8-29-11

[timbob]

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[Mr. IWS]

Jets at Giants: What bettors need to know

New York Jets at New York Giants (+2.5, 35)

Weather Permitting

This game was originally scheduled for Saturday but was bumped to Monday because of Hurricane Irene. There was talk about moving the game time up on Saturday to try and squeeze play in before Irene hit, but the all parties involved thought moving the game to Monday was the best option.

"Along with the NFL office and the Jets, we have closely monitored the hurricane and the forecast and its potential impact on our area for the past several days," Giants owner John Mara said in a statement. "After conferring with (New Jersey) Governor (Chris) Christie, (Jets owner) Woody Johnson and (NFL) commissioner (Roger) Goodell, we have determined the best course of action for the safety and well-being of all is to move the game to Monday night."

A change on the fly like this isn’t new to the Giants. They had their Week 14 contest against the Vikings moved to a Monday night and a different field because of a severe snowstorm that damaged the Metrodome’s roof. Coughlin’s club won and covered that game 21-3 at Ford Field.

"We're getting good at mid-streak adjustments," Giants coach Tom Coughlin told reporters on Saturday. "I don't know if that is something you necessarily want to perfect, but I think we're close."

Starter Report

Giants: Coughlin said his starters would play the entire first half with the backups getting all the action in the second half. Top tailback Ahmad Bradshaw didn’t practice on Thursday and is iffy for Monday’s game against the Jets because of a sore back.

Jets: Gang Green coach Rex Ryan says he’ll play his starters in the first half and the first drive in the second half before turning to his depth players. Ryan also said he and his coaching staff will roll out a vanilla scheme against Giants.

“We always hold back in the preseason, but we still blitz and we still get after it,” Ryan told the Newark Star-Ledger. “But we don’t game plan… We never game plan defensively, anyway, in a preseason game.”

Backup QB Mark Brunell didn’t practice on Thursday and is doubtful to play Monday as well. That means rookie Greg McElroy should see the majority of action in the second half.

Plaxico Burress plays former teammates

Burress was the leading receiver for the Giants' Super Bowl team but now plays for the other New York football team. Burress, who spent the better part of two years behind bars on a gun case, is now catching passes for the Jets.

“Personally, I think I just needed a fresh start,” he told the New York Daily News. “If I wanted to go somewhere and make money, I could have went a couple other places and got a two- or three-year deal, different things like that. But I just wanted an opportunity to go somewhere fresh and have an opportunity to play for a great organization and a great coach in Rex and a great team.”

Ryan is singing praises about Burress this camp even though the often-injured wideout has missed several practices. Plaxico looked good last week against the Bengals and the Jets are hoping he can be a go-to target for QB Mark Sanchez in the red zone.

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Dodgers -155 over Padres

[Mr. IWS]

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Jets -150 over Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast

New York Giant's +3

[Mr. IWS]

BANG THE BOOK

Monday's Best NFL Bet

New York Jets at New York Giants (+2.5, 35)

The Meadowlands will surely be burning up with animosity on Saturday night, as NFL betting fans from the Empire State and the Garden State will love this clash between their hometown teams, the New York Jets and the New York Giants.

Head Coach Rex Ryan knows that this is a huge game for the psyche of his offense. He is expected to let QB Mark Sanchez quarterback at least through the end of the first half, and likely through the start of the third quarter as well, and he could be in for a big game. Sanchez hooked up with his newest target, WR Plaxico Burress for a TD in last week’s win over the Cincinnati Bengals, and we wouldn’t be shocked if these two did some more damage again this week. Still, this is going to be the last chance to get on the same page with WR Derrick Mason as well, and there are still lingering questions remaining about this offensive line, which hasn’t done all that well with the first teamers out there in the preseason. Do expect to see a lot of time for QB Greg McElroy as well, as he really is progressing nicely here in the preseason and should have his hands wrapped tightly around that second QB job behind Sanchez. McElroy threw for 208 yards and a score against the Houston Texans two weeks ago, and he came back and went 6-of-9 for 59 yards and a TD against the Bengals last week.

Meanwhile, the Giants are going to hope to pick up where they left off last week against the Chicago Bears. They dropped a whopping 41 points on the board and accounted for 380 yards of offense, 97 yards of which came on an electrifying run by RB Da’Rel Scott. RB Brandon Jacobs looks great, as do the other backups on this team, but we are waiting to see a little bit more out of starter RB Ahmad Bradshaw. For as well as the New York offense has played, QB Eli Manning just doesn’t feel like he has quite figured it out yet. He only went 8-of-16 for 78 yards last week against the Bears, and he only threw for 36 yards in the first preseason game as well. Even though Eli already has a ring to his name, we know that he is always under scrutiny in the Big Apple, and especially with one of his former favorite targets, Burress, sitting on the other sideline, there will be plenty of opportunities for the media hounds to make his life a living hell if he doesn’t play up to par against the stout Jets’ defense.

New York Jets @ New York Giants Pick: There’s more on the line here for the Giants than the Jets, and we tend to think that that is going to be the determining factor in this one. Give the boys in blue the slight nod, especially as short underdogs in a game that could be very tight and come down to the wire.

PICK: Giants +2.5

[Mr. IWS]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Philadelphia Phillies At Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
By: Willie Bee


Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds (+133, 8)

Hurricane Irene's disruption to the schedule behind us, Major League Baseball begins its final 31 days of the regular season on Monday when the Philadelphia Phillies visit the Cincinnati Reds for the first of a 4-game series.

ESPN's cameras will be on hand for the opener from Great American Ball Park where Phils southpaw Cole Hamels is expected to make his return from a short stint on the disabled list. He'll be opposed by Reds righty Homer Bailey in the 7:10 p.m. (ET) start.

Opening numbers on the Don Best odds screen listed the Phillies -150 with an 8-run total.

Charlie Manuel's club might have a little rust to shake off after sitting idle over the weekend due to the Atlantic storm. The final two home games against the Florida Marlins will be made up in a doubleheader about two weeks from now.

Philadelphia reached a season-high 35 games over .500 on Aug. 10, but has since gone 6-6. The Phillies enter this series on a mini 2-game slide, but have been a solid road squad overall this season at 37-24 (14-5 since the all-star break).

Monday's outing will be the first start for Hamels (16-9, 2.62) in 18 days after the left-hander was shelved due to shoulder inflammation. His most recent trip to the hill (Aug. 12) was a loss at home to the Nationals and Philadelphia is a pedestrian 3-3 in his six second-half starts.

Hamels carries a 6-2 personal record in 11 road games (2.82 ERA) with the Phillies going 8-3. The Phils are a perfect 9-0 when he takes on the Reds, a streak that includes a complete game shutout in the playoffs last season and a 10-3 win when the clubs met in Philadelphia this May carrying a -165 number on the betting line.

The Reds needed 14 innings, but they finished their home sweep of the Nationals on Sunday to push their record to 67-66 (-9.5 units) to move above .500 for the first time since they were 43-42 on July 3. It was Cincinnati's fourth consecutive triumph though it got them no closer than 13 games behind NL Central-leading Milwaukee entering the week.

This will be the sixth career appearance for Bailey (8-8, 4.44) against the Phillies, and fifth start, and looks to get off the schneid after all five of his previous outings vs. Philadelphia have ended in Cincinnati defeats. He faced the Phils in the May series at Citizens Bank Park and took the loss in a 10-4 Philadelphia cakewalk.

Bailey's career ERA vs. the Phillies is 6.30, including a couple of shutout innings in relief during last October's NLCS.

The good news for the Reds is they are 6-2 in Bailey's eight starts in Cincinnati this campaign. Philadelphia's available lineup for Monday has hit a collective .269 off the Reds righty with Ryan Howard and Raul Ibañez each taking Bailey deep once over the years.

This is the second and final meeting of the schedule for the clubs. The Phils took three of four at home back in May, all four of the contests cashing 'over' tickets with the totals running in the 7-8 run range. Cincinnati won two of the three played at Great American Ball Park last season when two of the games jumped the betting total.

Weather shouldn't be a factor for Monday's contest with a game-time temp in the 70s, partly cloudy skies and a slight NE breeze (in from left). The series continues Tuesday with a matchup of veteran right-handers, Roy Halladay and Bronson Arroyo.

[Mr. IWS]

Monday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers (16-5, 2.51 ERA)

Kershaw has been lights out the entire season, but he is in especially rare form at the moment. The southpaw has allowed only one run in his last three starts and he earned the win in all three. In that span, Kershaw has pitched 22 innings while allowing only 17 hits and three walks while striking out 23 hitters.

Ricky Romero, Toronto Blue Jays (12-9, 2.78 ERA)

Romero's record is nothing to write home about, but the lefty seems to improve year after year with an ERA in steady decline; 4.30 in 2009, 3.73 in 2010, and 2.78 so far in 2011. Romero is simply on fire at the moment. He is 5-0 in his last six starts, all of which have been effective--to say the least. In that span Romero has pitched 46.1 innings, surrendering only 22 hits and seven runs.

SLUMPING

Ricky Nolasco, Florida Marlins (9-9, 4.30 ERA)

Nolasco's numbers for the season are far from terrible, but he seems to be wearing down as the finish line approaches after a hot stretch in late July and early August. The veteran righty took the mound on August 17 at Colorado and lasted just three innings, surrendering 11 hits and 11 earned runs. Nolasco tried to bounce back at home against Cincinnati on Wednesday and while it got better, it still wasn't good. He scattered nine hits and four earned runs in 6.2 innings as Florida lost 8-6.

Kevin Slowey, Minnesota Twins (0-2, 6.84 ERA)

Almost nothing has been going right for the Twins this season, and Slowey is no exception. He had been coming out of the bullpen in the spring, but Minnesota pulled the plug on that and sent him to Triple-A. He is back in the starting rotation upon his mid-August return, but for Slowey it has just been more of the same. In two starts he has allowed 11 earned runs in 10.1 innings, taking the loss on both occasions.

[Mr. IWS]

HOT LINES

Monday's Best MLB Bets

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers (-165)

The Tigers got blasted 11-4 at Minnesota on Sunday afternoon, but they have still won eight of their last 10 games and they have scored 20 runs in their last four outings.

Victor Martinez continues to do serious damage at the plate for Detroit. He is on a four-game hitting streak and has hit safely in seven of his last eight contests. Martinez has a total of five hits and five RBIs in his last three outings.

Things should go well for Detroit on the mound, as well, in Monday's home date with Kansas City. Max Scherzer is 2-0 in his last three outings and in his last two starts he has pitched 12 innings while allowing only three runs and striking out 10 batters. The Tigers are 6-2 in Scherzer's last eight home starts.

The Royals, meanwhile, are 0-4 in Luke Hochevar's last four starts overall.

PICK: Tigers


Florida Marlins at New York Mets (-125)

Thanks to Hurricane Irene, both teams will be well-rested heading into Monday's doubleheader. Florida had a pair of contests washed out at Philadelphia while New York remained at home and watched the storm cancel two games against Atlanta.

The Mets are in the midst of another season in which they are not going anywhere, but they should be eager to get back out there after a two-game winning streak (7-4 at Philadelphia on Wednesday, 6-0 against Atlanta on Friday).

Furthermore, R.A. Dickey is taking the mound. Dickey has made six consecutive quality starts, going at least six innings in all of those outings while never yielding more than three earned runs.

Anibal Sanchez gets the call for the Marlins, and that has not been good news of late. He is just 1-5 in his last 13 starts (1-5 in that span) and he has not held an opponent to fewer than three earned runs in his last six appearances.

On July 24, the Mets got to Sanchez for 11 hits and four runs in seven innings

PICK: Mets

[Mr. IWS]

Monday's Betting Tips: Tulowitzki Rocking For Rockies

Who's Hot

MLB: The Orioles are 6-0 in their last six overall heading into Sunday night's game against the Yankees.

MLB: The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last five overall and 8-0 in their last eight home games.

MLB: The Dodgers were 5-0 overall and 5-0 in their last five home games as of Sunday evening.

ATP: Mardy Fish is 14-3 on the American hard courts this summer.

Who's Not

MLB: The Mariners are 0-4 in their last four home games.

MLB: The Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last five overall and 1-4 in their last five home games.

MLB: The Cubs are 1-6 in their last seven overall and 0-4 in their last four home games.

ATP: Fernando Gonzalez has played only six matches this season--and only one since Wimbledon--due to injury.

Injury Not To Be Overlooked

Yankees' right-hander Freddy Garcia is back from a stint on the disabled list and will get the nod on Monday night at Baltimore. Garcia has not pitched since August 7 because of a finger injury. Prior to going on the DL, Garcia was 3-0 in his last four starts and had allowed only six runs in his last 24.1 innings.

Key Stat

.392 - Troy Tulowitzki's batting average since the All-Star break, including .412 over the past 30 days. The Rockies' shortstop has a five-game hitting going (as of Sunday) and has hit safely in 11 of the last 12 games. Tulowitzki has six hits in his last three outings, including six home runs and three RBIs. He will look to keep up the hot streak on Monday at Arizona.

Game Of The Day

NFL PRESEASON: New York Jets at New York Giants (2.5, 35.5)

Notable Quotable

"I’m not backing down from one comment. I believe we are the best team in New York. My goal is to be the best team in the National Football League, not just in New York, and I’m not backing down one bit from that statement. I believe that will be the case." -- Jets' head coach Rex Ryan on Saturday, reiterating his previous declaration that his team is the best in New York. The Jets play the Giants on Monday night.

Tips And Notes

Syracuse opens its college football season at home against Wake Forest on Thursday night and the Orange would be feeling good if they looked at nothing else other than Wake's 3-9 record from a year ago. However, Syracuse is 0-6 in its last six home games against the ACC. Head coach Doug Marrone isn't about to overlook a speedy Demon Deacon squad. "They run to the ball well," Marrone said in a weekend press conference. "They hustle well. Again, they have speed which is always a concern. We're starting the season off with a great challenge."

Georgia Tech will be hosting a new-look Western Carolina team when it opens the season against the Catamounts on Thursday. That's good news for Western, because--after all--it cannot get any worse. The Catamounts went 2-9 last year, ended on six-game losing streak, ranked 101st in total offense, 104th in scoring, and 110th in total defense out of 117 FCS schools. They head into this season with a new offense and a new starting quarterback. Western will feature a high-tempo attack with multiple formations led by the pistol, which was popularized by Nevada.

Roger Federer is 33-0 in the first round of his last 33 Grand Slam appearances. Starting at the 2003 U.S. Open, Federer won 24 consecutive first-round matches at slams in straight sets, a streak that extended through the 2009 U.S. Open. That does not bode well for unheralded opponent Santiago Giraldo on Monday.

[Mr. IWS]

Cappers Access

Jets
W.Sox(RL)

[Mr. IWS]

Hondo

The perfect storm of brutal beatings continued for Hondo last night when The Good Weaver, who looks as awful as The Bad Weaver, was roughed up in Texas to raise the deficit to 2,655 trammells.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch is hoping a play on the Rays will be beneficial -- 20 units on Davis to extinguish the Jays.

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Monday

Angels/Mariners over 9

[Mr. IWS]

Today's MLB Picks

Philadelphia at Cincinnati

The Phillies look to take advantage of a Cincinnati team that is 2-9 in Homer Bailey's last 11 starts against NL East teams. Philadelphia is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-145). Here are all of today's picks.


MONDAY, AUGUST 29
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Florida at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 13.930; NY Mets (Gee) 15.466
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-120); Under


Game 903-904: Philadelphia at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.454; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.751
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-145); Over


Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 14.794; Houston (Rodriguez) 14.448
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+115); Over


Game 907-908: Colorado at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (White) 15.766; Arizona (Hudson) 16.358
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-170); Under


Game 909-910: San Diego at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 14.023; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.543
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-160); Over


Game 911-912: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 15.374; San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.194
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-240); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+200); Under


Game 913-914: Oakland at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (McCarthy) 15.276; Cleveland (Huff) 14.156
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+105); Under


Game 915-916: Kansas City at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.661; Detroit (Scherzer) 15.699
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-165); Over


Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Davis) 15.559; Toronto (Romero) 15.940
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+135); Over


Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Garcia) 16.418; Baltimore (Simon) 15.567
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 921-922: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 15.363; White Sox (Buehrle) 15.166
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-210); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+180); Over


Game 923-924: LA Angels at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Pineiro) 15.218; Seattle (Beavan) 15.586
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+100); Under


Game 925-926: Florida at NY Mets (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Sanchez) 14.856; NY Mets (Dickey) 14.327
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+115); Over

[Mr. IWS]

Today's NFL Picks

NY Jets at NY Giants

The Jets look to follow up their 27-7 win over Cincinnati in Week 2 as they take on the crosstown rival Giants tonight. The Jets are the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Jets favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-2 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.


MONDAY, AUGUST 29
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (8/26)


Game 283-284: NY Jets at NY Giants (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 123.375; NY Giants 118.706
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 4 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-2 1/2); Over

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Monday

Play San Francisco (-235) over Chicago Cubs (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 10:15 PM EST

Chicago has lost 6 of the last 8 games and they have also lost 20 of the last 23 road games as an underdog of +150 or higher. Randy Wells has lost 8 of the last 9 road games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less and he has an ERA of 6.43 in road games this season.

-----------------------------------------------------------------


Play Chicago White Sox (-190) over Minnesota (Bonus)

Play Arizona (-165) over Colorado (Bonus)

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 9 runs bet. the White Sox and Twins

[Mr. IWS]

MLB
Write-Up


Monday, August 29

Hot pitchers
-- Hamels was 2-2, 2.27 in his last five starts before going on the DL. Bailey is 1-0, 3.32 in his last three starts.
-- Kershaw is 5-0, 1.11 in his last five home starts. Latos has a 2.73 RA in his last five starts.
-- Lincecum is 6-3, 1.17 in his last nine starts. Wells is 2-0, 3.38 in his last three starts.

-- McCarthy is 5-1, 4.15 in his last six starts.
-- Scherzer is 2-0, 3.79 in his last three starts.
-- Romero is 3-0, 1.37 in his last three starts. Tampa Bay won last five Davis starts (0-0, 2.25 in last two), scoring 31 runs.
-- FGarcia was 3-0, 2.13 in his last four starts before going on DL.

Cold pitchers
-- Nolasco is 3-3, 7.04 in his last seven starts. Sanchez is 1-3, 5.82 in his last six starts. Gee is 2-2, 6.75 in his last six starts. Dickey is 0-3, 4.18 in his last five starts.
-- WRodriguez is 2-2, 4.65 in his last five starts. Ohlendorf is 0-1, 8.04 in his three starts this season.
-- DHudson is 2-2, 5.96 in his last four starts. White allowed five runs in six IP in his first major league start.

-- Huff is 0-2, 5.54 in his last three starts.
-- Royals lost last three Hochevar starts (0-2, 6.00).
-- Simon is 1-2, 6.46 in his last four starts.
-- Slowey is 0-2, 8.76 in three starts this season. Buehrle is 1-1, 4.64 in his last three starts.
-- Pineiro is 0-3, 13.04 in his last five starts. Beaven is 0-2, 7.27 in his last three outings.

Totals
-- Seven of last ten Sanchez starts went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Bailey starts went over the total.
-- Six of last nine WRodriguez starts went over the total.
-- Over is 8-3 in DHudson's last eleven starts.
-- 12 of San Diego's last 17 road games went over the total. Over is 7-3-1 in Dodgers' last eleven home games.
-- Eight of Giants' last ten home games stayed under total.

-- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve Bronx games.
-- Over is 7-3 in Toronto's last ten home games.
-- Six of Cleveland's last eight games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-2-2 in last dozen Buehrle starts.
-- Under is 10-4-2 in Detroit's last sixteen road games.
-- Seven of Angels' last eight road games went over the total.

Hot Teams
-- Reds won seven of their last eight home games.
-- Arizona won last six games, allowing total of five runs. Colorado won six of its last eight games.
-- Dodgers won seven of their last ten games.

-- Oakland lost three of its last four games.
-- Orioles won six of their last seven games.
-- Tampa Bay won nine of its last twelve games.
-- Angels won seven of their last nine games.
-- Tigers won eight of their last ten games.
-- White Sox won five of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost 10 of their last 13 games. Mets lost five of seven.
-- Phillies are just 5-5 in their last ten games.
-- Pirates lost eight of their last 12 games. Astros lost six of their last eight games.
-- Padres lost their last four games, scoring three runs.
-- Giants are 5-8 in their last 13 games. Cubs lost seven of their last eight games.

-- Toronto is 5-9 in its last fourteen home games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost four of their last six games.
-- Cleveland lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Royals are 4-9 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Twins lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Seattle lost nine of its last twelve games.

[Mr. IWS]

ROBERT FERRINGO

FUTURES PREDICTIONS

7-Unit Play. Take Chicago Bears 'Under' 8.5 Wins
This is my top futures play and I love the situation here. Chicago was in the NFC Championship Game last year - out of nowhere - and I think that they are going to come back down to earth in a big way this year. If you look back over the last several years the NFC Championship Game loser has suffered a fate similar to the Super Bowl loser - a disappointing follow-up season. Over the last six seasons only one team (2009 Philadelphia Eagles) finished over .500 the year after losing in the NFC Title Game. Last year Minnesota went 6-10 after being on the doorstep of the Super Bowl. In 2008 Green Bay went 6-10 after losing to the Giants at home in the title game the year before. In 2007 New Orleans went 7-9. In 2006 and 2005 Carolina and Atlanta both went 8-8. There are a lot of reasons for that hangover: a tougher schedule, heightened expectations, and a lingering mental hangover from getting close-but-not-close enough (especially when the championship game loss was a home loss). But whatever the factor, the hangover effect is real.
But that is just a historical trend. This year there are some things very specific to this Bears team that make me think they are in for some disappointment. The first is the fact that I don't feel like they improved themselves in this truncated offseason. A lot of other teams in the NFC - New Orleans, Philadelphia, St. Louis - got better through free agency and Chicago's chief rival, Green Bay, may have gotten better just by getting injured players back. The Bears are significantly weaker than the team that was, to be honest, just ?pretty good? last season. Chicago's offensive line is a disaster. That is going to continue to hamper an offense that was ranked in the 20's in the NFL last year. And what's worse (or better for us) is that if Jay Cutler continues to get pounded he is going to get injured (see: NFC Championship Game). Chicago doesn't have a veteran backup so we are just one Ndamakong Suh mauling away from seeing Caleb Hanie. Their receivers are still very suspect and on the whole this offense just doesn't have a good vibe. Defensively, they are still very sound. But guys like Brian Urlacher and Julius Peppers are not as young as they once were. Pair that with a good-but-not-great secondary and there are some holes in this unit. They are still very good defensively, but not as much of a scoring/turnover/attacking threat that they were around 2005 and 2006 when they could literally win games by themselves. And I don't think they are good enough to make up for their lackluster offense. Not two years in a row.

Next, there are several statistical indicators that point to a regression for this team. First, over the past decade only about half of the teams that made the playoffs the year before make it the following season. I think Chicago is one of the teams on the chopping block in the NFC. Second, they were No. 1in the NFL last year in injury luck, losing just 11 starts to injury for the whole season. That is why I think they will have some issues with that this year. Third, they were +4 last year in terms of close wins. And that is one of those statistics that always seems to even itself out. Chicago won six games last year by a touchdown or less and I don't think that they will be as fortunate this time around.

Fourth, their Pythagorean Wins total was -1.5 last year. That puts them in a range where teams are 8-25 against their Vegas win total the next year (a 76-percent trend in our favor). Further, they hammered their Vegas win total last year by an amount (4.0 games) that also puts them in a range where they have only a 13 percent chance of beating their Vegas win total again this year. All of these systems are very finely honed and have produced very well for me in the past and I have full confidence in them this year.

Finally, Chicago's schedule offers no quarter. They start out with Atlanta, at New Orleans (who will have extra rest), and against Green Bay. I think they could start the year 0-3. They have to play Detroit in the Lions' first Monday Night Football game in forever, and then come back on a short week to face rival Minnesota. The Bears have to play that weird game in London against a feisty Tampa Bay team and then their next game is a Monday Night Football game AT Philadelphia. I think they will be 3-5 at that point. They also close the year with four of their final six games on the road, with their last three home games coming against 2010 playoff teams. This schedule is rough. And you can't overlook the impact that a 2-6 or 3-5 start (or just an 0-3 or 1-4 start) could have on the locker room.

All in all, I think that this is a great spot. I think that Chicago is going to go 7-9 or, at BEST, 8-8. But they aren't going back to the playoffs and I don't see them winning 9 or 10 games.

3.5-Unit Play. Take Kansas City Chiefs 'Under' 7.5 Wins
Kansas City had a charmed season in 2010. It started in their season opener, when they were outgained by 200 yards and still managed to beat San Diego. It continues while beating Cleveland, Buffalo, and Denver - three terrible teams - by a combined nine points. And when the dust settled the Chiefs were the surprise winner of the AFC West. Well, I don't see that happening again. This team lost some key pieces to a defense that completely overachieved last year. They may have moderately improved their offense. But I think that will be offset by the fact that teams now have a lot of tape on this group (they were doing some pretty innovative, funky things last year) and they should be easier to game plan for. I don't trust Matt Cassel and I don't think he will play as well as he did last year, Dwayne Bowe is a notorious flake, their No. 1 draft pick got punched out by Thomas Jones, and on the whole I'm just not feeling the warm and fuzzies from this group.

Beyond that, Kansas City's schedule is brutal. Last year they had the candy schedule of a team that was among the worst in football for the two years prior. This season they have to cross over against the NFC North - which is deep and tough - and the AFC East - which features Super Bowl contenders New England and New York. I have the Chiefs going 3-3 in their division and I think they will lose to the Patriots, Jets, Steelers and Packers. That is seven losses right there. They also have games at Indianapolis and at Chicago, as well as three short weeks thanks to primetime games. This team was a statistical overachiever in 2010 and, like the Bears, I think that they are a playoff team that is ripe for a letdown year.

2.5-Unit Play. Take Tennessee Titans 'Over' 6.5 Wins
Note: This should be a 2.0-Unit Play.
I really like this Titans team as a sleeper in the AFC South. It isn't as if this franchise has been successful recently. They averaged 10 wins per year from 2006 to 2009 before a backslide to six wins last year. But they have also replaced the gross quarterback duo of Kerry Collins and Vince Young with Matt Hasselbeck, who I think is one of the most underrated quarterbacks of the last decade. That is a huge upgrade right there. And if - and this is a big ?if? they can get Chris Johnson and Kenny Britt on the field together then I think that this will be the best offense in the division.

(Yes, you read that right.) Tennessee's Pythagorean Wins number last year was +2.5. That is one of the highest numbers of the last 10 years and means that they were one of the biggest underachieving teams - statistically - of the last decade. They had a load of close losses, especially in the second half of the year, and this team fits a filter that predicts that they have an 87 percent chance to beat their Vegas win total this year. I will play those odds. Further, when I look at the schedule this season I believe that it is a tough one. But nothing that this group can't handle. One of the keys here is that their schedule is littered with teams - Baltimore, Indianapolis, Atlanta, Tampa Bay, Cincinnati, Jacksonville - that I think are going to regress from their performances last season. And I think that will open the door for the Titans to steal some games. Jacksonville, Denver, Cincinnati, Carolina, and Buffalo are all games that I can see them winning. That is five right off the bat. I think that they will get one from the colts this year after losing two games by a total of five points to Indy last year. And if they do get swept by the Colts I don't think they will get swept by Houston too. So either way, in those four games that is one more win. That is six wins. So they simply have to find one more victory on their schedule in order for this play to cash and I think there are great odds that say this club goes 8-8 and is in the playoff mix come late November.

2-Unit Play. Take Baltimore Ravens 'Under' 10.5 Wins

2-Unit Play. Take Atlanta Falcons 'Under' 10.5 Wins

2-Unit Play. Take Dallas Cowboys 'Under' 9.0 Wins

1.5-Unit Play. Take Cleveland Browns 'Over' 6.5 Wins

1.5-Unit Play. Take Houston Texans 'Over' 8.5 Wins

1.5-Unit Play. Take Cincinnati Bengals 'Under' 5.5 Wins

1.5-Unit Play. Take Tampa Bay Buccaneers 'Under' 8.0 Wins

1.5-Unit Play. Take New Orleans Saints (+120) to win NFC South

[Mr. IWS]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Dodgers -155 over Padres

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Prophet
POD - Rockies/DBacks over 9

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

Tampa Bay +140 over TORONTO Pinnacle
We hate to kick a team when they’re down as much as the next guy but the Jays are a real mess these days and the end is nowhere in sight. Yesterday, Toronto had three hits and struck out 14 times. The Jays have lost four straight and seven of its past nine games. During that stretch, Toronto has hit a combined .178 while scoring 22 lousy runs and practically every run they scored has come via the long ball. This is a team that is not to be feared right now with a cast of rookies, fill-ins and scrap-yard pick-ups. Yeah, they have their ace going but so what. Ricky Romero cannot add runs offensively. He may be able to hold the Rays to three runs or less and that’s if everything goes well. If it doesn’t than the Jays virtually have no shot with an offense that is seeing BB’s from top to bottom. Wade Davis has really picked it up over the past month. In his last four starts, Davis is 3-0 with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.03. The Rays have won his last five starts and one of those was against Toronto at the beginning of August in which Davis went 7.2 frames and allowed just five hits and three runs. That’s when the Jays had a full and healthy team. In his last start, Davis pitched a complete game, four-hitter against the Tigers. The kid is confident, the Rays have now won 14 of 18 and all the value is on the visitor again. Play: Tampa Bay +140 (Risking 2 units).

Oakland +113 over CLEVELAND Pinnacle
After a DH Saturday, the A’s were rained out yesterday so they should be ready to go today. These teams that are out of it that are playing a team that’s “in it” get a little extra juiced up to play some meaningful games and make life miserable for the opposition. The Indians are now hanging by a thread and sit 6½ games out after losing seven of its last 10 games. The White Sox leapfrogged over them yesterday so now the Indians are looking up at two teams instead of one. David Huff offers up nothing as the chalk. He’s made just four starts this year after spending most of the year in the minors. Huff went 2-11 with a 6.21 ERA in 80 IP for the Tribe last year. With a dreadful groundball/flyball split of 28%/56%, Huff is a home-run waiting to happen and the A’s have the power to go yard. The absence of an advantage over lefties doesn't help. Huff is on the roster only because Carlos Carrasco is on the DL and everything about this guy says he’s not a skill set worth chasing. Brandon McCarthy is a quality lefty. He has elite control with just 21 walks in 126 IP. His xERA of 3.60 is lower than his actual ERA of 3.72 and he’ll face an Indians team that is below .500 against southpaws. The A’s are coming off back-to-back series against the Yanks and Red Sox in which they went 3-3. They’re playing good ball and they’re a much better play taking back a tag with McCarthy than the Indians are laying one with that stiff, David Huff. Play: Oakland +113 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

RICHIE CARRERA

Tampa Bay/TORONTO UNDER 8.5- 5 Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Florida Marlins vs. New York Mets
Play: Florida Marlins GM 2

Tonight I’m backing the visiting Marlins and Ricky Nolasco in game two of this doubleheader. Nolasco has a winning record on the road and faces a New York Mets team going nowhere, one that is favored here but has lost six of the last nine games. They are also 0-2 in their last two times as a favorite. The Mets go with Dillon Gee, who started the season hot, but has since cooled off. He has a 7.63 ERA in his last three starts, walking 11 in 15 innings! The Mets are 17-26 in home games against right-handed starters this season, while Florida is 14-9 in road games against division opponents this season. Nolasco has already faced the Mets this season and has a 2.57 ERA against them. Also, over the last two years, the Marlins are an impressive 18-8 on the road when Nolasco starts. Play the Florida Marlins in Game 2 tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Game: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Tampa Bay +135 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.7)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 8.5 -120 (risk 3 to win 2.5)

Tampa Bay has been getting it done with pitching and defense, riding a 9-3-1 run UNDER the total. Tonight we have a pair of talented, young arms are on the hill. Ricky Romero is 4-3 when starting against the light-hitting Rays with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.068. The Jays are also 5-3 UNDER the total in those eight games. Romero has been on a red-hot roll, with a 2-0 record and a sizzling 1.64 ERA his last three starts. He has faced the Rays for 22 innings this season and has a 1.64 ERA against them, fanning 23 with 7 walks and only 9 hits allowed, so he has this team’s number. At least the Rays can counter with a strong arm of their own in Wade Davis, who has a 2.82 ERA his last three starts, averaging 7+ innings. For his career he has a 2.93 ERA against Toronto as well. I can’t see many runs being scored in this pitcher’s duel. Play the UNDER. In addition, the Rays are the dog here but offer great value. Tampa Bay is 8-2 in the last 10 starts made by Wade Davis, allowing 3 runs or less in seven of those starts. Tampa Bay is 25-14 (+12.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season, and 43-19 when playing against a team with a losing record. The Rays have really owned this series because of their pitching and defensive edges, going 10-4 (+5.6 Units) against the Blue Jays this season. Play Tampa Bay.
Game: Kansas City at Detroit (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Kansas City +155 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 3.1)

Kansas City is a big dog here, but this offense is good, ranking No. 12 in runs scored, No. 6 in batting average and No. 9 in on-base percentage. They are 3-3 over the last six games despite being a dog in all six, winning as a dog of +152, +185 and +160. Starter Luke Hochevor has respectable numbers, giving up 170 hits in 170 innings with a solid 101-54 strikeout to walk ratio. He has been on a terrific strikeout tear, fanning 29 his last five starts in 32 innings. The Royals are 5-4 in his career against the Tigers, too, while Detroit is just 4-4 when Max Scherzer goes against the Royals. It’s a tough situational spot for the Tigers, home from a seven-game road trip that ended yesterday with an 11-4 loss at Minnesota. Detroit has looked tired in these spots, losing 9-6 at home to Minnesota as a -140 favorite following their last long road trip, and losing 12-7 at home to the Angels as a -130 favorite after coming from a trip. Play the Royals.
Game: Florida at New York Mets (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Florida +105 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.1)

Tonight I’m backing the visiting Marlins and Ricky Nolasco in game two of this doubleheader. Nolasco has a winning record on the road and faces a New York Mets team going nowhere, one that is favored here but has lost six of the last nine games. They are also 0-2 in their last two times as a favorite. The Mets go with Dillon Gee, who started the season hot, but has since cooled off. He has a 7.63 ERA in his last three starts, walking 11 in 15 innings! The Mets are 17-26 in home games against right-handed starters this season, while Florida is 14-9 in road games against division opponents this season. Nolasco has already faced the Mets this season and has a 2.57 ERA against them. Also, over the last two years, the Marlins are an impressive 18-8 on the road when Nolasco starts. Play the Florida Marlins in Game 2 tonight.
Game: San Diego at Los Angeles (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on San Diego +1.5 runs -165 (runline) (risk 2 to win 1.2)

The two worst teams in the NL West meet here. The Dodgers’ nice run ended yesterday with a home loss as a favorite, which shouldn’t surprise anyone as this team has a losing record both home and away. The offense ranks No. 26 in baseball in runs scored and No. 25 in slugging, plus the Dodgers are 13-21 (-11.5 Units) against the moneyline in home games after a loss this season. San Diego is a nice dog with ace Mat Latos on the hill, who has a 2.84 ERA his last three starts. He has had a great second half of the season giving up 3 runs or less in 10 starts since July 3. Latos has pitched better than both his record and ERA would indicate this season. He has an ERA of 3.74, with a solid strand rate of 69%. Despite a skid the last few days, the Padres still have a winning record over the last nine games, and they wheel-out their ace here against a terrible offensive team, so they can steal a win or keep this real close. Play the Padres on the runline.

(3-3) (+1.4*) Sun. (334-342) (-77.1*) for the season.

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions
Kevin

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays – UNDER 8.5 (-116)
(Note: I’m risking 2.32 units to win 2 units)

The Blue Jays are happy to send their ace Ricky Romero to the mound today, as they try and avoid a four game sweep to one of their AL East rivals. Romero is 12-9 on the season with a 2.78 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and a low .213 opponents batting average. Ricky has been exceptional as of late, and hasn’t lost a start since mid July. His last outing was his 20th quality start of the season, although he got the no decision giving up 3 earned runs on 6 innings of work. The Rays will counter Wade Davis, who has been pitching well as of late. On the season Davis is 8-7 with a 4.28 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and .270 opponents batting average. Davis worked 9 innings against the Tigers in his last outing, giving up just 2 earned runs, but received a no decision in a game that went into extra innings. Over his last 10 starts Davis has allowed just 2.7 earned runs against per start. Romero and Davis faced each other back on May 19th in Toronto, with the result being a 3-2 Blue Jays victory. The UNDER is 3-0 in Romero’s three starts vs the Rays this season, while the UNDER is 2-0 in Davis’ two starts against Toronto this season. Note that the UNDER is 9-3-1 in the Rays last 13 overall, 7-3 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series, and 6-1 in their last 7 vs a left-handed starter. The UNDER is 10-2 in Davis’ last 12 starts with 4 days of rest, and 7-2 in his last 9 starts vs AL East opponents. Take note that the UNDER is 4-0 in the Blue Jays last 4 during game 4 of a series, and 5-1-1 in their last 7 games vs a right handed starter. The UNDER is also 9-4-2 in Romero’s last 15 starts overall, and 5-1-1 in his last 7 starts vs AL East opponents. Neither team has had much success against these two pitchers, with Rays hitters batting .212 against Romero and Jays hitters batting a collective .235 against Davis. The Blue Jays have struggled with their bats during this recent 4 game losing skid, and I expect Romero to keep the Rays hitters in check. Value here is on the UNDER with the total set at 8.5. Take the UNDER with confidence as we snap out of this mini losing streak tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

EasyBaseballBetting
Our systems say to go for:

Dodgers (-159),
Pirates (+121),
Devil Rays (+138),
Twins (+181),
Royals (+155),
Athletics (+116).

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks
4 - 3 last week

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
A rematch of last season’s NLDS between the Philadelphia Phillies and Cincinnati Reds will be showcased live on ESPN Monday night when the pair of NL rivals collides in Game 1; first pitch from the GAB is scheduled for 7:10 ET.
The NL East leading Phils have taken their foot off the gas a bit managing just a 5-5 mark their L/10 games heading into tonight’s series opener. Both of their games against the Florida Marlins were postponed over the weekend due to Hurricane Irene with a make-up dates yet to be decided. Manager Charlie Manuel’s squads’ mediocre play of late has seen his squad fall to #3 on the money list with an overall return of $1616; $663 of that profit for MLB bettors this season has come when on the road where they sport a 37-24 record.
Now a whopping 13-games off the pace in the NL Central, the Reds have been relegated to the spoiler role as they also have a double digit deficit to make up in the NL Wild Card race. Manager Dusty Baker’s squad has dramatically underachieved this season with the main culprit being the team’s woeful pitching staff which ranks 21st overall with a 4.09 team ERA. It can however score with the best of them, as they’ve averaged 4.71 runs per game (#4) and have launched 149 HRs (#7) going into Sunday’s finale with the Nats. Overall, the Redlegs have cost their wagering supporters $921 on the year.
Philly dominated this series a year ago winning five of the seven overall meetings before sweeping Cincy in the NLDS, and they’ve taken three of the teams four overall meetings in 2011; the ‘over’ cashed in each contest. This will be Cole Hamels’ first start since being placed on the DL in the middle of August. The Phillies have won 16 of his 25 starts to date and are 8-3 his L/11 starts away from CBP. They’ve also toppled each of the L/5 NL Central opponents faced. The Reds have won two of Homer Bailey’s L/3 starts and he’s 5-2 with a 4.66 ERA in his seven GAB outings on the year. Cincy’s come out on top five of the L/6 times it battled a lefty.
PICK: Phillies/Reds OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Todays Picks

Oakland Athletics ML +116

[Mr. IWS]

JTGPicks
Flat system To WIN 100dlls

Cincinnati -135

Cleveland -120

Tampa Bay +140

White Sox -188

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Prophet

POD

OVER 9 Rockies / D´backs

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits

Marlins +105 (Game 1)
Athletics +111

[Mr. IWS]

Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk"
"Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB Regular Season

Week 23

Ben lee won on Sunday with the Brewers -$265/Cubs.

For Monday "Mr Chalk" likes the Dodgers -$162/Padres.

"Mr Chalk" is 86-54 -$159 for the 2011 MLB regular season

[Mr. IWS]

Defeat Your Bookie

North Johnson III

11* San Francisco Giants ML (-230)

3* Tampa Bay Rays ML (+150)

[Mr. IWS]

OUTLAW SPORTS ADVISORS

2* Philadelphia Phillies ML -145

[Mr. IWS]

TYS TERRIFIC PICKS

UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE DAY
Detroit Tigers +135 ML

REGULAR San Francisco Giants -145 ML
REGULARPhiladelphia Phillies -125 ML

comp New York Yankees -190 ML

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN HARRISON

4 UNIT Phillies -1.5 RL

[Mr. IWS]

PAUL LEINER

250* Oakland -115
100* Tampa Bay -140
50* Cleveland -145

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe MLB 8/29


med* Tampa Bay Rays +130

[Mr. IWS]

THE VEGAS KILLERS-JOHN HARRISON

WEEK ONE NFL PICKS:

9-3-11 Houston (NCAA) -3 (25 UNITS)

9-11-11 Houston Texans -3 (30 UNITS)

9-11-11 Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (20 UNITS)

9-12-11 New England Patriots -6.5 (20 UNITS)

[Mr. IWS]

Market Square Experts 8/29


By hrc staff
Categories: VIP Access

Rotation: 916
Pick: TIGERS
Line: -160

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan

*200 ny jets -3

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso
10* Jets -3

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien

50 dime OVER ny jets/giants 35

[Mr. IWS]

Mike and Mike

25* Minnesota Twins Run Line +1.5 (-130)

[Mr. IWS]

SHARP MOVES

UNDER 8.5 - Oakland / Cleveland

[Mr. IWS]

Derek Mancini 30 Dimes Oakland A's ML.

[Mr. IWS]

Keith Glantz

100* Indians

[Mr. IWS]

BOB BALFE

CINCINNATI REDS/PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES OVER 8

Hamels/Bailey
The Reds are great against left-handed pitching and will be facing Cole Hamels who is working his way back from the DL. The Reds have been "red" hot this past week and should put up a good number of runs. The Phillies have been hitting the ball pretty well and will get runs of their own. I think this is a very, very valuable line. Take the Over.

[Mr. IWS]

Winning Points

MONDAY, AUGUST 29

7:07 pm
***BEST BET
UNDER 8.5
Tampa Bay at Toronto
Davis vs. Romero
The Rays have won Wade Davis’ last five starts, so he must be doing something right, like throwing a complete-game, four-hitter against Detroit in his most recent start. The guy was DL-ed with a forearm strain two months ago, but you don’t throw complete games with injuries so he’s okay now. The Blue Jays are batting a collective .235 against him over the course of 115 at-bats. Senor Romero had won five in a row prior to a no-decision 4-3 loss by Toronto to Kansas City, and he has a 2.78 ERA for the season, with a low WHIP of 1.14 and a Batting Average Against of .213. The Rays have a collective average against him of only .212 over the course of 118 at-bats. Everybody’s got late-night flights to catch here: Blue Jays are ticketed to Baltimore, Rays are headed for Texas. The umps gotta be somewhere else, too, so this thing should be moved along nicely. ‘Say, color commentator, these two young pitchers sure are exhibiting excellent control and staying ahead of the hitters tonight, and that’s what you’ve got to do to win in this league.’ ‘Right you are, play-by-play man.’ ‘Steeeeee-rike!!’

Monday, August 29, 2011

CLEVELAND (Huff) -120 over OAKLAND (McCarthy)

This looks like a bargain basement price on the Indians, who check in here with a stellar 38-26
mark vs. righthanders in night games (+$1595). Brandon McCarthy has been less effective on the
road in night games (4.47 ERA in eight starts) and the Athletics have lost money vs. lefties at night
(-$230). David Huff checks in with a respectable 2.70 ERA in his three starts and Oakland will be
hard pressed to keep up with a team desperate to keep their playoff hopes alive.

[Mr. IWS]

DAQsports
Yesterday: (4-1) +142 units, AUGUST: (68-40) +645 units

Today's selections:

MONEYLINE:
Mets (gm#1) -112,
Yankees -169,
White Sox -183,
Dodgers -166,
Angels -124

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers
10* TOR/TB under

[Mr. IWS]

ATS WINNERS

5* OVER 35 NY Jets / NY Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Handicappster

NFLX

3* UNDER 35.5 (-105) Jets / Giants

3* NY Giants +3 (-105)

MLB

5* "Diamond Pick" LA Angels ML (-122)

3* UNDER 8 - LAA / Seattle

3* OVER 8 (-110) - Florida / NY Mets Game #2

3* OVER 9.5 (-110) - NY Yankees / Baltimore

[Mr. IWS]

SHARP MOVE

UNDER 8.5 - Tampa Bay / Toronto

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Picks Direct

1* Seattle Mariners ML +115
(Pineiro @ Beavan)

2* OVER 35.5 NY Jets / NY Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Vic Monte

2000* MAX OUT GAME OF THE YEAR WINNER #4 IN A ROW - DETROIT TIGERS

[biggmac419]

Expert Capper

Aug 29, 4:10PM - Florida Marlins vs New York Mets
The Pick: 5 Units - New York Mets -118

Aug 29, 7:05PM - New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles
The Pick: 3 Units - New York Yankees -172

Aug 29, 7:05PM - Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers
The Pick: 3 Units - Detroit Tigers -166

Aug 29, 7:10PM - Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds
The Pick: 4 Units - Philadelphia Phillies -144

Aug 29, 7:10PM - Florida Marlins vs New York Mets
The Pick: 5 Units - New York Mets -112

Aug 29, 8:10PM - Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox
The Pick: 3 Units - Chicago White Sox -192

Aug 29, 10:10PM - Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
The Pick: 4 Units - Los Angeles Angels -123

[Mr. IWS]

**********

[Mr. IWS]

Randy Bruce

MLB: *5 dimes
Phillies/Reds Over 8, -105

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Howard


MLB: 10 Dimes
LAD(-165) Over San Diego

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits

Athletics/Indians UNDER 8 -108
Yankees/Orioles UNDER 9.5 -110

[Mr. IWS]

Gambling Geeks

Monday, August 29th:
BIG: Toronto -140 ov Tampa Bay, 7:05pmET
MED: OVER 8.5 Minnesota/Chicago White Sox, 8:10pmET

[Mr. IWS]

Black Widow

By hrc staff
Categories: VIP Access

Rotation: 914
Pick: INDIANS
Line: -120
Units:

[Mr. IWS]

GoodFella

NFL Total Sat, 08/27/11 - 2:00 PM

dime bet 261 NYJ / 262 NYG UNDER 36.5 Hilton

Analysis: 1.5 UNITS on the JETS/GIANTS UNDER 36.5

[timbob]

Cadillac Picks

By hrc staff
Categories: VIP Access

Rotation: 902
Pick: Mets
Line: -115

[timbob]

Sports Betting Champ

2* Star Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers

[timbob]

Line Up Alert

Brennan Boesch (thumb) is out of the lineup for the fifth straight game Monday

Michael Cuddyer (wrist) is back in the Twins' starting lineup Monday night against the White Sox.

Joe Mauer (neck) is out of the lineup for the fifth straight game Monday.

Alex Rodriguez (thumb) is not in Monday's lineup

Derek Jeter (knee) is not in Monday's lineup against the Orioles

[timbob]

nealwilsonsports 8/29-HP monitor

By nealwilsonsports
Categories: VIP Access

Rotation: 908
Pick: arizona
Line: -158

[timbob]

Indian Cowboy
7* MLB Houston

[timbob]

Jeff Benton
Monday's Action
30 Dime baseball selection goes this Monday night on the Indians as they open a new series with the Athletics at Progressive Field. At the time I releose this winner, the odds have Cleveland -135 across the board both here in Vegas and offshore. Note that when placing your action, you must list McCarthy and Huff as the starting pitchers. Both must start, or this play is VOID!

[timbob]

Outlaw Sports

Over Phil/Cinn
LAA ml

[timbob]

Rocketman

5* Philadelphia -143

Philadelphia is an amazing 83-46 overall this year while Cincinnati comes in with a 67-66 overall record on the season. Philadelphia is 81-41 the past 3 years when playing against a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season. Philadelphia is 35-10 after a loss this year. Philadelphia bullpen has a 3.44 ERA overall this year. Cole Hamels is 13-7 with a 2.62 ERA overall this year, 6-2 with a 2.82 ERA on the road this season and has a 2.70 ERA his last 3 starts. Philadelphia is 16-5 overall vs Cincinnati the past 3 years. Hamels is 8-0 with a 1.23 ERA overall vs Cincinnati in his career. Bailey is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA overall vs Philadelphia in his career. We'll play Philadelphia for 5 units tonight!

[timbob]

Doug Upstone

3* N.Y. Jets -2.5

The Jets under Rex Ryan love to talk the smack, especially when it can draw attention in the media. This is exactly the opposite of how the Giants Tom Coughlin prefers to run his ship, being more disciplined and under the radar as much as you can be in the Big Apple. For whatever reason the Flyboys have always placed greater emphasis on this conflict and have been on the winning side of 12 of last 15 and are 13-4-1 ATS since 1993. The Jets will have plenty to say after they jet to another win and cover.

[timbob]

Vince Akins

Pirates at Astros
Pick: Under 8

We have two solid pitcher’s going against some very shakey offenses. This total is a run to high for the situation.

Yesterday, Pittsburgh lost to St. Louis, 7-4. The Pirates are 12-25-3 OU since May 31, 2010 as a dog after a loss and it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $1205 when playing the under.

Meanwhile, Houston is the favorite here, something that’s been rare. The Astros are 3-10-1 OU since April 23, 2010 as a favorite and it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $670 when playing the under.

They won 4-3 in 11 innings yesterday, using six pitchers in the process. The Astros are 7-20 OU since June 04, 2010 after a win in which they used 5+ pitchers for a net profit of $1225 when playing the under.

Ross Ohlendorf goes for the Pittsburgh and he is known for keeping scoring down on the road. The Pirates are 0-13-2 OU since May 23, 2009 when Ross Ohlendorf starts on the road vs a team that has hit more grounders than fly balls season-to-date for a net profit of $1300 when playing the under.

Meanwhile, Wandy Rodriguez gets the chance to go as a favorite. The Astros are 2-8-1 OU since April 06, 2010 when Wandy Rodriguez starts as a favorite for a net profit of $570 when playing the under. Also, the Astros are 1-11-1 OU since August 30, 2005 when Wandy Rodriguez starts as a home favorite in the first game of a series for a net profit of $980 when playing the under.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: HOUSTON 4, Pittsburgh 2

[timbob]

Sports Brokers LV 8/29

Today Play's 8-29-2011

Big Game MLB- AZ R/L -1.5

MLB-PIT M/L

Total* MLB- MIN/CWS OVER 8.5

Big Game NFL- NYG +3


NFL- None


NFL TOTAL*- NYG/NYJ OVER 35

[timbob]

Books Biggest Exposure

MLB - Philly, LAD & Detroit lots of parlays, no wiseguys money the other way.

Biggest Steam Play - Oakland Athletics - Betting Syndicates & Wiseguys Money, record on this moves (6 - 3)

NFL - Wiseguys & Syndicates at -2.5 bet on NYJ but later on when the line moves to *+3.5 on NY Giants, will make a move & bet on the Giants.

[timbob]

Khaliagent Sports

Adding:

Blue Jays ml -142 (medium bet to win 2 units)

Indians ml -108 (medium bet to win 2 units)

cubs +220 (medium bet 2 units to win 4.4)

twins +1.5 (-129) (medium bet to win 2 units)