10-22-11 [Archive] - Investwithsports.com Sportstalk and Gambling forum

Mr. IWS

10-21-2011, 11:32 AM

DUNKEL

Game 311-312: Indiana at Iowa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 73.002; Iowa 94.622
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 21 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Iowa by 23 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+23 1/2); Under

Game 313-314: NC State at Virginia (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 82.668; Virginia 85.099
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 2 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Virginia by 5 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+5 1/2); Over

Game 315-316: Illinois at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 94.618; Purdue 83.725
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 11; 44
Vegas Line: Illinois by 5 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-5 1/2); Under

Game 317-318: Maryland at Florida State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 85.084; Florida State 100.931
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 16; 59
Vegas Line: Florida State by 18; 55
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+18); Over

Game 319-320: Georgia Tech at Miami (FL) (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 96.121; Miami (FL) 96.323
Dunkel Line: Even; 57
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3; 62
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+3); Under

Game 321-322: Wake Forest at Duke (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 87.494; Duke 84.985
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 2 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 3; 59
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+3); Over

Game 323-324: Arkansas at Mississippi (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 103.390; Mississippi 85.085
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 18 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 17; 56
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-17); Under

Game 325-326: Cincinnati at South Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 95.126; South Florida 102.442
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 7 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: South Florida by 2 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-2 1/2); Under

Game 327-328: North Carolina at Clemson (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 90.781; Clemson 107.314
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 16 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Clemson by 10; 58
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-10); Over

Game 329-330: Northern Illinois at Buffalo (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 91.257; Buffalo 74.150
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 17; 57
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 13 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-13 1/2); Under

Game 331-332: Boston College at Virginia Tech (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 81.970; Virginia Tech 100.834
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 19; 46
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 21 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+21 1/2); Over

Game 333-334: Texas A&M at Iowa State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 105.467; Iowa State 82.900
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 22 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 20; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-20); Over

Game 335-336: Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 80.753; Eastern Michigan 71.223
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 9 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 13 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+13 1/2); Under

Game 337-338: New Mexico at TCU (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 58.460; TCU 105.430
Dunkel Line: TCU by 47; 57
Vegas Line: TCU by 41; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-41); Under

Game 339-340: Central Michigan at Ball State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 74.855; Ball State 74.875
Dunkel Line: Even; 64
Vegas Line: Ball State by 2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+2); Over

Game 341-342: Tulsa at Rice (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 88.682; Rice 76.076
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 12 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 10 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-10 1/2); Under

Game 343-344: Army at Vanderbilt (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 84.161; Vanderbilt 90.244
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 6; 47
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 9 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Army (+9 1/2); Over

Game 345-346: Louisiana Tech at Utah State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 78.566; Utah State 85.639
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 7; 63
Vegas Line: Utah State by 5 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-5 1/2); Over

Game 347-348: Temple at Bowling Green (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 97.587; Bowling Green 81.471
Dunkel Line: Temple by 16; 43
Vegas Line: Temple by 12 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-12 1/2); Under

Game 349-350: Ohio at Akron (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 79.640; Akron 60.553
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 19; 55
Vegas Line: Ohio by 14; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-14); Over

Game 351-352: Memphis at Tulane (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 54.579; Tulane 64.993
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 10 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Tulane by 13; 52
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+13); Under

Game 353-354: Oklahoma State at Missouri (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 107.155; Missouri 102.321
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 5; 66
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 8; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (+8); Under

Game 355-356: Oregon at Colorado (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 115.395; Colorado 81.519
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 34; 69
Vegas Line: Oregon by 32; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-32); Over

Game 357-358: Nebraska at Minnesota (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 101.245; Minnesota 69.255
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 32; 52
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 24 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-24 1/2); Under

Game 359-360: Utah at California (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 88.582; California 92.401
Dunkel Line: California by 4; 51
Vegas Line: California by 2 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: California (-2 1/2); Over

Game 361-362: Air Force at Boise State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 84.055; Boise State 119.269
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 35; 70
Vegas Line: Boise State by 30 1/2; 65
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-30 1/2); Over

Game 363-364: Kansas State at Kansas (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 91.280; Kansas 81.306
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 10; 58
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 12; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+12); Under

Game 365-366: Texas Tech at Oklahoma (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 93.070; Oklahoma 123.723
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 30 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 28; 69 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-28); Over

Game 367-368: Oregon State at Washington State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 85.836; Washington State 87.214
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 1 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Washington State by 3 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+3 1/2); Under

Game 369-370: East Carolina at Navy (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 78.401; Navy 84.540
Dunkel Line: Navy by 6; 61
Vegas Line: Navy by 9; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+9); Under

Game 371-372: Fresno State at Nevada (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 76.127; Nevada 97.009
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 21; 62
Vegas Line: Nevada by 10 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-10 1/2); Over

Game 373-374: Marshall at Houston (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 77.279; Houston 99.386
Dunkel Line: Houston by 22; 58
Vegas Line: Houston by 20; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-20); Under

Game 375-376: Penn State at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 93.111; Northwestern 87.208
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 6; 49
Vegas Line: Penn State by 4; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-4); Over

Game 377-378: Miami (OH) at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 80.524; Toledo 94.315
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 14; 53
Vegas Line: Toledo by 17 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+17 1/2); Over

Game 379-380: Tennessee at Alabama (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 93.482; Alabama 123.537
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 30; 43
Vegas Line: Alabama by 28; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-28); Under

Game 381-382: USC at Notre Dame (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 91.468; Notre Dame 107.246
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 16; 60
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 8; 58
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-8); Over

Game 383-384: SMU at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 94.224; Southern Mississippi 91.819
Dunkel Line: SMU by 2 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3; 57
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+3); Under

Game 385-386: Washington at Stanford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 101.366; Stanford 114.153
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 13; 66
Vegas Line: Stanford by 20 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+20 1/2); Over

Game 387-388: Auburn at LSU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 91.903; LSU 119.628
Dunkel Line: LSU by 27 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: LSU by 22 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-22 1/2); Under

Game 389-390: Wisconsin at Michigan State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 116.917; Michigan State 98.284
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 18 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 8 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-8 1/2); Under

Game 391-392: Colorado State at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 75.350; UTEP 74.430
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 1; 60
Vegas Line: UTEP by 7 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+7 1/2); Over

Game 393-394: New Mexico State at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 66.631; Hawaii 90.972
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 24 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 21; 57
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-21); Under

Game 395-396: UL-Lafayette at Western Kentucky (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 75.615; Western Kentucky 74.351
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 3 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+3 1/2); Over

Game 397-398: Middle Tennessee State at Florida Atlantic (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 72.703; Florida Atlantic 61.376
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 6; 61
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-6); Under

Game 399-400: UL-Monroe at North Texas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 71.773; North Texas 75.367
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 3 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 6; 47
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+6); Over

Mr. IWS

10-21-2011, 02:52 PM

RICK NEEDHAM

Penn State (-4.0) at Northwestern Oct. 22, 7:00, Big Ten Network

Here’s The Deal : Northwestern’s most memorable game since it’s shocking turnaround 16 years ago was probably the 54-51 classic win over Michigan in 2000. But as far as the program’s biggest moment, it was a 21-10 win in Evanston over Penn State in the magical 1995 season. That was when the college football world was watching, and that was when the Wildcats came up with the nationally televised win that all but put them in the Rose Bowl. Overall, though, the series has belonged to the other cats. Penn State is 11-3 over Northwestern, with all the games played after the Nittany Lions joined the Big Ten, and now both teams are at a crossroads. Northwestern got its star back, but quarterback Dan Persa hasn’t been able to spark a frustrating team on a four game losing streak and an 0-3 start in the Big Ten. The defense has been a major disappointment, while the offense hasn’t been timely and can’t seem to find any rhythm. With Indiana up next, and with Rice and Minnesota still on the slate, a bowl game is still possible, but the Wildcats need one extra win to make it happen. With a road trip to Nebraska to deal with and a home game against Michigan State, this might be the best chance of the bunch. Penn State might be 6-1, but it’s a very, very mediocre 6-1. Thanks to a stifling defense that’s playing as well as anyone outside of Baton Rouge and Tuscaloosa, the team has gotten past the passing woes on offense to slip by Indiana, Iowa, and Purdue. On the year, the Nittany Lions have won four games by less than a touchdown, but they’ve almost always come through when they’ve had to. The finishing kick, though, is a doozy with Illinois, Nebraska, at Ohio State, and at Wisconsin to close. But at 3-0 in Big Ten play, it’s all still right there for the taking. From The Lions' Perspective: If Penn State was ever going to get the passing game going, this would be the week and this would be the secondary to attack. As bad as Northwestern’s offense has been at times, it’s been the defensive backfield that’s the bigger disaster giving up 351 yards or more three times and getting bombed on for 362 yards by Michigan and 224 last week against Iowa. Take away for 1-of-7, six-yard day from Army – who won 21-14 –and average it out, and Northwestern’s pass defense would rank only ahead of Tulsa, Kansas, and Texas A&M. It’s not just the dinkers and dunkers; all passing games are going gonzo with the deep ball as well as everything underneath. When Denard Robinson and Nathan Scheelhaase look like Tom Brady, there are problems. For all of Penn State’s accuracy woes, the yards are coming. Rob Bolden and Matt McGloin combined to complete just 10-of-23 passes against Purdue, but they went for 185 yards. They connected on a mere 16-of-36 passes against Indiana, but they went for 271 yards. Expect at least 250 yards from a passing game that shouldn’t be throwing for more than 200 on anyone with a pulse.
From The 'Cats' Viewpoint: Penn State doesn’t score. The Nittany Lion defense has been the biggest difference with turnovers and big stops bailing out the offense time and again, but Northwestern hasn’t been giving up the ball enough for PSU to count on getting mistakes. NU has only given the ball away six times, and while five of the turnover came in the last three games, this isn’t a team that makes a slew of big mistakes. Penn State managed more than 16 points in just three games this year, and two of those came against Indiana State and Eastern Michigan. Northwestern’s D could use a big of a break. Persa might not be running well like he did last year, but his arm has been more than fine throwing for four scores against Illinois while winging it around for 331 yards against Michigan and 242 against Iowa. He’s accurate and his command are there, and while he’s not moving as well as he should, he’s throwing in midseason form. The Wildcats can rely on their quarterback to produce. As bad as the NU secondary might be playing, Penn State can’t count on its quarterback to take advantage.

Who To Look Out For Department: With Derek Moye out with a foot injury, Penn State needed a receiver to step up and take charge as the No. 1 guy. Justin Brown tried last week against Purdue with four catches for 86 yards, but he wasn’t exactly a reliable playmaker for a full sixty minutes. He’s trying, though, catching 23 passes for 311 yards but failing to get into the end zone. Mostly a punt returner so far, he needs to take advantage of the bad Wildcat secondary and get the ball on the move as much as possible. He has home run hitting ability, and now he has to start swinging. No one’s happier that Dan Persa is back than Northwestern senior receiver Jeremy Ebert, who had a decent first few games of the year, catching two touchdown passes against Army, but followed it up with three touchdowns against Illinois when Persa came back. Ebert didn’t have a 100-yard day on the year, but last week he caught 13 passes for 107 yards and a score against Iowa after making 11 grabs for 86 yards against Michigan. Last year against Penn State he went for 111 yards on six catches, and he’ll the main man for the offense this week. Expect him to be targeted at least 15 times. As bad as the NU secondary might be playing,

BOTTOM LINE DEPARTMENT: The Penn State defense is playing too well. Penn State’s offense is moving the ball, but it’s not scoring. Northwestern’s offense isn’t moving the ball, but it’s scoring. With the passing game working just enough to get by, Penn State will have a balanced day with production coming from several places, while the defense will stuff the Wildcat ground game could on the way to yet another tough, ugly win. I'll TAKE PENN STATE to Win and Cover!

RICK'S "HOT-SPOT" PLAYS

ARIZONA (-5.0) OVER UCLA
VIRGINIA TECH (-20.0) OVER BOSTON COLLEGE
WESTERN MICHIGAN (-12.0) OVER EASTERN MICHIGAN
NAVY (-7½) OVER EAST CAROLINA
TENNESSEE OVER ALABAMA (-31.0)
MICHIGAN STATE OVER WISCONSIN (-9.0)

Mr. IWS

10-21-2011, 02:53 PM

BOBBY FELTON

4 Star NORTHWESTERN +4

3 Star NC STATE +6

3 Star OREGON STATE +3

2 Star PURDUE +4

Mr. IWS

10-21-2011, 03:52 PM

POINTWISE PHONES:

4* Temple, Cincy

3* Nev, KSt, LSU, Bama, NDame

2* Haw, VT, Vandy, Toledo, A&M

Mr. IWS

10-21-2011, 04:36 PM

INDIAN COWBOY
5* NCAAF: Eastern Michigan +12 over Western Michigan
4* NCAAF: Akron +14.5 over Ohio

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:19 AM

Bettors World

3* Rutgers +2 over Louisville - Friday

3* Cincinnati +3 over South Florida

3* Temple -13.5 over Bowling Green

3* Missouri +7 over Oklahoma State - we want +7 here and there are still several on the board, depending on how many sportsbooks you have access to. If you can't get it now, wait as the line may drift back to solid 7's across the board.

3* Kansas State -10.5 over Kansas

3* Washington State -3 over Oregon State - you may have to lay -115 here

1* UL Lafayette -3 over Western Kentucky

1* Wisconsin/Mich State under 49

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:20 AM

Bookie Beating

Ron Cleary

3* SMU +3

5.5* Maryland +5.5

5.5* UL. Monroe -5.5

David Harper

5.5* 6 pt Teaser Oklahoma St -1 & Wisconsin -1

5.5* Nothwestern +4.5

Clayton Rodgers

5.5* Washington +20.5

5.5* Washington St. -3

Michael Long

5.5* LA Tech +6.5

5.5* Bowling Green +14

5.5* Texas Tech +29

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:20 AM

Handicappster

5* Diamond Pick Texas Tech +28

5* Diamond Pick Michigan St. +9

3* Georgia Tech +2.5

3* Oklahoma St. -7

3* UNDER 55.5 - Indiana / Iowa

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:20 AM

Chase Diamond (ksp)

30 Dimes Michigan St. +7.5

30 Dimes Kansas +10.5

30 Dimes Mizzu +7.5

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:20 AM

Teddy Covers

20* Miami Florida
10* Cincinnati
10* Arkansas
10* Over Rice
10* Ball State

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:20 AM

Alatex

20* Michigan State

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:20 AM

Fairway Jay

20* North Carolina
20* Over Navy

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:20 AM

POINTWISE PHONES:

4* Temple, Cincy

3* Nev, KSt, LSU, Bama, NDame

2* Haw, VT, Vandy, Toledo, A&M

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:21 AM

POWER SWEEP
4* Alab
3* Kan.St. & Nev.
2* Mizo.- Vandy & Wash.
UD Mich.St.

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:21 AM

Gold Sheet

Key Releases
#325 CINCINNATI by 8
#363 KANSAS STATE by 25
#389 WISCONSIN by 17
#394 HAWAII by 32

Gold Sheet CKO

10 #378 TOLEDO
10 #385 WASHINGTON
10 #395 UL-LAFAYETTE

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:21 AM

Mark Myer - Gaming Today

#316 Purdue
#323 Arkansas
#338 TCU
#343 Army
#356 Colorado
#361 AF
#371 Fresno St.
#381 USC
#376 NW

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:21 AM

Nellys

Key Selections
RATING 5 #323 ARKANSAS (-17)
RATING 4 #340 BALL STATE (-2½)
RATING 3 #354 MISSOURI (+7½)
RATING 2 #382 NOTRE DAME (-8½)
RATING 2 #330 BUFFALO (+14)
RATING 1 #392 UTEP (-7½)
RATING 1 #400 NORTH TEXAS (+5)

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:21 AM

Platinum Sheet - Stat Fox

#332 Va Tech
#353 Okie State
#359 Utah
#380 Alabama
#387 Auburn

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:21 AM

Playbook - Marc Lawrence

Awe Ang. #364 KU
Inc.St. #372 UNR
4* #325 Cinci
3* #354 Missouri
GOW #364 Kansas
5* #384 Sou Miss

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:21 AM

POINTWISE

Key Releases
#347 TEMPLE RATING: 1
#363 KANSAS ST RATING: 1
#378 TOLEDO RATING: 2
#380 ALABAMA RATING: 3
#389 WISCONSIN RATING: 4
#333 TEXAS A&M RATING: 4
#323 ARKANSAS RATING: 5
#359 UTAH RATING: 5

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:22 AM

BOBBY FELTON

4 Star NORTHWESTERN +4

3 Star NC STATE +6

3 Star OREGON STATE +3

2 Star PURDUE +4

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:22 AM

Colin Cowherd 5-1-1 last week

West Virginia
Okla. St.
L.S.U.
Miami Fla.
Nwestern
Alabama
N.Dame
Wisconsin
Stanford

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:22 AM

Totals 4 U

Top Plays
Ill/Purdue UNDER 47-
USC/ND UNDER 57-
Aub/LSU OVER 47-

Regular Plays
Mary/Flo St UNDER 56-
GaTech/Mia Fl UNDER 62
NCaro/Clem OVER 58
Okla St/Missori OVER 69
TexTech/Okla OVER 70-
Wisc/Mich St OVER 49

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:22 AM

Platinum Plays

Premier Picks (Top Plays)
Flor St
Northwestern

500K Plays (Medium)
Nebraska
Mich St

Regular Plays
Vandy
Missouri
Calif
Kansas St
Wash St
Navy
Nevada
Stanford

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:22 AM

Week 8 NCAA Trends & Angles

After seven weeks of the college football season, we have found a strange correlation seemingly unique to college between teams on long straight up losing streaks and those teams going 'under' in their next game.
Honestly, we do not have a good explanation for this, and as we said, this only seems to work in college football, but as you will see in our first two angles for Week 8, there appears to be a straight line relationship between the length of the losing streak (starting at five) and the winning percentage of the 'under' in the next game. This angle also seems to work better on the road in all cases.

Play the 'under' if a team has lost at least five straight games straight up (202-146-1, 58.0% since 2005): We are not sure about the reasoning behind this phenomenon, but there appears to be a direct relationship in college football between long losing streaks and going 'under' in the next game, especially on the road. When the team that he lost five straight is on the road, the 'under' is 99-70, 58.6 percent since 2005. This trend is a perfect 3-0 for the 'under' this season including 2-0 on the road. There are three teams in action this week that have lost five straight games, with two of them at home (Florida Atlantic, UAB) and one on the road (New Mexico).

Play the 'under' if a team has lost at least six straight games straight up (132-80, 61.4% since 2005): Add one loss to the previous angle and the 'under' percentage goes to over 61 percent overall and to 68-41, 62.4 percent on the road. All three teams that qualified for the five-loss angle have actually lost six games in a row, so the same three teams qualify here. These are the first three qualifiers for the 2011 season. We would also like to note that the 'under' is 81-49, 62.3 percent if a team has lost seven straight games since 2005, so keep an eye on that next week.

Play against any conference home favorite that was an underdog in each of its last two games (190-128-2, 59.7% ATS since 2005): These are oftentimes teams that are not used to being favored, and this record suggests that they usually cannot handle the pressure of being expected to win. Betting against these favorites in unchartered territory would have produced a nice profit of +49.2 units since 2005 based on one unit per play at odds of -110. This angle was off to a 10-0 ATS this season before a 1-5 ATS week in Week 6, but it bounced back strong by going 5-2 ATS last week, running its record to 16-7 ATS this season. There are three qualifying play for Week 8: Central Michigan +1½ at Ball State, Utah +3 at California and Georgia Tech +2½ at Miami-Florida.

Play against any conference home favorite that was an underdog in each of its last three games (102-64-1, 61.2% ATS since 2005): Tack on a third straight game as an underdog coming into this game to our previous angle and the winning percentage jumps to over 61 percent over a fairly nice sized sampling. The one qualifier from the prior angle that also qualifies for this one is Central Michigan +1½.

Play on any conference home favorite coming off of six straight up wins or more (119-67-3, 64.0% ATS since 2002): Yes, you read that correctly, this is an angle that has gone 64 percent over 186 decisions going all the way back to 2002, and unlike most of our other angles, this system is not contrarian! A team that wins six straight games in the same season is usually a good team, as that is enough wins where not all the victories can be attributed to luck, and these teams should continue to succeed inside their conference. Add in home favoritism and the results have been rather phenomenal over a nice nine-year span, as you can see. Yes, this angle lost its first play of the year last week with Illinois, but it has a chance to bounce back with seven big favorites in Week 8: Alabama -28½, Boise State -31, Clemson -10½, Houston -22, LSU -22½, Oklahoma -28½ and Stanford -20½.

Play on any divisional road underdog coming off of a road game (110-79-1, 58.2% ATS since 2005): This one is also very similar to an NFL angle that we often referenced, as books have been over-adjusting against teams playing their second straight road game, especially when the second game is against a divisional opponent that they are very familiar with.. There is one qualifying play for Week 8 and it is a repeat trender Georgia Tech +2½.

Bet against any conference home favorite coming off of 2 home games (87-58-7, 60.0% ATS since 2005): Some may think that playing a third straight home game is an advantage, and while that may be true on the field, it has not been at the betting windows as books are aware that these teams have an advantage and bettors like to bet on them, so they are able to pad these lines. Also, if the third straight home game is a conference game, the home team is usually facing a team that is familiar with them. This angle points to two plays in Week 8: Fresno State +10½ at Nevada and NC State +5½ at Virginia.

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:22 AM

David Malinsky

4* USC +9.5

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:23 AM

Joseph D'Amico

Arkansas -15.5

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:23 AM

Cappers Access

Purdue +4
Temple -13
Notre Dame -9-
Michigan st +8-

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:23 AM

Brian Mac's Friday Night Hotside is Stanford.

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:23 AM

A Bettor World

Top Positive Value Selections:
Nevada -11.5
Temple -14
Texas AM -20.5

Other Selections with Positive Value:
Missouri +7
Alabama -29.5
UL Lafayette -3
North Carolina +10.5
Kansas State -10
Washington State -3
Navy -11.5
Western Michigan -12.5

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:23 AM

AUTOMAX01

Ohio u, Cinn, LSU, Utah St., Arkansas, Navy, Temple, and Oregon

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:23 AM

Sharpsides Investing

MSU +7.5

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:23 AM

Bookiemonsters

20-9-1 run

Kansas +13 -130

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:24 AM

Sportsbook Investing

Play of the Day:
Oklahoma State -6.5 over Missouri

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:24 AM

LuckyDaySports

Saturday's Comp Plays

NCAAF
Wake Forest -3
New Mexico St. +22

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:24 AM

Big 10 Report - Week 8
By asawins

Michigan State (+8.5) vs. Wisconsin

MSU: 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS - Last week: vs. Michigan, W 28-14
WISC: 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS - Last week: vs. Indiana, W 59-7

We're just about halfway through the College Football season and right now it's Wisconsin and Michigan State that look like the two favorites to represent its respective divisions in the inaugural Big Ten Title game. The Badgers have not had much luck visiting East Lansing in recent history, including their only regular season loss last season. ESPN's GameDay crew will be on hand, adding even more excitement at Spartan Stadium for this Big Ten night game.

What happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object? We'll all find out on Saturday when Wisconsin's offense (8th in total offense at 523 YPG and 1st in scoring offense at 50.2 PPG) meets Michigan State's defense (1st in total defense at 186 YPG allowed and 4th in scoring defense at 10.8 PPG allowed). MSU has allowed eight offensive touchdowns all season long. Wisconsin averages 6.7 offensive touchdowns per game. The Spartans held Wisconsin to its lowest point total in Big Ten play a season ago (24 points). However, it was the first conference game for the Badgers and they averaged 48.2 PPG after that loss.

The Badgers' stop-unit is also performing at an extremely high level. It ranks 7th in total defense and 3rd in points allowed. Although this will be Wisconsin's first true road game of the season and other than a home win over #11 Nebraska, the Badgers have mostly beaten up on sub-par talent.

Michigan State is off of a convincing victory against archrival Michigan last week. The Spartans held dangerous Michigan QB Robinson to just 9-of-24 passing for 123 yards (1 TD and 1 INT) and just 42 rush yards. MSU will try to avoid a "hangover" and do the same to Wisconsin QB Wilson (completing 74.2% with 14 TD and just 1 INT this season).

Something to consider: Wisconsin is 13-1 ATS in its past 14 games overall and has covered 8 straight Big Ten games in that span. Michigan State is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog.

Purdue (+6) vs. Illinois

PU: 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS - Last week: at Penn State, L 18-23
ILL: 6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS - Last week: vs. Ohio State, L 7-17

Both teams are off of a loss and need a win here. Purdue needs a win to salvage any hopes at a Bowl game, while Illinois needs this win to keep pace with Wisconsin and Penn State in the Big Ten Leaders division. The Illini dominated this meeting last season, holding Purdue to just 205 yards and 9 first downs in the 44-10 win. However, they haven't won in West Lafayette since 2001, dropping three straight by an average of 26 points per game.

Despite the loss, Purdue had a promising performance on the road against Penn State last week. The Boilers final drive ended in an interception (their third of the game) and they lost by five points on the road. Purdue put up 162 rush yards (4.9 YPC) on a PSU defense that had been surrendering just 91.2 rush yards through its first six games. The Boilers will look for a similar performance against this Illinois defense that allowed 211 rush yards to Ohio State a week ago.

Illinois was yielding just 79 rush yards per game before last week. Ohio State only completed one pass (!) against this Illini defense and still won. Illinois' offense was sluggish the entire game and managed just 285 yards and 7 points while turning the ball over three times in the process. Sophomore QB Scheelhaase had his worst performance of the season with just 169 pass yards with one touchdown and two interceptions while the Illini rushed for just 116 yards on 3.3 YPC (had been averaging 226 YPG).

Something to consider: Illinois was 4-1 SU & ATS after a loss last season. But this will be the first time that Illinois is a Big Ten road favorite since October of 2009 and the Illini are just 2-7 ATS their previous nine as a conference road chalk.

Northwestern (+4) vs. Penn State

NW: 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS - Last week: at Iowa, L 31-41
PSU: 6-1 SU, 1-6 ATS - Last week: vs. Purdue, W 23-18

Penn State has somehow managed to win six of seven games this season without solid quarterback play. QB's McGloin and Bolden have combined for just 51% completions with six touchdowns and six interceptions. It's the defensive unit that's holding this team together as it ranks 6th nationally in total defense and scoring defense (also has 17 forced turnovers - 10th nationally). Still, the Nittany Lions are playing with fire. They've failed to cover five of six games this season and four of their six wins are by 10 points or less.

If Penn State's dormant offense (78th total offense and 96th in scoring offense) is ever going to wake up, it will have a good chance of doing so against Northwestern. The Wildcats defense ranks near the bottom of every major defensive category. They allow 433 yards per game (101st) and 30 points per game (88th). In three Big Ten games alone, Northwestern has allowed 40 points per game.

For Northwestern, it's now desperation time. A team that was considered a threat to compete in the Legends division has now lost four straight and really can't afford another loss if it wants any shot at a Bowl game this season. Northwestern arguably outplayed the Hawkeyes in the 10-point loss last week.

The Wildcats gained 495 yards and 29 first downs and had +17 minutes time of possession against Iowa. They even converted 16-of-22 (73%) of their 3rd down conversions. Iowa returned an interception 98 yards for a touchdown in the first quarter and that was at least a 10 and maybe 14 point swing that Northwestern couldn't overcome.

Something to consider: Penn State scored 35 unanswered points to win last year's meeting, 35-21. PSU has now won & covered three straight in this series (average score of 34-14).

Minnesota (+25) vs. Nebraska

MINN: 1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS - Last week: BYE
NEB: 5-1 SU, 1-5 ATS - Last week: BYE

Minnesota had a bye last week after surrendering 103 points in back-to-back Big Ten losses to open conference play. This one could get ugly for Minnesota as the Gophers are ranked near the bottom in every major offensive and defensive category. They rank 110th in total offense, 109th in scoring offense, 93rd in total defense, and 109th in scoring defense.

Nebraska also had a week off after its huge comeback win over Ohio State. The Huskers scored 28 unanswered points to win by seven over the visiting Buckeyes. Nebraska QB Martinez has seen his share of struggles through the air (54% with 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions), but the Huskers are churning out 247 rush yards per game - good for 11th nationally. Expect a lot of rush attempts against this feeble Gophers defense.

Minnesota QB Gray should be back and healthy after missing time with a toe injury, and his athletic ability should help the Gophers this week. He may see a little less pressure coming from the Nebraska defense as Huskers star DT Jared Crick was ruled out for the season with a torn pectoral muscle. That's a big blow to a defense that has underachieved thus far, but don't expect to see much of a dropoff against the Gophers on Saturday.

Something to consider: This is only the seventh time in the past 12 years that a Big Ten team has been a 25+ point favorite in a conference road game (1-4 ATS).

Iowa (-23) vs. Indiana

IOWA: 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS - Last week: vs. Northwestern, W 41-31
IND: 1-6 SU, 3-4 ATS - Last week: at Wisconsin, L 7-59

Indiana nearly walked away with an upset win over the Hawkeyes last season, but standout WR Belcher dropped the game-winning touchdown with 28 seconds remaining and left the Hoosiers with a 13-18 loss. They've now dropped three straight to the Hawkeyes by an average score of 35-15.

Although Indiana didn't lose by 63 points this year against Wisconsin, it didn't exactly walk away with much confidence after a 52 point loss at the hands of the Badgers. Wisconsin has made a lot of teams look bad, but outside of a 62-yard touchdown run, the Hoosiers looked completely helpless. This Indiana defense now ranks 105th in yards allowed, 117th in rush yards allowed, and 95th in points allowed.

A week after failing to score a touchdown against Penn State, Iowa scored five against Northwestern in a 10-point win. RB Coker finally had a breakout game with 124 rush yards and two scores. There are still some concerns on defense as this unit is allowing north of 400 yards per game and 29 points per game to BCS conference foes this season. With Indiana this week and Minnesota next week, Iowa has a chance to gain some momentum if it can take care of business against below average Big Ten opponents.

Something to consider: Iowa is 1-7 ATS and just 3-4 straight up as a 15-point or more favorite.

Michigan - BYE

MICH: 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS - Last week: at Michigan State, L 14-28

After a +25.5 margin of victory through a 6-0 start, Michigan came crashing down last week against archrival Michigan State. The Wolverines offense managed just 250 yards and 14 points while QB Robinson looked human with just 165 total yards (had been averaging 308 YPG). Up next the Wolverines have a winnable game against Purdue before a grueling four-game finish: at Iowa, at Illinois, Nebraska, and Ohio State.

Ohio State - BYE

OSU: 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS - Last week: at Illinois, W 17-7

Ohio State needed just one completed pass to beat the Illini last weekend. Proving you can still win playing old fashion football: a ground-and-pound running attack and suffocating defense. The run game was fueled by the return of previously suspended RB Herron, who scampered for 114 yards and a score. It's hard to imagine that Ohio State can continue this recipe for the rest of the season, but it was a nice way to head into the bye week. They'll need an extra week to prepare for a home-meeting with Wisconsin - just a year after Wisconsin upset then #1 OSU in Madison

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:24 AM

NCAAF Week 8

Saturday's best games

Illinois lost first game last week, getting outrushed 211-116; they're -6 in turnovers in Big Dozen games (2-1) with wins by 3-21 points. Purdue is 1-1 in league play, running ball for 379 yards since getting crushed 38-10 by Notre Dame three weeks ago- they're 5-7-1 in last 13 games as home dogs. Illini is 1-4 in last five games as road favorites. Favorites are 5-3 in Big Dozen games when spread is single digits. Four of Illinois' six lined games stayed under the total.

Underdog covered five of last six Cincinnati-South Florida games, with Bearcats winning four of last five- they won 34-17/38-33 in last couple visits here. Cincinnati won its last four games, allowing 11 ppg, but none of victims are any good- they're 0-5 as road underdogs under Jones. USF scored 17-10 points in losing last two games, both on road- they're 3-5 as home favorites under Holtz. Underdogs are 4-0 vs spread in Big East conference games with single digit spread.

Clemson is 7-0, covering their last five games; they're 4-0 as favorites in Death Valley this year, 10-5 overall under Swinney. Tigers won five of last seven games vs North Carolina, with faves 6-3 vs spread in series; Tar Heels lost three of last four visits here, this is their first visit since '06. Carolina is 5-2 but 1-2 in ACC, allowing 35-30 points in its losses; they're 6-3 in last nine games as road underdogs. Home favorites are 5-6 vs spread in ACC games.

Cowboys had big win at Texas this week; they've covered nine games in row as road favorites, but they've also allowed 23+ points in each of last four games. Missouri is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on road- they've played three stiffs at home; Tigers are 2-0 as underdogs this year, 6-7 as home dogs the last decade. Underdogs are 4-3 SU in last seven OSU-Mizzou games, as five of seven games were decided by 7 or less points. Cowboys are an amazing +13 in turnovers over last four games, with 17 takeaways.

Cal allowed 31-43-30 points in losing last three games, outscored 49-12 in second half; they're playing home games in San Francisco this year, as their stadium in Berkeley is being refurbished- they've covered 14 of 17 as a home favorite (1-0 so far this year). Utah (+3) beat Bears 37-27 in Poinsettia Bowl in '09; this is teams' first meeting as Pac-12 rivals. Utes would be 3-0 as road dogs this year, if not for blocked FG/TD by USC on last play of that game. Pac-12 home favorites are 3-6 vs spread in games where spread is less than 20.

Kansas State won last four Saturdays as an underdog, now are favored in rivalry game at Lawrence, where they won 59-7 (-3) LY, their first win in last four visits, and just second cover in last 13 tries as road favorites. Kansas is horrible, allowing 57 ppg during 4-game losing streak; even in their last win, they gave up 42 points. Jayhawks are 3-8 in last 11 games as a home underdog, 1-1 this year. Big 12 double digit favorites are 2-4 so far this season.

Oregon State won five of last seven games vs Washington State; Coogs covered once in last four games as series favorite. Both teams are 1-2 in Pac-12 games; OSU is allowing 29.7 ppg in league games, WSU 33 ppg. Road teams are 6-4 vs spread in Pac-12 games with single digit spread, but this game is in Seattle, but I guess Wazzu is still home side. Last three Beaver games went over total; last three Coog games stayed under. Oregon State was outscored 59-31 in second half of last three games.

Penn State won its last four games vs Northwestern, last three by 14-21-26 points; they won four of last five visits here, but only one of the four was by more than 5 points, as dogs covered four of the five games. Lions won last five games but covered only one of the five, with three wins by 6 or less points- they're 9-3 in last twelve games as road favorites, 0-2 this year. Wildcats are 12-8 in last 20 games as a home underdog. In LY's game, Northwestern (+6.5) led 21-0, wound up losing 35-21.

Notre Dame (+4.5) beat USC 20-16 LY, its first win in last nine tries vs Trojans; USC won its last four visits here-- underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in last seven series games played here. Irish won last four games, scoring 35.8 ppg; they ran ball for 287-266 yards last two weeks. ND is 2-1 as home favorite this year, but since '03, they're 14-26-2. Over last decade, USC is 6-3 as road underdogs. Pac-10 non-conference road underdogs are 3-7 vs spread so far this season.

Southern Miss won 28-7/28-12 in its two C-USA meetings with SMU, but teams haven't met since '08; Eagles are 10-8 as home favorites under Fedora, 1-1 this year. SMU is 16-12-1 in last 29 games as road dog; they won at TCU three weeks ago. C-USA home favoritea are 4-7 vs spread in conference play. Mustangs won last five games despite a -7 turnover ratio in those games- they scored 42-40-38 points last three games, but Southern Miss scored 30-48-63 in winning its last three games.

Stanford won five of last six games vs Washington, winning last three by combined score of 110-42; favorites covered Huskies' last three visits to the Farm. Cardinal won/covered all six games, with 45-19 win vs UCLA closest game they've played. 5-1 Washington's only loss this year was 51-38 (+17) at Nebraska, so they'll compete here; they've covered last five games, are 4-2 in last six games as road dog. Pac-10 home favorites of 15+ points are 4-1 vs spread this season.

LSU has three key guys suspended here, Auburn is starting different QB so lot of issues on both sides. Home favorites are 8-2 vs spread in SEC games this year; SEC favorites of 14+ points are 7-1 this year. Auburn lost last five visits here, going 2-3 vs spread- they had 440 rushing yards in 24-17 (-5.5) home win vs LSU LY. Favorites are 5-2 vs spread in last seven series games. LSU covered four of last five games, winning its last four games by 26+ points, but Mathieu being out is big loss.

Home side won last six Wisconsin-Michigan State games, as underdogs covered four of last five series games, with three of last four decided by 8 or less points. Badgers lost last three visits here by 10-1-35 points; the average total in last four series games played here, 58.5. Spartans beat Ohio State/Michigan last two games, which doesn't happen much; they are just 2-5-2 in last nine games as home dog. Wisconsin is 8-6-1 as road favorite under Bielema; this is their first true road game this year. Single digit favorites are 4-2 in Big Dozen games so far this year.

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:24 AM

College football Top 25 Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 8
By Adam Thompson

West Virginia Mountaineers at Syracuse Orange (+13.5, 58)

Why West Virginia will cover: West Virginia averages 380 yards through the air, while Syracuse ranks 114th in pass defense. The team is 3-1 ATS in its last four, while SU is 1-3.

Why Syracuse will cover: The defense has been inconsistent, but will finally get healthy for the first time this week. The offense hasn’t been great, but finds ways to score.

Points: The over has hit in the Mountaineers’ last five games and is 3-1 in the Orange’s last four.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Missouri Tigers (+6.5, 68.5)

Why Oklahoma State will cover: OSU is No. 2 in scoring (49.2 ppg) and in passing (396 ypg), while slowing the pass is Mizzou’s biggest weakness. The Cowboys are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 overall.

Why Missouri will cover: Missouri is 0-3 on the road, but 3-0 at home, and is 6-2 ATS in its last eight at home.

Points: The over is 4-1 in Missouri’s last five and 2-1-1 in OSU’s last four. Both have the offenses to put up big numbers.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson Tigers (-10, 57.5)

Why North Carolina will cover: The Heels have been successful thanks to a defense ranked 24th in points allowed. The offense does just enough.

Why Clemson will cover: Clemson is 6-1 ATS, including 5-0 in its last five. The offense ranks in the top 30 in every category.

Points: The over is 6-2 in Clemson’s last eight, but the under is 9-2 in its last 11 ACC games.

Illinois Fighting Illini at Purdue Boilermakers (+4, 47)

Why Illinois will cover: Illinois has shut down the opposition, allowing just 17.7 ppg (17th), while an offense that averages 210 ypg on the ground wears down defenses.

Why Purdue will cover: Purdue stays in games by running the ball effectively (24th) while slowing opponents. Just one foe has scored more than 24 points.

Points: Purdue is 2-0-2 with the over in its last four, and the over is 7-1 in Illinois’ last eight in the Big Ten. Both teams have been led by their defenses, though.

Kansas State Wildcats at Kansas Jayhawks (+10.5, 62.5)

Why Kansas State will cover: KU’s defense ranks worst in the nation in points allowed (49 ppg). K-State’s rushing attack should eventually wear down the Jayhawks, just as Oklahoma did last week. KSU is 5-0 ATS in its last five.

Why Kansas will cover: KU showed heart against a powerful Sooners squad, and has an offense – averaging more than 200 yards passing and rushing per game – to never be out of a game.

Points: The over has been big for both teams all season.

Arkansas Razorbacks at Mississippi Rebels (+16, 56)

Why Arkansas will cover: Arkansas averages 337 ypg through the air, and Ole Miss hasn’t been able to score on anyone of note. The team is 4-2 ATS.

Why Mississippi will cover: Ole Miss has been decent against the pass, and Arkansas has struggled against the run (93rd). If the Rebels can get an early lead, we could be in for a surprise.

Points: The over is 3-1 for the Razorbacks’ last four and has hit in the Rebels’ last two.

Boston College Eagles at Virginia Tech Hokies (-21, 43.5)

Why Boston College will cover: With three losses by single digits, the Eagles aren’t has terrible as their 1-5 record suggests. VT has been erratic, especially offensively.

Why Virginia Tech will cover: Va. Tech is 14th in scoring defense and eighth in rushing defense, and B.C. is struggling to score as it is. The Hokies were 0-5 ATS in their last five before blowing out Wake Forest, so maybe it’s the start of a new trend.

Points: The under is 1-5 in B.C. games, and hit four straight for VT games before the last two weeks (both over).

Oregon Ducks at Colorado Buffaloes (+32, 66.5)

Why Oregon will cover: Oregon averages 315 yards rushing (fifth) and nearly 49 ppg (third). Colorado may not know what hit it by halftime.

Why Colorado will cover: The Buffs have struggled, but that’s a big spread, especially for a team that plays games which hit the under more often than not. And they’re 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 at home. The availability of Oregon RB LaMichael James and QB Darron Thomas is in question.

Points: How powerful Oregon’s offense will be depends on the health of its stars.

Texas A&M Aggies at Iowa State Cyclones (+20, 65.5)

Why Texas A&M will cover: Texas A&M has a multifaceted offense that ranks among the nation’s best in every category. Iowa State can’t stop the run or pass. Do the math.

Why Iowa State will cover: Texas A&M has allowed 45 and 55 points in its last two games, opening up the possibility a weakness has been exposed.

Points: The over has hit in the last three games for both teams.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Miami Hurricanes (-2.5, 62)

Why Georgia Tech will cover: The Jackets are in a bit of a slump, but still 4-2-1 ATS and rank No. 2 in rush yards (348 ypg). Miami is 94th in rush yards allowed.

Why Miami will cover: Georgia Tech was 4-0-1 ATS early, but 0-2 recently. Meanwhile, Miami was 1-3 ATS to start but 2-0 since. The Canes are in full form after the early season suspensions.

Points: The under is a big hit in Miami home games the last several years, is 6-2 in GT’s last eight in the ACC and is 6-2 in these teams’ last eight meetings.

Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers (-22.5, 46.5)

Why Auburn will cover: LSU will be without star CB Tyrann Mathieu, RB Spencer Ware, and DB Tharold Simon, who were suspended one game for violating the team’s drug policy. Auburn is improving by leaps and bounds every week, thanks mostly to a defense that held Florida to six points last week.

Why LSU will cover: The Tigers are steamrolling everyone, with a defense that ranks in the top 15 in every major category and an offense that pounds opponents to a pulp. They are very deep and can absorb the hit from those suspensions. Auburn’s offense, by the way, is giving a sophomore QB his first career start.

Points: The under is 4-0 in Auburn’s last four, and nobody goes off on LSU’s defense.

Air Force Falcons at Boise State Broncos (-30.5, 64.5)

Why Air Force will cover: The Falcons can gash opponents not ready for their style (336 ypg, third). That’s a big spread against a team that will drain the clock.

Why Boise State will cover: Boise State can score at will on anybody and Air Force has one of the nation’s worst defenses. Plus, the Broncos are 24th against the run.

Points: The under is 7-2 in BSU’s last nine in conference. But every AFA game has hit the over, and Boise State can score as quickly as anybody.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Minnesota Golden Gophers (24.5, 56.5)

Why Nebraska will cover: While neither team has a defense worth worrying about, Nebraska at least has an offense to pour on the points (22nd in scoring). Minnesota, with a 109th-ranked offense, is 2-4 ATS.

Why Minnesota will cover: The Huskers are only 1-5 ATS. The Gophers have shown the ability to run the ball, and Nebraska is 74th at stopping it.

Points: The over has hit in four of NU’s last five games and in the Gophers’ last four.

Marshall Thundering Herd at Houston Cougars (-22, 59.5)

Why Marshall will cover: Despite a 3-4 overall record, Marshall is 5-2 ATS.

Why Houston will cover: The Cougars throw it more than anyone else, No. 1 in pass yards (435.5) and No. 4 in points (47.0). The Herd is No. 73 in passing defense and its offense ranks 99th or worse in everything.

Points: The under is 6-1 in Herd games, but is 2-4 for Houston.

Penn State Nittany Lions at Northwestern Wildcats (4, 47.5)

Why Penn State will cover: The Lions are finding ways to win with a defense ranking sixth overall and seventh against the pass. The Wildcats are swooning, losers of four straight.

Why Northwestern will cover: Penn State may win, but it is just 1-8 ATS in its last nine.

Points: The under is 6-0-1 in PSU games, but the over has hit in Northwestern’s last three.

Tennessee Volunteers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-28.5, 45.5)

Why Tennessee will cover: That can seem like an awfully high spread against a competent Vols squad, especially one that has a half-decent defense and an offense that averages 294 yards through the air.

Why Alabama will cover: The Tide is 7-1 ATS, the lone loss being a 47-point spread to North Texas (W, 41-0). Bama will score 30, but can Tennessee score at all against the No. 1 defense?

Points: Bama had held four of its seven opponents to seven points or fewer, and nobody has more than 14. The Tide may have to practically cover it alone.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma Sooners (-28.5, 69.5)

Why Texas Tech will cover: That’s an awfully big spread for a team averaging 43.8 points (ninth) and 372 yards passing (sixth). Tech is 4-2 ATS.

Why Oklahoma will cover: TTU has no shot at stopping OU’s offense, but the Sooners also have a defense that allows just 15.8 ppg.

Points: The over hit on Tech’s last five games and three of OU’s last four. We’ll see some scoring here.

Washington Huskies at Stanford Cardinal (-20.5, 61)

Why Washington will cover: This is a big statement game for the Huskies, and they have the offense to make it interesting. The Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last five.

Why Stanford will cover: The Cardinal are the most reliable around, a perfect 6-0 ATS. Stanford has the No. 5 scoring offense and No. 5 scoring defense. It is ranked 14th in passing, while Washington is 116th in pass defense.

Points: Despite two high-octane offenses, the under has been hitting for both teams so far.

Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans (8, 47.5)

Why Wisconsin will cover: The Badgers are 5-0-1 ATS because their offense is No. 1 in scoring (50.7 ppg) and the defense is No. 3 (9.7). That’s a tough combo to tackle.

Why Michigan State will cover: If anyone can slow UW’s offensive juggernaut, it may be MSU, which ranks No. 3 in run defense (67 ypg) and No. 1 against the pass (119). The offense has enough juice at least stay close.

Points: The under is 5-1 for MSU games, but 2-4 for UW. And the over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:24 AM

Bumpy road to Bedlam

For now don't circle December 3 on your calendar.

Oklahoma State maintained their perfect record last week, but looked off rhythm in their 38-26 win over Texas. Head Coach Mike Gundy tried to downplay all the hype.

“I think there are three teams in the country that when I watch them statistically, and the little bit that I've seen of them, are really, really good football teams,” Gundy told reporters. “And then I think there are six or eight other teams that could win on any given field on any given day if they took care of the football and didn't give up big plays."

The three teams he is referring to are probably LSU, Alabama, and Oklahoma, as Gundy is fully aware that the upcoming three game stretch will be the toughest of the season. This week it’s Missouri, who is 3-3 but that record is deceptive of how well the Tigers have been playing.

Among those defeats was an OT road game against ranked Arizona State, a 10-point loss to Oklahoma which is beating teams by an average of 29.5 points, and a 24-17 result with Kansas State that could have gone either way.

Even if Oklahoma State covers the 6.5 points this Saturday, they have Baylor and Kansas State next, making that showdown against Oklahoma seem light years away.

Unfashionable

Big 12 QBs are producing ridiculous passing statistics this season with Landry Jones, Seth Doege, Brandon Weeden, and Robert Griffin, all within the Top 10 in passing yards.

Which leads us to Kansas State's Collin Klein, who in last year's 39-14 win over Texas, made just four passing attempts. If you are curious only two were completed for a total of nine yards.

In a league known for its passing, Klein and the Kansas State offence has focused primarily on the run. In last week's 75-point shootout with Texas Tech, Klein threw just 18 times compared to Seth Doege's 63, but the low-profile QB did rush for 110 yards and three TDs.

Much of Kansas State's success has been attributed to the defense, and in an interview with ESPN, in which they were discussing his impressive rushing statistics, Klein deflected attention from himself and took on the same stance, “the bottom line is our defense is playing really well”

The bottom line for handicappers is that undefeated Kansas State continues to impress and provide value. The Wildcats have been underdogs for four straight games and, this week against a Kansas team that ranks 120th in yards allowed at 565, they are just 10.5-point favorites.

Tough total

The featured night game has Texas Tech travelling to Oklahoma in what should be an offensive affair. Texas Tech is on a five-game over streak and QB Seth Doege has continued the Air Raid tradition with 2,167 passing yards and 18 TDs.

However is the big spread and previous history an indication that this game could go under?

The Sooners are 28.5-point favorites and held the Red Raiders to just seven points last year. In fact, three of the last four games in this series have resulted in unders. But then again, Landry Jones and Seth Doege do have the ability to turn this into a video game.

We have mentioned that teams would try to slow down the pace, and instead what we found was that Big 12 coaches were taking the more aggressive approach and keeping games at a high pace.

Texas Tech currently leads the NCAA in plays per game at 91, while Oklahoma is fourth at 82. Texas Tech's pace has only increased, averaging 97.3 in their last three.

The total currently sits at 70.5

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:25 AM

Las Vegas Money Moves
By Micah Roberts

Thanks to Nebraska jumping into the Big 10 fray, we having a scheduling glitch where Wisconsin has to travel to Michigan State for the second consecutive year. It didn’t turn out so well for the Badgers last season as their 34-24 loss became their only blemish of the regular season and eliminated all hopes for a national title run.

Saturday’s game will mark Wisconsin’s first trip away from Madison this season, a place where they have steam rolled all their opponents. Only a late surge by 35-point underdog UNLV has kept Wisconsin from covering every game. They'll look to go 7-0 straight up for the first time since 2004.

Michigan State comes off an emotional home win against rival Michigan, but the troubling part about siding with the Spartans this week is reflecting on their struggles at Ohio State (10-7 win) and getting rocked at Notre Dame 31-13. Outside of the Michigan and Ohio State victories, they only have wins against Central Michigan (45-7) and Florida Atlantic (44-0) to go off of. The same can be said for Wisconsin playing at home where their only real quality win was against a questionable Nebraska (48-17) squad.

The difference maker this week compared to last season's match in East Lansing is Badgers quarterback Russell Wilson, a Heisman contender and the Big 10 leader with 1,557 passing yards, 14 TDs and only one interception. His consistent quarterback play is the main variable with Wisconsin being such a large 7 ½-point road favorite.

We also have the emotional factor of Wisconsin getting up big for their first road test while Michigan State has to recapture their intensity from last waeek. Using past Big 10 situational play, the best bet involving this game might be if Wisconsin wins this week and then goes into Columbus next week sky high, but not respecting the Buckeyes, a team who could put it to them under those circumstances.

The Wynn Resort sports book opened Wisconsin minus-7 Sunday afternoon and were bet up to -8½ by Monday morning when most Las Vegas books started posting their lines. The Las Vegas Hilton opened the game -9 and have been bet down with Spartans money to -7½ through Thursday.

Even though the Hilton dropped their line with early Michigan State money, executive director Jay Kornegay knows he’ll need the Spartans to come up big.

“The combination of Wisconsin being a very public team, highly-ranked and simply being just a favorite on a Saturday night national TV game has me knowing what side we’ll need. We’ve seen Top-10 teams covering at about a 76% rate and have been getting killed. It gets even worse when those games are featured late on television,” said Kornegay.

The Top-5 teams alone this season -- the teams every casual bettor loves, knows and bets -- are 26-6 (81%) against the spread.

“We don’t even need to hit 50% on these games to show a little profit,” Kornegay explained. “Because of all the parlay action we get, we can be just below 40% and still do well, but 76%…?”

Kornegay has seen a shift of change from the casual unsophisticated bettor now being expectant of these type of streaks with the favorites to continue.

“I was walking into work Sunday morning, the day after the entire strip avoided Black Saturday with Kansas saving the day, and I overhead one guy cussing out Oklahoma because they cost him an eight-teamer (parlay),“ Kornegay said. “I’m thinking ‘you’ve been hitting these things all season,’ that type of disappointment used to be reserved for just winning a single game. Now people are expecting to win eight just because they have already this season.”

As for the Wisconsin game, Kornegay believes in Michigan State more than just what his book will need Saturday night.

“Wisconsin hasn’t been tested on the road and it’s a big number to lay.”

For whatever it's worth, former Las Vegas television sportscaster and current ESPN national radio host Colin Cowherd loves Michigan State with the points. He also went a little overboard in suggesting that because he is so intelligent with college football (he is) and popular in the Las Vegas market (he is) that every wise guy and sports book follows him (they don't). He also suggested that the line movement on the game had something to do with his choice (it didn't). We do love Cowherd in Las Vegas, but just about every unsophisticated bettor in town has been correct in college football this season.

Here’s a look at some of the other line moves during the week in Las Vegas:

Despite Florida State losing three of its last four games, the school is still very well respected in the power ratings. Its last game against Duke (41-16) was the type of performance that many expected out of them all season. The Wynn opened FSU -15 Sunday night and by Thursday afternoon, the game had moved up to -18 for their home game against a Maryland team in disarray.

Vanderbilt opened up at the Hilton as an 8½-point favorite against Army and has been bet up to -11. Vanderbilt will be going with sophomore QB Jordan Rodgers, the brother of Aaron Rodgers, who will be making his first career start. He's replacing Larry Smith who has been pulled from all six Vanderbilt games this season.

One top-ranked team that doesn’t have a glowing ATS record this season is Oregon at 3-2-1. The Ducks travel to Colorado and have been bet against at the Hilton from -32 down to -30½. Colorado, while never looking worse - almost never, is 2-1 at home ATS. The Buffs will be without RB Rodney Stewart while the status of Oregon’s dynamic duo, LaMichael James (elbow) and Darron Thomas (knee), is still up in the air with mixed reports.

California has been bet against in their 'kinda' home game (AT&T Park in San Francisco) against Utah. The Hilton opened Cal at -3 on Monday morning and it currently sits at -1 ½. The Wynn opened this game as PICK on Sunday night and currently has Cal -2.

Houston opened as a 16-point favorite at the Wynn Sunday evening for its home against Marshall and have been bet all the way to -22. The Hilton opened the game -20 on Monday morning and currently sit at -22½.

Alabama has been one of those teams that have been killing the sports books all season. They’re a top ranked team and they’re 6-1 ATS, much to the sports book’s disdain and bettors delight. The Hilton opened the Tide -28 and the line is currently -30 for their home against Tennessee.

Stanford has been a perfect 6-0 ATS and they face a Washington team that registered almost as many ATS wins at 5-1. The Cardinal opened as 20-point favorites and have been bet up to -20½.

New Mexico State has been finding some support in its long travel to Hawaii for Saturday night’s late game. Hawaii opened as a 23½-point favorite at the Hilton and has been bet against down to -21½. The Aggies have covered three straight games while Hawaii is playing only its third home game. While impressive on the road as an underdog at Louisiana Tech three weeks ago, it lost outright as a 6-point road favorite at San Jose State last Friday night

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:25 AM

College Football Super System
By Robbie Gainous

Last week’s System of the Week qualified a play on the Michigan State Spartans in their game against the Michigan Wolverines and our system won again as the Spartans defeated the Wolverines 28 to 14 as a 1-point favorite. With that win, the system’s record improved to 19-0 both straight up and against the spread.

This week we once again examine college home teams but with a different set of parameters. Last week our system focused on defensive home teams this week our search uncovered a powerful system that plays on home teams that just defeated an unbeaten opponent.

SYSTEM: From Game 6 on, play ON a conference home team off a home favorite SU win against an undefeated opponent vs. an opponent off a SU win. The system has a record of 11-0 ATS covering the spread by 19.4 points per game since 1993.

After knocking off an unbeaten team as a home favorite, teams back at home have used that momentum against opponents who are also coming off a victory. Even though the team they defeated was unbeaten at the time, they were favored against them and expected to win so there is no letdown after that victory. They become terminal velocity where the spread is concerned.

The system has qualified an underdog on two occasions the first time came back in Week 6 of the 1993 season. California was playing host to Washington and they were a 3.5-point home underdog losing the game 23 to 24 but covering the spread.

The second active date where the system qualified an underdog is this week as the system qualifies the Michigan State Spartans +8.5 points against the Wisconsin Badgers. The other nine qualifying contests were all favorites and each one-won and covered the spread. The fact that the system has only had two underdogs does not diminish the power of the system it just increases its ability to qualify quality situations.

Wisconsin leaves Madison for their first true road game of the season having played all but one of their games at home with one coming at a neutral site when they played Northern Illinois at Soldier Field. Saturday’s trip to East Lansing will be the Badgers first true test of the 2011 campaign.

The Badgers schedule has not been a who’s who of top teams having defeated a Nebraska team that does not look nearly as strong as once believed and all the rest considered padding to their non-conference schedule. The same cannot be said for the Spartans having already faced Notre Dame, Ohio State and last week’s victim Michigan.

With all of the system parameters met, this week’s Cajun Sports NCAA Football System of the Week qualifies the Michigan State Spartans plus the points over the Wisconsin Badgers. The Spartans were our Play ON team last week and with that victory, they qualified in this week’s system. PLAY ON: Michigan State Spartans (+)

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:25 AM

Games to Watch - Week 8
By Brian Edwards

Oklahoma State vs. Missouri

As of Wednesday morning, most betting shops had Oklahoma St. installed as a 6 ½-point favorite with a total of 68 ½. After losing 12 in a row to Texas, Mike Gundy's squad beat Texas for the second straight year last week. Jeremy Smith ran for 140 yards and a pair of touchdowns on just seven carries. Missouri cruised to an easy 52-17 win over Iowa St. as a 17-point home favorite last Saturday. The Tigers are unbeaten at home, going 2-1 ATS against cupcake foes. They have lost three tight road games, taking the cash in two of them. Gary Pinkel's squad lost 37-30 in overtime at Arizona St., 38-28 at Oklahoma and 24-17 at Kansas St. Those three teams have just two combined losses, with both belonging to ASU. During Gundy's tenure, the Cowboys own an incredible 13-3 spread record in 16 games as road favorites. Meanwhile, the Tigers are 6-7 ATS as home 'dogs under Pinkel. OSU has won three of the last four head-to-head meetings against Mizzou both straight up and against the spread, including last year's 33-17 win in Stillwater. The 'over' is 4-2 overall for Missouri, 2-1 in its home games. The 'over' is 3-2-1 overall for OSU, 1-1-1 in its three road assignments.

North Carolina vs. Clemson

Most books were listing Clemson as a 10½-point favorite as of early Wednesday morning. The total was 58 and UNC was plus-320 on the money line (risk $100 to win $320). Dabo Swinney's team rallied from a 35-17 second-half deficit Saturday at Maryland, rallying to win 56-45 as a 9½-point road favorite. Tajh Boyd, who has a 19/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio, threw for 270 yards and four TDs and Andre Ellington rushed for 214 yards and a pair of scores. North Carolina is in bounce-back mode following Saturday's 30-24 loss to Miami as a one-point home 'chalk.' The Tar Heels have a 1-1 record both SU and ATS in their two road games, losing 35-28 at Ga. Tech and winning 35-20 at East Carolina. The 'over' is 5-2 overall for Clemson, 4-1 in its home games. The 'under' is 4-3 overall for UNC, 1-1 in its road outings.

Auburn vs. LSU

As of Wednesday morning, most books had LSU favored in the 22-23 range. The total was 46½. Les Miles's team produced another stellar performance last week, winning 38-7 at Tennessee as a 16½-point road favorite. Jarrett Lee threw two TD passes to improve his TD-INT ratio to 10/1. AU bounced back from a loss at Arkansas to beat Florida 17-6 as a three-point home underdog. Clint Moseley relieved the ineffective Barrett Trotter at QB and played well enough to earn his first career start in Baton Rouge. As a home favorite under Miles, LSU has an abysmal 14-24-1 spread record. AU has been a double-digit underdog three times during Gene Chizik's tenure, posting a 1-2 SU record and a 2-1 ATS mark. The Tigers are 3-4 ATS as road 'dogs under Chizik. The 'under' has cashed in four consecutive games for Auburn. Also, the 'under' has cashed at a 9-2 clip in the last 11 head-to-head meetings between these SEC West rivals.

Georgia Tech vs. Miami, Florida

Georgia Tech at Miami - Most books are listing Miami as a three-point favorite with a total of 61½. Al Golden's squad won a 30-24 decision at UNC last week as a one-point road underdog. The Hurricanes raced out to a 27-3 first-half lead in Chapel Hill thanks to three TD passes from Jacory Harris, who has a 12/3 TD-INT ratio this season. UM has won two of its three home games, going 1-2 versus the number. Ga. Tech suffered its first loss of the year in surprising fashion Saturday in Charlottesville, dropping a 24-21 decision at Virginia as a 7½-point road 'chalk.' The Yellow Jackets are 7-3 ATS as road underdogs under fourth-year head coach Paul Johnson. When these ACC adversaries met on The Flats in Midtown Atlanta last year, UM cruised to a 35-10 win as a 2 ½-point road favorite. In South Florida two season ago, the 'Canes won 33-17 as four-point home favorites.

Cincinnati vs. South Florida

Cincinnati at South Florida - Most books have tabbed USF as a three-point favorite with a total of 55. After a 4-0 start, the Bulls have dropped back-to-back road games at Pitt (44-17) and at UConn (16-10). They couldn't overcome four turnovers, including two interceptions from QB B.J. Daniels, who had previously been playing extremely well, as evidenced by nearly 1,800 yards of total offense, an 8/3 TD-INT ratio and four rushing scores. Cincy has won four in a row, going 3-1 ATS, since suffering its only loss at Tennessee. Isaiah Pead rushed for 151 yards and one TD to lead the Bearcats from a 16-7 intermission deficit to a 25-16 home win over Louisville last week. They have won five of the last seven head-to-head meetings against USF, posting a 6-1 spread record.

USC vs. Notre Dame

USC at Notre Dame - Most books are listing Notre Dame as an 8 ½-point favorite with a total of 57. Brian Kelly's team has won four straight games since starting 0-2. The Irish, who had an open date to get ready for this game, ended Southern Cal's eight-game winning streak in this rivalry by capturing a 20-16 win as a 4½-point road underdog last year. Lane Kiffin's team is coming off a 30-9 win at Cal last Thursday thanks to a pair of TD passes from Matt Barkley, who has a 16/4 TD-INT ration for the year. As a road 'dog on under Kiffin, USC has a 2-1 spread record as a road underdog

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:25 AM

Fenimore The Great

Iowa - 23 1/2 -100
Cinn +3 -102
TCU-43 1/2 -107
C Mich + 2 1/2 -102
Utah +1 -105
Oregon St. +3 -101
SMU +3 -103
Stanford - 20 1/2 -107
LSU -21 -103
Wisc -7 -108
Hawaii-21 1/2 -108
Georgia Tech +3 -105

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:25 AM

Vambo Sports

Purdue +3 1/2 -105
Mia Fla ML -134
Mississippi + 15 1/2 -109
Iowa St. +20 1/2 -103
Missouri +7 -110
Colorado +31 -108
Air Force +29 -103
Kansas + 10 1/2 -108
Alab - 29 1/2 -110
Houston - 23 1/2 -107

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:25 AM

SB Professor Original NCAA Picks

Saturday's NCAAF Picks:

12 PM EST
Eastern Michigan +13* (game is 12.5 but the added winning % you get at +13 makes the 1/2 point buy worth the juice risk)

3:30 PM EST
Memphis +13*

7 PM EST
Rice +11* (game is 10.5 just about everywhere but the added winning % you get at +11 makes the 1/2 point buy worth the juice risk)

Rest of Games
North Carolina +10.5
Missouri +7
Kansas +10.5
East Carolina +11.5
Fresno St. +11.5
Army +11
USC +9.5
Michigan St. +7
Colorado St. +10

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:25 AM

Rainman

5* Toledo
5* Miami Florida
3* Temple
3* Arkansas
3* Kansas ST
1* Nevada
1* Alabama

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:26 AM

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

St. Louis Cardinals + Texas Rangers UNDER 9.5

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:26 AM

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Oklahoma State -6.5 over Missouri

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:26 AM

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

Pittsburgh Penguins -150 over New Jersey Devils

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:26 AM

Today's CFL Picks

Montreal at Winnipeg

The Bluebombers look to bounce back from their 24-10 loss at Edmonton last week and build on their 10-2-1 ATS record in their last 13 games following a SU defeat. Winnipeg is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bluebombers favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+1 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 22
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (10/19)

Game 495-496: Montreal at Winnipeg (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 114.565; Winnipeg 117.453
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 3; 55
Vegas Line: Montreal by 1 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+1 1/2); Over

Game 497-498: BC at Hamilton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 119.337; Hamilton 116.056
Dunkel Line: BC by 3 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: BC by 1; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-1); Under

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:26 AM

Today's MLB Picks

St. Louis at Texas

The Cardinals look to bounce back from their Game 2 loss and build on their 12-3 record in their last 15 games as a road underdog. St. Louis is the pick (+165) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+165). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 22
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST (10/21)

Game 955-956: St. Louis at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 16.032; Texas (Harrison) 15.711
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-185); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+165); Under

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:26 AM

Today's NHL Picks

Buffalo at Tampa Bay

The Lightning look to build on their 6-2 record in their last 8 home games. Tampa Bay is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 22
Time Posted 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Minnesota at Vancouver (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.873; Vancouver 11.041
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+180); Under

Game 3-4: Nashville at Calgary (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 9.702; Calgary 11.513
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-140); Over

Game 5-6: San Jose at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.416; Boston 11.780
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Over

Game 7-8: Toronto at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 9.698; Montreal 11.426
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-125); Under

Game 9-10: Columbus at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 10.298; Ottawa 11.462
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-145); Under

Game 11-12: St. Louis at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 12.349; Philadelphia 11.489
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+155); Over

Game 13-14: New Jersey at Pittsbugh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.018; Pittsburgh 11.538
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-160); Under

Game 15-16: Detroit at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.334; Washington 12.927
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-145); Over

Game 17-18: Carolina at Winnipeg (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.674; Winnipeg 9.861
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-110); Under

Game 19-20: Buffalo at Tampa Bay (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.151; Tampa Bay 12.000
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105); Over

Game 21-22: NY Islanders at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.055; Florida 10.861
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+100); Under

Game 23-24: Colorado at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.784; Chicago 12.701
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-200); Over

Game 25-26: NY Rangers at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.169; Edmonton 11.653
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+105); Over

Game 27-28: Dallas at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.564; Los Angeles 11.388
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-180); 5
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+160); Under

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:26 AM

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

737- 543 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Sat: Oklahoma State -7

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:27 AM

Hondo

Hondo threw another splitter last night, cashing with 'Cuse and getting half-pointed with Rutgers to raise the accounts payable to 3,265 bebans.

Today, Mr. Aitch will take another trip down the Parlay Parkway with Virginia, Vandy, Northwestern, USC, Washington and Wisconsin. Twenty units. Also, 20 on the Rangers to make a loser of Lohse.

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:27 AM

Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Tulsa -10.5

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:27 AM

marc lawrence dog of the month MICH ST

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 08:27 AM

VIP VIHJEET

NHL:
Tampa Bay - Buffalo, UNDER 5.5, Small Bet

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 09:34 AM

Eddie Roman
10,000 Dime CFB Saturday Two Pack
Wake Forest Demon Deacons -4 over Duke
Over 64.5 Points ECU / Navy

5000 Dime Plays
Houston Cougars -23.5 over Marshall
Washington Huskies +20 over Stanford

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 09:34 AM

Lem Banker

College Game Of The Year

20* Florida St -18 over Maryland 3:30

10* NC State +5.5 over Virginia 3:30

10* Virginia Tech -21 over Boston College 3:00

10* Washington +21 over Stanford 8:00

10* Michigan St +7.5 over Wisconsin 8:00

Mr. IWS

10-22-2011, 09:35 AM

Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAYS

Arkansas/ Ole Miss over 56.5: After 2 games this year the Arkansas defense had allowed just 10 total points, but that was vs an FCS foe and New Mexico State, but in their last 4 games, against real offenses, they allowed 29.5 ppg. For the year this Arkansas defense is 65th in total defense (390 ypg) and 95th vs the run (189 ypg). The Arkansas defense will not help them win anything, but their offense can more than make up the slack. Arkansas is 23rd in total offense, putting up 466 ypg and 8th in passing with 337 ypg, plus they also check in at 17th in scoring, putting up 39.2 ppg. This is a very strong offense that should have it's way vs a Mississippi defense that is very poor. The Rebel defense comes in 106th overall, allowing 443 ypg and they are 81st in points allowed, giving up 29.2 ppg. Arkansas is not much of a running team, but the Ole Miss defense is 115th vs the run and if Arkansas does get the ground game going it will only open up more throwing lanes for this offense. The Ole Miss offense is one of the worst in the nation, but they have played some tough defenses (Alabama, Georgia, Vandy and BYU) an when they have played a soft defense (Frsno and FCS foe S.Illinois) they did put up 80 points in the 2 games. I clearly expect about 40 from Arkansas in this game, while Ole Miss should be good for at least 21, giving us a solid win on the Over here.

4 UNIT PLAYS

POWER ANGLE PLAY

NOTRE DAME -9.5 over USC: After years of frustration vs the Trojans and many blowout losses, the Irish got their first bit of revenge with a close win last year. Now it's time for this team to payback the Trojan for the many blowout losses, with a blowout win of their own The Irish are rolling right now after a slow start, as they have won 4 in a row, with 3 or the wins being by 18 points or more. he Irish this year are 22nd in total offense (468 ypg) and they have outgained their opponents by 105 ypg on the year. ND puts up 32.3 ppg, but in they come in averaging 48.5 ppg in their last 2 games and have put up 45 ppg in their last 2 games at home this year. Defense used to be a staple of this USC team, but not this year. The USC defense is solid vs the run, but they are 105th vs the pass, allowing 217 ypg. The Irish pass offense, that is 29th in the country should have a big game vs this unit tonight and don't forget about an Irisg ground attack that rushes for 194 ypg. This Irish offense is very balanced and will be tough for USC to stop. The USC Offense is middle of the pack in scoring at 30 ppg, but they are going up against a Notre Dame defense that has been solid this year and plays very well at home. Notre Dame years of abuse from this team and it's about time they payed them back in full. Look for at least a 17 point win by the Irish here. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play against any dog of 3.5 to 10 off 2 straight conference wins, if their win pct is 80% or higher and they are taking on a winning team. This has gone 30-6 the last 5 years.

PURDUE +4 over Illinois: Let's start of with a solid system that favors Purdue. Play ON any team off a conference loss of 7 or more vs an opponent off a Home Fav loss of 10 or more. This system is 41-15 since 1992. Last year Purdue was blast by the Illini, 44-10 and you can expect them to look for some revenge in this one. Purdue has been a decent defensive team this year, allowing 349 ypg, but if ya take out the the game vs the Irish they have allowed just 309 ypg. the Purdue defense is also just 32nd in points allowed at 21 ppg. Illinoi's offense has been good, but they have beat up on some bad defenses as 3 or the last 4 teams they faced had a defense that is currently 77th or worse. That last game in their last 4 was vs a very good defense (Ohio State) and they struggled in that game, putting up juts 7 points and 285 yards. You can bet that Purdue will take a long look at last weeks film an see what Ohio State did right to grab a 211 yards on the ground vs a solid Illini run defense. That is important as Purdue is 24th in the nation in rushing, with 207 ypg. The Purdue defense is very underrated and they should be able to contain this running game of Illinois, while they will look to control the rest of the game with their own ground game. I look for the outright upset here.

3 UNIT PLAYS

Kansas State -10 over KANSAS: Just a total mismatch here. Last week the Jayhawks had a good showing (for a half) vs the Sooners, but they showed how bad they really are once the 2nd half started. The Jayhawks do have a decent offense, putting up 425 ypg and 31.7 ppg, but it has been their horrendous defense that has been this teams downfall this year. The Jayhawk defense ranks dead last overall, allowing 565 ypg and they are next to dead last vs the pass, allowing a whopping 338 ypg, plus they allow 49 ppg, which is also dead last in the Nation. This is one hugely bad defense. The Jayhawk offense isn't spectacular at 94th in the nation, but they do score 29.3 ppg and they are 25th in the nation in rushing, putting up 206 ypg on the ground. That strong ground game will be going up against a defense that has allowed 227 ypg (116th) on the ground this year and they are dead last in rushing ypa, allowing a whopping 6.8 ypa. The KSU defense has no such problems, as they come in ranked 37th overall (345 ypg) and 21st in points allowed (19.5). They can struggle abit vs the pass, but Kansas is not really a passing team at 73rd in the country.Last year KSU put a 52 point whipping on the Jayhawks and this years KSU team is better than last years team, while the Jayhawks are much, much worse than last years edition.

ALABAMA -29.5 over Tennessee: With Tyler Bray behind center the Vols may have had a shot at keeping this one close, but with Matt Simms back there they have no shot. Bray hit 66% of his passes and had 14 TD's to just 2 INT's, but in limited duty so far for Simms he has hit just 39.3 % of his passes and has 2 INT's and no TD's. Now this Tennessee offense must face the number 1 ranked defense in the nation. Alabama has allowed just 184 ypg overall, 38.1 ypg rushing and just 7 ppg. All number 1 rankings. Now on offense this Alabama isn't to shabby either as they are 24th in total offense (460 ypg), 12th in rushing (241 ypg) and 14th in scoring (39.7 ppg). The Tennessee offense overall is 72rd in the nation, averaging 383 ypg and they are 63rd in scoring at 28.3 ppg, but they will not look like a 23rd rated passing offense with Simms be hind center. I really don't know how the Vols will be able to move the ball. They won't be able to pass and their rushing offense is 114th and going up against a team that allows just 38.1 ypg on the ground. The Vols defense may play respectable for a little bit, but this Bama offense will wear them down in the second half. The top teams in the country have been running up the scores and I expect no different from a Bama that has been outscoring their opponents by 33 ppg on the year. Alabama will be fully focused as they win this one by at least 5 TD's.

MICHIGAN STATE +7 over Wisconsin: Back in the Summer I took a bit of flack for my choice of Michigan State to win their division in the Big 10 and for them to get over 7.5 wins for the year. Well this team is on pace to do both and i won't back down from them here. Sure Wisconsin is a very good team and they are 6-0 on the year, but the only real team they have beaten this year is Nebraska, plus this is their first true road game of the year. Yes they won by 31 over Nebraska, but as we have seen this year Nebraska has struggled on the defensive side and the defense they will be facing today has not struggled at all. The Spartans check in with the 2nd ranked defense overall, allowing just 186.2 ppg and 10.8 ppg, which is 4th. Last week this defense held a strong Michigan offense to just 250 yards and 14 points and for the 2nd week in a row they will be taking on a mobile QB. They stopped Denard last week and should be able to stop Wilson this week. The State offense is not spectacular, but they do enough to win and they don't beat themselves. They will be facing a Wisconsin defense that is 7th overall and 3rd in points allowed. The Badgers are the top scoring team in the Nation, but the top defense they played was Nebraska and they are 67 in points allowed, while the next best defense they played was Oregon State, and they are 97th in points allowed. This is by far the best defense the Badgers will play all year and I see them having problems tonight. Michigan State is winning with an Old School Big 10 formula... Run the ball and defense. Wisconsin hasn't really been tested yet and I see that hurting them here in this very hostile environment. Look for Sparty to win outright. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play on any home dogs after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less TO's vs an opponent that force 3 or more TO's in BB games. This has gone 36-9 the last 10 years.

2 UNIT PLAYS

HOUSTON -23.5 over Marshall: Boy what a healthy Case Keenum will do to a team. Last year the Cougars did put up 38 ppg and 480 ypg even with Keenum being out the last 9 games, but this year he has been fully healthy and this team has put up 47 ppg and a whopping 603 ypg. Last year tghey had good numbers, but they have been so much better this year with a healthy Keenum. Houston is 1st in the nation in passing, at 434 ypg and they will be taking on a Marshall pass defense that is poor, allowing 230 ypg (73rd). Houston is also 8th in passing yards per attempt (8.8), while Marshall is 66th in ypa allowed at 7.4. The Houston defense hasn't been that strong this year, but then again they won't have to be in this one as the Marshall offense checks in at 114th overall (280 ypg) and 116th in scoring at 14.7 ppg. Marshall may be 2-1 in Conf USA East, but they just do not have enough offense to stay with a Houston team that has scored a whopping 105 points in their first 2 Conference games this year. KEY TRENDS--- Marshall is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a Bye week, while Houston is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or higher.

MISSOURI +6.5 over Oklahoma State: Granted the Cowboys have one of the best offenses around, but this team can't stop anyone. The Cowboys come in ranked 99th in total defense (427 ypg) and 95th vs the pass (250 ypg). Bad numbers indeed. Now they must face the Missouri offense that is 13th overall (496.2 ypg) and 34th in passing (260 ypg). Missouri is also 13th in rushing at 237 ypg and 5.5 ypc, while OSU has allowed 177 ypg on the ground and 4.5 ypc. The Missouri ground game should really take over here and that will help them control the game and keep this powerful OSU offense off the field. I also look for that ground game to wear down this OSU defense that already spends too much time on the field, cause their offense scores so quickly. Both teams can score a lot of points, but only one team can play defense and that team is at home, getting points. Take the HD here.

1 UNIT PLAYS

Air Force +29 over BOISE STATE: Boise has been crushing opponents of late and Air Force did allow ND 59 points last week, but the Falcon defense is better than that and their Option offense did torch a very good ND run defense for 363 yards on the ground. The Falcon option should be able to limit the amount of series' the Broncos will get, plus they should put enough points on the board to sneak in under this big number.

MIAMI -2.5 over Georgia Tech: Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 off a conference win of 7 or less and they are playing on a Saturday are 35-11 ATS the last 5 years. The Tech offense put up incredible #'s in the first 3 weeks of the year, but that was vs an FCS team and two of the worst defenses in the nation. The last 4 weeks has seen their offense production go down each week and this week they will face a Miami defense that allows just 23.7 ppg. Look for a 7 point win by the Canes here.

timbob

10-22-2011, 09:51 AM

GREAT LAKES SPORTS

College Football Selections:

5* (389) Wisconsin Badgers 8:00est
4* (363) Kansas State Wildcats 12:00est
4* (381) USC Trojans 7:30est
3* (344) Vanderbilt Commodores 7:00est
3* (385) Washington Huskies 8:00est

Major League Baseball Selection:

4* (956) Texas Rangers (with Harrison) 8:05est

timbob

10-22-2011, 09:53 AM

Jack Jones

25* SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Auburn +21.5

15* Big Ten TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Illinois/Purdue OVER 47

15* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Kansas State/Kansas UNDER 63

15* Wisconsin/Michigan State ESPN Saturday No-Brainer on Michigan State +8.5

15* OSU/WSU Saturday Night BAILOUT on Washington State -3

timbob

10-22-2011, 09:54 AM

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Saturday

4* Best Bet = TEXAS A&M

3* = NORTHWESTERN

3* = ALABAMA

2* = NEVADA

2* = NOTRE DAME

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:05 AM

Don Wallace Sports

Purdue +6.5
NC State +6
Oregon State +4.5
Georgia Tech +3
Air Force +30

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:08 AM

Trace Adams
Saturday's Selections ...
For Saturday in college football, 1500♦ Absolute Blowout is the Nevada Wolf Pack as the home favcrite againsst the Fresno State Bulldogs.
500♦ Pac 12 Bonus Best Bet on Washington as the road undtrdog at Stanford.

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:08 AM

Steven Budin CEO
Saturday's Pick

The Philadelphia crew has its 25 Dime play on South Florida as the home favorite against Cincincati. As I release this play at 9 PM on Friday night (eastern time), South Florida is a solid -3 point chalk in Vegas and offshore at every book I've checsked for this Noon Eastern kickoff This is one of those situations where I recommend you go ahead and purchase a bit of insurance, buying down the half-point on South Florida if you're getting them at -3 to -4 1/2. It's a wide range but worth it.

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:09 AM

Matt Rivers
Saturday's Selections ...

Your winners are: 300,000♦ Stone Cold Lock Winner # 10 of 11 on the Northwestern Wildcats as the home undcrdog agaisnst the Penn State Nittany Lions.

I also have a bonus 100,000♦ Big 10 Lock going on Michigan State as the home dog versus the visittng Wisconsin Badgers.

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:09 AM

red sheet

#388 lsu 89
#363 kansas state 89
#333 texas a&m 88
#372 nevada 88
#332 virginia tech 88

89-above
88-below

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:09 AM

POWERSWEEP

Key Selection
4* #380 ALABAMA
3* #363 Kansas St
3* #372 NEVADA
2* #354 MISSOURI
2* #344 VANDERBILT
2* #385 Washington

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:09 AM

POWERPLAY

4* #316 4H PURDUE 25 (+) ILLINOIS 26
4* #320 MIAMI, FL 35 GEO TECH 28
2* #322 DUKE 32 (+) W FOREST 33
2* #324 MISSI 24 (+) ARKANSAS 38
3* #328 CLEMSON 36 NO CAROL A 23
2* #333 TEXAS A&M 43 IOWA ST 19
4* #335 W MICHI 39 (if -14 or less) E MICH 21
1* #338 TCU 52 NEW MEXICO 9
4.5* #344 VAND 35 ARMY 15
4* #347 TEMPLE 31 BO GREEN 11
4.5* #354 MISSOURI 35 (+) OK ST 38
4* #356 COL 23 (if +31 or more) OR 49
4* #363 KANSAS ST 39 KANSAS 23
4.5* #372 NEVADA 37 FRESNO ST 21
4* #374 HOUSTON 41 MARSHALL 15
4.5* #382 NOTRE DAME 37 USC 21
1* #384 SO MISS 34 SMU 30
4* #388 LSU 36 (if -23 or less) AUBURN 7

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:10 AM

Jeff Benton
Saturday's Action

50 Dimer going out on the Illinois Fighting Illini minus the points as the road favorcte againsst the Purdue Boilermakers. At the time I release this winner, Illinois is a 4-point choice both here in Vegas and offshore.

10 Dimer is USC plus the points as the visittng dog at Notre Dame. At the time I release this winner to you, the Trojans are a 9 1/2-point underdog both here in Vegas and offshore. on Michigan State as the home dog versus the visittng Wisconsin Badgers.

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:11 AM

MADDUX SPORTS
Saturday October 22nd
#318 - NCAAF - 10 units on Florida State -18
#347 - NCAAF - 20 units on Temple -13.5
#354 - NCAAF - 10 units on Missouri +7
#364 - NCAAF - 10 units on Kansas +10.5
#366 - NCAAF - 10 units on Oklahoma -28.5
#372 - NCAAF - 10 units on Nevada -11
#378 - NCAAF - 10 units on Toledo -16.5
#390 - NCAAF - 10 units on Michigan State +8.5
#393 - NCAAF - 10 units on New Mexico State +21.5

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:11 AM

Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...

My 50 Dime play is on road favorite Wisconsin to cover agaicst Michigan State. Looking at the sposrts books in Las Vegas at 1 a.m. and the Badgers are 7 ½ point favortte.

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:11 AM

Derek Mancini
Today's Winner...
100 Dime play on the Army Black Knights plus the points agacnst the Vanderbilt Commodores. As I release this selecstion at 8 am Eastern, Army is currtntly listed as an 11 point underdog.

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:12 AM

Paul Leiner

100* Over 46.5 Bama/Tenn

100* Kansas State -11

50* Miami FL -3

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:13 AM

Anthony Redd
Saturday's Plays
75 Dime selection on Fresno State as the road underdcg against Nevada. As this play is released at 4:30 am Pacific, Fresno State is currently getting 11 1/2 points here in Vegas and offshore.

75 Dime selection on Houston as the home favorite against Marhsall.Houston is curresntly laying between 23 1/2 to 24 points here in Vegas and offshore.

75 Dime selection on Tulsa as the road favorite agatnst Rice. Tulsa is currently laying 10 1/2 points here in Vegas and offshore.

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:13 AM

Bob Valentino
60 Dime Winner # 21 out of 31 ...

60 DIME college relecse on Missouri plus the points over Oklahoma State as these teams battle it out at Faurot Field in Columbia this afternoon. At the time I publish this selesction at just after midnight Eastern on Saturday, the constnsus odds have Missouri as a 7 point pup both in Las Vegas and overseas. Definately buy the 1/2 point insurance on the Tigers at +6 1/2 or +7.

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:13 AM

Craig Davis
Saturday's Plays...

60 Dime 3-Team/10-Point Teaser Play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES, KANSAS STATE WILDCATS, and AUBURN/LSU UNDER.

30 Dime selection on the IILINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI against Purdue.

20 Dime selection on the UL LAFAYETTE RAGIN' CAJUNS against Western Kentucky

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:31 AM

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Saturday

Play Texas (-185) over St. Louis (Top MLB Play)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST

Matt Harrison has won 15 of the last 17 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he has also won 13 of the last 16 games coming off a team win. Matt Harrison has won 9 of the last 10 games when pitching as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has an ERA of 2.81 over the last three starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------

NHL Hockey Saturday

Play Chicago -200 over Colorado (Top NHL Play)

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:32 AM

NorthCoast
COLLEGE TOTALS

4* OVER MISSISSIPPI 56
3* OVER BUFFALO 62--UNDER CLIFORNIA 46--OVER HAWAII 59
MARQUEE PLAYS--INSIDE INFO PLAY-LA TECH--COLLEGE 900 LINE-MISSOURI-TV POD-OVER USC 57--MAC SUNBELT-OHIO U
TOP OPINIONS HOT LINE PLAYS--
SMALL COLEGE
4*
3* WESTERN MICHGAN -12--TEMPLE -13.5

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:32 AM

JACK HOWARD

Michigan St. +7.5 Over Wisconsin 10 Dimes
Northwestern +4 Over Penn State 10 Dimes
Georgia Tech +3 Over Miami 10 Dimes
Nebraska -24.5 Over Minnesota 10 Dimes

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:33 AM

RICHIE CARRERA

TEXAS -180 over St. Louis 10 Dimes
TEXAS/St. Louis OVER 9.5 10 Dimes

MIAMI/Georgia Tech UNDER 62 5 Dimes
NEVADA -11 over Fresno St. 10 Dimes
MICHIGAN St. +7.5 over Wisconsin 10 Dimes
HAWAII -21 over New Mexico St. 15 Dimes

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:45 AM

GOODFELLA

3* Northwestern
2* Michigan ST

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:45 AM

Tom Freese

10* Clemson
15* Florida State
20* Temple

timbob

10-22-2011, 10:47 AM

PowerPLayWins

kansas st(-11)
arkansas(-15.5)
nebraska(-24.5)
wisconsin(-7.5)

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:17 AM

Trusted Picks

Sides:
Northern ILL -14
LSU -21
TCU -43
GA tech +3
Cinci +3
Alabama -30

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:17 AM

RANDY BRUCE

*5 dimes each
Illinois -3.5
Oklahoma State -7
Arkansas -15.5
Wake Forest -3.5
Virginia Tech -21
Hawaii -21
Northern Illinois -14

*25 dimes
Nebraska -24.5

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:18 AM

GOODFELLA

3* Northwestern
2* Michigan ST

2* 7 pt Premium Play Teaser NOTRE DAME -2 to #354 MISSOURI +14.5

2* NFL TEASER GREEN BAY -2 to #413 ATLANTA +10.5
3* NY JETS

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:18 AM

Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB World Series.

Ben lee lost on Thursday with the Cardnials -$120/Rangers and had Np on Friday.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" likes the Rangers -$180/Cardnials.

"Mr Chalk" is 13-5 + $425 for the 2011 MLB AL/NL Playoffs.

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:19 AM

Ohio's sbp (sports betting prodigy)

ncaaf

5-1 last sat .. Lets win em all this week .. Gl guys..

duke +4

missou +7

unc +11

kansas +11

lsu -24

navy -12.5

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:29 AM

Jeff Benton
Saturday's Action
50 Dimer going out on the Illinois Fighting Illini minus the points as the road favorate againlst the Purdue Boilermakers. At the time I release this winner, Illinois is a 4-point choice both here in Vegas and offshore.

10 Dimer is USC plus the points as the visitcng dog at Notre Dame. At the time I release this winner to you, the Trojans are a 9 1/2-point underdog both here in Vegas and offshore.

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:29 AM

John ryan

25* sun belt g-o-y- is on ..... Middle tenn st. -6

15* titan is on ..... North carolina +10

15* titan is on ..... Kansas +10.5

15* titan is on ..... Cinncy +3

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:31 AM

kelso

200* GOY wake forest

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:31 AM

Jack Reynolds from SyndicateSportsPicks:

Saturday 10/22 College Football Plays:

Play #1:
Straight Bet:

385 Washington +20

Play #2:
3 Team, 10 Point Teaser:

328 Clemson Pk
363 Kansas State Pk
372 Nevada -1.5

Play #3:
2 Team 7 Point Teaser:

353 Oklahoma St Pk
382 Notre Dame -2.5

Play #4:
2 Team 7 Point Teaser:

321 Wake Forest +3.5
353 Oklahoma St Pk

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:32 AM

Mike Hook

| CFB Side dime bet 393 New Mexico St. 21.5 (-110) Hilton vs 394 Hawaii

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:44 AM

Mike Seba's Pick Pack
NCAA Football Saturday Picks
Premium Plays

Matchup: Air Force at Boise State
Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Boise State (-28.5 -110)
Line Source: HILTON
Posted on: October 21, 2011 @ 6:55:13 PM EDT

With the BCS system the way that it is, Boise has no choice but to try and run up the score on teams whenever they can so that they can try and climb higher in the standings. This is a terrible message that the BCS is sending, but evidently they don't care.

Boise State has won their last two games (both road games) by 50 points each and I don't see that changing much at home against a below average Air Force team.

Matchup: Penn State at Northwestern
Time: 7:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Northwestern (+4.5 -110)
Line Source: 5dimes
Posted on: October 21, 2011 @ 7:11:19 PM EDT

Penn State has had the benefit of one of the easiest schedules in the NCAA and that will not serve them well here. Northwestern, on the other hand, has already played four road games against better competition.

While Northwestern obviously has their problems on defense they should be able to keep it close as Penn State could be looking ahead to Illinois.

Member Plays

Matchup: Oklahoma St at Missouri
Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Missouri (+7.5 -110)
Line Source: ATLANTIS
Posted on: October 19, 2011 @ 2:25:55 PM EDT

The Tigers are playing well right now and a win over Oklahoma State is a possiblility, but I like the spread better, getting more than a touchdown at home. Missouri had had a very difficult schedule, losing in OT at Arizona State, losing by 10 at Oklahoma, and losing a close game at K-State last week.

The Cowboys are a handful there is no doubt about it, but coming off the win over Texas and possibly basking in the limelight of being ranked fourth in the just released BCS standings, they could be vulnerable.

Matchup: Wisconsin at Michigan St
Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Wisconsin (-7 -110)
Line Source: 5dimes
Posted on: October 21, 2011 @ 7:16:15 PM EDT

I respect Michigan State but I must side with the Badgers in this spot. While the Spartans would love nothing more that to whip Wisconsin at home after losing at home to them last year 34-24, the fact is that they are just not as good as the Badgers.

This could be the best Wisconsin team that has ever come out of Madison and they are playing like their coach has a chip on his shoulder. With the Spartans having beaten Ohio State and Michigan in consecutive games, I just don't think they have the amunition to do it three games in a row.

Guaranteed Plays

Matchup: Louisiana Tech at Utah State
Time: 3:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Utah State (-6 -110)
Line Source: CRIS
Posted on: October 21, 2011 @ 6:48:27 PM EDT

This is one of those games that Utah State has circled on their schedule after losing last year to the Bulldogs 24-9. I like laying less than a touchdown at home, espescially with Utah State not playing particularly well last week at Fresno State.

The Aggies are really tough at home and watching them earlier in the year at Auburn I was very impressed with their offensive capabilities. Them should be able to score enough to get the cover here and even their conference record.

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:54 AM

N Coast Sports

5* Nevada
4* Miami Fla
4* Kansas st
4* Washington
3* Mich St
3* Calfornia

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:55 AM

Vincent Rizzo Sports, 10/22

Top Rated,
Wisconsin -6.5 (hook)

Comp play,
UL Lafayette -2.5 (hook)

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:55 AM

The Boss
1000% godfather Wake Forest
500% untouchable play northern Illinois
300% bookie buster parlay wake nillinois overkansasstate
200% dog pound Washington
100% silent assassins south florida Notre dame Nevada

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:56 AM

JOHN CHANG

---Start Time 7:00 PM EST---
Utah Utes +1 over CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS, 20 dimes
Similar to last week, I love betting against Zach Maynard. While his numbers don't always show it, I think he's a terrible quarterback. Everytime you watch a Cal game, you get the nagging feeling that he's the only thing holding the team back from reaching the next level. Similar to Pitt's Tino Sunseri, who Utah terrorized last week in a solid road win, Maynard is a signal caller of below average talent who gets rattled into making bad decisions. Especially when the run game is stopped, which Utah is definitely capable of. I expect them to take a page from USC's winning game plan last week against the Bears and stack the box. This will force the game onto Maynard's arm, which is just what we want.

---Start Time 8:00 PM EST---
Wisconsin Badgers -7.5 over MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS, 20 dimes
Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio would like to think that this is classic "Best Offense versus Best Defense" matchup, but he's leaving out an important fact. The Spartans do have a seriously stout defense, and Wisconsin has an explosive offense, but the Badgers' defense is just as good as MSU's. Wisconsin is my team to win the BCS. Watching these guys play is exciting, and their surface stats can tell you why. The Badgers average over 50 points per game, while only giving up somewhere around 10 points per contest on defense. They've only turned the ball over 3 times all year, and the record against the number is 5-1. This team is a machine people, and the Spartans haven't seen anything like this yet. Wisconsin will be fired up for this first real road test this season, plus the revenge factor is burning strong for them after losing in East Lansing last season. If the Spartans strong pass defense manages to stop Russell Wilson's efficient attack, the Badgers can beat any team on the ground (they average well over 200 yards per game in this respect.)

Additional Selections:

---Start Time 8:00 PM EST---
Penn State Nittany Lions -4 over NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS, 10 dimes

---Start Time 12:00 PM EST---
Cincinnati Bearcats +3 over SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS, 10 dimes

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:56 AM

wecoverspreads for 10.22

5*Missouri+7
5*Notre Dame-9
4*Miami-FL-2.5
4*Navy-11

4*Louisiana Tech+6.5

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:57 AM

PhD Picks

Clemson U58
Missouri U69.5
South Florida U54.5
Duke U60.5
TCU O62
Ball State O55.5
Virginia Tech O43.5
Florida State O54.5
Virginia O51.5
Miami Florida O61.5
Tulane O50
Nevada O58.5
Houston O62
North Texas O46
California O46
Alabama O46.5
Michigan State O50
Florida Atlantic U49
Oklahoma O70

North Carolina +10.5
Duke +4
Virginia Tech -21
NC State +5
Georgia Tech +2.5

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:57 AM

Best Sports Pick

Penn State -4
Oklahoma State -6.5
Texas Tech 29
Arkansas -15

timbob

10-22-2011, 11:59 AM

WUNDERDOG (NHL)
NHL 208-168 Last 376 picks +$6990
1 OF 7
Game: Nashville at Calgary (4:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Nashville +120 (moneyline)

The Nashville Predators have spent a lot of time on the road to open the season, and stand at 2-2. They won their two-game season opening road set, and now have lost a pair on this trip which ends tonight. I expect them to bring a lot of energy to this one, and return home with a win. Calgary has had mixed results at home to start the season at 1-1-1, but they have been outscored in the three contests on home ice by a 9-7 count. Nashville has skated well as a road dog going back to last year as they have now won four of their last five in this situation. This has been a road-dominated series, with the visiting team collecting the 2 points in six of the last eight meetings. With Calgary not showing much of an advantage in home ice, I'm backing Nashville. Play on the Predators.

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:00 PM

Scott Ferrall Premium College Football

Boston College
VIRGINIA TECH -20 ½ (1)

Air Force
BOISE STATE -31 (2)

KANSAS STATE -11 (3)
Kansas

Texas Tech
OKLAHOMA -28 (4)

Marshall
HOUSTON -20 (5)

Tennessee
ALABAMA -28 (6)

Auburn
LSU -22 (7)

WISCONSIN -8 (8)
Michigan State

OREGON -32 (9)
Colorado

NEBRASKA -24 ½ (10)
Minnesota

Oklahoma State
MISSOURI +7 ½ (11)

GEORGIA TECH +3 (12)
Miami (Fl)

ARKANSAS -16 (13)
Mississippi

WAKE FOREST -2 ½ (14)
Duke

Washington
STANFORD -20 (15)

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:00 PM

Tom & Lee Stryker

Tom: Toledo-17
Lee: N.D.-9

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:01 PM

Sean Higgs
Might need to change my name from Mr. Money to the Big Game Hunter as my Top Rated CFB 10*s are now hitting 60% on the year $ Forget giving out Kit-Kats for Halloween next Monday. Your pumpkin will be stuffed with CASH MONEY $

10* Arkansas Razorbacks
Taking ARKANSAS here as my SEC GOM part 2. (Part 1 cashed on Missouri last week $) We have the Razorbacks coming out of their bye week to face a Mississippi team that is clearly clinging to life support. Ex Ark HC Nutt is on a hot seat that has already scolded his rear! With 1 more loss, Nutt will have Ole Miss at 10 straight SEC losses. That hasn't been done in 79 years. Miss got pounded by 'Bama last week and is banged up on the defensive side of the ball. When you give up 30 a game, and are facing a team that scores 40 a game, you really can't be missing any starters on defense. This defense gave up 280 on the ground to Vandy (they ave 130 on the year), 207 to Georgia (162), 389 to Alabama (240). When the Razorbacks traveled to play at 'Bama they gave up 197. That 240 was at home for Ole Miss. Arkansas is a passing team, nearly 340 a game. But they do go for 130 on the ground. When a team is giving up 225 on the ground, I am sure Arkansas will be near 200 by days on the ground, plus a near 400 yard performance from QB Tyler Wilson. 12TDs and just 3INTs on the year. He will easily toss 4 into the endzone here vs this reeling Rebels bunch. This Ole Miss team is suppose to be a power-running team. Really. At 103ypg? That is going to keep this Razorback offense off the field. Please. Razorbacks 45-17 ~ SEC GOM II 10* ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS

also
4* Kansas Jayhawks

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:01 PM

Michael David 10/22

Miami
Kansas
Mich st
Arkansas
Nevada
Florida
Washington

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:05 PM

Primetime Cappers

20* NCAAF game of the month take Washington State -3
10* NCAAF game of the day runner-up take Illinois -3.5
9* NCAAF take Northwestern +4
8* NCAAF take under 47.5 Penn State/Northwestern

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:06 PM

Sports Handicapper King

NCAA FOOTBALL
30* Michigan State +7.5

NCAA COMP Colorado +31

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:06 PM

We Cover Spreads

5*Missouri+7
5*Notre Dame-9
4*Miami-FL-2.5
4*Navy-11

4*Louisiana Tech+6.5

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:06 PM

LINES 2 WIN

comp
#361 Boise/Air Force Over 63 (1 Unit) - Air Force has gone over the total in all 6 of their games this season. Boise has gone over in back to back games as well. Air Force doesn't play defense so Boise should have no problem posting their above 40 point average. We only need Air Force to score a couple Td's to beat this number.

5* Temple -14
3* Texas A&M -20.5
2* Kansas/Kansas State under 59
2*Wake Forest -3.5
2* Georgia Tech +3
2* Wisconsin -7.5
1* Texas Tech +29
1*Boise State/Air Force Over 63

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:07 PM

ATS Financial

5 SMU
4 Kansas
4 Indiana

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:27 PM

PREDICTION MACHINE

Wake -3 61.4%
UVA-5.5 60.9%
Nevada-10.5 59.9%

Stanford over 61 61.2%
TCU over 61.5 61%
PSU under 47.5 60.1%

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:29 PM

Fairway Jay
20* N Car
20* Over Navy

10*NC State
10*Air Force
10*Navy
10*UL Lafayette

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:39 PM

Priority Sports

Date: Oct-22-2011
CFB [323] Arkansas -16 Rated: ***
CFB [346] Utah State -6.5 Rated: ***
CFB [360] California -1.5 Rated: ***
CFB [385] Washington +20.5 Rated: ***
CFB [332] Virgina Tech -21 Rated: Opinion
CFB [357] Nebraska -25 Rated: Opinion
CFB [380] Alabama -30 Rated: Opinion

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:39 PM

Ron Driver

Baseball 2011 World Series Game 3

Texas Rangers

College Football

Air Force +30

Nevada -11

Washington State -3

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:40 PM

Nick Pellegrino

Plays (sides)

Nashville Predators +120, at Vancouver Canucks

Toronto Maple Leafs Even, at Montreal Canadiens

Detroit Red Wings +125, at Washington Capitals

Carolina Hurricanes -105, at Winnipeg Jets

N.Y. Rangers -125, at Edmonton Oilers

Plays (totals)

Minnesota-Vancouver, UNDER 5½, -135

San Jose-Boston, UNDER 5½, +105

Toronto-Montreal, OVER 5½, +105

St. Louis-Philadelphia, OVER 5½, -125

Detroit-Washington, OVRT 5½, -110

Dallas-L.A. Kings, UNDER 5, -105

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:40 PM

MLBPredicitons
Kevin

St Louis Cardinals @ Texas Rangers - OVER 9.5 RUNS (-101)

timbob

10-22-2011, 12:58 PM

Sports N´Profits

Boise State -29 1/2 vs. Air Force @ 330PM

Vanderbilt -11 vs. Army @ 7PM

Wisconsin vs. Michigan State over 49 1/2 @ 8PM

Texas Rangers -1 1/2 (+110) vs. St Louis Cardinals @ 805PM

Washington State -3 vs. Oregon State @ 1030PM

Los Angeles Kings -1 1/2 (+165) vs. Dallas Stars @ 1035PM

timbob

10-22-2011, 01:40 PM

Rob Veno

20 stanford
15 Over Oregon
10 Wake Forest

timbob

10-22-2011, 01:41 PM

Computer Crushers

Tulsa -10
Houston -23.5
Temple -13.5
Texas A&M -20.5
Nevada -11.5

timbob

10-22-2011, 01:42 PM

Sean Higgs

5* Texas A&M
Will back TEXAS A&M here. Nearly made this a Top 10*. Only thing holding me back is that A&M has Missouri on deck in a big revenge spot home game. That being said, how good is this Aggies bunch. I had them as a dark horse BCS team. They have 2 losses, 2 & 4pts to Oklahoma State and Arkansas. A pair of Top 10 teams. And that was blowing a pair of 18 point leads! Do we really think Iowa State, off a 52-17 loss (we had MizzU huge) can slow this team down? Cyclones giving up nearly 40per, while A&M scoring more than 40. They can write their own final here. I am calling for a 48-20 type game. 5* TEXAS A&M AGGIES

10* Miami Hurricanes
Taking the HURRICANES here. I love games like this. We have a 6-1 getting points from the 3-3 team. G-Tech looks like the easy money here. As Lee Corso says, 'not so fast my friends.' GT has a much more 'glamorious' record wise and ACC-wise next week with Atlantic Divison Clemson, as they lead the Coastal. The U, limping at 3-3. I am a fan of HC Golden. The guy is a great coach. I am pretty sure he had scenerios like this at Temple. A ranked team coming to play on his field and looking past them at a perceived better opponent in the next game. Listen, this is still Miami. It isn't like they get crap players here. For as much as Jacory Harris gets flack for his INTs, he is at 12TDs and 3INTs on the year. Canes won the last 2 in this series 35-10 last year on the road and 33-17 at home in 2009. Miami has the speed to negate the Tech rush game. 10* ACC GOM MIAMI HURRICANES

5* Michigan State
Will take MICHIGAN STATE here. Will fall for this inflated number. Where is the love for Michigan State? Is this simply a flat spot since they beat Michigan? They beat UM the last 4 times now. Didn't Sparty beat Wiscy last year? Again, can the Spartans get a little respect here. This is by far the best defense the Badgers will have faced this year (Top 4 in all 5 defensive catagories). Pretty sure MSU knows what Wiscy wants to do, at 257 ypr a game, Badgers are maulers. MSU and their 67rypg defense will have a stiff test ahead. QBs Wilson and Cousins are seniors. I doubt they will be doing anything dumb here. In last years 34-24 win here, MSU turned the ball over 3 times and still got a 10 point win! This is still a Big 10 team right? It isn't like they don't have atheletes that can't compete here. Wisconsin hasn't even had an away game yet. And they are laying this? Come on. Nearly played this +240 ML 5* MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS

4* Over Stl. Cardinals/ Tex Rangers

timbob

10-22-2011, 02:07 PM

executive

600 utah st
350 va
350 southern miss

timbob

10-22-2011, 03:29 PM

WINNING ADDICT-ZACH SPARAZZA

20 UNIT* Southern Miss Eagles -3 -110 (Risk 22 units to win 20 units) 8:00 P.M.
There will certainly be some points scored in this one, but the edge goes to Southern Miss because they are much better at taking care of the ball, as SMU is sloppy and their defense doesn’t create takeaways. Southern Miss runs the ball much better than SMU, and SMU hasn’t stopped the run against good teams this season. This is the biggest game of the season for Southern Miss, as they come off a bye week after 4 straight wins. They put 63 on the board in their last game, a 63-35 win over Navy, while SMU played well in a 38-17 win over UCF (a team that has fallen off the map after a 26-24 loss to UAB Thursday). Southern Miss averages 38.7 points per game, good for 18th nationally, but they only give up 22 per game, which is 36th nationally. This Golden Eagles team is good because of their balanced offense, as they gain 262 through the air and 212 on the ground—both very impressive numbers that are top 30 and top 20 nationally. SMU has had their struggles on the road under June Jones, although this is obviously his best team yet since being there, as he has steadily built another program that was dead upon his arrival. Hattiesburg will all be in attendance for this nationally televised game on CBS College. I think Southern Miss wins because of their ability to run the ball, and coupled with SMU’s one-dimensional run and shoot offense, Southern Miss takes this huge C-USA matchup. Win 20 units and lay the points.

10 UNIT* Northwestern Wildcats +4.5 -110 (Risk 11 units to win 10 units) 7:00 P.M.
Penn State is as hot as anyone, but looking deeper it is their defense that has saved them time and time again. While Northwestern has had their struggles lately with 4 straight losses, I expect a huge performance Saturday night in front of a big crowd at Ryan Field. Northwestern has lost some tough, close games, but the key is they have been in every game with the exception of two weeks ago where there 24-14 lead over Michigan turned into a 42-24 loss. Northwestern averages 181 yards per game on the ground—something Penn State hasn’t faced all year. This Nittany Lions defense is strong, but Northwestern puts points on the board at home, and Penn State’s anemic offense will have a tough time keeping up. Penn State still hasn’t figured out their quarterback situation, and putting up 23 points against Purdue at home is a 23-18 squeaker didn’t solve any problems. This team was lucky to slip by with a 16-10 win at Indiana, as well as in a 13-3 home win vs Iowa. Penn State only averages 21.7 points per game, only 17.3 in Big 10 play, and if they do that tonight—they will have their first Big 10 loss. Take the home dog with Northwestern, a team always good for a big home upset, with the points for 10 units.

NHL
10 UNIT* Vancouver Canucks -200 (Risk 20 units to win 10 units) 4:00 P.M.
10 UNIT* Philadelphia Flyers -180 (Risk 18 units to win 10 units) 7:00 P.M. Reply With Quote