8-7-11

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WNBA NEWS AND NOTES
WNBA: Storm-Dream Preview
By Associated Press


Seattle Storm at Atlanta Dream (-3, 155)

The Seattle Storm swept the Atlanta Dream in last season's WNBA finals, but each game went down to the wire. It is entirely possible that without the efforts of finals MVP Lauren Jackson, the Dream could have been the ones lifting the championship trophy last September.

Atlanta will now get the opportunity to see how it fares against the Storm without the seven-time All-Star patrolling the paint Sunday in the first meeting between these teams since last year's finals.

Seattle (12-8) won its second title last season by winning the three finals games over the Dream by a combined eight points. Jackson carried the Storm over Atlanta, averaging 22.3 points and 8.0 rebounds to become the fourth player in WNBA history to win both the finals MVP and regular-season MVP in the same year.

Even with the 6-foot-5 Jackson in the post, the Dream still outrebounded Seattle in two of the games. Atlanta is near the top of the league in rebounding this year at 36.7 per game, and hopes to take advantage of a Storm team ranked close to the bottom of the league in rebounding at 32.0.

One of the big reasons Seattle is struggling to control the glass is Jackson has been sidelined since June 21 with a hip injury. The team is hopeful she'll be healthy enough for another championship run.

Sue Bird is leading the Storm during Jackson's absence, and she hit a 3-pointer with 0.4 seconds left to lift Seattle to an 81-79 win over Connecticut on Friday. Bird finished with 20 points - her seventh 20-point game of the season - to help the Storm win a season-best third straight game and fifth in six overall.

"I've seen her make that shot a number of times,'' Swin Cash said. "In Sue Bird we trust. She's proven herself over and over again. When she puts that shot up, it's going in.''

Like Seattle, Atlanta has also dealt with an injury to its best player.

The Dream (8-11) got off to a sluggish start to the season, losing seven of their first nine games, as Angel McCoughtry was slowed by a left knee injury suffered in training camp.

McCoughtry seems to have overcome that injury, but coach Marynell Meadors has decided to have her come off the bench in Atlanta's last two games - both losses. The Dream had won their previous five.

McCoughtry, who was named the Eastern Conference player of the month for July, had a team-high 24 points in Tuesday's 85-75 loss to New York, and is averaging 29.8 points in her last four contests.

Despite McCoughtry's strong offensive showing, the Dream were outrebounded by the Liberty 36-29.

"If we rebound, it fits right into our game so we can push it and run,'' Meadors said

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LADY LUCK

Sunday's Best WNBA Bets

Seattle Storm at Atlanta Dream (-3, 155)

A bit of payback is in store in Sunday’s WNBA action, as the Atlanta Dream face the Seattle Storm for the first time since losing to their Western Conference foes in last summer’s WNBA Finals.

Seattle edged Atlanta, sweeping the Dream in three straight games by an average margin of less than three points. However, both teams look different than their 2010 incarnations, with injuries plaguing their rosters.

The Storm are without MVP center Lauren Jackson, who averaged over 22 points and eight rebounds against Atlanta in the postseason. The Dream are battling to get back to .500, with point guard Shalee Lehning out for the year and standout Angel McCoughtry still playing on a tender knee that bothered her to start the year.

"They're still always going to be a good team, with their veteran leadership," McCoughtry told ESPN about Seattle. "Right now, we're just trying to string together enough wins to make the playoffs. We're not worrying about what happens then; we just have to secure that playoff spot and go from there."

The Storm have been on a role lately, winning three straight games and five of their last six – posting a 4-2 mark ATS. Atlanta has dropped back-to-back contests after stringing together five wins in a row in July.

"Right now, I think we're still good, even in the position we're in. We still have the potential to improve,” said McCoughtry. “Anybody can get hurt any time; that's sports. You have to enjoy every opportunity and don't take it for granted. I know Shalee wants to be playing right now, but she can't. So let me go out and give it my all."

PICK: Atlanta


Minnesota Lynx at Los Angeles Sparks (+6, 158)

The Minnesota Lynx continue to put space between them and the rest of the Western Conference. They’ve won eight games in a row, boasting a 6-2 ATS record in that stretch.

Next on the list for the Lynx are the Los Angeles Sparks, who were dropped by Minnesota 85-72 back on July 26. The Lynx managed to cover as 9-point home favorites in that contest, holding L.A. to just 30 points in the first half.

“We haven’t done anything yet. We’ve won some games but we haven’t accomplished anything. Nobody is going to give us a trophy for being first in the middle of the season,” forward Rebekkah Brunson told reporters. “We have to keep going and continue to win and get better and put us into the best position going into the playoffs. We haven’t done anything yet. We still have a lot to do and a lot of areas where we can get better.”

Minnesota used to get dominated by the Sparks, going 0-8 until winning both meetings this season. That one-sided record will keep the top team in the league focused against a Sparks squad that's on a 1-6 skid.

PICK: Minnesota

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Sunday's Betting Tips: Minor In, Jurrjens Out

Weather To Watch

The forecast for Sunday’s final round of the Bridgestone Invitational in Akron, Ohio, calls for temperatures in the low 80s, with a 20 percent chance of rain and 11-mph westerly winds.

Who’s Hot

MLB: The Royals are 8-2 in Bruce Chen’s last 10 home starts.

MLB: The Under is 10-1-2 in the White Sox’s last 13 games vs. a lefty starter.

WNBA: Connecticut is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games.

Who’s Not

MLB: The Over is 5-12 in umpire D.J. Reyburn’s last 17 games behind the plate. He’s calling Cleveland-Texas on Sunday.

MLB: The Orioles are 3-12 in their last 15 games with a total set between 7.0 and 8.5.

WNBA: Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last five games against the Eastern Conference.

Key Stat

8 – That’s how many 1,000-yard receiving seasons Derrick Mason has posted. The 15-year vet joined the Jets on Saturday, joining a wideout corps that already includes Santonio Holmes and Plaxico Burress.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Marlins shortstop Hanley Ramirez (.243, 10 HR, 45 RBIs) missed his third straight game Saturday with a sprained shoulder he suffered while diving for a pop fly on Tuesday. He has a chance to play Sunday, so check the lineups.

Game Of The Day

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox (-165, 9)

Notable Quotable

“Actually, I’m a little surprised [about] how I performed out there.” – Nineteen-year-old Ryo Ishikawa, after shooting a 6-under-64 to pull within one shot of leader Adam Scott at the Bridgestone Invitational.

Tips And Notes

Adam Scott (+250) is a slight favorite over Jason Day (+300) to capture the Bridgestone Invitational on Sunday, according to betonline.com. Scott (-12) leads Day (-11) and Ryo Ishikawa (-11) by one stroke. Ishikawa, just 19 years old, is set at +700, along with Martin Laird (-12) and Luke Donald (-9). Ten golfers are within five shots of Scott.

Braves ace Jair Jurrjens went on the DL Saturday with a right knee strain after struggling in four starts since the All-Star break. The team called up Mike Minor to start Sunday against the Mets, and said Jurrjens likely will miss only two starts. Jurrjens, who had the same knee surgically repaired last October. went into the All-Star break leading the NL with a 1.87 ERA. Since then he’s posted a 6.26 ERA.

Reds second baseman Brandon Phillips is day to day after spraining his ankle in an outfield collision Saturday. Phillips is hitting .287 with 10 homers, 62 RBIs, 26 doubles and 62 runs scored, and slumping Cincy desperately needs him to get back in the NL Central race.

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Gamblers Data

Free Play SUNDAY

Tigers -138

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Hondo

Hondo endured his customary Saturday night wipeout last night, crashing with the Yankees and Twins to move the nasty number on the big red tote board back up to 2,205 ruffings.

Tonight, heady Freddy looks steady and ready to do a number on the Bosawx -- 20 units on the Bronx Bombers.

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HOT LINES

Sunday's Best MLB Bets

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs (-101, NA)

The Cubs, yes the Cubs, have won seven straight after Saturday’s 11-4 victory. They haven’t done that since August 2008.

Starlin Castro drove in four runs Saturday and has an NL-best 148 hits. Alfonso Soriano was on base four times, and Reed Johnson singled, doubled and scored three runs. It only took the Cubs falling 23 games under .500 for them to wake up.

Chicago goes for the sweep behind Randy Wells, who’s 2-1 with a 3.50 ERA over his last three starts.

The reeling Reds send out Bronson Arroyo. Opponents are hitting .294 against Arroyo, and only once in his last seven starts has he allowed less than four earned runs. He has two quality starts since June 8.

PICK: Cubs


Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants (-137, 6.5)

The red-hot Phillies have won a season-high nine in a row following Saturday’s 2-1 win at AT&T Park.

But everything has to end sometime, and Sunday’s matchup favors the Giants in a big way.

Philly’s Roy Oswalt (lower back inflammation) is coming off the DL and making his first major-league appearance since June 24.

Meanwhile, San Fran ace Tim Lincecum has given up a total of five runs in his last five starts. Batters are hitting .216 against him, and he’s struck out 160 in 149 1/3 innings.

In eight career starts against the Phils, Lincecum is 3-1 with a 2.82 ERA. Look for the Giants to salvage one game in this heated series.

PICK: Giants

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Sunday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers (13-4, 2.68 ERA)

Kershaw has won five straight starts and has only one loss in his past 17 trips to the mound, dating way back to the beginning of May. He’s given up only two earned runs during this recent winning streak, with 39 strikeouts and nine walks.

Ervin Santana, Los Angeles Angels (7-8, 3.32 ERA)

Something about the L.A. sunshine makes for great pitching. Santana has won three straight games, including his no-hitter against the Indians at the end of July. During this span, the lefthander has posted a 0.70 ERA, 18 strikeouts and just four base-on-balls.


SLUMPING

Kevin Correia, Pittsburgh Pirates (12-9, 4.71 ERA)

He has been shellacked in two of his last three starts. In that span he's given up 16 earned runs in 13 innings, including six homers. Correia has been terrible since he started the season 5-2.

David Price, Tampa Bay Rays (9-10, 3.77 ERA)

The price isn’t right for the Rays' southpaw starter. Price is 0-3 with a 4.05 ERA over his last three outings. He hasn’t pitched too poorly in that span, and has received only one run of support over those appearances. He’s been a tough bet at home too, going 4-6 with a 3.35 ERA inside Tropicana Field.

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MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Boston Red Sox, New York Yankees MLB Betting Preview
By: Willie Bee


New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox (-165, 9)

It's a familiar sight for ESPN Sunday Night Baseball viewers when the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees close out a 3-game set. First pitch from Fenway Park is slated for a little past 5:00 p.m. (PT).

New York opened the series with a 3-2 win Friday night as the underdog on the MLB betting charts. Curtis Granderson and Nick Swisher played key roles in the Yankees' 3-run, 6th-inning outburst against Boston's Jon Lester while New York relievers silenced the Red Sox lineup over the final 4 1/3 innings.

The victory pushed the Yankees a game ahead of the Sox in the AL East standings and swelled New York's win streak to eight games. Saturday's matinee was still in progress with CC Sabathia and the Yanks carrying a -150 price with a scoreboard total at nine runs.

Sunday's starting pitching battle has New York's Freddy Garcia (11-8, 3.22) facing Josh Beckett (15-6, 2.20) of the Red Sox. The game will mark Garcia's third start vs. the Red Sox this season, along with one relief appearance. Beckett is battling the Yankees lineup for a fourth time in '11.

All three of Beckett's 2011 assignments against New York have been opposite Sabathia and resulted in Boston victories. The right-hander has whittled his career ERA down vs. the Yanks with 21 innings of work and only two earned runs crossing the plate in building his personal record to 13-7 against them.

Beckett has been particularly stingy at home with a 1.99 ERA in 10 Fenway starts. The Red Sox have won eight of those 10 contests.

Garcia is shooting for his fourth consecutive win and has posted eight quality starts in his last nine outings. His overall numbers away from the Bronx are also of the quality variety with a 2.85 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in eight starts and his lone relief outing of the season which came here at Fenway in April.

Neither of Garcia's two starts vs. the Red Sox have been quality outings, however. He lasted less than two frames at home on June 7 when Boston scored four times against the righty in a 6-4 victory with Garcia +115. He was a 125 home 'dog to Lester again on May 15 when the Sox plated five in Garcia's 5 1/3 frames en route to a 7-5 triumph.

Now in his 12th full season at the major league level, Tim Timmons is in line to call the balls and strikes for this one. 'Under' bettors have cleaned up when Timmons works the plate this season to the tune of 15-6-1 this season and 33-17-4 the past two years.

Boston's weather forecast calls for a 60 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms throughout the day and evening. Look for the thermometer to sit in the low-70s at game time with a southeast wind around 10 mph (1B across to 3B).

New York will enjoy Monday off before opening a homestand Tuesday with the first of three vs. the Los Angeles Angels. The Red Sox hit the road for six games beginning Monday at the Minnesota Twins.

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Baseball Crusher

Play of the Day:
Sunday - Yankees + RedSox OVER 9

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Arthur Ralph Sports

691- 518 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Sun: Texas -170

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Today's MLB Picks
LA Dodgers at Arizona

The Dodgers look to take advantage of an Arizona team that is 1-7 in Ian Kennedy's last 8 Sunday starts. LA is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, AUGUST 7
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Atlanta at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 14.455; NY Mets (Gee) 15.012
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); Over

Game 903-904: St. Louis at Florida (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 15.176; Florida (Vazquez) 14.499
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Under

Game 905-906: San Diego at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 15.684; Pittsburgh (Correia) 13.071
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); Over

Game 907-908: Milwaukee at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Greinke) 14.408; Houston (Norris) 15.186
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+150); Under

Game 909-910: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.805; Cubs (Wells) 14.843
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-115); N/A

Game 911-912: Washington at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 14.194; Colorado (Cook) 15.180
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-120); Under

Game 913-914: Philadelphia at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Oswalt) 14.845; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.427
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Over

Game 915-916: LA Dodgers at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.766; Arizona (Kennedy) 14.771
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-110); Under

Game 917-918: Toronto at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 14.790; Baltimore (Simon) 15.623
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120); Under

Game 919-920: Oakland at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 16.378; Tampa Bay (Price) 14.759
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+155); Over

Game 921-922: Detroit at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 15.353; Kansas City (Chen) 16.133
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Under

Game 923-924: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 15.105; Minnesota (Duensing) 13.648
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115); Over

Game 925-926: Seattle at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.110; LA Angels (Santana) 16.099
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-125); Under

Game 927-928: Cleveland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 15.954; Texas (Lewis) 15.413
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-180); 10
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+160); Over

Game 929-930: NY Yankees at Boston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Garcia) 16.461; Boston (Beckett) 16.122
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+145); Under

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WNBA Basketball Picks
Connecticut at Phoenix

The Sun look to take advantage of a Phoenix team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against a team with a winning SU record. Connecticut is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+6). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, AUGUST 7
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 601-602: Seattle at Atlanta (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 114.803; Atlanta 113.944
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 1; 160
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 154 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+4 1/2); Over

Game 603-604: Connecticut at Phoenix (6:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 112.845; Phoenix 116.227
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6; 184
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+6); Under

Game 605-606: Indiana at Chicago (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 116.554; Chicago 110.737
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2 1/2; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-2 1/2); Over

Game 607-608: Minnesota at Los Angeles (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 119.946; Los Angeles 107.940
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 12; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 7; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-7); Under

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JOHN HARRISON

Dodgers/Arizona UNDER 7.5

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tntsportspicks

exec pack

stl
mil
pit
was

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MLB WRITE UP
SUNDAY, AUGUST 7

HOT PITCHERS
-- Vazquez is 3-1, 3.34 in his last five starts.
-- Latos is 0-2, 3.03 in his last five starts; both losses were 1-0 games.
-- Greinke is 2-1, 2.45 in his last four starts.
-- Lannan is 3-1,4.07 in his last four starts.
-- Kershaw is 5-0, 1.86 in his last five starts. Kennedy is 5-0, 2.38 in his last five starts.
-- Lincecum is 3-2, 1.41 in his last five starts.

-- Toronto won last three Romero starts (2-0, 1.90). Simon has a 2.81 RA in his last four starts.
-- Scherzer is 2-2, 2.14 in his last five starts.
-- Santana is 4-0, 1.93 in his last six starts. FHernandez is 2-0, 2.03 in his last couple starts.
-- Beckett is 3-0, 1.29 vs Bronx this year, 3-1, 2.41 in his last six starts. FGarcia is 3-0, 2.21 in his last three starts.

COLD PITCHERS
-- Gee has a 5.44 RA in his last seven starts. Minor is 0-1, 4.50 in his three road starts.
-- JGarcia is 1-2, 5.33 in his last four starts.
-- Correia, who pitched for Padres LY, is 1-2, 11.77 in last three starts.
-- Wells is 1-1, 5.34 in his last five Wrigley starts. Arroyo is 0-3, 6.81 in his last six starts.
-- Norris is 0-1, 5.09 in his last four starts.
-- Colorado is 0-5 at home when Cook starts (0-4, 6.81).
-- Oswalt is 1-4, 5.81 in his last five starts, last of which was June 23.

-- Cahill is 1-5, 6.58 in his last seven starts. Price is 0-3,4.05 in his last three outings.
-- Chen is 0-3, 7.48 in his last four starts.
-- Peavy is 0-4, 6.11 in his last six starts. Duensing is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Tomlin is 1-2, 5.81 in his last five starts. Lewis has a 4.22 RA in his last five starts.

TOTALS
-- Seven of Reds' last nine road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in Padres' last eight road games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Gee's last seven home starts.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Vazquez starts.
-- Over is 12-3-2 in Greinke's starts this season.
-- Seven of last eleven Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in Dodgers' last ten road games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Oswalt starts.

-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Romero starts.
-- Under is 7-1 in last eight Beckett starts.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve Tampa Bay games.
-- Six of last seven Tomlin starts went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in Minnesota's last thirteen home games.
-- Under is 9-3 in last twelve Kansas City home games.
-- Under is 8-1-2 in last eleven Santana starts.

HOT TEAMS
-- San Diego won its last three games, scoring 31 runs.
-- Cardinals won their last three games, allowing seven runs.
-- Cubs won their last seven games, scoring 45 runs.
-- Brewers won 10 of their last 11 games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last six road games.
-- Phillies won 15 of their last 18 games, are 8-0 since the Pence trade. .

-- Rays won six of their last nine games.
-- Red Sox won 14 of their last 21 games. Bronx won 16 of its last 22 games, including eight of their last nine.
-- Detroit won five of its last six games.
-- Mariners won five of their last seven games. Angels won seven of 11.

COLD TEAMS
-- Marlins lost their last three games, scoring seven rund.
-- Cincinnati lost 11 of its last 15 road games.
-- Pittsburgh lost 11 of its last 12 games.
-- Mets lost five of their last six games. Atlanta is 4-7 in its last eleven road games.
-- Astros lost six of their last eight games.
-- Colorado lost nine of its last fourteen games. Washington lost six of its last eight road games.
-- Arizona lost its last three games, allowing 20 runs.
-- Giants lost eight of their last nine games.

-- Orioles lost eight of their last eleven games. Toronto lost three of its last four/
-- Oakland lost 15 of its last 19 road games.
-- Royals lost four of their last six home games.
-- Indians lost 11 of their last 16 games. Texas lost seven of its last 11.
-- White Sox lost six of their last eight games. Minnesota lost seven of its last nine games.

UMPIRES
-- Cin-Chi-- Over is 9-0-1 in last ten Nauert games.
-- Phil-SF-- Last four Everitt games went over the total.
-- Mil-Hst-- Over is 11-5 in last sixteen Johnson games.
-- SD-Pitt-- Favorites won five of last six Runge games.
-- StL-Fla-- Favorites won last four Carapazza games.
-- Atl-NY-- Underdogs are 4-4 in last eight Randazzo games, with three of last four staying under total.
-- Wsh-Col-- Six of last seven Hoye games went over the total.
-- LA-Az-- Seven of last eight Hickox games went over the total.

-- NY-Bos-- Under is 11-3 in last fourteen Timmons games.
-- Tor-Blt-- Seven of last eight Davidson games stayed under total.
-- Chi-Min-- Over is 14-3-2 in last nineteen Davis games.
-- Det-KC-- Over is 8-4 in last dozen Drake games.
-- A's-TB-- Five of last seven Dimuro games went over the total.
-- Cle-Tex-- Under is 12-4 in last sixteen Reyburn games.
-- Sea-LA-- Seven of last eight Conroy games went over the total.

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Reds
White Sox
Red Sox RL

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JOE WIZ FREE PICK
Under 10 runs Cleveland/Texas

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FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

MLB Baseball Sunday
Play Tampa Bay (-175) over Oakland (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 1:40 PM EST
Tampa Bay has won 20 of the last 29 games when playing in Game 3 of a series and they have also won 6 of the last 8 games when playing on a Sunday. David Price has won 21 of the last 26 games coming off a loss and he has also won 20 of the last 26 games vs. teams with a losing record.

Play Milwaukee (-180) over Houston (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 2:10 PM EST
Houston has lost 7 consecutive home games as an underdog of +150 to +200 and they have also lost 21 of the last 27 games after scoring five or more runs in their previous game. Houston has lost 16 of the last 21 games when playing on a Sunday and they have lost 43 of the last 64 games vs. NL Central Division Opponents.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Play Texas (-180) over Cleveland (Bonus)
Starts at 8:05 PM EST

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VEGAS SPORTS PLAYS

JOHNNY YANG
10* Blue Jays -135 ML

BROOKS RILEY
3* Dodgers/Diamondbacks - UNDER 7.5

GLENN LONG
3* TB Rays -165 ML
3* Tigers -125 ML
3* Angels -120 ML

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SPORTS WAGERS

Washington +115

This one is pretty much a no-brainer because taking back a tag against Aaron Cook is a play that should be made 100% of the time. The Rockies have lost seven of the past nine games that Cook has started. In 55.2 innings, Cook has been tagged for 73 hits for a BAA of .327 and that’s his good suit. He’s walked more batters (22) than he’s struck out (19) and his 1.73 WHIP is dreadful. Aaron Cook is being paid 10M this season and that’s why he’s out there. The Rocks are going to get every last ounce of anything he has left to eat up some innings and get them to the finish line. He was yanked from his last start after giving up four runs in four innings because of a neck strain and because he was getting pounded again but the Rocks aren’t going to allow him to miss a start. At 10M per, Cook would have to be near death to get any sympathy from the Rockies and miss a start. John Lannan is an extreme groundball pitcher with an outstanding GB/LD/FB profile of 54%/19%/26%. His 3.65 ERA is lined up close to his 3.92 xERA. Over the past month, Lannan’s xERA is a very impressive 3.18. Lannan may not win here but he’s a much better option taking back a tag than Aaron Cook is laying one. We’re going with the best of it by wagering against Cook, a guy that seldom wins and has nothing but trouble getting outs. Play: Washington +115 (Risking 2 units).


Los Angeles Dodgers +101

The D-Backs are going bad with three losses in a row and after losing the first two games of this series they have the daunting task of trying to get to Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw might be the game’s best pitcher and if he’s not he’s damn close. In 2010, Kershaw was one of just four National League starters with 200+ strikeouts and an ERA under 3.00. The scariest thing about Kershaw is that at age 23, he’s getting better with every start. He has struck out 177 batters while walking just 42 in 161 IP. Kershaw's ERA (2.68) and corresponding xERA (2.81) back-up what we know to be true: this is an exciting arm. He works deep into games and throws quality start after quality start after quality start. Ian Kennedy is a very good pitcher indeed, which is a topic of discussion better left for another time because he’s not Clayton Kershaw and anytime we can get a tag with Kershaw you can pencil us in with no questions asked. Play: Los Angeles +101 (Risking 2 units).


San Diego –115

Well, we hate to kick a team when they’re down as much as the next guy but betting the Padres here is about the easiest decision you’ll have to make today. The Pirates were alone in first place in the NL Central just a short time ago and today they’re an incredible nine games out and right now they can’t buy a win. They’ve given up 28 runs in the first two games of this series and have now allowed an absolutely amazing 77 runs against during their nine-game losing streak. There’s not a single pitcher in the Bucs pen that wants to hear his name being called or summoned. This is a team in free-fall mode and Kevin Correia isn’t the answer. In fact, he’s their worst starter by a wide margin. In 10 home starts, Correia has two wins, a 7.71 ERA and a BAA of .361. In 53 innings at PNC Park, Correia has been taken yard 12 times. Over his last three starts covering a measly 13 frames, Correia has an ERA of 11.08. This guy has no confidence, less skills and he’s crapping in his pants at the very thought of taking the hill today. Meanwhile, Mat Latos is rock solid. Latos has added some velocity on his fastball in recent appearances and while he hasn't duplicated the breakout he had last season, his strikeout rate, good command and groundball bias profile confirm that his skill base remains solid. He's a good bet to finish with a sub-4.00 ERA and sub-1.20 WHIP. The Padres are favored and rightfully so but they’re an undervalued choice in a hugely favorable spot. Play: San Diego –115 (Risking 2.3 units to win 2).

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EasyBaseballBetting
Our systems say to go for:

Orioles (+129),
Pirates (+106),
Cubs (-101),
Phillies (+125),
Mariners (+114),
Yankees (+146),
Twins (+106),
Royals (+122),
Astros (+158).

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THE WINNING ADDICT

St. Louis Cardinals -128 (Risk 12.8 units to win 10 units) 1:10 P.M. EST
It isn’t often I count on 4 game sweeps for the road team, but this looks as damn good to me as could be. Seriously, I can already hear the haters telling me that A) this is too much to risk on the final game of a series with the road team leaving town and preparing for a huge series vs the team just ahead of them in the division standings and B) that Jaime Garcia sucks on the road and Javy Vazquez has been awesome lately. Yep, well, I’ve heard it all before and I am loving this game more and more as I write about it—because quite frankly, it is going to be a winner. So, why you ask do I feel so rosy? Well, first off this Cardinals team is playing as a unit and has tons of energy right now. Playing as a unit? In baseball? That’s ridiculous. Ok, I hear you, but this team is genuinely enjoying playing with each other right now, and everyone is picking each other up when things slack on one end. Saturday night was a case of the pitching backing up an offense that left like 78 guys on base. The Cards got 14 hits but scored only 2 1st inning runs—and that was it off Ricky Nolasco. Pujols hit a homerun after the umpire missed a call in the outfield on a trapped catch, and that was all Carpenter and Co needed. Jaime Garcia is going to throw a gem of a ballgame today—that’s just how I see it. He is 3-1 during daytime starts with a 2.38 ERA, while Javy Vazquez is 2-4 with a 6.06 ERA during the daytime this season. I know I am always preaching about how careful you have to be when considering stats, but these stats have something to them. Vazquez is 3-6 at home this year with a sparkling 6.14 ERA, and there isn’t anyone in the world that can convince me he will pitch a 3rd straight gem against this brutal Cards lineup who is hitting the ball well. Load up on the Cardinals and win 10 units. (Win 10% of your bankroll)

Minnesota Twins +108 (Risk 10 units to win 10.8 units) 2:10 P.M. EST
Ok, so the Twins are scuffling again big time. Well, it wasn’t that long ago that this White Sox club was getting embarrassed by the Yankees and just looking for a place to hide. Brian Duensing is going to be the stopper for the Twins today, as he has pitched extremely well vs the ChiSox in his career (take the career stats garbage with not one but two grains of salt), and he has also thrown the ball extremely well during the daytime this season with a 5-4 record and 2.86 ERA. I watched this kid bedazzle Texas two starts back, and I also bet against him July 4th when he destroyed David Price and the Rays with a complete game shutout. When he locates, he is damn tough to center up against. On the other side of the bump is Jake Peavy, who I love and admire for his courage every start. After this surgery that no one has ever come back from he has really gutted it out with less than average stuff. His days of stellar movement with good zip on his fastball are long gone, but he goes out there and pitches his nuts off each outing. Unfortunately, that just isn’t going to be good enough this afternoon. I hate rooting against the guy because he is such a great competitor, but Minnesota needs a win desperately, and as crappy as the Sox have been in Minnesota in the past, I just don’t see them sweeping this series away. Lets pucker up and grow some chest hair today, as we are risking 10% of our bankroll on the Minnesota Twins. Buena Suerte amigos.
(Win 10% of your bankroll)

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Intelligent Betting Tips

San Diego Padres ML -108

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Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Yankees + RedSox OVER 9

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Vic Monte
6 - 1 Last 7 Max Out Specials

2000* MAX OUT SPECIAL - MILWAUKEE BREWERS -170

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David Banks
Winner yesterday Under Phillies

Today no write up
OVER Cleveland Indians / Texas Rangers

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Paul Leiner

100* Over 9 Yanks/Redsox

50* Padres -115

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Khaliagent Sports Free Picks: 25-16 +12.62 units (61%)

Sunday August 7th

Texas ml -169 (medium bet to win 2 units)

Milwaukee ml -168 (medium bet to win 2 units)

Texas -1.5 (+115) (medium bet 2 units to win 2.3 units)

Texas 1st 5 innings (-172) (medium bet to win 2 units)

[golden contender]

Sunday card has an early Dominator system with a Perfect system + a late MLB Totals play. Free MB System side below


On Sunday the free play is on the Milwaukee Brewers. Game 907 at 2:10 eastern. The Brewers fit the 12-2 system below that plays on road favorites of -140 or more with a total of 8 or less that are off a road favored win and scored 5 or more runs, vs an opponent off a home dog loss and scored 5+ runs. The Brewers may be a high favorite which is why they are the free play. They are 12-4 of late vs losing teams while Houston is 5.13 of late vs winning teams. The Brewers score 5 runs per game in division play and have averaged 6.7 runs per game the past week. Houston is averaging 2.4 runs per game the past week. Greinke goes today for Milwaukee and he was superb in his only start here going 8 innings allowing just one run in a win. He has a solid 1.83 era the past 3 starts. Norris goes for Houston and he has dropped 3 of his 4 day starts. Look for the Brewers to move to 9-3 vs Houston this season. Take Milwaukee. to Jump on the Big Sunday card GC

SU: 12-2 (3.1 rpg)

Runs
Team: 5.2
Opp: 2.1

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chris jordan:

300 under ATL/METS ( 7 1/2)

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LT Profits

Chicago Cubs -105

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WEST CAPPER
3* SD Padres -110 ML

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Key Pick for Sunday ML Baseball

Philadelphia Oswalt -R +1.5 Runs, -185 over SAN FRANCISCO

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Todays Picks

Boston Red Sox ML

Los Angeles Dodgers ML

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Tys Terrific Tips

Play of the Day
Milwaukee Brewers ML -160

Detroit Tigers ML
St. Louis Cardinals ML

Free pick: Tampa Bay Rays ML -170

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SHARP MOVES

OVER - Toronto / Baltimore 8.5

UNDER - Cincinnati / Chicago Cubs 7.5

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MLBPredictions
Kevin
Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals –TIGERS TO WIN (-122)
(Note: I’m risking 3.66 units to win 3 units)

Like I do most Sundays, I might make this write up a little shorter, so I can enjoy a partial day off watching some baseball and golf. Max Scherzer is on the mound for the Tigers. He is 11-6 with a 4.23 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and .271 opponents average. Max is pitching well, allowing 2 earned runs or less in each of his past 5 starts. In his career he is a solid 4-2 with a 2.34 ERA against Kansas City. Bruce Chen is on the mound for the Royals, and is 5-5 on the season with a 4.37 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. Batters are hitting .289 against Chen, who is 3-3 lifetime against the Tigers with a high 6.00 ERA. Note that the Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall, and 7-0 in their last 7 as a road favorite. The Tigers are also 10-4 in their last 14 road games overall, 13-4 in their last 17 road games vs a left handed starter, and 36-17 in their last 53 vs AL Central opponents. Also take note that the Tigers are 7-3 in Scherzer’s last 10 starts as a favorite, 4-0 in his last 4 Sunday starts, and 9-1 in Scherzer ‘s last 10 starts during Game 3 of a series. On the other hand, the Royals are 23-48 in their last 71 games as an underdog, 6-15 in their last 21 games as a home underdog, and 8-19 in their last 27 vs AL Central opponents. The Royal’s are just 2-5 in Chen’s last 7 starts, and 3-7 in his last 10 vs a team with a winning record. The Tigers love playing the Royals, as they are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings and 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Kansas City. This Tigers team is playing like a playoff team, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them on top of the AL Central division at the end of the season. They are playing good baseball, and are behind Scherzer who is pitching very well as of late. I’m behind the Tigers with a generous line, as they get things done and sweep the Royals this afternoon.

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PhD Picks

New York Mets ML -132

Arizona ML -108

Boston ML -159

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GoodFella | MLB Money Line

dime bet 902 NYM (-126) Sportbet vs 901 ATL

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Maddux

UNDER Houston 7.5

San Francisco

Detroit

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JOHN CHANG

---Start Time 1:35 PM EST---
San Diego Padres (-110, action) over PITTSBURGH PIRATES, 5 dimes

---Start Time 4:10 PM EST---
LA Dodgers/ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS under 7 runs, 5 dimes

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JACK HOWARD

MLB:
San Diego (-110) Over Pittsburgh 10 Dimes
LAA(-125) Over Seattle 5 Dimes
Milwaukee(-165) Over Houston 5 Dimes

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USA Cappers

10* Indians UNDER

8* Astros ML

8* Angels OVER

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INDIAN COWBOY

4* MLB Atlanta Braves (+120)
4* WNBA Atlanta Dream -5

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Pro Tech Sports

Cubs/Cincinnati OVER 10

Toronto/Baltimore OVER 8.5

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WUNDERDOG (WNBA)
1 OF 5
Game: Seattle at Atlanta (3:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Atlanta -5 (-105)

Atlanta has home court and faces a Seattle team that is 4-7 away from home – and this is a LONG road trip. In fact, this will be the seventh road game over the last ten games for Seattle and they come off an emotional home win over Connecticut, one of the top teams in the league. The Storm are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. Atlanta plays it's second straight home game and has had four full days of rest. Atlanta is rested and has an offense led by Angel McCoughtry, the second highest scoring player in the league, plus 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five home games.
Play Atlanta.

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ANTHONY REDD

80 DIME MLB RELEASE OF MY CAREER!
Philadelphia Phillies +120 ML

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Tigers again last night.

Today it's the Tigers. The deficit is 2624 sirignanos.

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Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk"

"Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB Regular Season

Ben lee lost on Saturday with the Diamondbacks -$150/Dodgers.

For Sunday "Mr Chalk" likes the Angels -$125/Mariners.

Mr Chalk" is 73-48 -$301 for the 2011 MLB regular season.

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Jeff Benton
Sunday's Action
60 Dime baseball seleetion on the Brewers -1 1/2-runs (Run Line) over the Astros. At the time I release this winner, Milwaukee is right around -180 favoorite on the money line both here in Vegas and offsoore. By playing this game on the RUN LINE, we get ourselves better value. Starting pitchers are always listed on run line plays, so both Greinke and Norris must start or this play is VOID!

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AL DEMARCO

15 DIMES Baltimore Orioles +125 ML

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CHUCK O'BRIEN

30 DIME RUN LINE WINNER
Rangers -1.5 RL +110

10 DIME BONUS
Cardinals/Florida OVER

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DEREK MANCINI

30 DIME Book-Blaster PART 2
Nationals +110 ML

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MATT RIVERS

150,000♦ A.L. CENTRAL LIVING LOCK
Tigers ML

50,000♦ RUN LINE BURIAL
Brewers ML

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Jimmy Boyd

5* Angels
4* Twins
4* Giants

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TRACE ADAMS

1500♦ "RAISE THE BAR ROAD WARRIOR LIVING LOCK # 3
Cardinals -135 ML

500♦ BONUS BEST BET
Rockies ML

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Comps

Winner Line-Colorado
Lockline-OVER Texas
Kevin Kennedy-Coloraado

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OC DOOLEY




“1 UNIT” NATIONAL-TV PRIMETIME (Yankees +150 at Red Sox in a 8:05 eastern start broadcast nationally on ESPN--------Garcia versus Beckett): It is not often that you find a sizzling team like the Yankees on an 8-1 overall run cast as a prohibitive underdog. Due to perceived pitching mismatches the posted lines for this heavy-hyped series have not reflected the fact that we have two teams with identical records tied atop the American League East standings. On Friday the Yankees bullpen thrived as the held a lead for veteran Bartolo Colon and New York cashed a large underdog ticket against Jon Lester. Yesterday it was New York as the big favorite as major league wins leader C.C. Sabathia was on the mound and Boston promptly won with ease on the scoreboard. Tonight the Red Sox are back as the heavy favorite with Josh Beckett on the mound and he already is 3-0 against the Bronx Bombers this campaign racking up 25 strikeout victims in 21 innings. But the fact of the matter is that veteran Freddy Garcia in his past three Yankee starts (2.21 ERA) has been effective and he is in the midst of a career-high run of innings (59.2) WITHOUT surrendering a homerun. Even though they lost yesterday the Yankees bullpen worked only 2 innings which means they are refreshed in case Garcia runs into trouble. As for Freddy Garcia he is on a 16-6 roll when facing a winning opponent and also 11-4 long term when cast as a road underdog (+125/+150) within tonight’s parameters. When working with extended rest (5 or 6 days) Garcia is on a 13-5 roll, so do not discount tonight’s Yankees starter

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VEGAS RUNNER

3* Pirates/Padres UNDER 7.5
2* Astros/Brewers UNDER 7.5
2* Padres
2* Angels/Mariners OVER 6.5

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REAL MONEY SPORTS

3 UNIT Minnesota Twins OVER 8 -110
2 UNIT Toronto Blue Jays -145 ML

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Lines2win

3* Bluejays -145
3* Tigers -125

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MARCO D'ANGELO/SPORTS UNLIMITED

Orioles

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JR TIPS

10* Boston Red Sox/NY Yankees OVER 9
5* Seattle Mariners ML
5* Oakland A's ML
5* Kansas CIty Royals ML

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Sports Prediction Filter

free lean plays
Chicago Cubs
Texas Rangers

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JLB (JLB4422 On Twitter)

Y-DAY'S PICKS RECAP0-3 -19.87Units Yday / 6-3-1 L3Days / 20-9-1 +62.75Un L30)(305-262-9 +173.73Units YTD)

2:20 PM-PICK #1:
FREE PICK:**MLB** GOLD DIGGER (4 Units)
*FREE PREVIEW* CUBS -ML (-105)

3:10PM PICK #2:
**MLB** HAMMER (7 Units)
*MEMBERS PICK* COLORADO ROCKIES -ML (-116)

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Bruce Marshall

Yankees at Red Sox
Pick: Red Sox -1.5

The featured matchup of Sunday takes place at Fenway Park, where Boston ended the Yankees eight-game win streak on Saturday. And if the Bosox can continue to dismantle CC Sabathia, they can probably do the same to tonight's NY starter Freddy Garcia, who was annihilated in his last start vs. Boston on June 4, routed from the game early after allowing 4 runs, 4 hits, ad 3 walks in just 1 2/3 IP of an eventual 6-4 Red Sox win. Much prefer Boston starter Josh Beckett, who has already beaten the Yankees three times this season and has posted an eye-popping 0.92 WHIP this campaign. We never mind going against team just after a long win streak ends, and considering Beckett's recent successes vs. New York, the Boston Run Line price in the +125 range looks tempting. Play Red Sox on Run Line

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Evan Altemus

1* Chicago Cubs -105

The Reds don't have good stats against Randy Wells, and he has pitched well in his last few starts. Chicago is on a roll right now as well. Bronson Arroyo hasn't been that great in his last several road starts either. Look for Chicago to get the win at a good price.

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Sniper Sports Picks


5* Milwaukee Brewers (-167)

5* Detroit Tigers (-123)

1* San Diego Padres (-114)

1* NY Yankees/Boston Red Sox OVER 9

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ATS LOCK CLUB

4 Yankees/Red Sox OVER 9 -120 ML
3 Dodgers -110 ML