8-26-11

[timbob]

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[Mr. IWS]

Goodlyfe sports

NFL
Green Bay Packers -8.5 (-110) Risk 330/Win 300
Buy down to -7 (-140) Risk 280/Win 200

[Mr. IWS]

NFL NEWS AND NOTES
NFL Preseason Friday: What Bettors Need to Know
By Ashton Grewal


Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts (8.5, 39)
STARTER REPORT

PACKERS: Green Bay head coach Mike McCarthy will not give his starters three quarters of work like most coaches do in Week 3 of the preseason. He told Packers.com that he's more interested in seeing the younger players on the team’s roster.

“I know you traditionally play into the third quarter (in the third preseason game),” McCarthy said. “We will not do that. Our starters will not come out in the second half.”

Quarterbacks Matt Flynn and Graham Harrell will split the second half snaps. Also, starting receiver Greg Jennings hasn’t been ruled out but missed practice on Thursday and is still troubled by a sore right knee.

COLTS: The big news came in on Wednesday regarding the Colts' QB situation. Peyton Manning will not play again this week but neither will newly-signed veteran Kerry Collins. The 38-year-old won’t see any game action for Indy until the final week of the preseason, according to the IndyStar.com.

That leaves the quarterbacking duties still in the hands of Curtis Painter, Dan Orlovsky and Nate Davis. The Colts are tight-lipped about the amount of playing time for their starters in Friday’s game but bettors can expect to see Pro Bowl receiver Reggie Wayne back on the field. Fellow receivers Austin Collie and Anthony Gonzalez will continue to sit out due to injuries.

THINGS TO REMEMBER: Indy has been outscored 49-13 this preseason and are 2-8 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 preseason games.


St. Louis Rams at Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5, 35)
STARTER REPORT

RAMS: Head coach Steve Spagnuolo said he’d like his starters to play the entire first half and one series in the second half, depending on how many snaps that ends up being for his first-team offense.

A.J. Feeley and Thaddeus Lewis should get the remaining offensive plays under center for the Rams but there’s a chance fourth-string QB Taylor Potts could see some playing time late in the game.

CHIEFS: Kansas City coach Todd Haley isn’t saying how long he’ll play his starters on Friday but it’d be safe for bettors to assume Haley will fall on the conservative side. The Chiefs have been an abysmal preseason bet for years, especially under Haley’s direction.

THINGS TO REMEMBER: The Chiefs are 0-9-1 ATS in the preseason under Haley and 4-25-1 in their last 30 exhibition games.

[Mr. IWS]

BANG THE BOOK

Friday's Best NFL Bets

Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts (+8.5, 39)

The Green Bay Packers take on the Indianapolis Colts this Friday night at Lucas Oil Stadium in a Week 3 NFL preseason matchups of two teams that hope to be playing here again in early February of next year. Kick-off is set for 8 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on CBS.

With Super Bowl XLVI slated to be played in Indianapolis this season, Green Bay is hoping a return trip is in order to defend its 2010 world title. The Packers took a step in the right direction towards that goal with a 28-20 win over Arizona as a five-point home favorite last Friday night. This followed a 27-17 loss to Cleveland as a 2.5-point road underdog in their first preseason game. The total went ‘over’ in both these games.

It has been a slow but steady start for the defending champions as Aaron Rodgers has seen little action so far but has been sharp as ever, completing 75 percent of his attempts for 171 yards and two touchdowns. Running backs Ryan Grant and James Starks have only carried the ball a combined 10 times, but are averaging over five yards an attempt.

There is trouble brewing in Indy after two dreadful performances so far. The Colts lost their preseason opener to St. Louis 33-10 as seven-point road underdogs and were beaten 16-3 last Friday night by Washington as five-point home underdogs. The total went ‘over’ the 34-point line in Game 1 but stayed ‘under’ the 35-point line against the Redskins.

Peyton Manning’s recovery from offseason neck surgery has kept the future ‘Hall of Famer’ sidelined this preseason, but the fear now is that his recovery may linger into the start of the regular season. There probably is not a team in the NFL that is more dependent on the play of one man as Indianapolis, so the future health of this team is directly tied to the health of Manning’s neck.

The Colts are completely punchless without Manning’s presence in the lineup, so this should be a walk in the park for the Packers.

PICK: Green Bay -8.5


St. Louis Rams at Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5, 35)

It’s the annual Show Me State showdown in Missouri, and this year, there are definitely high hopes for both the St. Louis Rams and the Kansas City Chiefs as they faceoff at Arrowhead Stadium.

The preseason usually doesn’t mean a whole heck of a lot, but it became clear last year in the third week of exhibitions that the Rams had themselves a star in the making in QB Sam Bradford. Bradford did everything that he could to lead the way for St. Louis in an upset victory as big dogs against the New England Patriots in Foxboro. And, true to the form that they showed in the preseason, the Rams nearly won the NFC West a season ago, even though the division was as bad as any foursome that we’ve seen since the most recent division alignment. Head Coach Steve Spagnuolo and company once again look good in the preseason this year, scoring wins over both the Tennessee Titans and Indianapolis Colts in the first two weeks of the year. Bradford has led the team on TD drives to start the game in both of the duels, something that no one else in the league can say through two weeks, and the hope is definitely there for that to continue now that the Rams have to leave the Edwards Jones Dome for the first time on the year.

And then there are the Chiefs, who did excel a season ago under Head Coach Todd Haley to make it to the playoffs as the AFC West champs. However, so far this season, this looks like a team that isn’t very deep and isn’t very talented on either side of the ball. The defense has had plenty of opportunities to show off, but the problem is that the unit can’t get off of the field. Both the Baltimore Ravens and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers literally ran the ball right down the throats of the Chiefs in their first two exhibitions, which really is a bad sign for Romeo Crennel’s defense. The biggest question in KC though, is whether or not this offense is going to be able to shine without Charlie Weis calling the shots. Right now, we’d have to say that the answer is “No.” Even though QB Matt Cassel wasn’t fantastic last year, Weis made the most out him and kept control of the pigskin well. However, this season, there definitely seems to be a void about controlling the ball, knowing that the team only has 13 points to show for its first two games of the year.

St. Louis Rams @ Kansas City Chiefs Pick: Things have to get better with the first team offense for the Chiefs at some point during the preseason, and this seems like a good candidate to change all of that. We aren’t a fan of high scoring games in the preseason, but this feels like it’s the right spot to take a chance, knowing how well the St. Louis offense has played in both of its first two games.

PICK: OVER 35

[Mr. IWS]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
New York Yankees At Baltimore Betting Preview
By: Evan Abrams


New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles (-175, 10)

The Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees begin a five-game series Friday at Camden Yards with a scheduled start time of 4:05 p.m. (PT).

New York's rotation is in a bit of flux right now with Freddy Garcia (finger) expected to come off the disabled list for the second game of Saturday's doubleheader, according to a recent report in the New York Daily News.

Garcia pitched four innings in relief for Class AAA Scranton on Monday, and is 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA for the parent club since the end of June.

The return of Garcia could bump 38-year-old Bartolo Colon from the New York rotation, at least temporarily. Colon has been knocked around in his last two starts, allowing 10 earned runs and four long balls in 11 1/3 innings.

Hurricane Irene could also play into this series, as well as all other sporting events on the East Coast this weekend. Current forecasts call for a warm and muggy evening in Baltimore for Friday, but rain and wind follow on Saturday and Sunday. A rainout either day could force the Yankees into a situation where they would need an extra starter for the makeup.

A.J. Burnett (9-10, 4.96) is slated to start Friday night for New York against Baltimore right-hander Tommy Hunter (2-2, 4.95).

Burnett has not allowed less than three earned runs in any of his last nine starts. He has been touched up for seven runs in two of his last four starts, each time on the road. Burnett's most recent outing saw him heading to the showers before the end of the second frame after walking three and seeing seven Twins runners cross the plate.

He's won just two of his last 10 assignments, with the Yankees dropping eight of his 14 trips to the bump.

Hunter will be making his fifth start of the season for Baltimore after coming over in a late-July trade from Texas. His control has been impeccable since joining the O's, walking just one batter in 24 2/3 innings. But he's been no mystery to hitters otherwise, serving up 37 hits since joining his new club and owning a 6.20 ERA in a Baltimore jersey.

Burnett and Hunter have combined to post a 7.96 ERA in their last four starts, and Friday night should be no different with both the Orioles and Yankees offenses getting ready to tee off.

This series begins at the perfect time for the Yankees after having trouble at home with the Athletics earlier in the week. New York's recent success versus Baltimore – 20-6 in the last 26 meetings – is just the thing the club needs to try and shake off the recent trouble.

Two key injuries to pay attention to when the Orioles and Yankees face off Friday night is Alex Rodriguez (jammed thumb) and Vladimir Guerrero (hit on wrist by ball at batting practice Wednesday). Both players are questionable for their games on Thursday and could play a big part in the outcome on Friday if they can play.

New York had dropped three of four to the Oakland Athletics and Minnesota Twins entering Thursday's action, and needs this Baltimore series to get back on track so they can keep pace with the Boston Red Sox in the AL East standings. The Red Sox held a 1-game lead on the Yankees before play Thursday. The Yankees finish their series at home versus Oakland, while the Red Sox wrap up their series on the road in Texas before returning home to face the Athletics.

Assuming Mother Nature allows it, the O's and Yanks will play a twinbill on Saturday necessitated by a rainout in April. Ivan Nova and Brian Matusz are the scheduled starters for the early game with Garcia and Britton the mound matchup in the nightcap.

[Mr. IWS]

Friday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

Tim Hudson, Atlanta Braves (13-7, 3.01 ERA)

Hudson continued his strong season by firing seven scoreless innings in Atlanta’s 1-0 win over Arizona, picking up his 12th consecutive quality start. The veteran now sports a 1.88 ERA since the All-Star break and is set as an early -155 favorite Friday when the Braves visit the New York Mets.

Dan Haren, Los Angeles Angels (13-6, 2.98 ERA)

The Angels have won four of Haren’s last five starts, including a 8-3 win over Baltimore in his last trip to the hill. He allowed all three runs over seven innings, but also struck out eight without walking a batter. Haren now has 156 strikeouts on the year compared to only 26 walks.


SLUMPING

Rick Porcello, Detroit Tigers (11-8, 5.17 ERA)

Porcello was cruising through four innings Sunday against the Indians, but he was hammered for five earned runs in the fifth and got the hook. Manager Jim Leyland was disappointed Porcello couldn’t give him at least six innings of work, though he shouldn’t be surprised. Porcello has allowed 17 runs in his last 13 1/3 innings.

"I'm still confident I can figure things out," Porcello told reporters. "I just got to keep grinding through the ups and downs.That's the bottom line."

J.A. Happ, Houston Astros (4-14, 6.26 ERA)

Happ makes his first start back with the Astros after a stint in the minors. He threw well in Triple-A, but definitely deserved the demotion. He is 0-3 with a 9.29 ERA in his last three MLB starts and ranks dead last in Covers.com’s money starter standings, having lost more than 13 units for his supporters this season.

[Mr. IWS]

HOT LINES

Friday’s Best MLB Bets

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles (-175, 10)

A day after the Yankees swatted MLB three grand slams in a 22-9 pasting of the Oakland Athletics we may see some more fireworks.

With the big win, the Yankees now have the over on an 11-3-1 run and that’s where we’re looking with A.J. Burnett sharing the hill with Tommy Hunter.

Burnett, who is holding onto his starting rotation job by a thread, is 1-4 with a 6.93 ERA in his last nine starts and has a 10.70 ERA in four trips to the hill.

“It’s about what’s best for our team as we move forward toward the postseason,” Yankees GM Brian Cashman told reporters. “Two weeks ago, everyone said Phil Hughes should go to the pen. Last week, it was Bartolo Colon. Now it’s A.J. Ultimately, the game will tell you who should go to the pen.”

Meanwhile, Hunter is coming off a 9-8 loss to the Angels that saw him give up six earned runs on 10 hits over 6 1/3 innings.

Buckle up, kids.

PICK: Over


Atlanta Braves at New York Mets (+135, 7.5)

If you haven’t noticed, the Atlanta Braves are on a bit of a roll.

They are 16-5 in their last 21 after taking care of the Cubs and led the NL Wild Card race by 8 ½ games heading into Thursday’s action.

The great news for Atlanta backers is that Brian McCann may finally be heating up after struggling since he came off the DL. He smoked a pair of homers in the club’s 8-3 win over Chicago in the series finale before the team headed to the Big Apple.

"I just haven't really swung the bat well since coming off the DL," McCann told reporters. "When you don't feel good and you face good pitching, it's going to expose you. I've been working in the cage the last three or four days, just trying to find it. Today I made some strides."

McCann was hitting only .139 since coming back from his oblique injury, so this could be huge for the Braves.

PICK: Braves

[Mr. IWS]

WNBA NEWS AND NOTES
Mercury In Tough Test At Connecticut Sun
By: Michael Robinson


Phoenix Mercury at Connecticut Sun (-5, 180)

The Phoenix Mercury start a 4-game road trip on Friday at one of the toughest home teams in the WNBA, the Connecticut Sun. Things will get much tougher for Phoenix if superstar Diana Taurasi can’t play.

The Don Best odds screen will release odds shortly, with the tip from Mohegan Sun Arena coming at 4:30 p.m. (PT).

Both teams are currently in second place in their conference. Connecticut (17-10 straight-up) is two games back of Indiana (19-8) in the East, while Phoenix (15-11) is trying to hold off Seattle (15-12) for second in the West, with Minnesota (21-6) having already clinched.

Taurasi missed the last two games with back spasms and is questionable for Friday. She’s the leading scorer (21 PPG) in the league and the shooting guard also contributes 4.0 APG and 3.3 RPG.

Phoenix was able to survive the first game without Taurasi, an 87-81 home win over struggling San Antonio. Forwards Penny Taylor (28 points) and Candice Dupree (20 points) took advantage of their increased scoring opportunities. However, the team did just fail to ‘cover’ as 6½-point favorites.

The Taurasi loss was felt more in Tuesday's 74-70 home loss to New York as 5½-point favorites. Taylor and Dupree were held to a combined 31 points and former teammate Cappie Pondexter had 25 for the visitors. That broke a 4-game home winning streak.

The Mercury are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.

Phoenix (90 PPG) is easily the highest scoring team in the league and gives up the most points (86.7 PPG). However, both scoring (86.8 PPG) and points allowed (85.8 PPG) are down over the last nine games, with the ‘under’ going 6-3.

The ‘under’ would have been 8-1 if not for two games going into overtime.

The Mercury have played just one road game since August 2, a 93-90 overtime loss at Los Angeles as 5½-point favorites on August 12. Their road record for the year is 6-6 SU and against the spread.

The Sun have been a great home team the past few years and this season is no exception (12-2 SU, 9-5 ATS). They’re 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall, including 6-3 ATS at home.

Connecticut’s last game was Sunday at home against Atlanta, a 96-87 win as three-point favorites. Point guard Renee Montgomery led the way with 21 points, but team depth was shown with five players in double-digits.

The 183 combined points scored went way ‘over’ the 165-point total. The ‘over’ is 3-0 in the Sun’s last three home games, turning up the offense at 95.3 PPG.

The 5-foot-7 Montgomery (15.5 PPG) is the team’s second-leading scorer behind 6-foot-4 center Tina Charles (17.7 PPG, 10.9 RPG) and 6-foot-3 forward Asjha Jones (13.5 PPG, 5.7 RPG). All three played college ball at UConn, which certainly helps at the box office and to breed the home success.

Phoenix and Connecticut last met August 7 in the desert. The Sun survived 96-95 in overtime as 6½-point underdogs. Montgomery (28 points), Jones (27) and Charles (23) combined for 78 of the 96 points. That offset 29 from Taurasi.

The last meeting back East was last year with the Sun winning 82-79, failing to ‘cover’ as 5½-point favorites. Phoenix is 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in the last three games there overall.

The ‘under’ is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Connecticut, with no combined score going above 175 points.

[Mr. IWS]

LADY LUCK

Friday's Best WNBA Bets

Phoenix Mercury at Connecticut Sun (-5, 180)

While the Phoenix Mercury have dropped four straight games against the spread, they’re still in the middle of the Western Conference’s tight playoff race.

This upcoming road trip is a big one, but the Mercury could be in a tough spot if WNBA leading scorer Diana Taurasi’s back spasms don’t let up. She missed her second consecutive game Tuesday, a 74-70 loss to New York.

"We're a scared team right now, playing without Diana," guard Alexis Gray-Lawson told reporters. "Just imagine if she comes back, we'll be even better. So (we) can't wait till she gets back."

Taurasi’s currently listed as questionable, but you have to think that even if she does play, she probably won’t be 100 percent.

Connecticut is averaging 91 points per game over its last five, about 13 points more than its season average. The Sun should be able to get this done at home.

PICK: Connecticut


San Antonio Silver Stars at Minnesota Ly*x (-8, 151.5)

The Silver Stars have dropped each of their last four games, covering just once during the slump. Snapping that slide could be a tall order against the league-leading Ly*x.

San Antonio is coming off a disappointing 63-55 loss at Seattle that showcased the club’s spotty offense. The Silver Stars shot just 32 percent from the floor and managed just nine points in the opening quarter.

"We have to build from this. We came out aggressive and had a mentality that was focused and determined. This next game against Minnesota, we just have to carry that over," forward Sophia Young said. "Obviously these next couple of games are important for us to win so we have to get it in our minds that it's a must-win."

We’re not buying into the desperation routine.

PICK: Minnesota

[Mr. IWS]

Friday’s Betting Tips: Packers To Pull Starters Early

Who’s Hot

MLB: Detroit has won 13 of its last 16 meetings with Minnesota.

CFL: Winnipeg is riding a 16-5-1 run against the spread.

WNBA: Washington has covered in eight of its last 11.

Who’s Not

NFL: The Chiefs are 0-9-1 against the spread in the preseason under Todd Haley.

MLB: Pittsburgh is 3-9 in its last 12 games in St. Louis.

CFL: The under is 0-4 in Hamilton’s last four games overall.

WNBA: Los Angeles is 7-16 against the spread in its last 23 contests.

Key Stat

8.5 – According to the Elias Sports Bureau, MLB games were averaging 8.5 runs per game heading into Tuesday’s action this season. That’s down from a 8.8 average last year and a 9.2 number in 2009. Along that line, the league’s average ERA was 3.91 and will likely finish under 4.00 for the first time since 1992.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Diana Taurasi, Phoenix Mercury – Taurasi has missed the last two games with back spasms and is currently questionable for Friday’s game against Connecticut. Taurasi leads the WNBA with 21 points per game for the Mercury, who are set as 5-point road underdogs at the Sun.

Game Of The Day

St. Louis Rams at Kansas City Chiefs (1.5, 35.5)

Notable Quotable

“He’s better than he has shown. He’s having his typical, terrible August and I wish I could wave a magic wand and change that, but I can’t. We’ll make a decision when we have to make one.” – New York Yankees GM Brian Cashman on the struggling A.J. Burnett. He gets the call Friday as a -175 favorite at Baltimore.

Tips And Notes

Most NFL teams usually play their starters about three quarters in the third week of preseason, but the Green Bay Packers won’t be one of them Friday against Indianapolis Colts. Packers coach Mike McCarthy wants to get a better look at his backups, so he’ll give his first-stringers the hook early. "It's a little different than prior years as far as dress rehearsal, but we'll play our starters close to a half," McCarthy told reporters. The Packers are set as 8.5-point road favorites.

The Cleveland Indians acquired veteran slugger Jim Thome from the Minnesota Twins Thursday for a player to be named later. Thome has 12 homers and 40 RBIs in 206 at-bats this season and should provide some pop from the DH position. The Indians hope he’ll be able to suit up Friday when they host the Royals as a -165 favorite.

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers’ “Swaggerville” defense, which leads the league in fewest points allowed (130), interceptions (11) and sacks (29), faces a test against Hamilton’s offense Friday night. The Tiger Cats have scored at least 30 points in four of their last five games. Winnipeg is currently set as a 3.5-point favorite.

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Cardinals Thursday night.

Friday it's the Yankees. The deficit is 2516 sirignanos.

[Mr. IWS]

Hondo

Hondo made some minor progress last night when his victory with the Bosawx overwhelmed his loss with the Pirates and reduced the damage to 2,445 del grecos.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch expects Roy Harvey Oswalt to shoot more blanks -- 20 units on the Fish to scale the lofty odds. Also, it's Haren go bragh in Texas -- 20 units on the Angels to keep charging.

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Friday

LA Dodgers -140

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

703- 525 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one FRI Under 39 Packers/Colts

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Indians -155 over Royals

[Mr. IWS]

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Colts +9 over Packers

[Mr. IWS]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Indians -155 over Royals

[Mr. IWS]

Today's CFL Picks

Hamilton at Winnipeg

The Tiger-Cats look to build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 Friday games. Hamilton is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bluebombers favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


FRIDAY, AUGUST 26
Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (8/23)


Game 491-492: Hamilton at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 114.051; Winnipeg 115.615
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Winnipeg by 3 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+3 1/2); Over

[Mr. IWS]

John Harrison

Packers

[Mr. IWS]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Phoenix at Connecticut

The Mercury look to build on their 7-3 ATS record in their last 10 games versus Eastern Conference teams. Phoenix is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


FRIDAY, AUGUST 26
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Phoenix at Connecticut (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 111.877; Connecticut 114.578
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 2 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 5 1/2; 180
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+5 1/2); Over


Game 653-654: San Antonio at Minnesota (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 108.517; Minnesota 119.654
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 11; 146
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 8; 151
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-8); Under


Game 655-656: Washington at Chicago (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 104.553; Chicago 115.612
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 11; 137
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7 1/2; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7 1/2); Under


Game 657-658: Tulsa at Los Angeles (10:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 97.772; Los Angeles 107.047
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 9 1/2; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 12 1/2; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+12 1/2); Over

[Mr. IWS]

Today's MLB Picks

Tampa Bay at Toronto

The Rays look to build on their 4-1 record in James Shields' last 5 Friday starts. Tampa Bay is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130). Here are all of today's picks.


FRIDAY, AUGUST 26
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Florida at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Hensley) 13.299; Philadelphia (Oswalt) 16.086
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-210); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-210); Over


Game 953-954: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 15.912; NY Mets (Capuano) 14.797
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-150); Under


Game 955-956: Washington at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Wang) 15.113; Cincinnati (Willis) 13.423
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+125); Over


Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lopez) 14.307; Milwaukee (Wolf) 16.369
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-180); Under


Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (McDonald) 15.523; St. Louis (Westbrook) 14.162
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140); Under


Game 961-962: San Diego at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (LeBlanc) 14.824; Arizona (Collmenter) 15.557
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-160); Over


Game 963-964: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Rogers) 16.619; LA Dodgers (Lilly) 15.689
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+120); Under


Game 965-966: Houston at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Happ) 13.640; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.002
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-230); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-230); Over


Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Burnett) 15.395; Baltimore (Hunter) 16.589
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Over


Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.932; Toronto (Alvarez) 14.566
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130); Under


Game 971-972: Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Paulino) 15.176; Cleveland (Jimenez) 13.640
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+145); Over


Game 973-974: Oakland at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.375; Boston (Wakefield) 16.958
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Under


Game 975-976: LA Angels at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 16.523; Texas (Holland) 14.532
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105); Over


Game 977-978: Detroit at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 16.464; Minnesota (Diamond) 12.598
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 979-980: Chicago White Sox at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 16.337; Seattle (Furbush) 14.716
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-140); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Cappers Access

Colts
Chiefs
Brewers(RL)

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 9 runs bet. Arizona and San Diego.

[Mr. IWS]

MLB
Write-Up


Friday, August 26

Hot pitchers
-- Oswalt is 2-1, 2.57 in his last three starts.
-- Hudson is 4-0, 1.98 in his last five starts.
-- Wang is 2-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
-- Wolf is 4-0, 2.80 in his last five starts.
-- Collmenter is 1-1, 2.18 in his last three starts.
-- Lilly has a 2.45 RA in his last four starts, but no wins.

-- Shields is 2-0, 0.55 in two starts vs Toronto this season.
-- Haren is 3-0, 2.58 in his last six starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hensley is 0-3, 7.77 in his last five starts.
-- Capuano is 0-1, 6.46 in his last four starts.
-- Willis is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Lopez is 2-2, 8.03 in his last five starts.
-- McDonald is 1-2, 5.16 in his last five starts. Westbrook is 1-3, 4.41 in his last five starts.
-- Leblanc is 2-2, 4.62 in seven starts this season.
-- Rogers is 0-1, 6.55 in his last couple starts.
-- Happ is 1-6, 10.07 in his last eight starts. Bumgarner is 1-3, 4.96 in his last five starts.

-- Hunter is 1-1, 6.08 in four starts for Baltimore. Burnett is 1-4, 7.12 in his last nine starts.
-- Jimenez is 1-1, 9.00 in four starts for the Indians. Paulino is 1-3, 4.54 in his last seven starts.
-- Alvarez is 0-1, 4.86 in three starts for Toronto.
-- Gonzalez is 1-5, 6.62 in his last six starts. Wakefield is 0-3, 5.29 in five tries for his 200th win.
-- Holland is 1-1, 7.78 in his last four starts.
-- Porcello is 0-2, 9.56 in his last three starts. Diamond lost 6-4 in his first '11 start, allowing four runs in six IP vs Cleveland.
-- Peavy is 1-5, 5.58 in his last eight starts. Furbush is 1-2, 8.36 in his last three outings.

Totals
-- Over is 9-2 in Phillies' last eleven home games.
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine games at Citi Field.
-- Under is 8-2 in Washington's last ten road games.
-- Last six games at Miller Park stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-2 in Cardinals' last nine road games.
-- 12 of San Diego's last 15 road games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Dodgers' last nine home games.
-- Six of Giants' last eight home games stayed under total.

-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Bronx games.
-- Over is 6-2 in Toronto's last eight home games.
-- Five of Cleveland's last six games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in Oakland's last ten road games.
-- Five of Angels' last six road games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in Detroit's last fourteen road games.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten games at Safeco Field.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won four of their last five home games.
-- Braves won seven of their last eight games.
-- Reds won four of their last five home games.
-- Milwaukee won 18 of its last 21 home games.
-- Padres won five of their last six games. Arizona won last three games, allowing total of three runs.
-- Colorado won its last five games, scoring 36 runs. Dodgers won five of their last seven games.

-- Bronx won 10 of its last 14 road games. Orioles won their last four games, outscoring foes 24-4.
-- Red Sox won six of their last eight games. Oakland won six of its last nine games.
-- Angels won their last six games, scoring 39 runs.
-- Tigers won six of their last seven games.
-- Mariners won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost six of their last seven road games.
-- Mets lost five of their last six games.
-- Nationals lost their last three games, outscored 14-3.
-- Cubs lost four of their last five games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last ten games. Pirates lost six of nine.
-- Giants lost seven of their last ten games. Astros lost four of five.

-- Toronto is 5-6 in its last eleven home games. Rays lost three of their last four games, scoring six runs.
-- Cleveland lost six of its last seven games. Royals lost seven of their last ten road games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last six games.
-- Twins lost their last five games, outscored 27-4.
-- White Sox lost five of their last seven games.

[Mr. IWS]

Free Silver Key Pick for Friday NFL Pre-Season Football

INDIANAPOLIS +9.5 over Green Bay

[Mr. IWS]

Tys Terrific Tips

Friday's MLB plays:
New York Yankees -160 (Play of the Day for MLB)
Atlanta Braves -155
Cincinnati Reds -150
St. Louis Cardinals -160

Friday's NFL plays:
St. Louis Rams -1.5 ( Play of the Day for NFL)
Indianapolis Colts +9

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks
Mon 0 - 1
Tue 1 - 0
Wed 1 - 0
Thu 0 - 1
St. Louis Rams vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The third week of the NFL preseason is set to go Friday night from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City where the Chiefs will look to secure their second outright and first ATS cover of the Todd Haley regime in the exhibition season against the St. Louis Rams; kick-off is set for 8:00 ET.
After looking like rock ‘n’ roll stars against a disinterested bunch of Colts in their first preseason tune-up, the Rams looked rather pedestrian in their follow up last week at home against the Tennessee Titans. Sure, QB Sam Bradford’s first pass of the game went for an 83-yard TD pass to WR Brandon Gibson, but the offense only mustered 200 yards and 10 points the rest of the way with the final three coming at the last second to win the game. On top of that, HC Steve Spagnuolo’s defense left much to be desired as it allowed the Titans to combine for 347 yards (198 on the ground) and only managed to secure one QB sack.
Chiefs HC Todd Haley isn’t one to care much about the preseason. He looks to be cut from the same cut as the Indianapolis Colts, as Kansas City is now just 1-9 SU & 0-10 ATS since he took over the franchise‘s reigns. After getting whitewashed at home by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers which was nothing more than a dress rehearsal for the Chiefs, KC went into Baltimore and took the Ravens best punches for the first 52+ minutes of the game; then all hell broke loose and KC choked away the cover. The QB trio of Matt Cassel, Tyler Palko and Ricky Stanzi combined to throw for 194 yards, but the staple of the Chiefs attack, the running game, churned out less than 100 yards for the second time this preseason.
This is “dress rehearsal” week, so expect both squads to keep their starters in well into the 3rd quarter if not longer. These teams last met in the exhibition season back in 2009 when the Rams scored the 17-9 home win and cover as one-point home chalks. St. Louis is 7-3 ATS its L/10 preseason tussles winning and covering each of its L/4 as visitors. Kansas City has failed to win or cover each of its L/7 as NFLX underdogs.
PICK: St. Louis / KC UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Friday

Play Philadelphia (-215) over Florida (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST

Philadelphia has won 21 of the last 23 games as a favorite of -200 to -225 and they have also won 35 of the last 44 games coming off a loss. Roy Oswalt has won 21 of the last 25 home games as a favorite of -200 to -225 and he is 2-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 1.80.

-----------------------------------------------------------------


Play Milwaukee (-185) over Chicago Cubs (Bonus)

Play San Francisco (-225) over Houston (Bonus)

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Over 8.5 Cubs/Brewers

50* Tigers -110

[Mr. IWS]

Derek Wynne's Full Force Friday

For all your NFL picks and inside information

484-903-7212

I have been featured on the sites Pride Side Investments and Sports America Sports Service, am handicapping independently this year and will bring you the easy money when it comes to NFL:

1. Rams -2 over Chiefs:

One of the least talked about teams of the NFL preseason have been the St Louis Rams. Although I do not expect great things from them this season, I do expect them to be the sleeper tonight and take it to the Chiefs. There has been many on and off the field issues with the Chiefs this week...from Thomas Jones laying out one of his own players, despite them denying this, to Todd Haley catching a Lil Wayne concert Monday night and to Cassel simply not performing, the Chiefs are in some trouble. Tonight, they will not be mentally ready or prepared for this game and the Rams will be.

After having their backups come in and win the game for them against the Titans, Spagnulo has been running a boot camp all week long. This is a serious preseason game for them, meaning easy money for you and I.

MLB Picks

2. Braves/Mets: Winner: Braves runline

3. Nationals/Reds: Winner: Reds runline

4. Athletics/Red Sox: Winner: Redsox runline

[Mr. IWS]

Todays Picks

Detroit Tigers ML -125

Los Angeles Angels ML +105

NFLX
St. Louis Rams -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Defeat Your Bookie

North Johnson III's

10* Philadelphia Phillies ML -210
5* NY Yankees ML -160

Jesus Muncero

3* Atlanta Braves ML -145
3* Los Angeles Angels ML +105

Mat Earlson

5* Atlanta Braves ML -150
3* NY Yankees ML -160

Johnny Palumbo

4* OVER 10 - Orioles / Yankees

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions
Kevin

Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers – OVER 7.5 RUNS (-110)
(Note: I’m risking 2.20 units to win 2 units)

The Rockies and Dodgers meet again after a couple days away from each other, where they both went on to sweep their opponents in three game series’. The Rockies are coming off of a home sweep against the Astros, while the Dodgers swept the Cardinals in St Louis. Los Angeles scored 24 runs in the three game set with the Cardinals. The Rockies are coming off of a 10 game road trip, but did have the day off yesterday. The Rockies send Esmil Rogers to the mound tonight, who is 6-2 on the season with a 6.00 ERA, 1.86 WHIP, and .318 opponents batting average. Although the Rockies are 2-1 in Rogers’ last three starts, he has giving up 26 hits and has a 5.29 ERA over 26 innings of work. The Dodgers have veteran Ted Lilly on the mound, who is 7-13 on the season with a 4.58 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and .255 opponents batting average. Note that the OVER is 8-1 in the Rockies last 9 games overall, 4-1 in their last 5 vs NL West opponents, and 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Also note that the OVER is 3-1-1 in Rogers’ last 5 starts with a low total set at 7-8.5. The OVER is 6-2-1 in the Dodgers last 9 home games, 5-1 in their last 6 Friday games, and 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win. The OVER is also 4-1-1 in the Dodgers last 6 home games with the total set at 7-8.5, and 7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series. The OVER is 6-2 in Lilly’s last 8 starts vs a team with a losing record, and 5-2 in his last 7 home starts with the total set at 7-8.5. Also note that the OVER is 4-1 in Lilly’s last 5 starts vs the Rockies, and head-to-head the OVER is 16-6 in these two teams last 22 meetings. Neither team is struggling at the plate right now, with the Rockies averaging 6.88 runs per game over their last 9, and the Dodgers averaging 6.57 runs per game over their last 7 played. Put that together with two pitchers that struggle at times, and I think we have some good value with this total at 7.5 runs. Let the OVER trend continue between these two teams tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Prophet

POD Angels/Rangers over 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

JACK HOWARD

MLB: 5 Dimes each
Kansas City/Cleveland Over 9(+100)
NYY/Baltimore Over 10(-110)

[Mr. IWS]

SHARP MOVES

UNDER - Kansas City / Cleveland 9

OVER - Washington / Cincinnati 9

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Money Managers
5 -2 so far,,,

1* Green Bay -8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Viking Sports

2* St Louis Rams -2'
2* St Louis/Kansas City under 35

[Mr. IWS]

Bruce Marshall

Green Bay Packers (-8.5) over INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
St. Louis Rams (-1.5) over KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

[Mr. IWS]

SSA 50 DIME on Phillies RL over Marlins -115

[Mr. IWS]

Vic Monte

2000* MAX OUT SPECIAL - ST LOUIS CARDS -160

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG (MLB)
1 OF 6
Game: New York Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 10.5 -115

It is easy to see why this total has pushed beyond the 10-run mark as the Bombers unleashed their fury at home vs. the A's yesterday with 22 runs. Good pitching is usually contagious, and the Birds have held their last four opponents to 1-run each while failing to top the total in their last five. It is easy to back the over in a Yankees game especially after what we saw yesterday. But the reality is that since April 1 of this year, the Bombers have seen a dozen games posted at 10 or higher, and have made it over those totals just three times, and Burnett has only seen one of his last eight starts vs. the Orioles top the total. Baltimore is also playing low at home to high numbers as they are now 8-3 in their last 11 with a total set from 9-10.5.
The UNDER is the play.

[Mr. IWS]

6 Unit Play Take #974 Boston -148 over Oakland (7:10pm est):

The Oakland A's are coming off a long and difficult three game battle versus the New York Yankees this week. You have to wonder how much the A's have left in their tanks going into what looks like another extremely tough place to play. This game has the look of a huge let down spot for Oakland after their battles with the Yankees over these past few days.

Oakland really struggles on the road as they are just 24-41 away from home this season. They are an even worse 17-35 their last 52 road contests. The key here in this one are the pitchers. A's starter Gio Gonzalez is a guy who is a much different pitcher at home than he is when he goes on the road. Gonzalez has a WHIP of over 1.60 on the road this season and is someone who has really struggled the last few months of the season. In fact Oakland has lost his last eight straight road starts coming into this one tonight and are just 3-13 when he faces a home team with a winning record overall ont he season.

The Boston Red Sox have had their fair share of injuries all season long but they have somehow managed to be the top offense in baseball this year while building up a record of 30 games above .500 along the way. They were able to get a few key pieces back the past few days and in the process made a big statement by whipping the Texas Rangers 30-7 in winning the final three games of their four game road series with them. At home and against lefties the Red Sox are especially tough, hitting well over .300 in these match-ups this season. On the pitching end of things the Red Sox go with veteran Tim Wakefield, who once again is looking to get his 200th career victory. Boston actually moved Wakefield's start back a day not only to give him a chance to get his big win in his home ballpark but also because of how much better a pitcher Wakefield is at home than compared to when he is on the road. The always tough Red Sox are even tougher to beat in Boston with Wakefield on the hill, winning 39 of his last 57 home starts overall. He has beaten the A's in Boston five of the last six times he has started against them.

Teams from the west coast playing out east seem to always struggle and Oakland is no exception to that, having won only 11 of the past 40 times they have visited Fenway and are losers of four straight overall. All the Red Sox teammates love Tim Wakefield and they would love nothing more than to get him a win tonight at home for number 200. Now almost completely healthy, Boston looks like they are ready to go to a whole other level offensively the last month of the regular season which should be very scary to the rest of the teams in baseball. The Red Sox hitters will be licking their chops to get ahold of guy like Gonzalez who struggles so mightily on the road and who also walks his fair share of batters. Take Boston here. Big weekend of NFL pre-season action in store. Don't miss out as I continue to roll onward with these pre-season plays on the gridiron. I have not one, not two but three plays in the NFL this weekend and the action all begins tonight. I am 10-3 the last two years here at Doc's Sports in NFL pre-season plays and more impressive than even that is the fact I have yet to have a losing week of the five total weeks over the past two pre-seasons (we don't release NFL plays the final week of the season). Dollar for dollar it's easily the best bargain around. Don't miss out as I am locked and loaded and ready to go tonight.

Thank you and good luck,

Jason Sharpe

[Mr. IWS]

DAVID MALINSKY

4* OAKLAND / BOSTON OVER 10

Sometimes guys with erratic performance swings like Gio Gonzalez, or a knuckleballer like Tim Wakefield, might appear to be “tough reads”. But in this case it is not so difficult at all, and we see plenty of runs in Fenway tonight.

Gonzalez often needs a GPS to find the strike zone, but works around that because his stuff is difficult to hit. His worst nightmare comes when he faces a patient side that will not chase anything on the edges of the zone, and that is what happens tonight. The Yankees and Red Sox are once again #1 and #2 in the Major League’s in W rate, and against those teams he is 0-3/7.41 this season. His 2.36 home/4.50 road splits have a lot of those “control” issues built in, toiling at 4.6 W’s per 9 from opposing mounds, so even if he brings good stuff there will be high early pitch counts to wear him down. That is a major problem, because the Oakland bullpen is a mess today. Bruce Billings and Jordan Norberto are out for certain; Brian Fuentes and Fautino De Los Santos have each worked back-to-back games and are question marks, and there is no form to be found from closer Andrew Bailey, who has been scored on five times in his last seven appearances.

But the A’s will compete to win tonight because they will score – against Wakefield everyone does these days. While the veteran right-hander has given the Red Sox just what they needed, someone to go out and eat innings, there has not much movement on his knuckler lately. That shows up in terrific control numbers, with only 15 W’s over his last 11 starts, but for him that is not necessarily a good thing – he allowed at least three earned runs in every one of those 11 games, getting tagged for 83 hits in that span. And it is not as though he has been up against top-flight competition, with seven straight starts against losing teams. He will do his usual tonight, churn through some innings while not dominating at any time, and that enables the Oakland offense to bring us what we need from their side of this equation.

[Mr. IWS]

Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk"

Ben lee lost and went back into the "RED" on Thursday with the Blue Jays -$190/Royals.

For Friday "Mr Chalk" is going with the 2nd "Chalkest" game on the board the Phillies -$210/Marlins.

"Mr Chalk" is 85-53 -$49 for the 2011 MLB regular season.

[Mr. IWS]

Guaranteed Sports Pick

10* Game of the Month
LA Angels @ Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 -115

[Mr. IWS]

Bruce Marshall

Green Bay Packers (-8.5) over INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
St. Louis Rams (-1.5) over KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
New York Yankees-BALTIMORE ORIOLES (Over 10)
Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5, +120) over TORONTO BLUE JAYS

[Mr. IWS]

JIMMY BOYD

5* 100% Perfect NFLX *BEST BET*
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS +1.5


3* MLB Friday Night SMASH!
BOSTON RED SOX ML

[Mr. IWS]

JTGPicks
Flat bet system TO WIN 100 dlls


Philadelphia -204


Milwaukee -178


San Francisco -230


Detroit -125

[Mr. IWS]

Sniper Picks

MLB

Oakland Athletics vs Boston Red Sox OVER 10 (5 UNITS) @ 7:10 pm est

NFLX

Green Bay Packers -9 (5 UNITS) @ 8:00 pm est

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Game: New York Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 10.5 -115 (risk 3 to win 2.6)

It is easy to see why this total has pushed beyond the 10-run mark as the Bombers unleashed their fury at home vs. the A's yesterday with 22 runs. Good pitching is usually contagious, and the Birds have held their last four opponents to 1-run each while failing to top the total in their last five. It is easy to back the over in a Yankees game especially after what we saw yesterday. But the reality is that since April 1 of this year, the Bombers have seen a dozen games posted at 10 or higher, and have made it over those totals just three times, and Burnett has only seen one of his last eight starts vs. the Orioles top the total. Baltimore is also playing low at home to high numbers as they are now 8-3 in their last 11 with a total set from 9-10.5. The UNDER is the play.

Game: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 8.5 -105 (risk 3 to win 2.9)
The Tampa Bay Rays have had scoring problems for most of the season. Those problems continue to plague them as they have managed to score just 6 runs in their last four games, and are off a shutout in their previous game. They manage to stay in most games however, and their pitching has come up big of late, holding opponents to 3 runs or less in 11 of their last 15 games. Toronto has seen three of their last seven games end with a team not scoring a single run. In three of their last six games, the offense has failed to tally more than a single run. The Rays have been the UNDER kings behind Shields with a total set from 7-8.5 as they are now 22-6-1 to the UNDER in his last 29 starts in this total range. The Jays are now 15-7 to the UNDER in their last 22 as a dog up to +150. Back the UNDER here.

Game: Oakland at Boston (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Boston -150 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 2.7)The Oakland A's really took one on the chin yesterday, allowing the Yankees three grand-slams and 22 runs. That has pretty much wiped out a bullpen that has been overworked to begin with. The Red Sox can win games in a lot of ways, especially at home as they have a deep, powerful lineup, and a back end of a bullpen where Bard and Papelbon await. Gio Gonzalez has allowed 25 runs in his last 35 innings - not the situation you like to see going against the best hitting team in baseball. The A's show just 23-49 in their last 72 as a road dog. Behind Gonzalez, they are a woeful 2-10 in his last 12 starts as a dog from +110 to +150. The Red Sox are 39-18 at home in Wakefield's last 57 home starts, showing value on the chalk. Boston is my play for Game of the Month.

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Texas (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 9 -120 (risk 3 to win 2.5)
The Angels were left for dead after losing the first three games to Texas at home a week ago. They fought their back and now trail by just one in the loss column. Angels pitching has taken charge, as outside of a blowup in Baltimore for 8 runs, the Halo’s staff has allowed just 9 runs on their way to six straight wins. The Rangers offense is on hiatus with just 1 run scored over their last six games, producing just a tick over 2 per contest. The Angels are producing a 16-7-2 UNDER mark in their last 25 following an off day, while the Rangers’ have posted four straight UNDERs behind Holland in a start after he only lasted four innings or less in his previous trip. This series has been dominated by pitching, with just eight games topping the total in the last 29 meetings. Play this one on the UNDER.

Game: San Diego at Arizona (9:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on San Diego +145 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.9)
This series reminds me of the movie, "Trading Places". It is exactly what has transpired for these clubs over the last year. San Diego took a shot at the Cinderella Slipper last year, while Arizona is trying to make it fit this year. Offensively and overall, life has not been kind to the D-Backs, losers of six of their last nine, producing just 2.4 runs per game during that stretch. The Padres have mysteriously played well on the road, just a single game under .500. They have won five of their last six overall, while scoring 5.6 runs per game during the stretch. San Diego comes into this one winners of six of their last eight after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game, while the D-Backs show just 0-4 at home the first game back after a 7-game road trip or longer. Play San Diego in this one.

Game: Chicago White Sox at Seattle (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Seattle +120 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.6)
The Chicago White Sox have slipped under the .500 mark and out of the race in the AL Central. Jake Peavy was once a dominant top-of-the-rotation pitcher for the Padres, but has seen arm trouble diminish his effectiveness, as he enters with an ERA over 5. The Mariners offense has been much better in the second half of the season, and red-hot lately with 21 runs in their last two games. Charles Furbush made his MLB debut this year, and has not fared well on the road. As is the case with most young pitchers, he has been superb at home where he has worked to a 3-1 mark backed by a prolific 1.47 ERA. Peavy's struggles have led the Pale Hose to a 2-6 mark in his last eight starts, while Seattle has run the streak at home to four straight vs. a losing team. Take Seattle in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

SuperSportsGroup

Tampa Bay v. Toronto 7:05pm
8* PICK: Jays ML +128 Game

Kansas City v. Cleveland 7:05pm
15* PICK: OVER 8.5 Game -105 Game of the month

Oakland v. Boston 7:10pm
10* PICK: OVER 10 Game ev Hidden Gem

Detroit v. Minnesota 7:10pm
8* PICK: OVER 9.5 Game +105

Anaheim v. Texas 8:05pm
8* PICK: Rangers ML -111 Game

[Mr. IWS]

Today's NFL Picks

Green Bay at Indianapolis

The Packers look to follow up on their 28-20 win over Arizona last week as they travel to Indianapolis tonight to face the winless Colts. Green Bay is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Packers favored by 12. Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-8 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.


FRIDAY, AUGUST 26
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 257-258: Green Bay at Indianapolis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 121.235; Indianapolis 109.418
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 12; 36
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 8 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-8 1/2); Under


Game 259-260: St. Louis at Kansas City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 116.870; Kansas City 118.247
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 33
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 35
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+1 1/2); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

10-unit play Green bay packers -9
3-unit play on St louis rams -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

NORM HITZGES

Saint Louis Rams -2
Green Bay Packers -9
Green Bay Packers UNDER 38

[Mr. IWS]

Keith Glantz

100* Boston Red Sox

100* Arizona D´Backs

[Mr. IWS]

Mike and Mike Sports

MAX REALESE

100* Indianapolis Colts +9.5

[Mr. IWS]

Randy Bruce

MLB: *5 dimes
Rockies/Dodgers Over 7.5, -115

[Mr. IWS]

MARK FOX

San Francisco Giants -1.5 RL

[Mr. IWS]

ATS WINNERS

4* Green Bay Packers -8

4* St. Louis Rams -1

[Mr. IWS]

Gold sheet

1 unit NFLX Green Bay -8.5

[Mr. IWS]

chris jordan:

300 GB Packers -8

100 LA Dodgers (bonus)

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS N´PROFITS

Boston Red Sox -149 vs. Oakland Athletics @ 710PM

NFLX

Green Bay Packers -9 vs. Indianapolis Colts @ 8PM
St Louis Rams -1 1/2 vs. Kansas City Chiefs @ 8PM

[Mr. IWS]

TONY BRAVO

$100* 5 STICKS TNT TOP PLAY* NY Yankees ML

$100* REGULAR PLAY* Boston Red Sox ML

$100* REGULAR PLAY* Atlanta Braves ML

$100* NF REGULAR PLAY Green Bay Packers

[Mr. IWS]

Don Wallace Sports
3 UNIT* ROT (259) St. Louis -1.5 over Kansas City
ANALYSIS : The Kansas City Chiefs return to Arrowhead Stadium to host cross-state rival St. Louis Rams on Friday, in a Governors Cup match up. Kansas City stands 0-2 in the preseason while St. Louis has a 2-0 ledger. The 2010 season marked a turning point for the Chiefs franchise as Head Coach Todd Haleys squad turned in a 10-6 record after a 4-12 performance in 2009. It marked the best single-season turnaround in franchise history. The Chiefs won the AFC West Championship and earned a home playoff game for the first time since 2003. St. Louis ended the 2010 season with a 7-9 mark, staying in playoff contention until the last weekend of the regular season. The Rams played at Seattle in the final game of the season with the winner advancing to the playoffs. Seattle pulled out a 16-6 victory over the Rams to win the NFC West. The Rams are 12-8 in preseason action against the Chiefs. Since the Rams relocation to St. Louis, the two clubs have squared off 11 times in preseason play. The most recent preseason meeting between the two teams resulted in a 17-9 Rams win at the Edward Jones Dome (9/3/09). Kansas City's last preseason win against the Rams was a 21-17 decision at Arrowhead (8/28/08). The Rams hold a 16-14 edge in all games between these two teams. However, recent preseason trends show Haley could care less about exhibition games. Chiefs 1-10 SU, 0-11 ATS. Kansas City is 3-19 ATS against the NFC at home. Especially with Haley's success in the regular season last year, he has absolutely nothing to prove here. Spagnuolo on the other hand is 8-2 SU in the preseason, with a perfect 5-0 ATS road mark. The line open at St. Louis -1, but I can assure you this number will continue to rise before kickoff. We love the Rams in this spot. St. Louis 23 Kansas City 10

[Mr. IWS]

Merrell 8/26

Published on August 26, 2011 by hrc staff

Rotation: 974
Pick: Redsox
Line: -145

Market Square Experts 8/26

Published on August 26, 2011 by hrc staff

Rotation: 972
Pick: Indians
Line: -150

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

Pittsburgh +149 over ST. LOUIS Pinnacle
The Cardinals won last night to snap a losing streak but so what. They’ve still lost seven of its last 10 games and most of the players couldn’t give a damn and they continue to be overvalued almost daily. This is a team that is just going through the motions right now and can’t wait for the season to end. Not even Dave Duncan can turn cat food into caviar, as is the case with Jake Westbrook. Westbrook has issued 56 walks while striking out just 80 in 149 frames. He doesn’t miss a lot of bats and at Busch he’s 3-4 with an ERA of 5.96. At best, Jake Westbrook and the Cards are a 50/50 proposition here and that’s why they Bucs are a solid play taking back almost 7½-5. James McDonald has been trying to live up to his potential since his days as a Dodger prospect, and at times this year he's been brilliant. Even more encouraging is that he's begun to find consistency in the second half of the season. His strikeout rate for 2011 isn't bad and he's picked up his strikeout rate since July. For the season, McDonald's numbers don't wow anyone. But his performance lately has been worth attention. His value going forward depends on the lens through which it's viewed. With the Pirates falling out of the NL Wild Card race and McDonald never having thrown 150 innings as a professional, it's a bit of a gamble to count on the 26-year-old continuing to pitch well in September. Longer-term, though, the future is finally starting to brighten and in no way is he a worse option taking back a tag than Westbrook is laying one. Play: Pittsburgh +149 (Risking 2 units).

L.A. Angels +107 over TEXAS Pinnacle
The Angels won’t go away in this race. They’re just two games back in the AL West standings coming into this series and it was all triggered with that ninth inning walk-off win last weekend against these Rangers to avoid getting swept. A loss in that last game would’ve put the Angels seven back and dampened their sprits completely. Instead, they haven’t lost since and that gives us a chance to back a hot team with a great pitcher going. Even on his own team, Dan Haren can get lost in the shadows of Jered Weaver and Ervin Santana. It's easy to forget that Haren, despite being bounced around a bit from team-to-team in his career, easily has one of the most consistent skill sets of the last six years. He's making his claim for his first sub-3.00 ERA season, and xERA shows that it's within reach. Haren has walked even fewer batters than before, and even though his strikeout rate has slipped slightly, his command remains top-notch. His 0.98 WHIP and hit rates, which never stray far from 30%, affirm that his ERA (2.98) numbers are for real. Haren's year-in, year-out production at the elite level is what really stands out. His career high for wins is 16 in 2008. The fact that he's never approached 20 wins could be holding back his reputation and at 13 wins so far in 2011, it won't happen this season. But know that at 30 years old, Haren's only a year-long dash of good fortune away from Cy Young consideration and in 100 games against Derek Holland, Dan Haren should be favored 100 times. Play: L.A. Angels +107 (Risking 2 units).

Tampa Bay –1 -105 over TORONTO Pinnacle
If you don’t have the option of laying a single run you can lay 30 cents and feel pretty good about it, as James Shields is the straight goods and the Jays can’t hit him. In two starts against Toronto this season, Shields is 2-0 with a 0.55 ERA and it’s also worth noting that the Jays’ .713 OPS in August ranks dead last in the AL. The Rays have won 11-of-15 coming in and are 7-4 against Toronto this season but it even gets better than that. The Jays are 21-24 against right-handers this season at home while the Rays are 24-14 against lefties and will face one here in newcomer Henderson Alvarez. Alvarez is going to be a good one. The guy is poised and he’s talented. Alvarez consistently buries pitches low in the strike zone and keeps walks to a minimum. He sometimes overthrows his fastball, which curtails its movement and leaves him hittable. Due to his natural stuff, he has nice upside, but he likely won't be a dominant presence with a high strikeout rate. Furthermore, his 4.02 ERA in the minors says he’ll go through some growing pains at this level and those growing pains are likely to show up here. Play: Tampa Bay –1 –105 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).

CFL

Hamilton +3½ over WINNIPEG Pinnacle
The Bombers are 6-1 and own the league’s best record and that’s saying something about a team that went 4-14 a year ago and is virtually unchanged. What that tells us is that the Bombers grossly underachieved last year or perhaps they’ve overachieved this season. What we know for sure is that Winnipeg is not much better, if it all than the TiCats. The Blue Bombers defense is superior but the offense is inferior and that makes this assignment tough. The CFL is a QB league and an offensive league and Winnipeg QB Buck Pierce ranks last in the CFL in passing yards. Winnipeg overall is dead last in yards in the air and in this league the defense will only carry you for so long. The Blue Bombers may have been undervalued the first half of the year but as we approach the second half, they’re getting just a little too much credit and this is most certainly a winnable game for the visitor. Play: Hamilton +3½ (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook | MLB Money Line

Buried Treasure

dime bet 961 SDP (+145) Bodog (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=5) vs 962 ARI

[Mr. IWS]

TONY LADUKE (Applehandicappers)

3*NFL St Louis Rams-1
3*MLB NY Yankees/Oakland A's Under 10.5

[timbob]

Jeff Benton
Friday's Action
30 Dime baseball release this Friday night on the visiteng Rays as they open a weekend series agaionst their division-rival Toronto. At the time I releose this winner, the odds have Tampa Bay -140 across the board both here in Vegas and offshore. Note that when placing your action, you must list Shields as the Rays starting pitcher, and Alvarez as the starting pitcher for the Nationals. Both must start, or this play is VOID!


10 Dime winner is to take the over in the Kansas City-Cleveland game with Paulino and Jimenez listed as the starting pitchers. As I release this winner, the total I am seeing both here in Vegas and offshore is right around nine runs. Both listed pitchers must start, or this play is VOID!

[timbob]

GoodFella | NFL Total Sat, 08/27/11 - 2:00 PM Ý‘
dime bet 261 NYJ / 262 NYG UNDER 36.5 Hilton
Analysis: 1.5 UNITS on the JETS/GIANTS UNDER 36.5

GoodFella | NFL Side Fri, 08/26/11 - 8:00 PM Ý‘
dime bet 260 KAN 1.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 259 STL
Analysis: 1.5 UNITS on the CHIEFS +1.5

GoodFella | NFL Side Sat, 08/27/11 - 8:00 PM Ý‘
double-dime bet 275 HOU -2.5 (-110) JustBet vs 276 SFX
Analysis: 2 UNITS on the TEXA¡NS -2.5

GoodFella | MLB Total Fri, 08/26/11 - 8:10 PM Ý‘
dime bet 957 CHC / 958 MIL OVER 8.5 Hilton
Analysis: 1.5 UNITS on the CUBS/BREWERS OVER 8.5

[timbob]

Kelso's bases

25 UNIT AL GOW Tampa Bay Rays -135
10 UNIT Colorado Rockies +115
10 UNIT Cleveland Indians -155
10 UNIT Arizona Diamondbacks -160
5 UNIT 2 TEAM PARLAY Arizona Diamondbacks + Cleveland Indians

[timbob]

Northcoast

3.5* NFLX St Louis Rams

[timbob]

Greg shaker

3 dime mlb total of the month
la angels over 9

[timbob]

STEVE JANUS

5* Boston Red Sox
4* LA Angels
4* Milwaukee Brewers 1.5

[timbob]

SPORTS BROKERS LV
BIG GAME* Texas Rangers ML
REGULAR* Seattle Mariners ML
TOTAL* Texas Rangers-LA Angels UNDER 9

BIG GAME* KC Chiefs +2
REGULAR* GB Packers -8
TOTAL* GB Packers-Indianapolis OVER 35

[timbob]

Indian Cowboy
5* MLB GOTW Dodgers
4* WNBA: Washington +7.5

[timbob]

Handicappster

2* UNDER 35 - ST. Louis Rams / Kansas City

3* Kansas City Chiefs +1

5* "Diamond Pick" Green Bay Packers -9

MLB

3* Chicago White Sox ML -125

3* Atlanta Braves ML -136

[timbob]

Lines2win

2* nflx kansas city chiefs +1
3* atlanta braves ml -140

[timbob]

Harry Bondi

(Free Selection)

Friday, August 26th<h2>




NFL PRESEASON


KANSAS CITY (+2) over St. Louis
8 p.m. EST

The Chiefs are 0-2 in the preseason, but that's a bit misleading and it's caused a bad line here tonight. KC led Baltimore last week 13-10 entering the fourth quarter, but then pulled all of its starters and put in guys who will be flipping burgers and driving UPS trucks in a few weeks. The Ravens took advantage and scored 21 unanswered points. KC Head Coach Todd Haley expects to play his starters a lot longer tonight and wants to get a decent effort in front of the home crowd. Take the home dog here.

[timbob]

Bob Balfe

AWAY: HOME: ODDS: TIME:
Green Bay Packers Indianapolis Colts Green Bay Packers -9, 39
8/26/2011 8:00 PM
SELECTION:

Indianapolis Colts +9


We all know how bad the Colts are in the preseason and now there is talk of Payton Manning not being ready to start the season. I look more at the Packers in this game rather than the Colts, however. Green Bay was hit so hard with injuries last year that they are going to be very careful on this playing surface tonight. Aaron Rodgers was injured on a similar surface in Detroit late in the year and will want to avoid any injuries. The Colts have a small but quick defense that can match up against the Packers. I expect a low scoring game as well. Take the Colts.

[timbob]

Gold Sheet LTS

1* Packers -8.5

[timbob]

EasyBaseballBetting
Our systems say to go for:

Orioles (+161),
Pirates (+161),
Brewers (-180),
Blue Jays (+128),
Reds (-145),
Phillies (-225),
Red Sox (-146),
Mariners (+118),
Mets (+128),
Tigers (-125),
Royals (+147),
Angels (+103).

[timbob]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

2*#957 Take Over 8 ½ -120 Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee

5* #974 Take Boston -145 over Oakland

[timbob]

ROBERT FERRINGO

2.5-Unit Play. Take #977 Detroit (-125) over Minnesota

2.5-Unit Play. Take #953 Atlanta (-140) over N.Y. Mets

2-Unit Play. Take #974 Boston (-150) over Oakland

1.5-Unit Play. Take #958 Milwaukee (-1.5, +110) over Chicago Cubs

1.5-Unit Play. Take #979 Chicago White Sox (-135) over Seattle

1-Unit Play. Take #969 Tampa Bay (-135) over Toronto

1-Unit Play. Take #966 San Francisco (-1.5, -110) over Houston

1-Unit Play. Take #964 L.A. Dodgers (-125) over Colorado

1-Unit Play. Take #255 Washington (+4) over Baltimore

NFLX
1-Unit Play. Take #260 Kansas City (+1.5) over St. Louis

0.5-Unit Play. Take #257 Green Bay (-8.5) over Indianapolis

[timbob]

Jhonny Banks

500 DIME MLB HIGH ROLLER ON TORONTO +1.5 -136

500 DIME MLB HIGH ROLLER ON MILWAUKEE -181

500 DIME MLB HIGH ROLLER ON BOSTON -149

500 DIME MLB HIGH ROLLER ON ARIZONA -157

500 DIME MLB HIGH ROLLER ON CHICAGO WS -132

500 DIME MLB HIGH ROLLER ON HOUSTON +1.5 -106

NFLX
500 DIME NFL HIGH ROLLER ON GREEN BAY -9

500 DIME NFL HIGH ROLLER ON ST LOUIS -1.5