9-14-11

[timbob]

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[Mr. IWS]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Texas Rangers Collide With Cleveland Indians
By Willie Bee


Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers (-205, 10)

Huff and Holland sounds like the name of a law firm or maybe a snuff film set in Amsterdam. Instead, it's the Wednesday pitching matchup in Texas between the Rangers and Cleveland Indians.

The middle of this 3-game set will be featured in the first of an ESPN doubleheader starting at 7:00 p.m. (ET). A pair of lefties square off on the mound, David Huff for the Indians and the Rangers' Derek Holland.

Things are suddenly getting exciting in the AL West. Texas entered the series with a 3-game lead over the Angels in the division standings, and with nine of their final 12 games following this series on the road – including the last three of the season in Anaheim – the Rangers know they're just a short stumble away from being caught.

This series gets underway Tuesday evening when Justin Masterson and Matt Harrison are the initial mound duel. Texas was priced at -160 on the MLB odds board with the results still pending.

It will be just the second career start for Huff (2-5, 3.05) against the Rangers, and he sure hopes it goes like the first one. He tossed a complete game 4-hitter at home over Texas in April 2010, one mistake pitch to Michael Young that was negated by one mistake pitch from Harrison a few innings later.

Huff has started September with losses on the road at Kansas City and Chicago, allowing seven earned runs in the 12 1/3 combined innings. The Tribe has dropped his last four assignments away from Cleveland, Huff's only winning road start this campaign coming in his first outing of 2011 in Minnesota on July 18.

Holland (16-13, 4.12) was lit up by the Tribe in this ballpark on Aug. 5, punched out before the end of the second inning when Cleveland held a 6-2 advantage. Texas battled back for an 8-7 win in 12 innings to cash on a -150 money line.

The other time Holland pitched against the Tribe this year season resulted in a complete-game shutout June 4 in Cleveland. It was his first of four shutouts on the season, part of this young southpaw's 2011 repertoire that has been very, very good, and very, very bad at times.

Holland has 17 quality starts in 2011, above average for MLB hurlers about to make their 30th trip to the mound. Of the 12 starts that lacked quality, 11 have been real shellings. Holland's ERA in those 48 1/3 innings is over 10; his ERA in the 18 'non-shellings' is very stingy 1.85.

Texas was expected to see two players return from the disabled list in time for the start of this series. Outfielder Nelson Cruz (hamstring) and reliever Darren O'Day (shoulder) have both been missing since late-August.

The Rangers started Tuesday with a 6-1 lead in the season series vs. the Indians. They swept four at Cleveland in early-June and took two of three here at home in August. The 'over' prevailed in two of the three at Rangers Ballpark.

This game is being moved up an hour from regular start times at Rangers Ballpark, so there's a chance it's still 100ºF at first pitch, at least the upper 90s and an 8-12 mph breeze coming from the SW (RF corner to LF corner).

[Mr. IWS]

Wednesday's Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers


STREAKING

Roy Halladay, Philadelphia Phillies (17-5, 2.44 ERA)

Halladay is surging down the stretch as he’s in the mix for another Cy Young award as his club gets ready for another postseason run. Even though the Phillies have won just two of his last five starts, his numbers have held strong. He has allowed just nine earned runs over his last six trips to the hill, including last week's 5-3 win over Milwaukee that saw him go eight innings while yielding one run as he struck out nine.

Daniel Hudson, Arizona Diamondbacks (16-9, 3.41 ERA)

Hudson is coming off his third complete game of the season on Friday when he allowed five hits and one earned run to push the Diamondbacks to a 3-2 win over the Padres. He has now yielded only four runs over his last four starts, striking out 26 batters over that span.

SLUMPING

John Lackey, Boston Red Sox (12-12, 6.36 ERA)

Lackey took a comebacker off the leg in his last start, but expects to be OK to go Wednesday against the Blue Jays. He has allowed 11 runs over his last eight innings on the mound and is looking to snap a three-game losing skid. Lackey has walked at least three batters in each of his last five starts and owns the worst ERA of his career.

Rich Harden, Oakland Athletics (4-2, 4.74 ERA)

Harden’s strikeout numbers are still pretty impressive with 22 punch-outs in his last three games, but the Athletics have lost each of those contests. That’s partly because Harden has allowed 13 combined runs over that span including five home runs. He gave up three runs to the Royals in the first inning of his last start and was pulled after allowing four runs in five innings even though he struck out 10.

[Mr. IWS]

HOT LINES

Wednesday's Best MLB Bets

Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers (-185, 8)

Even though the Milwaukee Brewers are cruising into the playoffs, some feel that they’ve done most of their work against the lesser teams in the bigs and haven’t proven their worth against the NL's elite.

It’s a notion manager Doug Melvin takes issue with.

"It depends when you played them," Melvin told reporters. "Were they winning teams when you played them? Pittsburgh was a winning team earlier in the year when we played them. Florida was a winning team when we played them. Cincinnati was winning earlier in the season. The good teams are separating themselves from the bad teams. I think that's what's happening."

The Brewers are definitely in a different class from the Rockies, but Kevin Millwood has been pretty good lately. Not good enough to entice us to make a Rockies wager, but we do like the under.

PICK: Under


San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants (-160, 5.5)

While the Giants can probably kiss the NL West division title goodbye, they still have an outside shot at the wild card – albeit a very outside shot.

At this point, many have given up on the Giants heading back to the World Series and are already thinking ahead to the offseason and even that is causing some concern.

Pablo Sandoval lost a ton of weight last offseason, but some are speculating that he’s fallen off the wagon a bit as the season has rolled along. The slugger has also said he plans to take a full month off after the season is over, which has manager Bruce Bochy worried.

“This month he’s planning on taking has to be done the right way,” Bochy told the Mercury News. “We’ll keep an eye on him. He knows how important it is to keep the weight off. He’s a different player, offensively and defensively.”

To us, he doesn’t look all that out of shape and we don’t think the Giants are the sort of team to roll over. We’ll eat the chalk with Tim Lincecum starting.

PICK: Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Wednesday’s Betting Tips: Over Bets Cash With Cueto

Who’s Hot

MLB: The Toronto Blue Jays have won nine of Ricky Romeo’s last 10 starts.

MLB: The White Sox have won 20 of their last 29 games as a favorite.

Who’s Not

MLB: The over is 2-12-2 in Jered Weaver’s last 16 starts against Oakland.

MLB: San Diego has won just three of its last 18.

Key Stat

20-7-4 – While Johnny Cueto is looking to become the first Cincinnati Reds pitcher to lead the NL in ERA since 1944 (his currently sits at 2.38), the over is cashing in on his starts at home, going 20-7-4 in his last 31 outings at Great American Ballpark.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Hakeem Nicks, New York Giants – Nicks woke up Monday with a swollen knee and his status for Week 2’s matchup with St. Louis is now uncertain. The wideout was able to return to action after hurting the knee in New York’s loss to Washington and X-rays were negative initially.

Game Of The Day

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers (+135, 7.5)

Notable Quotable

"To be honest with you, I think the intensity and the effort is right there. Everything is just kind of going in a different direction at once. The good thing is we know how to figure that out and put it back together all at once. It seems like everybody is in a funk right now, you know what I'm saying? There's nobody to blame but everybody, so hopefully on Tuesday we come back and play better." – Boston Red Sox slugger David Ortiz about the club dipping to just three games ahead of the Devil Rays in the AL wild card race before Tuesday’s action. Ortiz sat out Tuesday’s game with back spasms.

Tips And Notes

Just about all of the early action for Thursday’s big matchup between LSU and Mississippi State has come in on the Tigers. As of Tuesday evening about 72 percent of Covers.com Consensus bettors were backing LSU, which is currently set as a 3.5-point road favorite. LSU has covered in 11 of its last 14 meetings with Mississippi State.

It didn’t take long for some books to react to the Kansas City Chiefs’ terrible performance in Week 1 against the Buffalo Bills. After taking a 41-7 beating from the Buffalo Bills, some sportsbooks moved the reigning AFC West champs from around 50-1 to win the Super Bowl all the way to around 285-1.

Michael Cuddyer and Jason Kubel both returned to the Minnesota Twins' lineup for Tuesday's affair against the Kansas City Royals. Cuddyer has been sidelined for five games because of a sore left wrist. Kubel has not started since Friday because of a foot injury. First baseman Justin Morneau was not with the club as he returned to Minnesota for a family matter. He has been out of action since Aug. 28 with concussion-like symptoms. Cuddyer is batting .282 with 18 homers and 64 RBIs while Kubel is hitting .281 with 12 home runs and 57 RBIs.

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Cardinals Tuesday.

Wednesday: Red Sox. Deficit: 2677 sirignanos.

[Mr. IWS]

Hondo

The D'backs slithered past the Dodgers last night, sparing Hondo, who'd already lost with the Jays and Tribe, the dreaded triple-flusher and leaving the debt at 2,485 suttons.

Today, Mr. Aitch will take a wild stab with the 'Stros against Halladay, and go with the Blue Jays to reiterate that Lackey's a flunky -- 20 units apiece on Norris and Romero. Tonight, he will float a wager on Hudson -- 20 units on the D'backs to coast in L.A.

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Wednesday

Braves -155

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

718- 527 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one WED: Mets -140

[Mr. IWS]

Today's MLB Picks

Toronto at Boston

The Blue Jays look to build on their 9-1 record in Ricky Romero's last 10 starts. Toronto is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jays favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-105). Here are all of today's picks.


WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 14
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Florida at Atlanta (12:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 15.132; Atlanta (Delgado) 15.797
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-150); Under


Game 903-904: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Jackson) 16.755; Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.703
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); Over


Game 905-906: Philadelphia at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 16.070; Houston (Norris) 15.277
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-240); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-240); Under


Game 907-908: San Diego at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 14.372; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.667
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-165); Over


Game 909-910: Washington at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Peacock) 14.320; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.003
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105); Under


Game 911-912: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Coleman) 13.917; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.145
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-180); Over


Game 913-914: Colorado at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Millwood) 15.270; Milwaukee (Marcum) 15.586
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-180); Over


Game 915-916: Arizona at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hudson) 16.183; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.964
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 5
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 6
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Under


Game 917-918: Toronto at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 15.895; Boston (Lackey) 14.181
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-105); Over


Game 919-920: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Penny) 16.226; White Sox (Axelrod) 16.599
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-110); Under


Game 921-922: LA Angels at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 14.919; Oakland (Harden) 16.158
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 6
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+130); Under


Game 923-924: Minnesota at Kansas City (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hendriks) 14.759; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.184
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Over


Game 925-926: Tampa Bay at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Davis) 16.395; Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.696
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Over


Game 927-928: Cleveland at Texas (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Huff) 14.792; Texas (Holland) 17.365
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-200); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-200); Under


Game 929-930: NY Yankees at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 14.864; Seattle (Vargas) 15.169
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+170); Over

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Giants -160 over Padres

[Mr. IWS]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Giants -160 over Padres

[Mr. IWS]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Toronto Blue Jays ML
Tampa Bay Rays ML

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ SPORTS
DAILY FREE PICK
Under 8 runs bet. Colorado and Milwaukee

[Mr. IWS]

MLB PREDICTIONS
St Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates: Saint Louis Cardinals TO WIN -139 ML
(Note: I'm risking 2.78 units to win 2 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk"

"Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB Regular Season

Ben lee won on Tuesday and moved "Back in Black" with the Brewers -$225/Rockies.

For Wednesday "Mr Chalk" once again likes the Brewers -$185/Rockies.

"Mr Chalk" is 95-58 +$53 for the 2011 MLB regular season.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Blitz Newsletter

Best Bet: Rockies Over

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks
2 - 0 this week

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
The Arizona Diamondbacks will look to take one step closer towards locking up the NL West pennant when Daniel Hudson leads them into battle against Clayton Kershaw and the Los Angeles Dodgers in the series finale; first pitch from Chavez Ravine is scheduled for 10:10 ET.

It’s been nothing but joyful and lucrative for MLB bettors that have watched this young D’Backs squad gain confidence with every passing week of the season. Manager Kirk Gibson and his staff have turned one of the youngest teams in all of baseball into the most profitable over the course of the season, as the Snakes 86-62 overall record heading into Game 2 on Tuesday night has netted an MLB best $2828 for its wagering supporters. They hold what looks to be an insurmountable 8.5-game lead over the defending champion Giants for the top spot in the division, and their magic # to qualify for the post season now rests at seven-games. Zona’s won five of its L/6 away from Chase Field.

The Dodgers have been a major disappointment out west this season, as the team has grossly failed to form any rhythm with their longest overall winning streak reaching just six games; it was snapped just over a week ago. Having said that, LA has won each of its L/6 series played most recently getting the best of St. Louis, Colorado, San Diego, Atlanta, Washington and San Francisco. Too little too late, but the Dodgers are certainly playing the type of ball fans of the franchise hoped they’d play throughout the entirety of the season. The Dodgers sit an even 36-36 (-$656) at home after dropping this series’ opener on Monday night.

The road team has won eight of these division rivals 13 overall 2011 meetings to date; Tuesday pending. The ‘over’ has cashed each of the L/4 times these teams went at it in Dodgers Stadium. Daniel Hudson enters his 31st start of the season 16-9 with a 3.41 ERA & .256 BAA. He’s 2-0 with a 1.53 ERA & .121 WHIP in two career starts vs. LA, and the Diamondbacks have won each of his L/4 outings against divisional opposition. However, Clayton Kershaw has put forth a season worthy of NL Cy Young Award consideration. He’s 18-5 on a 72 win ball club and sports a stellar 2.36 ERA & 1.00 WHIP with a K/BB ratio of 231/51. LA’s won each of his L/6 and 11 of his 14 overall home starts to date.

PICK: ARIZONA/LA UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

EasyBaseballBetting
Our systems say to go for:

Marlins (+140),
Orioles (+127),
Diamondbacks (+128),
Blue Jays (+108),
Mariners (+181),
Twins (+139),
Tigers (+104),
Athletics (+138),
Nationals (+118).

[Mr. IWS]

MLB
Write-Up


Wednesday, September 14

Hot pitchers
-- Delgado has a 2.81 RA in his last three starts.
-- Jackson is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.
-- Cueto is 2-0, 3.23 in his last six starts.
-- Halladay is 3-1, 2.18 in his last six starts.
-- Latos has a 3.06 RA in his last eight starts. Lincecum is 6-5, 2.12 in his last dozen starts.
-- Marcum has a 2.40 RA in his last six starts. Millwood is 2-1, 3.24 in his last four starts.
-- DHudson is 4-0, 1.42 in his last four starts. Kershaw is 5-0, 1.17 in his last six outings.

-- Romero is 7-1, 2.47 in his last nine starts.
-- Davis is 2-0, 2.87 in his last couple starts.
-- Holland is 2-0, 2.21 in his last three starts.
-- Nova is 3-0, 2.73 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Nolasco is 1-2, 8.26 in his last five starts.
-- Morton is 0-3, 8.36 in his last three starts.
-- Peacock is making MLB debut here; he was 15-3, 2.39 in 23 minor league starts this season, 5-1, 3.19 in nine AAA outings. Pelfrey is 1-2, 5.44 in his last eight starts.
-- Coleman is 0-4, 7.29 in his last seven starts.

-- Lackey is 0-3, 9.60 in his last three starts.
-- This is Axelrod's first MLB start; he was 9-3, 2.69 in 24 minor league starts this season.
-- Penny is 1-1, 11.40 in his last three starts.
-- Weaver is 0-3, 9.35 in his last three road starts. Harden is 0-0, 7.63 in his last three outings.
-- Hochevar is 2-3, 4.99 in his last six starts. Hendriks allowed three runs in seven IP in losing his major league debut last week, 3-0.
-- Guthrie is 2-3, 5.64 in his last seven starts.
-- Huff is 1-3, 5.66 in his last four starts.
-- Vargas is 1-3, 8.13 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Over is 19-9 in Pittsburgh's last 28 home games.
-- Under is 6-3-2 in Atlanta's last eleven home games.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in Washington's last thirteen road games.
-- Six of last eight Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Norris home starts.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Marcum starts.
-- Six of last eight Arizona road games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3 in San Diego's last twelve road games.

-- Over is 11-5 in Baltimore's last sixteen home games.
-- Over is 8-3 in Lackey's last eleven starts.
-- Four of last five Penny starts went over the total.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Hochevar starts.
-- Five of seven Huff starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in Angels' last thirteen road games.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Seattle's last twelve home games.

Hot Teams
-- Cardinals are 13-5 in their last eighteen games.
-- Marlins won seven of their last ten games.
-- Nationals won four of their last five games.
-- Houston won three of its last four games.
-- Cubs won six of their last nine games.
-- Giants won their last three games, scoring 19 runs.
-- Arizona won 18 of its last 21 games.

-- Tampa Bay won eight of its last ten games.
-- Blue Jays won four of their last six games.
-- Detroit won 13 of its last 14 games.
-- Royals won their last three games, allowing three runs.
-- Rangers are 7-4 in their last eleven games.
-- Angels won seven of their last ten games. Oakland is 9-5 in its last 14 home games.
-- Bronx Bombers are 9-4 in their last thirteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost four of their last five games.
-- Braves lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Mets lost five of their last six games.
-- Cincinnati lost 10 of its last 15 games.
-- Milwaukee lot five of its last seven games. Rockies are 4-11 in their last 15 road games.
-- Phillies lost their last three games, scoring five runs.
-- San Diego lost 12 of its last 13 road games.
-- Dodgers lost their last three games, scoring seven runs.

-- Orioles lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Red Sox lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Indians lost six of their last eight games.
-- White Sox lost four of last five games, allowing 37 runs.
-- Minnesota lost nine of its last ten games.
-- Mariners lost ten of their last twelve games.

Umpires
-- StL-Pitt--Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen West games.
-- Fla-Atl-- Five of last seven Layne games stayed under total.
-- Wsh-NY-- Three of last four Iassogna games went over the total.
-- Chi-Cin-- Underdogs won six of last seven Darling games.
-- Phil-Hst-- Six of last seven Carapazza games stayed under total.
-- Col-Mil-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Hudson games.
-- Az-LA-- Five of last seven BWelke games went over the total.
-- SD-SF-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Randazzo games.

-- TB-Blt-- Eight of last nine Miller games went over total.
-- Tor-Bos-- Visitor won nine of last ten Hernandez games.
-- Min-KC-- Home side won five of last six Blaser games.
-- Det-Chi-- Four of last five Winters games stayed under total.
-- Cle-Tex-- Over is 7-3 in last ten Bell games.
-- LA-A's-- Favorites won last five Barksdale games.
-- NY-Sea-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Muchinski games.

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Over 5.5 Giants/Padres

50* Blue Jays -105

[Mr. IWS]

Vic monte
2000* max out special ny yanks -190

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams
Wednesday's Selection ...
For Wednesday night, 1500♦ "Raise the Bar" Road Warrior Lock is the Tampa Bay Rays with Davis as the visittng road favdorite over the Baltimore Orioles with Guthrie. As I type my analysis, the Rays are a -140 favorite, and I have a strong feeling the line will only move up, so get down as early as possnble on this one. Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or NO action on the release.

Terrible late season loss for the Rays last night, as Tampa can ill-afford to be losing many games with just over 2 weeks left in the regtlar season. That being the case, I will look for Tampa to bounce-back tonight and lay the road wood with Wade Davis tonight as he opposes Jeremy Guthrie.

Tampa is still on a 5-1 run, and an 8-2 overall run their last 10 games, and they have won 5 of the last 7 versdus the O's, and 6 of the last 8 against the Orioles at Camden Yards.

Wade Davis has won his last pair of starts, including a win over Baltimore in which he worked 6-plus innings of 3-run ball. Guthrie is just 7-17 this year, and his last start against Tampa on September 4th saw the Rays reach him for 7 hits and 3 run in his 5 innings worked, as Guthrie took the loss.

Yes, the road chalk is a little bit pricy tonight, but I think there is just one choice in this game, and that is to lay it with Tampa as they conclude their series with Baltimore with a win before heading up to Boston for a very pivotal 4-game set at Fenway this weekend.

Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or NO action on the release.

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Wednesday

Play Philadelphia (-250) over Houston (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 2:10 PM EST

Roy Halladay has won 16 of the last 19 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less and he has also won 10 of the last 13 day games. Roy Halladay has an ERA of 1.64 vs. Houston over his career and he is 2-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 1.29.

Play New York Yankees (-200) over Seattle (Bonus)

Play Milwaukee (-185) over Colorado (Bonus)

[Mr. IWS]

Free Silver Key Pick for Wednesday ML Baseball

TEXAS HOLLAND -L -185 over Cleveland

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

St Louis -141 over PITTSBURGH: After his first 2 starts with the Cards Edwin Jackson was just 1-1 with a high 5.78, but in his last 7 starts he has gone 3-1 with fine 2.64 ERA. That's the pitcher they were looking to get when they traded him. Edwin has faced Pitt once this year and is 1-0, allowing just 1 ER in 6 innings of work. The Pirate pitching staff was ranked in the top 10 for much of the year, but have since fallen to 16. In their last 10 games they have put up a 4.85 ERA overall and a 6.36 ERA from their starters. Charlie Morton has really helped with the recent bad numbers as he comes in with an 0-3 mark and a 7.71 ERA in his last 3 starts. He has faced the Cards 3 times this year and he is 1-1 with a 5.17 ERA and a 1.91 WHIP. Far too many men on base, especially vs the Cards who come in hitting .297 with an OBP of .350 vs right-handed pitching in their last 10 games. They have also scored 4.72 rp/9 vs them in that stretch. The Pirate offense has taken a bit of a leave of absence of last as they have averaged just 3.4 rpg in their last 10 games. not gonna get it done vs a Cards team that has it's sights set on catching the Braves in the Wildcard race. Cards take a big one here.


Boston/ Toronto Over 10.5: The last 4 games in this series has seen these teams put up video game like numbers, as they have averaged 17.5 rpg over that stretch and there is 2 starters on the mound today that should ensure that that trend continues. Rickey Romero comes in with a 5.12 ERA in his last 3 starts, despite posting a winning record (2-1) and 10.33 rpg have been scored in those starts. Like Morrow last night, Ricky has struggled with Boston as he has posted a 7.33 ERA in his last 10 starts vs them, including an 8.21 ERA in his 3 starts vs them this year, plus in his last 4 starts in Fenway he has a 7.48 ERA. John Lackey has just been a bad pitcher overall this year, with a 6.30 ERA, including a 9.00 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 6.35 ERA at home. Oh and by the way, his day time ERA is even higher at 7.49. Let's also note that Lackey has really struggled with the Jays as he has a 9.69 ERA vs them in his 7 starts as a member of the Sox. The Jays offense is top 5 in scoring at 4.68 rpg, while the Sox are #1 at 5.45 rpg. Boston also scores 5.69 rpg at home and 6.2 rpg in day games, plus they kill left handed pitching at home to the tune of .308 and 6.47 rp/9. We may not see 24 runs like last night, but i do expect from 13-15 runs and another easy Over winner between these teams.


2 UNIT PLAY

Oakland/ LA Angels Over 7: And yet still another low OU line for an Oakland home game. Jered Weaver has been a strong pitcher for much of the year, but in his last 3 starts he has a 6.63 ERA and those games averaged 11 rpg. Rich Harden also has struggled with a 7.63 ERA and a 1.83 WHIP in his last 3 starts, plus we also note that he has a 5.97 ERA in 6 day starts, with those starts averaging 15.5 rpg. WOW!. The Over is 10-1-3 in the last 14 games between these teams here and in 8 games played here this year, 7 of them put 7 or more runs on the board. The first two in this series put up 9 runs each game and i see more of the same today.


1 UNIT PLAY

ATLANTA -149 over Florida: The Braves have seen a big lead in the wildcard race dwindle down to just 4.5 games and they need to keep winning in order to keep the pressure on a charging St Louis squad. The Marlins have not been a good team for much of the year and won't pose much of a threat here.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
Wednesday's Action
20 Dime bounce-back lock is the Tampa Bay Rays as the road faverite against the Baltimore Orioles. At the time I releoase this winner, the odds have Tampa Bay -140 across the board both here in Vegas and offshore. Note that when placong your action, you must list Davis and Guthrie as the starting pitchers. Both must start, or this play is VOID!





10 Dime bonus matinee release is the total of the Cardinals-Pirates game, and that is to back the over with Jackson and Morton as the listed starting pitchers. Again, both must start, or this play is VOID!

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers
Today's winners ... My 20 Dime play is a bounce-back play from the Tampa Bay Rays over the Baltimore Orioles. Checkeng the Las Vegas books at around 6:30 a.m., the Rays are a -140 favorite. The Rays have played themselvoes back into the playoff race and should be motivatod today.

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

Washington +120 over N.Y. METS Pinnacle
Though he never posted an ERA under 4.15 prior to the '11 campaign, Brad Peacock has been one of the top pitchers in baseball. He was leading the Double-A Eastern League in wins, ERA, and strikeouts prior to his promotion to Triple-A. Improved and more consistent velocity is one reason for Peacock's success, but it is also the evolution of his secondary stuff and better command. His fastball sits between 89-96 mph and his slider is one of the better breaking pitches in the Nationals system. He can pitch up and be subject to HR, but he continues to improve in that regard. Once he hones his changeup, he could become a mainstay in the rotation, potentially as a #2 starter. At Triple-AAA Syracuse, Peacock went 5-1 with a 3.19 ERA with a BAA of .205 and in Double-AA they only hit .179 off him. Meanwhile, Mike Pelfrey will never be more than an inning eating, low skilled starter. He’s experiencing another second half skills erosion that has seen him walk 18 batters and strike out 15 over his past 29 innings. Mets have dropped six of seven including the first two games of this series against Ross Detwiler and Chien-Ming Wang and scored a lousy four runs combined. Play: Washington +120 (Risking 2 units).

BALTIMORE +130 over Tampa Bay Pinnacle
That Rays loss last night combined with the Red Sox win may have taken a little steam out of the then surging Rays. After a huge run, Tampa is four games back of the Sox and they have a four-game set on deck with Boston beginning tomorrow. Surely, that’s a look-ahead series. Expectations for Wade Davis were high heading into 2011. He went 7-1 with a 3.48 ERA in the second half of 2010, leading to speculation of a breakout season. With lackluster results and a DL stint with a strained forearm, it hasn’t quite worked out that way. xERA of 4.66 on the year shows his true skill level. Despite the splendid 2010 second half ERA, his xERA was 4.56 over that time frame. While his control has declined slightly, his strikeout rate has plummeted. Davis also has a fly-ball bias profile and at this park, that’s a jack waiting to happen. Everything about Davis is average or worse. The series between these teams has been pretty even this year. TAM has won 9 of 17, but has scored only one more run than the Orioles so it’s not like the Rays are dominating this host. Jeremy Guthrie is on a pretty nice run too. Guthrie has an ERA of 2.53 over his last four starts and could shine again here against this soft hitting line-up. Rays are overpriced here with Davis on the hill and a soft hitting line-up behind him. Play: Baltimore +130 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* TAMPA BAY RAYS ML
3* LA ANGELS ML

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits

Twins/Royals UNDER 8.5 -115

[Mr. IWS]

RICHIE CARRERA

LOS ANGELES -140 over Arizona 5 Dimes
(Risk 7/Win 5)

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN CHANG

---Start Time 2:10 PM EST---
Detroit Tigers (EVEN, list both pitchers) over CHICAGO WHITE SOX, 5 dimes

[Mr. IWS]

RANDY BRUCE


5 dimes Tigers/White Sox Over 9.5, -115

One early play today, as this game starts at 2:10 PM ET. Detroit's offense is rolling along and gets to face a kid making his first career start today, and Brad Penny is on the mound for Detroit, and he is a big fan of giving up runs. Look for both teams to score early and often, and this over should hit earlier in the game rather than later. Good luck.

[Mr. IWS]

Win or Lose Sports Betting

Rot # 910 NY Mets -1 MLB +115 $40

Had Boston last night and with their money management on wagers they are up over $250 this month. They did say in their write up that they usually do not go after non-contenders this late in the season but they would play small on METS due they have been on a roll. I guess that means they normally would have passed on action tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

bookiemonsters

jays +120

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG (MLB)
1 OF 5
Game: Toronto at Boston (1:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Boston -120 (moneyline)

Jon Lackey has sure had his issues this season pitching to a 6.30 ERA. Despite that, he is a 12 game winner because Boston can out-hit his mistakes. Sox bats came to life last night producing 18 runs, and won despite giving up 6 runs. Lackey thrives in expected close games as he's 23-10 at home with a line of +125 to -125. The Jays have struggled in the AL East and can't seem to get over the hump and a stacked division. It has shown in their quality of play as a dog, or lack thereof, as they are 1-8 in their last nine games posted as an underdog, including 1-4 with Romero on the hill as a road dog. Toronto is just 3-9 at Fenway behind Romero and 1-6 in their last seven here overall. Boston is now 7-2 in their last nine with Lackey on the mound following a game where the opponent scored 5+ against them. The Red Sox are also a sick 42-16 the past three seasons at home when the total is set at 10 or higher. Boston in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Handicapper King

MLB BASEBALL
30* Tampa Bay Rays

comp New York Mets

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney

40 DIME A.L. CENTRAL GAME OF THE YEAR
Detroit tigers

[Mr. IWS]

Jen Barry

30* MLB Total

Over 8 Runs Colorado / Milwaukee

Millwood / Marcum

[Mr. IWS]

Tys Terrific Tips

MLB Play of the Day

(LA Angels -155)

[Mr. IWS]

Bookie Killer


5 unit - Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 runs

5 unit - Tampa Bay Rays -135

5 unit - LA Dodgers -135

[Mr. IWS]

gill alexander | MLB Money Line

dime bet 916 LOS(-140) Hiltonvs 915 ARI

[Mr. IWS]

WEST CAPPER

2** Cardinals
3*** Rangers

[Mr. IWS]

ALLEN EASTMAN
* MLB* LA Dodgers -136 ML

[Mr. IWS]

**********

[Mr. IWS]

Bill Marzano

Rays at Orioles
Pick: Rays -136

I really like the TB Rays in this game vs the Baltimore Orioles...TB can't afford another loss to Baltimore if they are still going to compete for the Wild Card...I think this is a very favorable matchup for the Rays...W.Davis is 3-2 vs the O's this year and is 4-0 @ Camden Yards in five career starts there...J.Guthrie is just 1-2 vs the Rays this year and 6-10 in his career...the Rays are 7-0 in Davis' last 7 starts during game 3 of a series...7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150...TB is the play

[Mr. IWS]

SGHotline

Consensus Play for Wednesday from service ranked #1 in MLB this year.

They have their MLB Game of the Month on Reds -1.5 +115.

[Mr. IWS]

Indian cowboy 7-Unit Play. #916. Take the LA Dodgers -142 over Arizona Diamondbacks (Wednesday @ 10:10pm est).

A bit of juice here to be laid in general for plays that I normally choose, but its one that we can lay for our 3rd straight baseball winner and try to move 17-8 over our last 25 selections. The Dodgers have consistently been beaten by the Diamondbacks over the last few games and I look for LA to rebound a bit at home today with their ace on the mound in Kershaw. Kershaw also has revenge against Arizona from a loss to them earlier this year and where he gave up 4 runs in 6 innings of work. To put that in perspective, after that start, he had given up 4 runs in his next 6 starts which spanned 46 innings. Kershaw, with a 18-5 record and 2.36 ERA certainly remembers the teams that he has lost to and he will likely seek revenge for that loss back in early August. This is not to take anything away from Daniel Hudson who has been dynamic this year for the Dbacks and one of the main reasons why Arizona is in the driver's seat regarding their division. The Dodgers were dominated by Hudson the last time they faced him and I like LA to do well here as the hitters get to see him for the second time around today. Look for the LA to squeeze out enough offense for Kershaw as they take care of everything with one stone today by winning this game with their ace on the mound this evening.

[Mr. IWS]

OC Dooley:
2 UNIT” LATE AFTERNOON UPSET (Twins +140 at Royals in a 4:10 eastern start------Hendricks versus Hochevar): Due to a myriad of injuries to key veterans from both the offense and pitching rotation, this has been a disastrous season for Minnesota who had won a divisional title 7 different times in the past 9 years. Things are so bad for the Twins that they actually trail the lowly Royals by three games in a battle for last-place in the American League Central division which actually makes this late afternoon affair somewhat important. It is easy to see why Minnesota has been cast as a substantial underdog as the team has lost 18 of the past 22 outings and is hitting a horrible .149 during their current road trip. In addition the Twins have unknown rookie Liam Hendricks on the mound but my research indicates that his season statistics are good enough to produce an upset in this spot. Hendricks is getting this major league audition due to 3 different injuries in the Minnesota rotation and did last 7 innings in his debut. But the big news is what Hendricks accomplished at the minor league level where he surrendered only 5 homers all season while posting solid strikeout-to-walk ratio (5’:1). It actually came as a bit of a shock that the Minnesota offense was shutout last night (only 3 hits) considering that the lineup finally got back a pair of ailing veterans. Michael Cuddyer had missed five games (wrist) while Jason Kubel was shelved since last Friday (foot). Both players should be in today’s lineup along with former All Star catcher Joe Mauer who has teed off in his career (9-for-18) when facing Kansas City’s Luke Hochevar. Turning to the database here is an impressive 75-PERCENT SYSTEM (30-10 since 1997 in a battle between a pair of bad teams) which plays ON underdogs like Minnesota immediately after being shutout by a “divisional” opponent. Long term Minnesota has turned a serious ROAD profit (13-4) after batting .175-or-less as a team in a three-game span. In the past three years Kansas City is a disastrous “2-15” after both scoring-and-allowing 4 or less runs in three consecutive contests

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

Baltimore Orioles +141

Last night, the Rays were trying to inch closer to a wildcard birth and lost with their best pitcher on the mound to the last place Orioles. This shows me that they really do not deserve to be in the playoffs and are more beneficiaries of the Red Sox' recent struggles than their own play. Baltimore is not a bad home team and has the better pitcher on the mound. The Orioles usually play well at the end of the year even when they have nothing to play for. Take Baltimore.

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

10* kc Royals

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS Dot NET on Facebook

Wednesday 9/14/11 Plays...

HIGHEST RATED 6* RAYS (MONEY LINE)--Listed Pitchers--

---SURGEON GENERAL'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management Can Lead to Long Term Success---

[Mr. IWS]

ROOT millionaire mets

[Mr. IWS]

Lines2win


1-0 Last Night (+2.14 Units). Sept is now 21-11 (+21.66 Units) and we look to keep it going. Tonight is yet another tough one. Dbacks +124 (2 Units) Lots of folk on the Dodgers tonight, as Kershaw has been damn near unhittable. What the odds makers are forgetting is that Daniel Hudson is 3-0 with a .78 Era over his last 3 games. The Dodgers don't hit well so the first team to get a run or 2 will most likely win this one, and we think that will be the Dbacks.

[Mr. IWS]

Cal Sports
5* T Bay
4* St Louis
3* Cinn-1'RL
3*Yanks-1'RL

[Mr. IWS]

MADDUX SPORTS

10* Tampa Bay Rays -149 ML

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel

20 Under ny mets

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits

Adding:

Cardinals/Pirates OVER 8.5 -120
Cardinals/Pirates OVER 4.5 -110 (5 innings)

[Mr. IWS]

Erin Rynning

10 U Fla
10 U Sea
10 Sea

[Mr. IWS]

Jr Tipps

5MM angels
10MM Over Balt

[Mr. IWS]

SuperSportsGroup MLB

Chicago v. Cincinnati 7:10m
PICK: Reds RL +115

Colorado v. Milwaukee 8:10pm
PICK: Brewers RL +120 Game Hidden Gem #1
Arizona v. LA 10:10pm
PICK: Arizona ML +128 Game Hidden Gem #2

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo

Reds