8-8-11

[timbob]

New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[timbob]

Gamblers Data

Free Play MONDAY

Marlins +105

[timbob]

Hondo

Mariano proved to be no match for Scutaro -- or the Hondo Kiss of Death -- last night at Fenway Pahk, which contributed greatly to the deficit rising to 2,305 wises.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch is praying for a happy Halladay -- 20 units on the Phillies.

[timbob]

Arthur Ralph Sports

692- 518 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Mon: SD Padres pk

[timbob]

Two weeks following Gamblers data free play and Gamblers data info plays.

Gamblers data 8 - 6 last 2 weeks
Gamblers data info 8 - 6 last 2 weeks

Gamblersdata monday play: Florida
Gambler data info play: under Texas vs Seattle

[timbob]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Minnesota Twins Host Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Preview
By: Willie Bee


Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins (+110, 9)

Tim Wakefield will take another crack at career win No. 200 when he takes the mound for the Boston Red Sox in Monday's series opener at the Minnesota Twins. First pitch from Target Field in Minneapolis will be a little past 4:00 p.m. (PT) and ESPN will televise the game nationally.

The contest begins a 6-game road trip for the Red Sox who are fighting the New York Yankees at the top of the American League East Division. Boston and New York were tied for first entering their Sunday night battle that was still pending, each with identical 69-43 records.

Minnesota (51-62) was fourth in the AL Central standings when play started Sunday, the series finale with the Chicago White Sox also still in progress. It's been a trying season for Ron Gardenhire and his Twins who were supposed to contend for their seventh division flag in 10 seasons only to find themselves 10 games behind the Detroit Tigers.

Scott Baker (9-11, 3.01) will get the call for the Twins to begin this series in a rematch of his matchup with Wakefield in Boston on May 6. Baker worked eight innings and allowed just two runs – solo homers by JD Drew and Adrian Gonzalez – to lead Minnesota (+150) to the 9-2 triumph. It was Baker's first career victory against the Red Sox.

The right-hander out of Oklahoma State is coming off a rough outing in Anaheim last Wednesday, managing to last only three innings and charged with all four Angels runs. Michael Cuddyer and Delmon Young came to Baker's and the Twins' rescue in the 11-4 win.

Baker has been almost untouchable at Target Field since mid-May with six consecutive quality starts. He's allowed just one earned run in the stretch that covers 41 1/3 innings (0.21 ERA) and begins this game with a string of 26 1/3 innings at home without an earned run crossing the plate.

Extending that string against all of the left-handed bats in Boston's lineup will be difficult. Lefties are batting .267 against Baker this season compared to only .208 by right-handed hitters.

Wakefield (10-5, 4.99) has seen his ERA rise nearly half a run during his last seven starts, the veteran knuckler posting a 6.06 mark in that span. But Boston's offense has come to his aid to deliver five wins in the seven outings.

Minnesota's lineup torched him for eight runs (six earned) in less than five innings of that May 6 clash against Baker. The Twins also lit Wakefield up in his only career appearance at their new ballpark, scoring six times in 5 1/3 innings of an 8-0 whitewashing in April 2010.

Baker's May start was the only win for the Twins in that 4-game series at Fenway Park while MLB betting totals split, 2-2. The Twins have won seven of the last 11 of this series played in Minnesota, including two of three in 2010 in the only previous meeting at Target Field between the clubs.

A muggy day is in the Minneapolis forecast along with an increasing chance of scattered thunderstorms after nightfall. Expect winds out of the west (out to center) around 10-12 mph at the game's outset with the temperature in the upper 70s.

Erik Bedard will be on the mound for Boston when the series continues Tuesday. He's scheduled to be opposed by Francisco Liriano.

[timbob]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Minnesota Twins Host Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Preview
By: Willie Bee


Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins (+110, 9)

Tim Wakefield will take another crack at career win No. 200 when he takes the mound for the Boston Red Sox in Monday's series opener at the Minnesota Twins. First pitch from Target Field in Minneapolis will be a little past 4:00 p.m. (PT) and ESPN will televise the game nationally.

The contest begins a 6-game road trip for the Red Sox who are fighting the New York Yankees at the top of the American League East Division. Boston and New York were tied for first entering their Sunday night battle that was still pending, each with identical 69-43 records.

Minnesota (51-62) was fourth in the AL Central standings when play started Sunday, the series finale with the Chicago White Sox also still in progress. It's been a trying season for Ron Gardenhire and his Twins who were supposed to contend for their seventh division flag in 10 seasons only to find themselves 10 games behind the Detroit Tigers.

Scott Baker (9-11, 3.01) will get the call for the Twins to begin this series in a rematch of his matchup with Wakefield in Boston on May 6. Baker worked eight innings and allowed just two runs – solo homers by JD Drew and Adrian Gonzalez – to lead Minnesota (+150) to the 9-2 triumph. It was Baker's first career victory against the Red Sox.

The right-hander out of Oklahoma State is coming off a rough outing in Anaheim last Wednesday, managing to last only three innings and charged with all four Angels runs. Michael Cuddyer and Delmon Young came to Baker's and the Twins' rescue in the 11-4 win.

Baker has been almost untouchable at Target Field since mid-May with six consecutive quality starts. He's allowed just one earned run in the stretch that covers 41 1/3 innings (0.21 ERA) and begins this game with a string of 26 1/3 innings at home without an earned run crossing the plate.

Extending that string against all of the left-handed bats in Boston's lineup will be difficult. Lefties are batting .267 against Baker this season compared to only .208 by right-handed hitters.

Wakefield (10-5, 4.99) has seen his ERA rise nearly half a run during his last seven starts, the veteran knuckler posting a 6.06 mark in that span. But Boston's offense has come to his aid to deliver five wins in the seven outings.

Minnesota's lineup torched him for eight runs (six earned) in less than five innings of that May 6 clash against Baker. The Twins also lit Wakefield up in his only career appearance at their new ballpark, scoring six times in 5 1/3 innings of an 8-0 whitewashing in April 2010.

Baker's May start was the only win for the Twins in that 4-game series at Fenway Park while MLB betting totals split, 2-2. The Twins have won seven of the last 11 of this series played in Minnesota, including two of three in 2010 in the only previous meeting at Target Field between the clubs.

A muggy day is in the Minneapolis forecast along with an increasing chance of scattered thunderstorms after nightfall. Expect winds out of the west (out to center) around 10-12 mph at the game's outset with the temperature in the upper 70s.

Erik Bedard will be on the mound for Boston when the series continues Tuesday. He's scheduled to be opposed by Francisco Liriano.

[timbob]

Monday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

Ryan Vogelsong, San Francisco Giants (9-1, 2.19 ERA)

He’s given up two runs or less in five of his last six starts, including allowing one run over six innings against Arizona last Wednesday. Vogelsong has gone 12 starts without losing, the longest streak by a Giants pitcher in 98 years.

Tim Stauffer, San Diego Padres (7-8, 2.96)

The 29-year-old right-hander has allowed two runs or less in eight of his past 10 starts. He blanked the Dodgers over 6 1/3 innings in his last outing. If Stauffer played on a more potent team, he’d have 12 to 15 wins now.


SLUMPING

Derek Lowe, Atlanta Braves (6-10, 4.86)

The 38-year-old sinkerballer has seen his ERA climb steadily over the last six weeks from 4.16 to 4.88. His most recent outing was the worst: he gave up seven earned runs, including two homers, in four innings against the Nationals. Lowe has dropped four of his last five decisions.

Chien-Ming Wang, Washington Nationals (0-2, 6.00)

In Wang’s two starts since coming off the long-term DL, batters are hitting .385 against him. He has struck out two and walked two while allowing 15 hits over nine innings. And he hurt himself with a throwing error in his last outing, a 6-4 loss to Atlanta.

[timbob]

HOT LINES

Monday's Best MLB Bets

Atlanta Braves at Florida Marlins (104, 8.5)

The Braves are leading the wild card race, no thanks to Derek Lowe recently.

The 38-year-old has given up at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts.

Lowe has a 4.79 career ERA against the Marlins. He has to be hoping that Hanley Ramirez doesn’t return from his sprained shoulder Monday, as Ramirez is 14-for-26 (.538) with a homer, six doubles and five walks against him.

Marlins rookie lefty Brad Hand has been almost unhittable at home, holding batters to a .138 average. When he faced the Braves on June 7, the only hit he allowed over six innings was an Alex Gonzalez solo homer.

Florida has won Hand’s last four starts.

PICK: Marlins


Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles (109, NA)

Until giving up four runs to the Yankees his last time out, Chicago lefty John Danks had been on a roll.

He had allowed four earned runs total over his previous six starts.

Baltimore, meanwhile, trots out Jeremy Guthrie, who is trying to avoid his 16th loss. He’s given up five homers in his last five starts. And lifetime he’s 3-5 with a 4.45 ERA against the White Sox.

Guthrie leads MLB in losses, but hasn’t deserved such a cruel fate. He’s gotten 3.3 runs per game to work with, the sixth-lowest support in the AL.

It’s unlikely that trend will change against Danks.

PICK: White Sox

[timbob]

Monday's Betting Tips: PHI-SF Brawl Punishment Coming

Weather To Watch

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers, 7:05 p.m. ET – It will be dangerously hot at first pitch. The forecast calls for 105-degree temperatures, dropping only to 99 degrees by 9 p.m. Winds will be blowing in from right at 11 miles per hour.

Who’s Hot

MLB: The Phillies have won nine of Roy Halladay's last 10 starts.

MLB: The Marlins have won rookie Brad Hand's last four starts.

Who’s Not

MLB: The Orioles have lost nine of their last 12 games.

MLB: The Astros have lost six of Wandy Rodriguez's last eight starts.

Key Stat

6 – That’s how many games defensive lineman Sedrick Ellis has missed since becoming a starter in 2001. Ellis just left the Jets for the Patriots and should immediately bolster New England’s pass rush. The Jets planned to start rookie Muhammad Wilkerson over Ellis, but wanted the 34-year-old veteran back as part of the rotation. It’s another twist in one of the NFL’s best rivalries.

Injury Not To Be Overlooked

New York Giants cornerback Prince Amukamara broke his left foot and will need surgery. The 19th overall pick in the draft and likely will miss at least two months, making the Giants’ secondary extremely thin. Amukamara was expected to challenge for a starting job or at least provide valuable depth behind starters Terrell Thomas and Corey Webster.

Notable Quotable

“He has every reasonable chance to come back and be like he was.” – Rockies team physician Dr. Allen Schreiber on pitcher Juan Nicasio, who underwent neck surgery to stabilize a fractured verterbra after being hit in the head by a line drive.

Tips And Notes

Punishment likely will be handed out Monday for Friday night’s Phillies-Giants bench-clearing brawl. San Francisco reliever Ramon Ramirez and catcher Eli Whiteside and Philadelphia center fielder Shane Victorino all were ejected. The fight erupted in the sixth when Philly’s Jimmy Rollins stole second with a six-run lead, and Ramirez hit Victorino in the lower back with a pitch.

The Philadelphia Inquirer is reporting WR DeSean Jackson will end his holdout Monday, eliminating a big obstacle for the NFC East favorites. Jackson, 24, averaged 22.5 yards per catch last season in addition to his electrifying punt returns. Philly is listed at +600 to win the Super Bowl, along with New England and Green Bay.

Texas Rangers third baseman Adrian Beltre aggravated his strained left hamstring and will miss three more weeks. Beltre was supposed to come off the DL Sunday, but reinjured the hamstring running the bases in a workout. At the time of the original injury, Beltre led Texas with 76 RBIs.

[timbob]

Today's MLB Picks
Chicago White Sox at Baltimore

The White Sox look to take advantage of a Baltimore team that is 0-5 in Jeremy Guthrie's last 5 Monday starts. Chicago is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the White Sox favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, AUGUST 8
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Atlanta at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 14.714; Florida (Hand) 14.130
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); Over

Game 953-954: Colorado at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 14.849; Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.145
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 955-956: San Diego at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stauffer) 14.838; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 15.753
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-115); Under

Game 957-958: Washington at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Wang) 15.525; Cubs (Garza) 14.503
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-185); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+165); N/A

Game 959-960: Houston at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 13.988; Arizona (Hudson) 15.037
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-175); Over

Game 961-962: Philadelphia at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 16.256; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.500
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 5
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 6
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160); Under

Game 963-964: Pittsburgh at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 12.917; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.016
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-170); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-170); Over

Game 965-966: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.418; Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.086
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-120); Under

Game 967-968: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 16.296; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 15.529
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+150); Under

Game 969-970: Seattle at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Furbush) 14.842; Texas (Harrison) 16.413
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-220); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-220); Over

Game 971-972: Boston at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Wakefield) 16.122; Minnesota (Baker) 13.244
Dunkel Line: Boston by 3; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120); Over

[golden contender]

Monday 100% MLB System Game of the Month wins by 4 Runs per game + 20-2 Double System Dominator Side lead the Monday Bases card. Sunday big play cashed with the Cards. MLB Free System side Below.

On Monday the Free play is on the Arizona Diamondbacks. Game 960 at 9:40 eastern. Arizona fits a nice system that has cashed 15 of 19 times. We want to play on certain home favorites ff a home win and scored 4 or less runs, vs an opponent off a home dog loss. Arizona has D. Hudson on the mound and he has cashed 12 of 13 times as a home favorite at -125 to -180. He has won 8 of 11 here at home and has a 3.14 era. Houston has Wandy Rodriguez or W-Rod going tonight and he has a 6.35 era in 7 career starts vs Arizona. The Astros are 2-17 on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 and are hitting .215 the past week. Look for Arizona to win game one of the series tonight. On Monday the weeks starts with the 100% MLB Game of the Month. This Perfect system wins by 4 runs per game. Our team has a nice pitching edge as well. The other play is a 20-2 Double system Dominator side with a pitching Edge and 5 big Power Angles. Sunday we cashed our Big system side with the Cardinals as bases goes 20 games over .500 on the season. Jump on and start the week big. For the free play take Arizona. GC


SU:15-4 (2.9 rpg)average line: -185 / +166on / against: +$805 / -$875ROI: +22.9% / -46.1%O/U:8-9-2 (0.6 rpg)

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

692- 518 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Mon: SD Padres pk

[Mr. IWS]

Hondo

Mariano proved to be no match for Scutaro -- or the Hondo Kiss of Death -- last night at Fenway Pahk, which contributed greatly to the deficit rising to 2,305 wises.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch is praying for a happy Halladay -- 20 units on the Phillies.

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play MONDAY

Marlins +105

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Phillies -160 over Dodgers

[Mr. IWS]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Phillies -160 over Dodgers

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Tigers Sunday.

Monday it's the White Sox. The deficit is 2689 sirignanos.

[Mr. IWS]

Cappers Access

W.Sox
Red Sox

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 8 runs bet. Houston and Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

MLB
Write-Up


Monday, August 8

Hot pitchers
-- Florida won Hand's last four starts (1-0, 2.37, 19 IP).
-- Stauffer is 2-2, 2.88 in his last four starts.
-- Garza is 1-1, 2.41 in his last five starts.
-- Kuroda has a 2.49 RA in his last four starts.
-- Halladay is 3-0, 3.27 in his last three starts.
-- Vogelsong is 3-0, 2.35 in his last five starts.

-- Danks is 4-1, 2.11 in his last seven starts.
-- Hochevar is 3-0, 3.04 in his last four starts. Hellickson is 3-0, 3.08 in his last four outings.
-- Harrison is 4-1, 2.61 in his last six starts.
-- Baker is 3-1, 2.31 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Lowe is 0-3, 9.64 in his last three starts.
-- Pelfrey is 1-1, 4.50 in his last four starts.
-- Wang is 0-2, 12.00 in his first two '11 starts.
-- Hammel is 1-3, 9.00 in his last four starts. Bailey is 0-3, 6.55 in his four road starts that weren't in Houston.
-- WRodriguez is 1-4, 6.00 in his last six starts. DHudson is 1-2, 4.43 in his last three starts.
-- Morton is 1-1, 6.53 in his last four road starts.

-- Guthrie is 2-5, 5.60 in his last seven starts.
-- Furbush is 1-2, 8.78 in his first three big league starts.
-- Wakefield is 1-1, 7.30 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Over is 11-2 in Lowe's last thirteen starts.
-- Five of last six Cincinnati home games went over the total.
-- Last four Pelfrey starts went over the total. Under is 8-3 in Stauffer's last eleven starts.
-- Over is 11-4 in Garza's last fifteen starts.
-- Six of last seven DHudson starts went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Dodger home games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Morton starts went over the total.

-- Over is 9-1 in Guthrie's last ten home starts.
-- Under is 9-4 in Kansas City's last thirteen road games.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Harrison starts.
-- Five of last seven Boston road games stayed under the total.

Hot Teams
-- San Diego won its last four games, scoring 38 runs.
-- Cubs won seven of their last eight games.
-- Phillies won 15 of their last 19 games, are 8-1 since the Pence trade. .

-- Kansas City won three of its last four road games.
-- Rangers won three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox won 15 of their last 22 games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost their last four games, scoring 11 runs. Atlanta is 5-7 in its last dozen road games.
-- Mets lost six of their last seven games.
-- Colorado lost ten of its last fifteen games. Reds lost three of their last four games, allowing 27 runs.
-- Washington lost six of its last nine road games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine games. Arizona lost three of its last four games.
-- Dodgers lost three of their last four home games.
-- Giants lost eight of their last ten games. Pittsburgh lost 12 of its last 13 games.

-- Orioles lost nine of their last twelve games. White Sox lost six of their last nine games.
-- Tampa Bay is 9-13 in its last 22 games.
-- Seattle is 2-10 on the road since the All-Star break.
-- Minnesota lost eight of its last ten games.

[Mr. IWS]

Free Silver Key Pick for Monday ML Baseball

TEXAS HARRISON -L -210 over Seattle

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Monday

Play Texas (-220) over Seattle (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST

Seattle has lost 20 of the last 27 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have also lost 58 of the last 76 road games as an underdog of +150 or higher. Charlie Furbush is 0-2 in road games this season with an ERA of 8.58 and he has an ERA of 5.83 over his last three overall starts.


Play Arizona (-180) over Houston (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 9:40 PM EST

Houston has lost 17 of the last 19 road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and they have also lost 7 of the last 9 overall games. Wandy Rodriguez has lost 10 of the last 15 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and he is 2-5 vs. Arizona over his career with an ERA of 6.35.

-----------------------------------------------------------------


Play Chicago Cubs (-185) over Washington (Bonus)

[Mr. IWS]

EasyBaseballBetting
Our systems say to go for:

Giants (-172),
Reds (-160),
Mariners (+206),
Royals (+155),
Braves (-111).

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN HARRISON

3* Marlins +100

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Today no write up
UNDER Pittsburgh Pirates / San Francisco Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner
250* MLB Moneymaker 250* Padres -110

100* Over 8 Orioles/White Sox

50* Astros +160

[Mr. IWS]

Todays Picks

New York Mets ML

Chicago White Sox ML

[timbob]

SPORTS WAGERS

Arizona –1½ +123

The D-Backs snapped a mini three-game losing streak in style yesterday by beating one of the best in Clayton Kershaw. That’s a good win because Kershaw seldom loses and it really instills a positive state of mind heading into this series against the dreadful Astros and Wandy Rodriguez. At the age of 32, Rodriguez has spent time on the DL this season with elbow issues. He’s put up some very decent numbers that include 109 k’s in 127 frames with just 41 walks. He’s also posted a solid 3.69 ERA and an acceptable 1.30 WHIP. However, there are some warning signs. First, Rodriguez's velocity is down over the last three years (90.1 mph, 89.6 mph, 88.8 mph) so this deserves continued observation especially in light of the recent elbow issues. Also note that since his return from the DL, Rodriguez’s strikeout rate is way down. In fact, just once since his return has he struck out more than three batters in a game. He’s also surrendered five earned runs or more in four of his last eight starts and that, too, is a serious warning. Rodriguez is allowing more flyballs than ever and as a result, more balls are leaving the yard too. So, while Rodriguez has good surface stats, there are plenty of warning signs scattered amongst the positives in those pretty surface stats. The Astros have the worst run differential (-141 entering Sunday) in the NL by a lot. Other than the Cubs (about 45 runs better), no NL team's run differential is within 100 runs of Houston. One of the few recognizable names in the Astros lineup is Carlos Lee. But with no protection in the lineup, Lee is in a 2-for-30 slump and now this group will face the blossoming skills of Daniel Hudson. Hudson has quickly ascended to become the club's ace and a big part of the reason they're just a half game out of first place in the NL West. There are few blemishes on Hudson's skill set. Hudson demonstrated solid control in his debut with the D'backs last season and he's only improved on it further this season. He's sacrificed a few Ks for improved control and it's paid off in a stellar command rate that has seen him walk just 34 batters in 154 IP while striking out 120. He’s quietly established himself as one of the most reliable starters in the game and he should dominate this nothing opponent. Play: Arizona –1½ +123 (Risking 2 units).


San Diego –102

The Padres strikeout as a team more than any other in the majors so when they’re facing a guy with a solid strikeout rate they’re usually not playable but that’s not the case here. Mike Pelfrey strikes out about one batter every two innings and rarely does he have a 1-2-3 inning. He has a BAA of .269 and an average WHIP of 1.36. About half his starts are considered to be of the quality variety and therefore the guy is beatable almost every time he takes the mound. Want further proof that he’s beatable? How about six wins in 23 starts. The Padres create offense by stealing bases and steal them they do. They’ll hit and run, they’ll steal anytime and against a non-strikeout pitcher like Pelfrey, they can do a lot of damage on the base-paths. The Padres are also warm at the moment with four wins in a row and five wins in seven games. Over that span, one of their losses was to Clayton Kershaw but when facing three average pitchers in Pittsburgh over the weekend they exploded with 35 runs in three games. Tim Stauffer is a much better pitcher than Mike Pelfrey. He went 6-5 with a 1.85 ERA in 82 IP for the Padres last season and has enjoyed almost as much success this year. His 2.96 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and 3.25 xERA confirm it has been no fluke. With great command and an elite 54% groundball rate, Tim Stauffer has nothing but starting pitching upside. We also like the fact that the books made the Mets a very enticing tiny favorite here. Play: San Diego –102 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).

[timbob]

ROCKDEMANSPORTS

Boston Red Sox ML

[timbob]

LT Profits

Royals +156
Twins +105
Nationals +173
Phillies/Dodgers UNDER 6 -110

[timbob]

WUNDERDOG
MLB 20-11 last 31 picks +$1720
1 OF 7
Game: Philadelphia at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 runs -125 (runline)

The Phillies' pitching has spoken for itself as they held the Giants to 6 runs in their four-game series and despite that, they managed to lose a game. The bottom line is if you're going to beat this team, you had better bring an ace to the hill, and the Dodgers have that answer in Huroki Kuroda. Kuroda comes in with a 2.96 ERA and far away from Roy Halladay in name, but very close to Halladay's 2.55 ERA on the season. Finding bad numbers on Halladay isn't easy, but the Dodgers are 8-2 at home in their last 10 vs. a right-hander, certainly puts their lineup in a competitive spot vs. Halladay, especially when taking them on the +1.5 runline. The blue and white have also gone 9-4 in their last 13 at home. Before you dismiss their chances here, consider that the Dodgers have beaten Lincecum twice, Weaver, Carpenter, Hudson, Jurrgens, Cueto, Oswalt, Jimenez and Stauffer this season, not a bad All-Star lineup of pitchers. Play the Dodgers on the runline here.

[timbob]

Picksandpredictions

5,000 San Francisco Giants ML

[timbob]

Tys Terrific Picks

Play of the Day
Philadelphia Phillies ML -160

Boston Red Sox ML -125

San Francisco Giants ML -170

Free Pick: Texas Rangers ML -210

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Arizona –1½ +123

The D-Backs snapped a mini three-game losing streak in style yesterday by beating one of the best in Clayton Kershaw. That’s a good win because Kershaw seldom loses and it really instills a positive state of mind heading into this series against the dreadful Astros and Wandy Rodriguez. At the age of 32, Rodriguez has spent time on the DL this season with elbow issues. He’s put up some very decent numbers that include 109 k’s in 127 frames with just 41 walks. He’s also posted a solid 3.69 ERA and an acceptable 1.30 WHIP. However, there are some warning signs. First, Rodriguez's velocity is down over the last three years (90.1 mph, 89.6 mph, 88.8 mph) so this deserves continued observation especially in light of the recent elbow issues. Also note that since his return from the DL, Rodriguez’s strikeout rate is way down. In fact, just once since his return has he struck out more than three batters in a game. He’s also surrendered five earned runs or more in four of his last eight starts and that, too, is a serious warning. Rodriguez is allowing more flyballs than ever and as a result, more balls are leaving the yard too. So, while Rodriguez has good surface stats, there are plenty of warning signs scattered amongst the positives in those pretty surface stats. The Astros have the worst run differential (-141 entering Sunday) in the NL by a lot. Other than the Cubs (about 45 runs better), no NL team's run differential is within 100 runs of Houston. One of the few recognizable names in the Astros lineup is Carlos Lee. But with no protection in the lineup, Lee is in a 2-for-30 slump and now this group will face the blossoming skills of Daniel Hudson. Hudson has quickly ascended to become the club's ace and a big part of the reason they're just a half game out of first place in the NL West. There are few blemishes on Hudson's skill set. Hudson demonstrated solid control in his debut with the D'backs last season and he's only improved on it further this season. He's sacrificed a few Ks for improved control and it's paid off in a stellar command rate that has seen him walk just 34 batters in 154 IP while striking out 120. He’s quietly established himself as one of the most reliable starters in the game and he should dominate this nothing opponent. Play: Arizona –1½ +123 (Risking 2 units).


San Diego –102

The Padres strikeout as a team more than any other in the majors so when they’re facing a guy with a solid strikeout rate they’re usually not playable but that’s not the case here. Mike Pelfrey strikes out about one batter every two innings and rarely does he have a 1-2-3 inning. He has a BAA of .269 and an average WHIP of 1.36. About half his starts are considered to be of the quality variety and therefore the guy is beatable almost every time he takes the mound. Want further proof that he’s beatable? How about six wins in 23 starts. The Padres create offense by stealing bases and steal them they do. They’ll hit and run, they’ll steal anytime and against a non-strikeout pitcher like Pelfrey, they can do a lot of damage on the base-paths. The Padres are also warm at the moment with four wins in a row and five wins in seven games. Over that span, one of their losses was to Clayton Kershaw but when facing three average pitchers in Pittsburgh over the weekend they exploded with 35 runs in three games. Tim Stauffer is a much better pitcher than Mike Pelfrey. He went 6-5 with a 1.85 ERA in 82 IP for the Padres last season and has enjoyed almost as much success this year. His 2.96 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and 3.25 xERA confirm it has been no fluke. With great command and an elite 54% groundball rate, Tim Stauffer has nothing but starting pitching upside. We also like the fact that the books made the Mets a very enticing tiny favorite here. Play: San Diego –102 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Arizona –1½ +123

The D-Backs snapped a mini three-game losing streak in style yesterday by beating one of the best in Clayton Kershaw. That’s a good win because Kershaw seldom loses and it really instills a positive state of mind heading into this series against the dreadful Astros and Wandy Rodriguez. At the age of 32, Rodriguez has spent time on the DL this season with elbow issues. He’s put up some very decent numbers that include 109 k’s in 127 frames with just 41 walks. He’s also posted a solid 3.69 ERA and an acceptable 1.30 WHIP. However, there are some warning signs. First, Rodriguez's velocity is down over the last three years (90.1 mph, 89.6 mph, 88.8 mph) so this deserves continued observation especially in light of the recent elbow issues. Also note that since his return from the DL, Rodriguez’s strikeout rate is way down. In fact, just once since his return has he struck out more than three batters in a game. He’s also surrendered five earned runs or more in four of his last eight starts and that, too, is a serious warning. Rodriguez is allowing more flyballs than ever and as a result, more balls are leaving the yard too. So, while Rodriguez has good surface stats, there are plenty of warning signs scattered amongst the positives in those pretty surface stats. The Astros have the worst run differential (-141 entering Sunday) in the NL by a lot. Other than the Cubs (about 45 runs better), no NL team's run differential is within 100 runs of Houston. One of the few recognizable names in the Astros lineup is Carlos Lee. But with no protection in the lineup, Lee is in a 2-for-30 slump and now this group will face the blossoming skills of Daniel Hudson. Hudson has quickly ascended to become the club's ace and a big part of the reason they're just a half game out of first place in the NL West. There are few blemishes on Hudson's skill set. Hudson demonstrated solid control in his debut with the D'backs last season and he's only improved on it further this season. He's sacrificed a few Ks for improved control and it's paid off in a stellar command rate that has seen him walk just 34 batters in 154 IP while striking out 120. He’s quietly established himself as one of the most reliable starters in the game and he should dominate this nothing opponent. Play: Arizona –1½ +123 (Risking 2 units).


San Diego –102

The Padres strikeout as a team more than any other in the majors so when they’re facing a guy with a solid strikeout rate they’re usually not playable but that’s not the case here. Mike Pelfrey strikes out about one batter every two innings and rarely does he have a 1-2-3 inning. He has a BAA of .269 and an average WHIP of 1.36. About half his starts are considered to be of the quality variety and therefore the guy is beatable almost every time he takes the mound. Want further proof that he’s beatable? How about six wins in 23 starts. The Padres create offense by stealing bases and steal them they do. They’ll hit and run, they’ll steal anytime and against a non-strikeout pitcher like Pelfrey, they can do a lot of damage on the base-paths. The Padres are also warm at the moment with four wins in a row and five wins in seven games. Over that span, one of their losses was to Clayton Kershaw but when facing three average pitchers in Pittsburgh over the weekend they exploded with 35 runs in three games. Tim Stauffer is a much better pitcher than Mike Pelfrey. He went 6-5 with a 1.85 ERA in 82 IP for the Padres last season and has enjoyed almost as much success this year. His 2.96 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and 3.25 xERA confirm it has been no fluke. With great command and an elite 54% groundball rate, Tim Stauffer has nothing but starting pitching upside. We also like the fact that the books made the Mets a very enticing tiny favorite here. Play: San Diego –102 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

ROCKDEMANSPORTS

Boston Red Sox ML

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits

Royals +156
Twins +105
Nationals +173
Phillies/Dodgers UNDER 6 -110

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
MLB 20-11 last 31 picks +$1720
1 OF 7
Game: Philadelphia at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 runs -125 (runline)

The Phillies' pitching has spoken for itself as they held the Giants to 6 runs in their four-game series and despite that, they managed to lose a game. The bottom line is if you're going to beat this team, you had better bring an ace to the hill, and the Dodgers have that answer in Huroki Kuroda. Kuroda comes in with a 2.96 ERA and far away from Roy Halladay in name, but very close to Halladay's 2.55 ERA on the season. Finding bad numbers on Halladay isn't easy, but the Dodgers are 8-2 at home in their last 10 vs. a right-hander, certainly puts their lineup in a competitive spot vs. Halladay, especially when taking them on the +1.5 runline. The blue and white have also gone 9-4 in their last 13 at home. Before you dismiss their chances here, consider that the Dodgers have beaten Lincecum twice, Weaver, Carpenter, Hudson, Jurrgens, Cueto, Oswalt, Jimenez and Stauffer this season, not a bad All-Star lineup of pitchers. Play the Dodgers on the runline here.

[Mr. IWS]

Picksandpredictions

5,000 San Francisco Giants ML

[Mr. IWS]

Tys Terrific Picks

Play of the Day
Philadelphia Phillies ML -160

Boston Red Sox ML -125

San Francisco Giants ML -170

Free Pick: Texas Rangers ML -210

[Mr. IWS]

Keith Glantz
100 Phillies

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions
Kevin
San Diego Padres @ New York Mets – PADRES TO WIN (-105)
(Note: I’m risking 3.15 units to win 3 units)

The Mets not only lost in tough fashion Sunday, they also lost two players to injury, including their offensive spark plug Jose Reyes. Reyes who is batting .336 tweaked his hamstring, while Daniel Murphy who is batting .320 injured his knee in the 6-5 loss to the Braves Murphy is expected to be out for the season, while Reyes is doubtful for tonight’s game (and most likely this entire series with the Padres). Runs are going to be tougher to come by right now for the Mets, and the Padres, who have won 4 straight, look to take advantage of that. The Padres send Tim Stauffer to the mound tonight. Stauffer is 7-8 on the season with a 2.96 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Batters are hitting .258 against Stauffer on the season. Over his last 11 starts Stauffer has posted a solid 1.97 ERA. On the rubber for the Mets is MIke Pelfrey, who is 6-9 on the season with a 4.48 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Batters are hitting .269 against Pelfrey. He is 2-0 with a 2.60 ERA in five starts against San Diego. For whatever reason, the Padres play a lot better on the road this season. They are .500 (28-28) on the road, and average 4.46 runs per game away from home (almost a full run higher than their average runs scored at home per game). New York is just 23-30 at home this year. Note that the Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs a team with a losing record, 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs a right handed starter, and 5-2 in Stauffer’s last 7 starts following a quality start in his last outing. The Mets are just 7-16 in their last 23 games as a home underdog, 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs a team with a losing record, and 1-5 in their last 6 home games overall. New York has dropped 6 of their last 7 games overall. Note that the Mets are just 1-4 in Pelfrey’s last 5 starts as a home underdog, 7-21 in his last 28 starts as an underdog, and 0-4 in his last 4 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. The Padres have won 15 of these two teams last 22 meetings. The Mets are coming off an emotional loss, which included the loss of two important offensive pieces to the team. I fully expect the Padres to be able to continue to roll here as they head into New York with some new found confidence and are behind Stauffer who has pitched exceptional over his last 11 starts. Despite an injury of their own, I like the Padres chances at getting this done in the first game of this series. Take the value here laying just -105 on the Padres.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers – DODGERS +1.5 (-115)
(Note: I’m risking 2.30 units to win 2 units)

For my second play here today I am adding the DODGERS on the run line, getting 1.5 runs at home vs the Phillies. Doc Halladay is on the mound for the Phillies, and is 14-4 with a 2.5 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and .242 opponents batting average. Very impressive numbers from Halladay like you can expect, but Dodgers pitcher Hiroki Kuroda isn’t far behind in most categories (except for the win-loss record). Kuroda is 7-13 on the year with a 2.96 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and .247 opponents batting average. What really impressed me is that Kuroda is 2-1 with a stellar 0.84 ERA in five career starts against the Phillies. Also note that Kuroda has a 2.38 ERA over his last 11 starts. Note that the Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series, 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss, 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs a right handed starter, and a solid 9-4 in their last 13 home games overall. Los Angeles is 4-0 in Kuroda’s last 4 home starts vs the Phillies. With a run total set at 6 I was very surprised to see we were able to get the Dodgers with a run and a half at -115. The Dodgers have been scoring a lot more runs since their new hitting coach has taken over, and Kuroda has been very solid on the mound as of late. Take the Dodgers here at home on the run line against Halladay and the Phillies.

[Mr. IWS]

CHRIS JORDAN

400♦ WINNER # 5 OF 6 American League Value Chalk
This price is an absolute gift!!!

CHICAGO WHITE SOXS ML -120

[Mr. IWS]

DAVID MALINSKY

4* SAN DIEGO PADRES -105

Change one letter in “Mets” and you have “Mess”. That is the sad state of their infield right now, a group that will be without Daniel Murphy for the rest of the season, and Jose Reyes indefinitely, and it leaves some potentially atrocious defensive combinations. They used four different players at 2B and three different SS’s in yesterday’s game alone, as Terry Collins scrambled to find answers. And given that this is a vulnerable setting for Mike Pelfrey, it is a weak overall package that we can play into.

Pelfrey is priced fairly here off of the appearance of decent current form, but some of that comes at a cost – he was stretched out to 119 pitches in his last outing vs. Florida, and in his career it has been a weak 4-8/5.97 after throwing 115 pitches or more. He only has 74 K’s in 138.2 IP for the full season, and in seven of his last eight starts it has been three K’s or less, so a guy pitching to contact fully puts that weakened defense into play. And having already allowed a hideous count of 18 stolen bases vs. only two runners caught stealing, a Padre offense that leads the Major’s in steals can have their way. It is “hit-and-run” time from the get-go.

Meanwhile Tim Stauffer is having one of the most under-appreciated seasons of any starter in the game. A 2.96 ERA, with 104 K’s vs. 39 W’s, only eight HR’s allowed over 143 IP, and a sparkling 2.98 ground-out ratio would have you on the periphery of Cy Young contention with better offensive support. But because he toils for the Padres it has only meant seven wins, which keeps him far beneath the radar screens. He has allowed two runs or less in nine of this last 11 outings, including four zero’s in that span, and because the working margins were so strong in Pittsburgh over the weekend, the bullpen is well-set for the latter stages.

[Mr. IWS]

DAVID MALINSKY

4* SAN DIEGO PADRES -105

Change one letter in “Mets” and you have “Mess”. That is the sad state of their infield right now, a group that will be without Daniel Murphy for the rest of the season, and Jose Reyes indefinitely, and it leaves some potentially atrocious defensive combinations. They used four different players at 2B and three different SS’s in yesterday’s game alone, as Terry Collins scrambled to find answers. And given that this is a vulnerable setting for Mike Pelfrey, it is a weak overall package that we can play into.

Pelfrey is priced fairly here off of the appearance of decent current form, but some of that comes at a cost – he was stretched out to 119 pitches in his last outing vs. Florida, and in his career it has been a weak 4-8/5.97 after throwing 115 pitches or more. He only has 74 K’s in 138.2 IP for the full season, and in seven of his last eight starts it has been three K’s or less, so a guy pitching to contact fully puts that weakened defense into play. And having already allowed a hideous count of 18 stolen bases vs. only two runners caught stealing, a Padre offense that leads the Major’s in steals can have their way. It is “hit-and-run” time from the get-go.

Meanwhile Tim Stauffer is having one of the most under-appreciated seasons of any starter in the game. A 2.96 ERA, with 104 K’s vs. 39 W’s, only eight HR’s allowed over 143 IP, and a sparkling 2.98 ground-out ratio would have you on the periphery of Cy Young contention with better offensive support. But because he toils for the Padres it has only meant seven wins, which keeps him far beneath the radar screens. He has allowed two runs or less in nine of this last 11 outings, including four zero’s in that span, and because the working margins were so strong in Pittsburgh over the weekend, the bullpen is well-set for the latter stages.

[Mr. IWS]

Intelligent Betting Tips

New York Mets ML -110

[Mr. IWS]

Andrea Vincent

1* Texas Rangers Run Line -1.5 -114

1* Chicago White Sox ML -110

[Mr. IWS]

GoodLyfe Sports

2.3* To win 2* SAN DIEGO PADRES (-115)
2.5* To win 2* CHICAGO WHITE SOX (-125)
1.75* To win 1* CHICAGO CUBS (-175)
1.8* To win 1* ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (-180)

[Mr. IWS]

JACK HOWARD

MLB: 5 DIMES
Philadelphia(-160) Over LA

[Mr. IWS]

BILLY COLEMAN

4* Chicago White Sox ML
3* Texas Rangers UNDER 9.5

[Mr. IWS]

ALATEX-BRENT CROW
SUPERPLAY BEST BET

15* Florida Marlins ML

[Mr. IWS]

Lines2Win

5* Chicago White Sox ML -127

2* Florida Marlins ML +102

[Mr. IWS]

Vic Monte
2000* MAX OUT SPECIAL - PHILLIES -150
2000* MAX OUT SPECIAL - RANGERS -220
2000* MAX OUT SPECIAL - DBACKS -170

[Mr. IWS]

SHARP MOVES

OVER - Boston / Minnesota 8.5

#267 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers PK

[Mr. IWS]

winsportsnow
Monday Parlay Report

D´backs ML -180

Rangers ML -240

White Sox ML -125

[Mr. IWS]

USA Cappers

10* Marlins ML

10* Padres ML

10* Dodgers ML

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Essler | MLB RunLine dime bet 960 ARI -1.5 (+115) Bookmaker.com (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=8) vs 959 HOU
Free Pick: #271/272 Cleveland / GB Packers UNDER 35.5

[Mr. IWS]

RANDY BRUCE

MLB: *5 dimes
Padres ML -110

[Mr. IWS]

PhD Picks

Cincinnati ML -154

Tampa Bay ML -154

[Mr. IWS]

RANDY BRUCE

MLB: *5 dimes
Padres ML -110

[Mr. IWS]

PhD Picks

Cincinnati ML -154

Tampa Bay ML -154