9-26-11

[timbob]

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[Mr. IWS]

Pointwise Phones

3* Redskins

[Mr. IWS]

DCI

Monday, September 26, 2011
DALLAS 27, Washington 20

[Mr. IWS]

Doc Sports

3 Dallas

[Mr. IWS]

NFL Week 3

Redskins (2-0) @ Cowboys (1-1) - Romo showed major guts in leading comeback win last week with busted rib/punctured lung, now he faces rival Redskins in Dallas home opener. Since 2004, Dallas is 4-12-1 vs spread as home favorite in divisional games. Cowboys won four of last five in series, with three of four wins by 4 or less points. Redskins lost four of last five visits to this site, with only one loss by more than five points. Four of last five series totals were 24 or less. Dallas is 9-12 in last 21 games as home favorites; they’re 9-7 in games following a win. Redskin defense allowed only 4-19 conversions on 3rd down, as Washington won field position in both wins, by 7-8 yards; they’ve got seven sacks and had defensive TD that put them ahead against Giants. Since 1988, Week 3 home favorites who played on road first two weeks are 15-33 vs spread; Week 3 road underdogs who played first two games at home are 34-22-1. One-dimensional Cowboys have 753 passing yards, only 109 on the ground.

[Mr. IWS]

Redskins at Cowboys: What Bettors Need to Know

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (-5.5, 45.5)

THE STORY: Tony Romo shouldn't be feeling confident enough to book a reservation in the penthouse suite yet, but at least he's out of the outhouse as the Dallas Cowboys prepare for their home opener against bitter division rival Washington on Monday night. Romo returned from a fractured rib and tiny tear in his lung to rally the Cowboys to a 27-24 overtime win at San Francisco last week. The performance helped blot out the memory of two killer turnovers in a season-opening loss to the New York Jets. The unbeaten Redskins are the surprise leaders in the NFC East but are venturing on the road for the first time.

ABOUT THE REDSKINS (2-0): Washington erased an eight-point deficit in the final 5 ½ minutes to overcome Arizona 22-21 last week for its first 2-0 start since the 2007 season. Rex Grossman, who brashly predicted Washington is the team to beat in the NFC East, had thrown for 596 yards and four touchdowns. Tim Hightower and rookie Roy Helu combined to rush for 170 yards on 30 carries as the Redskins held the ball for 38 ½ minutes. TE Fred Davis has averaged 17.4 yards on 11 receptions. Defensively, safety LaRon Landry (hamstring) is expected to make his season debut for Washington, which has registered seven sacks.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (1-1): Romo came off the bench to ignite a fourth-quarter rally that prevented a second straight 0-2 start. He has thrown for 342 and 345 yards in the first two games. Romo did not practice Thursday but was fitted for a protective vest Wednesday. If he plays, Romo could be without his top two receivers. Miles Austin (hamstring), who caught three TD passes last week, has already been ruled out and Dez Bryant (thigh) is questionable. In addition, RB Felix Jones has a separated shoulder. The Cowboys top the NFL in sacks with 10, led by league leader DeMarcus Ware’s 4.0.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Cowboys own an NFL-high 42 wins on Monday Night Football, but they have split 14 meetings with Washington, which is seeking its first 3-0 start since the 2007 season.

2. Romo holds a franchise record with a TD pass in 20 straight games for Dallas, which has lost both its home openers since Cowboys Stadium opened in 2009.

3. “I want to get a chance to put my helmet on whatever’s hurt. Romo’s ribs – I’m going to be asking for some corner blitzes. If I know Felix Jones’ shoulder’s hurt. … I’m definitely going to try to hit him up high. If you know something’s wrong with an opponent, you’re going to try to target in on that. We’re going to try to definitely get as many hats on that team as possible.” – Redskins CB DeAngelo Hall on attacking Dallas’ injured players.

TRENDS:

The Redskins are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games overall and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 roadies.

The Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with winning records and 7-2-1 in their last 10 games overall.

The under is 7-2 in the Redskins' last nine games overall while the over is 9-0 in the Cowboys' last nine home games.

LINE MOVEMENT

Most books kept this game off the board because of the uncertain status of Dallas QB Tony Romo. Vegas and offshore sportsbook (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2Flatest-promo%2F%3Fcmpid%3D1560_1308)s started opening the line over the weekend as it became more apparent Romo would play. The MGM/Mirage has Dallas as a 5.5-point favorite while the Hilton lists the home side as 6.5-point chalk. The total is between 45.5 and 46.

PREDICTION: Cowboys 27, Redskins 17. Even with all the injuries, the Cowboys should be able to move the ball and outscore Washington.

[Mr. IWS]

MNF - Redskins at Cowboys
By Kevin Rogers

The NFC East usually sees plenty of storylines week in and week out, but it was turned up this week with Tony Romo and Michael Vick's injuries. Romo is expected to start on Monday night when the 1-1 Cowboys host the 2-0 Redskins, as the quarterback looks to capitalize on the dramatic comeback victory at San Francisco last Sunday.

The roles flipped around in the span of seven days after Jason Garrett's club blew a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter of a Week 1 loss to the Jets, as the Cowboys rallied from a 10-point deficit at Candlestick Park. Romo suffered bruised ribs and a punctured lung, but led Dallas on two scoring drives to force overtime, while connecting on a key 77-yard pass to Jesse Holley to set up the winning field goal. The Cowboys pushed as three-point favorites, bailing out Dallas backers when it looked like all hope with lost with Romo's injury.

Washington has turned into one of the league's early surprises after being picked by many to finish in the cellar of the NFC East. The Redskins are 2-0 following home victories over the Giants and Cardinals, capped off by overcoming a late 21-13 deficit in a 22-21 triumph against Arizona. Mike Shanahan's team failed to cover as four-point favorites, as the Redskins' offense ranks 11th in the league through two weeks by posting 393.5 yards/game (Dallas ranks fourth at 431 yards/game).

Past Romo's internal injuries, the Cowboys are dealing with the bumps and bruises of running back Felix Jones (shoulder) and wide receiver Dez Bryant (quad). Both Jones and Bryant are expected to play on Monday night, as the former Oklahoma State standout missed last week's win at San Francisco. Miles Austin is unlikely to play for the Cowboys with a hamstring injury, as the receiver hauled in nine passes for 143 yards and three touchdowns against the 49ers.

The Redskins covered two of three road games against division foes in Shanahan's first season as head coach, including a 33-30 loss at Dallas as 9 ½-point 'dogs. Washington compiled a 5-2 ATS record when receiving points on the road last season, while going 9-3-1 ATS since 2009 as an away 'dog.

Dallas isn't exactly the best team to back as a home favorite, putting together a 1-5 ATS mark last season, including 0-3 ATS record with Romo under center. The offense clicked in those three losses to the Bears, Titans, and Giants in 2010, but the defense was shredded by allowing an average of 34 ppg. The 'over' hit in all eight games at Cowboys Stadium, while cashing in 14 of the last 15 overall since Week 4 of last season.

America's Team is just 1-5 ATS since 2006 under the Monday night lights, including a 41-35 home loss to the Giants last season as 3½-point favorites. That defeat sent Dallas to 1-5 as Romo's season ended with a broken collarbone in the first half. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in this stretch against NFC East opponents, while facing Washington on Monday night for the first time since 2005. That loss still stings Cowboys fans after blowing a late 13-0 lead in a 14-13 setback to the rival Redskins as six-point favorites.

Washington's record against division foes on Monday night isn't any better with three double-digit defeats over the previous two seasons, including an embarrassing 59-28 whitewashing by the Eagles in 2010. The last time the Redskins were victorious on Monday night was in 2007 as Washington won at Philadelphia, 20-12 as seven-point underdogs.

The Cowboys are listed between 4½ and 5-point favorites, as the line will stabilize once the status of Romo, Jones, and Bryant becomes clearer. The total is set at 45 ½ as the game will kick off at 8:30 PM EST from Cowboys Stadium and will be televised nationally on ESPN .

[Mr. IWS]

DOUBLE DRAGON NFL

REDSKINS +4 at cowboys

[Mr. IWS]

BANG THE BOOK

Monday's Best NFL Bet

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (-5.5, 45.5)

Monday Night Football betting action heads to Arlington this week for the home opener for the Dallas Cowboys against their hated rivals, the Washington Redskins.

Could the Skins really end up moving to 3-0 in this game? There’s a distinct possibility of that happening, and if that’s the case, playoff fever will be striking our nation’s capitol in a heartbeat. Washington hasn’t played the prettiest football in the world to start off the year, and wins against the Arizona Cardinals and New York Giants isn’t the most impressive slate ever either, but wins are wins in this league. This is the first time that QB Rex Grossman is going to be starting on the road this year though, and it really could be a difficult start against a Dallas team that is surely going to be bringing a whole heck of a lot of pressure off of the edge with multiple man blitzes at all times. Still, Grossman has played well this year, throwing for 596 yards and four TDs against two picks for a rock solid 90.6 QB rating. That added to the running game with RB Tim Hightower and rookie RB Roy Helu, who is looking to get more and more playing time as the season wears on, is a formula that just might work for Head Coach Mike Shanahan.

betonline (http://www.betonline.com/).comThe injury bug has bitten the Cowboys and bitten them hard. QB Tony Romo is probably the most notable injury to watch over the course of the next several days, as he has a punctured lung and a broken rib. Whether he decides to go or not this week is going to be up to him and his pain tolerance level from the sound of it, but it also sounds like this is a situation that won’t totally be settled until game time. QB Stephen McGee was picked back up this week and will be put on the active roster after the Cowboys only used two quarterbacks last week. On top of all of that, WR Miles Austin, fresh off of a three TD game against the San Francisco 49ers, has a hamstring injury that will keep him out for the next three weeks, while WR Dez Bryant is still up in the air with his thigh injury. RB Felix Jones had to come out of last week’s game with a shoulder injury, but he has improved throughout the week and is expected to give it a go. Dallas has to pick up its intensity defensively, as both the Niners and the New York Jets were able to score points in bunches against this season. As the season progresses though, expect to see better things, as DC Rob Ryan is going to get the best possible out of this unit.

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys Pick: The Hilton has opened this game at Dallas -6.5, presumably assuming that Romo is going to play. The game is off the board everywhere else. That being said, the underdog is 21-6 ATS in the last 27 meetings in this series, and though we wouldn’t be shocked to see Dallas win this game, even if it was QB Jon Kitna calling the shots, we do think that Washington makes this one very, very entertaining the whole way.

PICK: Washington +6.5

[Mr. IWS]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Detroit Tigers Tune Up For Playoffs Vs Indians
By Evan Abrams


Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers (-140, 8)

The Detroit Tigers open up their final home series of the regular season Monday evening against the second-place Cleveland Indians. The game is scheduled to start at 7:05 p.m. (ET) from Comerica Park.

The Tigers have defeated the Indians seven straight times and nine of their last 12 going into this series Monday.

Starting for Cleveland will be the ace of the pitching staff, Ubaldo Jimenez (10-12, 4.52 overall and 4-3, 4.62 with Indians). The Indians are 5-5 in Ubaldo’s 10 starts since being traded from the Colorado Rockies at the end of July.

Jimenez has faced the Tigers three times as a Cleveland Indian and once as a member of the Rockies this season. Ubaldo is 2-2 in those four starts, with his most recent road start versus the Tigers being his worst start of the season by far (3 1/3 IP, 9 H, 8 ER, 3 BB, 4 K).

Ubaldo is winless in three starts in his career at Comerica Park, allowing 15 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings with a WHIP of over two.

The Tigers' 3-4-5 hitters – Delmon Young, Miguel Cabrera and Victor Martinez – are hitting a combined .404 career batting average (17-for-42) versus Jimenez.

Pitching for the Tigers in this American League Central series will be recently acquired right-handed starter Doug Fister (10-13, 2.94 overall and 7-1, 2.02 with Tigers). Fister was traded from the Seattle Mariners right before the trade deadline at the end of July.

Fister has won four consecutive starts dating back to September 1 and has not lost a start since August 14 at Baltimore. The Tigers have won eight of the 10 games in which Fister has started for them.

Fister has allowed only five walks and struck out a total of 48 batters in his last 62 1/3 innings pitched since the beginning of August.

Cleveland shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera is questionable for Monday’s game versus the Tigers. Cabrera left Saturday’s game with a right elbow contusion. The Indians also lost outfielder Trevor Crowe for the remainder of the season just two days ago. Crowe left the September 24th game against the Twins with a shoulder strain.

The ‘over’ is 3-0 in Ubaldo’s last three starts overall, while the ‘under’ is 5-1 in Fister’s last six starts.

Monday’s weather forecast in the Motor City shows a high probability of scattered thunderstorms and an evening temperature in the low-50s.

[Mr. IWS]

Monday's Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

Doug Fister, Detroit Tigers (10-13, 2.94 ERA)

Fister will be the team’s No. 2 starter in the playoffs and he deserves the spot behind Verlander. Since coming over from the Mariners, Fister is 6-1 with a 2.12 ERA in 59 1/3 innings. Despite a fastball that tops out in the high 80s, the righty has 46 strikeouts in 50 1/3 innings with the Tigers.

"I've never thrown hard," Fister told reporters. "When I have tried to focus on getting strikeouts, it doesn't work for me. So I still take the mentality that I'm going to try to make them hit it, and hopefully, the right contact comes out of it."

Jaime Garcia, St. Louis Cardinals (13-7, 3.45 ERA)

The Cardinals have won each of Garcia’s last four starts and he hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in any of those outings. All four runs the Mets scored with him on the hill last week were unearned and he also struck out five batters over 7 2/3 innings.

SLUMPING

Kevin Slowey, Minnesota Twins (0-7, 6.54 ERA)

Kevin Slowey had a no-hitter going into the sixth inning in his last outing, doing his best to pick up his first win of the season. Then everything fell apart again. He gave up five runs before getting the hook after 6/23 innings and has now allowed 16 runs over his last three starts.

"I think every win is important, not just for me, but for this team," Slowey told reporters. "I'm not going out there and trying to make sure that I get a win so much as we need to win games in here."

Chris Schwinden, New York Mets (0-2, 5.06 ERA)

The Mets have lost all three of Schwinden’s starts this season, but he is giving them a shot every time he climbs the hill. The rookie looked to be in good shape to pick up his first MLB win when he hit the showers with a 4-3 lead over the Cardinals. After allowed three runs over six innings, the bullpen blew it by allowing three more in the seventh.

[Mr. IWS]

HOT LINES

Monday’s Best MLB Bets

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers (-140, 8)

The Detroit Tigers are still eying home field advantage in the playoffs and are keeping their foot on the gas heading down the stretch.

They hammered out four home runs in Sunday’s 10-6 win over Baltimore that saw Miguel Cabrera hit his 29th homer of the season and go 2-for-3 at the dish. Detroit’s slugger now leads the AL with a .341 batting average, just ahead of Boston’s Adrian Gonzalez, who went 0-for-4 Sunday afternoon.

However, Cabrera left the game after seven innings with what the team described as “light-headedness.” As of now, it’s uncertain whether he’ll miss any time, but the club may give him a day off with the way the offense is going lately.

Detroit is averaging 8.4 runs during its current five-game winning streak and the Tigers have won 20 of their last 26 home games against Cleveland.

PICK: Detroit


Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels (-130, 7)

C.J. Wilson will be Texas’ starting pitcher when the club plays its first postseason game, but first he’ll have a tune-up start Monday.
Don’t expect him to stumble before the finish line.

"Last year, we all experienced the circus atmosphere of the playoffs," Wilson told reporters. "There is a lot of flexibility and weird stuff happening. You have to stay in your own little bubble, stay as regular as possible and not make a big deal out of it."

Wilson isn’t making a big deal of his recent blister issues either. He had one pop on the middle finger of his pitching hand in his last start, but says he has learned to deal with blister problems. The lefty has allowed just five combined runs over his last five starts.

PICK: Texas

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Texans (+4) Sunday.

Monday it's the Cowboys. The correct deficit is 2606 sirignanos.

[Mr. IWS]

Hondo

Hondo's sweep dream ended quickly yesterday when the pathetic Pats failed miserably in Buffalo. However, he rallied in the later tilts with the more cooperative Packers and Saints to slash the dreaded dirty digits to 2,155 kilmers.

Tonight, it's Hail to the Redskins in Dallas and Fail to the Red Sawx in Baltimore -- 20 units apiece.

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Monday

Marlins -140

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

724- 532 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one for Mon Over 45 Skins/Cowboys

[Mr. IWS]

Today's MLB Picks

Colorado at San Francisco

The Giants look to take advantage of a Colorado team that is 1-5 in Jhoulys Chacin's last 6 road starts. San Francisco is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-125). Here are all of today's picks.


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 26
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Cincinnati at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.264; NY Mets (Schwinden) 15.391
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+100); Under


Game 903-904: Washington at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Milone) 15.894; Florida (Sanchez) 14.305
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+115); Over


Game 905-906: Philadelphia at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 14.554; Atlanta (Delgado) 15.750
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 907-908: St. Louis at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 15.392; Houston (Rodriguez) 13.397
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-155); Under


Game 909-910: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.085; Milwaukee (Marcum) 15.897
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-195); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-195); Over


Game 911-912: LA Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Eveland) 17.504; Arizona (Hudson) 16.432
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+150); Under


Game 913-914: Chicago Cubs at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Coleman) 16.579; San Diego (Latos) 15.551
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-175); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+155); Under


Game 915-916: Colorado at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 14.236; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.032
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-125); Over


Game 917-918: Boston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 15.684; Baltimore (Hunter) 14.550
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-220); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-220); Under


Game 919-920: Cleveland at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 14.451; Detroit (Fister) 16.438
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-140); Over


Game 921-922: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Noesi) 15.477; Tampa Bay (Shields) 16.109
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 923-924: Toronto at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (McGowan) 15.206; White Sox (Axelrod) 14.279
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 925-926: Kansas City at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Paulino) 15.032; Minnesota (Slowey) 13.819
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Under


Game 927-928: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Wilson) 16.306; LA Angels (Haren) 16.959
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-130); Over


Game 929-930: Oakland at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (McCarthy) 15.015; Seattle (Vargas) 15.479
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+105); Over

[Mr. IWS]

Today's NFL Picks



MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 26
Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (9/22)


Game 425-426: Washington at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 131.548; Dallas 135.330
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 4; 40
Vegas Line: Dallas by 6 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6 1/2); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Cappers Access

Cowboys
Royals

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 7 runs Angels/Texas

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Cardinals -155 over Astros

[Mr. IWS]

sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Cardinals -155 over Astros

[Mr. IWS]

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Cowboys -3 over Redskins

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Monday

Play San Diego (-175) over Chicago Cubs (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 10:00 PM EST

Chicago has lost 23 of the last 27 road games as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have also lost 66 of the last 116 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers. Casey Coleman is 0-1 vs. San Diego over his career with an ERA of 6.24 and he is 3-8 in all starts this season with an ERA of 6.64.

-----------------------------------------------------------------


Play Arizona (-170) over Los Angeles Dodgers (Bonus)

Play Milwaukee (-200) over Pittsburgh (Bonus)

[Mr. IWS]

PLAYERSINSIDER-MIKE JACOBS
1500 DIME* NFL* Washington Redskins +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

JIMMY BOYD
5* NFL* MNF BEST BET* Dallas Cowboys

[Mr. IWS]

MLB PREDICTIONS

2* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves - UNDER 7 RUNS (+105)
(Note: I'm risking 2 units to win 2.10 units)
Short write up today because I've got a new home inspection to go to here in a few minutes. Cliff Lee is on the mound for the Phillies. Not much needs to be said about Lee, but he is 16-8 on the season with a 2.38 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and .229 opponents batting average. Randall Delgado will make his 7th start tonight. He is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and .214 opponents batting average. Note the UNDER is 14-4 in the Phillies last 18, 6-2 in their last 8 road games, and 13-4 in their last 17 as a favorite. The UNDER is 5-0 in Lee's last 5 road starts and 4-1 in his last 4 overall. The UNDER is also 7-1 in Lee's last 8 starts with 5 days rest. The UNDER is 4-1 in the Braves last 5 overall, 4-0 in their last 4 as an underdog, and 5-0-1 in Delgado's 6 starts. Ryan Howard is doubtful Monday which is just a bonus here. Expect runs to be hard to come by as the Braves desperately need a win. UNDER 7 runs getting plus money looks like a great 2 unit pick for today.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Washington +3 over DALLAS

We all saw what happened yesterday to Michael Vick and the Eagles. We mention that because Vick’s status all week was in question and the Eagles looked completely out of sorts as soon as the game started. The same situation applies here to Tony Romo and the Boys. Romo’s status was in question up until late yesterday when he was cleared to play. Romo will start but he’s also a hit away from being sidelined. Furthermore, Dallas has more casualties than a Quentin Tarantino movie. The Cowboys are without receiver Miles Austin and could be without receiver Dez Bryant. Running back Felix Jones will play with a shoulder that was dislocated last week, and two of Dallas’ inexperienced linemen are trying to play through knee injuries and they could be without kickoff specialist David Buehler too. Preparing for a game is tough enough. Preparing for a game when you’re not sure who is in and who is out is near impossible and in this league if you’re not fully prepared, trouble is not far behind. The Redskins are 2-0 after beating the Giants handily in week one and following that up with a narrow win over Arizona in week two. Last week’s win was an extremely flattering score to the Cards. The Skins dominated that game too. So, with a healthy team and an even healthier frame of mind, Washington is in a great position to go 3-0. The Cowboys are a dangerous team when they’re healthy, only this week they’re anything but. They’re also an erratic team that finds ways to lose games. The Redskins offense is wickedly underrated, the pass protection has been solid and all in all, this one really sets up nicely for this focused intruder to go into Dallas and beat the team they hate more than any other. Play: Washington +3 +100 (Risking 2 units).

Passing MLB

[Mr. IWS]

Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk"

Ben lee won on Saturday with the Cardnials -$190/Chubs and had Np on Sunday.

For Monday "Mr Chalk" likes the Tigers -$140/Indians.

"Mr Chalk" is 98-63 -$552 for the 2011 MLB regular season.

[Mr. IWS]

Superstarhandicapping

8:10pm (5*) Kansas City Royals -105

8:30pm (5*) Washington Redskins +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

bookiemonsters

on another run

9/26 dal/was under 46

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Angels -120

50* Cardinals -150

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys
NFL Week 3 closes shop on MNF when the Washington Redskins and Dallas Cowboys line it up to partake in yet another one of their historic rivalry match-ups; kick-off from Cowboys Stadium is set for 8:30 ET on ESPN.
The Redskins got out to a tremendous start to their 2011-12 campaign by getting the best of the division rival New York Giants in Week 1. Rex Grossman proved worthy of being head coach Mike Shanahan’s QB1 by completing 62 percent of his passes for 305 yards and a pair of scores without an interception. Though the former Florida Gator tossed for another 291 yards and two more scores last Sunday versus Arizona, Grossman was picked off twice deep in Arizona territory and had a number of passes either swatted or deflected at the line of scrimmage; it was far from being as crisp an effort as was displayed the previous week. Still, it doesn’t matter how you win them as long you do in this league, and the Redskins currently sit atop the NFC East with an unblemished 2-0 SU mark heading into tonight’s MNF showdown. Washington’s tallied just three wins in its L/19 trips to Big D!
The only way to describe Dallas’ Week 1 effort against the Jets would be a complete and utter meltdown by QB Tony Romo. His 4th quarter fumble and interception thrown allowed the Jets to comeback from a 24-10 deficit and pull out the 27-24 come-from-behind win in the closing seconds. Though head coach Jason Garrett’s squad found itself down 24-14 with just over 11 minutes remaining in last week’s game against the 49ers, QB Tony Romo returned from the locker room, broken rib as well as punctured lung and all, and led the Cowboys to 10 straight points to send the game into overtime. He then wasted no time connecting with WR Jesse Holley from 77 yards out to set K Dan Bailey up for the chip shot from 19-yards out to secure the team’s first win of the season. Dallas has lost each of its last two home openers.
This will be the 103rd meeting of this historic NFC East rivalry; Dallas holds a 60-40-2 SU advantage. The home teams prevailed in each of their 2010 meetings, but Washington beat the closing pointspread in both contests. The underdog has cashed an obscene 21 times in these teams L/27 overall meetings with Washington cashing bettors’ tickets in seven of the L/9 overall clashes. Washington has failed to cover each of its L/4 Monday Night Football appearances, while Dallas has also struggled under the Monday night lights going 1-5 ATS its L/6. The ‘under’ is 4-1 the L/5 meetings, but these teams have played to high scorers at a 3-1-1 clip the L/5 with Dallas as the host.
PICK: DALLAS/WASHINGTON OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Prophet

Red sox over
Passed in football and soccer

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG (MLB)
1 OF 4
Game: Philadelphia at Atlanta (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Atlanta +120 (moneyline)

The Atlanta Braves have a slim one-game lead over the St. Louis Cardinals for the wildcard spot in the NL. They will go to battle tonight at home vs. the Phillies with Randall Delgado on the mound. Delgado has made six starts down the stretch for the Braves with an impressive 2.70 ERA and has pitched Atlanta to a 4-2 mark. Cliff Lee has pitched brilliantly down the stretch for the Phillies, but he did lose his last start when he allowed 11 hits in 7+ innings vs. the Nationals. The Phillies have played lethargic baseball after clinching, and have been no-shows on their way to a 1-8 mark in their last nine games. The Braves have been at their best against left-hand pitching where they are 8-1 in their last nine. Atlanta gets the call.

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe

3* STL CARDINALS -135

[Mr. IWS]

DAILY BOBBER

(6 point) Teaser: Cowboys +2.5 & Under 51

[Mr. IWS]

Indian cowboy

4* cardinals under

[Mr. IWS]

NFLBettingpicks
Kevin

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys - COWBOYS -2.5 (-150)

(Note: I'm risking 1.50 units to win 1 unit)

I bought the half point to get Cowboys down to -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Sportshandicapperking

NFL FOOTBALL

3* Washington Redskins +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Handicappster

5* Cowboys -3.5
4* Dal / Wsh UNDER 45

MLB
5* Giants
3* LAA / Tex UNDER 7
2* Mets

[Mr. IWS]

EasyBaseballBetting
Our systems say to go for:

Orioles (+206),
Pirates (+183),
Cardinals (-150),
Phillies (-140),
Twins (+100),
Rangers (+119),
Nationals (+127),
Indians (+129).

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG (NFL)

UNDER 45 - Washington Redskins / Dallas Cowboys

[Mr. IWS]

Miguel Ramirez
Players Insider

NFL Monster Lock #3

Dallas Cowboys -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

spartan | MLB Money Line

dime bet 925 KAN (-107) Hilton (http://www.pregame.com/en/main/sports-betting-lines-odds/) vs 926 MIN

[Mr. IWS]

Line Crusher

3* MNF Washington Redskins +

[Mr. IWS]

Al Demarco: 15 Dime Play on Tampa Bay on the run line at home against New York. Since this is a run line play, both scheduled starters, James Shields for Tampa and Hector Nocsi of the Yankees, are already being specifiled when you place your best. The Rays are at even money at most books laying the 1 1/2 runs.

5 Dime play on the Tigers and Doug Fister as the home favorite against Cleveland and Urbaldo Jimenez. Again, both schedulsd starters should be noted. The Tigers are about -140 in the contest

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd
Monday's Card
75 Dime selection on the Redskins as the road underdog agacnst the Cowboys. As this play is relelased at 6:30 am Pacific, the Redskins are currsntly getting between 3 to 3' points depending on where you shop.

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien
Monday's Play...
Your 10 Dime winner for Monday is on the Washington Redskins agacnst the Dallas Cowboys in this Monday night winner #3 in a row. As I go live with this selectlion, the Redskins are a 3-1/2 point undsrdog everywhere in Las Vegas and at Offshore sports books.

[Mr. IWS]

Derek Mancini
Tonight's Winner...
20 Dime play on the Washington Redskins plus the points agacnst the Dallas Cowboys. As I release this selecltion at 10:30 am Eastern, the Redskins are currsntly listed as between a 3 to 3' point underdog.

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...
My 50 Dime winner is on the underdog Washington Redskins against the Dallas Cowboys. In Las Vegas at around 7 a.m., I am seecng the Redskins getting 3 1/2 polints. But I am also seeing 4 1/2. There is a chance this line could go to 4 across the board. You always want to get the best number when posslible.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
Monday's Action
20 Dime winner for the Monday night game is the undercog Washington Redskins plus the points agalinst the Dallas Cowboys. As I release this winner, Washington is +3 1/2-points both here in Vegas and offshore.

10 Dime bonus selectson is on the Washington-Dallas game to go under the total. As I release this winner to you, the total for the contest is hovering right around 46-points both here in Vegas and offshore.

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers
Monday's Selection ...
Your Monday winner is: 250,000♦ Linemakers Mistake # 2 in a Row on the Washington Redskins as the road uncerdog agalinst the Dallas Cowboys. Currently, the 'Skins are listed as the +3 1/2-point visitsng dog as I type my analysis at 8:30 am eastern Monday morning.

[Mr. IWS]

Steven Budin CEO
Monday's Pick


The New York Crew has a 25 Dime side selectcon on Dallas over Washington tonight. As I release this play at 2:50 PM Eastern, the Cowboys are currenltly sitting at -3 1/2 at the majorsty of sportsbooks in Las Vegas and offshore. My suggestion as a former booker and CEO of the world's largest online sports handicapping community is to buy the half-point down on Dallas if you have the Cowboys anywhere betwen -3 and -4 points in this contest.

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams
Monday's Selection ...
For Monday night, Top-Rated 1000♦ Winner # 3 in a Row happcns to be the underldog Washington Redskins plus the points agaisst the Dallas Cowboys. As I type my analysis, the 'Skins are +3 1/2-point underdogs this Monday morning at 8am eastern.

[Mr. IWS]

MARK FOX

Dallas Cowboys -3

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
Monday comp...early bird play ...VIRGINIA -17

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

Washington +3.5 over DALLAS: Let's start off with a system for this one and then I'll end it with a system. For this first one we Play on any road dogs in week 3 if they were at home during the first two weeks of the year. This system has gone 33-18-2 since 1986, including 2-0 this year (San Fran & Denver). The Cowboys could be missing a lot of offense in this one Top WR Austin is out and RB Felix Jones, WR Dez Bryant and C Phil Costa are lsited as questionable, plus their leader Tony Romo is playing hurt. Last week Tony was courageous in the comeback win vs the Niners, but I just don't see him doing it again. The Skins defense has been tough this year and they rank 11th in yards allowed and that's was vs Giants and Cardinals offenses which do have some pop to them. The Skins have the 5th best yards per point defense in the league at 18.3. Other the Other side the Dallas defense does look solid overall as they are 5th in yards allowed 283 ypg, but their defensive YPP is 11.1, and that is the second worst number in the league. They will take on a Skins offense that has been better than expected as they come in ranked 11th in total offense (393 ypg) and 12th in points scored 25 ppg). I don't see them putting up big numbers tonight, but they will get enough from this side of the ball to outscore a Dallas team that just has too many injuries to overcome right now. The Dog is 21-6 ATS in the last 27 meeting s and the road team is on a 5-1 ATS run, plus we also note that despite leading the league with 42 wins on MNF, the Cowboys are just 7-7 vs the Skins under the Monday night lights, plus Dallas is just 5-10 ATS as a home fav since 1989 on MNF. Now here's that other system... Home teams (DALLAS) - with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are just 7-28 ATS since 1983. The right side in this one is Washington in a low scoring tight affair.


2 UNIT PLAY

Washington/ Dallas Under 45: I nailed all 3 of my Totals plays in the NFL this week and I look for another winner tonight. I just feel that Dallas is missing too much offense in this game to wanna play an up and down the field shootout with the Skins. Tony Romo is hurt and he will be missing top WR Austin and probably Felix Jones and Dez Bryant, so I look for a more conservative game plan by the Cowboys as deep shots down the field would take time and expose Tony to some possible hits. I see them dinking an dunking their wy down the field and that will eat up plenty of clock. The Skins offense has been very good this year but their offensive YPP is still 15.7, which is 17th in the league and they will be facing a Dallas defense that is 5th in yards allowed at 283 ypg, plus they will be getting back CB Terrance Newman, which should help this unit greatly vs the pass. Theses two teams have been involved in some wild ones, but I see this one as tight low scoring game.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
Monday's Action
20 Dime winner for the Monday night game is the underaog Washington Redskins plus the points agaainst the Dallas Cowboys. As I release this winner, Washington is +3 1/2-points both here in Vegas and offshore.





10 Dime bonus selectcon is on the Washington-Dallas game to go under the total. As I release this winner to you, the total for the contest is hovering right around 46-points both here in Vegas and offshore.

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...
My 50 Dime winner is on the underdog Washington Redskins against the Dallas Cowboys. In Las Vegas at around 7 a.m., I am seeang the Redskins getting 3 1/2 poaints. But I am also seeing 4 1/2. There is a chance this line could go to 4 across the board. You always want to get the best number when possaible.

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
2* Dallas
Marquee--Under

[Mr. IWS]

PHD PICKS
MLB
Florida -157
Chicago [W] -132
Arizona -168
Los Angeles [A] -120

[Mr. IWS]

Lines2Win


1-3 Yesterday in NFL (-2.28 Units). No excuses, we picked them and now we must live with them. We look to bounce back and start another streak. Tonight we have 2 games.

Cards -147 (3 Units) - Cardinals in a must win situation tonight as they fight for their playoff lives. The Astros' Rodriguez has pitched well but Garcia is much better 2-0 with a 1.74 era in his last 3 games. The Cardinal offense will step up early and often.

Cowboys -3.5 (2 Units) - We know that everyone is on the Redskins. We also know that when these 2 get together the scoring stays close. The difference maker will be that this is a home opener on MNF and they Cowboys will be fired up. The Redskins beat a mediocre Giants team with no identity in week 1 and subpar Arizona team last week. The Cowboys have faced much better competition. The spread is a bit scary but we are not gonna worry aoout it. Rex Grossman has been good but he will come back to earth and he will lose this game for the Skins. Don't let the Game line reach -4

[Mr. IWS]

The Consensus Pick

Redskins +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

WEST CAPPER

1* Cardinals (-140)
1* Brewers (-200)
1* Tigers (-150)

1* Redskins +4 (-120)

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso
10-UNIT NFC EAST
MONDAY GAME OF THE YEAR
Washington

Syndicate Play
100* Washington / Dallas Under 45

MLB
25 UNIT* MLB* Saint Louis Cardinals -155 ML
15 UNIT* MLB* Detroit Tigers -140 ML
10 UNIT* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies -135 ML

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS UNLIMITED
4 dallas