but it came away with a 75-71 win despite the Mystics shooting a season-best 50.9 percent.

Pondexter led the way for the Liberty with 19 points, while Crystal Langhorne had 18 for the Mystics. That was the third of four straight losses for Washington, which has dropped nine of 10.

The Mystics have had some time to think about their last defeat. They haven't played since July 29, when Indiana's Shannon Bobbitt made a floating layup at the buzzer to win 61-59 in the nation's capital.

Washington has lost its last three by a combined 12 points.

"We're continuing to play hard; we just need to figure out how to close out games," Langhorne told the Mystics' official website. "We're playing close games every time out, so now we need to figure out how to win at the end."

[Mr. IWS]

LADY LUCK

Saturday's Best WNBA Bets

New York Liberty at Washington Mystics (4, 147)

The last time these two teams hooked up, the Liberty needed a come-from-behind effort to get the better of the bottom-feeding Mystics. They outscored Washington 22-15 in the fourth quarter and clamped down defensively to come away with the victory, but couldn’t cover as 9-point home favorites.

“I was so proud of my team,” Liberty coach John Whisenant said after the game. “All the effort, all the screw-ups you may have had before then comes down to if you can play defense in those last two minutes.”

The Liberty have played three times since that game, going 2-1 both straight up and against the spread. Washington, meanwhile, dropped another close one in its only game since their last meeting – a 61-59 defeat .

The Mystics have been better protecting their own bucket lately and have played under the total in three straight games. That goes along nicely with the fact that New York has checked under its totals in four consecutive contests and seven of the last eight.

PICK: Under


Tulsa Shock at San Antonio Silver Stars (-13.5, 151.5)

Cover your eyes, kids – this one could get ugly.

The Shock head into Saturday’s tilt having lost their last 12 games and they’ve covered only three times over that span.

The talent just isn’t there and no matter what the team tries to do with its game plans, it still seems to be battling just to avoid blowouts on a nightly basis.

Same story in the Shock’s latest loss – a 89-72 loss to the Seattle Storm as 7-point underdogs.

"If we get down and keep fighting, that takes all of our energy by the time we get to the fourth quarter," point guard Ivory Latta told reporters. "That's sometimes why we don't have a good fourth quarter. We fight so hard in the third just to cut it within 10 or something and we're all pretty much laid out."

Seattle pumped them 27-17 in the final frame and we may see a replay of that Saturday considering San Antonio’s depth.

PICK: San Antonio

[Mr. IWS]

CFL NEWS AND NOTES
Hamilton Tiger-Cats To Upset Calgary Stampeders
By North Shore Sports


Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Calgary Stampeders (-3.5, 50.5)

This season, CFL wagering picks are awfully difficult to making due to the fact that the teams are just so darn evenly matched. The 3-2 Stampeders have definitely underachieved this season, while the 3-2 Tabbies come into this one on a bit of a roll.

You have to go back to 2004 to find the last time that Calgary lost a game at home to the Tabbies, which is definitely going to make it quite hard to make CFL football picks any other way than this.

However, there are definitely a lot of signs that suggest this game could come right down to the wire.

The Stampeders just haven’t put forth a dominating effort at any point this season. They really haven’t played a difficult schedule yet, as the only game against a team that finished above .500 last year was last week’s road test at the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Calgary was lucky to escape that one with a 22-18 triumph, just as it was awfully fortunate to survive tests at the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and the BC Lions. This too, is a game that, on paper, should be won and won handily by the men in red, but we just don’t know if that’s going to be the case.

Henry Burris has thrown for 1,146 yards and six TDs this year, and he is completing just 59.6 percent of his passes. This isn’t nearly the same “Smilin’ Hank” that we’ve become accustomed to, nor is it the same offense featuring RB Joffrey Reynolds, who has yet to have a memorable game either.

As we mentioned at the top, the Ti-Cats are on fire right now, winners of three in a row to get back within a game of the lead in the East.

QB Kevin Glenn has held onto his job for the time being, something that many figured wouldn’t be the case after his first two dud starts of the season, and his holistic numbers now aren’t all that bad. He has thrown for 1,238 yards and nine scores against just four picks, and he is completing a rather respectable 61.6 percent of his attempts.

CFL Betting Picks – The curse is all over with for the Tabbies. We just don’t like the way that Calgary is playing right now, and this is chance for the boys from Steeltown to make a statement that they are legitimate Grey Cup contenders for the first time in well over a decade.

[Mr. IWS]

CANADIAN BACON

Saturday's Best CFL Bets

Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Calgary Stampeders (-3.5, 50.5)

The Tiger-Cats are on a three-game winning streak after beating the Alouettes, but they struggled to win in Calgary recently, like so many teams. The Stampeders have won eight of their last 10 games at home against Hamilton.

Although the Stampeders offense hasn’t been as devastating as it was in the first five games of 2010 (117 points compared to 140), this is a team that has dominated the fourth quarter this season.

All five games played by Calgary so far were decided by five points or less. The last time the Stampeders played that many close games was in 2001, when they went on a run of seven games decided by seven points or less.

On Hamilton’s side, Kevin Glenn has been playing better after two tough games to start the season, connecting on just over 61 percent of his pass attempts, and hasn’t been intercepted once in his last three games. But keep in mind that the Tiger-Cats have not won at McMahon Stadium since 2005.

PICK: Calgary

[Mr. IWS]

Saturday's Betting Tips: Weather Changes Bridgestone Sked

Weather To Watch

Tournament organizers at the Bridgestone Invitational are shifting Saturday’s schedule in an effort to avoid some messy weather. Meteorologists are predicting muggy conditions and thunderstoms Saturday, so players will tee off in threesomes at the first and 10th tees from 7-9 a.m., instead of at only the first tee in twosomes at 8 a.m.

Who’s Hot

MLB: Texas is 11-3 in its last 14 home games.

MLB: Oakland has won seven of its last 10 meetings with Tampa Bay.

CFL: The under is 8-3 in Hamilton’s last 11 games overall.

WNBA: The under is 10-1-1 in San Antonio’s last 12 games.

Who’s Not

MLB: Washington is 4-12 in its last 16 games as an underdog.

MLB: The under is 1-11 in the Angels’ last 12 games.

CFL: The over is 3-7 in the last 10 meetings between Hamilton and Calgary.

WNBA: Washington is 2-8 against the spread in its last 10 home games.

Key Stat

69.1 – The Tulsa Shock are easily the worst team in the WNBA and it isn’t tough to see where the problem lies. The Shock are averaging just 69.1 points per game and are the only team in the league to sit below the 70-point per game average.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Chipper Jones, Atlanta Braves – Many thought Jones (quad) would be back in the lineup Friday night after taking fielding drills earlier in the day, but he remained on the bench, so his status for the weekend is still up in the air. The veteran third baseman is hitting .258 with nine homers and 47 RBIs this season.

Game Of The Day

Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants (+115, 6.5)

Notable Quotable

”I know my stats don’t show it, but just the way I’m driving the golf ball, the start lines are so much tighter, and the shape of the shots are so much tighter. I’m so close to putting the ball on a string, so it’s coming.” – Tiger Woods after shooting a 1-over 71 in the second round at the Bridgestone International. Woods, who also said he’s playing completely pain free, heads into Saturday’s action well off the pace. Adam Scott, Rickie Fowler, Keegan Bradley, and Ryan Moore are tied for the lead at 8-under.

Tips And Notes

Home field hasn’t been friendly to the Calgary Stampeders so far this season. The Stamps are 0-2 both straight up and against the spread at McMahon Stadium heading into Saturday’s home date with Hamilton, but have won all three of their road games (2-1 ATS). "I thought it was no place like home," Calgary quarterback Henry Burris told reporters, "For us, it's been there's no place like the road. We need to turn that around.”

The Los Angeles Angels have pulled struggling veteran Joel Pineiro from the starting rotation. He’s working on a 5.31 ERA over 18 starts and will likely serve as a long reliever in the bullpen at least for the time being. The club doesn’t expect to name a replacement in the No. 5 spot in the rotation until early next week.

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

691- 517 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Sat Pirates -130

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Tigers last night.

Today it's the Tigers. The deficit is 2674 sirignanos.

[Mr. IWS]

Hondo

Hondo knocked a hefty chunk off the deficit last night, racking up winners with the Padres and Yan kees to lower the NRN (nasty red number) to 1,925 treshes.

Today, Mr. Aitch will put The American Idle to work for him -- 20 units on the Twinks. Also, he will give the Yanks the menial task of beating Lackey -- 20 units.

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play SATURDAY

Blue Jays/Orioles over 9

[Mr. IWS]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Tulsa at San Antonio

The Silver Stars look to take advantage of a Tulsa team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing with 0 days rest. San Antonio is the pick (-14 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Silver Stars favored by 19. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-14 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, AUGUST 6
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 651-652: New York at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 112.907; Washington 110.288
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 2 1/2; 150
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4 1/2); Over
Game 653-654: Tulsa at San Antonio (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 96.300; San Antonio 115.350
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 19; 145
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 14 1/2; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-14 1/2); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Today's CFL Picks

Hamilton at Calgary

The Stampeders look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in the last 5 meetings between the two teams. Calgary is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-4). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.
SATURDAY, AUGUST 6
Time Posted: 6:00 p.m. EST (8/2)
Game 497-498: Hamilton at Calgary (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 110.592; Calgary 116.233
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 5 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Calgary by 4; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-4); Over

[Mr. IWS]

Today's MLB Picks

Washington at Colorado

The Nationals look to take advantage of a Colorado team that is 0-7 in Jhoulys Chacin's last 7 starts. Washington is the pick (+155) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+155). Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, AUGUST 6
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 16.300; Cubs (Zambrano) 15.348
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-140); N/A
Game 953-954: Philadelphia at San Francisco (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.022; San Francisco (Cain) 15.249
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+110); Under
Game 955-956: Milwaukee at Houston (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Narveson) 16.436; Houston (Myers) 14.158
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); Under
Game 957-958: San Diego at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Luebke) 14.343; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.412
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); Over
Game 959-960: St. Louis at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 15.129; Florida (Nolasco) 14.545
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Over
Game 961-962: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hanson) 14.081; NY Mets (Niese) 15.386
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); Over
Game 963-964: Washington at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hernandez) 14.869; Colorado (Chacin) 14.504
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Colorado (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+155); Under
Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Eovaldi) 14.480; Arizona (Saunders) 16.058
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Boston (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 17.141; Boston (Lackey) 15.442
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-150); Under
Game 969-970: Toronto at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Morrow) 14.456; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.957
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+125); Over
Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Stewart) 13.496; Minnesota (Pavano) 15.167
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-105); Over
Game 973-974: Detroit at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.159; Kansas City (Duffy) 15.328
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-200); Under
Game 975-976: Oakland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (McCarthy) 15.533; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 15.304
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+135); Under
Game 977-978: Cleveland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carmona) 15.589; Texas (Wilson) 16.778
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-200); Over
Game 979-980: Seattle at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Beavan) 15.363; LA Angels (Chatwood) 15.846
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-150); Over

[Mr. IWS]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Angels -150 over Mariners

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 7.5 runs bet. the Angels and Seattle

[Mr. IWS]

MLB WRITE UP
SATURDAY, AUGUST 6

HOT PITCHERS
-- Cueto is 5-2, 2.44 in his last ten starts. Zambrano is 3-1, 2.19 in his last four starts.
-- Hamels is 6-4, 2.10 in his last thirteen starts.
-- Westbrook is 5-1, 2.82 in his last six road starts. Nolasco is 2-0, 2.03 in his last couple starts, but Florida lost nine of his last ten at home.
-- Narveson is 1-0, 2.41 in his last three starts.
-- Saunders is 2-0, 1.93 in his last three starts.

-- Sabathia is 7-1, 1.01 in his last eight starts. Lackey is 4-0, 4.11 in his last five starts.
-- Toronto won seven of Morrow's eight road starts.
-- Cobb is 3-1, 2.15 in his last six starts. McCarthy is 3-0, 3.70 in his last four starts.
-- Verlander is 3-0, 2.63 in his last three starts.
-- Carmona is 1-1, 2.79 in his last three starts.

COLD PITCHERS
-- Cain is 1-2, 4.74 in his last four starts.
-- Hanson has a 6.56 RA in his last four starts, but Atlanta won his last eight road starts. Niese has a 6.61 RA in his last three starts.
-- Maholm is 0-2, 4.88 in his last four starts. Luebke is 0-3, 5.89 in his last three starts.
-- Myers is 0-5, 5.28 in his last seven starts.
-- Chacin is 0-4, 5.44 in his last seven starts. Hernandez is 1-2, 6.66 in his last five starts.
-- Rookie Eovaldi is 6-5, 2.62 in 19 AA starts this season; this is his first big league start.

-- Tillman is 1-2, 6.04 in his last six starts.
-- Pavano is 0-2, 9.41 in his last four starts. Stewart was 0-1, 4.86 in three starts for Toronto; this is his first start for the White Sox.
-- Duffy is 1-2, 6.23 in his last four starts.
-- Texas lost last three Wilson starts (0-2, 8.04).
-- Chatwood is 1-3, 5.53 in his last five starts. Beavan is 1-2, 4.05 in his last three outings.

TOTALS
-- Seven of Reds' last eight road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Padres' last seven road games.
-- Four of Mets' last five games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-2-2 in last ten St Louis road games.
-- Under is 7-2 in Milwaukee's last nine road games.
-- Seven of last ten Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-3 in Dodgers' last nine road games.
-- Under is 10-4 in Cain's last fourteen starts.

-- Three of last four Tillman starts went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2-2 in last ten Bronx road games.
-- Nine of last eleven Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Carmona starts.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Minnesota's last twelve home games.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Kansas City home games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Seattle games.

HOT TEAMS
-- Marlins won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Cubs won their last six games, scoring 34 runs.
-- Brewers won nine of their last ten games. Houston won four of its last six home games.
-- Atizona won four of its last six games. Dodgers won four of their last five road games.
-- Phillies won 14 of their last 17 games.

-- Rays won six of their last eight games.
-- Blue Jays won six of their last nine games.
-- Red Sox won 13 of their last 20 games. Bronx won 16 of its last 21 games, including last eight in a row.
-- Royals are 10-6 in their last sixteen games. Detroit won four of its last five games.
-- Mariners won four of their last six games. Angels won seven of ten.

COLD TEAMS
-- Cincinnati lost 10 of its last 14 road games.
-- Pittsburgh lost ten of its last eleven games. Padres lost seven of 11.
-- Cardinals lost four of their last six games.
-- Mets lost their last five games, outscored 21-9. Atlanta is 4-6 in its last ten road games.
-- Colorado lost nine of its last thirteen games. Washington lost five of its last seven road games.
-- Giants lost seven of their last eight games.

-- Oakland lost 15 of its last 18 road games.
-- Indians lost 11 of their last 15 games. Texas lost six of its last ten.
-- Orioles lost eight of their last ten games.
-- White Sox lost six of their last seven games. Minnesota lost six of its last eight games.

UMPIRES
-- Cin-Chi-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Danley games.
-- Phil-SF-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Winters games.
-- Mil-Hst-- Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Cederstrom games, with dogs winning his last five games behind plate.
-- SD-Pitt-- Road team won five of last six TBarrett games.
-- StL-Fla-- Over is 7-3 in last ten Nelson games.
-- Atl-NY-- Six of last nine Bellino games stayed under the total.
-- Wsh-Col-- Six of last seven Miller games stayed under total.
-- LA-Az-- Last five Marquez games stayed under the total.

-- NY-Bos-- Road team won nine of last eleven Carlson games.
-- Tor-Blt-- Four of last five Layne games went over the total.
-- Chi-Min-- Three of last four Tichenor games went over the total.
-- Det-KC-- Home team won nine of last ten Porter games.
-- A's-TB-- Underdogs are 9-7 in last sixteen Reynolds games.
-- Cle-Tex-- Eight of last nine Cousins games stayed under total.
-- Sea-LA-- Road team won five of last six Scott games.

[Mr. IWS]

MLB WRITE UP
SATURDAY, AUGUST 6

HOT PITCHERS
-- Cueto is 5-2, 2.44 in his last ten starts. Zambrano is 3-1, 2.19 in his last four starts.
-- Hamels is 6-4, 2.10 in his last thirteen starts.
-- Westbrook is 5-1, 2.82 in his last six road starts. Nolasco is 2-0, 2.03 in his last couple starts, but Florida lost nine of his last ten at home.
-- Narveson is 1-0, 2.41 in his last three starts.
-- Saunders is 2-0, 1.93 in his last three starts.

-- Sabathia is 7-1, 1.01 in his last eight starts. Lackey is 4-0, 4.11 in his last five starts.
-- Toronto won seven of Morrow's eight road starts.
-- Cobb is 3-1, 2.15 in his last six starts. McCarthy is 3-0, 3.70 in his last four starts.
-- Verlander is 3-0, 2.63 in his last three starts.
-- Carmona is 1-1, 2.79 in his last three starts.

COLD PITCHERS
-- Cain is 1-2, 4.74 in his last four starts.
-- Hanson has a 6.56 RA in his last four starts, but Atlanta won his last eight road starts. Niese has a 6.61 RA in his last three starts.
-- Maholm is 0-2, 4.88 in his last four starts. Luebke is 0-3, 5.89 in his last three starts.
-- Myers is 0-5, 5.28 in his last seven starts.
-- Chacin is 0-4, 5.44 in his last seven starts. Hernandez is 1-2, 6.66 in his last five starts.
-- Rookie Eovaldi is 6-5, 2.62 in 19 AA starts this season; this is his first big league start.

-- Tillman is 1-2, 6.04 in his last six starts.
-- Pavano is 0-2, 9.41 in his last four starts. Stewart was 0-1, 4.86 in three starts for Toronto; this is his first start for the White Sox.
-- Duffy is 1-2, 6.23 in his last four starts.
-- Texas lost last three Wilson starts (0-2, 8.04).
-- Chatwood is 1-3, 5.53 in his last five starts. Beavan is 1-2, 4.05 in his last three outings.

TOTALS
-- Seven of Reds' last eight road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Padres' last seven road games.
-- Four of Mets' last five games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-2-2 in last ten St Louis road games.
-- Under is 7-2 in Milwaukee's last nine road games.
-- Seven of last ten Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-3 in Dodgers' last nine road games.
-- Under is 10-4 in Cain's last fourteen starts.

-- Three of last four Tillman starts went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2-2 in last ten Bronx road games.
-- Nine of last eleven Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Carmona starts.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Minnesota's last twelve home games.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Kansas City home games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Seattle games.

HOT TEAMS
-- Marlins won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Cubs won their last six games, scoring 34 runs.
-- Brewers won nine of their last ten games. Houston won four of its last six home games.
-- Atizona won four of its last six games. Dodgers won four of their last five road games.
-- Phillies won 14 of their last 17 games.

-- Rays won six of their last eight games.
-- Blue Jays won six of their last nine games.
-- Red Sox won 13 of their last 20 games. Bronx won 16 of its last 21 games, including last eight in a row.
-- Royals are 10-6 in their last sixteen games. Detroit won four of its last five games.
-- Mariners won four of their last six games. Angels won seven of ten.

COLD TEAMS
-- Cincinnati lost 10 of its last 14 road games.
-- Pittsburgh lost ten of its last eleven games. Padres lost seven of 11.
-- Cardinals lost four of their last six games.
-- Mets lost their last five games, outscored 21-9. Atlanta is 4-6 in its last ten road games.
-- Colorado lost nine of its last thirteen games. Washington lost five of its last seven road games.
-- Giants lost seven of their last eight games.

-- Oakland lost 15 of its last 18 road games.
-- Indians lost 11 of their last 15 games. Texas lost six of its last ten.
-- Orioles lost eight of their last ten games.
-- White Sox lost six of their last seven games. Minnesota lost six of its last eight games.

UMPIRES
-- Cin-Chi-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Danley games.
-- Phil-SF-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Winters games.
-- Mil-Hst-- Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Cederstrom games, with dogs winning his last five games behind plate.
-- SD-Pitt-- Road team won five of last six TBarrett games.
-- StL-Fla-- Over is 7-3 in last ten Nelson games.
-- Atl-NY-- Six of last nine Bellino games stayed under the total.
-- Wsh-Col-- Six of last seven Miller games stayed under total.
-- LA-Az-- Last five Marquez games stayed under the total.

-- NY-Bos-- Road team won nine of last eleven Carlson games.
-- Tor-Blt-- Four of last five Layne games went over the total.
-- Chi-Min-- Three of last four Tichenor games went over the total.
-- Det-KC-- Home team won nine of last ten Porter games.
-- A's-TB-- Underdogs are 9-7 in last sixteen Reynolds games.
-- Cle-Tex-- Eight of last nine Cousins games stayed under total.
-- Sea-LA-- Road team won five of last six Scott games.

[Mr. IWS]

FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

MLB Baseball Saturday
Play St. Louis (-130) over Florida (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST
Ricky Nolasco has lost 6 of the last 8 home games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has also lost 8 of the last 11 home games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Ricky Nolasco is 0-3 vs. St. Louis over his career with an ERA of 7.67 and he has an ERA of 7.90 over his last three overall starts.

Play Colorado (-165) over Washington (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 8:10 PM EST
Livan Hernandez has lost 10 of the last 11 road games and he has also lost 16 of the last 19 games vs. NL West Division Opponents. Livan Hernandez has lost 5 consecutive games as an underdog of +150 or higher and he has also lost 7 of the last 10 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs.

Play Texas (-200) over Cleveland (Bonus)
Starts at 8:15 PM EST

Canadian Football Saturday
100* Play Hamilton (+3.5) over Calgary
Starts at 9:30 PM EST
Calgary has lost 8 of the last 10 games against the spread coming off two or more UNDER the totals and they have also lost 10 of the last 13 games against the spread coming off a win by eight points or less. Calgary has lost 3 of the last 4 games as a favorite and they are only averaging 20 points a game on offense over the last three games.

[Mr. IWS]

VEGAS SPORTS PLAYS

JOHNNY YANG
3* Braves -120 ML

CARTER WILLIAMS
10* Reds -135 ML

BROOKS RILEY
3* Phillies -125 ML

GLENN LONG
3* Cardinals -125 ML

[Mr. IWS]

MLB PREDICTIONS

4* Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs - REDS TO WIN (-135) *1:05 PM EST START
(Note: I'm risking 4.05 units to win 3)
The Cubs look to make is 7 straight wins on Saturday, but they will be in tough. The Reds send Johnny Cueto to the mound, who has been one of the National League's best starting pitchers. Cueto is 7-4 on the season with a stellar 1.72 ERA (lowest in the majors) and 0.98 WHIP. Batters are hitting just .197 against Cueto over his 16 starts. In his 11 starts vs the Cubs in his career Cueto is 4-5 with a 3.44 ERA. The Cubs send Carlos Zambrano to the mound this afternoon, who has been up and down all season long. Zambrano is 8-6 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Batters are hitting .273 against Carlos. In his only start vs the Reds this season (May 16th) Zambrano lasted just 5.1 innings while giving up 6 hits and 6 earned runs. Note that the Reds are 50-24 in their last 74 road games vs a team with a losing record, and 27-13 in their last 40 Saturday games. They are also 4-1 in Cueto's last 5 starts, and 5-1 in his last 6 starts as a favorite. The Reds are 5-2 in Cueto's last 7 starts vs NL Central opponents. Take note that the Cubs are just 23-55 in their last 78 games vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, and 10-22 in their last 32 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. The Cubs are 2-8 in their last 10 Saturday games, and 5-15 in their last 20 during game 2 of a series. Zambrano struggles coming off of a quality start, as the Cubs are 2-6 in his last 8 starts following a quality start. The Cubs are also just 2-7 in his last 9 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150, and 2-6 in his last 8 starts vs NL Central teams. The Reds have taken 6 of these two teams 8 meetings this season, and 19- of their last 26 meetings overall. Also note that the Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 at Wrigley Field. Chicago has put together an impressive 6 game winning streak, but face a very tough pitcher here this afternoon. Look for Cueto to keep the Cubbies off the scoreboard for the most part, and the Reds to spoil the win streak. I like the odds we're getting on one of the Major's best starters behind one of the NL's best offenses. Lets switch sides today and take the Reds at a generous price.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Cincinnati -136 over CHICAGO: Ok we're gonna try again. Yesterday the Reds had plenty of chances vs the Cubs, but just couldn't get that clutch hit. Johnny Cueto gets the ball for the Reds as he will look to stop the Cubs winning ways. Johnny has had a fine season with a 7-4 mark and a league best 1.72 ERA, including a 4-2 mark with a 1.89 ERA on the road. He also comes in at 2-1 with an 0.45 ERA in his last 3 starts overall and in his last 3 starts vs the Cubs he is 2-0 with an 0.47 ERA. Johnny also has some strong WHIP numbers as it is 0.98 overall and 1.05 on the road. Carlos Zambrano has pitched better of late as he is 2-1 with a 2.41 ERA in his last 3 starts, but he has a high 1.50 WHIP in those 3 starts. Carlos is also just 2-3 with a 4.68 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP at home. He just allows too many men on base and the Reds, who come in averaging 4.9 rpg in their last 11 games should be able to get to Carlos in this one, while Johnny Cueto may be just the right guy at the just right time to shut down this Cubs team. The streak ends at 6 here.


2 UNIT PLAY

NY Yanks/ Boston Over 9: Yes John Lackey has been better of late, and Yes CC has been tough this year, but I see both offenses getting the better of it this afternoon. CC's road starts have averaged 9.25rpg on the year and he has a 4.83 ERA in his last 4 starts at Fenway. John Lackey's home starts have averaged 10.91 ERA and he has a 6.56 at Fenway this year, plus he has a 6.26 ERA in his last 3 starts vs the Yanks. I see double digits here.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

San Diego +106 over PITTSBURGH

The Pirates have now lost eight in a row and the bleeding isn’t likely to stop here. During its losing streak, Pittsburgh’s pitching has been torched and in fact, they surrendered five runs or more in all but one of those eight games. Overall, they’ve allowed 62 runs or an average of 7.75 RPG against over that eight-game stretch. The bullpen is running on fumes and the starters are trying to be too fine. While his 6-11 record doesn't show it, Paul Maholm has shaved nearly two full runs off his ERA since last year and is working his way back to relevance. What's behind this apparent revival? As it turns out, luck. Maholm's skills remain mediocre: Maholm's hit% is the lowest in four years and his strand rate is at the highest level. In other words, he's been fortunate. He's fanning marginally more hitters than he did a year ago, and walking the same number. Maholm's GB% is still good, but it's been declining slowly. Maholm may or may not end up with an ERA below 4.00, but if he does it'll be because he's lucky, not because he's morphed into a better pitcher at age 29. He remains an innings eater and bettors should think twice before being lured by the impressive but lucky ERA. Cory Luebke has a sub-3.25 ERA, and it's no fluke. He’s struck out 82 and walked just 22 in 81 IP and has a WHIP if 0.98. Luebke’s groundball rate is also trending the right way. There’s not a single warning sign about Luebke but there are plenty around Maholm. It’s also worth noting that the Padres are a decent hitting club versus lefties and they’re wrongfully being billed as the pooch today because of Maholm’s misleading numbers. Buy in. Play: San Diego +106 (Risking 2 units).


Los Angeles +125 over ARIZONA

No line on this game at the time of this writing but you can figure the D-Backs to be in the –135 price range. Joe Saunders continues to get bashed against righties and until that changes he’ll continue to struggle against right-handed lineups. The Dodgers will feature a heavily tilted right handed line-up to face Saunders because of his BAA of .273, OPB of .364, a .466 SLG% and an off the charts OPS of .810. Saunders is 2-4 at home with a 4.63 ERA and he’ll face this Dodger line-up for the second time in five days. He beat the Dodgers at Chavez Ravine on July 31 but allowed eight hits (2 ER) in seven innings and worked out of a few jams. Chase Field isn’t so friendly. The D-Backs have lost two in a row while the Dodgers have won three of four and this is the time of year that these spoilers become a lot more dangerous. They have nothing to play for other than making life miserable for contenders and that gives teams that are out of it great satisfaction. The Dodgers will recall Nate Eovaldi from Double-A to make his Major League debut. Eovaldi has seen his prospect status rise steadily throughout the year after a less than stellar '10 campaign. His control and command need attention, but he's been more dominant, as his fastball has increased a few ticks. He pitches off his 90-95 mph fastball early in the count and his secondary stuff more is also good, led by his curveball which could become a plus pitch with more time. His fastball exhibits plenty of late action down in the strike zone and he induces a large amount of groundballs. Because he's still raw, his changeup is not effective. An inconsistent release point and erratic mechanics have resulted in the command issues but his stuff is outstanding. He’s allowed just 76 hits in 103 innings and just for Chattanooga for a BAA of .203 and has 99 k’s to go along with it. Eovaldi has also allowed just three jacks all season in over 100 frames. If he throws strikes he has an outstanding chance of winning his ML debut because of his wicked stuff and it’s a chance worth taking because Saunders is capable of getting rocked. Play: Los Angeles +125 (Risking 2 units).


N.Y. Yankees –1½ +106 over BOSTON

The total in this game is 9 and it’s not because of C.C. Sabathia. All Sabathia has done ever since he put on a Yanks uniform is go out there every fifth day and dominate about 95% of the time. Good pitching always gets the better of good hitting and when a good pitcher like Halladay or Sabathia gets hit, it’s because they’re having an off day. So, even if the Red Sox manage to score three or four, the Yanks may triple that against the dead arm of John Lackey. Lackey had won four straight before losing to the Indians in his last start but those four wins were the result of the Red Sox scoring 28 times and not because Lackey pitched well. Au contraire my friends, as Lackey was absolutely destroyed to the tune of 29 hits allowed in 17 innings against Tampa, Seattle and Kansas City. Now he’ll face a real offense that is seeing beach balls right now and if the Yanks don’t knock this guy out before the fifth it’ll be more surprising than Amy Winehouse being found dead in her London home. Lackey has a 1.55 WHIP, a 6.23 ERA and a BAA of .303 and .330 in August. John Lackey continues to get pounded every fifth day and you won’t see this guy anywhere near the pitching mound come playoff time. Play: N.Y. Yankees –1½ +106 (Risking 2 units).


Calgary –3½ over HAMILTON

This has always been a tough place for the Tabbies to win at and after last week’s big emotional win at home against the hated Als, Hamilton could be in for a big letdown this week. After opening the year 2-0, the Ticats are now 3-2 but two of those wins were against B.C. and Saskatchewan, who are a combined 2-10. In their home win over the Als, the TiCats were outgained by 60 yards and again, it was at home and it was very intense, as the smack talk prefaced that game all week long. The Stamps have won three of four and that includes a win at the 5-1 Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Calgary has not hit stride yet. They always seem to get off to slow starts and gradually turn up the heat as the season wears on. The Stamps are getting healthy and that means potentially dominating offensive and defensive lines. Hamilton was whacked in its first two starts of the year because of a lack of focus and a lot of smack talk. That’s not the CFL way but we saw that again after last week’s win over Montreal and the result this week is likely going to come at the price of all that other BS. Henry Burris is more than capable of a huge game and if he gets the time this week, something he has not yet had, he’ll move the chains all game long. With this game being sandwiched between its two biggest rivals (Montreal last week, Toronto next week), this one has trouble written all over it for the visitor. Play: Calgary –3½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

San Diego +106 over PITTSBURGH

The Pirates have now lost eight in a row and the bleeding isn’t likely to stop here. During its losing streak, Pittsburgh’s pitching has been torched and in fact, they surrendered five runs or more in all but one of those eight games. Overall, they’ve allowed 62 runs or an average of 7.75 RPG against over that eight-game stretch. The bullpen is running on fumes and the starters are trying to be too fine. While his 6-11 record doesn't show it, Paul Maholm has shaved nearly two full runs off his ERA since last year and is working his way back to relevance. What's behind this apparent revival? As it turns out, luck. Maholm's skills remain mediocre: Maholm's hit% is the lowest in four years and his strand rate is at the highest level. In other words, he's been fortunate. He's fanning marginally more hitters than he did a year ago, and walking the same number. Maholm's GB% is still good, but it's been declining slowly. Maholm may or may not end up with an ERA below 4.00, but if he does it'll be because he's lucky, not because he's morphed into a better pitcher at age 29. He remains an innings eater and bettors should think twice before being lured by the impressive but lucky ERA. Cory Luebke has a sub-3.25 ERA, and it's no fluke. He’s struck out 82 and walked just 22 in 81 IP and has a WHIP if 0.98. Luebke’s groundball rate is also trending the right way. There’s not a single warning sign about Luebke but there are plenty around Maholm. It’s also worth noting that the Padres are a decent hitting club versus lefties and they’re wrongfully being billed as the pooch today because of Maholm’s misleading numbers. Buy in. Play: San Diego +106 (Risking 2 units).


Los Angeles +125 over ARIZONA

No line on this game at the time of this writing but you can figure the D-Backs to be in the –135 price range. Joe Saunders continues to get bashed against righties and until that changes he’ll continue to struggle against right-handed lineups. The Dodgers will feature a heavily tilted right handed line-up to face Saunders because of his BAA of .273, OPB of .364, a .466 SLG% and an off the charts OPS of .810. Saunders is 2-4 at home with a 4.63 ERA and he’ll face this Dodger line-up for the second time in five days. He beat the Dodgers at Chavez Ravine on July 31 but allowed eight hits (2 ER) in seven innings and worked out of a few jams. Chase Field isn’t so friendly. The D-Backs have lost two in a row while the Dodgers have won three of four and this is the time of year that these spoilers become a lot more dangerous. They have nothing to play for other than making life miserable for contenders and that gives teams that are out of it great satisfaction. The Dodgers will recall Nate Eovaldi from Double-A to make his Major League debut. Eovaldi has seen his prospect status rise steadily throughout the year after a less than stellar '10 campaign. His control and command need attention, but he's been more dominant, as his fastball has increased a few ticks. He pitches off his 90-95 mph fastball early in the count and his secondary stuff more is also good, led by his curveball which could become a plus pitch with more time. His fastball exhibits plenty of late action down in the strike zone and he induces a large amount of groundballs. Because he's still raw, his changeup is not effective. An inconsistent release point and erratic mechanics have resulted in the command issues but his stuff is outstanding. He’s allowed just 76 hits in 103 innings and just for Chattanooga for a BAA of .203 and has 99 k’s to go along with it. Eovaldi has also allowed just three jacks all season in over 100 frames. If he throws strikes he has an outstanding chance of winning his ML debut because of his wicked stuff and it’s a chance worth taking because Saunders is capable of getting rocked. Play: Los Angeles +125 (Risking 2 units).


N.Y. Yankees –1½ +106 over BOSTON

The total in this game is 9 and it’s not because of C.C. Sabathia. All Sabathia has done ever since he put on a Yanks uniform is go out there every fifth day and dominate about 95% of the time. Good pitching always gets the better of good hitting and when a good pitcher like Halladay or Sabathia gets hit, it’s because they’re having an off day. So, even if the Red Sox manage to score three or four, the Yanks may triple that against the dead arm of John Lackey. Lackey had won four straight before losing to the Indians in his last start but those four wins were the result of the Red Sox scoring 28 times and not because Lackey pitched well. Au contraire my friends, as Lackey was absolutely destroyed to the tune of 29 hits allowed in 17 innings against Tampa, Seattle and Kansas City. Now he’ll face a real offense that is seeing beach balls right now and if the Yanks don’t knock this guy out before the fifth it’ll be more surprising than Amy Winehouse being found dead in her London home. Lackey has a 1.55 WHIP, a 6.23 ERA and a BAA of .303 and .330 in August. John Lackey continues to get pounded every fifth day and you won’t see this guy anywhere near the pitching mound come playoff time. Play: N.Y. Yankees –1½ +106 (Risking 2 units).


Calgary –3½ over HAMILTON

This has always been a tough place for the Tabbies to win at and after last week’s big emotional win at home against the hated Als, Hamilton could be in for a big letdown this week. After opening the year 2-0, the Ticats are now 3-2 but two of those wins were against B.C. and Saskatchewan, who are a combined 2-10. In their home win over the Als, the TiCats were outgained by 60 yards and again, it was at home and it was very intense, as the smack talk prefaced that game all week long. The Stamps have won three of four and that includes a win at the 5-1 Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Calgary has not hit stride yet. They always seem to get off to slow starts and gradually turn up the heat as the season wears on. The Stamps are getting healthy and that means potentially dominating offensive and defensive lines. Hamilton was whacked in its first two starts of the year because of a lack of focus and a lot of smack talk. That’s not the CFL way but we saw that again after last week’s win over Montreal and the result this week is likely going to come at the price of all that other BS. Henry Burris is more than capable of a huge game and if he gets the time this week, something he has not yet had, he’ll move the chains all game long. With this game being sandwiched between its two biggest rivals (Montreal last week, Toronto next week), this one has trouble written all over it for the visitor. Play: Calgary –3½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).

[timbob]

SHARP MOVES

OVER - LA Dodgers / Arizona 9

UNDER - Detroit / Kansas City 8

974 - Kansas City +183 ML

[timbob]

RANDY BRUCE


MLB: *5 dimes each
Pirates -1.5 RL +175
Rays -1.5 RL +140

[timbob]

JOHN CHANG

---Start Time 7:05 PM EST---
San Diego Padres (+105, action) over PITTSBURGH PIRATES, 5 dimes

[timbob]

RICHIE CARRERA

PITTSBURGH -120 over San Diego 5 Dimes (Risk 6)
Atlanta -125 over NEW YORK 10 Dimes (Risk 12.5)

[timbob]

winsportsnow

Saturday Parlay Report
Brewers-145
Rockies-165
Dbacks-150

[timbob]

Tys Terrific Tips

Play of the Day

Philadelphia Phillies ML -139

3* Atlanta Braves ML -120

Free pick: Detroit Tigers ML -200

[timbob]

spartan | MLB Total

dime bet 970 BAL / 969 TOR Over 9 Bookmaker.com

[timbob]

James Patrick Sports

3* Minnesota Twins +105

Despite allowing just three runs over seven innings in his best outing in more than a month on Monday, Peavy was saddled with another loss in a (3-2) Yankees victory. He is (0-4) with a (6.11) ERA over his past six starts. The Twins Carl Pavano career mark of (8-3) with a (3.48) ERA against the Chisox and the fact that the White Sox have a very poor (6-24) mark in the last (30) meetings in Minnesota has us seeing double here. The Twins are (19-9) in their last (28) home games and a solid (5-1) in Pavanos last (6) starts versus White Sox and (7-2) in Pavanos last (9) Saturday starts. The Chicago White Sox are (0-5) in Peavys last (5) starts.

[timbob]

Paul Leiner

250* Pirates -125

100* Cardinals -125

50* Over 9 Jays/Orioles

[timbob]

WUNDERDOG (MLB)
MLB 15-8 last 23 picks +$1350
1 OF 5
Game: Washington at Colorado (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Colorado -1.5 runs +120 (runline)

The Washington Nationals have had a much better season than most had thought to this point. They are a young team and the first thing young teams turning the corner do is start winning at home, where the Nats are 32-23. The last thing is learning to win on the road and the Nats simply aren't there yet at 22-35 on the season. Hernandez has not provided help with the Nats at 2-10 in his last 12 starts as a dog and vs. the Rockies the Nats are 0-5 in his last five starts against them. Overall it has been a disaster for the Nats facing the Rockies where they are a dismal 11-30 in the last 41 meetings. I like Colorado on the runline.

[timbob]

David Banks
Winner yesterday Over Texas

Today no write up
UNDER Philadelphia / San Francisco

[timbob]

EasyBaseballBetting
Our systems say to go for:

Marlins (+118),
Orioles (+130),
Padres (+110),
Giants (+119),
Cubs (+128),
Red Sox (+138),
Mariners (+136),
Twins (+101),
Royals (+187),
Astros (+134).

[timbob]

Vic Monte

2000* MAX OUT SPECIAL - DETROIT TIGERS -200

[timbob]

Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk"

"Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB Regular Season

Ben lee won on Friday with the Rays -$157/A's.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" likes the Diamondbacks -$150/Nationals.

Mr Chalk" is 73-47 -$151 for the 2011 MLB regular season.

[timbob]

Saturday Comps.
Sebastian-Houston on the run line
Winner Line-Yankees
OTM-OVER Mets
Metro-Arizona
Kevin Kennedy-Texas

[timbob]

THE WINNING ADDICT

Cincinnati Reds -138 (Risk 6.9 units to win 5 units) 1:05 P.M. EST
Cueto is about to become the National League ERA Leader, and he simply has been lights out all year. It is fricking shocking knowing that the Cubs are going for their 7th straight win, but they are, even with the horrible bullpen and terrible defense. One note about that bullpen—they are exhausted. I expect Cueto to go very deep into the game, and while Carlos Zambrano has had a ton of recent success against the Reds in his career, he has labored lately—throwing too many balls and getting behind in counts. It is hard to see the Reds competing for the division at this point, as they sit at 54-58, but I know this clubhouse has not given up, and I expect them to finish the weekend strong in Chicago before they come home for a nice homestand. They need a great winning streak if they want to get back in this thing. They haven’t hit well with runners in scoring position, but they are 1 hit away from about 8 more wins this season, and a few converted saves from a few more. This team is much better than their record indicates, and their run differential backs up that fact. Take the Reds and win 5 units.
5 UNIT* MLB* Cincinnati Reds -138 ML

St. Louis Cardinals -130 (Risk 6.5 units to win 5 units) 7:10 P.M. EST
Is it safe to assume after Yadier Molina went nuts on umpire Rob Drake and the Cards dropped their 2nd game in the 3 game set with Milwaukee that the Cards are playing with added energy and tons of fire? Yes it is. I love the way this Cardinals team is playing right now, as they are getting clutch hits from throughout their entire lineup, and I would put the middle of this order up against pretty much anyone right now. Chris Carpenter is a go-to guy. I know he has had a tough year and started 1-7, but I also know he is embarrassed by his last performance in Milwaukee, letting an early game lead slip away, and I can’t see him laying another egg. Ricky Nolasco was unthinkably bad in his last outing at home vs San Diego, but he has rebounded nicely and pitched well around a ton of hits in his last start in Atlanta, a 3-1 Marlins victory. The Fish came into this series playing some very good baseball, but without Omar Infante and Hanley Ramirez—this is a totally different team. The Cardinals are on a mission, and they finish up this series with some solid performances and they get ready for Milwaukee to come to town. The Cards are 3 back of Milwaukee and even further back from the wild card, so they need these wins. Win 5 units on St. Louis and my main man Chris Carpenter.
5 UNIT* MLB* St. Louis Cardinals -130 ML

UNDER 7.5 San Diego/Pittsburgh -110 (Risk 4.4 units to win 4 units) 7:05 P.M. EST
I think this is a really solid spot for the under to come through, as Cory Luebke has been money in the bank on the road for the Padres. This Padres team has actually played some pretty good baseball on the road. Paul Maholm, the PNC Park warrior and king of no run support, goes for the slumping Pirates. This Pirates ship has been hit with seven fucking cannon balls and the shit is sinking fast. In fact, I feel like it’s like movie Titanic when Leonardo and his girl watch the last little bit go under. Anyway, Paul Maholm is going to do a hell of a job today for his Buccos at home, and I think this may be the one they finally break the streak. With that said, Luebke is a nice young lefty arm, and the Bucs haven’t hit lefties well, so I actually see this being a 2-1 or 3-2 game down to the wire. Either way, the game is going under, so pick up 4 units.
4 UNIT* MLB* San Diego Padres/Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 -110

UNDER 6.5 Philadelphia/San Francisco -110 (Risk 4.4 units to win 4 units) 4:05 P.M. EST
Man, watching this game Friday night was the most exciting 9-2 game I have seen in a while. This is going to get nasty throughout the weekend, and these teams definitely haven’t lost any love from last year’s NLCS. We may just have the same thing this October. Cole Hamels is coming off a subpar effort in Colorado, and I think he returns to form here today vs a weak-hitting Giants team. This team can’t hit at all. They need like 4 more Beltrans and that might help. On the other side of the bump is Matt Cain, who has been awful for his standards in his past 2 starts, and again—I expect much better today. The Phillies lineup can be pitched around, and I expect Raul Ibanez to be back in left field vs the right-handed Cain, and that is good for the Giants, because Ibanez is not John Mayberry Jr—who has killed them the past 2 days with 2 home runs into the San Francisco night. I hate taking unders lower than 7, but then again—this is the Giants we are talking about, so take the under with confidence and win 4 units.
4 UNIT* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies/San Francisco Giants UNDER 6.5 -110

Texas Rangers RL (-1.5) [even money] (Risk 4 units to win 4 units) 8:05 P.M. EST
CJ Wilson has to start pitching like the ace Texas expects him to be sometime, and I think tonight vs an Indians team that has struggled to hit the ball consistently is a great place to start. This Texas team is never out of a game with the way they hit the ball, and they showed that again with yet another comeback. 2 outs and no one on down by 2, they found a way to tie it and won it on a crazy play that involved great base running and aggression. Fausto Carmona has a great live arm, but he is impossible to figure out. I hate betting against him, because I honestly believe he can go out at any moment and throw a shutout, but he refuses to put it all together. Meanwhile, CJ Wilson doesn’t have great stuff, but his good control and ability to work ahead and the count and work down in the zone always gives him a chance to get guys out consistently. Carmona just doesn’t seem to have it all going between the ears, so I am going to recommend a sizeable play on Texas -1.5 for 4 units.
4 UNIT* MLB* Texas Rangers -1.5 RL EV ML

OVER 9 Washington/Colorado -110 (Risk 3.3 units to win 3 units) 8:10 P.M. EST
Livan Hernandez goes today for the Nationals fresh off a dandy performance against Atlanta—the first win for him in quite some time. His team has not performed well in his starts, but I think they are going to have some nice run support for him today vs a very good young pitcher in Jhoulys Chacin. Chacin is coming off a great performance at home vs the Phillies, a game in which he beat Cole Hamels. Chacin is the lefty of the future for the Rockies, but the right-handed power for the Nationals matches up against him very well. I love the combo of Morse, Zimmerman, and Werth against him, not to mention Espinosa and Desmond. I think it’s fair to say the Rockies will find a way to score some runs off of Livan. I love Livan, I can’t help it, and I hope I am still including him in write ups in 2016, and since Cuban arms seemingly last til about age 57, I think that is a distinct possibility. Play the OVER 9.
3 UNIT* MLB* Washington Nationals/Colorado Rockies OVER 9 -110

UNDER 8 Oakland/Tampa Bay -110 (Risk 3.3 units to win 3 units) 7:10 P.M. EST
Brandon McCarthy has some serious hype when he was coming up through the ranks as a young starter, but he has never reached the potential that many thought he would. So what? I love him in this spot on the road vs the light-hitting Rays. The Rays have been tearing me up lately, because I feel like the Rays are 1-7 when I bet them and 7-1 when I bet against them, and whenever it’s a total—they find a way to make me lose hair follicles. Tampa Bay has not hit well at home all year, yet they found a way to beat the Jays in epic fashion two days ago and they beat up my man Guillermo Moscoso last night. I don’t care. McCarthy will handle them today. The Rays send rookie Alex Cobb to the hill, but as far as I’m concerned, they could send me to the mound and I’d feel good about my chances of keeping the A’s in check. This team can’t hit at all, and that won’t change anytime soon, so the under 8 seems like a good play to me. Win 3 units.
3 UNIT* MLB* Oakland Athletics/Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 -110

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Jimmy Boyd

5* Rockies -1.5

3* Red Sox -1.5

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Jeff Benton

Saturday's Action
60 Dime baseball seleetion on the Cardinals over the Marlins. At the time I release this winner, St. Louis is right around a -135 favoorite on the money line both here in Vegas and offsoore. Starting pitchers are always listed on my site, so both Carpenter and Nolasco must start or this play is VOID

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John Harrison

Yanks/RedSox OVER

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INDIAN COWBOY

4* WNBA: Under New York
4* MLB: Pirates ML

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Matt farrgo

10* cincinnati reds ml
10* tampa bay rays ml

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Todays Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates ML

Toronto Blue Jays ML

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Greg Shaker
I just bet the following for 1% Bankroll and I did list My Pitchers...Great Vig here..

#968 New York Yankees/Boston RedSox UNDER 9 +100

Goodfella
Twitter Plays are (79-55 59%) for 2011 YEAR.
Another Twitter Winner w/the Braves last night.

Twitter Play: TAMPA / OAKLAND UNDER 8.

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Keith Glantz

100* LA Angels

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Jacob Rich

5* Cards
5* Was/Col OVER 9

3* Colorado
3* Mets

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USA cappers

HOUSTON ASTROS ML
OAKLAND ATHLETICS ML
SEATTLE MARINERS ML

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PITT VIPER SPORTS

Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants
ROT# 953 - 4:10pm - Philadelphia/San Francisco over 6 (-125)
2.5 units to win 2 units
Final Prediction: Philadelphia 6 - San Francisco 3
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St. Louis Cardinals at Florida Marlins
ROT# 959 - 7:10pm - St. Louis Cardinals -125
3 units to win 2.4 units
Final Prediction: St. Louis 6 - Florida 2

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SPORTS PICKS DIRECT - JAY SCHAAP

1* San Francisco Giants UNDER 6.5 -120
1* Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9 -115

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GoodLyfe Sports
yesterday 5-1

Phillies

Toronto

OVER Rockies

Twins

Brewers

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The Natural Handicapper

10* NY Yankees ML

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executive

600% Boston Red Sox ML

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KELSO
50 UNIT* MLB* Milwaukee Brewers -145 ML
15 UNIT* MLB* Seattle Mariners-Los Angeles Angels OVER 7.5
10 UNIT* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies -125 ML
3 UNIT* MLB* Atlanta Braves -120 ML
3 UNIT* MLB* Toronto Blue Jays -130 ML

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Carlos Picks

MLS
Sunday, August 7, 2011

Chicago Fire at Vancouver Whitecaps

Our Pick: Chicago Fire +175

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SGHotline

Been awhile but we are putting our 20-4 Private Play record on the line on Saturday with Royals +1.5

Regular Play for Saturday on ChiSox +110

Service out of San Antonio has Game of the Year on Yankees -150 over Red Sox.
They have never lost their MLB Game of the Year since 1998!

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Gill Alexander

gill alexander | MLB Money Line Sat, 08/06/11 - 7:05 PM ˌ

triple-dime bet 957 SDP (+105) Bookmaker.com vs 958 PIT

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Bob Balfe

Rangers / Indians Over 9.5

I would not be shocked to see Texas put up double digits the way they have been swinging the bat. Last night both teams scored a ton of runs, but if you watched the game - you saw the Rangers probably leave about 5 more runs off the board on hard hit balls that happen to get caught. This team is really feeling it on offense. The line is just too high to take Texas. Take the Over. Reply

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ATS LOCK CLUB

6 Phillies -122 ML
5 Blue Jays/Baltimore Orioles OVER 9
4 Yankees/Red Sox OVER 9
4 CFL Hamilton/Calgary OVER 50.5

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BASEBALL PROPHET

POD
Angels -1.5 RL