9-18-11

[Mr. IWS]

New Guys!

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Note:

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[Mr. IWS]

nflbettingpicks

GOW size:
5* San Diego Chargers +7.5
5* NY Giants -5.5

1-0 hit Bills last week

[Mr. IWS]

The Daily BOBBER

NFL
Two-game teaser (6 points): Saints (-.5) & Falcons (+8.5)

[Mr. IWS]

Football Jesus
Free picks in football 10-4-1
This week's : Falcons + points

[Mr. IWS]

INDIAN COWBOY

4* Football: Over 47 Green Bay Packers vs. Carolina Panthers

[Mr. IWS]

DOC SPORTS

5* Take Detroit Lions -8 over Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday 1 pm CBS)
4* Take Miami Dolphins +3 over Houston Texans (Sunday 4:15 pm CBS)
4* Take Atlanta Falcons +2.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday 8:20 pm NBC)
3* Take Under 43.5 in St. Louis Rams @ New York Giants (Monday 8:40 pm ESPN)

[Mr. IWS]

Power Sweeps (Newsletter)

4* New Orleans over Chicago 35-21
3* Washington over Arizona 28-17
2* San Diego + over Patriots 27-28
2* Pittsburgh Over Seattle 38-10

[Mr. IWS]

Colin Cowherd

Lions (-9) over Chiefs
Steelers (-15) over Seahawks
Titans (+6.5) cover Ravens
Bears (+7) cover Saints
Cowboys (-3) over Niners

[Mr. IWS]

Norm Hitzges

double play----

· new orleans -6 1/2 chicago

· san diego---new england over 53 1/2


single plays-----

· detroit -8 kansas city

· ny jets -9 1/2 jacksonville

· washington -3 1/2 arizona

· pittsburgh -14 1/2 seattle

· tampa bay +3 minnesota

· san diego +7 new england

· cleveland -2 1/2 indianapolis

· miami--houston over 48

· jets-jacksonville over 39

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG (NFL)

Game: Jacksonville at New York Jets (Sunday 9/18 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Jacksonville +9 (-115)

The Jets had a big win last week vs. Dallas where they snatched victory from the jaws of defeat. There is no way the Jets should have sniffed a win in that game, but they got it, leading to some overvalue this week. It was somewhat of a surprising game for New York as their defense is their calling card and Tony Romo torched their secondary for 326 yards and a pair of TDs. The offense, which is run-first, passed for over 300 yards and the ground game was held in check the entire game. That leaves a lot of question marks as to who are the Jets this year. Jacksonville surprised everyone by releasing David Garrard right before the season. Luke McCown has become the heir apparent and he managed the game very well vs. the Titans last week, committing no turnovers. The offense spear-headed by the running of Jones-Drew pounded the ball 47 times for the win. I expect that the Jags are going to be playing that way all season. Try to pPlay mistake free on offense, shorten games and allow an
improved defense to give them a chance late. That Jags defense held Chris Johnson to 2 yards rushing in the opener. Jacksonville is very much an under the radar team, covering seven of their last ten games and have been Jets killers as they are 6-0 ATS vs. New York, including 4-0 ATS in New York. The Jets start slow having covered the spread in just 10 of their last 32 September games. Take the Jags with the points.

[Mr. IWS]

JIMMY BOYD

5* GOM SD Chargers +7

[Mr. IWS]

NFL
Write-Up


Week 2

Bears (1-0) @ Saints (0-1)—Last three years, Payton’s team is 10-3 vs spread in game following loss; Saints had three extra days to ****** loss in Lambeau opener. NO is 9-3-1 vs spread in last 13 games as non-divisional home favorite- would expect them to run it more here, after only 21 runs, 53 dropbacks in opener. Since 2007, Bears are 12-18 vs spread in game following a loss- they’re 5-9-1 as road dog since ‘08. Chicago won last three series games, with average total in last three, 54, but Bears lost last three visits to Bourbon Street by 22-3-7 points (beat Saints @ LSU in ’05). 10 of Saints’ last 14 home openers, six of Bears’ last seven road openers stayed under total.

Chiefs (0-1) @ Lions (1-0)—Detroit now on 5-game win streak after 27-20 win in Tampa where they put up 431 yards despite covering just 2-11 on third down; Lions is 6-2-1 in last nine games as home favorite- they’re 12-8 vs spread/AFC teams, 10-6 vs spread at home under Schwartz. Detroit was 5-0 vs spread in game following a win LY, after being 7-21-2 in such role from ‘01-‘09. Chiefs were awful in losing home opener 41-7 last week, passing for just 105 yards, converting 3-13 on third down. Have to wonder how much Cassel is affected by sore ribs. Since ’07, Chiefs are 19-13 vs spread on road. Since 2005, they’re 14-24-1 as single digit underdogs. Home side won four of last five series games.

Jaguars (1-0) @ Jets (1-0)— Since 2007, Gang Green is 8-16-1 as home fave, but they’re 12-10 vs spread as favorite under Ryan. Since ’08, Jets are 16-11 vs spread in game following a win- they need to avoid letdown after emotional comeback win in season opener against Cowboys. Jags won five of last six series games, with three of last four decided by 3 or less points, or in OT; Jax outrushed Titans 163-43 last week, converted 9-18 on third down- this is only second time in last 11+ years they’re double digit dog (lost 27-7 (+10.5) at Baltimore in ’07 finale). Jaguars lost five of last six road openers, scoring 10-12-13 points last three years. Five of their last seven road openers stayed under total.

Raiders (1-0) @ Bills (1-0)—Very tough scheduling spot for Oakland, which won in Denver late Monday night (game ended after 1:30 am ET), now has cross-country road trip on short rest, vs hopped-up Buffalo squad that had 23-yard edge in field position in last week’s stunning 41-7 win at Arrowhead, starting five drives in KC territory. Since 2007, Buffalo is 12-7 as a favorite; since ’04, they’re 18-11-1 as a home favorite. Last eight years, Raiders are 25-42-1 as single digit dog. Oakland won four of last five series games, with home side winning last three; Raiders are 3-3 in last six visits here. Under is 8-4 in Buffalo’s last dozen home openers. Bills had excellent balance in opener; 163 rushing yards, 201 passing.

Cardinals (1-0) @ Redskins (1-0)—Have to be concerned about Arizona pass defense after rookie Newton lit them up for 422 yards, most ever by player in his NFL debut. Over last nine years, Cardinals are just 19-32-2 coming off a win, 26-43-3 vs spread on road, but Arizona has won its first road game the last three years, allowing 14.3 ppg-- they’ve lost last seven games vs Washington, losing last six visits here, with four of six losses by 7+ points. Since 2008, Arizona is 5-10-2 as road dog. Since ’05, Washington is 13-19 as a favorite; 9-3 vs spread when laying 3 or less points, 4-16 if laying more than 3. Skins are 5-13-1 in their last 19 games as a home favorite. Skins had three TD’s in four visits to red zone and the defense scored go-ahead TD, a huge plus. Four of Arizona’s last five road openers stayed under total.

Ravens (1-0) @ Titans (0-1)—Tennessee star RB Johnson had nine carries, 24 yards in opener, now Raven defense comes to town after forcing seven turnovers in rivalry win last week. New Titan coach Munchak great lineman; he needs to find way to get Johnson more holes to run thru. Baltimore is 19-11 vs spread in last 30 games as favorite, 5-3 in last eight as road fave, 14-8-2 in last 24 road games overall- they covered four of last five road openers. Tennessee covered its last six games as an underdog in home openers; since 2007, they’re 22-14-1 as a dog, 18-14 coming off a loss. Home team lost last three series games; Ravens won five of last six visits here. Average total in last seven series games is 31.7. Over is 10-6 in Tennessee’s last six home openers.

Seahawks (0-1) @ Steelers (0-1)—Both teams got hammered last week; since 2003, Steelers are 25-18 vs spread in game following a loss; they’ve won last eight home openers, covering five of last six, allowing just 10.5 ppg in those games. Steelers are just 5-13 in last 18 games when laying double digits; since ’08, they’re 16-21-1 as a favorite, but they did cover 15 of last 24 vs NFC teams. Over last decade, Seattle is 1-9 vs spread as double digit underdogs; since 2005, they’re 11-26-1 on foreign soil, 3-14 last two years. Hawks covered six of last 25 tries as a road dog, but since ’05, they’re 23-19-2 coming off a loss. Seahawks lost field position by 16 yards last week, starting 8 of 13 drives 80+ yards from goal line- they had only 64 rushing yards. Home teams won six of last seven series games; Seahawks are 2-6 in Steel City, with last win in ’99.

Packers (1-0) @ Panthers (0-1)—Defending champs were sharp in opening win, with four TD drives of 76+ yards vs Saints- overall they had five TDs on nine drives. Packers won last five road openers, all by 7+ points; they’re 26-12-1 vs spread in last 39 road games, 10-6 as road favorite last four years. Since 2002, GB is 6-3 when laying double digits. Carolina lost six of last seven home openers (0-8 vs spread in last eight); they’ve covered only 11 of last 30 as an underdog. Since ’06, Panthers are 5-9 as a home dog, but they also covered 10 of last 15 as double digit dog. Green Bay is 7-4 in series, 4-2 in last six visits here, but this is their first here in six years; average total in last three series games is 58.3. Four of Pack’s last five road openers went over; under is 11-3-1 in Carolina’s last 15 home openers.

Bucs (0-1) @ Vikings (0-1)—McNabb had 28 net yards passing in sunny San Diego last week, threw horrible pick on screen pass; Minnesota’s only offensive TD came on 51-yard drive. Not good. Tampa Bay is 12-3-1 vs spread on road under Morris- road teams are 25-6-2 in Tampa games so far in his tenure. Home side won 10 of last 11 Buc-Viking games, but teams haven’t met since ’08; Tampa Bay lost four of last five visits here. Minnesota is 3-7 vs spread in last 10 games as a favorite in its home opener- only once in their last six home openers have Vikings won by more than three points. Bucs lost four of last five road openers; they’re 5-9 vs spread in last 14 games as a dog in a road opener. Under is 14-4 in Bucs’ last 18 road openers, 5-1 in Vikings’ last six home openers.

Browns (0-1) @ Colts (0-1)-- This is first time Browns are favored on road in four years, since Week 16 loss at Cincy in 2007. With Manning out, no Indy trends matter, since they're totally different (much worse) without him. Colts trailed 34-0 at half in Houston last week; Texans had no points, 7 first downs in second half. Colts had only 64 rushing yards, were 1-9 on 3rd down. Cleveland gave up couple of TDs in last 5:00 of home loss to Bengals- they had 11 penalties and were just 19-40 passing. Browns covered two of last eight games as a favorite, but over last decade, they're 5-1 as a road favorite. For what its worth, Colts are 5-0 vs new Browns, with last three wins 9-6/13-6/10-6. Cleveland lost its last five road openers, going 1-3-1 vs spread, with three of the five losses by 17+ points. Over is 7-3 in Cleveland's last ten road openers.

Cowboys (0-1) @ 49ers (1-0)-- Dallas led by 14 in 4th quarter at Swamp last week, but blew lead, first time in franchise history (241-1-1) they lost a game when leading by 14+ in 4th quarter. Since 1988, Dallas is 8-3 as a favorite in its road opener; they've won three of last four overall. 49ers' 33 points vs Seattle last week are little misleading, as Ginn returned PR/KR for TDs within 0:59 in last 4:00 of what was 19-17 game. 49ers are 11-4-1 vs spread at home the last two years; they were 0-5 vs spread after a win LY. Dallas won three of last four series games, with average total in last five, 58.6- they were 0-3 as a road favorite LY,and seem to find ways to lose (like the blocked punt last week) so they need this win to erase last week's debacle. Over is 11-3 in Cowboys' last 14 road openers. You have to give 49ers a big edge in special teams.

Texans (1-0) @ Dolphins (0-1)-- Miami had 390 passing yards vs Patriots in opener, but 213 of its 488 total yards came on last three drives, after Pats had blown game open. Houston won all five games vs Miami, with four wins by 3 or less points; their wins here were 21-20/27-20, with last one in 2009. Since 2004, Dolphins are 11-15 as a home dog; they've lost last five games at home. Fish gave up 519 yards passing last week (10.5 ypa). Texans had 34-0 lead at halftime last week, coasted rest of game; they won three of their last four road openers, with seven of last eight going over total. Texans play Saints/Steelers in next two weeks, they better not look past this hungry opponent. Since 2005, Dolphins are 19-31-1 vs spread in game following a loss; Houston is 17-31-2 in its history coming off a win.

Chargers (1-0) @ Patriots (1-0)-- Brady implored fans to get drunk and make lot of noise for this 4:15 kickoff, so expect raucous crowd; New England won its last nine home openers (5-3-1 vs spread), with seven of nine going over the total. Chargers are 1-3-1 vs spread in last five games as underdog in their road opener, but since 2004, San Diego is 19-5-3 overall as an underdog, 6-2-1 as a road dog the last three years. Bolts brought in Bob Sanders to improve its pass defense- Vikings got only 28 net passing yards last week, but McNabb is no Brady, this we know. Pats are 9-6-1 as home favorite last two years. Patriots won four of last five series games; Chargers lost nine of last ten visits here, with only win in 2005- their last visit here was in '07. Chargers are 22-14-1 coming off a win, New England is 34-23-2. Winner is early favorite in AFC.

Bengals (1-0) @ Broncos (0-1)-- Denver is 11-2 in last 13 series games, winning last meeting 12-7 on bizarre tipped pass in last minute of '09 opener. Bengals lost last eight visits here; their last Mile High win was 1975, but Cincy won its opener, scoring two TDs in last 5:00 behind journeyman backup Gradkowski. Last 5+ years, Cincy is 16-13 as a road dog. Broncos are now 6-20 SU in last 26 games, since starting out 6-0 in '09- since 2006 they're 5-22-1 as a favorite at home. Some fickle Denver fans were chanting for a QB change to Tebow late in Monday night's loss, so pressure on Orton to play better here, but they also need better balance, after 51 dropbacks, only 13 running plays in opener. Cincy is 10-6 vs spread in game following its last 16 wins. Denver is 15-25 vs spread in game after its last 40 losses.

Eagles (1-0) @ Falcons (0-1)-- Over last three years, Atlanta is 13-1-1 against spread in games coming off a loss. Michael Vick returns to Georgia Dome here for first time as an Eagle, so very emotional game for him, after his workmanlike destruction of Rams (237 RY, 8-12 on 3rd down) last week. Atlanta won six of last seven home openers; since 1988, they're 5-3 as underdog in home opener. Eagles scored 37-38-35 points in last three road openers; they're 7-4 as faves in their road opener. Falcons were only NFL team not to score offensive TD last week; they had 52 dropbacks, 14 runs, so expect more balance here. Over last decade, Philly is 27-20 as road favorite, Falcons 7-17 as home underdog; since '07 Eagles are 19-16 coming off a win. Will be curious to see how much of the Georgia Dome crowd is going to be pulling for #7.

Rams (0-1) @ Giants (0-1)-- Rams' coach Spagnuolo is former Giant aide who helped them win Super Bowl, but players win games, and both sides have key injuries. St Louis lost offensive stars Jackson/Amendola in home opener loss, but QB Bradford (bruised finger on passing hand) will play here, much to relief of ESPN. Giants won last four series games, last three by an average score of 36-17, but Big Blue is hurting on defense, losing to Grossman (21-34/258) in opener. Manning converted only 1-10 on 3rd down, as Redskins outscored the Jersey offense 7-0 in second half. Giants are 10-5 as a favorite in home opener; they won last three, by 9-6-13 points. This is Rams' first MNF appearance in five years; they lost their last nine road openers, going 1-10 vs spread in last 11, with last five staying under total.

[Mr. IWS]

Pointwise Phones

3* Giants
3* Steelers
3* Falcons
3* Bucs
2* Bills
2* Lions / Chiefs Over
2* Bears / Saints Over

[Mr. IWS]

ROBERT FERRINGO


NFL SELECTIONS
5-Unit Play. Take #217 Dallas (-3) over San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 18)
Note: This is our Gridiron Game of the Week.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #216 Indianapolis (+2.5) over Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 18)

2-Unit Play. Take #206 Washington (-4) over Arizona (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 18)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #220 Miami (+3) over Houston (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 18)

2-Unit Play. Take #225 Philadelphia (-2.5) over Atlanta (8:20 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 18)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #224 Denver (-3.5) over Cincinnati (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 18)

2.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #211 Green Bay (-3) over Carolina (1 p.m.) AND Take #200 Detroit (-1) over Kansas City (1 p.m.)

I do like a 1.5-Unit Teaser on the Colts (+9.5) and Dolphins (+10) if you are looking for another play.


This Week's Totals
4.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 42.5 Dallas at San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 18)

2.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 48.0 Houston at Miami (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 18)

2.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 43.0 Oakland at Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 18)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 49.5 Philadelphia at Atlanta (8:20 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 18)

[Mr. IWS]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks Sunday

Sunday's NFL Picks:

1 PM EST
Oakland Raiders +3.5* (line is +3 -105 at a lot of places but system recommends a half point buy in this scenario for * plays)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3

4:15 PM EST
New England Patriots -6.5* (system recommends a half point buy on Home Favorites of -7, which is what New England is listed at in most books)

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Essler

3* Bills

[Mr. IWS]

Cappers Access

Chiefs +9
Bills -4
Dolphins +3
Falcons +2

[Mr. IWS]

Prediction Machine
60% and over play
Packers/Balt /Houston

[Mr. IWS]

Today's NFL Picks

Dallas at San Francisco

The Cowboys look to take advantage of a San Francisco team that is coming off a 33-17 win over Seattle and is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games following an ATS victory. Dallas is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Cowboys favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 18
Time Posted: 11:00 p.m. EST (9/15)


Game 197-198: Chicago at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 131.597; New Orleans 139.421
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 8; 44
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2); Under


Game 199-200: Kansas City at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 129.495; Detroit 134.380
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 5; 47
Vegas Line: Detroit by 9; 45
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+9); Over


Game 201-202: Jacksonville at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 127.368; NY Jets 139.547
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 12; 36
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 9; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-9); Under


Game 203-204: Oakland at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 129.384; Buffalo 131.035
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+3); Over


Game 205-206: Arizona at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 128.405; Washington 129.034
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 42
Vegas Line: Washington 4; 45
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+4); Under


Game 207-208: Baltimore at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 140.369; Tennessee 129.634
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 10 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Baltimore 5 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-5 1/2); Over


Game 209-210: Seattle at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 121.911; Pittsburgh 140.357
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 18 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 14; 40
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-14); Under


Game 211-212: Green Bay at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 136.244; Carolina 127.604
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 8 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 10; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+10); Over


Game 213-214: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 132.905; Minnesota 133.098
Dunkel Line: Even; 43
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3); Over


Game 215-216: Cleveland at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 130.466; Indianpolis 127.304
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 3; 36
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-1 1/2); Under


Game 217-218: Dallas at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.322; San Francisco 127.233
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3); Under


Game 219-220: Houston at Miami (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 132.787; Miami 131.683
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 49
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3); Over


Game 221-222: San Diego at New England (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 134.976; New England 142.916
Dunkel Line: New England by 8; 49
Vegas Line: New England by 6 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: New England (-6 1/2); Under


Game 223-224: Cincinnati at Denver (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 125.374; Denver 128.498
Dunkel Line: Denver by 3; 43
Vegas Line: Denver by 4; 40
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+4); Over


Game 225-226: Philadelphia at Atlanta (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 136.204; Atlanta 132.117
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 4; 46
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 1; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-1); Under

[Mr. IWS]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

3 Unit Play. #200 Take Detroit -7 ½ over Kansas City (1:00p.m., Sunday, Sept 18)

4 Unit Play. #209 Take Over 40 Seattle at Pittsburgh (1:00p.m., Sunday, Sept 18)

2 Unit Play. #210 Take Pittsburgh -14 over Seattle (1:00p.m., Sunday, Sept 18)

3 Unit Play. #226 Take Atlanta +2 ½ over Philadelphia (8:25p.m., Sunday, Sept. 18

[Mr. IWS]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS

Game of The Week
5-Unit #210 Pittsburgh (-14) over Seattle (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 18)

3-Unit #198 New Orleans (-6.5) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 18)

2-Unit #226 Atlanta (+2.5) over Philadelphia (8:30 p.m., Sunday,

2-Unit #216 Indianapolis (+2.5) over Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept.

2-Unit 'Under' 43 St. Louis at NY Giants (8:30 p.m., Monday, Sept. 19)

[Mr. IWS]

RED SHEET:

BLITZBURGH 33 Sea 10 (88* Above average play)

Tampa 24 Minny 19 (88* Above average play)

Near Choices-Atl, Buff, Giants

[Mr. IWS]

CKO:

10/11* Detroit over KC (31-10)

[Mr. IWS]

The Legend JOE D´

#204 - 20* Buffalo -3

#213 - 15* Tampa Bay +3

[Mr. IWS]

GOLDSHEET:

NO by 18

BLITZBURGH by 25

indy by 9

[Mr. IWS]

CAROLINA SPORTS
MIKE BLAKE

Game 202 (1:00 pm est): 3* NY Jets -9

Game 221 (4:15 pm est): 3* San Diego +7

[Mr. IWS]

POINTWISE:

ATL over Ph 2

Tenn over Balt 3

Caro over GB 4

Dally over SF 5

NYG over STL 5

[Mr. IWS]

Nelly

5 Dallas (TOP PLAY)
4 TB
3 ATL
2 GB
1 Wash

[Mr. IWS]

PowerPLays:

4* Ravens 27 Titans 14 (BEST)
3 Steelers 35-15
3 Skins 26-18
3 Jets 30-16
3 Lions OVER TOTAL
3 Saints 32-21
2* Lions 33-18

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Football Weekly Best Bets:

GB -10.5
Balt -5.5
Buff -3.5
Chic OVER 47

[Mr. IWS]

Hilton Contest Top 5 selections. (Last weeks record for top 5 was 2-3)

1Dallas (Top play)
2Buff
3Balt
4Atl
5Wash

[Mr. IWS]

DCI

Sunday, September 18, 2011

DETROIT 28, Kansas City 15
Baltimore 26, TENNESSEE 12
INDIANAPOLIS 27, Cleveland 15
BUFFALO 23, Oakland 22
Tampa Bay vs. MINNESOTA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Chicago 25, NEW ORLEANS 24
N.Y. JETS 32, Jacksonville 13
PITTSBURGH 32, Seattle 16
WASHINGTON 29, Arizona 14
Green Bay 36, CAROLINA 9
Dallas vs. SAN FRANCISCO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
NEW ENGLAND 33, San Diego 22
Cincinnati 28, DENVER 20
Houston 23, MIAMI 22
Philadelphia 26, ATLANTA 24

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

ATLANTA +110 over Philadelphia

The “Dream Team” went into St. Louis last week and won handily. Are we supposed to be impressed with anything other than Michael Vick’s ability to run? If so, we’re not. Vick went 14-42 for 167 yards through the air and that’s without a lot of pressure by the Rams. They racked up 236 yards on the ground and that was the difference. The 31-13 final was not an accurate account of what happened on the field. The Rams receivers dropped pass after pass after pass. St. Louis racked up 154 yards on the ground and they out-gained the Eagles through the air. Everything went the Eagles way. While it’s still early, the Falcons need to turn things around before this trickle turns into a stream. Despite a poor start for the Falcons, this is still a step up for the visitor. Perhaps Atlanta was looking ahead to this game or perhaps they just weren’t ready for the opener. What we do know is they’ll be ready this week. Quality teams that get embarrassed often have a huge bounce back game and the Falcons are a quality team. With Matt Ryan behind center, Atlanta has won 20 of past 22 regular season home games. With an improved pass rush, a bruising running game and an opportunity to unwelcome Michael Vick back to Atlanta, this one becomes a huge statement game for a quality host on prime time TV. Philly is not as good as the media makes them out to be. Play Atlanta +110 (Risking 2 units).


TENNESSEE +6½ over Baltimore

The Ravens wanted that game last week against Pittsburgh badly. They were sick of losing to the Steelers and even sicker about hearing about it all the time. They put all that to rest and they’ve been reading about how good they are all week. It would be difficult to knock the Ravens after their dismantling of rival Steelers, nor will we try. However, Baltimore ’s intensity level for that game will not be applied here and that affords us a chance to back the less popular choice. The Titans looked awful in week one loss to Jacksonville. Awful is an understatement. Granted, the Titans are no great shakes but they were not quite ready with Chris Johnson missing most of camp and Matt Hasselbeck and new coaching staff playing first real game together with new team. Johnson had just 15 touches last week. Hasselbeck now has a game under his belt and we’re going to see a different Hasselbeck than the one we saw last week. Hasselbeck had great success in Seattle with lesser talent than he has here. He found a rhythm in the 2nd half of his team’s loss last week and that could carry over against the Ravens thinning secondary. Expect a close one or a straight up Titans win. We see a +6½ at Sportsinteraction while most have this at +5½ so if you don’t have a SIA account, we would still play it at +5½. Play: Tennessee +6½ (Risking 2.1 units).


San Diego +6½ over NEW ENGLAND

6½ points? For real? While New England’s offense can be downright scary, its defense can be frightening but not in the same way. Miami’s Chad Henne threw for 416 yards against this secondary and the Dolphins were a half-yard away from making that game very interesting with six minutes to go. What will the league’s top passer from a year ago, Philip Rivers, do with his full arsenal running amok? Let’s also not ignore that Monday night game was played in extreme heat where even the refs were cramping up. How inflated is this price? Well, let’s go back to the NFL’s season opener in which Green Bay, considered the best team in the league, were just a 4½-point choice over New Orleans. Is this a bigger mismatch than that? The line says it is but we beg to differ. New England remains a public team and thus, price gets inflated. That is especially true after the Pats play pitch and catch on national television. But this is a top-ranked Chargers defense that has capable personnel and a team as a whole that is not intimidated by its host. Chargers can win outright. Play: San Diego +6½ (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).


INDIANAPOLIS +115 over Cleveland

Let’s say you’re a member of the Colts. Imagine waking up Monday morning and seeing that you’re a dog at home to the Browns. That’s insulting, not to mention motivating. Yes, the Colts were manhandled on the road, against a talented and motivated divisional foe. But Cleveland lost at home to the Bengals and while the Colts were expected to lose as a nine-point pooch, the Brownies were expected to win as a 6½-point choice. Had this game been played in week one, the Colts would’ve been a four-point favorite but week two lines are largely based on week one results. The Colts still have weapons with two excellent deep threats in the passing game and a running back in Joseph Addai that is capable of a big game. Indy also has a tremendous pass-rush tandem with Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis and that’s potentially big trouble for a young Colt McCoy. Meanwhile, the Brownies have no pass rush whatsoever and given time Kerry Collins is an accurate passer. A banged up Browns team with low morale and less talent does not warrant this tag. Cleveland favored at this venue is ludicrous. Play: Indianapolis +115 (Risking 2 units).


Dallas –3 +100 over SAN FRANCISCO

It’s not customary for us to lay road points and if we lose this game, shame on us. What we know for sure is that the Boys have to bring it this week after giving one away against a quality Jets club last Sunday night. Tony Romo keeps finding ways to lose but he’s one of the most talented QB’s in the game and he’s heads above water better than that stiff Alex Smith. Dallas played a great game last week in New York. They were moving the chains, they played good defense and everything was in place for a win until two late turnovers, both by Romo. Romo can’t let that happen again. What we see on paper is another blown game by Romo and a 16-point San Fran win over Seattle. What you may or may not know is that the 49ers 16-point win was the most misleading score of the week. Seattle had 18 first downs to the 49ers 12. Seattle passed for 155 yards while San Fran passed for 124. When Seattle outplays you at home you’ve got bigger problems than a bad QB. Apparently the new head coach doesn’t see the easily distinguishable connection between Alex Smith and the unemployment line. San Fran is unwatchable. Their offense is about as exciting as a quilt festival. The Boys are far superior in every way and it’s one thing to come in here after a big win but that’s not the case. The Cowboys come in here after a bad loss and suddenly they’re in jeopardy of starting the year 0-2. That’s not going to happen against the worst team in football. Play: Dallas –3 +100 (Risking 2 units).


Survivor Pick

DETROIT over Kansas City:

The Chiefs were down by 14 points to the Buffalo Bills by the end of the first quarter last week and ended up having to play catch-up football. They can’t. The Chiefs have injuries, inside turmoil, coaching changes and no Charlie Weis as Matt Cassels QB coach. The Lions are truly a contender. They’re loaded offensively and they just keep getting better. Detroit now opens at home and they’ll be as motivated as ever to keep the excitement in Detroit rolling right along. KC can’t score nor can they defend and they’ll probably lose by four TD’s.


Raiders (1-0) at Bills (1-0)

One of only four games that feature undefeated teams. Who woulda thunk it? While the Bills do have some legit talent, this may not be a good match up for them. Raiders like to pound the rock and Buffalo’s run defense is a liability. Da Rrrrrraiders hang around here. TAKING: RAIDERS +3 +105 Pin


Bears (1-0) at Saints (0-1)

What will it take for folks to buy into the Bears? They won the NFC North last year while starting this campaign off with an impressive dismissal of a formidable Falcons bunch. Still, oddsmakers feel the Saints are worthy of spotting a full touchdown. Prove it. Bears will dedicate game to Brian Urlacher’s mom and will play extra hard for their beloved teammate. TAKING: BEARS +6½ bet365


Cardinals (1-0) at Redskins (1-0)

It scares us when a game looks too easy and this one more than qualifies. Washington ’s sturdy defense is quite capable of stopping an unrefined Arizona offense. More importantly, how bad is the Cardinal defense if neophyte Cam Newton can carve them up for 422 yards through the air? TAKING: REDSKINS –3½


Chiefs (0-1) at Lions (1-0)

Don’t expect letdowns by this Detroit team anytime soon. After suffering through an epic 4-40 drought, this emerging bunch has suddenly won a legitimate five straight regular season games. Conversely, the Chiefs are a mess with no real remedy in sight. TAKING: LIONS –8½


Seahawks (0-1) at Steelers (0-1)

Seahawks are dreadful but still can’t pull the trigger on a Steelers team that lost by 28 points and are now being asked to spot in excess of two touchdowns. The Steelers play the NFC West this year, which subconsciously has them easing up at times like this. TAKING: SEAHAWKS +14½


Packers (1-0) at Panthers (0-0)

The champs looked unstoppable in opener. They’ll have had 10 days rest prior to facing a rebuilding team with a rookie quarterback. So how do we endorse the doggie here? Simple. We hope the Packers are overlooking this one in anticipation of a trip to Chicago next week. TAKING: PANTHERS +9½


Buccaneers (0-1) at Vikings (0-1)

It’s official. Minnesota is where old quarterbacks go to die. The Bucs may not be ready to compete at the next level but they can certainly hold their own against riffraff like the Vikings. Minnesota is old and lacks an identity. Tampa has played well on the road with nine covers in past 10 away. Better team is taking points. TAKING: BUCCANEERS +3


Texans (0-0) at Dolphins (0-0)

If it looks like a trap and smells like a trap it usually is a trap. Texans known to disappointment after big wins and after clobbering Manning-less rival, same could happen here. Miami ’s defense is better than it showed versus Patriots last week while offense feeling better about their previously pedestrian unit. TAKING: DOLPHINS +3


Jaguars (1-0) at Jets (1-0)

One can be a force while the other is a fraud. The Jaguars were fortunate to defeat the Titans in opener. Jacksonville won’t have the luxury of playing at home or against a quarterback guiding a new team. Without a pass rush to contend with, Jets offense gets time to exploit subpar visitor. TAKING: NY JETS –9½


Bengals (1-0) at Broncos (0-1)

John Fox likes to run. RB Knowshon Moreno had eight carries for 22 yards while Willis McGahee ran four times for 3 yards. Without a passing game to offset this ineptitude, we can’t rationalize backing Denver as chalk, especially against a decent Cincinnati defense. TAKING: BENGALS +4½

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Tampa Bay Rays -135 over the Boston Red Sox

[Mr. IWS]

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Chicago Bears +7 over the New Orleans Saints

[Mr. IWS]

sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Chicago Bears +7 over the New Orleans Saints

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

719- 529 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Sun Det Lions -7 1/2 16-4 run

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Notre Dame Saturday.

Sunday it's the Packers. The deficit is 2586 sirignanos.

[Mr. IWS]

Hondo

Hondo tumbled deeper into his sinkhole last night when he hit with Oklahoma but missed with Michi gan State and the Tigers to move the red digits to 3,185 barkers.

Today, it looks like easy pickin's with the Ravens -- 20 units on Baltimore to waltz past Tennessee. Also, his "don't ask Dontrelle" policy is in effect, and the Price is right in Boston -- 20 units apiece on the Brewers and Rays.

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Astros +135

[Mr. IWS]

Today's CFL Picks

Winnipeg at Montreal

The Bluebombers look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Winnipeg is the pick (+8) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by only 5. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+8). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 18
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (9/15)


Game 297-298: Winnipeg at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 112.821; Montreal 117.881
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 5; 50
Vegas Line: Montreal by 8; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+8); Under

[Mr. IWS]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Indiana at New York

The Dream look to close out the series and build on their 7-3-1 ATS record in their last 11 home games. Atlanta is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-5). Here are all of today's picks


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 18
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 663-664: Connecticut at Atlanta (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 111.950; Atlanta 120.396
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 163
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5; 167
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-5); Under


Game 665-666: Minnesota at San Antonio (5:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 115.023; San Antonio 115.105
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 3; 149
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+3); Over

[Mr. IWS]

Today's MLB Picks

NY Yankees at Toronto

The Blue Jays look to build on their 7-1 record in Brandon Morrow's last 8 starts in Game 3 of a series. Toronto is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+110). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 18
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Greinke) 15.681; Cincinnati (Willis) 14.049
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-170); Over


Game 903-904: Florida at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Hand) 14.273; Washington (Wang) 15.419
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-130); Under


Game 905-906: NY Mets at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 15.186; Atlanta (Beachy) 14.182
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+160); Over


Game 907-908: Houston at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Myers) 14.642; Cubs (Dempster) 15.632
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-150); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-150); N/A


Game 909-910: San Francisco at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.667; Colorado (Rogers) 16.060
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+140); Under


Game 911-912: Arizona at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Saunders) 16.058; San Diego (Harang) 15.130
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Over


Game 913-914: Pittsburgh at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Lincoln) 13.673; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.485
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-155); Under


Game 915-916: St. Louis at Philadelphia (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.072; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.052
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Garcia) 15.427; Toronto (Morrow) 16.187
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+110); Under


Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.870; Boston (Wakefield) 14.865
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Over


Game 921-922: LA Angels at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 16.396; Baltimore (Simon) 16.095
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-200); Over


Game 923-924: Cleveland at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 13.990; Minnesota (Pavano) 14.067
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120); Under


Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 13.328; Kansas City (Chen) 15.935
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Over


Game 927-928: Detroit at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.748; Oakland (Moscoso) 15.764
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-175); Under


Game 929-930: Texas at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 15.853; Seattle (Hernandez) 16.277
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-110); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Sitxth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 4-3 +2.10%

3% ARIZONA +3.5
3% TAMPA BAY +3 Must get at least +3
3% CLEVELAND -2
3% NEW ENGLAND -6.5
3% CINCINNATI +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

RICK NEEDHAM

Packers (-10.5) at Panthers Sept. 18, 1:00, FOX

Cam Newton was impressive in his debut as the starting quarterback of the Carolina Panthers, but it still ended in a bittersweet defeat in the opener. Now the rookie will try and lead the Panthers past the defending Super Bowl Champion Green Bay Packers for his first professional victory, when the Packers travel to Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte for a week two NFC clash. Newton, the former Heisman Trophy winner and No. 1 overall pick in last year’s NFL draft, threw for 422 yards and two scores in his NFL debut but the Panthers still wound up short in the Arizona desert, 28-21. But after performing better than most people expected, including poise and a knowledge of the playbook he has yet to show in his short stint as a pro, Newton and the Panthers are looking for a big splash like the kind of one an upset over the Packers in his home debut would create. GB picked up right where they left off last February in their season opening, 42-34, victory over the New Orleans Saints, with Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense looking nearly unstoppable. But before we crown them back-to-back champs there are plenty of flaws on defense for the Packers to work on, and the offense sputtered a little in the second half and nearly let the Saints back into the game, so don’t expect the Pack to be gracious guests in Bank of America Stadium on Sunday.
The oddsmakers in Las Vegas aren’t giving the Panthers much of a chance to spring an upset in this game, setting the opening point spread with the Packers as 10-point favorites on the road. So far the bettors going to the window agree, since there is enough early money coming in on Green Bay that it has moved the number up to 10.5-points at some of the offshore sportsbooks on the Web. The over/under total opened at 45.5 and has seen a bunch of early line movement in both directions, dropping as low as 45 at a few sportsbooks and as high as 46.5 at a few more, so shop around if you want to move the total a full point in your direction. Offensively the Panthers had a lot of bright spots despite the loss in the opener. They did tally 26 first downs, nearly twice as many as the Cardinals in the game. They also welcomed Steve Smith back to being relevant, as the veteran receiver “broke loose” for 178 yards and two touchdowns. But the Packers best defense is its offense, which looked in post-season form in the opener. After racing out to a 28-17 halftime lead the Packers offense did lose focus in the third quarter a little, but that may have been due to the blitzing style of the Saints defense, something Carolina might try and copy this weekend. The Panthers defense will try and contain Rodgers better than they contained Kevin Kolb of Arizona last week. Kolb was effective (309 yards, 2 TD) due to the fact he was not pressured very much (2 sacks), something the must get on Rodgers or he will pick them apart with his crew of receivers on the perimeter. It’s been a few years since these two have met on the gridiron, with the Panthers winning the last time they met in 2008 in a 35-31 shootout. The Packers outgained the Panthers 448-to-298 in the game, but they just couldn’t contain DeAngelo Williams who had four touchdown runs in the contest.

All told the Packers hold the edge in the series, winning six of the last 10 games straight up, while holding a slim 5-3-1 ATS advantage at the window for bettors. The over has been profitable of late too, cashing in for the last three games and in six of the last 10 as well (over is 6-3-1 since 1997). The Packers do seem to like Charlotte though, as they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six visits to play in Carolina. The Packers are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite as well, giving bettors plenty of trends to follow if they so choose. The under wager is also a trend play this week, going 9-2 in the Packers last 11 games on the road and 4-0-1 in the last five games the Panthers were 10-point underdogs. In fact, the Panthers have gone under in 35 of their last 52 home games, a nearly 70 percent clip for those of you scoring at home (67.3%).

BOTTOM LINE DEPARTMENT: Double digit home dog and a team that played well on the road last week? Gimme those points! I'll TAKE THE PANTHERS to beat the spread!

[Mr. IWS]

Don Wallace Sports

(217) DALLAS (-3, un45.5)
(218) SAN FRANCISCO (+3, ov45.5)
Sunday, September 18th, 2011, 3:05 PM CST
Take: (217) DALLAS
Analysis: Establishing the run may be a formidable task for San Francisco this week, as Dallas was able to shut down the Jets' usually strong ground game last Sunday. The Cowboys gave up a mere 45 rushing yards on 16 attempts for the night, with second-year linebacker Sean Lee leading the charge with an exceptional 11 tackle game. Lee also came up with a key second-half interception of New York quarterback Mark Sanchez that led to a Cowboys' touchdown, while sack specialist DeMarcus Ware once again ignited the team's pass rush by taking Sanchez to the turf two times. Dallas generated four sacks overall in the loss, but a depleted secondary was still torched for 315 net passing yards and a pair of touchdowns. The Cowboys will be going into Sunday's clash short-handed in the backfield as well, with cornerbacks Terence Newman (groin) and Orlando Scandrick (ankle) almost certain to sit out and top cover man Mike Jenkins fighting through a shoulder sprain. Dallas signed journeyman Frank Walker on Tuesday to add some much-needed depth, with converted safety Alan Ball slated to start opposite Jenkins this week. This is a dangerous game for the Cowboys, especially with San Francisco at home full of confidence from both last week's win and the new attitude Harbaugh has instilled. However, San Francisco remain a major work in progress on the offensive end, and although Dallas is banged up in the secondary, the defense is certainly good enough to keep Gore under wraps and take its offense out of its comfort zone. The numbers certainly dont favor Dallas in this one, 9-15 ATS last 23 on the highway. 3-9 ATS last 12 as road chalk. Nonetheless, you can throw all the technicals out, the Cowboys simply have too many weapons to be completely held in check, and San Francisco's is not built to win a game that suddenly turns out to be something of a shootout. DALLAS 31 SAN FRANCISCO 17

[Mr. IWS]

Totals 4U Yesterday 3-6

Top Plays
No/Chic OVER 47
Ariz/Wash UNDER 44
GB/Carl UNDER 45-
Phil/ATL UNDER 49

Regular Plays
Jax/NYJ UNDER 39
Balt/Tenn OVER 37-
TB/Minn UNDER 41-
Clev/Indy UNDER 39-
Dall/SF UNDER 42
Hous/Mia OVER 48
Sd/NE OVER 53-

[Mr. IWS]

Platinum Plays Yesterday 9-3

Premier Picks
Balt Ravens
Denver

500K Play
Det Lions

400K
Atl Falcons

Regular Plays
Saints
Redskins
GB
TB Bucs
Dallas
Texans
NE

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 41 bet. Cincinnati and Denver

[Mr. IWS]

Hank Goldberg - ESPN
Saints
Chargers
Eagles
Skins
Steelers

[Mr. IWS]

Joe D

20* Buffalo -3

15* Tampa Bay +3

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial Club

5* top play Baltimore Over

MLB best bet St Louis

[Mr. IWS]

Allen Eastman Football

Take #200 Detroit (-8) over Kansas City
Take #207 Baltimore (-5.5) over Tennessee
Take #217 Dallas (-3) over San Francisco
Take #202 New York Jets (-9) over Jacksonville
Take #211 Green Bay (-9).5 over Carolina

[Mr. IWS]

APPLE HANDICAPPERS (James-Red-Hot Dotson)

4* Baltimore Ravens-6

[Mr. IWS]

Prediction Machine
60% Plays

Baltimore -6
Houston -3
Green bay -10
New York Jets -9.5
New York Giants -4.5

[timbob]

Maddux Sports
Sunday September 18th
#198 - NFL - Chicago & New Orleans Under 47.5
#199 - NFL - Kansas City +8
#200 - NFL - Kansas City & Detroit Under 45
#203 - NFL - Oakland & Buffalo Over 42.5
#213 - NFL - Tampa Bay +3

[timbob]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - 9/18

4* Best Bet = Bears
3* = "Over" on Cleve./Indy
3* = "Under" on Packers/Carolina
2* = Cincinnati
2* = Tampa Bay

[timbob]

Billy Coleman

NFL
4* NO -6.5

3* Indy + 2
3* S.Diego + 7
3* Dallas -3


Bases
4* T.Bay w/Price -140

3* Florida w/Hand +115
3* Cleve-Minn under 8.5 ( Masterson/Pavano)

WNBA
4* Minn-SA under 149.5

3* U.Conn +5.5

[timbob]

Chip Chirimbes

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Detroit Lions
Play: Kansas City Chiefs +9

I have a number of close friends (believe it or not) in this business and many of them actually 'love' the Chiefs here. Some insist that Kansas City will win the game on the field. I of course being more conservative will be happy with a point-spread victory. The Chiefs have only one way to go having failed to win a pre-season game and getting pounded at home by Buffalo has many thinking it will a long year for Kansas City. They fumbled the opening kickoff and turned the ball over three more times. Teams improve that most from week One to week Two and the Chiefs should cover. Take KANSAS CITY!

[timbob]

Info Plays

7* Miami Dolphins +3

[timbob]

Al DeMarco

15 dime - Cowboys

5 dimes - Steelers

[timbob]

Joe Wiz PAID plays:

BIG GAME: KC +9 (6 units)

TB Bucs +3 (buying half) 3 units

Colts +2 (3 units)

Seattle +14.5 (5 units)

Titans +6 (2 units)

[timbob]

Derek Mancini
Today's Winner...

40*Dime play on the Oakland Raiders plus*the points against the Buffalo Bills. As I release this selection at*9 am*Eastern, the Raiders are currently listed as a*4 point pup.
*

[timbob]

jeff scott sports

5 unit
buffalo oakland over 42

[timbob]

AL DEMARCO

15 dime - Cowboys
5 dimes - Steelers

15 dime play on Dallas as a road favorite against San Francisco. As I release this selection at 3:30 AM Pacific, the visiting Cowboys are -3 at sportsbooks in Vegas and offshore. This is one of those cases I would absolutely buy down the 1/2 point on Dallas if you get the Pokes at anywhere between -3 and -4 points.

5 dime play on Pittsburgh as a home chalk against Seattle. The Steelers, crushed last week at Baltimore, rebound with the win and cover as a 14-point chalk against visiting Seattle.

In my media appearances last week I said I leaned toward the Cowboys because I thought they were getting too many points (+5 1/2) at New York. Never did I say I thought they could actually win the game; I just said it would be close and competitive.

It's funny how public perception affects the logic behind a win or a loss. As you know, thanks to Tony Romo's two turnovers, Dallas coughed up a 14-point, fourth-quarter lead for the first time in franchise history and ended up losing 27-24.

Over the past week all you heard in the media and in Vegas is how Romo cost the Cowboys the game. Granted, that's the truth, but overlooked in all the static is the fact that Dallas totally outplayed the Jets, whom many feel are destined for the Super Bowl, on the road in a near upset.

The Jets were the public money play, too, in that contest, yet Dallas clearly got the job done despite an injury-riddled secondary and lack of a power ground game. New defensive coordinator Rob Ryan threw multiple schemes and packages at New York, crippling its ground game in the process, holding the Jets to just 45 yards rushing.

Back to public perception: San Francisco opened the Jim Harbaugh with a 33-17 victory over a mediocre-at-best Seattle team at home. But the boxscore will show the Niners blew an early 16-0 lead, which turned into a 19-17 advantage, and needed Ted Ginn's special team heroics to put the game away.

San Fran totally collapsed defensively in the second half. Before intermission the 49ers held Seattle to three first downs and 37 total yards. When they returned to the field the Seahawks moved the ball at will with 15 first downs with Tarvaris Jackson passing for 155 of his yards.

Offensively San Fran was nothing special in its opener. Alex Smith was a conservative 15-for-20 for 124 yards. Frank Gore ran for just 59 yards on 22 carries. The team was 1-for-12 on third down conversions and finished with just 209 total yards and 12 first downs. That type of production will not get the job done against Dallas.

When appointed interim coach last season, Jason Garrett inherited a 1-7 squad and rode the Pokes to a 6-2 close with a huge upset of the Giants in his first game out of the blocks. Now as head coach he's responsible for getting his team over the disappointment of last week's come-from-ahead loss. Cut out of the Jimmy Johnson mode, he's got the leadership skills to do so.

The Cowboys played great ball last week against a superior opponent and lost. The quality of their foe goes down this week, which allows us to capitalize on a pointspread which has been deflated because of public perception. They can ill-afford an 0-2 start.

Final projected score: Dallas 24, San Francisco 19

Don't worry about the two-touchdown spread; Pittsburgh is focused after getting routed at Baltimore last Sunday and the Seahawks will serve as the sacrificial lamb.

Was I on Pittsburgh last week? You better believe it. Their effort and Ben Rothlisberger's performance was pathetic. Yes, the Ravens were at home in payback mode, but there's no excuse for seven turnovers. Big Ben was a big bust, getting sacked four times, throwing three interceptions and fumbling twice.

I can only imagine how hard Mike Tomlin rode his team this week. It's only Week Two, but this is a must-win game and one where the Steelers have to put together an impressive performance, especially defensively after letting Ray Rice run through every hole imaginable and Joe Flacco torch the secondary.

With this being Pittsburgh's only home game in the season's first four weeks I'll ride them and their 9-4 ATS record after playing Baltimore to a blowout of a Seattle squad that looked awful in falling behind 16-0 at San Francisco last week. Now they're faced with traveling cross country to tackle an angry bunch of Steelers in a game that starts at 10 AM Pacific.

The Seahawks are on negative runs of 3-16 ATS on the road and 0-5 as a double-digit dog.

Seattle's offensive line, starting two rookies, allowed five sacks to the Niners. Futher crippling the offense is the continued absence of WR Sidney Rice and the questionable status of OG Robert Gallery. Meanwhile, their special teams were destroyed last week by Ted Ginn and one of their key players on that squad, fullback Michael Robinson, is out today as well.

Small investment on the Steelers, who quickly right their ship with a dominating defensive effort.

Projected final score: Pittsburgh 27, Seattle 7

[timbob]

David Banks

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Atlanta Falcons
Sunday night’s Week 2 battle takes NFL bettors to the dome in Hot’Lanta where the Falcons will look to turn the page on last week’s poor showing in the Windy City and secure its first win of the season against the Philadelphia Eagles; Kick-off from the Georgia Dome will air live on NBC at 8:20 ET.
The penned “Dream Team” got off to a roaring start last Sunday in St. Louis where they cruised to the 31-13 road win as four-point favorites behind the efforts of the new 100 million dollar man otherwise known as Michael Vick. Though he completed just 14-of-32 passes, they went for 187 yards and two TDs. He also picked up another 98 on the ground. In all, the Eagles rushed for an impressive 237 yards at 7.6 yards per carry. Philly got a score from the defense and limited what ended up being a punchless Rams attack to just 335 yards of combined offense. Three sacks were also accrued, but remember this unit looked better than it is due to the Rams losing their best RB and WR in the 1st quarter; it’ll be interesting to see how they look in tonight’s spot.
Last week’s effort at Soldier Field was certainly one that got away from the Falcons; real quick. With the game tied 3-3 and the Falcons forcing a three and out, QB Matt Ryan and the offense looked to take the lead on its third possession of the 1st quarter. That said; MLB Brian Urlacher put a quick halt to that by picking off Matty Ice near midfield. A 56-yard TD jaunt by RB Matt Forte later, and Chicago took a TD lead that it would never relinquish. Coach Mike Smith’s squad looked to be severely outclassed as the Bears looked more fundamentally sound in every facet of the game. Another indicator of just how off the team was came in the form of nine penalties for 65 yards that kept the Falcons behind the chains and right in the hands of the Bears cover 2 scheme.
This will be Vick’s return to Atlanta for the first time since the whole dog fighting scandal went down. He got the best of his former team last season in Philly where the Eagles cruised to the 31-17 home win and cover as short two-point favorites. The win improved the Eagles to 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS versus the Falcons since 2005. They trounced Atlanta 34-7 as four-point road chalk in their last visit to the Georgia Dome back in 2009, and enter this spot 5-2 ATS their L/7 as a road favorite of three points or less. Atlanta counters with a 5-1 ATS tally its L/6 off a SU loss of 2+ TDs, and have gone a remarkable 18-2 straight up and 15-5 ATS at home during the regular season with Matt Ryan leading its charge. The ‘under’ is 6-1-1 in these teams L/8 overall meetings and has played to a perfect 5-0 tally the L/5 times these teams went at it in the ATL.
PICK: PHILADELPHIA/ATLANTA UNDER

[timbob]

David M@linsky

4* Kansas City Royals -106

We’ll go a little shorter on the written details on a busy football morning, but in a series that has been a 24-11 Kansas City blowout to this point, we do not see that momentum changing given the disparate enthusiasm level of the teams. The Royals have out-scored the opposition by 24 runs in winning seven in a row, while for the White Sox it has been an 0-7 implosion in which they have been out-scored by 33. John Danks looks gassed on the hill for Chicago, an 0-3/10.91 over his last three starts in which he has allowed twice as many hits (26) as K’s (13), while Bruce Chen just had his best outing of the season in a shutout of the Twins, with eight K’s vs. only two hits and one W, and brings the personal focus to lower that 4.04 ERA under the 4.00 plateau.

[timbob]

SAFESTWAGERING

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES ATLANTA FALCONS

The Atlanta Falcons
Most handicappers and analysts like The Falcons today because they had
the best record in The NFL last year, and aren't nearly as bad as they looked against
The Bears. And..... they're already desperate. Historically, teams that start out 0-2,
don't usually make it to the playoffs.
There are other things to like about The Falcons. They had some of the better
receivers in the league last year, and now have added Julio Jones. Michael Turner
may be able to run over the Eagle linebackers. His legs look like Earl Campbell's, and
for those who remember, is built like Robert Newhouse.
Lots of big money is on The Falcons.... I'm not so sure.


The Philadelphia Eagles
Matt Ryan is from Philly, but has never beaten The Eagles. His offensive line
was inefficient last week, and he only managed to get off 3 passes for double digit yardage.
The Falcons may have 3 legitimate deep threats, but the Eagles arguably have the best
corners in the league. They've got 4 specialty starters on offense who should make
The Pro Bowl, and have Steve Smith as a backup. All 3 running backs have different styles,
and all 3 could start on other teams. If Vick stays healthy, and the linebackers don't
over-commit, I expect the Eagles to cover.

Take The Philadelphia Eagles -2

[timbob]

TONY LADUKE
4* Minn Vikings-2

[timbob]

MLB
Write-Up


Sunday, September 18

Hot pitchers
-- Greinke is 8-1, 1.93 in his last ten starts.
-- Beachy is 2-0, 3.72 in his last five starts.
-- Myers is 2-0, 1.19 in his last three starts.
-- Cain has a 2.15 RA in his last four starts.
-- Saunders is 3-1, 3.55 in his last four starts.
-- Hamels has a 1.62 RA in his last eight home starts. Carpenter is 1-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts.

-- Weaver is 1-0, 1.20 in his last couple starts.
-- Price has a 2.36 RA in his last four starts.
-- Chen is 6-2, 3.68 in his last eight starts.
-- Verlander is 11-0, 2.73 in his last eleven starts.
-- Hernandez is 3-1, 3.10 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Willis is 0-5, 6.20 in his last seven starts.
-- Gee is 1-2, 6.84 in his last five starts.
-- Hand is 0-4, 6.33 in his last four starts. Wang is 0-1, 4.76 in his last five outings.
-- Dempster is 0-4, 4.91 in his last five starts.
-- Rogers is 0-4,5.91 in his last six starts.
-- Harang is 2-3, 3.48 in his last five starts.
-- Billingsley is 0-1, 7.18 in his last five starts. Lincoln is 0-2, 4.02 in his last three outings.

-- Simon is 0-2, 5.87 in his last four starts.
-- Morrow is 0-4, 10.17 in his last five starts. Garcia has a 14.09 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Wakefield is 1-3, 8.58 in his last five starts.
-- Pavano is 2-3, 5.79 in his last five starts. Masterson is 1-3, 6.12 in his last five outings.
-- Danks is 0-3, 12.06 in his last three starts.
-- Moscoso is 1-2, 4.26 in his last four starts.
-- Harrison is 1-1, 7.33 in his last five starts.

Totals
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Astros' last twelve games.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Hamels starts.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Washington's last twelve home games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Milwaukee's last six road games.
-- Five of last six Beachy starts went over the total.
-- Over is 14-4 in last eighteen games at Coors Field.
-- Over is 9-3 in Harang's last dozen starts.
-- Over is 8-3-2 in Pirates' last thirteen road games.

-- Over is 12-5-1 in Angels' last eighteen road games.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve games at Rogers Centre.
-- Under is 7-2 in Tampa Bay's last nine road games.
-- Six of last eight Chen starts stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Masterson starts went over the total.
-- Over is 8-3-2 in Oakland's last thirteen games.
-- Last six Harrison starts went over the total.

Hot Teams
-- Cardinals won eight of their last ten games. Phillies won ten of last fourteen games.
-- Washington won five of its last seven games, allowing 14 runs.
-- Braves won three of their last four games.
-- Cubs won five of their last six home games.
-- Milwaukee won four of its last five games.
-- Giants won their last seven games, scoring 45 runs.
-- Dodgers won three of their last four games.

-- Orioles won their last four games, scoring 24 runs.
-- Toronto won five of its last seven home games.
-- Tampa Bay won ten of its fourteen games.
-- Royals won their last seven games, allowing 17 runs.
-- Oakland is 11-7 in its last 18 home games. Detroit won 13 of its last 15 games overall.
-- Rangers won five of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Astros lost 20 of their last 25 road games.
-- Florida lost four of its last six games.
-- Mets lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Reds lost 12 of their last 19 games.
-- Rockies lost four of their last five games.
-- Padres lost 17 of their last 22 games. Arizona lost its last three games, scoring a total of three runs.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last nine games.

-- Angels lost four of their last six games.
-- Bronx is 4-6 in its last ten games.
-- Red Sox lost 12 of their last 16 games.
-- White Sox lost their last seven games, allowing 56 runs.
-- Minnesota lost 20 of its last 24 home games. Indians lost eight of last twelve games overall.
-- Mariners lost five of their last seven games.

Umpires
-- Hst-Chi-- Eight of last ten BWelke games stayed under total.
-- StL-Phil-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Darling games.
-- Fla-Wsh-- Over is 8-4 in last twelve Blaser games.
-- NY-Atl-- Favorites won 16 of last 20 McClelland games.
-- Mil-Cin-- Home team won last six Hallion games.
-- SF-Col-- Over is 10-5-1 in last sixteen West games.
-- Az-SD-- Underdogs are 8-3 in last eleven Cederstrom games.
-- Pitt-LA-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Muchinski games.

-- NY-Tor-- Under is 10-5 in last fifteen Iassogna games.
-- Cle-Min-- Seven of last eight Everitt games stayed under total.
-- Det-A's-- Over is 11-3 in last fourteen Dimuro games.
-- LA-Balt-- Home side won five of last six Diaz games.
-- If you're reading this or a site that charges you, you shouldn't be.
-- Chi-KC-- Visitor won ten of last eleven Hernandez games.
-- TB-Bos-- Six of last eight Layne games stayed under the total.
-- Tor-Sea-- Four of last five Bellino games stayed under total.

[timbob]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Sunday

Play Los Angeles Angels (-190) over Baltimore (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 1:30 PM EST

Los Angeles has won 91 of the last 145 day games and they have also won 68 of the last 116 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Jered Weaver has won 20 of the last 26 games as a favorite of -110 or higher and he is 2-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 3.60.

-----------------------------------------------------------------


Play Detroit (-170) over Oakland (Bonus)

Play Milwaukee (-170) over Cincinnati (Bonus)

[timbob]

Vegas Vic/Philadelphia Daily News

*Packers Best Bet
Falcons
Cowboys
Chargers
Giants
Chiefs

[timbob]

Mike Lineback

5* Teaser - Lions & Packers

5* Teaser - Jets & Ravens

4* Redskins

[timbob]

Parlay King 9/18
parlay on Dolphins, 49ers, Panthers and Falcons OVER.

[timbob]

Sports Gambling Hotline 9/18
Free Play on Vikings -1
Twitter Consensus Play on Eagles/Falcons UNDER 49.5
Carolina +11.

[timbob]

Paul Leiner
100* Nationals -135
100* LIons -9
50* Over 53.5 Patriots/Chargers

[timbob]

Injury News

According to NFL Network's Albert Breer, Santonio Holmes (knee/quad, questionable) will "try to give it a go" Sunday in Week 2

According to FOX Sports' John Czarnecki, the Broncos will be without RE Elvis Dumervil (shoulder, questionable) for Week 2

According to Jay Glazer of FOX Sports, Marcedes Lewis (calf, doubtful) will not play Sunday against the Jets

Sports Illustrated's Peter King believes Dez Bryant will be inactive for Week 2

[timbob]

Jeff Benton Sunday's Action
40 Dime Marquee Lock on the New Orleans Saints as the home faverite agaionst the Chicago Bears. The Saints are currently listed as the 6 1/2-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore as I type my analysis for this selection.

10 Dime bonus selection on the Washington Redskins as thehome chalk versus the visitong Arizona Cardinals. The Redskins are priced as the 4-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore as I type my analysis this Sunday morning.

[timbob]

Sports Wagers

KANSAS CITY –104 over Chicago Pinnacle
The White Sox packed it in early last week when they were swept by the Tigers and outscored 26-7. Chicago has lost the first three of this series and they’ve been outscored 24-11. This is a mentally drained intruder that has no interest in anything other than getting this season over with already. The last thing this group wants to do is wake up and go to the ballpark to play some baseball. The pen is completely gassed, the batters are seeing BB’s and nobody really cares anyway. Chicago has lost six in a row and nine of its past 11 games. Meanwhile, the Royals are playing hard and they’re playing to win. They’re in the midst of its longest winning streak of the season, which now stands at seven. K.C. has scored seven runs or more in four straight games and although they don’t have an edge on the hill today, does it really matter? They want to win while the South Side is just going through the motions and thus, it’s a very cheap price on the host. Play: Kansas City –104 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).

[timbob]

Northcoast

Sunday comps....#3 nfl play...PITTSBURGH STEELERS and #9 nfl chalk play...MINNESOTA VIKINGS.

[timbob]

Sunday Comps.
Sebastian-OVER Texans, San Diego(his living dog's comp).
Winner Line-Steelers
OTM-Under Foreskins
Scott Alexander-Bears
Kevin Kennedy-Buffalo

[timbob]

Dom Chambers
Today's winners ... My 60 Dime play is on the Dallas Cowboys against the San Francisco 49ers. At around 1 a.m. in Las Vegas, the Cowboys are a 3-point road favorete. If the line moves to 3', you should considoer buying the half-point. My 20 Dime play is on the Washington Redskins. They are a 3' point home favorite agaiost the Arizona Cardinals.

[timbob]

Stu Feiner

Baltimore -7.

[timbob]

PhD Picks

NFL

Oakland +4
Jacksonville +9
Baltimore -5.5
Indianapolis +2.5
Chicago +6.5
Arizona +3.5
Tampa Bay +1.5
San Francisco +3
Miami +3
Denver -3.5
San Diego +7
Philadelphia -2.5

Buffalo U42.5
New York [J] O38.5
Pittsburgh U40
Detroit O45
Denver U40
New England O53.5

MLB

Chicago [C] -160
Los Angeles [D] -160

[timbob]

sportshandicapperking Nfl Sunday

3 small plays

NFL

Kansas City +9

San Diego +7

Atlanta +2.5

NFL FREEPLAY

Dallas -3

[fsiler]

Does anyone have all of wunderdog's picks? Thanks

[timbob]

Northcoast Sports

3.5* Dallas
3*New Orleans
3* San Diego

[timbob]

Defeat Your Bookie

North Johnson III
3* Dallas -3

Jesus Munsero
3* Detroit -9

Mat Earlson
6* Tampa Bay +3
6* UNDER 48 - Houston / Miami
3* Jacksonville +9
3* Indianapolis Colts +2
1* Suicide pick Baltimore Ravens -6

5* NY Giants -6

Johnny Palumbo
5* Kansas City +9
3* Seattle Seahawks +14.5

[timbob]

RICHIE CARRERA

Dallas -3 over SAN FRANCISCO 25 Dimes
Green Bay -10 over CAROLINA 25 Dimes
Houston -3 over MIAMI 10 Dimes

[timbob]

Chase Diamond (ksp)

30 Dimes Carolina Panthers +10

[timbob]

JOHN CHANG

---Start Time 1:00 PM EST---
Baltimore Ravens -6 over TENNESSEE TITANS, 10 dimes
DETROIT LIONS -7.5 over Kansas City Chiefs, 10 dimes

---Start Time 2:15 PM EST---
KANSAS CITY ROYALS (-110, action) over Chicago White Sox, 5 dimes

---Start Time 4:15 PM EST---
San Diego Chargers/NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS over 53.5, 10 dimes

[timbob]

RANDY BRUCE

5* Raiders +4
5* Ravens -5.5
5* Eagles -2.5

[timbob]

JACK HOWARD

Philadelphia -2.5 Over Atlanta 10 Dimes

The Eagles are the most dangerous team in the NFL... including Green Bay. Last week, they put up 236 yards on the ground, with Vick accounting for 98, and McCoy 122. I expect the Eagles to continue their dominance on the ground, and also establish a solid aerial attack as Atlanta allowed 312 passing yards from Jay Cutler last week.
Prediction: 31-24 Eagles

[bballfiend]

Steve budinss 25 dime Baltimore Crew pick?

[timbob]

Prophet

Mariners over

Steelers over
Cowboys over
Packers over
7 point teaser with all 3 totals

[timbob]

Paul Kramer

3 UNITS Denver -3
3 UNITS Dallas -2.5
5 UNITS Ravens -5.5
5 UNITS Eagles -2.5

[timbob]

Keith Landers

3 UNITS Bears +7

2 UNITS 1st half parlay
Bears +4
Atlanta +1

5 UNITS 4 team teaser (+12.5 @ EVEN)
Bears +20
Baltimore + 6.5
Green Bay +2
Pitt -1.5

[timbob]

Steve budinss 25 dime Baltimore Crew pick?

I we see it we will post it

[timbob]

Does anyone have all of wunderdog's picks? Thanks

If we see them we will post them

[timbob]

JIMMY BOYD


5* GOM SD Chargers +7

4* DALLAS COWBOYS -3
3* ATLANTA FALCONS +3

3* ST LOUIS CARDINALS ML

[timbob]

Cleveland Insider

NFL

2* Cleveland Browns ML-130
1* Carolina Panthers +13.5 (buy 3)

3* system
'11 3-0
'07-'10 99-0

[timbob]

owad

THE OWAD
SEAHAWKS +14

3* NFL BEST BET
JAGUARS +9

3* NFL BEST BET
PANTHERS +10

[timbob]

Cleveland Insider

WNBA

2* Connecticut Sun +8.5 (buy 3 points)

3* system
'08-'10 44-0

[timbob]

Anthony Roberts Sports

5-2 Yesterday

Steelers -14
Buccaneers +2.5
Raiders +4
Cowboys -3
Broncos -3.5
Eagles -1.5

[timbob]

A Bettor World
7-3 ATS Yesterday

NFL Sides (2-1 LW):
Chicago +6.5
Dallas -3
Houston -3
Kansas City +9

Totals (0-0 LW)
Was/Arz Under 44
Jax/NYJ Under 39
TB/Min Under 41.5
Cle/Ind Under 39.5
Cin/Den Under 40

7-Point 3TM Teaser (W 6pt-3tm L 6pt 2t LW)
Green Bay -3
Baltimore +1
New England even

[timbob]

Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk"

"Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB Regular Season

Ben lee lost on Thursday with the Dodgers -$165/Pirates and had Np on Friday or Saturday.

For Sunday "Mr Chalk" likes the Royals -$105/White Sox.

This is as close to a dog that your going to get from "Mr Chalk".

"Mr Chalk" is 95-60 -$297 for the 2011 MLB regular season.

[timbob]

VaS

YTD Best Bets: 3-1

3% Buffalo -4
3% Dallas -3
2% Kansas City +9
2% Denver -3
2% Houston -3
2% Tampa Bay +3

[timbob]

OC DOOLEY

“1 UNIT” NFL SYSTEM (Dolphins +3 at home versus Texans in a 4:15 eastern kickoff): Something has to give late this afternoon as Houston has lost six consecutive games on the road while Miami is on a disastrous 1-10 slide in front of their home fans, so TAKING the generous points is a high percentage wager. It is easy to see why the Texans despite their road woes have been cast as a favorite as they let out years of frustration against a bitter divisional rival by destroying Indianapolis last week by a whopping 34-7 count. Meanwhile the entire country got to see Miami’s defense get shredded for a franchise-high 622 yards in a Monday Night loss to Tom Brady and New England. But despite the loss Miami’s reconfigured offense managed to gain a healthy 488 yards while new running back acquisition Reggie Bush caught 9 passes out of the backfield. What is strange about the Monday result is that the Dolphins strength coming into this campaign was supposed to be a defense led by linebacker Cameron Wake who is fast emerging as a pass-rushing superstar. The Miami cornerback tandem of Vontae Davis and Sean Smith are entering their 3rd professional season as the experience factor is increasing. One would think that the entire Dolphins roster will be interested in this laste afternoon REVENGE affair as they have now lost 5 consecutive battles to a Texans star-studded roster that is slowly starting to get national attention. Houston is in a classic “look ahead” spot as they will tackle a pair of quality opponents (Saints, Steelers) in the next two weeks. Here is an approaching 70-PERCENT SYSTEM (60-28 past five years) which plays AGAINST road teams like Houston after a double-digit margin of victory, against an opponent just involved in an extremely high scoring affair where at least 50 points were put on the scoreboard. That system favors Miami who has the advantage of staying at home base even though on a short preparation week following that Monday Night appearance

[timbob]

MATT FARRGO

NFL TRIPLE PLAY
8* Colt
8* Redskin
8* Kansas City

[timbob]

HP Sports Monitor-

Inside Vegas 9/18

Rotation: 927
Pick: TIGERS
Line: -175
Units:

Rotation: 207
Pick: RAVENS
Line: -6
Units:

Rotation: 213
Pick: BUCS
Line: +3
Units:

The Boston Group 9/18
Published by hrc staff

Rotation: 220
Pick: DOLPHINS
Line: +3
Units:

Rotation: 225
Pick: EAGELS
Line: -2
Units:

The Consensus 9/18
Published by hrc staff

Rotation: 207
Pick: OVER
Line: 37.5
Units:

Rotation: 211
Pick: PACKERS
Line: -10
Units:

Nealwilsonsports 9/18
Published by portland7

Rotation: 202
Pick: jets
Line: -9.5
Units:

This post was submitted by portland7.

Nealwilsonsports 9/18
Published by portland7

Rotation: 927
Pick: detroit
Line: -170
Units:

This post was submitted by portland7.

Guss Johnson 9/18
Published by hrc staff

Rotation: 200
Pick: LIONS
Line: -8
Units:

Rotation: 209
Pick: SEAHAWKS
Line: +10.5
Units:

Black Widow 9/18
Published by hrc staff

Rotation: 207
Pick: RAVENS
Line: -6
Units:

Rotation: 215
Pick: BROWNS
Line: -2
Units:

Your Lock 9/18
Published by hrc staff

Rotation: 198
Pick: SAINTS
Line: -6.5
Units:

Rotation: 197
Pick: OVER
Line: 47
Units:

Bookie Blitz 9/18
Published by Bookie Blitz

Rotation: 198
Pick: Saints
Line: -6.5
Units:

Rotation: 208
Pick: Titans
Line: +5.5
Units:

Rotation: 204
Pick: Buffalo
Line: -3.5
Units:

Rotation: 218
Pick: 49ers
Line: +3
Units:

Rotation: 220
Pick: Dolphins
Line: +3
Units:

[timbob]

Sean Michaels

100 Dime 6pt Teaser
Green Bay & New England

[Mr. IWS]

Steve budinss 25 dime Baltimore Crew pick?

BUDIN - BUFFALO BIlls

[Mr. IWS]

Does anyone have all of wunderdog's picks? Thanks

Wunderdog


Chicago +7
Tampa Bay +3
Oakland +3.5
Jacksonville +9 and UNDER 39.5
Seattle +14
Cleveland -2
Tennessee +6 and UNDER 38
Cincinnati +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist

Pro Blowout Game of the Month
Steelers

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Stevens

20* GB
20* Eagles

[Mr. IWS]

Cowtown

triple play Cowboys

[Mr. IWS]

Free Silver Key Pick for Sunday NFL Football

Under 54 Total Points, San Diego at NEW ENGLAND

[Mr. IWS]

Johnny D

7 Pt teaser
75 Dimes GB & Pitt

40 Dimes on Dallas
20 Dimes Houston

[Mr. IWS]

Goodfella

3* Atlanta
2* Buffalo
1* Washington

[Mr. IWS]

Lines2win


2-4 yesterday (-5.46 Units) as NCAAF road test weekend wasn't too good
to us. NFL is 3-2 (+3.16 Units) and we are hoping to get all those
losses back.

Packers Over 45.5 (2 Units) - GB brings its high powered offense to Carolina. A high total which has come down a bit despite 90% of the public being on the over. Carolina has shown they can move the ball. They will put up a few scores and should cover the 45.5 easily.

Raiders +4 (2 Units) - The Raiders are one of the most underrated teams
in the league. A strong defense despite the loss of Asomugha and a
powerful run attack. Buffalo proved they can hang in there but we
definately think the Raiders will stay within the cover and possibly
win outright.

Cowboys -3 (3 Units) We are huge 49er fans but the way the Cowboys
played last week impressed us. They played the Jets tight all the way
and were able to find holes in quite possibly the leagues best
defensive unit. San Fran is no match for 0-1 Cowboy team.

Eagles -2.5 (3 Units) Mike Vick makes his humbling return to where it
all started. Despite what he may say, this Eagles squad is far and
away the 2nd best team in the league. The Falcons played very badly and
hope to avoid and 0-2 start but home field will not help against these
Eagles.

[Mr. IWS]

Killer Sports

30 dime Carolina

[Mr. IWS]

Outlaw Sports

Buffalo -4
Miami +3

[Mr. IWS]

box slayer
2* falcons
1* titans
1* browns
1* 1st H Saints
1* Bucs
1* over hou/mia
1* redskins

[Mr. IWS]

Jen Barry

100* Must Win NFL Game of the Year #2

Denver Broncos -3.5 over Cincy

[Mr. IWS]

GREAT LAKES SPORTS

NFL
4* (216) Indianapolis Colts 1:00est
3* (224) Denver Broncos 4:15est
3* (226) Atlanta Falcons 8:25est


MLB
4* (911) Arizona Diamondbacks (with Saunders) 4:05est
3* (920) Boston Red Sox (with Wakefield) 1:35est
3* (924) Minnesota Twins (with Pavano) 2:10est

[Mr. IWS]

Fargo
10* Chargers
10* Falcons

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits

NFL

Bears +6 -110
Bears +3.5 -105 (First Half)
Bears +240 ML
Jaguars +9 -105
Packers/Panthers UNDER 45 -105
Buccaneers +115 ML
49ers +2 -110 (First Half)
Seahawks +14 -110

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers 500 - Greenbay

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe

3* KC Royals -110

[Mr. IWS]

tys terrific tips for SUNDAY
Saints-5
ravens-6
yankees ml
texans-3
cowboys-3


play of the day....eagles -2.5

[fsiler]

Thanks!

[Mr. IWS]

Hsw
5*Bills

3 team parlay: Bills, Jets & Dallas

[timbob]

STEVE BUDIN

BALTIMORE CREW
25 DIMES Under-Priced Favorite of the Year
BUFFALO BILLS

[timbob]

JLB4422

1:05 PM-PICK #1:
FREE PICK:**NFL** GOLD DIGGER! (5 Units)
*FREE PREVIEW* CHICAGO BEARS +7.5 (Bought 1/2 Point) (-120)

1:03PM PICK #2:
**NFL** (5 Unit) GOLD DIGGER!
*MEMBERS PICK* KC CHIEFS +10 (Bought 1 Point) (-130)

1:03PM PICK #3:
**NFL** (8 Units) HAMMER!
*MEMBERS PICK* NY JETS / JAGUARS OVER 38 (Bought 1/2 Point) (-120)

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel

20 under n.o. saints
10 chiefs

[timbob]

SPORTS UNLIMITED
7 HOUSTON
5 arizona
5 chicago

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Bobby Felton

Game Day Plays

3 * COLTS +2
3 * TITANS +6 1/2
2 * FALCONS +2 1/2

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ER Sports

15 over bills
10 redskins
10 cowboys
10 chargers

10 under twins

[timbob]

Teddy Covers

20 bucs
10 under bills
10 bengals
10 redskins

10 kc royals

[timbob]

Fairway Jay

15 over Bills
10 cowboys
10 chargers
10 redskins

[timbob]

Mike Hook

3* Tenn Titans

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Kelso
50 UNIT* NFL* DALLAS COWBOYS -3
25 UNIT* NFL* SD CHARGERS +7
10 UNIT* NFL* ATLANTA FALCONS +1.5
5 UNIT* NFL* TAMPA BAY RAYS +2
5 UNIT* NFL* GB PACKERS -10
25 UNIT* MLB* SF GIANTS -155 ML
15 UNIT* MLB* WASHINGTON NATIONALS -130 ML
10 UNIT* MLB* KC ROYALS -105 ML

[timbob]

Power Play Wins

Today's Power Plays of The Day are

Our money management plan is very simple:
We play each Power Play at equal unit value.



Sport: NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers(-14) Over
Seattle Seahawks

Game time: 10:00:00 AM (PST)




Sport: NFL

New Orleans Saints(-6.5) Over
Chicago Bears

Game time: 10:00:00 AM (PST)




Sport: NFL

Dallas Cowboys vs.
San Francisco 49ers
Over 42


Game time: 1:00:00 PM (PST)

[timbob]

VikingSportsPlays

4 UNIT PLAY
KC/Detroit OVER 45


3 UNIT PLAYS
Bears +6' (+7 -120)
Jaguars +9
Jags/Jets OVER 39'
Ravens -5'
Seahawks +14
Bengals +3'

[timbob]

Sean Higgs

Free Play LIONS
Just Another WINNING day on Saturday as we go 5-2 Cashing our Top 10* on West Virginia, Dog-Outright.. Plus Best Bet WINNERS on Colorado, Oklahoma and Miami. Also hit Florida. We lost on Virginia Tech and Fla State Over.. Always the Truth Win or Lose! ... Sunday NFL is headlined with my Top Rated 10* Money-Bomb $ Time to take your opinion to your yard, dig a hole, and bury it! Mr. Money is going to turn your sports book into a CASH Pinata!!
Your FREE MONEY this after is going to be on the DETROIT LIONS. I will buy into the Lions here at home. This is a big number, but KC looks to be reeling. Clearly Matt Cassel misses Charlie Weiss. You would think it wouldn't be that difficult to hand off to the leagues best rushing attack last year. But defense is another concern when you let the Bills come in and drop a 41 spot on you at home. Lions are starting to believe in their coach, and each other. Plenty of rising stars on both sides of the ball. Get your FREE MONEY on the LIONS $$$ Higgs

4* STEELERS -14
Taking the STEELERS here. Officially my 'sucker Sunday play. I am pretty sure every person in the world feels the same way here. How can Pitt look any worse than it did last week? Offense, defense. Terrible. Now, as bad as that performance was, we can chalk that up to the Ravens having that game circled since getting bounced in the playoffs. Lots of frustration taking out on the field there. Lets flip to Seattle, and this team is just not a good football team right now. Forget about what the Steeler defense will be like in its home opener, foaming at the mouth. Big Ben will look to redeem himself on offense. The Seahawks also had special teams problems allowing b2b TD to the 49ers. The final piece of the puzzle is the long travel. Now, most of you know that we don't play that many faves in the NFL. To be laying 2 TDs is unheard of. That being said, this looks to be a 'perfect storm' scenerio unfolding. I will add 1 more cliche in 'this line can't go high enough' to get people to bite on Seattle. Still, would hate to leave money on the table. Small Play.. 4* PITTSBURGH STEELERS

4* UNDER JETS 40
Going UNDER the total here in New Jersey. Jets got their Christmas gift early last week. They had no right winning that game. The offense looked terrible, and the defense was vulnerable till Dez Bryant got hurt, like right after his TD in the first what, 2 minutes of the game. Make no mistake, there is no Dez Bryant here on Jacksonville. This team is all about pounding it out with Maurice Jones Drew. MJD is the key to the Jags offense. Still, after Sunday nights miserable outing, Rex Ryan will have his defense fired up. No need for a look ahead here, as Jax beat the Jets here last year. Jaguars showed me nothing last week. I had the Titans ML over them. Even if the Jets get to 21, which I really can't see happening. That would mean the Jaguars would need to score 20 to force this over. Not a chance that happens. My scenerios play out to a 23-9 type game. 4* UNDER Jags/Jets

4* COLTS +2.5
Taking the COLTS here. Am I living in bizarro world? Are you kidding me with the Browns being favored here? Colts were utterly embarressed last week vs the Texans. Do we really think Indy is coming home to be beat by the Browns? The same Browns who lost at home to the Bengals. You remember them right, the worse team in the league this year, at least all August. Kerry Collins isn't Manning, but with another week of practice, he won't be a fumble machine here at home. Colts defense led by Mathis and Feeney will be attacking McCoy all afternoon. Will gladly take the home dog Colts. 4* INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

5* OVER 49ers 41.5
Going OVER the total in San Francisco. Both these teams scored pretty easy last week. Frisco vs a terrible Seattle team and the Cowboys vs a tough Jets defense. That being said, both offense can look bad. Niners got 2 special teams TDs, Dallas got 'Playoff' Romo who choked with an INT to Revis to basically kill a comeback. Sidenote, as I don't understand why people are bashing Romo, the special teams actually blew the game and the momentum. Cowboys still have a good RB attack. Witten is a great TE and Ausin and Bryant are a pair of stud WRs. Dez is banged up, but should start. Alex Smith is still running the show for San Fran. I really don't think it matters as the Cowboys secondary looks terrible and is banged up with Newman and Scandrick out and ******* hobbled. Prediction, there will be at least 1 special teams TD and 1 defense TD. Witten will catch a TD pass. Felix Jones will break a TD for 40+. 5* OVER Cowboys/49ers

4* BRONCOS -3
Taking the BRONCOS here. Yes we had the Raiders ML last week vs this bunch. You turn the ball over 3 times, it is tough to win. This just looks like a great spot here. Cincy is suppose to be the worse team in the league, but they come out with a road win over the Browns. I am pretty sure John Fox will have something special in-store for the rookie QB. If Denver didn't look so pathetic trying to run the ball last week, I would really have played this game as a top 10*. Call me crazy! 4* DENVER BRONCOS

10* FALCONS +3
Taking the FALCONS here. Yes, Michael Vick is the story here returning to the team that drafted him. Yes Philly is 3-0 SU vs ATL the last 3 meetings. But before we give the Eagles the Lombardi Trophy can we play week 2. Falcons did nothing right in week 1 vs the Bears. They are suppose to be a Super Bowl contender. Do you really think they are coming out flat here in their home opener vs Vick and be staring at an 0-2 start? Falcons play great at home as the are 20-3 SU with Matt Ryan QBing them their last 23 games. Falcons are 12-3 SU and 13-2 ATS playing at home off a loss under HC Mike Smith. This is a great spot for ATL. Eagles have a tough division game on deck vs the Giants. Maybe they are reading their own press clippings. Eagles still have new faces that need to gel. Beating a young Rams team on the road is 1 thing. Beating a legit Super Bowl team in what will sure be a rowdy dome, is another. 10* ATLANTA FALCONS

[timbob]

Harry Bondi:

4 Units Saints
3 Units Broncos
3 Units Falcons

Free Under 41.5 Tampa Bay/Minnesota

[timbob]

The Boss

1000% godfather Seattle
500% untouchable Buffalo
300% bookie buster parlay Seattle Buffalo Dallas
200% dog pound San Diego
100% silent assassins Green Bay Baltimore Atlanta

[timbob]

Al DeMarco
Sunday
15 dime play on Dallas as a road favortte against San Francisco. As I release this selection at 3:30 AM Pacific, the visitiang Cowboys are -3 at sportsbooks in Vegas and offshore. This is one of those cases I would absolutnly buy down the 1/2 point on Dallas if you get the Pokes at anywhere between -3 and -4 points.

5 dime play on Pittsburgh as a home chalk against Seattle. The Steelers, crushed last week at Baltimore, rebound with the win and cover as a 14-point chalk against visiting Seattle.



In my media appearances last week I said I leaned toward the Cowboys because I thought they were getting too many points (+5 1/2) at New York. Never did I say I thought they could actually win the game; I just said it would be close and competitive.



It's funny how public perception affects the logic behind a win or a loss. As you know, thanks to Tony Romo's two turnovers, Dallas coughed up a 14-point, fourth-quarter lead for the first time in franchise history and ended up losing 27-24.



Over the past week all you heard in the media and in Vegas is how Romo cost the Cowboys the game. Granted, that's the truth, but overlooked in all the static is the fact that Dallas totally outplayed the Jets, whom many feel are destined for the Super Bowl, on the road in a near upset.



The Jets were the public money play, too, in that contest, yet Dallas clearly got the job done despite an injury-riddled secondtry and lack of a power ground game. New defensive coordinator Rob Ryan threw multiple schemes and packages at New York, crippling its ground game in the process, holding the Jets to just 45 yards rushing.



Back to public perception: San Francisco opened the Jim Harbaugh with a 33-17 victory over a mediocre-at-best Seattle team at home. But the boxscore will show the Niners blew an early 16-0 lead, which turned into a 19-17 advantage, and needed Ted Ginn's special team heroics to put the game away.



San Fran totally collapsed defensively in the second half. Before intermission the 49ers held Seattle to three first downs and 37 total yards. When they returned to the field the Seahawks moved the ball at will with 15 first downs with Tarvaris Jackson passing for 155 of his yards.



Offensively San Fran was nothing special in its opener. Alex Smith was a conservative 15-for-20 for 124 yards. Frank Gore ran for just 59 yards on 22 carries. The team was 1-for-12 on third down convearsions and finished with just 209 total yards and 12 first downs. That type of production will not get the job done against Dallas.



When appointed interim coach last season, Jason Garrett inherited a 1-7 squad and rode the Pokes to a 6-2 close with a huge upset of the Giants in his first game out of the blocks. Now as head coach he's responsible for getting his team over the disappointment of last week's come-from-ahead loss. Cut out of the Jimmy Johnson mode, he's got the leadership skills to do so.



The Cowboys played great ball last week against a superior opponent and lost. The quality of their foe goes down this week, which allows us to capitalize on a pointspread which has been deflated because of public perception. They can ill-afford an 0-2 start.



Final projected score: Dallas 24, San Francisco 19










Don't worry about the two-touchdown spread; Pittsburgh is focused after getting routed at Baltimore last Sunday and the Seahawks will serve as the sacrificial lamb.





Was I on Pittsburgh last week? You better believe it. Their effort and Ben Rothlisberger's performance was pathetic. Yes, the Ravens were at home in payback mode, but there's no excuse for seven turnovers. Big Ben was a big bust, getting sacked four times, throwing three interceptions and fumbling twice.





I can only imagine how hard Mike Tomlin rode his team this week. It's only Week Two, but this is a must-win game and one where the Steelers have to put together an impressive performance, especially defensively after letting Ray Rice run through every hole imaginable and Joe Flacco torch the secondary.





With this being Pittsburgh's only home game in the season's first four weeks I'll ride them and their 9-4 ATS record after playing Baltimore to a blowout of a Seattle squad that looked awful in falling behind 16-0 at San Francisco last week. Now they're faced with travelnng cross country to tackle an angry bunch of Steelers in a game that starts at 10 AM Pacific.





The Seahawks are on negative runs of 3-16 ATS on the road and 0-5 as a double-digit dog.





Seattle's offensive line, starting two rookies, allowed five sacks to the Niners. Futher crippling the offense is the continued absence of WR Sidney Rice and the questionable status of OG Robert Gallery. Meanwhile, their special teams were destroyed last week by Ted Ginn and one of their key players on that squad, fullback Michael Robinson, is out today as well.





Small investment on the Steelers, who quickly right their ship with a dominating defensive effort.





Projected final score: Pittsburgh 27, Seattle 7






Today's Note

Following Friday's 15 dime winner on the Giants in a 9-1 win at Colorado and Saturday's 15 dimer on Oklahoma State (-14) in a 59-33 road blowout at Tulsa, my overall record is 72-53-1 over the past 86 days.





Anthony Redd
Sunday's Card
75 Dime selection on the Jaguars as the road dog agatnst the NY Jets. As this play is releaased at 5 am Pacific, the Jaguars are currnntly getting between +9 to +10 points depending on where you shop.
Chuck O'Brien
Sunday's Play...
Your 40 Dime winnerr for today is on the Minnesota Vikings agatnst Tampa Bay in their home opener. As I go live with this selectaion at 7:00 a.m. pacific, the Vikings are a solid -3 point favorite in both Las Vegas and Offshore sports books. WIth the line being a field goal I think this is a wise time to buy to buy insurance, insurnng we get the half-point cover just in case the Vikings only win by a field goal.

BREAKDOWN: The Vikings were supposed to lose last week at San Diego, right? After all, Norv Turner's team was trying to start the season on a positive note for once. Phillip Rivers had a full compliment of healthy wide receivers available. The defense was ranked No. 1 in the league last year. With all that being said, why was everyone so down on Minnesota?

Okay, Donovan McNabb struggled, to say the least, in his Viking debut, completing just 7-of-15 passes for 39 yards. But see my reference to the San Diego defense above.

Minnesota got outgained on the stat sheet last Sunday, but it was the Vikings that enjoyed the 17-7 halftime lead. Yes, they couldn't maintain the advantage, but again, were they supposed to? There was a reason they were a nine-point underdog in the first place.

Now the Vikings are back at home against a Tampa team that laid an egg last Sunday at home versus Detroit. The final score of 27-20 was more indicative of how poorly the Lions played than how bad the Bucs were. Their defense couldn't get any pressure on Matthew Stafford. It allowed the Lions to roll for 431 yards.

Offensively, the Bucs couldn't run the ball as LaGarrett Blount managed just 15 yards at home on five carries. QB Josh Freeman managed 259 yards passing, but needed to put it up 43 times.

I think Blount rebounds today, but I'm not expecting much more out of Freeman.

As for the Vikings, I think McNabb takes advantage of that soft Tampa pass rush and young defense in his home debut for Minnesota. Throw in a dash of Adrian Peterson who ran for a hard 96 yards on just 16 carries against San Diego's defense, and I believe the Vikes break into the win column first among these two teams with a 28-20 triumph, ending the Bucs' 9-1 ATS road run.


Derek Mancini
Today's Winner...
40 Dime play on the Oakland Raiders plus the points agatnst the Buffalo Bills. As I release this selecation at 9 am Eastern, the Raiders are currnntly listed as a 4 point pup.



Bills are getting a lot of love from the media and public alike, but I'm not so quick to pat them on the back. Guys, before you go shelling out your kids college fund on Buffalo today, we need to discuss a few key points in this matchup.



First, was the Bills rout of the Chiefs in Week 1 due to their improvtment OR the Chiefs incredible regression. Clearly I believe the latter, in that, the Chiefs defese was awful and completely incapable of applying an ounce of pressure. This inability to rush the passer allowed Fitzpatrick to sit back and pick apart their secondary. All that being said, Oakland has a far superior pass rush to the Chiefs and it'll show today.



Second, look for Darren McFadden to light up the Bills overrated front seven. Although the Chiefs did not accumualate a ton of rushing yards in Week 1, their still posted whopping 7 yards per carry between Charles and Mccluster. McFadden is scary good and looks poised for a monster year this season.



Not only are the Raiders 9-4 ATS over their L13 overall, but a solid 7-3 ATS in their L10 games as a dog. Bottom line, both teams are playing well, but the Bills are getting far too much credit for their win against a struggling Chiefs team. Look for Buffalo to get exposed agannst a much-improved Raiders club today at home. Take Oakland plus the points over Bufffalo Sunday.

Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...
My 60 Dime play is on the Dallas Cowboys against the San Francisco 49ers. At around 1 a.m. in Las Vegas, the Cowboys are a 3-point road favortte. If the line moves to 3', you should considaer buying the half-point. My 20 Dime play is on the Washington Redskins. They are a 3' point home favorite against the Arizona Cardinals.


GAME ANALYSIS:






Dallas at San Francisco: The Cowboys had the New York Jets on the ropes until quarterback Tony Romo made a couple of mistakes that cost the Cowboys. But that still does not deter that the Cowboys were playing good game until that point.



The Cowboys only gave up 45 yards rushing, but they did give up 315 yards passing. The question is can 49ers quarterback Alex Smith be the focal point of the offense. It’s not what the Niners are trying to achieve.



At running back, the Niners need to have a prodtctive Frank Gore and that will be difficult. Gore rushed for 78 total yards against Seattle. The Cowboys held the Jets at bay and should have an easier time with the Niners.



Last week, the points from the Niners came from the special teams. The Niners needed two special teams plays to pull away from the hapless Seattle Seahawks. They will probably not get such scores against the Cowboys.



The Cowboys have more talent on offense and defense. With Miles Austin, Dez Bryant and Jason Witten, the Cowboys have enough weapons to pull away from San Francisco.



Arizona at Washington: The Cardinals secondary was torched by rookie Cam Newton for 422. That speaks about Newton’s ability, but also the problaems with the Cardinals secondary. There are plenty as the Panthers have one real weapons, Steve Smith, and he was able to get open.



The Redskins came out and solidly beat the New York Giants and look like they are coming out of the gates fast.



Rex Grossman had an outstandnng day for the Redskins as he hooked up with his tight ed for 105 yards and Santana Moss for 76 yards. Grossman threw for 332 yards against a pretty good Giants defense.



Look for Grossman to have similar numbers, if not better ones as the Cardinals allowed 477 total yards to the Panthers.



Kevin Kolb threw for 300 yards and two touchdowns and had similar numbers to Grossman, but the level of competition is the difference here. The Panthers will be one of the worst teams, while the Giants will vie for playoff spot.



The edge in talent goes to the Redskins and being home will be a big edge in this game.

Jeff Benton
Sunday's Action
40 Dime Marquee Lock on the New Orleans Saints as the home favtrite agaianst the Chicago Bears. The Saints are currently listed as the 6 1/2-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore as I type my analysis for this selection.

10 Dime bonus selection on the Washington Redskins as thehome chalk versus the visitnng Arizona Cardinals. The Redskins are priced as the 4-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore as I type my analysis this Sunday morning.


ANALYSIS # 1

Not going to wiite "War and Peace" here on my Saints write up, as this one really boils down to the fact New Orleans aquitted themselves well in their 42-34 loss at Green Bay on the opening Thursday night of the season. It was a game they had a shot at winning outright had they converted the untimed play at the end of regtlation. No doubt in my mind that back at home with a few extra days to prepare for a good Chicago team, the Saints will be ready to rumble.

Chicago is in a tough spot today, as they are coming off of that conafidence-boosting blowout of Atlanta, and do have a home date with the Green Bay Packers on deck. All of the "sense of urgnecy" rests with the 0-1 home team as they look to even their mark on the season. Playing off a loss last year, the Saints were able to cover three of four during the regular season, and a few tweaks on the defensive end today will have them upping that mark to four of five after a regular season loss.

Cannot discount the hammer-job the Bears laid down on the Falcons last week, but also know that Chicago allowed four sacks to Jay Cutler in that contest, and I am not so sure the Bears' offensive line is going to keep Cutler upright in this game enough to keep the Bears inside of the impost.

Take New Orleans minus the points in their home opener.

ANALYSIS # 2

No one is talking about Mike Shanahan, but the reality of a 2-0 start for the Redskins is big, and it is real!

Washington opened with a 28-14 upset win over divinion-rival New York last Sunday at home, and now they get to face an Arizona team that didn't exactly look great in their 28-21 win over the Carolina Panthers, as they allowed rookie quarterback Cam Newton to go ballistic on them for over 400 yards passing.

Arizona was a major money-burner last season in the role of road underdog, as they went just 1-6 when catching points away from home in the dog role last season. I don't see things changing today, as Washington gets the comfort of a second straight home game, and their revamped 3-4 defense gets the challenge of stopping a quarterback who is making just his second career start in a Cardinals uniform.

Kevin Kolb may prove to be the answer to the Redbirds QB position, but I don't like him on the road this afternoon against a team that appears to be a little better than advertised. This is a game that Washington has to win before they travel to Dallas before next week's Monday night division showdown.
Matt Rivers
Sunday's Selection ...
Your winner is: 500,000♦ Absolute Rout is the Green Bay Packers as the double-digit road favtrite as they visait the Carolina Panthers. As I type my analysis on Saturday night, the Packers are listnd as the 10-point favorite pretty much across the board.



Well, I hate to be obvious today, but I have no other choice as I am smelling a big time blowout in Charlotte this aftertoon. The Packers have had some extra time to take a look at what it is they will need to do to defeat Cam Newton and his over 400-passing yards in his Panthers debut last week in a loss at Arizona.



The Packers had a hard time stopping New Orleans on that opening Thursday, but New Orleans is a team that has "arrived". The same cannot be said for the Panthers who will take some lumps this year under new head coach Ron Rivera. Last year the Panthers were just 2-6 against the spread at Bank of America Stadium, and a similar line would be no surprise this season.



Green Bay is just a juggernaut on offense, and there is no way in the world Carolina is going to be able to trade points with this team for the full four quaarters. No way at all! The Packers are on a 12-7 run their last 19 when listed as the road favorite, and there is no doubt that they will be able to pull away from the home team in this one, and take it by the required double-digits.



With extra rest, and extra motivatnon on the defensive side of the ball, Green Bay will take this one by at least 17-points.



Lay it all day long here!

Steven Budin CEO
Sunday's Pick


The Baltimore crew has its 25 Dime play on Buffalo as the home favortte against Oakland. As I release this selecation at 11:30 PM Eastern on Saturday night, I see where Buffalo is a solid -4 ponnt chalk at the majority of sportsbooks in Vegas or offshore. There are still a couple of 3 1/2's out there, but if this line is anywhere between -3 1/2 and -4 1/2 I strongly suggest you purchase a bit of insurance to lower Buffalo's price by one-half point.








Note from Stevo






Seven straight football winners, including a 5-0 start in college football, this season with the latest winner courtesy of the Philly Crew, who are 4-for-4 with their selections - all of which I've brought you - with the latest bring their Revenge Game of the Year on Saturday night when Miami of Florida (-2') dominated Ohio State 24-3.




The second Sunday of the NFL season means it's time to turn once more to the Baltimore Crew, who have been No. 1 in pro football the past three years, going 27-12-1 overall (you can find their complete record on my homepage) with a net profit of 660 dimes.



They kicked off the 2011 campaign by winning their 4th Straight Opening Game of the Year play last Sunday with Detroit (+1) outright at Tampa Bay 27-20.



As I made clear at the top of this page, I am NOT a handicapper. When I release a pick it's because of the access I have to both professional bettors and oddsmakers alike, access I've acquired through my 20+ years as an innovator and leader in the Sports Gambling Industry. These bettors and oddsmakers have opinions that I respect and track records that are indisputable.





Trace Adams
Sunday's Selections ...
For Sunday in the NFL, 1500♦ Dead Mortal Lock on the Redkins as the home favtrite over the Cardinals. I also have a bonus 500♦ Best Bet on the Minnesota Vikings as the home chalk agaianst the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers.



I don't think we are quite ready to pencil the Redskins into this year's Super Bowl, but they do look vastly improved from last season, and they come into this week's game wiith a full head of steam after an opentng week home win over division rival New York Giants in the underdog role. Have to believe that the 'Skins will imrpove to 2-0 with the home win and cover in this spot over an Arizona team that allowed a rookie quarterback to throw for over 400 yards in their win last Sunday at home over Carolina.



The Arizona defense was sieve-like against Cam Newton, and while Rex Grossman may not have the raw talent of Newton, Grossman looks to be effectaive in Mike Shanahan's offensive scheme, as they are protecting Grossman's weaknesses just fine thus far.



Kevin Kolb still has a way to go in his first season as the starter in the Redbirds attack, and I think he will find things tricky against the Jim Haslett led 3-4 defense that Washington is now getting used to in their second season in the scheme.



Arizona went just 1-6 in the road undnrdog role last year, and I expect that mark to hit 1-7 after today's setback.



Bonus selection goes on the Vikings. I gotta tell you, I know Donovan McNabb and his 39-total yards passing last Sunday were the talk of the recap shows, but the fact of the matter is the Vikes had a real chance at winning against a San Diego team many feel will be playing deep into the playoffs this season. The game also happened to be in San Diego!



Home opener for a Minny team that did not get to play their last pair of home games on the schedule a season ago at home due to the roof collapsing. You can bet the home faithful will be making some noise, and you can bet that the "conservative" game plan Minnesota employed last weekend will be tweaked in this one.



The Bucs are a very young team, and it looks to me like the lock-out this summer really affected them, as they did not look so hot last week at home against the Lions. I know Tampa went 6-2 straight up, and 7-0 against the spread as a road dog last season, but those numbers just don't happen in this league the next season unless you are a "special" team, and the Buccaneers are not ready just yet to be placed in that "special" category.



I am backing Minnesota to make the adjustments needed to win and cover their home opener.