10-15-11

[timbob]

New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK Edit Post Reply Reply With Quote .

[timbob]

Early Sharp Move on
NCAAF

SMU -2.5

South Florida -7

[timbob]

Northcoast early bird Clemson

[timbob]

THE DAILY BOBBER

Four-game teaser (6 points): Rutgers +2, Florida State -7, Cincinnati -11, Alabama -19.5

Analysis: I’m a much bigger fan of NFL teasers, but with so many college games available, I like to put a little bit of money down on Saturday’s as well. Some people may be nervous about placing a four-game teaser, but for me, it’s low-risk/high-reward. A $35 bet of this nature wins about $98, not a bad rate of return if you can find four games you really like, which I was able to do. For those of you who would much rather split this up and play two two-game teasers (which I also did with Rutgers/Cincy, FSU/Bama), there is nothing wrong with that. Let’s go through these game-by-game: For starters, I am going with 4-1 Rutgers over 2-3 Navy. While Navy is a strong running team, Rutgers is a stronger defensive team, ranking 11th in the nation in terms of points allowed. Also, the Vegas sharps have pushed this line from -2 to -4, meaning we get phenomenal value at +2. Florida State is our next pick, coming off a loss to an underrated Wake Forest team. While the Seminoles are 2-3, they have lost to Oklahoma, Clemson, and Wake, all strong teams. Duke comes off a four point win versus Florida International, and lost by 30 to Stanford in their only test of the season. The Vegas sharps are with me again on this one, as they have bet FSU to -13 from the original line of -10.5. Cincinnati came out at -13, and in just a little over a day, has skyrocketed to -17. The Vegas wise guys have moved this line more than any other game on the docket, and that typically means you’re looking at a winner. Finally, we get more great value with Alabama, a team who has destroyed everyone in their path, both home and away. Last week they beat Vanderbilt by 34, and the week before traveled to Florida and won by 28. Their #1 ranked defense should have no problem against the 92nd offense of Ole Miss, a team who lost to Vanderbilt by 23. Hope to add another victory with this one!

[timbob]

DCI INDEX

Atlantic Coast Conference
Clemson 29, MARYLAND 18
Florida State 30, DUKE 29
Georgia Tech 37, VIRGINIA 22
NORTH CAROLINA 25, Miami (Fla.) 21
Virginia Tech 28, WAKE FOREST 24

Big 12 Conference
MISSOURI 33, Iowa State 19
Oklahoma 65, KANSAS 27
Oklahoma State 44, TEXAS 32
TEXAS A&M 49, Baylor 41
TEXAS TECH 38, Kansas State 37

Big East Conference
CINCINNATI 24, Louisville 17
South Florida 33, CONNECTICUT 18

Big Ten Conference
ILLINOIS 26, Ohio State 23
IOWA 34, Northwestern 20
Michigan vs. MICHIGAN STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PENN STATE 29, Purdue 10
WISCONSIN 55, Indiana 10

Mid-American Conference
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 37, Eastern Michigan 22
Miami (Ohio) 24, KENT STATE 15
OHIO 30, Ball State 25
TEMPLE 31, Buffalo 9
Toledo 42, BOWLING GREEN STATE 27
Western Michigan 37, NORTHERN ILLINOIS 36

Mountain West Conference
Boise State 47, COLORADO STATE 7
WYOMING 36, Unlv 29

Pacific-12 Conference
OREGON 43, Arizona State 29
Stanford 46, WASHINGTON STATE 17
WASHINGTON 42, Colorado 18

Southeastern Conference
Alabama 39, MISSISSIPPI 12
AUBURN 31, Florida 25
Georgia 28, VANDERBILT 12
Lsu 36, TENNESSEE 13
South Carolina 26, MISSISSIPPI STATE 20

Sun Belt Conference
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 39, North Texas 26
TROY 33, Ulm 27
Western Kentucky 27, FLORIDA ATLANTIC 24

Conference USA
East Carolina 39, MEMPHIS 24
MARSHALL 31, Rice 17
SMU 22, Ucf 18
TULSA 45, Uab 20
Utep 40, TULANE 36

Western Athletic Conference
FRESNO STATE 43, Utah State 37
NEW MEXICO STATE 28, Idaho 26

FBS Non-Conference
Byu 25, OREGON STATE 22
NEVADA 55, New Mexico 12
PITTSBURGH 26, Utah 18
RUTGERS 33, Navy 24

Big Sky Conference
EASTERN WASHINGTON 41, Northern Colorado 13
MONTANA 43, Portland State 25
MONTANA STATE 38, Northern Arizona 18
WEBER STATE 44, Idaho State 16

Big South Conference
LIBERTY 31, Coastal Carolina 19
PRESBYTERIAN 31, Gardner-Webb 24
VMI 25, Charleston Southern 22

Colonial Athletic Association
DELAWARE 33, Massachusetts 14
JAMES MADISON 28, Villanova 12
MAINE 35, Rhode Island 9
New Hampshire 22, WILLIAM & MARY 15
OLD DOMINION 31, Towson 24

Great West Conference
Southern Utah 32, CAL POLY 31

Ivy League
BROWN 32, Princeton 7
Penn 33, COLUMBIA 12

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Florida A&M 41, SAVANNAH STATE 15
Morgan State 25, NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL 21
NORFOLK STATE 25, Hampton 16
NORTH CAROLINA A&T 28, Delaware State 19

Missouri Valley Conference
INDIANA STATE 30, Western Illinois 27
NORTH DAKOTA STATE 34, Missouri State 9
Northern Iowa 31, SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 14
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 34, Youngstown State 20

Northeast Conference
ALBANY 27, Robert Morris 18
BRYANT 28, Monmouth 16
DUQUESNE 32, Central Connecticut State 22
SACRED HEART 41, Saint Francis (Pa.) 15

Ohio Valley Conference
EASTERN KENTUCKY 31, Southeast Missouri State 19
Jacksonville State 41, AUSTIN PEAY 23
MURRAY STATE 41, Eastern Illinois 29
TENNESSEE TECH 43, Tennessee State 22

Pioneer League
BUTLER 44, Valparaiso 12
DAYTON 32, Davidson 6
Drake vs. SAN DIEGO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
JACKSONVILLE 48, Morehead State 26
MARIST 24, Campbell 21

Southern Conference
Appalachian State 24, THE CITADEL 17
CHATTANOOGA 44, Western Carolina 19
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 38, Furman 21
SAMFORD 29, Elon 19

Southland Conference
CENTRAL ARKANSAS 30, McNeese State 26
NORTHWESTERN STATE 39, Southeastern Louisiana 16
SAM HOUSTON STATE 41, Nicholls State 12

Southwestern Athletic Conference
ALABAMA STATE 32, Prairie View A&M 16
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF 29, Southern 20
Jackson State 41, MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE 10
Texas Southern vs. ALABAMA A&M: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

FCS Non-Conference
COLGATE 29, Cornell 16
Georgetown 26, HOWARD 19
HARVARD 31, Bucknell 9
HOLY CROSS 27, Dartmouth 14
ILLINOIS STATE 27, South Dakota 25
Lehigh 30, FORDHAM 14
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE 41, Georgia State 18
Tennessee-Martin 29, SOUTH ALABAMA 28
TEXAS STATE 39, Lamar 19
UC DAVIS 33, UT San Antonio 15
Yale 26, LAFAYETTE 13

[timbob]

DUNKEL INDEX

Game 107-108: Miami (FL) at North Carolina (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 94.518; North Carolina 94.645
Dunkel Line: Even; 45
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 3; 51
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+3); Under

Game 109-110: Purdue at Penn State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 83.431; Penn State 97.281
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 14; 42
Vegas Line: Penn State by 12 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-12 1/2); Over

Game 111-112: Indiana at Wisconsin (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 72.989; Wisconsin 117.896
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 45; 57
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 39; 60
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-39); Under

Game 113-114: Navy at Rutgers (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 91.075; Rutgers 89.426
Dunkel Line: Navy by 1 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 4; 54
Dunkel Pick: Navy (+4); Over

Game 115-116: Florida State at Duke (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 99.870; Duke 81.975
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 18; 52
Vegas Line: Florida State by 12 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-12 1/2); Under

Game 117-118: Toledo at Bowling Green (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 84.916; Bowling Green 81.199
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 3 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Toledo by 8; 60
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+8); Under

Game 119-120: Clemson at Maryland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 105.719; Maryland 89.291
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 16 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Clemson by 7; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-7); Over

Game 121-122: Virginia Tech at Wake Forest (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 100.364; Wake Forest 89.123
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 11; 41
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 6 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-6 1/2); Under

Game 123-124: Georgia Tech at Virginia (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 94.913; Virginia 85.099
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 10; 58
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 7; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-7); Over

Game 125-126: South Carolina at Mississippi State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 96.114; Mississippi State 96.196
Dunkel Line: Even; 43
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+3 1/2); Under

Game 127-128: Buffalo at Temple (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 73.041; Temple 98.696
Dunkel Line: Temple by 25 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Temple by 20 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-20 1/2); Over

Game 129-130: UNLV at Wyoming (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 64.020; Wyoming 71.777
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 8; 53 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 13 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+13 1/2); Under

Game 131-132: Iowa State at Missouri (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 83.015; Missouri 106.467
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 23 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Missouri by 14 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-14 1/2); Over

Game 133-134: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 61.456; Central Michigan 77.855
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 16 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 13 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-13 1/2); Under

Game 135-136: Miami (OH) at Kent (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 72.311; Kent 70.890
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 1 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 5 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Kent (+5 1/2); Over

Game 137-138: Western Michigan at Northern Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 86.440; Northern Illinois 87.322
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 1; 73
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 2; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+2); Over

Game 139-140: Utah at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 88.582; Pittsburgh 101.981
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 13 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-6 1/2); Under

Game 141-142: BYU at Oregon State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 85.180; Oregon State 83.168
Dunkel Line: BYU by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 1 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: BYU (+1 1/2); Under

Game 143-144: Arizona State at Oregon (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 100.446; Oregon 118.128
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 17 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Oregon by 15 1/2; 66
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-15 1/2); Over

Game 145-146: Baylor at Texas A&M (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 99.107; Texas A&M 101.587
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 2 1/2; 71
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 9 1/2; 75
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+9 1/2); Under

Game 147-148: LSU at Tennessee (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 114.010; Tennessee 98.286
Dunkel Line: LSU by 15 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: LSU by 14; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-14); Over

Game 149-150: Colorado at Washington (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 79.807; Washington 103.077
Dunkel Line: Washington by 23 1/2; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 14; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-14); Under

Game 151-152: Michigan at Michigan State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 103.377; Michigan State 100.064
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 3 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+3); Over

Game 153-154: Ohio State at Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 95.000; Illinois 99.196
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 4; 47 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-3 1/2); Over

Game 155-156: Florida at Auburn (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 97.613; Auburn 94.903
Dunkel Line: Florida by 2 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Pick; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida; Under

Game 157-158: Louisville at Cincinnati (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 79.069; Cincinnati 99.672
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 20 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 16 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+16 1/2); Under

Game 159-160: Ball State at Ohio (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 71.875; Ohio 80.107
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 8; 64
Vegas Line: Ohio by 14 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+14 1/2); Over

Game 161-162: UTEP at Tulane (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 73.620; Tulane 71.336
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 2 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Tulane by 1 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+1 1/2); Under

Game 163-164: Alabama at Mississippi (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 118.355; Mississippi 87.268
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 31; 47 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 24 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-24 1/2); Over

Game 165-166: Oklahoma at Kansas (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 120.723; Kansas 77.583
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 43; 68
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 34 1/2; 71 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-34 1/2); Under

Game 167-168: New Mexico at Nevada (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 61.934; Nevada 89.975
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 28; 66
Vegas Line: Nevada by 30 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+30 1/2); Over

Game 169-170: Central Florida at SMU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 91.005; SMU 87.543
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 3 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: SMU by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+3 1/2); Under

Game 171-172: Boise State at Colorado State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 114.807; Colorado State 75.113
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 39 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Boise State by 31 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-31 1/2); Over

Game 173-174: Stanford at Washington State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 113.084; Washington State 87.496
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 25 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Stanford by 20 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-20 1/2); Under

Game 175-176: Georgia at Vanderbilt (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 102.810; Vanderbilt 90.244
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 12 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Georgia by 11; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-11); Over

Game 177-178: Oklahoma State at Texas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 106.572; Texas 101.988
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 4 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 8; 64
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+8); Under

Game 179-180: Kansas State at Texas Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 98.294; Texas Tech 96.514
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 2; 55
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 3; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+3); Under

Game 181-182: South Florida at Connecticut (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 90.289; Connecticut 85.137
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 5; 51 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 8 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+8 1/2); Over

Game 183-184: East Carolina at Memphis (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 78.522; Memphis 56.117
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 22 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 15 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-15 1/2); Under

Game 185-186: Rice at Marshall (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 74.728; Marshall 74.720
Dunkel Line: Even; 57
Vegas Line: Marshall by 5; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+5); Over

Game 187-188: Northwestern at Iowa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 85.082; Iowa 92.841
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 8; 57
Vegas Line: Iowa by 6; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-6); Over

Game 189-190: Idaho at New Mexico State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 70.779; New Mexico State 69.631
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 1; 48
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+2); Under

Game 191-192: UAB at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 62.235; Tulsa 91.682
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 29 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 21 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-21 1/2); Under

Game 193-194: Utah State at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 79.485; Fresno State 79.127
Dunkel Line: Even; 68
Vegas Line: Utah State by 3 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+3 1/2); Over

Game 195-196: North Texas at UL-Lafayette (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 70.340; UL-Lafayette 83.320
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 13; 57
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 8 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-8 1/2); Over

Game 197-198: UL-Monroe at Troy (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 71.773; Troy 83.985
Dunkel Line: Troy by 12; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: Troy by 9; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-9); Under

Game 199-200: Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 64.326; Florida Atlantic 65.009
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 1; 54
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+3); Over

[timbob]

Prediction Machine

picks
BYU +1.5 61.4
Penn State -12 60.3
South Carolina -2.5 60.1

Others:
Ohio -14 59.9
Kansas State +3 59.5
Baylor +9.5 59.4
New Mexico State -1.5 59.1 (this has moved the other way so is higher now)
Uconn +8 57.8
Marshall -5 57.7

[timbob]

strike point sports football

3* Take #146 Texas A&M (-9) over Baylor (12 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 15)
3* 170 Take SMU (-3) over Central Florida (3:30 p.m., Saturday, October 15)
2.5* #200 Take Florida Atlantic (-2.5) over Western Kentucky (4 p.m., Saturday, October 15)
2* #180 Texas Tech (-3) over Kansas State (7 p.m., Saturday, October 15)
2* #118 Take Bowling Green (+7.5) over Toledo (12 p.m., Saturday, October 15)
2* #137 Take Western Michigan (-1.5) over Northern Illinois (3:30 p.m., Saturday, October 15)

[timbob]

ROBERT FERRRINGO
6-Unit Play. Take #152 Michigan State (-2.5) over Michigan (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 15)
Note: This is our College Football Game of the Month.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #187 Northwestern (+6.5) over Iowa (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 15)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #200 Florida Atlantic (-2.5) over Western Kentucky (4 p.m., Sat., Oct. 15)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 47.5 Buffalo at Temple (1 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 15)
We are going to have some pretty savage wind rolling through this part of the country this weekend and gusts in Philadelphia could be between 20-25 miles per hour on Saturday

1.5-Unit Play. Take #181 South Florida (-7.5) over Connecticut (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 15)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #159 Ball State (+14.5) over Ohio (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 15)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #154 Illinois (-4) over Ohio State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 15)

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #175 Georgia (-4) over Vanderbilt (7 p.m.) AND Take #146 Texas A&M (-2.5) over Baylor (Noon)

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take Oklahoma State (-0.5) over Texas (Noon) AND Take #115 Florida State (-6.5) over Duke (3 p.m.)

I also have a very strong lean on Virginia. There is no way that line should be as low as it is

[timbob]

DOC SPORTS

4 Unit Play. #14 Take Michigan State Spartans -2 over Michigan Wolverines (Saturday 12 p.m. ESPN)
Michigan State by 10

4 Unit Play. #32 Take Mississippi Rebels +26 over Alabama Crimson Tide (Saturday 6 p.m. ESPN 2)
Alabama by 16

4 Unit Play. #49 Take Arizona State Sun Devils +14.5 over Oregon Ducks (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN)
Oregon by 8

4 Unit Play. #58 Take Washington State Cougars +21 over Stanford Cardinals (Saturday 7:30 p.m. Versus)
Stanford by 10

5 Unit Play. #69 Take Northwestern Wildcats +6.5 over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 7 p.m. Big Ten Network)
Northwestern by 10

4 Unit Play. #78 Take Pittsburgh Panthers -7 over Utah Utes (Saturday 12 p.m. ESPN U)
Pittsburgh by 17

[timbob]

INDIAN COWBOY

4* UNLV +10.5 over Wyoming

7* Vanderbilt +11 over Georgia

4* Memphis +14 over East Carolina

[timbob]

Greg Roberts OKC Radio Show
COLLEGE
Tex
Okla
Baylor
Kan St---to win
Ohio St
Mich St--by double digits
Va
Aub
LSU---BIg
Ala
Mizz
Rutgers

[timbob]

WUNDERDOG
CFB 35-29 Last 64 picks +$630
1 OF 7

Game: Georgia Tech at Virginia (Saturday 10/15 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Virginia +7 (-110)

Georgia Tech is off to a stellar 6-0 start. Paul Johnson has defied all the experts when he came to Georgia Tech proclaiming he could run the triple option. Everyone said he was in for a surprise, and it wouldn't work at this level. The surprise is that it does work, and this class is all his recruits in his fourth year, and they are pounding the rock for over 360 yards per game. Just when Tech seemed unstoppable, Maryland held them to 272 yards on 60 carries, or just 4.5 yards a tote. Tevin Washington was brilliant in the first few games, but he has slowed way down, so it is run or done for the Yellow Jackets right now. Virginia has one defensive strength, and that is their ability to defend the run very well. They have allowed just 3.46 yards per carry, and can offer enough resistance at home to stay in the game, especially with a soft Tech defense that is allowing 24.2 points per game. The Yellow jackets are unresponsive after a bye week at 3-8 ATS in their last 11, and the
Cavaliers are retrieving the cash as a home dog of +3.5-10 to the tune of an 11-5 ATS mark in their last 16. Wahoos here.

[timbob]

DOC SPORTS

4 Unit Play. #14 Take Michigan State Spartans -2 over Michigan Wolverines (Saturday 12 p.m. ESPN)
Michigan State by 10

4 Unit Play. #32 Take Mississippi Rebels +26 over Alabama Crimson Tide (Saturday 6 p.m. ESPN 2)
Alabama by 16

4 Unit Play. #49 Take Arizona State Sun Devils +14.5 over Oregon Ducks (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN)
Oregon by 8

4 Unit Play. #58 Take Washington State Cougars +21 over Stanford Cardinals (Saturday 7:30 p.m. Versus)
Stanford by 10

5 Unit Play. #69 Take Northwestern Wildcats +6.5 over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 7 p.m. Big Ten Network)
Northwestern by 10

4 Unit Play. #78 Take Pittsburgh Panthers -7 over Utah Utes (Saturday 12 p.m. ESPN U)
Pittsburgh by 17
UPDATE:
4 Unit Play. #32 Take Mississippi Rebels +26 over Alabama Crimson Tide (Saturday 6 p.m. ESPN 2)
PLEASE NOTE 4 MISSISSIPPI PLAYERS WERE SUSPENDED AFTER THIS PICK WAS RELEASED ON Thursday AT 5pm CENTRAL. We cannot remove picks after they are released to our clients so this game will count as a win or a loss regardless but if you have not yet played the game we would consider this a pass or if you have played you may want to hedge back your bet to lower your exposure. Releasing games early works to our advantage most of the time but not so in this case.

[timbob]

Bookie Beating

Ron Cleary:
5 unit - Michigan Wolverines +2.5
5 unit - SMU Mustangs -3.5
5 unit - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -7
5 unit - Oregon State Beavers -3

Clayton Rodgers:
5 unit - Kansas State Wildcats +3.5
5 unit - New Mexico State Aggies -1
5 unit - Fresno State +3.5

David Harper:
5 unit - Purdue Boilermakers +12
5 unit - Tulane Green Wave -1.5
5 unit - Ohio State Buckeyes +3.5

[timbob]

KB Hoops

Top Play

Florida -2

10* Oregon St -3

10* Arizona State +14.5

[timbob]

Platinum Wins

2* Baylor +9.5

2* Georgia Tech -7

3* LSU -17

2* Clemson -7.5

[timbob]

Jack ClaytonGuaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, October 15, 2011
$25.00 Guaranteed: Jack Clayton packages 3 big games on the Saturday college football card, including a 5-Star SEC Shocker of the Month. 3 plays in all for the price of one. Go inside the numbers -- with full analysis -- with Jack Clayton's 3-Pack of College Football Gridiron Trifecta and CA$H 3 times Saturday! 10/13/2011 3* (119) CLEMSON (-8.0, ov53.5)
(120) MARYLAND (+8.0, un53.5)
Saturday, Oct 15 2011, 04:00 PM PST
I don't think much of rebuilding Maryland, especially on defense, and they won't be able to hang with red hot Clemson (6-0 SU/5-0 ATS). They have a new look offensively as Coach Dabo Swinney hired Tulsa's Chad Morris as offensive coordinator. Morris had spent last year running Tulsa's attack, leading the Golden Hurricanes to 41.4 points a game. Sophomore QB Tajh Boyd (15 TDs, 3 INTs) leads the offense that is striking for 35 points, 284 yards passing and 196 rushing. They are off a 36-14 victory over Boston College on Saturday. The Clemson is potent and balanced with junior RB Andre Ellington. 9 starters return on offense, 7 on 'D'. The defense is strong, allowing 21 points per game. Boyd and No. 13 Clemson became the first Atlantic Coast Conference team to beat ranked teams three weeks in a row, and did it resoundingly with a 23-3 victory against No. 11 Virginia Tech. The Hokies had a miserable night offensively, gaining 258 yards. Clemson has converted 53 percent of its third-down opportunities, which has allowed it to keep defenses on the field and suck the life out of its opponents with its relentless, no-huddle attack. Maryland (2-3 SU/2-2 ATS) is in the middle of a perilous stretch in which it must face three top-25 teams over three weeks. The Terps are off a loss to Georgia Tech, 21-16, but it was a bit misleading, down 21-3 after 3 where the offense had just 176 total yards Junior QB Danny O'Brien (4 TDs, 6 INTs) is below average. The defense can't rush the passer and allowed 480 yards (388 passing) to West Virginia and a 38-7 loss to Temple. They were outgained by 42 yards in a 28-3 win over Towson, giving up 161 yards rushing. Good luck stopping Clemson! Play Clemson.

5-Star SEC Shocker: Play Auburn.
(155) FLORIDA (-2.0, ov49.5)
(156) AUBURN (+2.0, un49.5)
Saturday, Oct 15 2011, 04:00 PM PST.
The Florida Gators (4-2 SU/ATS) have all kinds of problems, with junior QB John Brantley (5 TDs, 3 INTs) battling a high ankle sprain and true freshman QB Jeff Driskel on the shelf. Freshman QB Jacoby Brissett started last week, the first Florida freshman quarterback to take his first career snap as a starter, a move made because of injuries to senior John Brantley and freshman Jeff Driskel. Florida was so desperate on offense that had to use the Wildcat. The Gators are 2-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Auburn Tigers (4-2) run an uptempo attack under offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn, averaging 28 points and over 180 yards rushing and passing. Junior QB Barrett Trotter (9 TDs, 6 INTs) is fine and the defense is improving with a 16-13 upset at No. 10 South Carolina. The ground game has 5-9 sophomore RB Michael Dyer and junior RB Onterio McCalebb. The Tigers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 conference games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Gators are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play Auburn!

4* (175) GEORGIA (-11.0, ov41.0)
(176) VANDERBILT (+11.0, un41.0)
Saturday, Oct 15 2011, 04:00 PM PST
Georgia (4-2 SU/3-2 ATS) has a fine offense, averaging 30 points, 225 yards passing and 163 rushing behind sophomore Aaron Murray (13 TDs, 6 INTs) and talented freshman RB Isaiah Crowell. Isaiah Crowell ran for two touchdowns as Georgia beat Tennessee 20-12 on Saturday night to give coach Mark Richt his 100th career victory. The win keeps the Bulldogs (3-1 SEC) in a two-way tie with South Carolina for first in the Southeastern Conference East Division. The defense (20 ppg allowed) has talent, led by senior LB Marcus Downtin and LBs Jarvis Jones and Alec Ogletree, plus 3 returning starters in the secondary lead a group that was 17th nationally in pass defense a year ago. Georgia has used a no-huddle offense and three-and four-receiver sets, trying to be more uptempo. Aaron Murray threw two touchdown passes in the first quarter, Isaiah Crowell ran for 104 yards and Georgia took advantage of a strong start to beat Mississippi State 24-10. That was against a run-oriented team and they face another one here. Vandy (3-2 SU/2-2 ATS) doesn’t have much offense for new Coach James Franklin. They may average 23 points, but the ground and passing games average less than 135 yards each. Senior QB Larry Smith (3 TDs, 3 INTs) is a better runner than passer, so they’ve turned to junior QB Jordan Rodgers (1 TD, 2 INTs). The last two games they’ve scored 3 and 0 points to SEC teams. The offense didn’t look good with 259 yards and 3 turnovers but they squeezed out a 24-21 win over sloppy UConn. They had a 21-3 loss at South Carolina getting outgained 367-77! The offense had 4 yards rushing and 3 turnovers. The Commodores are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Play Georgia!

[timbob]

Frank Patron 100,000 play:

Georgia Tech -7

[timbob]

TEXAS SPORTS WIRE

OKLAHOMA STATE at TEXAS

6th-ranked Oklahoma State (5-0 SU/4-1 ATS) obliterated Kansas last week in a 70-28 home win as -31 point favorites. QB Brandon Weeden tossed four touchdowns in the first quarter as the sixth-ranked Cowboys dominated the Jayhawks. Weeden completed 24-of-28 passes for 288 yards and five touchdowns in less than two quarters before sitting out the rest of the game with matters well in hand. Hubert Anyiam and Justin Blackmon each caught two TDs for Oklahoma State. The Cowboys had a 600-478 edge in total yards and pulled their starters in the second quarter. Okie State led 56-7 at the half and won the turnover battle 4-0. Oklahoma State’s 70 points were the most they have scored in a game in the modern era (since 1915). They beat Southern Illinois 70-7 in 1973. Their 56 points in the first half also matched the most they had scored in the first half, also in that same Southern Illinois game. Texas (4-1 SU/3-2 ATS) was hammered last week in a 55-17 loss to Oklahoma as +11 point ‘dogs. David Ash and Case McCoy split time at quarterback, with neither faring too well. McCoy connected on 9-of-16 throws for 116 yards and Ash completed 11-of-20 passes for 107 yards with a touchdown, but the two were under constant pressure all day from a Sooner defense that registered eight sacks. The Longhorns turned it over five times overall, which resulted in 31 points for Oklahoma. Texas only had 259 yards of offense and the Longhorns’ offense had 17 plays that resulted in negative yardage. The Longhorns are playing with revenge this week after dropping a 33-16 decision to the Cowboys in Austin last year as +4 point home ‘dogs. Oklahoma State rolled up 308 yards in taking a 26-3 lead into halftime and finished with 532 yards to break a 12-year losing streak to Texas. Oklahoma State has been on a nice ATS roll (13-3) and the Cowboys are 21-5-2 ATS when favored between -3½ and -10 points. Okie State is also 44-17-2 ATS as a favorite and 18-7-1 ATS on the road. Conversely, Texas is on a dismal 6-14 ATS run and the Longhorns have underachieved in Austin, going a mere 5-15-1 ATS as a host.

SELECTION: OKLAHOMA STATE

[timbob]

ALLEN EASTMAN aka ACE ACE

SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS

6* Take #119 Clemson (-8) over Maryland (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 16)
This is my college football Game of the Month.
Right now the Tigers are as hot as any team in the country and they are the best team in the ACC. They are a very hot team and they have covered the spread in four straight games. This team won by 20 points at Virginia Tech two weeks ago so they aren't afraid of going on the road. And this Maryland team is still struggling with the transition to a new coaching staff. My sources tell me that the team does not like Randy Edsall's approach and a lot of players are very frustrated. That could have something to do with the benching of Danny O'Brien last week and now the Terps have a quarterback controversy on their hands. Maryland's only win in the last month came against FCS team Towson. And Maryland was even outgained in that game. The Terps don't have the offense to keep up with the explosive Tigers in this game and Clemson has an even bigger edge on the defensive side of the ball. Clemson won 31-7 in this matchup last year and they are a much stronger team this season. The Tigers have their focus set on that elusive ACC championship and they understand that they can't take any weeks off. They are a team that is on the rise and Maryland is a team that is still sliding back. I had this number closer to 13 and I think that the line value and the matchup here are just too good to pass up!

2* Take #144 Oregon (-14) over Arizona State (10 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 16)
It is too easy for the public to jump on the points with Arizona State in this game. They are a ranked team and right now are the favorites in the Pac-12 South. So they should be able to play with Oregon, right? Wrong! Oregon is going to lay a big number on ASU in this game! Oregon is 5-1 in the last six meetings and the Sun Devils do not play well when they have to travel to the northern states in this conference (Oregon or Washington). ASU may be 5-1 right now but they are just 2-4 at the window and they have been big underachievers under Dennis Erickson. Oregon will be excited to have ESPN at this game and a national audience and their full talent will be on display. Oregon is 19-6-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games.

3* Take #147 LSU (-17) over Tennessee (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 16)
Tennessee had to do everything it could not to get blown out by the Bulldogs at home last week. LSU is much better than Georgia and I think that the Tigers will be ready for a blowout in this game. Tennessee doesn't defend very well and if they get behind early then the LSU defense will take over. That is exactly what I see happening here. LSU only won 16-14 against Tennessee last year so they won't be taking them lightly. The Tigers have also won their last three games by an average of 28 points and just got done beating Florida by 30. I think that they will win this one by even more than that and Tennessee just isn't ready to compete at this level.

[timbob]

RANDY BRUCE

5 dimes Rangers -1.5 RL, +145

[timbob]

Brian Mac's Friday Night Hot Side, 4-1 this year, is on LSU.

[timbob]

Cappers Access

Penn st -12
Oklahoma st -7
Auburn +2
Northwestern +6-

[timbob]

Platinum Plays

Premier Pick (Top Play)
Utah Ures
Oregon Ducks

500K Play (Medium Play)
Baylor
Clemson

Regular Plays
Bowling Green
Mich State
Concy
Missouri
Wake Forest
Florida U
Georgia
Kansas St

[timbob]

Total 4U

Top Plays
LSU OVER
Mich UNDER
Stanford UNDER

Regular Plays
Ohio St OVER
Okla St OVER
Utah U OVER
Baylor UNDER
Clemson OVER
Florida UNDER

[timbob]

DOUBLE DRAGON NCAA 10-15 (6-1 Last Week)

OKLAHOMA STATE -7 (-120) at texas
KANSAS STATE +3.5 at texas tech
BAYLOR +8.5 at texas a&m
GEORGIA TECH -7 (-120) at virginia
WISCONSIN -40 vs indiana
BYU +3 at oregon state
ALABAMA -27.5 at mississippi
STANFORD -21 at washington state
OKLAHOMA -35 at kansas
UTAH STATE -3 at fresno state

[timbob]

RANDY BRUCE

5 dimes Rangers -1.5 RL, +145

NCAA Football:
5*Georgia Tech -7
5* LSU -17
5* Stanford -21
5* Oregon -14
10* Oklahoma State -7
10* Georgia -11

[timbob]

Trusted Picks

Sides:
Wisconsin -40
LSU -16.5
Florida St -13.5
Baylor +9.5
South Carolina -3
Alabama -25
South Florida -7

[timbob]

NORM HITZGES

DOUBLE PLAYS
Oklahoma State
South Florida

SINGLE PLAYS
SMU
Boise State
Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh
Western Michigan
Utah State
Ohio
Nevada
Marshall
Tulsa
Michigan State

[timbob]

INFO PLAYS

7* Pittsburgh Panthers -6

[timbob]

ACCUWAGER

Michigan vs. Michigan State
Play: Michigan +3
The 11th-ranked Michigan Wolverines (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS) remained undefeated by routing Northwestern 42-24 in Week 6 and will look to snap a three-game losing streak against the Michigan State Spartans (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) in Week 7 when the two in-state rivals meet at Spartan Stadium at noon in what has long been one of the most heated rivalries in all of college football. The Spartans are coming off a narrow 10-7 upset win over Ohio State on Saturday in which they managed to cash in as a 3-point road underdog and move to 3-1 ATS in their last quartet of contests. Michigan cashed in for the third straight game by covering the spread as a 7-point road favorite at Northwestern and bring a formidable offense led by athletic quarterback Denard Robinson, into East Lansing. Michigan owns the seventh-ranked rushing attack in the nation, averaging a whopping 257.0 yards on the ground per game. The Wolverines also average a whopping 38.0 points per contest (21st) and just a shade over 200 passing yards per contest (90th). Michigan State's No. 1 overall defense allows just 109.4 passing yards per game (2nd), 64.0 rushing per contest, (third) and just 10.2 points per contest (third). Nevertheless, I genuinely believe the Michigan Wolverines are going to find a way to get the rare road win for their seniors that have never beaten the Spartans. The Road team in this rivalry is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings while Michigan State has gone 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite of three (3.0 points or less. The only time the Wolverines have failed to cover the spread was in their 31-3 Week 3 win over Eastern Michigan – and they only failed to do so by a half-point. I like them to get the job done in a thriller as the nearly unstoppable Denard Robinson leads the new-look Wolverines further into their new era under Brady Hoke by snapping their three-year skid against the Spartans!

Ohio State vs. Illinois
Play: Illinois -4
The Ohio State Buckeyes (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) have lost two straight games, including their 34-27 Week 6 loss to Nebraska. The Buckeyes fell apart in the second half, getting outscored 28-7, though they did manage to cash in for gridiron gamblers as a 10-point road dog. The Illinois Fighting Illini (6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS) remained unbeaten by spanking Indiana 41-20 the last time out to cash in as a huge, 14-point home favorite and snap a two-game ATS losing streak. Both teams are allowing an identical 17.8 points per game defensively, but Illinois is averaging 34.7 points per contest on offense, which is 10.4 more per game than Ohio State, which is why I'm surprised the Fighting Illini' are only 4-point home favorites. Ohio State is 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings against Illinois and 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against the Fighting Illini. The Home team is 5-2 ATS in the L/7 meetings and Illinois is just too good for the rebuilding Buckeyes this year, particularly with quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase having an outstanding season through six games. The sophomore has thrown 10 TD passes this season and just three picks. Play the Illinois Fighting Illini' as the easy pick in this one college football bettors.

Oklahoma St vs. Texas
Play: Oklahoma St -7
The explosive sixth-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) are ranked first in the nation in scoring, averaging a whopping 51.4 points per game this season. The Cowboys are also ranked second in passing as senior quarterback Brandon Weeden has thrown a stellar 15 TD passes and just six interceptions through a half-dozen games. Oklahoma State pounded the snot out of Kansas in Week 6 to easily cash in as a huge 31-point home favorite to move to a perfect 4-0 ATS over its L/4 games. The 22nd-ranled Texas Longhorns (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) are coming off a humbling 55-17 loss against No. 2 Oklahoma on Saturday in which they failed to cover the spread as 11-point home underdogs. The Longhorns fumbled five times while losing three of them in the loss while also throwing two interceptions and allowing a whopping 42 points over the second and third quarters. The quarterback combination of David Ash and Case McCoy combined to complete just 20 of 36 passes with Ash throwing both picks. I don't think it's a stretch to say that the Texas Longhorns could be looking at an even bigger defeat than the one they absorbed last week. Oklahoma is 13-3 ATS in its L/16 games while Texas has gone 6-114 ATS over their L/20. The Longhorns are also just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games while Oklahoma State has compiled an impressive 6-1 ATS mark in their L/7 conference games. With the Favorite going 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in this Big 12 rivalry and the Road team going a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, not to mention the fact that Oklahoma State's offense is absurdly explosive this season – this pick is as easy as pie. Play the Oklahoma State Cowboys to roll people!

LSU vs. Tennessee
Play: LSU -16.5
Ho-hum. The LSU Tigers (6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS, 3-3 O/U) cruised to another emphatic win by spanking the Florida Gators 41-11 to easily cash in for betting backers as a 14-point home favorite. The Tennessee Volunteers (3-2 SU, 2-1-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U) took a tough 20-12 loss on the chin in their SEC showdown against Georgia the last time out while failing to cash in as a 2.5-point home underdog. The Vols fell to 1-2 SU over its last three games and now gets the big prize of hosting the nation's top ranked team. The good news for Touthouse college football bettors that are looking to cash in is that this pick is like taking candy from a baby – really! While the Vols apparently have a real gem in sophomore quarterback Tyler Bray (14 TDs, 2 Ints) the young Volunteers are clearly not in the same caliber of ballclubs as the Tigers, mostly on the defensive side of the ball. While Tennessee averages just under six points per game fewer than LSU, the Tigers' overpowering defense is giving up just 12.5 points per game defensively, almost eight points per game less than Tennessee. The key to this contest however, is as simple as looking at Tennessee's two SEC losses this season. Basically, I'm saying that if the Vols fell to Georgia by eight points and Florida by 10 points, then losing to the Tigers by two touchdowns sounds like more of a certainty than anything. Tennessee is 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a home underdog while LSU has gone 4-1 ATS in their L/5 games against a team with a winning record. The road team in this SEC rivalry has gone 4-0-2 ATS in the L/6 meetings, so keep it simple and play the deeper and more experienced Tigers to get 'er done SU and ATS style in this one.

Boise State vs. Colorado State
Play: Colorado State +32
The fifth-ranked Boise State Broncos (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U) may be one of the top teams in the nation, with their explosive 13th-ranked offense (40.6 ppg) and stellar 10th-ranked defense (14.8 ppg) but I'm going on record to say that the Broncos will narrowly miss out on covering the spread at mediocre Colorado State(3-2 SU, 1-4 ATS, 3-2 O/U) when the two battle on Saturday. The Rams are coming off a heartbreaking 38-31 home loss against San Jose State as a 3.5-point home favorite in Week 6, but I think they've got just enough juice to cover the spread in this contest. Yes, I know the Broncos blew Fresno State out of the water in its 57-7 Week 6 win as a 21-point road favorite, but Colorado State's defense is a bit better than Fresno State's and I believe they'll improve on their stellar 4-0 ATS mark in their last four home games against a team with a winning record and 9-3 ATS mark in their last dozen games as a home underdog. Boise State is 17-4 ATS in their L/21 games as a road favorite, but I'm backing the Colorado State Rams and the huge 32 points they're getting in Mountain West Conference matchup this week.

[timbob]

Arthur Ralph Sports

733- 5409 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Sat Alabama -25

[timbob]

Dwayne Bryant

2* Fla
2* Texas

[timbob]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Brewers Friday night.

Saturday it's Navy. The deficit is 2961 sirignanos.

[timbob]

Hondo

Hawaii showed absolutely no interest in contributing to Hondo's deficit-reduction program, losing last night in San Jose to boost the dirty digits to 2,825 cannons.

Today, Mr. Aitch will take a turn for the exotic with a 20-unit five-team parlay consisting of Penn State, Baylor LSU, Washington and Stanford.

[timbob]

Today's MLB Picks
Detroit at Texas

The Rangers look to build on their 7-1 record in Derek Holland's last 8 starts as a favorite from -110 to -150. Texas is the pick (-150) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Texas (-150). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 15
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 921-922: Detroit at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 14.715; Texas (Holland) 16.384
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-150); Under

[timbob]

Today's NHL Picks
Ottawa at Washington

The Senators look to bounce back from their 7-1 loss to Colorado and build on their 12-3 record in their last 15 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Ottawa is the pick (+190) according to Dunkel, which has the Senators favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+190). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 15
Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Calgary at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.768; Toronto 11.383
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+110); Under

Game 53-54: Colorado at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.923; Montreal 11.674
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-135); Over

Game 55-56: NY Rangers at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.164; NY Islanders 10.773
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-120); Over

Game 57-58: Los Angeles at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.193; Philadelphia 12.293
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-150); Under

Game 59-60: Buffalo at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.363; Pittsburgh 12.551
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Under

Game 61-62: Winnipeg at Phoenix (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.325; Phoenix 10.924
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+135); Over

Game 63-64: Ottawa at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.162; Washington 10.968
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+190); Over

Game 65-66: Tampa Bay at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.495; Florida 11.130
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-105); Under

Game 67-68: New Jersey at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.213; Nashville 11.954
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 69-70: Detroit at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.221; Minnesota 10.993
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-140); Under

Game 71-72: Columbus at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.537; Dallas 10.463
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+135); Under

Game 73-74: Boston at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.530; Chicago 11.982
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-130); Over

Game 75-76: Vancouver at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.301; Edmonton 10.793
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-150); Over

Game 77-78: St. Louis at San Jose (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.323; San Jose 11.734
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-165); Under

[timbob]

LuckyDaySports

Saturday’s Comp Play

NCAAF
Take Ohio -14.5 and OVER 58.5 in Ball St./Ohio game

[timbob]

LPicks.com
Chairmen play is on Florida St. 5 Units.

[timbob]

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a sports betting pick Saturday is on Georgia Tech (-7) to Virginia.

Reasoning: Laying points on the road is never the key to the mint but Virginia isn’t very good and therefore should be up against it today against this fire hot Georgia Tech offense.

Things have slowed down a bit for the Yellow Jackets (relatively speaking) after the ridiculous numbers they put up in the first three games, which included going north of 600 rushing yards against Kansas. With that said though Paul Johnson’s squad has remained extremely focused and proven a ton to me. Tech was supposed to be basically a 6-6 team before the season but right now may be the leading contender to win the ACC and go to a BCS Bowl and I’m not so sure it’s a fluke. Every season we see one team totally shock Vegas. Oklahoma State was last seasons surprise as they were expected to be a .500 squad and the Jackets are on their way at around the midway point to be this years’ Cowboys.

Johnson’s triple option has gone exactly as designed chewing up yards better than any team in the entire nation. Quarterback Tevin Washington has been amazing and flawless most of the time shockingly looking better than a star in Joshua Nesbitt from the last few seasons. Guys like Orwin Smith and Roddy Jones have exploded for huge gainers and it’s just asking a ton for the mediocre at best Cavaliers to be able to hold the rope today.

Virginia is 3-2 but it truly may be the least impressive 3-2 in the entire country. The Cavs just nipped Idaho in Charlottesville 21-20 in a not even close to covering effort after getting upset at home by an average Southern Mississippi team. The other two wins were against Indiana and William & Mary and even if they compete today and stay close for awhile it’s probably asking a bit much to stay within single digits after a full 60 minutes of football.

Tech may fall short one of these games as they probably are not as good as they have been playing but this does not feel like that spot to me.

Top expert pick on this game: GA Tech

Sports pick winners in college football abound for Saturday, October 15. The anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com GodsTips starts out with a big underdog:

IOWA STATE +15.5 Missouri

It’s a perfect sandwich game as Mizzou had a tough loss last week at Kansas State and plays very dangerous Oklahoma State next week. Also Missouri is a big favorite that would actually like to regain confidence in their kicking game for the long run. They may actually be less likely to pile up touchdowns and settle for field goal attempts.

After missing only three of 46 attempts the past two seasons, Ressel is just 7 for 13 this year. This week, coach Gary Pinkel opened competition between Ressel and punter Trey Barrow.

Sophomore QB James Franklin has been erratic since taking over for Blaine Gabbert, last year’s starter now in the NFL. So we love taking underdogs in a game with such box of chocolates. Missouri is also going to run more this week, making the large point spread more ominous.

Scheduling dynamics, the likelihood of a less aggressive game plan and the big number are tough to pass up.

Offensively, the Cyclones have shown they can generate big plays. Running back James White and wide receiver Darius Reynolds make most of them. No matter the score, situation, or how poorly the team’s executed up to that point, the offense always seems to be one play a way this year from breaking off a big touchdown.

Defensively, the Cyclones have come up big time and again when their backs are against the wall. Last week at Baylor they forced two turnovers in the first half when the Bears were driving deep in ISU territory. Also, the Cyclones held Connecticut to just three points off three first half turnovers, all of which came in ISU’s end of the field.

They have the talent, they just have to cut down on turnovers, but again that is correctable. Lack of talent is not, but that is not ISU’s issue.

Now to the wunderkinds of The Canadian Crew:

(11) Michigan @ (23) Michigan State

Saturday, October 15, 12:00 pm. ET

NCAAF betting line: Michigan State -2.5

Michigan State is 4-1 but could conceivably end up .500 three weeks from now, as it gets Michigan, Wisconsin and Nebraska in consecutive devastating matchups. A win over the visiting Wolverines would be the Spartans’ fourth straight over their bitter rivals and would give them a nice confidence boost entering the Wisconsin game.

This matchup comes down to Denard Robinson versus Michigan State’s stellar defense. Robinson has been a special player, rushing for 720 yards and eight scores while also passing for 1,130 yards and 10 scores. However, Robinson also makes his share of mistakes. Even in a win last week, he threw three interceptions against an atrocious Northwestern defense.

Do we know, then, that Robinson can handle a “D like Michigan State’s? The Spartans have truly been the country’s best, first in total defense, second against the pass, third against the run and third in points allowed. That said, I’m not so impressed with the Spartans’ offense. Kirk Cousins is supposed to be one of the nation’s better quarterbacks but he’s looked ordinary in MSU’s tougher matchups. Michigan’s defense is no slouch, either, and should contain him.

I’d expect a surprisingly low-scoring game and for Robinson to outplay Cousins just enough to keep the Wolverines undefeated.

The pick: Michigan +2.5

[timbob]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Saturday 10/15

4* Best Bet = Washington
3* = Michigan State
3* = Florida State
2* = Northwestern
2* = Navy

[timbob]

Free Silver Key Pick for Saturday NCAA Football

PENN STATE -12 over Purdue

[timbob]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Idaho -pk over New Mexico State.

[timbob]

Jeff Scott Sports

6 UNIT PLAY

POWER ANGLE PLAY

TEXAS A&M -9.5 over Baylor: Just my second 6 Unit Play on the year and I hope for better results than the first one. Yes I know how awesome RG3 has been this year, hitting 80% of his passes with a 19-1 TD to INT mark, but I feel he will not have great success today. The Aggies defense has had its problems this year on the road, but at home this year they have allowed just 339 ypg and 17 ppg. That 12th man really pays dividends at home and that defense is a HUGE edge that goes to Aggies. I know the Aggeis are 99th overall amd 107th vs the pass, but Baylor is not just a passing team as they are ranked 10th in the nation in rushing at 239 ypg, and that is one the the Aggies know how to stop as they allow just 77 ypg on the ground and a measly 2.3 ypc. Baylors defense checks in at 61st overall (374 ypg) and 76th in points allowed (28.2), but a closser look and we see that one of their games was a shutout win vs an FCS team, so their rankings vs FBS teams is 79th overall (415.8 ypg) and 103rd in points allowed (35.2 ppg). Now let's go even further. In Baylor's last 3 games they have played the 68th, 107th and 97th ranked offenses and they still allowed 399 ypg and 31 ppg. Today they take on the highest ranked offense they have faced so far. The Aggies offense has been great this year, putting up 493 ypg (12th) and 39 ppg (18th) and I just don't see the Baylor Bears being able to stop it. Two other BIG edges for the Aggies are Special Teams (one of the tops in the country) and their infamous 12th man. The last home game they had was a 1 point loss to OSU, so you know they've been looking foreward to coming home and playing well. RG3 is having a great year, but this day will belong to the Aggies as they win by 14+ here. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play AGAINST any team that has covered the spread in 2 of their last 3 games if they have won 80%+ of their games and are playing a team with a win pct of 51% to 60%. This system has gone 27-6 the last 5 years.

5 UNIT PLAY

POWER ANGLE PLAY

South Florida -7.5 over CONNECTICUT: The Bulls were rolling right along until they ran into ma fired up Panthers squad last Thursday and were throttled 44-17. Now the Bulls have had 16 days to get ready for this one and they should be fully focused to get back on track. Uconn has not been that good in the early going as they are just 2-4 so far, with the 2 wins coming vs Fordham and Buffalo. Not all that impressive. Uconn won the Big East last year, but they still outgaind by 67 ypg vs SFB and this year is no different as they come in having been outgained 81 ypg vs FBS foes. The Huskie offense has been dismal, ranking 101st overall (331 ypg) and 88th in points scored at 23.3 ppg and even though they are decent on defense, they will not be able to a powerful Bulls offense down enough for their own offense to keep this one close. Two weeks ago this Bulls offense was stymied by Pitt, but they have had extra time to correct the mistakes and get this 10th rated offense back on track. The Bulls average 510 ppg and 39.8 ppg and will be just too much for this UConn defense to handle. The Bulls were embarrassed on National TV two weeks ago and they have been chomping at the bit to get back on the field and show that that was a fluke. I say they make their own statement here with a 17+ point win. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play ON any road team off a 21+ point blowout loss to a conference opponent if they have a winning record and are playing a losing team. This system has gone 29-5 over the last 10 seasons.

4 UNIT PLAY

MISSOURI -15.5 over Iowa State: At the beginning of the year I pegged the Tigers as a team to watch, but they haven't played to their potential yet as they come in at 2-3 on the year. I still feel that this will be a team to watch down the stretch. Despite their 2-3 record the Tigers do have some very good numbers on both sides of the ball, Their offense comes in averaging 479 ypg and 32.2 pgg, while on defense they have allowed just 336 ypg and 21 ppg. Now on the other side we see a Cyclone team that is 3-2, but they do not have good numbers across the board, as their offense has put up 386 ypg (61st) and 25.6 ppg (81st), while their defense is 94th overall, allowing 419 ypg and 98th in points allowed at 33.2 ppg, plus we note that ISU has been outscored by 23 ppg in their 2 Big 12 games thus far. This is a home coming game for the Tigers and they are really looking to put a hurting on a team and today that team is Iowa State. I look for a 21+ point win by a Missouri team that needs to start playing well or they will be left out of the post season party.

3 UNIT PLAYS

MICHIGAN STATE -2 over Michigan: At the beginning of the year I had the Spartans winning their division and playing Wisconsin in the Big 10 Title and I will not deviate from that thought process as the Spartans take on Michigan this week. The Spartans have been dominant on both sides of the ball and they check in with the Nation's top rated defense, allowing just 173 ypg. Sparty is also 2nd vs the pass, allowing just (109.4 ypg) and 3rd in points allowed (10.2 ppg). Granted I know the level of competition they played isn't the greatest, but they did hold the Irish to just 275 yards and look at what that offense has been doing lately. On the other side we have a Michigan defense that has also been playing well. The Wolverines come in ranked 30th in yards allowed (323 ypg) and 9th in points allowed (12.5 ppg), but like the Spartans, they haven't really played anyone yet. The big thing though is that Michigan allowed 513 yards to the Irish, while the Spartans allowed just 275. This Michigan State defense is for real and they should be able to contain Robinson like they did last year. Michigan does have the edge on offense and they have put up 38 ppg, but they also have been the recipient of turnovers and that has led to short fields and easy scores. Yes they beat the Irish, but ND did turn the ball over 5 times and last week vs the Cats a close game was broken open by two 2nd half Northwestern TO's. In this game Michigan won't get the same breaks as the Spartans just don't turn the ball over that much.

Toledo -7.5 over BOWLING GREEN: The Falcons looked good out the gate as they won their first 2 games crushing Idaho and Morgan State, but since then they have dropped 3 of 4 and in their last 2 games they were out scored by 45 and 24 points. The Falcons defense has been shredded for 610 ypg and 50 ppg over their last 2 games and now they face a hot Toledo offense that has put up 428 ypg and 40 ppg over their last 3 games. Overall Toledo is 42nd in total offense (427 ypg) and 26th in scoring (32.8 ppg) and will be facing a Falcon defense that is 78th overall (400 ypg) and 88th in points allowed (29.8 ppg). The Bowling Green offense is decent as they put up 412 ypg and 30.8 ppg, but the Toledo defense is beginning to come around as they have allowed just 29 points in their last 2 games. Toledo is the class of the MAC this year and they a5re starting to play that way, while the Falcons are headed in the other direction. Toledo wins this one easily. KEY TRENDS--- Toledo is 15-4 ATS at home off a win of 28 or more since 1992, while Bowling Green is 0-7 ATS after losing 2 out of their last 3 games the last 2 years.

2 UNIT PLAYS

RUTGERS -4 over Navy: Rutgers is 18-5 ATS since 1992, when the total is between 49.5 to 56, while Navy is 0-6 ATS after allowing 6.25 ypp in their last game. The Knights have had a good year so far and last week they sent a message to the rest of the big East after beating Pitt by 24 as 6.5 home dogs. The Rutgers defense has been stout this year coming in at 18th overall and 11th in points allowed, plus we note that Schiano's defense has held the last 8 Option teams to just 269 total yards per game. Navy is not playing well right now and Rutgers will take advantage with another easy win here.

PITTSBURGH -7 over Utah: The Panthers took an embarrassing loss last week at the hands of the Knights, but I expect them to bounce back here. Pitt is 11-1 ATS following a loss and 5-0-1 ATS their last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Utah checks in at 1-5 ATS in their last 6 following a loss of 20+ points. Pittsburgh should bounce back strong vs a Utah team this is just not playing well this year.

1 UNIT PLAYS

Oklahoma State/ Texas Over 64.5: OSU is 2nd in total offense and 103rd in total defense. Their games have averaged 79 ppg this year. The Texas offense has had their problems this at times, but they have still averaged 30.8 ppg. I see this game hitting 70 with ease.

Kansas State +3.5 over TEXAS TECH: 5-0 teams in game six that are not laying points have gone a very nice 36-13-1 ATS. The KSU defense has become stout once again and they have held each offense they have faced to their season low. They should come away with their 3rd straight upset here.

[timbob]

Dom Chambers Today's winners ...

My 80 Dime play in on South Florida to cover on the road againat Connecticut. Looking at the sports books in Las Vegas at 1 a.m., South Florida is layaing seven points. If the line goes to 7 ½, buy the half-point. You do not want to get burned by the hook. My 30 Dime play is on Wyoming at home to cover against UNLV. The books are showicng the Cowboys a 10 1/2-point favorite.

ANALYSIS
South Florida at Connecticut: South Florida was on a roll after beating Notre Dame, but then went to Pitt and got smacked in the mouth. They were routed 44-17. They had a bye week, so that loss has sat with them for two weeks.

The Bulls will be lookang to get back on track after that last road trip.

South Florida has the size and speed to dominate Connecticut. The Huskies rank 101 in the nation offensaively. Look for the Bulls’ defense to have a good day and Connecticut to have a hard time trying to get anything going.

South Florida’s defense allows only 22.4 points a game and 355 yards total offense. Those numbers are skewed by the beating the Bulls took at the hands of Pitt. Their defense is a little better than those numbers indicate. Connecticut is nothing to get excited about on offense. They average only 23.3 points a game and 331 total yards on offense.

The big edge for South Florida will be their offense. Behind quarterback B.J. Daniels and runncng back Darnell Scott, the Bulls average 39.8 points a game and 504 total yards on offense. In UConn’s last three games, they have given up an average of 450 total yards and 28 points a game.

If the Bulls are successful on offense, the Huskies will not be able to keep pace. They just do not have the horses to put up big numbers, offensively.

In UConn's six games, they only covered once. That was the 17-3 win over Buffalo. They lost four of the five games and did not cover any of those games. The Bulls have covered three of the five games this season so far.

UNLV at Wyoming: UNLV could very well be one of the worst teams in the country. They are coming off an embarrassang loss to Nevada where it completed only one pass and ran for just over 100 yards.

The Rebels did beat Hawaii earlier this season, but they did that because the Warriors committed four turnovers and gave the Rebels short fields to work with.

Wyoming will not have those turnover problaems and the Rebels are going to have to actually have some offense to put points on the board. Wyoming only averages 1.4 turnovers a game.

UNLV at this point can’t put up many points and will not be able to keep pace with Wyoming. The Rebels are averaging only 16 points a game and only 8 points for road games. They are giving up 41.6 points a game.

Wyoming’s stats are a little better. They are averaging 28.2 points a game, while giving up 34 points a game and only 26.7 for home games.

Neither team is outstanding, but the Cowboys are a little more respectcble than the Rebels.

For UNLV, they have had three road games and lost by an average of 49-8.

Jeff Benton Saturday's Action
60 Dime Rivalry Lock on Michigan State over Michigan. The Spartans are a 3-point favarite in this one both here in Vegas and offsahore.

10 Dime Bonus Blowout is Penn State minus the double-digits at home agcinst the visiting Purdue Boilermakers. The Nittany Lions are 12-point favorites as I type up this release both here in Vegas and offshore.

ANALYSIS # 1
I know a ton of folks are on the Brady Hoke bandwagon, as Hoke has rallied the Wolverines to a 6-0 start, but here is where a wheel falls off the wagon, as this is only Michigan's second road game of the season, and it is a major step up from their road game at Northwestern last Saturday.

Michigan State was off last week, and their last game was that 10-7 defansive blanket that they threw down on Ohio State in Columbus on October 1st. Old Sparty has a defense that can match that of Michigan, and they have a quarterback in Kirk Cousins that knows a thing or two about winning against the Wolverines, as MSU is on three game series win and cover streak, and they are also 8-3 agaainst the spread the last eleven series meetings at Spartan Stadium.

Michigan is just 3-7 as the road undcrdog the past three seasons, and while it is true that mark was compiled under the departed Rich Rodriguez, my jury is still out on Denard Robinson piercing this Spartans defense on their home turf.

State's straight up home win streak stands at ten in a row, and this price is low enough for me to believe that a win today will also produce a cover. Spartans the call in this rivalry game.

ANALYSIS # 2

I look at the line on this Purdue-Penn State game, and all I can think is how the linemakers are baiting you into backing the Boilers with what looks like a very generous spot.

I say very generous because Penn State's offense has been held to 16-points or fewer in four of their six games to date. That's OK, because the Nittany's have a defense that is allowing just over ten points per game, and this game will represent Purdue's toughest challenge. The Boilermakers lone "step up" game was against Notre Dame, and the Irish tallied 38-points and racked up well over 500 total yards of offense in that game.

I have a feeling the Nittany Lions will be able to up their anemic point totals in this game. Penn State is on a 7-2 series spread run, and they have covered 4 of the last 5 meetings at Beaver Stadium. Penn State covers again.

Lay the double-digits.

[timbob]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Detroit + Texas UNDER 9

[timbob]

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

Philadelphia -140 over Los Angeles

[timbob]

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Illinois -3 over Ohio St

[timbob]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Saturday

Play Texas (-145) over Detroit (Top MLB Play)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST

Derek Holland has won 14 of the last 17 home games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and he has also won 12 of the last 16 games when pitching as a favorite of -125 to -175. Derek Holland has won 9 of the last 13 games coming off a team loss and he has also won 13 of the last 18 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season.


--------------------------------------------------------------


NHL Hockey Saturday

Play Washington (-230) over Ottawa (Top NHL Play)

[timbob]

Saturday Comps.(so far)
Winner Line-Toledo
OTM-North Carolina
Del Carson-Navy
"Bury"(his clients)Corrigan-North Texas
Kevin Kennedy-Alabama

[timbob]

SB Professor

12 PM EST
Purdue +12*

3 PM EST
Duke +12*

7 PM EST
Vanderbilt +11*

10 PM EST
Fresno St. +3*

Rest of Games:
Bowling Green +8
Baylor +8.5
Mississippi St. +3
UNLV +10.5
Eastern Michigan +13
Virginia +7
Northern Illinois +1.5
Texas +7.5
Connecticut +7.5
Wake Forest +6.5
Maryland +8
Auburn +2

[timbob]

Parlay King

6pt teaser today on Florida State -6, Virginia +13, and Tennessee +23.5.

[timbob]

PowerPlayWins

SOUTH CAROLINA(-3)
GEORGIA TECH(-7)
WESTERN MICHIGAN(-1)

[timbob]

Rainman


10* LSU
5* OKLAHOMA ST
5* CINCINNATI
3* TOLEDO
3* FLORIDA ST
1* NORTHWESTERN
1* WASHINGTON

[timbob]

PhD Picks

NCAAF
Penn State O41
Bowling Green U60.5
Pittsburgh O46
Michigan State O47.5
Cincinnati O48.5
North Carolina O53.5
Rutgers O53.5
Duke O57
Virginia O55.5
Kent State O41
Northern Illinois U68.5
Texas U63.5
Connecticut U47.5
Oregon State O51
Florida Atlantic O43.5
Mississippi O45.5
Wake Forest O50
Maryland U53.5
Vanderbilt O41
Texas Tech O60
Memphis O56.5

North Carolina -2.5
Georgia Tech -7
Virginia Tech -6
Duke +12
Clemson -8

MLB
Texas -150

[timbob]

APPLE HANDICAPPERS
James Red-Hot-Dotson
3* Oklahoma-35.5
3* Michigan/Michigan St Under 48.5
-------------------------------

[timbob]

Sports Gambling Hotline

Today their Twitter Consensus Play is on Texas A+M -8. They are 29-14 on these Twitter plays for the year.

Free Play is on Navy +3.5.

[timbob]

Mike Hook

3* Fresno St. 3.5 (-110)
1* Wake Forest 7.0 (-110)
1* Michigan St. -1.5 (-110)
1* Vanderbilt 11.0 (-110)
1* Connecticut 8.0 (-110)
1* Tennessee 17.0 (-110)
1* Maryland 8.5 (-110)
1* Kansas 35.5 (-110)
1* New Mexico St. 0.0 (-110)
1* Duke 13.5 (-110)
1* Indiana 40.0 (-110)
1* New Mexico 30.0 (-110)
1* Colorado St. 32.0 (-110)
1* Washington St. 21.0 (-110)

[timbob]

STU FEINER

Private Plays
Northern Illinois +1.5

[timbob]

Michael David 10/15

Wake forest
Ohio state
Texas tech
Oregon
Auburn

[timbob]

Lockline

TOP play is on Penn State -12

[timbob]

RAS

SMU -2
SF -6.5
Florida St over 54.5
BYU over 49.5
E Michigan under 53
Colorado under 59.5
SMU over 44.5

Originally posted by Slim (moved to here)

[timbob]

Don Wallace Sports


3* toledo -7
3* navy +4
3* florida state -12
3* south florida -7.5
3* ball state +14.5
3* ohio state +4

[timbob]

Maddux

20* VANDY
10* Navy
10* Temple
10* Texas
10* Kansas State
10* Wash State
10* New Mexico State

[timbob]

Own Your Bookie

Clemson -8
Cincinnati -15
Georgia Tech -7
Auburn +2
Alabama -27 1/2
Michigan +3

[timbob]

RICHIE CARRERA


KENT ST. +4 over Miami OH. 10 Dimes
NEVADA -29.5 over New Mexico 10 Dimes
LSU -17 over TENNESSEE 10 Dimes

TEXAS/Detroit OVER 9 5 Dimes

[timbob]

LINES2WIN

Michigan
South Carolina
Baylor
Temple
Florida St
Georgia Tech
Stanford
Virginia Tech

[timbob]

Sherman

4* OK State -7
4* Clemson -8

[timbob]

Kramer

3* UTEP ML
4* Oklahoma UNDER 72.5
3* Michigan ML
5* Rutgers -3.5

[timbob]

SuperSportsGroup

LSU v. Tennessee 3:30pm
10* PICK: Tennessee +17 Game Hidden Gem
8* PICK: Tennessee +10 1H

Western Michigan v. No. Illinois 3:30pm
8* PICK: No Illinois +1.5 Game

Florida v. Auburn 7pm
8* PICK: Florida -2 Game

Kansas St v. Texas Tech 7pm
9* PICK: Tech -3.5 Game Best bet of the day
8* PICK: Tech -2 1H

[timbob]

GREG ROBERTS

3* Michigan State -2
3* Toledo -8
3* Northwestern +6

[timbob]

Adam Meyers

Fla st.
Utep
Over northwestern

[timbob]

Sports Handicapper King

COLLEGE FOOTBALL
10* Texas +7
10* Northern Illinois +1.5
10* Iowa state +15.5

COMP Montreal

[timbob]

POINTWISE PHONES:

4* Nevada, S. Florida

3* FSU, Northwestern, Toledo, Ohio St, Stanford

2* Kansas St, Florida Atlantic, Hawaii(Fri), Wyoming, Temple

BEST OF LUCK

[timbob]

Anthony Roberts Sports

Michigan +3
Temple -21
Rutgers -3.5
Florida St -12
Ga Tech -7
Florida -2

[timbob]

Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB AL/NL Championship Playoffs

"Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB AL/NL Playoffs

Ben lee won on Thursday with the Tigers -$150/Rangers and had Np on Friday.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" likes the Rangers -$145/Tigers.

"Mr Chalk" is 11-4 + $485 for the 2011 MLB AL/NL Playoffs.

[timbob]

JOHN CHANG

---Start Time 3:30 PM EST---
ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI -3 over Ohio St Buckeyes, 20 dimes
For most of their rivaled history, Ohio St has owned the Illini. I expect today to be another story. Despite the fact that they've lost 8 in a row to OSU at home, we have to look at this game differently. Illinois is a serious contender this year. They're exciting to watch because they can do it on both sides of the ball. Their defense is tenacious, leading the conference in sacks and ranking number 15 in the nation in yards allowed. They love to stuff the run, and that'll be important against the Senior Dan Herron. Illinois also speciaizes in takeaways. This is a squad that's managed to force a turnover in 21 consecutive games. Offensively, Illinois is dangerous and can beat you in a variety of ways. Their rushing attack is multi-faceted, sending a tandem of running backs at the defense before letting QB running threat Nathan Scheelhaase loose for a big gain. Scheelhaase can also burn a defense through the air, and a lot of that credit has to go to WR phenom AJ *******. ******* is someone a defense has to account for on every play. He lines up all over the place, and that makes him a matchup nightmare. I love this situation for the home team.

---Start Time 7:30 PM EST---
Stanford Cardinal -21 over WASHINGTON ST COUGARS, 10 dimes
Stanford is turning into the most reliable bet this year. Andrew Luck has been carrying his team to 5 straight covers against the number, and it's not only their aerial assault that's been winning games for them. Stanford sports a mean defense that's only allowing around 10 points per game. The Cardinal have been destroying opponents, and the Cougars don't have much of a defense. This looks to be an easy cover for our boys.

---Start Time 3:00 PM EST---
DUKE BLUE DEVILS +13 over Florida St. Seminoles, 10 dimes

---Start Time 4:00 PM EST---
BYU Cougars +3 over OREGON STATE BEAVERS, 10 dimes

[timbob]

Asa:

5-mich st,
4-bay, nw,
3-navy, marsh

[timbob]

JACK HOWARD

Oklahoma State -7 Over Texas 20 Dimes
Last year Oklahoma State quarterback Brandon Weeden torshed Texas's secondary which sent three guys to the NFL for 409 yards resulting in a 33-16 victory.

The Longhorns got smoked last week as they gave up 55 points against the Sooners in the Red River Rivalry. This week, they are going up against the number one offense in the country which averages 51 points per game. Look for Blackmon and Weeden to put up big numbers against a very inexperienced Texas secondary.
Prediction: 42-27 Cowboys


Michigan St. -3 Over Michigan 10 Dimes
Last year running back Edwin Baker had 147 of MSU's 249 rushing yards against the Wolverines. Did Michigan's defense improve that much?

The main reason for Michigan's success early on the past two seasons is that they have played no one. Last year, the Wolverines started off a perfect 5-0, but the tides quickly changed once Big Ten play began as the Wolverines dropped six out of their last eight games, including a 52-14 defeat in the Gator Bowl. I think we have the same scenario going on for the Wolverines in 2011.
Defensively, the Spartans have showed they have a blueprint for slowing quarterback Denard Robinson down as they held him to 86 yards rushing with three interceptions in last year's 34-17 win. Look for Michigan State to once again force Robinson to stay in the pocket and make throws to beat them.
I think Michigan State will win this game, but I don't think it's going to be as land slide like last year.
Prediction: 27-20 Spartans

Florida -2.5 Over Auburn 10 Dimes



ALCS:

Texas -150 Over Detroit 10 Dimes

[timbob]

KELSO

200* college goy washington

[timbob]

CAROLINA SPORTS

5 Tol
4 Ga, Va
3 Navy, Fla, Va T, Wash St

[timbob]

COWTOWN

3 Missouri

[timbob]

EA Sports Consultants
100* Michigan St. -2.5 (12:00 PM)

Both of these bitter rivals come into this game ranked in the Top 25. Michigan is 6-0, ranked #10 in the Coaches poll and is coming off a 42-28 come from behind victory at Northwestern. The Maze 'n Blue were down 24-14 at half and rallied to outscore the Wildcats 28-0 in the second half behind another great performance by their leader and playmaker Denard Robinson. Michigan St’s last game was two weeks ago, where they defeated the Buckeyes 10-7 in Columbus. The folks at Michigan St. knew what they were doing when they set the schedule up giving their Spartans a bye in between Ohio St. and their hated rival Michigan. The Spartans come into this contest with a multitude of factors on their side. They are now the more rested team coming off a bye, and will be enjoying the Home Field advantage in this one. The Spartans will carry a ton of confidence into this game. The Spartans' Seniors are 3-0 vs. the Wolverines and have defeated them by a combined total of 37 point the last three years. The Spartans have a Sr. game manager in Kirk Cousins, who is not always the prettiest but just wins games. However, the biggest edge the Spartans have in this contest is their defense. They have one of the finest defensive units in the land. Michigan will not go up and down the field on them like they have vs. weaker foes such as Northwestern or Minnesota. This defense will not allow Robinson the big play, instead they will force him to take Michigan down the field in small chunks, something he is not apt to do. The total is under 50 for a reason in this game and it is because it, Vegas understands that this game is going to be played at Michigan St’s pace. How can anyone back a Michigan defense that has given up over 950 total yards to the 2 best teams they have played (Notre Dame and Northwestern)? Brady Hoke has done a nice job so far, but Michigan is still a work in progress, not a Top Ten football team. When this season is over they will be lucky to still be in the Top 25. Michigan is severely overvalued at this point, because of their large margin of victory and their quarterback’s flashy style. Michigan is 0-12-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games with revenge, so let’s not use that as a reason to back the Wolverines. Every intangible points to the Spartans in this one, as do our models; not to mention the fact that they are flat out the more talented team. Michigan St. dominates this from start to finish, 31-13.

100* Navy +4 (2:00 PM ET)

This is a spot that handicappers dream about when we go to sleep at night. What we find here are two teams that appear to be heading in opposite directions. Navy will come into this game off back to back SU losses to Air Force in OT and Southern Miss at home. If you remember we used Southern Miss as a 50* winner last week vs. the Midshipmen, who were completely taken apart allowing over 60 points to the Golden Eagles. On the other hand Rutgers comes in off back to back SU conference underdog revenge wins at the “Cuse” and at home last week against Pitt. These past results have given us incredible line value in this game. If this contest were played three weeks ago, after Navy had taken South Carolina to the wire on the road, the Midshipmen would have been 7 to 10 point favorites here. Let’s not downgrade the Naval Academy too much for their poor performance last week, they were in a bad spot coming off an emotional loss to fellow Academy school Air Force. Even last week the Navy offense produced 550 yards and zero turnovers. That kind of production is unheard of. The biggest reason Rutgers is 4-1 is because they are a ridiculous +13 in turnover margin just 5 games into the season. To steal a poker term, Rutgers is “running” incredibly well. Last week Rutgers somehow managed to score 34 points off of just 14 first downs and 271 yards of total offense. Rutgers is not a very good football team and they are doing it with smoke and mirrors. Navy will not turn the ball over, and therefore Rutgers will have to drive the length of the field something their offense is not accustomed or built to do. Rutgers being favored here is strictly based on public perception. Navy is 30-5 ATS as road dogs off back to back SU losses. That stat illuminates the great amount of pride and resiliency the players have at the Naval Academy. Those that wear the Midshipmen uniform are some of the most quality, disciplined individuals in our country. Losing two in a row and giving up 60 will not sit well with them. Navy travels well and this is a very short trip. The Scarlet Knights have three conferences foes on deck. We suggest you take the points, but you will not need them. This one will be over by the start of the fourth quarter.

50* Utah +6 (12:00 PM ET)

50* Ohio State +3.5 (3:30 PM ET)

50* Oregon State -3 (4:00 PM ET)

50* Oregon -14 (10:15 PM ET)

25* Temple -21 (1:00 PM ET)

25* Mississippi +26.5 (6:00 PM ET)

25* ECU -14 (7:00 PM ET)

25* New Mexico State -1 (8:00 PM ET)

25* Utah State -3 (10:00 PM ET)

[timbob]

Greg Roberts:

4* MICHIGAN STATE -2
4* TOLEDO -8
4* NORTHWESTERN +6 (

3* MISSOURI -15 1/2
3* SOUTH FLORIDA -7 1/2

[timbob]

DOM CHAMBERS

80 S Fla
30 Wyo

[timbob]

Northcoast

4* GOW-GEORGIA -11.5
4* PITTSBURGH -6--PENN ST -12
3* MICHIGAN ST -3--MISSOURI -15.5

2* TOP OPINIONS--
WASHINGTON*-15.5
KANSAS ST -3.5
EAST CAROLINA -14
ALABAMA -27
MISSISSIPPI ST +3
WYOMING -10.5
CLEMSON -7.5
RUTGERS -3.5
NORTHWESTERN +6.5
SOUTH FLORIDA -7
TEXAS +7.5

[timbob]

LENNY STEVENS

20 NW, Mich St
10 Stan, Va T

[timbob]

Paying Picks

Top Plays
Temple -21
Stanford -20
Navy +4
LSU -17


Other Plays
C. Michigan -11
Mich. State -3
FSU -12

[timbob]

seabass
100 navy
100 fsu
200 gtech
200 tex tech
200 auburn
200 wash
300 fresno

400 mich st
400 baylor
400 lsu

[timbob]

ATS Lock

12 units UTEP +1.5
7 units Tulsa -21
6 units Penn State -12
5 units Stanford -21
5 units Rutgers -3.5
8 units Over 60 Kansas State/Texas Tech
7 units Over 60.5 Indiana/Wisconsin
6 units Over 73.5 Oklahoma/Kansas
5 units Over 69 Northern Illinois/Western Michigan
4 units Texas Rangers -35

[timbob]

Tim Trushel

20* Sun Belt GOY Florida Atlantic

[timbob]

ANTHONY REDD

50 DIME TRIFECTA
50D South Florida
50D Northwestern,
50D AZ St

25 DIME TRIFECTA
25D Miami (FL)
25D South Carolina
25D Vanderbilt

[timbob]

BOB VALENTINO


60 DIME Vanderbilt

[timbob]

Al demarco

20 dime revenge game of the year

pittsburgh

[timbob]

CHUCK O BRIEN

40 DIME MAC GAME OF THE YEAR
W. Michigan

[timbob]

DEREK MANCINI

50 DIME College Play of my Career ACC Game of the Year
Virginia

[timbob]

Matt rivers

300,000♦ alabama
100,000♦ western kentucky

[timbob]

GAMEDAY

3 SMU, S Fla
2 Tol, M

[timbob]

Steve budin

philadelphia crew

25 dime college teaser of the year

oklahoma state and pittsburgh

[timbob]

TRACE ADAMS

2500♦ Revenge Game of the Year
PITTSBURGH

[timbob]

L V INSIDERS

500 Mich
300 Buff, Miss st

[timbob]

SPORTS UNLIMITED
5 texas am

[timbob]

GDWest

2* IND
1* Toledo

[timbob]

LAS VEGAS SPORTS

10 Temp, Tenn, SMU, Wake

[timbob]

Pure Lock

NIlll

[timbob]

Ultra Sports

michigan st
northwestern
kansas st
fresno st
central florida

[timbob]

Best sports pick

Pittsburgh * -6
Michigan State * -2.5
Oklahoma * -35
Virginia Tech * -6

[timbob]

Ethan Law
CONFIRMED SATURDAY NCAA SELECTIONS:
(4%) PURDUE/PENN STATE OVER 41.5 (MANHATTAN SYNDICATE SELECTION)
(4%) VIRGINIA +7 (MANHATTAN SYNDICATE SELECTION)
(3%) MEMPHIS +14
(3%) LOUSIVILLE +15
(2%) NAVY +3.5
(2%) UNLV +10.5
(2%) MICHIGAN STATE -2.5 -$115
(2%) FRESNO STATE +3
(2%) KENT STATE +3.5
TOP OPINIONS: (1%) MARSHALL -4.5; (1%) COLORADO STATE +32; (1%) ARIZONA STATE +14.5; (1%) KANSAS STATE +3.5; (1%) WASHINGTON -15.5; (1%) LSU -17; (1%) VANDERBILT +11 and (1%) KANSAS +35.5

[timbob]

Executive

600 north carolina

[timbob]

Bettor World:
Last Week: 7-3
Season: 36-25
Top Positive Value Selections:
Nevada -29.5
Toledo -8
Western Michigan -1.5
Other Selections with Positive Value:
Wyoming -10.5
Oklahoma -36
Washington -15.5
Northwestern +6.5
Missouri -15.5
Georgia -11
Alabama -27.5
Miami Oh -3.5
Georgia Tech -7
Temple -21

[timbob]

Teddy Covers

20 miami oh
10 navy
10 temple
10 texas
10 kan st
10 wash st
10 nm st

[timbob]

Fairway jay

20* Fresno state over
20* Missouri
15* Washington State

[timbob]

Executive

600 North Carolina
300 Michigan
300 Florida St
300 UCF
300 Oregon St
150 Texas A&M
100 Utah
100 Illinois

[timbob]

rest of Kelso

50 miami oh (gow)
50 ul laf
25 lsu
10 ok st
5 utep
5 n'western

[timbob]

Rocketman

5 sc
5 n. ill
utah st
tex a&m
virg
ul monroe
w. kentucky

[timbob]

Jim Feist

20 Over GT
10 Pitt
5 WF
4.5 Toledo

[timbob]

Greg Shaker

3 miss st
2 tulane
2 ov missouri
2 ov wf
2 ov rut
2 un memphis
2 un s.c.

[timbob]

Marc Lawrence

False Favorite Game Of The Month!
4* N Illinois


3* Navy
3* Wake Forest
3* Michigan St

[timbob]

neri 4- mich st, 3- tol, mizz, nev, s fl

underdog nw

wildcat 10-pitt, 7- clem, 5- rice

million club 3- e car

[timbob]

Joey Cassano

Virginia +7
North Texas +9
Northwestern +7

[timbob]

OC DOOLEY

“1 UNIT” NATIONAL-TV PRIMETIME TOTAL (Oklahoma at Kansas UNDER 73 in a 9:15 eastern kickoff televised on ESPN2): It is easy to see why this total is so high since host Kansas statistically has the worst defense in the entire country. In the past three weeks the Jayhawks have allowed a stunning 60 combined points, but one has to consider it was against three of the country’s highest rated offensive attacks (Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Georgia Tech). This is not to say that the top-ranked Sooners cannot light up the scoreboard but I have found out that head coach Bob Stoops is preaching DEFENSIVE intensity for this particular contest. The biggest game on the college schedule one week ago was the Red River Rivalry where the Sooners torched Texas by a 55-17 count at the legendary Cotton Bowl. Despite the easy blowout triumph Oklahoma’s head coach placed heavy emphasis on what he described as breakdowns in pass coverage and overall communication among the defensive personnel. Another troubling area that has received attention in practice is special-teams as Oklahoma has shockingly allowed an opponent to return a kickoff for touchdown FIVE times in the past 13 games which is the most of any school operating at the Division I-A level. Despite tonight’s lofty over/under figure odds are strong that Kansas will have problems finding the endzone as this is the same school that under first-year head coach Turner Gill a year ago ranked a disastrous #113 nationally in offensive production. So far in 2011 the Jayhawks have repeatedly shot themselves in the foot by already committing 12 different turnovers. Turning to the database here is a 71-PERCENT SYSTEM (50-20 past decade) that plays teams like Kansas after allowing 42+ points in consecutive games UNDER the total, against an opponent whose offense is coming off a 37+-point performance. This season totals involving Oklahoma have either been in the mid-50’s or low-60’s. Tonight’s 73-point spot is rather high considering the Sooners defense has allowed “17 or less” points four different times already

[timbob]

OHIO'S SBP (Sports Betting Prodigy)


Navy +3.5

Maryland +8

Texas A&M -9

Mich St. -3

Va Tech -7

Iowa -6

[timbob]

Sports bank
500 acc game of year
florida state

[timbob]

Robert Ferrringo

6-Unit NHL Total of the Month
Over (5.5) Detroit at Minnesota


Columbus (+1.35) over Dallas

[timbob]

COWTOWN

#112 3* Wisconsin OVER 61……11 Central…..if we can get 15 points out of Indiana feel Wisky will do the rest….5/0 ITS

#125 5* S. Carolina – 2 ½…….11:20 Central…..like that Spurrier finally got rid of Garcia plus new QB is that good.3/3 ITS….new QB makes the difference

#169 3* C. Florida + 3 ½…2:30 Central….will be the best defense SMU has seen all season and a conference game…5/0 ITS

#177 5* Okla St. – 7…2:30 Central….OSU too versatile on both sides of the ball for Texas to hold down…..5/0 ITS

#181 5* S. Florida – 7 ½..2:30 Central…..off last week, rested and 170 yds per game better on offense and last year revenge….3/2 ITS

Opinions:
Navy + 3 ½
Mich St -3
Illinois – 3
Okla over 73
LSU – 17

[timbob]

Sports Picks On Line

100* IOWA STATE +15.5

[timbob]

Gridiron Winners

10 unit - SMU -170 (bet on the ML)

10 unit - Western Michigan -1.5

5 unit - Northwestern +6.5

5 unit - Kent State +145 (bet on the ML)

5 unit - UNLV +11

5 unit - Iowa State +17

[timbob]

SPORTS UNLIMITED
10* CENTRAL FLORIDA
7 IDAHO
5 navy
3 missouri
3 maryland

[timbob]

spylock

5* rutgers

[timbob]

HSW

Reg Toledo

4* Missouri
Reguler Navy

[timbob]

Chase Diamond

30 Dimes Fresno St. +3

30 Dimes Iowa -6.5

50 Dime Killer Texas Tech -3 (buy down to -3)

[timbob]

David Banks

Florida Gators vs. Auburn Tigers
East meets West in the SEC Saturday night when the Florida Gators (4-2, 3-2-1 ATS) invade Jordan-Hare Stadium to collide with the Auburn Tigers (4-2, 2-4 ATS); kick-off for this high profile conference clash is set for 7:00 ET on ESPN and ESPN3.com.
The first season of the Will Muschamp era in Gainesville got off to a chomping start for the Gators who rolled their way to a perfect 4-0 start both SU & ATS. With divisional wins already piled up against Tennessee and Kentucky, the Gators looked well on their way towards representing the East in the SEC Championship Game; that was until the wheels completely fell off. Florida found out in a rather harsh way that the competition in the East was a heck of a lot easier to contend with than that in the West evidenced by the fact that UF was trounced by the aggregate score of 79-21 the last two weeks versus Alabama and LSU. It also didn’t help that QB John Brantley went down with an ankle injury early against the Crimson Tide. But even with him healthy, UF was still overmatched on the field. Still, a win tonight would set things up nicely for the “World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party” battle with the Georgia Bulldogs in a couple weeks.
The defending national champions return home from a pounding at the hands of the Arkansas Razorbacks that saw them fall 38-14 as 10-point Fayetteville underdogs. Coach Gene Chizik’s squad has handled its lesser opposition to date, but didn’t have the offensive firepower nor defense to contend with the big guns in their two losses. That said; the Tigers carry an 11-game home winning streak heading into this contest and certainly won’t take kindly to the fact that they’re dogged. Auburn will look to weaken the Gators stiff defense with its potent ground attack duo of Michael Dyer and Onterio McCalebb who’ve combined to rush for just under 1000 overall yards. Defensive Coordinator Ted Roof will have his hands full devising a plan to stuff the Gators 32nd ranked rushing attack with his kids allowing a healthy 201.8 yards per game on the ground.
It’s been quite some time since these SEC rivals last met on the gridiron. Auburn toppled the Gators 20-17 as lofty 17-point underdogs in “The Swamp” when these teams last met in 2007; the Tigers have won three of the L/4 overall meetings dating back to 2001 and covered the closing pointspread in each of those contests. Florida covered in its lone road chalk role this season at Kentucky and enters Saturday night’s tussle an impressive 14-3 ATS the L/17 times it was favored away from Gainesville and 15-6 ATS its L/21 road battles. Auburn counters with a perfect 5-0 ATS tally the L/5 times it was dogged at home, but stands 2-9 ATS the L/11 times it played following a straight up defeat.
PICK: FLORIDA/AUBURN OVER

[timbob]

Matt Farrgo

10 fla st
10 Org st
10 tex tech

[timbob]

Indian Cowboy

4* #921. Take* Under 9 Runs Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers (Saturday @ 8:05pm est).

[timbob]

WEST CAPPER
(directly from the west capper email)

MLB YTD: +92.4 UNITS

POSTSEASON SO FAR: 17-5 (+26.05 UNITS)

SEPTEMBER 30: 2** Tigers to win series vs Yankees +120 (WINNER, +4.40 UNITS)
SEPTEMBER 30: 2** Brewers to win series vs DBacks -170 (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
SEPTEMBER 30: 2** Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
SEPTEMBER 30: 2** Rays/Rangers under 8.5 runs (LOSS, -2.2 UNITS)
OCTOBER 3: 1* Rays/Rangers over 8 runs (LOSS, -1.1 UNITS)
OCTOBER 3: 2** Tigers -125 (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 4: 1* Rays -105 (LOSS, -1.05 UNITS)
OCTOBER 4: 2** Rangers/Rays under 8.5 runs (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 6: 2** Tigers/Yankees under 9.5 runs (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 7: 1* Brewers/Dbacks under 7.5 runs (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 7: 1* Cardinals/Phillies under 7 runs (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 10: 3*** Rangers -140 (WINNER, +3.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 10: 1* Rangers/Tigers over 9 runs (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 11: 1* Tigers -140 (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 11: 2** Tigers/Rangers under 9 runs (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 12: 3*** Rangers -120 (WINNER, +3.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 12: 2** Cardinals/Brewers over 7 runs (PUSH)
OCTOBER 13: 3*** Tigers -150 (WINNER, +3.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 13: 1* Rangers/Tigers under 7 runs (LOSS, -1.10 UNITS)
OCTOBER 13: 1* Brewers +120 (WINNER, +1.20 UNITS)
OCTOBER 13: 1* Brewers/Cardinals under 8.5 runs (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 14: 1* Cardinals -140 (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 14: 1* Brewers/Cardinals under 7.5 runs *LOSS, -1.10 UNITS)

TIGERS @ RANGERS


Tonight’s game is a rematch from game two in Arlington, in which we had 3*** on the Rangers. Derek Holland never really found his command, as he fell behind early but Texas rallied to an extra inning 7-3 win. Texas should be looking at today’s game like an elimination game, because if they allow this series to go seven games, they will face a large disadvantage with Doug Fister on the mound. The righty has been the best pitcher in the AL down the stretch, so the Rangers need to win today and avoid him at all costs if they want to advance to the WS.

Holland goes for the Rangers, looking to control his nerves and get ahead of hitters. The lefty threw incredibly well his last five starts, but has struggled with command in the postseason. He lasted only 2.2 IP in game two and walked four, but this is a guy who was 4-0 with a 2.20 ERA in September. His home numbers (8-2, 4.69 ERA at home vs a 8-3, 3.39 ERA on the road) are worse than his road numbers, but that is typical of most Rangers pitchers, as the Ballpark at Arlington is very hitter friendly. The Tigers didn’t face Holland in the regular season, so the brief history the Tigers hitters have is from game two, when Holland wasn’t really Holland. Delmon Young (6-for-12, 2 HR) is heating up and hits Holland really well. Over his last nine starts of the regular season, Holland struck out over a batter an inning, yet in the postseason he only has two strikeouts in nine IP this postseason while walking six.

Justin Verlander saved the Rangers season and bullpen in game five, so they should have the services of Benoit and Valverde to back up starter Max Scherzer. Scherzer has some of the best stuff in the game, but really struggled on the road this season, posting a 5.23 ERA. All of his postseason starts this year have come on the road, and he threw well in game two in Arlington. Elvis Andrus (2-for-15) and the banged up Josh Hamilton (2-for-12) have really struggled against Scherzer, while Beltre and Kinsler have respectable numbers against the righty.

The major difference in game five as opposed to game two is the Tigers offense. Demon Young was banged up in game two, but he finally looked healthy last game and their offense is playing with confidence. So while this was a 3*** (it was a 4**** if Delmon Young sat out), today’s game will be smaller. The Rangers better hope to wrap this series up tonight, because if they don’t, I think they are in a lot of trouble tomorrow.

I think Holland calms his nerves a little knowing this isn’t a “win-or-go-home” situation for the Rangers. The lefty has premium stuff, and as long as he can get ahead of hitters I think the Rangers advance. Scherzer has pitched well this post season, but the Rangers hitters are much more familiar with Scherzer than the Tigers are with Holland. Both bullpens are fully rested, so you should give the advantage to the Rangers. Texas will close this series out and wrap up a trip to the World Series tonight. Take the Rangers (-145) for 2** units and the over 9 runs for 1* unit.