10-30-11

[Mr. IWS]

New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Killer Sports SBB's Selections:

4* NE 31; Pitt 21

4* J'ville 28 and Houston 24...OVER 40.5

MTI's Selections:

4.5* J'ville +9.5 over Houston
4* Arizona 28, Baltimore 34...OVER44

[Mr. IWS]

MoneyMaker

NFL PLAYS


FRANK'S NFL TOTALS OPINIONS

INDY UNDER ARIZONA/BALTIMORE
ARIZONA UNDER CLEVELAND/SAN FRANCISCO
MIAMI UNDER DALLAS/PHILLY
WASH OVER SD/KC

FRANK'S NFL SIDE OPINIONS

PITT
CLE
SEA
DAL
Indy
Zona
Miami
Wash

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Moneymakers:

KC 27 SD 21

Ten 27 Indy 10

Texans 31 J'ville 13

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Football Weekly Best Bests:

Balt over Zona -12.5

No -7.5 over Stl

SF -9 over clev

Hou/J'ville UNDER 46

[Mr. IWS]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Vikings
Lions
Eagles

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 39 bet. Cleveland and San Francisco

[Mr. IWS]

Platinum Plays

Premier (Top Play)

NYG
DET

500K (Medium)

Indy

400K (Medium

Dallas
Dall UNDER

Reg Plays

Carolina
Balt
Balt UNDER
NE
NE OVER
SF
Jax/Hous UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Totals 4 U

Top Play

Carolina/Minn UBDER 47

Reg Plays
Indy/Tenn UNDER 43-
NO/Rams UNDER 47
Balt/Ariz UNDER 43
NYG/Mia OVER 41-
Det/Denv OVER 41-
NE/Pitt UNDER 52-
Clev/SF UNDER 38-
Cincy/Seattle OVER 37-
Dall/Phil OVER 48

[Mr. IWS]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday

4* Best Bet = BALTIMORE
3* = "OVER" on Ravens/Cardinals
3* = MINNESOTA
2* = NEW ENGLAND
2* = SEATTLE

[Mr. IWS]

RICK NEEDHAM

Vikings at Panthers (-3.0), Oct 30, 1:00 PM FOX


Well Folks: Two bottom dwellers in the NFC will slug it out this Sunday when the Carolina Panthers welcome the Minnesota Vikings to Bank of America Stadium. The game will feature two teams that have had disappointing seasons thus far through 2011 with 3 wins combined. The Vikings have been the bigger disappointment as they sit at the 1-6 mark on the season. Minnesota acquired QB Donovan McNabb over the off-season to bring in immediate help behind center in hopes to make something out of the 2011 season. However, McNabb has failed to deliver this season and was benched last week to make way for rookie QB Christian Ponder to get his feet wet in the league. Last week Ponder completed just 13 of 32 passing for 219 yards with 2 scores and 2 picks in a 33-27 loss to the Packers. While Ponder did not answer any major concerns on offense, it was a step in the right direction. This week the Vikings will turn to Ponder for the 2nd straight week in hopes to revive the lifeless Vikings offense on the road in Charlotte.
For the Panthers, they captured a big win at home last week against the Redskins 33-20 to reach their 2nd win on the season. Carolina captured just 2 wins for the entire 2010 season and there is hope that the program is improving with new head coach Ron Rivera. One thing that is certain is that rookie QB Cam Newton may be the most exciting player in football to watch. Despite throwing the 2nd most interceptions out of any quarterback in the NFL (9), Newton has single handedly restored the Panthers passing offense. Newton is a guy that has the athletic talent to scramble to keep passing plays alive and the speed to tuck the ball away while running for first downs as well. The scrambling ability has been huge for the offense this season and Newton has been able to make the throws to give the Panthers receivers the opportunity to make plays. Overall, Newton has completed 60% passing for 2,103 yards with 8 touchdowns. Of course the turnovers remain a concern, but Newton is also averaging 288 yards per game through the air this season which ranks 5th in the NFL.

Remember a year ago, the Panthers ranked dead last year averaging 258 yards of "total" offense. Therefore, you can see just in the numbers what type of different Newton has made on the offense. Panthers WR Steve Smith has been superb with the regenerated passing attack this season. Smith currently leads the NFL with 818 receiving yards with 3 touchdowns while averaging over 20 yards per reception. Smith has been the primary weapon in the Carolina passing offense this season and Newton will definitely look his way frequently this Sunday. On the other side of the field, the Vikings have struggled to find any success in their passing offense. However, the Vikings still have one of the best weapons in the NFL by way of running back Adrian Peterson. Peterson leads the league with 712 rushing yards with 8 touchdowns on the season. The Panthers defense has been horrible against the run this season given up the 3rd most yards (133ypg) of any team in the NFL. Peterson has averaged 5.0 yards per carry this season and he is expected to be the focus point in the Vikings offensive attack this Sunday against the Panthers. It is important that the Vikings control the ground game this Sunday to not only move the football on offense, but to also provide rest to the Vikings defense. If the Vikings defense can stay rested, they will be competitive against the Carolina passing attack. However if the Vikings fail to get things going on offense, the Panthers have an offense that can wear down defenses late in ball games which will play a big impact in the outcome if that scenario plays out.

Ultimately this game will come down to the defense that can step up and play well. As previously stated, the Panthers have been gashed this season for 133 yards per game on the ground and now have the responsibility of trying to stop the best tailback in the NFL. For the Vikings, their pass defense has been horrific this season giving up 275 yards per game through the air. This week Minnesota faces a Carolina passing attack that has moved the ball against everyone and shown no signs of slowing down. Therefore, the defense that can rise to the challenge will likely play a huge factor in deciding this Sunday's winner in Charlotte.

BOTTOM LINE DEPARTMENT: The obvious play here is the over 47.0 total. The Panthers defense failed to stop any offense this season and the Vikings running game alone will score points even if Ponder does not play well. Additionally, Carolina will score their fair share of points as well against that weak Minnesota pass defense. Both teams have reached the over total in 5 of their last 7 games and that is the play here again. I'll TAKE THE OVER (47.0)!

RICK'S "HOT-SPOT" PLAYS

GIANTS (-10.0) OVER DOLPHINS
TITANS (-9.0) OVER COLTS

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAY

POWER SYSTEM PLAY

HOUSTON -9.5 over Jacksonville: When most people think about the Texas, they think about Offense, but this team is not all about their offense, but a defense that currently ranks 8th in the league, allowing 302.9 ypg and 5th in points allowed (18.7 ppg). This will be Blaine Gabbert's 4th game in a row vs a top 10 defense and has not not fared well so far, hitting just 48% of his passes and he has compiled just a 69.4 QB rating. His numbers are better that that of Luke McCown, but he does not have good enough numbers to think that he can put up enough points to stay close to Houston here. The Houston pass defense ranks 8th (230 ypg), while their rush defense ranks 7th, allowing just 99 ypg, so it will be tough for the leagues worst offense to move the ball either way. Now on the other side, the Houston offense has been one of the best this year and they are even better now that the appear to be fully healthy. Houston comes in ranked 7th overall 400.6 ypg), 5th in rushing offense (139 ypg) and 7th in scoring (26 ppg). Arian Foster is beginning to crank it up after his awesome performance last week, while Matt Schaub hes been very efficient, compiling a 96.8 QB rating. The Jax defense has been tough this year (6th overall), but having a short week to prepare for all the weapons Houston has is not a good thing and I feel they will struggle here. An offense that has used 6 different OL's this year, will just not be able to put enough points on the board to keep this one close. POWER SYSTEM FOR THIS PLAY--- Play against any team off a MNF game if they scored 13 points and are now on the road. This system is 27-12-1 since 1997.

4 UNIT PLAY

POWER SYSTEM PLAY

New Orleans/ St Louis Over 48: Boy what a night the Saints had on Sunday as they became just the 3rd team ever to put 60+ points on the board with 200 yards rushing and 300 yards passing and I expect them have good success vs this St Louis defense this week. St Louis defense is 29th overall, allowing 410 ypg and they are 31st in points allowed at 28.5 ppg. Those are not good numbers when you are facing this powerful Saints offense that is 2nd in yards (467 ypg) and 1st in points (34.1 ppg), The trickiest part of tis play is that I will need a Rams offense that has averaged just 9.3 ppg on on the year to put up some points here. It won't be easy as the Saints do have a good defense, but I also expect New Orleans to be so far ahead that in the 2nd half this Rams offense should be going up against a lot of Saints backups on defense and that should give us enough late points to get a comfortable over play. The OU is 25-9-1 when the Saints are off an ATS win and 20-6 when the Rams are at home vs a winning team. I look for about 55 points in this one. POWER SYSTEM FOR THIS PLAY--- Play the over when the road team covered by 30 or more points last week. This has gone 32-14 since 1989. (1-1 this year).

3 UNIT PLAYS

Minnesota/ Carolina Under 46.5: Last week Christian Ponder gave a spark to this Minnesota offense, but they were more or less force to throw tha ball last week in oreder to keep up with all the scoring that the Pack did. Remember that this is a team with Adrian Petersen on on it and teams have found it much easier to run vs the Panthers defense than throw vs it. The panthers pass defense ranks a solid 12th in the league, allowing just 225 ypg, but they come in 29th vs the run allowing 133.4 ypg and they are 26th in ypa allowing 4.7. The Vikings will look to run more here, so they can keep the ball away from this strong Carolina offense, and that will eat a lot of clock. The Panther offense is strong and they come in ranked 5th overall (416 ypg), but they are just 14th in scoring at 23.7 ppg. One of the most telling stats about what a team really does with the ball and yards they make is yards per point and Carolina rankes 23rd in that department with a 17.5 ypp mark, so they may get their yards, but they can bog down in the scoring zone. These teams both have trouble in the redzone as they both convert on just 50% of their chances. Sure their is some bad defense in this game, but I do see a game with more running and FG's than passing and TD's. Look for right around 40 points here.

New England/ Pittsburgh Over 52: I have results of games dating back to 1989 and the Steelers have not been involved in a regular season game with an OU line this high in that time frame. The Patriots are off a bye week so they have had some time to get ready for this tough Pittsburgh defense. New England had a rough offensive showing in their last game vs the Cowboys, but if you've learned anything from this team over the years, its that they just don't have two bad offensive games in a row. The Pats have averaged 30.8 ppg and 474 ypg so far this year and they have hit 30+ points in all but 1 of their games. Offense has never been an issue for this team, but their defense has been trully bad. The Pats are dead last in total defense 432 ypg) and dead last in yards per play (6.6), meaning teams don't use long time consuming drives to score on them. last week this Pitt defense allowed an average Arizona passing game to throw for 257 yards on them, so what will Brady do to them today. The Pitt offense has been good this year, ranking 9th overall (383 ypg) and 9th in passing (265 ypg). This pitt team will put up some points vs this bad Pats defense. Both offense come in in the top 8 in yards per play as New England averages 6.9 ypp, while Pitt averages 6.0 ypg. A lot of big plays and quick scores can be expected in this one as these teams approach 60 points. KEY TRENDS--- The OU is 17-4 in the Pats last 21 as a favorite and 7-2 in Pitt's last 9 vs the AFC East, plus 7 of the last 8 in this series has gone Over the total.

2 UNIT PLAY

BALTIMORE -12.5 over Arizona: What a bad game the Ravens played on MNF, but they should bounce back in a big way this week. Prior to last weeks game the Ravens had put up 33 ppg, but they were stymied by a tough Jags defense. That is one the Cards don't have is a tough defense. Arizona Checks in at 26th overall (388.3 ypg) and 28th vs the pass (274 ypg), plus they do allow 25.5 ppg (28th). the Cards are middle of the pack in total offense, but they can't score, putting up just 19.3 ppg, including just 13.7 ppg on the road and a measly 10 ppg when playing on the fake stuff. The raven's have played awesome at home averaging 32.7 ppg and 351 ypg, while allowing just 12.7 ppg and 251 ypg in the friendly confines this year. That's right they have outscored their opponents by 20 ppg at home and that's just about where i see this one ending up. A 3 TD win by the Ravens here.

1 UNIT PLAYS

Indianapolis +9 over TENNESSEE: Ok, sometime pride has to take over. The Colts are winless on the year and are off a 55 point loss to the Saints. The Titans are off a bad loss themselves, but the Colts were embarrassed on National TV and I feel that hurts them a bit more and will motivate them even more to have a good game and try for thier first win of the year. I also feel that 9 points is too much for a team that is off a 34 point loss to lay over another NFL team. Titans by a FG here.

Buffalo/Washington Under 45.5: John Beck is an upgrade over Grossman, but he is missing other key parts to this offense as a couple of lineen are out, along with their #1 RB, #1 WR and # 2 TE, so how will this team score? Before all the injuries, the skins were just 24th in scoring, averaging 19.3 ppg. Granted they will not be facing a tough defense, but it will be still hard for this team to generate much. The Washington defense has been solid this year and they will need to look to it if they expect to win this game. The Bills are 4th in the league in rushing and that is their primary attack as teams have figured out their passing game of late, while the Skins will also look to run the ball to take the pressure off the young Beck. All that running will just eat a lot of clock and I just can't see more than 40 points in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

SEATTLE +125 over Cincinnati

Julius Caesar once said that, “Experience is teacher of all things.” The young Bengals may learn something about that here. No matter what the Seahawks’ record may be, teams visiting Seattle quickly find out that things don’t come easy at Qwest Field. The Seachickens have covered five of their past six here and their two games at home this season have been decided by three points or less. Seattle plays its first home game in a month and under similar conditions last week the Saints whacked the Colts by 55. Of course Seattle isn’t New Orleans but the home/road discrepancy of the Seahawks has always been the biggest in the league. Seattle has been outstanding against the run, not allowing a 100-yard rusher yet and that means Andy Dalton will be forced to the air with Cedric Benson out. The Bengals are a poor favorite at home and are rarely favored on the road and while its story has been great, it isn’t ready to take on this role as road chalk just yet. Play: Seattle +125 (Risking 2 units).

Cleveland +9 over SAN FRANCISCO

While we’re well aware of Cleveland’s inability to find the end zone, we’re equally aware of its stellar defensive play. In reality, the 49ers play a similar style to these Browns. That’s why this over/under total sits at a moderate 38½, indicating a low-scoring defensive battle. San Francisco is not known for its offense nor is it familiar with spotting big pointspreads, having just one win by more than six points in their past five games. RB Peyton Hillis is expected back for Cleveland and that also helps control the tempo here. Let’s also not ignore the fact that the 49ers are coming off that big emotional win in Detroit. They celebrated all the way home and well into the night and then had a bye week. Don’t be surprised if a smug and rusty San Francisco bunch gets caught off-guard here and loses outright. Play: Cleveland +9 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

Washington +6 over BUFFALO (at Toronto)

Ask yourself this. What would the line be if this game was being played in Buffalo? We don’t think it would be any higher and that offers us an opportunity to take advantage of a misconception by the marketplace. Treating this game in Toronto like they would a true home game is a mistake. The Rogers Centre in Toronto lacks atmosphere with a crowd that would rather be sipping on café lattes than beer. Tailgating? Where? Bills jerseys throughout? More Steelers and Cowboys shirts are likely. You get the picture. This is not Ralph Wilson stadium with rabid Bills fans. Again, the Rogers Center is like a morgue and in no way can it motivate or amp up the Bills like Ralph Stadium does. How do we know this? Well, we all live in Toronto and there are more tickets floating around for this game than a Blue Jays game in early April. Yes, the Skins have some issues but not enough of them for us to refuse this erroneous offering. Play: Washington +6 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).

The rest with no wagers

Indianapolis +8½ over TENNESSEE

This is way deeper than Peyton Manning. This is a Colts team in rapid decay and the upcoming chill of winter will not be sufficient to keep down the stench emitting from this pile of dead ponies. However, we much prefer taking a slew of points with a Colts team that was completely humiliated in front of a national audience last week than a Titans team that is falling apart, as it can’t find a running game while its passing game has gone south. Game opened at –9 and has come down to –8½ or –9 – big juice otherwise it may have made our top choices. Play Indianapolis +8½ (No bets).

HOUSTON -9½ over Jacksonville

Jaguars could suffer significant letdown here after huge upset of Ravens on Monday night and then travelling on a short week. Even with that victory, Jacksonville’s offense remains one of the league’s weakest, averaging a league-low 12 points per game. Houston can score while its defense is vastly improved. Also see our “Survivor” pick this week. Play: Houston –9½ (No bets).

CAROLINA –3½ over Minnesota

Hard to imagine the 1-5 Vikings having a letdown game but after a semi-respectful showing at home to Green Bay last week, they could be even flatter than usual here. Minnesota’s three road games thus far, all on grass, have produced an 0-3 mark while being outscored 85-44. Panthers defense is ranked a stellar 12th in the league and they appear to be getting stronger with each passing week. Vikes are an ugly proposition after game with rival Pack. Play: Carolina –3½ (No bets).

ST. LOUIS +14 over New Orleans

Boo! If that didn’t scare you, the Rams will. Giving up junk-time touchdowns are what the Cowboys do. Yet the Rams stood there on the one-yard line like a drunk that couldn’t jam the key in the lock with four tries and couldn’t get in. Don’t laugh at these kinds of people. They need help. However, the Saints tend to hiccup against dreggy teams and more so as visitors with just four covers in previous 16 away. Saints could get also get caught napping here after 62-7 thrashing of Colts and with eye on avenging recent loss to Bucs who will visit next week. Just can’t do it, that being laying 14 road points. Play: St. Louis +14 (No bets).

BALTIMORE –13 over Arizona

Arizona’s only win this season came in home opener against the Panthers in Cam Newton’s NFL debut. The Cardinals are up to 10 straight road losses and its defense is among the league’s lamest. We thought these guys might show some life against an unsuspecting Steelers team, but instead they got four quarters of the Gaddafi treatment. Thanks for coming. The Ravens just love beating up on bad teams because rarely can they beat up on good one’s. After horrendous offensive showing last week, expect the Ravens to roll in an attempt to make everyone forget about last Monday’s debacle. Play: Baltimore –13 (No bets).

Miami +10 over N.Y. GIANTS

Dolphins are a horror movie but this number is still an overreaction to last week’s meltdown to the Broncos. There is something special happening here. Losing games is losing games, but the Dolphins yanking defeat from the grasp of victory against of the Denver Tebows was a work of art. Still, the Giants are at their best when taking points and with a diminished roster and a trip to New England on deck, this is certainly not an occasion to be spotting double-digits. Do the G-Men ever win easy when they’re supposed to? Play: Miami +10 (No bets).

Detroit –3 over DENVER

The Tim Tebow show was fun to watch but the reality is that we’d rather have a banged up Matthew Stafford throwing from a wheelchair than an able-bodied Tebow attempting passes. Detroit has dropped consecutive games after its 5-0 start and this is a perfect candidate to get back on track against. Frankly, we have no idea how the Denver Tebows don’t get whacked here. Play: Detroit –3 (No bets).

PITTSBURGH +3 over New England

Both defenses have issues but Pittsburgh’s unit appears to be solidifying more and more as the weeks goes by. We're offered a rare opportunity to take points with the Steelers at home and with their solid run game and quick-strike passing game, the Patriots will have their work cut out for them. Furthermore, the whole betting world is laying the points and that’s always a big cautionary flag. From a handicapping standpoint, one has to like the Patriots but one can never ignore the warning flags that accompany “easy looking” games and this one has all of them. Play: Pittsburgh +3 (No bets).

Dallas +3½ over PHILADELPHIA

Despite previous frustrations, have to rely on the Cowboys more complete roster than that of the non-dimensional Eagles. Dallas’ defense did something that 13 others before it could not, by holding the Patriots to less than 28 points. Eagles struggling at home with five straight losses, they’re coming off the dreaded “bye” week and surely they don’t deserve this billing. The only reason it didn’t make our top plays is because the oddsmakers came out with a –3½ not a –3 and that little tick makes us wonder why. Play: Dallas +3½ (No bets).

[Mr. IWS]

INDIAN COWBOY

5* Football: Steelers vs. Patriots OVER 52

[Mr. IWS]

Week 8 NFL Trends & Angles

We get that there seems to be a larger gap than usual between the better teams and the worse teams in the NFL this season, and we are sure a lot of that has to do with the lockout, as the bad teams did not get much of a chance to work on improving their weaknesses before the season.

As a case in point, prior to this year, only four NFL teams since 1960 had begun a season at 0-6 both straight up and against the spread, and yet there are two such teams this season (Miami, St. Louis). However, never forget that the Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2Flatest-promo%2F%3Fcmpid%3D1560_1308)s are smarter than the general public, so if you are looking for a sure bet, it is that the books will catch up to these bad teams and end the gravy train that squares have been riding this season.
So with that backdrop, we will continue to look at contrarian angles and let the chips fall where they may.

Play on any road underdog that lost its last game by 40 points or more (10-5-1, 66.7% ATS since 2000): Yes, we understand that this sample size is very small, but we are presenting this for two reasons: first, we wanted to illustrate just how infrequently NFL teams lose as badly as the Colts did Sunday night, but second, that on the few times it does happen, the teams usually respond well if cast as road underdogs the following week, as teams do not want to embarrassed two weeks on a row and being a road underdog usually helps them keep their focus. Obviously, the qualifier this week is the Colts +9 at Tennessee.

Play on any road underdog coming off of six or more consecutive straight up losses (77-51-1, 60.2% ATS since 1985): We went all the way back to 1985 to make this sample size as meaningful as possible, and the results are quite good. These are teams that most squares would never bet their hard earned money on but that sharps love, as they are almost always getting added line value. The Colts +9 are just one of two qualifiers this week, with the second being the Miami Dolphins +10 at the New York Giants.

Play on any road underdog coming off of seven or more consecutive straight up losses (52-24-1, 68.4% ATS since 1985): Add a seventh loss to the losing streak coming in and this contrarian angle flies off the charts through 76 decisions. The Colts are the only qualifiers in Week 8.

Play against any double-digit favorite that lost straight up as a road favorite in its last game (50-34-1, 59.5% ATS since 1989): This is the angle that failed the Colts miserably in Week 7. Teams that are favored after losing as favorites the previous week are often overrated teams, and this becomes truer if they are double-digit favorites the following week. Incredibly, if we tweak this angle to only include teams that are favored by 14 points or more after losing as road favorites, it improves to 16-2 ATS including a perfect 15-0 ATS in the -14 to -16½ point range over this timeframe! This angle has a chance to redeem itself this week with the Arizona Cardinals +13 at Baltimore, as the Ravens got shocked as road chalk Monday night.

Play on any road team in a division game coming off of a road game (64-35-2, 64.6 ATS since 2008): This is a more recent angle that involves Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2Flatest-promo%2F%3Fcmpid%3D1560_1308)s giving added value to teams playing on the road in consecutive weeks with the knowledge that bettors tend to shy away from these teams. The difference here is that this angle involves teams playing division games on the back end, meaning that they are very familiar with their opponents, which thus lessens the impact of being on the road again. This rather simple system keeps producing nice results as it went a perfect 2-0 in Week 7 with the Texans and Chiefs both winning in routs as road underdogs! There are two qualifiers this week, with one being our ugly Trends & Angles Play of the Week in the Colts +9 and the other being the Chargers -3½ at Kansas City on Monday night.

Play on any team that lost its last game by 20 or more points at home (100-75-2, 57.1% ATS since 2002): Professional teams do not like to get embarrassed, especially at home, and they usually come back strong in their next game. Believe it or not, this angle actually says to play against the Colts, as it points to Tennessee -9 after the Titans got blown out at home by Houston last week. It is also worth mentioning that the Raiders lost 28-0 at home to Kansas City in Week 7 but are on a bye this week, meaning that Oakland will qualify under this angle in Week 9 next week.

Play against any non-conference road team coming off of two or more home games (58-40-4, 59.2% ATS since 2005): It is hard enough for NFL teams to go on the road after a little home stand, but having to do so vs. non-conference teams is even tougher because non-conference games are the least important games on the schedule in regards to playoff tiebreakers, making it rather easy for teams that haven't traveled in a while to lose focus. This angle says to take the Denver Broncos +3 hosting the Detroit Lions this week.

Play on any divisional road team looking to avenge a loss of 14 points or more (75-52, 59.1% since 2002): NFL teams or all professional teams for that matter do not like getting embarrassed, and most of them have long memories. This angle went a perfect 2-0 ATS, coincidentally with the same two upset winners a prior angle (Texans and Chiefs). There is one qualifier in Week 8, that being Jacksonville +9½ at Houston.

[Mr. IWS]

Today's NFL Picks

Dallas at Philadelphia

The Cowboys look to build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games as an underdog. Dallas is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Eagles favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.


SUNDAY, OCTOBER 30
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (10/26)


Game 207-208: Indianapolis at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 124.907; Tennessee 128.555
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 9; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+9); Over


Game 209-210: Jacksonville at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 128.749; Houston 139.762
Dunkel Line: Houston by 11; 37
Vegas Line: Houston by 9 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-9 1/2); Under


Game 211-212: Minnesota at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 128.011; Carolina 128.082
Dunkel Line: Even; 49
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3 1/2); Over


Game 213-214: New Orleans at St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 133.956; St. Louis 123.363
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 10 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 14; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+14); Under


Game 215-216: Arizona at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 121.115; Baltimore 141.113
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 20; 48
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 12 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-12 1/2); Over


Game 217-218: Miami at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.319; NY Giants 131.575
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 5 1/2; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 10 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+10 1/2); Under


Game 219-220: Washington at Buffalo (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 124.263; Buffalo 134.976
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 10 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 6; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-6); Over


Game 221-222: Detroit at Denver (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 132.586; Denver 128.607
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4; 42
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3); Under


Game 223-224: New England at Pittsburgh (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 140.258; Pittsburgh 138.204
Dunkel Line: New England by 2; 48
Vegas Line: New England by 3; 51
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3); Under


Game 225-226: Cleveland at San Francisco (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 127.162; San Francisco 133.151
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 6; 40
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 10; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+10); Over


Game 227-228: Cincinnati at Seattle (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 129.832; Seattle 131.696
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2; 41
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3; 38
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3); Over


Game 229-230: Dallas at Philadelphia (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.730; Philadelphia 134.502
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 48
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3 1/2); Under





MONDAY, OCTOBER 31
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (10/26)


Game 231-232: San Diego at Kansas City (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 133.078; Kansas City 128.351
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-3 1/2); Over

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan
New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (NFL) - 4:15 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: -2.5/-110 *** New England Patriots *** Play Title: Patriots

25* graded play on the New England Patriots as they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers set to start at 4:15 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by three or more points. Over the past 10 seasons, road favorites playing with two weeks of preparation and rest are 32-8 ATS for 80% winners. NE is a solid 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games facing excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards per attempt since 1992; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games versus excellent offensive teams averaging >=375 yards per game since 1992. Head coach Belichick is a solid 33-11 ATS (+20.9 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games. The Steelers defense has done well this year against the run and pass, but they are not the same intimidating units of past seasons. Brady picked those units apart to the tune of a 122 quarterback rating the last two times playing in Pittsburgh. The 3-4 defensive schemes have been the ones that have been successful against Brady. Pittsburgh employs a 3-4 and likes to bring pressure from the perimeter and at varying angles. However, OC O’Brien is a master at using a TE or back to ‘chip’ the pressure and give Brady that extra second to complete a high percentage pass in man coverage. Pittsburgh must attempt to establish the power running game. Problem for them is that Belichick can disguise under neath quarters matchup zone looks pre-snap and then bring eight men int o the box to defend the run and attack the ‘A’ gap. I don’t see the Steelers getting any success from the ground game and the Patriots have the speed and athleticism to tackle Roethlisberger when he is flushed and tries to extend the play. Take New England

[Mr. IWS]

Howard Eskin

Lions
Vikings
Steelers
Eagles 24-17

[Mr. IWS]

Chip Chirimbes comp

Miami Dolphins +10

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* St. Louis Rams +14½

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Betting Star (SBS)

Baltimore Ravens -12

[Mr. IWS]

DOUBLE DRAGON NFL

REDSKINS +4.5 at bills
RAVENS -13 vs cardinals
PATRIOTS -2.5 at steelers
BRONCOS +3 vs lions
SEAHAWKS +1 vs bengals
COWBOYS +3 at eagles (SNF)
CHIEFS +3 vs chargers (MNF)

[Mr. IWS]

LuckyDaySports

Sunday's Comp Play

NFL
Cincinnati -1

[Mr. IWS]

Free NFL Prediction From Indian Cowboy:
Take #214 St. Louis (+13) over New Orleans (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)
This is a classic play that I like to play. The public is heavily on New Orleans after their dominating performance over the Colts, who are in the "Suck for Luck" Sweepstakes. The Saints are in a classic let down spot here as they face the Rams who await them at home. The Saints are obviously a dynamic and talented team, but note that when this much of the public is favoring you, it is typically never a good thing. Take for example the Ravens, who were heavily favored by the public as double-digit road favorites at Jacksonville on MNF only to lose to them outright. Or, how about the Packers against the Vikings on the road as a similar favorite who barely ended up winning that game as they failed to cover? Such is the case here as the Saints, who come off a dominating performance are in a classic letdown spot against a Rams team that many folks were expecting much from. The Rams have lost six straight covers and I can see them finally stepping up here and staying inside the big double-digit number at home. The Saints are 3-10 ATS when facing a team with a losing record and 1-4 ATS in their last five road games overall.

[Mr. IWS]

GOOD LYFE SPORTS

Houston -9.5 ($500)
buffalo -4.5 ($500)
new england -2.5 ($500)
cincinnati -1.5 ($300)

[Mr. IWS]

THE DAILY BOBBER


NFL
Two-game (6 points) teaser: New York Giants -4, Seattle +9

Three-game (6 points) teaser: Houston -3.5, Detroit +3, San Fran -3

[Mr. IWS]

DCI NFL

Season
Straight Up: 68-29 (.701)
ATS: 54-43 (.557)
ATS Vary Units: 299-222 (.574)
Over/Under: 49-50 (.495)
Over/Under Vary Units: 147-136 (.519)

Sunday, October 30, 2011
TENNESSEE 28, Indianapolis 20
New Orleans 29, ST. LOUIS 15
N.Y. GIANTS 27, Miami 15
CAROLINA 24, Minnesota 22
BALTIMORE 33, Arizona 9
HOUSTON 27, Jacksonville 13
BUFFALO 27, Washington 17
Detroit 26, DENVER 24
New England 25, PITTSBURGH 22
SAN FRANCISCO 27, Cleveland 9
Cincinnati 22, SEATTLE 19
Dallas 26, PHILADELPHIA 25

Monday, October 31, 2011
KANSAS CITY 24, San Diego 21

[Mr. IWS]

DCI NHL

Season: 42-40 (.512)

Anaheim vs. COLUMBUS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Toronto vs. OTTAWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Los Angeles 3, COLORADO 2
St. Louis 3, EDMONTON 2

[Mr. IWS]

Today's NHL Picks

Toronto at Ottawa

The Maple Leafs look to take advantage of an Ottawa team that is coming off a 5-4 win over the Rangers and is 2-7 in its last 9 games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Toronto is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Maple Leafs favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+100). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, OCTOBER 30
Time Posted 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 1-2: Anaheim at Columbus (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 10.646; Columbus 11.579
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+115); Under


Game 3-4: Toronto at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.630; Ottawa 11.249
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+100); Over


Game 5-6: Los Angeles at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.791; Colorado 11.354
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-130); Over


Game 7-8: St. Louis at Edmonton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.654; Edmonton 12.173
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-115); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Saints -13.5

[Mr. IWS]

Underground Sports Connection

Dolphins (+)
Browns (+)
Eagles (-)

[Mr. IWS]

Redsheet:

Baltimore 33 (88*)
Arizona 10

New England 33 (88*)
Pittsburgh 23

Near Choices (87*) Dallas, Kansas City

[Mr. IWS]

BOOKIE BATTLE (top 4 pks)
6o Bookies top 4

NO Saints (48)
Buf Bills (45)
Dal Boys (42)
Det Lions (41)
SF 9ers (41)
SD Chargers (34)

[Mr. IWS]

GOLD SHEET

SAN FRAN by 21 over Clev
DALLAS by 8 over Phila
OVER Min -Caro

GOLD SHEET - CKO
10 *SEATTLE over Cinc

[Mr. IWS]

Mark Mayer - Gaming Today

Houston Texans
NY Giants
Dallas Cowboys
Pittsburgh Steelers
Kansas City Chiefs

[Mr. IWS]

NELLYS

RATING 5 CAROLINA (-3) over Min
RATING 4 SEATTLE (+2½) over Cinci
RATING 3 BUFFALO (-5) over Wash
RATING 2 PITTS (+3) over N England
RATING 1 MIAMI (+9½) over NY Giants
W.G.Con. KC Chiefs

[Mr. IWS]

Platinum Sheet - Stat Fox

Carolina Panthers

NE Patriots

San Francisco 49ers

Seattle Seahawks

Philadelphia Eagles

[Mr. IWS]

Play Book - Marc Lawrence

3* Baltimore Ravens

5* Pittsburgh Steelers

4* KC Chiefs

[Mr. IWS]

POINTWISE

BALT over Arizona RATING: 2

SAN FRAN over Clev RATING: 3

KAN CITY over S Diego RATING: 4

DALLAS over Phil RATING: 5

HOUSTON over Jac RATING: 5

[Mr. IWS]

POWERPLAY

3* TEXANS 29 JAGUARS 10

3* RAVENS 35 CARDINALS 10

4* 49ers 27 BROWNS 8

3* SEAHAWKS (+) 18 BENGALS 19

POWERSWEEP

4* San Diego over KC

3* SEATTLE over Cinc

2* HOUSTON over Jack

[Mr. IWS]

Rich Saber - Gaming Today

Bills
Pats
SD Chargers

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Reporter

Best Bets

Pittsburgh Steelers
San Francisco 49ers

Recomended

Minnesota Vikings
Cinncinati Bengals

[Mr. IWS]

Winning Points

Best Bets

New England over *Pitt by 21
Cleveland over *San Fran by 7

Preferred

Dallas over *Phil by 6
Detroit over *Den by 11

[Mr. IWS]

Chase Diamond (ksp)

100 Dimes Miami Dolphins +11

30 Dimes Philadelphia Eagles -3

[Mr. IWS]

Doc Sports

4 Unit Play. #108 Take Under 43.5 in Arizona Cardinals @ Baltimore Ravens (Sunday 1 p.m. Fox)

5 Unit Play. #125 Take Cleveland Browns +9 over San Francisco 49ers (Sunday 4:14 p.m. CBS)
Top NFL Selection of the Weekend
San Francisco by 4

4 Unit Play. #130 Take Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 over Dallas Cowboys (Sunday 8:20 p.m. NBC)
Philadelphia by 10

3 Unit Play. #132 Take Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 over San Diego Chargers (Monday 8:40 p.m. ESPN)
Kansas City by 3

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 41.5 Detroit at Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)
3-Unit Play. Take #221 Detroit (-3) over Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)
Note: This is our NFL Game of the Month.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #212 Carolina (-3) over Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #216 Baltimore (-12.5) over Arizona (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #229 Dallas (+3.5) over Philadelphia (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #218 N.Y. Giants (-3) over Miami (1 p.m.) AND #226 San Francisco (-2) over Cleveland (4 p.m.)

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #208 Tennessee (-2) over Indianapolis (1 p.m.) AND Take #223 New England (+4) over Pittsburgh (4 p.m.)

This Week's Totals

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 43.5 Indianapolis at Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 45.5 Washington at Buffalo (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 52.0 New England at Pittsburgh (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 43.5 Miami at N.Y. Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 50.5 Dallas at Philadelphia (8:20 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 48.0 Minnesota at Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 38.5 Cleveland at San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30

[Mr. IWS]

Strike Points Sports

4* Philadelphia Eagles -3

4* Baltimore Ravens -13

4* New England Patriots -3

[Mr. IWS]

Cowherd – Blazing 5
Minn. +3 24-23
Seattle +3’ 17-16
New England -3 31-23
Buffalo -6 27-13
Dallas +3’

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Roberts on Oklahoma Radio
New England -3
Dallas +3.5
Denver +3
Buffalo -6

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
1 OF 9
Game: Arizona at Baltimore (Sunday 10/30 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Arizona +12.5 (-110)

The Baltimore Ravens looked about as bad as a team could look on Monday Night against Jacksonville. The offense did not generate a single first down the entire first half and the Ravens subsequently went down to a 1-5 team without much of a fight as a double-digit favorite. For those of us on the Jags, it was a thing of beauty. This game will mark just the fourth time in 22 years that a team lost as a double-digit favorite on the road, and has come back favored by double digits at home. It's too much. The first three have gone just 1-2. Arizona has had some problems of their own at 1-5 on the season of course. There is bad news with both of these teams, which historically has put the underdog here in a great spot. We also have the public ignoring the Ravens Monday Night debacle as they are coming right back with them at over 70% strong, expecting a fired up team to take out their frustrations on a helpless opponent. But, this line is inflated. Teams from Week 8 on that have just one
win on the season are 77-49 ATS as a road dog. If they are big dogs getting more than a TD, that mark moves to 47-29 ATS. The Cardinals have also relished in this role in recent games as they are 4-0 ATS in their last four as a dog of greater than +10.5. Arizona has posted a 14-4 ATS mark in their last 18 games vs. great defensive teams (those allowing 14 or fewer points per game) and 34-14 ATS vs. teams that outscore their competitors by 6+ points per game (including 11-3 ATS under Ken Wisenhunt). The beautiful girl gets the dance at the party, while the ugly dog gets the money in the NFL. Take Arizona in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe Football


Sunday October 30th 2011-
3* Pittsburgh +3 over New England (4:15pm est):.
3* Detroit -3 over Denver (4:05pm est):

[Mr. IWS]

POINTWISE PHONES:

4* Balt

3* Dall, San Fran, KC

2* NE, Buff, Seattle

[Mr. IWS]

Sixth Sense

One of the best weeks of my career last week, going 7-0 +21.0%. That brings the season record to a wonderful 31-16 66.0% +40.20%.

Light card so far this week.

BEST BETS

YTD 31-16 +40.20%

3% WASHINGTON +5.5
3% PITTSBURGH +2.5
3% DALLAS +3

[Mr. IWS]

WEST CAPPER
(directly from the west capper email)

He's down so far in football this year and has been very good the past three years, so it might be a decent time to jump in as he should bring up his numbers by the end of the year.

Took the day off in college until we saw the total in the Kansas/Texas game, so hopefully everyone received our email in time and jumped on that 4**** unit under winner. That was what we needed to turn things around and make a serious late run this NCAA Football season. NFL has been pretty good the past two weeks, so looking to stay in the positive as we build back our bankroll. We might add 1-2 games tomorrow morning, but wanted to get these out early. We might add a unit to the Cowboys play later in the day Sunday:

2** Redskins +6 (-130)
1* Steelers +3 (-110)
2** Seahawks +2 (-120)
3*** Cowboys +3 (-110)

2** Washington Redskins +6 (-130)
The Bills come off a bye and face a Redskins team playing their second consecutive road game. Note this game is being played in Toronto, so there technically isn't any home field advantage. Fitzpatrick is completing 74 percent of his passes the last two games, but the Redskins lead the NFL in sacks per pass play. They should be able to put some pressure on Fitzpatrick and slow down their offense that was really playing well before the bye.

Buffalo 24
Washington 23
1* Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-110)
This very well could be the game of the week. Tom Brady destroyed the Steelers defense last year, and this potentially could be a tough matchup for their defense. Brady has won 6/7 against the Steelers and 4/5 at Heinz Field. The Patriots haven't looked as dominant the past few games against the Jets and Cowboys, and it's very rare you get the Steelers as a home underdog. The Patriots defense has been solid in the past three games, only allowing 18.7 points per game. I expect Roethlisberger to bomb away deep to Wallace and Brown and for the Steelers to pull the upset. Staying small because while we have this game capped as a small Steelers win, Brady is so dangerous.

Pittsburgh 27
New England 24
2** Seattle Seahawks +2 (-120)
The Bengals are 4-2 and coming off a bye, but Seattle is a very tough place to play for any quarterback. Now they bring a rookie in Andy Dalton to go up against a great home team. The Seahawks defense is good, especially at the safety position with Chancellor and Thomas. They will be keys to making Dalton turn it over. Seattle's offense has really struggled lately, scoring three points last week against the Browns with Tarvaris Jackson at quarterback. The Seahawks are one of the better home underdog bets in the NFL, so we'll ride them in the upset in a sloppy low-scoring game.

Seattle 19
Cincinnati 14
3*** Dallas Cowboys +3 (-110)
This is a chance for one of these teams to show they are back to being a contender in the East. The Eagles are coming off a bye, and the Cowboys are coming off an easy win at home against the Rams. The Eagles have struggled to stop the run and are among the worst in the NFL at rushing yards per attempt, and I look for the Cowboys to exploit that. Murray won't be a secret after rushing for 253-yards last week, but that was the kind've performance the Cowboys needed to rally around. The Eagles aren't a great home team (4-6 in their last 10 games), but they've usually played well in primetime games. Cowboys in an upset, as I still don't think the "Dream Team" Eagles have figured it out just yet and I think the Cowboys can be a legitimate force in the NFC.

Dallas 24
Eagles 23

[Mr. IWS]

Bookiemonsters

26-11 run

nfl arizona +13

[Mr. IWS]

PhD Picks

Indianapolis +9
Houston -9
Arizona +12.5
New York [G] -9.5
Minnesota +3
New Orleans -13.5
Buffalo -4.5
San Francisco -9
Pittsburgh +2.5
Cincinnati -1

Tennessee U43.5
Houston O40.5
Baltimore U43
New York [G] O41.5
Denver O41.5
San Francisco U38.5

[Mr. IWS]

SharpSides Investing
8-0 Last 8

Patriots -2

[Mr. IWS]

APPLE HANDICAPPERS
James-Red-Hot-Dotson
5 Dime Very Rare Red-Hot Slammer Play
Phil Eagles-3 Over Dallas Cowboys

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial

2 top plays
Buffalo
Phi Over

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Scalleat, Las Vegas handicapper
10/30 CAROLINA PANTHERS (-3.5) over Minnesota Vikings
10/30 BUFFALO BILLS (-6) over Washington Redskins
10/30 New England Patriots (-3) over PITTSBURGH STEELERS

[Mr. IWS]

GREAT LAKES SPORTS

4* (224) Pittsburgh Steelers 4:15 est
3* (221) Detroit Lions 4:05 est
3* (225) Cleveland Browns 4:15 est

[timbob]

Demarco- 15 dime- Buffalo
Redd- 75 dime- Houston...75 dime- Cleveland
Valentino- 60 dime- Washington
Chuck O'Brien- 30 dime- Pittsburgh (Moneyline)
Craig Davis- 100 dime- Detroit
Mancini- 50 dime- Pittsburgh
Chambers 100 dime- Dallas
Benton- 20 dime- Indy, Baltimore, Houston
Rivers- 250,000♦ San Francisco
Budin- 25 dime- NY Giants
Trace Adams- 2500♦ Houston

[timbob]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

742- 545 57 % Free Play Run over 3 YEARS

Sun Free Play New England -2

[timbob]

Jeff Benton
Sunday's Action
20 Dime winner going out on the Indianapolis Colts as the road undardog agailinst the Tennessee Titans. As I release this winner, the Colts are +9 point underdogs both here in Vegas and offshore.

20 Dime winner on the Baltimore Ravens as the home favorite against the Arizona Cardinals. At the time I release this winner to you, the Ravens are a 12-point choice over Arizona both here in Vegas and offshore.

20 Dime winner also on the Houston Texans minus the points at home versus the Jacksonville Jaguars. At the time I release this winner, the Texans are a solid -9 1/2-point choice both here in Vegas and offshore.

[timbob]

Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...

My 100 Dime winner is on the road underdag Dallas Cowboys to cover against the Philadelphia Eagles. Checking the spolrts books in Las Vegas at 4 a.m. and the Cowboys are getting three points. I have a 40 Dime play on the Buffalo Bills as a home favocite against the Washington Redskins. The Bills are laying 4 ½ points.

[timbob]

CRUSHER for 10/30

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:
Carolina -2.5 over Minnesota

Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:
Gremio Porto Alegre + Flamengo UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:
Toronto Maple Leafs + Ottawa Senators OVER 5.5

[timbob]

kelso
200 unit
buffalo

[timbob]

King Creole

5 star: Indy/Ten over 43.5

[timbob]

SPORTS WAGERS NHL

St. Louis +104 over EDMONTON

The Oilers are definitely an improved team and they’re also an exciting team with a promising future. However, they’re stock is a little too high right now and so are they. Furthermore, you can’t keep defying the laws of the universe by winning games that they had no right doing so. Edmonton has won three straight but were completely dominated in all three games by Vancouver, Washington and Colorado. They picked up six out of six points when they should have picked up none. Nikolai Khabibulin is in a zone right now but it cannot last because out of let’s say 60 goaltenders, his ranking would be in the 55th to 60th range. So, after surviving a minor miracle with three onslaughts by the opposition and picking up three undeserving wins, the St. Louis Blues come in with a .500 record but deserving much better. Rarely have the Blues been outplayed this season. They’ve had some bad fortune but they’ve also won three of its last four with wins over both Philadelphia and Vancouver. The Blues conclude a four-game trip here and so chances are you’re going to get another great effort out of them. Also, the Oilers embark on a six-game trip after this one and we often catch teams flat on the final home game before a long trip. This one sets up beautifully for the Blue Notes and gives us a great opportunity to take advantage of a misconception by the marketplace. Play: St. Louis +104 (Risking 3 units).

COLORADO +111 over Los Angeles

Four teams went to Europe to start the season. The Ducks, Sabres, Rangers and Kings. The Ducks, Sabres and Rangers have all suffered the effects of that trip and it’s no coincidence. The Kings have yet to pay the price with their 6-2-1-1 record but they’re not immune. Los Angeles will pay its third game in four days, all on the road, and the tail end of back-to-backs after an OT loss in Phoenix last night. The Avalanche have yet to win on home ice but we’re absolutely dominating in their last home game against Edmonton in which they deserved a better fate. This is about as good a situational bet as you’ll see, as the Av’s couldn’t have handpicked a better time to face the Kings. Play: Colorado +111 (Risking 3 units).

[timbob]

Gold Medal Club

50* Seattle
25* Indy
10* Miami
10* St.Louis

[timbob]

Freddy wills

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



5.5* MAX NFL POD -
19-4 ATS L23 5.5*
(5.5* NFL POD) Patriots -2.5


3.3* Colts +9
1* Colts +320

[timbob]

Norm Hitzges:

TRIPLE PLAY:


· Dallas +3 1/2 Philly


SINGLE PLAYS:


· Baltimore -13 Arizona
· San Fran -9 Cleveland
· Carolina -3 1/2 Minnesota
· St.Louis +13 1/2 New Orleans
· Seattle +3 Cincy
· Kansas City +3 1/2 San Diego
· Pittsburgh-New England OVER 52
· Carolina--Minnesota OVER 47 1/2

[timbob]

Joe Wiz PAID plays (early games)

Rams +14
Ravens -12.5

[timbob]

WEST CAPPER

He's down so far in football this year and has been very good the past three years, so it might be a decent time to jump in as he should bring up his numbers by the end of the year.

Took the day off in college until we saw the total in the Kansas/Texas game, so hopefully everyone received our email in time and jumped on that 4**** unit under winner. That was what we needed to turn things around and make a serious late run this NCAA Football season. NFL has been pretty good the past two weeks, so looking to stay in the positive as we build back our bankroll. We might add 1-2 games tomorrow morning, but wanted to get these out early. We might add a unit to the Cowboys play later in the day Sunday:

2** Redskins +6 (-130)
1* Steelers +3 (-110)
2** Seahawks +2 (-120)
3*** Cowboys +3 (-110)

2** Washington Redskins +6 (-130)
The Bills come off a bye and face a Redskins team playing their second consecutive road game. Note this game is being played in Toronto, so there technically isn't any home field advantage. Fitzpatrick is completing 74 percent of his passes the last two games, but the Redskins lead the NFL in sacks per pass play. They should be able to put some pressure on Fitzpatrick and slow down their offense that was really playing well before the bye.

Buffalo 24
Washington 23

1* Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-110)
This very well could be the game of the week. Tom Brady destroyed the Steelers defense last year, and this potentially could be a tough matchup for their defense. Brady has won 6/7 against the Steelers and 4/5 at Heinz Field. The Patriots haven't looked as dominant the past few games against the Jets and Cowboys, and it's very rare you get the Steelers as a home underdog. The Patriots defense has been solid in the past three games, only allowing 18.7 points per game. I expect Roethlisberger to bomb away deep to Wallace and Brown and for the Steelers to pull the upset. Staying small because while we have this game capped as a small Steelers win, Brady is so dangerous.

Pittsburgh 27
New England 24

2** Seattle Seahawks +2 (-120)
The Bengals are 4-2 and coming off a bye, but Seattle is a very tough place to play for any quarterback. Now they bring a rookie in Andy Dalton to go up against a great home team. The Seahawks defense is good, especially at the safety position with Chancellor and Thomas. They will be keys to making Dalton turn it over. Seattle's offense has really struggled lately, scoring three points last week against the Browns with Tarvaris Jackson at quarterback. The Seahawks are one of the better home underdog bets in the NFL, so we'll ride them in the upset in a sloppy low-scoring game.

Seattle 19
Cincinnati 14

3*** Dallas Cowboys +3 (-110)
This is a chance for one of these teams to show they are back to being a contender in the East. The Eagles are coming off a bye, and the Cowboys are coming off an easy win at home against the Rams. The Eagles have struggled to stop the run and are among the worst in the NFL at rushing yards per attempt, and I look for the Cowboys to exploit that. Murray won't be a secret after rushing for 253-yards last week, but that was the kind've performance the Cowboys needed to rally around. The Eagles aren't a great home team (4-6 in their last 10 games), but they've usually played well in primetime games. Cowboys in an upset, as I still don't think the "Dream Team" Eagles have figured it out just yet and I think the Cowboys can be a legitimate force in the NFC.

Dallas 24
Eagles 23

[timbob]

Paying Picks

Top Plays
Buffalo -4.5
Pittsburgh +3

Medium Plays
Giants -10
Seattle +1

Small Plays
Minnesota +3.5

[timbob]

RICHIE CARRERA

New England -2.5 over PITTSBURGH 10 Dimes
For those of us who waited, we were rewarded with some line movement in our favor. I will spare you all the details as the national radio and television personalities have inundated us all week with "Pittsburgh has never beaten Tom Brady", "Belichek doesn't lose off of a bye week", and "New England spreads out the Pittsburgh Defense". You know what? All of those things are true. I like the value in giving only 2 and half points and if this is Vegas bait, I'm taking it... But only for 10 dimes.. I have my reservations about this game, only because of the improved Pittsburgh passing attack and the diminished New England pass rush and secondary. None-the-less, New England typically pulls these games out and I suspect the same with happen today. The Steelers have had trouble winning the turnover battle until just the last few games and they can't afford to lose it today. If Brady has time in the pocket (he always does), turnover opportunities will be few and far between. Lay the points on the road and pray that Mike Wallace can't get traction in the Heinz field slop.


Detroit -3 over DENVER 10 Dimes
Cleveland +9 over SAN FRANCISCO 10 Dimes
PHILADELPHIA -3 over Dallas 10 Dimes

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RANDY BRUCE


NFL: 10 dimes each
Texans -9
Saints -13
Patriots -2.5

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JACK HOWARD

Pittsburgh +2.5 Over New England 20 Dimes
New England is the number one passing offense in the league, averaging over 350 yards per game. The Steelers, are the number two passing defense in the league, allowing less than 172 yards through the air per game. I think the Steelers and their pass rush plays a pivotal role in this game. It's common knowledge, if you pressure Brady and force him outside of the pocket, he will make mistakes. Fortunately, the Patriots have yet to play an aggresive defense that is capable of pressuring Brady while covering the receivers downfield. Pittsburgh is that type of defense. Expect Pittsburgh's pass rush to create some turnovers this evening at Heinz field.
Prediction: 27-24 Pittsburgh

Additional Selections:

Philadelphia -3 Over Dallas 10 Dimes

New Orleans -13.5 Over St. Louis 10 Dimes

Denver Detroit Under 42.5 10 Dimes

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BETONE/ALL STARS
Philly-Connection
Phil Eagles

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The Consensus Pick

Pick of the Day: Lions -3.5
Free Pick: Redskins +4.5

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HAMMERIN HANK ESPN
New England
Dallas
Houston
Detroit
Seattle

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Northcoast

3 ' * San Diego -3
3 * Balt -12
3 * Jax under 41

Top Opinions

Car -3
Buff -4
Clev under 38'
Mia +9'
Kc over 44'

Opinion hou -9

Marquee Dallas over 48'

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Tom Freese

10* Giants
10* 49ers
20* Lions

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kelso
200 unit
buffalo

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Harry bondi:

4- balt,

3- mn, tenn

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Sports Handicapper King

NFL FOOTBALL
10* Detroit -3
10* New England -2.5
10* Cincinnati -1

NFL COMP Detroit -3

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King Creole

5 star: Indy/Ten over 43.5
2* Cowboys / Eagles Under 48.5

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Anthony Redd's 75 dimers are on Indy, Houston, and Cleveland.

Craig Davis's 50 dimer is a 10-point teaser with the Rams, Redskins, and Cowboys

Matt Rivers 100,000* play is on New England

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PowerPlayWins

Power Plays of The Day

Carolina Panthers(-3.5) Over
Minnesota Vikings

Buffalo Bills(-4.5) Over
Washington Redskins

Denver Broncos(+3) Over
Detroit Lions

Pittsburgh Steelers(+3) Over
New England Patriots

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Allen Eastman

Two 6-Unit NFL Plays This Week
Both From The 411 System
6 UNITS Patriots -3
6 UNITS Cowboys +3

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KELSO

200 UNITS BUFFALO BILLS -4.5
75 UNITS Syndicate* NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -13.5
25 UNITS DALLAS COWBOYS +3
10 UNITS NE PATRIOTS -2.5
5 UNITS NY GIANTS -9
5 UNITS TENNESSEE TITANS -8.5

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Top players picks and standing in the hilton contest week 8

ICED TEA - W27 L8 T0 LW 5-0
Week 8 Picks: HOU DET NE DAL KC
SANS SOUCI - W25 L8 T2 LW 2-3
Week 8 Picks: NO BAL SF SEA DAL
FERAL CHILD - W24 L9 T2 LW 4-1
Week 8 Picks: ARI DET PIT SF CIN
HELLO HELLO HELLO - W23 L10 T2 LW 5-0
Week 8 Picks: CAR WAS PIT CLE DAL
SAMWINS2 - W23 L10 T2 LW 1-3-1
Week 8 Picks: BUF DET NE CIN DAL
SONS OF DITKA - W23 L10 T2 LW 1-3-1
Week 8 Picks: NO BAL DET SEA SD
BURL IVES - W24 L11 T0 LW 5-0
Week 8 Picks: MIN MIA WAS DEN SEA
5 TIED AT 23.5

[Mr. IWS]

INDIAN COWBOY

4* NHL St. Louis/Edmonton UNDER 5

[Mr. IWS]

Free Silver Key Pick for Sunday NFL Football

DENVER +3.5 over Detroit

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

3* Steelers

[Mr. IWS]

Lem Banker

20* Giants -10
20* Ravens/Cardinals under 42.5
20* Seahawks +1.5
5* Patriots -3
5* Cowboys +3

[Mr. IWS]

*********

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The Boss
1000% godfather Overnewengland
500% untouchable Detroit
300% bookie buster parlay overnewengland Detroit nygiants
200% dog pound Cleveland
100% silent assassins Overdetroit buffalo new England

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VR

3*- Vikings/ Panthers UNDER
3*- Rams
2*- Broncos
2*- Cardinals
2*- Browns

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NFL football quarterback carousel was spinning in Week 7 by Dennis Ball Gaming Today

SUNDAY

Colts +6 at Titans: I heard more than a few experts anoint the Titans a playoff team and divisional winner after a quick 3-1 start. But a funny thing happened after signing holdout Chris Johnson. Opposing defenses have been able to hold out Johnson behind the line of scrimmage. He had only 18 yards rushing on 10 carries against the Mario Williams-less Texans defense. It’s the third road game in a row for the winless Colts. Indy knows they need to be a player in the Andrew "Lucky" sweepstakes. TITANS.

Jags +10 at Texans: The jury was out on Houston after losing Mario Williams and Andre Johnson. But the Texans have been able to improvise on offense. Arian Foster has been picking up receptions in Johnson’s absence, a total of 119 yards versus the Titans. That’s in addition to rushing for over 100 yards. Wade Phillips has been much more aggressive with the blitz packages without Williams and that will not bode well for Blaine Gabbert. TEXANS.

Vikings +3 at Panthers: Carolina’s record may only be 2-4 but it could easily be 4-2. With Cam Newton behind center, the rookie has proven he will give fans a thrill and put enough points on the scoreboard to cover plenty of spreads. The Newton to Smith combo is a deadly one for any bettors wagering against Carolina. Christian Ponder was great in his debut. But he’s no Cam Newton! PANTHERS.

Saints -10 at Rams: St. Louis played a little better at home this season. Key word little. The Rams schedule has been brutal, playing Green Bay and Dallas the last two weeks and now the Saints. But they haven’t shown a lick of fight in them. Sam Bradford’s high ankle sprain, along with a string of other offensive line and defensive backfield injuries, does not help their chances. SAINTS.

Cards +12½ at Ravens: I can find very few positive things to say about Arizona in this situation. Kevin Kolb continues to disappoint me and his backers. Ravens are crushing all comers. RAVENS.

Dolphins +10 at Giants: I still can’t believe the fish allowed Tim Tebow and the Broncos to come back from a 15-0 deficit with five minutes left in the game! I may never pick the fish again this season. They’re out of water until further notice. GIANTS.

Skins +5 at Bills (Toronto): Bills continue to be a little overrated by the oddsmakers, even though they’ve lost two out of their last three games. Buffalo’s defense is not good enough to give up more than three points in this contest. SKINS.

Lions -3 at Broncos: Tim Tebow defied his critics and dug his team out of a 15-zip hole last Sunday in Miami. He certainly will have the home town folks jacked up this Sunday. But his passing was spotty at best. I’m looking for Suh to keep his mouth shut and the Lions to rebound after losing 2 straight. LIONS.

Patriots -2½ at Steelers: New England is 5-0, losing only to the Bills on Week 3. Brady has been magnificent the last three games with wins over the Raiders, Jets and Cowboys. I think he has another big fourth quarter or two in him and he’ll have one here in Pittsburgh. PATRIOTS.

Browns +9 at 49ers: Niners are the only team in the NFL to cover every game against the point spread through the first seven weeks of the season. Hence, the Niners line is a little over-inflated. I shouldn’t mess with San Francisco’s success. The Browns offense is anemic. But I think their defense should keep this game within a touchdown.BROWNS.

Bengals -2½ at Seahawks: I have to side with the better QB and the more consistent rushing attack. Both defenses are solid so I think the edge will be to whichever team moves the chains more consistently. Charlie Whitehurst was not impressive and either was the Marshaun Lynch replacement. BENGALS.

Cowboys +3½ at Eagles: I’m not jumping on the former dream team’s bandwagon just yet. They’re coming off a bye which hasn’t been great for several teams this season. The Cowboys looked very impressive at St. Louis. But it was just the Rams. Tony Oh-No has another chance to redeem himself. He just might get the upset victory the Cowboys should have had a couple weeks ago at Foxboro. COWBOYS.

MONDAY

Chargers -4 at Chiefs: KC is on a 3-game roll. Chargers reverting back to their old sloppy ways with 11 penalties against the Jets. CHIEFS.

BEST BETS: Cowboys, Pats, Lions.

last week overall best bets

(5-6-1 ) (51-47-4) (9-11-1)

[Mr. IWS]

chris Jordan: 2500: Saints - 13.5

[Mr. IWS]

LEGIT PICKS
Sunday 10/30/11 Plays...

HIGHEST RATED 6* TITANS
1* RAVENS
1* TEXANS
1* GIANTS

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist

Total of Month Over cowboys/eagles

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

400 star private play Baltimore

[Mr. IWS]

VAMBO SUNDAY

INDY over 44 -107
JACKS under 40 1/2 -101
ARIZ under 43 -107
Det under 41 1/2 -102
San Fran under 38 1/2 -110
Dallas under 48 1/2 -103

Minn + 3 1/2 -111
Ariz +12 1/2 -110
Mia +9 1/2 -104
Clev +9 -113
Sea +2 -110

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Vegas Runner

3*- Vikings/ Panthers UNDER
3*- Rams
2*- Broncos
2*- Cardinals
2*- Browns

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Stevens

20 ne
20 seattle
10 det
10 philly

[Mr. IWS]

Executive

350 Cincinnati - 1
300 Carolina -3
300 Washington +4'

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asa 5- balt over, 4- jax under, 3- mia under, dall

ben burns 10- wash, pitt, phil, 9- no under, caro under, balt over

big money 5 giants

blazer 4-hou, 3- balt

carolina sports 4- hou, 3- indy, sea

doc enterprises 4 5- clev, 4- ariz under, phil

dr. Bob 3- den, 2- pitt, dall, wash

harry bondi 6 4- balt, 3- mn, tenn

inside info 3- buff, 2- pitt

joe d 7 25- buff, 15- hou

lenny stevens 8t 20- ne, sea, 10- det, phil

neri 4- wash, 3- pitt, den

northcoast 3- balt, hou under

pointwise 4- balt, 3- dal, sf, 2- ne, buff, sea

preferred picks 3- pitt

pure lock buff

underdog 1 sea

wildcat 7- dall, balt, 5- sea

million club 2- mia over

[Mr. IWS]

asa 5- balt over, 4- jax under, 3- mia under, dall

ben burns 10- wash, pitt, phil, 9- no under, caro under, balt over

big money 5 giants

blazer 4-hou, 3- balt

carolina sports 4- hou, 3- indy, sea

doc enterprises 4 5- clev, 4- ariz under, phil

dr. Bob 3- den, 2- pitt, dall, wash

harry bondi 6 4- balt, 3- mn, tenn

inside info 3- buff, 2- pitt

joe d 7 25- buff, 15- hou

lenny stevens 8t 20- ne, sea, 10- det, phil

neri 4- wash, 3- pitt, den

northcoast 3- balt, hou under

pointwise 4- balt, 3- dal, sf, 2- ne, buff, sea

preferred picks 3- pitt

pure lock buff

underdog 1 sea

wildcat 7- dall, balt, 5- sea

million club 2- mia over

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jr kipps

under giants

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Vegas Insiders:

Houston over
Carolina

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matt fargo

10 ravens
10 broncos

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Las vegas syndicate private plays


2500 units nfl new england -2.5 * syndicate game of the year *
1000 units nfl eagles -3


1000 units nfl cleveland +9
500 units nfl st louis under 48
500 units nfl miami +10

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Sam casey's 702 insider club plays 10/30/11

"pigskin insider club" - football private plays
10 unit nfl jacksonville +9.5 and st louis +14 * parlay of the year *
5 unit nfl new england -2.5
4 unit nfl colts +9
3 unit nfl seattle +1.5

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Ohio's SBP

5-1 Yesterday..

Washington +4

Pittsburgh +3

Seattle +3

Philadelphia -3

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Sports n profits
Carolina Panthers vs. Minnesota Vikings over 46 1/2 @ 1PM

New Orleans Saints -13 1/2 vs. St Louis Rams @ 1PM

Baltimore Ravens -12 1/2 vs. Arizona Cardinals @ 1PM

New York Giants -9 1/2 vs. Miami Dolphins @ 1PM

Philadelphia Eagles -3 vs. Dallas Cowboys @ 825PM

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Lee Stryker

Cinn-1

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Underground Sports Connection

Complete Card

Panthers (-)
Dolphins (+)
Patriots (-)
Browns (+)
Eagles (-)