11-4-11

[timbob]

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[Mr. IWS]

DCI CFB

Friday, November 4, 2011
Mid-American Conference
KENT STATE 24, Central Michigan 18
Pacific-12 Conference
Usc 47, COLORADO 22

[Mr. IWS]

Dunkel CFB



FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 4
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (11/2)


Game 311-312: Central Michigan at Kent State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 68.060; Kent State 67.714
Dunkel Line: Even; 47
Vegas Line: Kent State by 1; 43
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+1); Over


Game 313-314: USC at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 105.390; Colorado 78.822
Dunkel Line: USC by 26 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: USC by 21; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-21); Over

[Mr. IWS]

EA Sports Consultants

25* Kent State -1 (8:00pm ET)

25* Colorado +21.5 (9:00pm ET)

[Mr. IWS]

Sharp Move

#312 - Kent State PK

[Mr. IWS]

USC at Colorado: What Bettors Need To Know

USC Trojans at Colorado Buffaloes (+21, 58.5)

THE STORY: USC gave up a school-record 56 points in its gut-wrenching triple-overtime loss to No. 3 Stanford last weekend. Now, the Trojans, who dropped to 64th nationally in scoring defense at 26.8 points per game, look to bounce back with a win at Colorado. The Buffaloes have yet to win a conference game in their first-ever Pac-12 season and they are riding a six-game losing streak for the first time since 2006, when they started the year 0-6.

This is USC’s first Friday night game since 1999 and it’s Colorado’s first-ever game on Friday. The Trojans lead this all-time series 5-0, but these teams haven’t met since 2002.

TV: ESPN

LINE MOVES: Southern Cal opened as high as -22 and has been bet down to -21. The total opened at 56.5 points and has been bet up to 58.5.

ABOUT USC (6-2, 3-2 Pac-12, 4-4 ATS): If there was one positive for the Trojans to take from the loss to Stanford, it was the offense’s continued dominance. Southern Cal scored at least 30 points for the fourth consecutive game and fifth time this season. Running back Curtis McNeal rushed for a career-high 145 yards and two touchdowns and wideout Robert Woods kept his outstanding season going with 89 yards and a touchdown. The sophomore is tied for second nationally with 10.1 receptions per game and is on pace to break USC’s single-season receptions record.

ABOUT COLORADO (1-8, 0-5 Pac-12, 2-7 ATS): After back-to-back blowout losses to Oregon and Arizona State, the Buffaloes’ tough Pac-12 schedule continues this Friday. Colorado is struggling on both sides of the ball, ranking in the bottom 30 nationally in both total offense and total defense, while allowing 38 points per game. Quarterback Tyler Hansen is one of the few bright spots. The senior moved into fifth place on Colorado’s all-time career passing yards list after throwing for 285 yards and a touchdown in a 48-14 loss at Arizona State.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. USC quarterback Matt Barkley needs 108 yards of total offense to move into third on the school’s career total offense list.

2. The forecast in Boulder calls for snow this weekend, and temperatures are expected to be in the 30s Friday evening. That’s extra cold for kids from California.

3. The Buffaloes have lost their last four games by an average of 36.5 points.

TRENDS:

* Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as road favorites.
* Buffaloes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as home underdogs.
* Under is 6-2 in Trojans' last eight games as favorites.
* Over is 8-3 in Buffaloes' last 11 games as home underdogs.

PREDICTION: USC 45, Colorado 20. The Trojans might struggle initially to get over such a tough loss, but in the end they’ll blow past a weak Buffaloes defense.

[Mr. IWS]

BANG THE BOOK

Friday's Best NCAA CFB Bets

USC Trojans at Colorado Buffaloes (+21, 58.5)

After losing a tremendous triple overtime duel this past week, the USC Trojans will lock horns with the lowly Colorado Buffaloes in NCAA football betting action on Friday night.

Give the Men of Troy credit, as they proved that they could stand toe to toe with the best teams in the country last Saturday in a game that started with regional TV coverage and ended nationally in three overtimes. QB Matt Barkley proved that he is still one of the top signal callers in the land and that he can strike from anywhere on the field. After a relatively sluggish offensive start to the year, the unit once again came forth with a great effort, netting 34 points in regulation and 48 overall for the game against a stout Stanford Cardinal defense, marking the second time this year that the squad reached the 48-point barrier and the fourth straight game with at least 30 points. Head Coach Lane Kiffin never pulls punches either, and he made his opinions clear in the postgame reports on Saturday that he was upset with the Pac-12 officiating. Don’t think for one second that those complaints might not be heard loud and clear by the refs in this game, and a close call might end up going his way as a result.

And then there is Colorado, which is clearly the worst team in the Pac-12 and is probably the worst team amongst the AQ schools in the country. The Buffs had to hope that moving to the Pac-12 would help out with some games against different rivals, but in the end, the bottom of this conference is better than they are, just as was the case in the Big XII as well. There certainly won’t be a game in which the Buffaloes are favored for the rest of the year barring some strange turn of events, and odds have it, they are going to suffer four more double digit defeats when it is said and done as well. First year Head Coach Jon Embree knows that there isn’t a whole heck of a lot that he can do about it either. His top back, RB Rodney Stewart has been out of action for the past two weeks with a knee injury, and though he is expected to come back in this one, he is still doing so against a great defense for a rushing attack that ranks No. 114 in the nation at just 90.0 yards per game.

Colorado Buffaloes @ USC Trojans Pick: There’s a point that the oddsmakers have just overreacted too much, and we tend to think that this is the point for that. The Buffs were 30.5 point underdogs against Oregon and 32 point underdogs against Arizona State, and at some point, the team is going to figure out how to stick inside of a number of this type of a magnitude. To keep this one within 17 or so would be a triumph. Back Colorado.

PICK: Colorado +21

[Mr. IWS]

NHL NEWS AND NOTES
Avalanche Try To Bounce Back In Dallas
By Deborah Francisco


Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars (-150, 5.5)
AVALANCHE (7-5-0) AT STARS (8-3-0)

TV: ALTITUDE (HD), FS-Southwest

LAST 10: Colorado 6-4-0; Dallas 7-3-0

SEASON SERIES: This is the first meeting of four between the Avalanche and Stars this season. They split four games last season, with Colorado winning the first two games and Dallas winning the second pair.

BIG STORY: The streaking Stars sit atop the Pacific Division standings and will face the Avalanche fresh off a five-day break. The Avs go back on the road, where they've been far more successful than they have been at home.

TEAM SCOPE:

AVALANCHE: Colorado has struggled to win at home this season, a trend that continued on Wednesday with a 4-1 loss to the Coyotes on Wednesday night. The Avalanche's only home win so far was a 3-2 victory over the Los Angeles Kings on Oct. 30. But it was followed by a 4-1 loss to Phoenix on Wednesday that was anything but pretty. Colorado tallied only one goal, late in the second period.

"It's hard to win hockey games when you're not scoring goals," Avs forward Milan Hejduk said. "We just have to keep playing the same way and eventually we'll start scoring goals.

"When you put 40 plus shots at net every night, at some point you need to score more goals than one."

According to the Denver Post, the Avalanche will shift their lines slightly on Friday in an effort to develop more offense. Matt Duchene will play on the left wing with Paul Stastny and Hejduk. TJ Galiardi will play center to Joakim Lidstrom and David Jones while Ryan O'Reilly, Gabriel Landeskog and Daniel Winnik will stay together on the third line.

STARS: In the Stars' last nine games, only one team has defeated them - the Los Angeles Kings. L.A. beat the Stars twice in the month of October, snapping a five-game winning streak on Oct. 22 with a 1-0 win in Los Angeles and 5-3 in Dallas five days later. They bounced back with a 3-1 victory over the New Jersey Devils on Saturday night.

Much of the Stars' recent success has to do with the standout play of Kari Lehtonen, who made 31 saves on Saturday for the win in a game when were outshot 32-23 by the Devils. Lehtonen improved to 8-1-0, earning NHL Second Star of the Month honors for the month of October. The Finnish netminder concluded the month with a .947 save percentage and a 1.75 goals-against average -- the best October numbers Lehtonen has posted in his career.

"It was a pretty nice game to play for me," Lehtonen said. "They got some shots, but I was able to see most of them and I think our penalty killing was really good too. It was a tight game and we kind of played the same way the Devils usually play, and we were able to get the one crappy goal at the end."

WHO'S HOT: Dallas's new bench boss, Glen Gulutzan, boasts the best-ever record for a Stars coach through his first 11 contests.

INJURY REPORT: Brandon Yip, who scored a pair of goals in Colorado's last meeting with the Stars last April, remains out with a broken forearm.

STAT PACK: The Avs are averaging a league-worst 1.2 goals at home, where they are 1-4-0. However, they have 24 goals in their seven road games and own the League's best road record at 6-1-0. Colorado has scored on eight of its last 14 road power plays.

PUCK DROP: "Looking at the first 10-game segment, if you'd asked any one of us at the start of the season if we'd take 7-3, we'd all sign up for that, and here we are at 8-3, that's a pretty good month," Dallas captain Brenden Morrow said. "We're pretty happy with our start. It's a process, the whole season, you want to keep revving things up so you're playing your best hockey in March and April. Last year, we kind of tailed off a little bit, but that's going to be a focus of ours every day, just putting the time and work in, play with pace so everything becomes a habit."

[Mr. IWS]

ICE PICKS

Friday's Best NHL Bets

Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars (-150, 5.5)

Young hockey teams often play much better on the road than they do at home. They don’t have the pressure of playing in front of their home crowd and get a chance to bond while on the highway.

That’s definitely the case with Colorado this season. The Avalanche are just 1-4 in Denver, but 6-1 on the road. They’re also catching a major break Friday night with Dallas’ Steve Ott expected to sit out with a hip injury.

Say what you will about Ott, but he’s one of the main factors in Dallas’ success this season. He has eight points in 11 games with 26 penalty minutes while centering the second line and playing on both special teams.

Without Ott, who isn’t expected to play again until at least Tuesday, Dallas was forced to juggle its lines considerably throughout practice this week.
The Stars will miss him in this one and you have to think Colorado’s happy to be back on the road.

PICK: Colorado


Montreal Canadians at Ottawa Senators (-125, 5.5)

After often looking disinterested last season, you have to be impressed with Ottawa’s quick start. The Sens still don’t have a ton of talent or depth, but they’re proving to be hard to play against.

And that’s all anyone can really ask from them.

They reeled off six straight wins before dropping a 5-3 decision to the Bruins on Tuesday. The Bruins put together one of their best efforts of the season in that one, thanks in large part to the Montreal Canadiens. Montreal took both ends of a home-and-home against the Bruins before Ottawa visited Beantown, so it was a tough spot for the Sens.

Making matters worse, captain Daniel Alfredsson is still out with a concussion and no timetable has been set for his return.

The Habs have been idle since then and the break allowed the club to get a couple days away from the ice. Montreal should have lots of legs to jump on Ottawa early.

PICK: Montreal

[Mr. IWS]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 19
By David Schwab

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 05, 2011

Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Edmonton Eskimos (8½) Over/Under (47)

Saskatchewan moved to 5-12 SU (5-11 ATS) with last week’s win. It is 2-6 SU and ATS in eight road games this season and the total has stayed ‘under’ in its last six games overall. Edmonton is 10-7 SU (9-8 ATS) on the year. It is 5-3 SU (4-4 ATS) at home this season and the total has stayed ‘under’ in three of its last four games.

The Roughriders lost both games to the Eskimos this season SU and ATS by a combined score of 59-29. They managed to score just one point in the last game as a six-point road underdog. Edmonton is 7-3 SU in the last 10 games and 7-2 ATS in the last nine. The total has gone ‘over’ in three of the last four meetings. Saskatchewan is the lowest scoring team in the league with an average of just 19.2 points a game.

[Mr. IWS]

CANADIAN BACON

Friday's Best CFL Bet

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Edmonton Eskimos (-8.5, 47)

The Edmonton Eskimos are still fighting for first place in the West despite losing 29-20 last week in Vancouver.

After struggling in the midseason, Ricky Ray has been pretty solid down the stretch and has six touchdown passes in his last three games. Running back Jerome Messam had a tougher night than usual in British Columbia and was limited to only 62 rushing yards, but expect him to bounce back this week.

On defense, the Eskimos have been sloppy over the last few weeks and will need to tighten up. Out of the playoff picture, the Roughriders are trying to end the season on a bright note but will also look to give coach Ken Miller a final win before he retires. It could also be the last game for 33-year-old Jason Clermont.

PICK: Edmonton

[Mr. IWS]

Friday’s Betting Tips: Could Cold Weather Kill USC Bets?

WEATHER TO WATCH

When the USC Trojans landed in Boulder, Colorado Thursday, it was 33 degrees. Temperatures aren’t expected to be quite that cold Friday (39 degrees with 12 mph winds), but it’s worth noting USC hasn’t played in snow since a game in Notre Dame back in 1957. The Trojans are set as fat 21-point road favorites against the Buffaloes.

WHO'S HOT

NCAAF: USC is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine road games.

NCAAF: The under is 6-1 in Kent State’s last seven conference games.

NHL: Chicago is 10-4-1 in its last 15 games against Tampa Bay.

NHL: Ottawa is 4-0 in its last four home games.

CFL: Hamilton is 5-2 against the spread in its last seven against Toronto.

WHO'S NOT

NCAAF: Central Michigan is 3-14 against the spread in its last 17 overall.

NCAAF: Colorado is 5-16 against the spread in its last 21 conference games.

NHL: Carolina is 1-6 in its last seven games against Washington.

NHL: Calgary is 0-7 in its last seven games in Buffalo.

CFL: Toronto is 3-9 against the spread in its last 12 home games.

KEY STAT

77.2 – If you haven’t taken a long look at CFL totals lately, you may want to get in on this under trend before the playoffs start. Better than 77 percent (13-5) of CFL games have played under their totals in the last month.

INJURY THAT SHOULDN'T BE OVERLOOKED

Sam Bradford, St. Louis Rams- Quarterback Sam Bradford increased his practice workload Thursday in hopes of recovering in time to play in Sunday's game against the Arizona Cardinals. Bradford is nursing a high-ankle sprain that has kept him out of the past two games. He was limited to individual drills for the second day in a row, but looked strong and is expected to take on a larger role in Friday's workout. Bradford has thrown for 1,177 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions in five games so far this season. A.J. Feeley will make his third straight start if Bradford can't play.

GAME OF THE DAY

USC at Colorado (21, 58.5)

NOTABLE QUOTABLE

"Well, I was (ticked) off. Of course I want to be in that situation on the ice, and you know it doesn't matter who I said it (to) and what I said. It look funny on TV. It's right now a big story. It's just a little bit frustrating because I'm a leader on the team and I want to be on that kind of responsibility." – Alex Ovechkin on being benched during the final second of regulation in Tuesday’s 5-4 overtime win over Anaheim.

TIPS AND NOTES

During their bye week, the Kent State Golden Flashes moved junior Josh Kline from right tackle to left tackle and the move clicked immediately in the club’s 27-15 upset against Bowling Green. Kent State didn’t allow a sack in for the second time this season while the club’s running backs averaged 4.7 yards per carry. Kent State is a 1-point home favorite against Eastern Michigan Friday.

The Houston Texans may have their top receiver back in the fold this weekend when they face off against the Cleveland Browns. Head coach Gary Kubiak said Thursday that star wideout Andre Johnson's hamstring is feeling better, and suggested he would be a game-time decision for Sunday's contest. Johnson hasn't played since suffering a serious hamstring in Week 4 that eventually required surgery. Houston has eased him back into practice situations, keeping him out of sessions Wednesday and Thursday. He will try to participate fully on Friday before being reevaluated. Johnson, 30, has 25 catches for 352 yards and two touchdowns so far this season. The Texans are set as 11-point favorites.

[Mr. IWS]

LuckyDaySports

Friday’s Comp Play

NCAAF
USC/Colorado UNDER 58.5

[Mr. IWS]

bookiemonsters

29-12 run (12 - 2 last 13)

free play
kent st pk

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

746- 547 57 % Free Play Run over 3 YEARS

Free play FRI: Under Carolina 5 1/2 NHL

[Mr. IWS]

CRUSHER for 11/4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:
USC + Colorado OVER 58

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:
Dallas Stars -136 over Colorado Avalanche

Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:
All Boys Floresta + Independiente UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina

[Mr. IWS]

Sportbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Dallas Stars -136 over Colorado Avalanche (Hockey)

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free play- Colorado/ Dallas Under 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Cappers Access

USC -21

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free play- Colorado/ Dallas Under 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Cappers Access

USC -21

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Saturday... Take Louisiana Tech +3 over Fresno State

[Mr. IWS]

PURE LOCK
NCAA-F | Nov 04
USC-21
FREE CFB PLAY FRIDAY

[Mr. IWS]

Today's NHL Picks

Calgary at Buffalo

The Flames look to build on their 7-3 record in their last 10 games versus teams in the Northeast Division. Calgary is the pick (+160) according to Dunkel, which has the Flames favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+160). Here are all of today's picks.


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 4
Time Posted 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 51-52: Washington at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 10.853; Carolina 12.035
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+115); Over


Game 53-54: Calgary at Buffalo (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.141; Buffalo 10.871
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+160); Under


Game 55-56: Montreal at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.526; Ottawa 11.020
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+105); Under


Game 57-58: Chicago at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.855; Tampa Bay 11.792
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Over


Game 59-60: Vancouver at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.756; St. Louis 11.489
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-110); Over


Game 61-62: Colorado at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.248; Dallas 11.797
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-130); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Today's CFL Picks

Saskatchewan at Edmonton

The Eskimos look to take advantage of a Saskatchewan team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games. Edmonton is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Eskimos favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-8 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 4
Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (11/2)


Game 493-494: Saskatchewan at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 104.267; Edmonton 119.134
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 15; 44
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 8 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-8 1/2); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Good lyfe sports

USC -21 ($200)
CMU +1.5 ($100)

[Mr. IWS]

Prediction Machine

USC OVER 57 58.9%
CENT MI UNDER 56.8%
USC 53.6%
CENT MI 53.1%

[Mr. IWS]

GamingToday’s Consensus Picks November 04, 2011 9:22 AM by GT Staff

NCAA Football

Kent State -1

Colorado +21½ and OVER 58½

NCAA Football

USC at Colorado +21½ at 6 p.m. PT on ESPN2

This is just a perfect spot for the Buffaloes as the Trojans trend is 0-4 on weekday games as a double digit favorite and coming off the horrendous loss last week they will be here in spirit but they will not have a game face on.

COLORADO +21½ ***

NHL Hockey

Chicago Blackhawks

[Mr. IWS]

Ron ‘The Bomb’ Driver

NCAA Football

USC -21

Central Michigan +1

[Mr. IWS]

Hot teams
-- Washington won eight of its first ten games. Carolina won three of its last four home games.
-- Flames won three of their last four games.
-- Ottawa won six of its last seven games. Canadiens won their last three games, allowing four goals.
-- Blackhawks won seven of their last ten games. Tampa Bay won its last three home games, allowing a single goal (4-1/3-0/1-0).
-- Dallas Stars won five of their six home games.

Cold teams
-- Sabres lost four of their last five games.
-- Blues, who played eight of last nine games on road, lost last couple of games, 3-1/4-2.
-- Canucks lost four of their last six road games.
-- Avalanche lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Washington games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Calgary games.
-- Three of four Montreal road games stayed under total.
-- Four of five Chicago road games stayed under total.
-- Last three Vancouver games went over the total. Last six Blue-Canuck games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Colorado road games went over the total.

Series records
-- Washington won six of its last seven games against Carolina.
-- Sabres lost 5-2 at Saddledome in LY's meeting.
-- Senators are 9-5 in their last 14 games against Montreal.
-- Lightning beat Chicago twice LY, 4-3ot/2-0.
-- Canucks won six of last nine visits to St Louis.
-- Avalanche lost seven of last ten visits to Dallas.

[Mr. IWS]

IC
6 UCLA 8.5
5 DAL o44
4 UTAH ST 3.5

[Mr. IWS]

APPLE HANDICAPPERS
Eddie Rambo
4 dime pow Kent St-1

[Mr. IWS]

NHL PREDICTIONS

1* NHL* Colorado Avalanche @ Dallas Stars: DALLAS STARS TO WIN -115 ML
The Dallas Stars come into tonight's game with a solid 8-3 record. Tonight's starter Keri Lehtonen is 8-1 on the year with a 1.75 GAA and .947 SV%. Dallas has won 7 of their last 9 games coming into tonight, with their two losses coming against Los Angeles. The Avalanche have slowed down considerably losing 3 of their last 4 games and 4 of their last 6, dropping them to 7-5 on the year. I'm not knocking the Avs, who are off to a much better start than anyone would have guessed, but 6 of their 7 wins have been 1 goal games which could have gone either way. Dallas is relying a ton of Lehtonen, but is seems to working out, as they are averaging just 2.09 goals against per game. The Stars should have fresh legs coming into tonight with 5 days of rest. Note that the Stars are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Stars have won 7 of these two teams last 10 meetings in Dallas. With the way the Stars and Lehtonen are playing so far this season they are a team I am confident in backing, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the Avalanche start to slide a little bit from their hot start (as they've already began doing). Dallas takes tonight's game at home, and there is good value at -115 on it.

[Mr. IWS]

Fast Cash Eddy 11/4

100 DIMES OVER 42.5 CMU/KENT STATE

100 DIME TEASER over 37 CMU game and colorado + 27 coloraldo

80 DIMES COLORADO +21

[Mr. IWS]

Evan Altemus

Colorado +22

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

OTTAWA +105 over Montreal

The Canadiens have three nice wins in a row over Boston twice and over the Flyers once. That’s nice, it really is but let’s not forget that the Habs lost six straight prior to that and scored one goal in four of those six games. The Habs favored on the road here is an overreaction by the market to a popular team that has won three in a row. Meanwhile, the Sens are no flukes. This is without doubt the most undervalued team in the league. Ottawa was predicted by most to be nothing this year but these guys are coming together a lot quicker than anyone anticipated. They’ve scored three goals or more in seven straight games and they won six of those seven games. The Sens are playing with confidence and they believe in what they’re doing. Nate Greening, Stephane Da Costa and Erik Karlsson are three outstanding young talents that have not looked a bit out of place. Karlsson is scary good and he solidifies and makes the whole defense better. Montreal is not the better club here, yet they’re favored on the road. That provides us with a good opportunity to cash in on the misperceptions. Play: Ottawa +105 (Risking 2 units).

CAROLINA +116 over Washington

Another live pooch at home sees the Canes taking back a tag against a Caps team that is 8-2 but that has allowed 11 goals against in their past two games. That’s something that should not be ignored, as the Caps weak defense has been masked by its winning ways. Washington is also not in the best spot, as they returned home from a two-game Western Canada trip before hosting the Ducks on Wednesday. That’s home for one game and on the road again for two more. These two met in Washington in the season opener for both and Washington won in OT. What we know for sure is that Cam Ward is one of the top goalies in the league and a goaltending edge in this day and age is huge. We also know that the Canes have picked up eight out of a possible nine points in their last four home games against Boston, Ottawa, Chicago and Tampa and they can surely keep that going against the Caps. Washington is off to a hot start, thus, this is a sell high opportunity. Play: Carolina +116 (Risking 2 units).

Colorado +106 over DALLAS

The Avalanche appear to be a lot more dangerous on the road this season and until that changes there’s no reason to back off them. In fact, Colorado has won six of seven road games and this assignment is surely no more difficult than those others. The Stars are a misleading 8-3. This is not a 72% winning team and thus, a correction in their W/L record is forthcoming. Rarely have the Stars been the better team in any of their eight wins. Kari Lehtonen has carried them the whole season thus far and he’s the lone reason they’re 8-3. The Stars keep getting badly outplayed and they simply can’t keep winning when that happens. The Dallas Stars are a bubble team at best and even that might be a stretch come April. The Stars are going to be a great fade when they’re favored and if Lehtonen keeps standing on his head and recoding wins, so be it. We’ll take our chances against a team that has no chance of maintaining a 72% win percentage. Play: Colorado +106 (Risking 2 units).

Chicago +107 over TAMPA BAY

The Blackhawks taking back a tag against the Lightning is about as good as it gets tonight. Chicago is playing some damn good hockey and these guys have the same fire in them they had when they won the cup two years ago. Offensively, it looks like a clinic out there every night for the Blackhawks and that is likely going to pose a huge problem for the Bolts slow and extremely flawed group of defensemen. Keeping Chicago below four goals is a big challenge and one that the Lightning may not be capable of. The Bolts have picked things up with four wins in six games after an awful start. Having said that, of those four wins only one was impressive and that was when they dominated the Islanders after five straight losses. In those other three wins, the Bolts were average at best in a 1-0 win over the Jets and they were extremely fortunate in back-to-back wins over the Sabres. Steven Stamkos and Martin St. Louis are off to slow starts offensively and Tampa Bay’s leading scorer is defenseman Marc-Andre Bergeron. Tampa favored over the Blackhawks is wrong and if you make one hockey bet tonight, this should probably be it. Play: Chicago +107 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

DAVID BANKS

USC Trojans vs. Colorado Buffaloes
The first ever PAC-12 meeting between the USC Trojans (6-2, 4-4 ATS) and Colorado Buffaloes (1-8, 2-7 ATS) is set to go under the Friday Night Lights from Folsom Field; kick-off is set to go live on ESPN, ESPN 3D and ESPN3.com at 9:00 ET.

One has to wonder the mind frame the Trojans will take the field with in this one after falling in what will end up being their de facto bowl game to Stanford last Saturday night – in 3 OTs no less! Coach Lane Kiffin’s squad gave the Cardinal all they could ask for, but when it was all said and done, USC found itself on the short end of the exhilarating 56-48 final. QB Matt Barkley played one up with Stanford’s Andrew Luck throwing for 284 yards and three TDs, and he will now get the pleasure of throwing into the Buffaloes 92nd ranked pass “D” that’s allowed an average of 248.9 YPG on the year. Save for a second half meltdown at Arizona State, USC has handled its business with high marks away from the Coliseum smashing both Cal (30-9) and Notre Dame (31-17) to check in with 2-1 SU & ATS records as visitors on the year. The Trojans have covered seven of their L/9 as visitors and four of their L/5 as road chalk.

The Buffaloes enter this Week 10 gridiron battle losers of six in a row both SU and against the closing pointspread. They fell in Tempe 48-14 as whopping 32-point underdogs to the Sun Devils last week. First year head coach John Embree has had a rough go of it in his first year at the helm in Boulder, as his kids own just a win against Colorado State in nine overall tries. The Buffs competed well in their first two home games of the season falling 36-33 in overtime against Cal (+6) before getting edged by the Washington State Cougars 31-27 as three-point favorites. They were then blown off the field by the Oregon Ducks in their most recent spat in front of the hometown faithful losing 45-2 as 31-point underdogs. Colorado won’t be bowling for the fourth straight season, but it could put up a fight tonight considering its 6-2-1 ATS its L/9 when installed a home underdog.

These programs last met on the gridiron back in 2002 in Boulder where the Trojans cruised to the 40-3 road win and outright cover as 2.5-point underdogs. USC is 8-2 SU but just 2-7-1 ATS the L/10 times it was favored on the road in the 10.5-21 point range, but also stands an impressive 17-8 ATS the L/25 times it played off a SU loss. CU’s been dogged at home by 10 or more points six times and checks in with a 3-3 ATS record in those games. That tally includes a shocking outright win over Oklahoma as 23-point underdogs back in 2007.
PICK: USC/COLORADO OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Totals 4 U Selections for Friday, November 4th

2011 PAC 12 Primetime Total of the Year!!!!!
Southern California/Colorado under 58 1/2

College Best Bets
Central Michigan/Kent State under 43


NHL Best Bets
Washington/Carolina under 5 1/2
Motreal/Ottawa under 5 1/2
Chicago/Tampa Bay over 5 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...

My 30 Dime play is on the over in the Southern Cal-Colorado game. Lookang at the splorts books at 7 a.m. in Las Vegas, the total has becn set at 58 ½

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
Friday's Action
20 Dime winner going out on the Southern Cal Trojans as the road favarite agailinst the Colorado Buffaloes. As I release this winner, the Trojans are a -21 1/2 point visitcng chalk both here in Vegas and offshore.

[Mr. IWS]

vegas sports informer

6-Unit TOTAL Plays of the Year
Hawaii OVER

Arkansas
Michigan
Hawaii
Cincinnati

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Illuminati

NHL Vancouver/StLouis Under 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

RANDY BRUCE

NCAA Football: 10 dimes
USC -21

[Mr. IWS]

kelso 50 kentst -1.5.

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper Nation
A Vincent
1*Washington ML
1*USC u57

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

50* Over 43 Kent St/C Michigan

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

1.5-Unit Play. Take #314 Colorado (+21.5) over USC (9 p.m., Friday, Nov. 4)

[Mr. IWS]

David Chan aka "The Dragon"

8* Kent St +1
8* Kent St ov
10* Colorado +22 "scorpion play"

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Power Plays newsletter:

Kent State 24 Central Michigan 20
USC 41 Colorado 16

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN MANUEL (3-0 TO BEGIN NOVEMBER)

COLORADO +13 First Half 100 DIMES
COLORADO +21 100 DIMES

[Mr. IWS]

sammy p

20* st louis under 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo
5 Unit Pick Take Over (5.5) Colorado at Dallas (8:30 pm, Friday, November 4)