11-6-11

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New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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Dave Tuley (Tuley the Tout)

NFL Regular Season (19-20-2 for a net loss of 2.8 units)

406 Colts +7
407 Buccaneers-Saints UNDER 50
409 Browns +11
411 Jets +1.5
419 Broncos +8
419 Broncos-Raiders UNDER 44locked in Monday and it has since dropped to 43 everywhere and even 42.5 some places
428 Chargers +6
429 Ravens +3 EV

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DOUBLE DRAGON NFL

BILLS -2 vs jets
CHIEFS -4 vs dolphins
49'ERS -4 at redskins
PACKERS -5.5 at chargers
BENGALS +1 at titans
RAMS +3 at cardinals
STEELERS -3 vs ravens (SNF)
EAGLES -9 vs bears (MNF)

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Colin Cowherd

Oakland
Buffalo
Miami
New Orleans
Cincinnati

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Evan Roberts

Yr (14-9-1) LW (1-2)

NYG
Mia
TB

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POINTWISE PHONES:

3* Pitt, NO, Miami, St Louis, Cincy

2* Philly(Monday), Oakland

BEST OF LUCK

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Sixth Sense

Just a 1-2 record last week, losing –3.6%. For the season now the record stands at 32-18 64.0% +36.60%.

Also, I will come back on Saturday at Noon central (Earlier time going forward) with a totals update. I may have additional side plays as well.

All side plays are delivered via email and will be sent by 10 p.m. central on Friday evenings.

BEST BETS

YTD 32-18 +36.60%

3% BUFFALO –2
3% SAN FRANCISCO –3.5
3% SEATTLE +11.5
3% CINCINNATI +3 –120 or better or +2.5

League averages for comparison to the stats that will be listed below.

Average Points Scored 22.4
Yards Per Rush (YPR) 4.3
Yards Per Pass (YPS) 6.4
Yard Per Play (YPPL) 5.5

Atlanta –7 INDIANAPOLIS 44

Indianapolis qualifies in a winless situation, which is 106-55-7 although only 2-5 this year. Numbers favor Atlanta by 6.5 points and predict about 45 points. Atlanta has won just one game by more than seven points this year and that was by 14 at home over Carolina. They are 2-2 on the road with a close win by two over Seattle in the only other game against a team nearly as bad as Indy. Indy has been bad and also plenty banged up this year. They come home after three straight road games and will play only their fourth home game of the year. Indy has allowed at least 23 points in every game this year and while they have struggled to score points, their three highest outputs of 19, 20 and 24 points have all come at home. They have been more competitive at home losing by 3, 4 and 8 points. They also get a little healthier this week as they expect back a couple of offensive lineman and get some help on the defensive line as well as linebacker position. ATLANTA 27 INDIANAPOLIS 23

NEW ORLEANS –8 Tampa Bay 50

Both teams would qualify in situations if this line were seven or less. Numbers favor NO by 10.5 points and predict about 51 points. This has been a closely played game here in NO, where TB has actually won six of the past nine meeting played, including each of the last two years. To be fair, the last two years games haven’t meant a lot to NO from a playoff standpoint as they were played late in the season. But, even when NO has won, they have done so only by four, three and three points. Tough game to call and I don’t like to lean towards a team laying a bunch of points when they can’t stop the run but the numbers do show some value with NO. NEW ORLEANS 30 TAMPA BAY 20

HOUSTON –10.5 Cleveland 41

Houston qualifies in a very strong negative letdown situation, which is 117-41-3. Cleveland also qualifies in my turnover table, which is 430-283-18. Numbers favor Houston by 11.5 points and predict about 39 points. Cleveland has struggled to score points this year, scoring more than 17 points just once when they scored 27 at a bad Indy team. Against the better competition they have lost by 10 to Cincinnati, by seven at Oakland and by 10 at San Francisco last week. The Browns are likely to be playing without Peyton Hillis this week, which leaves them extremely thin at running back. Both teams are likely to be without key personnel in the secondary as well. The situations favoring Cleveland are extremely strong but I’m just not getting enough points to pull the trigger on the Browns. If this number were to go to 13 points, I would consider Cleveland. HOUSTON 24 CLEVELAND 16

BUFFALO –2 NY Jets 44

I don’t have any situations on this game although Buffalo nearly qualifies in a fundamental rushing situation. Numbers favor Buffalo by 6.5 points and predict about 45 points. Buffalo has lost four of the past five games played here between these two. The Bills have been a very competitive team this year with each of their two losses by three points. At home, they have scored at least 31 points in each game. The Jets, on the other hand, are 0-3 on the road against good teams like Oakland, Baltimore and New England and they have allowed at least 30 points in each of those games. The Jets have played over the total in 13 of their 14 road games since last year and allowed 20 or more points in 11 of those 14 games. They also scored at least 24 points in every road game against below average defenses, like Buffalo. Buffalo has played well at home and gone 3-0 against good teams like Oakland, Philadelphia and New England. The Jets aren’t any better than any of those teams. The line is short and the value lies with the Bills. BUFFALO 30 NY JETS 24

KANSAS CITY –4 Miami 40

Miami qualifies in a winless situation, which is 106-55-7 as well as my turnover table, which is 430-283-6. Numbers favor KC by 7.5 points and predict about 38 points. Miami is really struggling on offense as they have not scored more than 17 points since week one, when they scored 24 against NE. KC got off to a bad start this year, losing their first three games and failing to score more than 17 points in any of those games (3 and 7 in two of those games) but have now rattled off four straight wins, in which they have scored at least 22 points in each of those wins. I’ll lean towards Miami because of the situations but there isn’t enough value with this line. It appears Miami will get Thomas back at running back this week to bolster their offense. KANSAS CITY 20 MIAMI 17

San Francisco –3.5 WASHINGTON 37.5

SF qualifies in fundamental rushing situations, which are 502-320-22 and 544-396-23. Numbers favor SF by six points and predict about 37 points. SF has not faced a poor team on the road this year but when they have played sub par competition at home (Seattle and Cleveland) they have won by 16 and 10 points. They have scored at least 20 points in all but one game and allowed no more than 19 points in all but two games this year. The 23 and 27 points they allowed were against the very good offenses of Philadelphia and Dallas. And, then there is Washington, who has lost three in a row and the only good defense they have faced this year was at Dallas, where they struggled to score 16 points. As I mentioned earlier in the year, Washington has played somewhat tough at home since the beginning of last year, either winning or losing seven of their eight home games by four points or less on the negative side and winning two home games by six and three points. This, all despite their issues last year. Their only major loss at home was to Philadelphia. This year they defeated the Giants and Arizona (winning by 14 and 1 point) while losing by seven to those same Eagles. But, this team is really banged up right now, missing their best receiver, running back and quarterback and maybe two offensive lineman. SF is likely without Ray McDonald who has been very good for them on defense but they should have enough to get by a poor Washington team. SAN FRANCISCO 24 WASHINGTON 14

DALLAS –11.5 Seattle 44

Seattle qualifies in a general league wide situation, which is 57-29-1. Numbers favor Dallas by six points and predict about 43 points. Dallas had that long string where they played double digit games decided by four or less points but their last two games have now been decided by 27 points each with identical scores of 34-7. The Cowboys are without Mike ******* in the secondary this week and will also likely be without Lee at linebacker, who has played very well for them. Tarvaris Jackson should get the start again for Seattle this week. Seattle has played pretty well on defense this year and with the mobile Jackson back at quarterback, stands a chance to stay in this game against a banged up Cowboys defense. DALLAS 24 SEATTLE 20

OAKLAND –7 Denver 42.5

Denver qualifies in my turnover table, which is 430-283-18. Numbers favor Oakland by 6.5 points and predict about 46 points. Denver has struggled to score points on the road this year, scoring 14, 23 and 18 points. The 23 points came in a blow out at Green Bay. The 18 points all came in the final three minutes and OT of their game at Miami two weeks ago. Clearly, with Tim Tebow, they are struggling to move the ball at all on offense. Against decent offenses, they have allowed at least 23 points in each game. Oakland, on the other hand, has scored at least 23 points in five of their seven games this year and their last game without Jason Campbell doesn’t really count. They’ve also allowed at least 20 points in six of those seven games and despite having a good year, have only won one game by more than seven points. They have played a very tough schedule, however. Sebastian Janikowski’s status is up in the air and he is a vital piece of the Oakland offense. They will also be without McFadden although Michael Bush is pretty good, but not as explosive as McFadden. I’d love to play Denver here but until I see something different from Tebow, I just can’t play them. There is a chance he plays poorly early on and is replaced by Orton or Quinn, which may then give Denver some added value. OAKLAND 24 DENVER 21

TENNESSEE –3 Cincinnati 41.5

Tennessee qualifies in a home momentum situation, which is 89-44-10. Cincinnati qualifies in fundamental rushing situations, which are 502-320-22 and 544-396-23. Numbers favor Cincinnati by three points and predict about 45 points. Cincinnati has been a nice surprise this year and although they don’t have a great offense, they have managed, with the help of their defense and special teams, to score at least 22 points in six of their seven games. The defense, on the other hand, has not allowed more than 20 points in six of those seven games. Tennessee does have a nice win at home over Baltimore this year but their other three wins have come against Denver, Cleveland and Indianapolis. Cincinnati hasn’t exactly played great competition either but they are getting points in this game. Over the last three plus years Cincinnati has played a brutal schedule on the road but when they play teams that are bad teams they have not allowed more than 24 points in any of those games. Knowing they have scored at least 22 points in six of their seven games this year and aren’t likely to allow more than 24 points, gives Cincinnati an excellent shot at the cover in this game. Tennessee did not look impressive at home against the Colts last week and a similar performance will give them a loss this week. I don’t like to play one side or the other when I have situations going both ways but the situation on Cincinnati is very strong and there is value on their side as well. CINCINNATI 24 TENNESSEE 20

ARIZONA –2.5 St Louis 41.5

St. Louis qualifies in a road underdog situation, which plays on bad teams and is 130-61-5. Numbers favor Arizona by 3.5 points and predict about 42 points. But, those numbers assume Kevin Kolb will start and he is not starting. Instead, he is being replaced by a bad John Skelton. I would make this number closer to the 1-2 points with Skelton starting. Arizona lost here last year to the Rams, 19-6 as 3.5 point home underdogs. They have scored at least 20 points in each of their home games this year but now they must do it with Skelton, which will be tough. They have also allowed at least 21 points in six of their seven games, including at least 30 or more points in each of their past four games. The Rams, on the other hand, finally scored more than 16 points for the first time last week when they scored 31 points at home against NO. They have also allowed at least 21 points in six of their seven games but they have played a brutal schedule up to this point. This game, other than maybe their home game against Washington, represents their best chance to get a win. Tough for me to side with either team, knowing just how bad they are, but I have to go with the Rams who have the better quarterback in this game. ST LOUIS 21 ARIZONA 20

NEW ENGLAND –9 NY Giants 51

I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor the Patriots by only 4.5 points and predict about 55 points. If this line were to move down to seven or less, the Patriots would qualify in a fundamental rushing situation. The Giants have scored points this year, having topped at least 25 points in five of their seven games, including 20 or more in each of their last six games. NE has actually scored less and less points in each game this year. They began the season by scoring 38 points at Miami but have scored less each week, scoring only 17 points last week. NY will likely be without WR Hakeem Nicks and RB Ahmad Bradshaw as well as their starting center, David Bass. I don’t have a lot of respect for the Patriots and will lean against them here because of the value but can’t make it a play with all the injuries on the Giants side of the ball. NEW ENGLAND 30 NY GIANTS 27

Green Bay –5.5 SAN DIEGO 51

I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor GB by just 1.5 points and predict about 50 points. Packers have scored at least 25 points in each road game this year and you can basically write them down for about 27 points a game. The question then becomes can SD put up enough points to cover the spread. SD has scored at least 20 points in each home game and not allowed more than 17 points in any home game but those games have come against the likes of Minnesota, KC and Miami. The Chargers continue to be banged up on offense and defense as they are still without their best offensive lineman and best defensive player. The value leans towards SD so I will lean that way against a below average GB defense. GREEN BAY 27 SAN DIEGO 24

PITTSBURGH –3 Baltimore 41.5

I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor Pittsburgh by 2 points and predict about 42 points. This has been a great series and if you take out the first game played between these two here last year (Roethlisberger was suspended), Pitt has now won five straight between these two here in Pittsburgh. Two of those wins were playoff wins and of the other three wins, two of those wins were by scores of 23-20. Baltimore has scored at least 29 points in five of their seven games this year but have struggled on the road against good defenses, being held to just 13 points at Tennessee and 7 points at Jacksonville a few weeks ago. The defense has played extremely well, having allowed more than 17 points just twice, with one of those games being last week but that was more of short fields and punt returns than the defense playing poorly. Pittsburgh has won four in a row but they haven’t played a lot of great defenses this year. When they have, Pittsburgh has totaled 7 points at Baltimore, 10 points at Houston and 17 at home against Jacksonville. This game should be a great game to watch and I will call for a three point game and let the line decide which way I lean. PITTSBURGH 23 BALTIMORE 20

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Mike Francesa -

Yr (14-8) LW (1-2)
NYJ
Pit
KC

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DCI NFL

Season
Straight Up: 77-33 (.700)
ATS: 59-50 (.541)
ATS Vary Units: 322-242 (.571)
Over/Under: 58-54 (.518)
Over/Under Vary Units: 169-147 (.535)

Sunday, November 6, 2011
N.Y. Jets 23, BUFFALO 22
DALLAS 29, Seattle 16
Atlanta 32, INDIANAPOLIS 18
KANSAS CITY 26, Miami 12
San Francisco 26, WASHINGTON 12
HOUSTON 24, Cleveland 12
NEW ORLEANS 26, Tampa Bay 23
OAKLAND 31, Denver 22
Cincinnati 21, TENNESSEE 19
NEW ENGLAND 34, N.Y. Giants 20
ARIZONA 21, St. Louis 20
Green Bay 29, SAN DIEGO 22
PITTSBURGH 22, Baltimore 17

Monday, November 7, 2011
Chicago vs. PHILADELPHIA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

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Today's NFL Picks

Baltimore at Pittsburgh

The Steelers look to build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games as a favorite. Pittsburgh is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Steelers favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 6
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (11/2)

Game 405-406: Atlanta at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 135.222; Indianapolis 121.771
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 13 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 7; 45
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-7); Under

Game 407-408: Tampa Bay at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 128.865; New Orleans 140.290
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 11 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 8; 50
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-8); Over

Game 409-410: Cleveland at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 127.199; Houston 136.126
Dunkel Line: Houston by 9; 38
Vegas Line: Houston by 11; 41
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+11); Under

Game 411-412: NY Jets at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 135.337; Buffalo 137.524
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 2; 48
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1; 44
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1); Over

Game 413-414: Miami at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 124.618; Kansas City 132.51
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 8; 38
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 4 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-4 1/2); Under

Game 415-416: San Francisco at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 136.328; Washington 129.263
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 7; 43
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 3; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-3); Over

Game 417-418: Seattle at Dallas (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 124.075; Dallas 138.686
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 14 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Dallas by 11 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-11 1/2); Under

Game 419-420: Denver at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 125.607; Oakland 132.120
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 6 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Oakland by 9; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+9); Over

Game 421-422: Cincinnati at Tennessee (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 130.348; Tennessee 130.191
Dunkel Line: Even; 46
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3); Over

Game 423-424: St. Louis at Arizona (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 117.945; Arizona 126.660
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 8 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 425-426: NY Giants at New England (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 128.575; New England 143.258
Dunkel Line: New England by 14 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: New England by 8 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: New England (-8 1/2); Over

Game 427-428: Green Bay at San Diego (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 140.845; San Diego 134.478
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 6 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 5; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-5); Under

Game 429-430: Baltimore at Pittsburgh (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 135.568; Pittsburgh 140.963
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3); Over


MONDAY, NOVEMBER 7
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (11/2)

Game 431-432: Chicago at Philadelphia (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 134.620; Philadelphia 138.965
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 4 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 9; 47
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+9); Under

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Bookie Battle
Record
24-15-1

58 Bookie Pks (top 4)

Cin Bengals (46)

KC Chiefs (42)

At Falcons (36)

Phil Eagles (42)

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Expert Picks (Consensus pks)
Record
31 -28 -3

Cowboys

Texans

Falcons

Bengals

Phil Eagles

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Gold Sheet
Record
12 -12 -1

Key Releases
N ORLEANS by 18 over T Bay
PITTS by 14 over Balt
OVER N.Y. Jets-Buffalo

Gold Sheet - CKO
Record
14 -12

10* NEW YORK JETS

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Mark Myer - Gaming Today
Record
23 -13 -1

Cowboys
Chargers
Dolphins
Saints

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NELLYS
Record
1=6-3
2=3-6
3=6-3
4=5-2
5=3-4-2

Key Selections

RATING 5 NEW ENGLAND (-9)
RATING 4 CINCINNATI (+3)
RATING 3 ATLANTA (-7)
RATING 2 NEW ORLEANS (-8)
RATING 1 BALTIMORE (+3½)

Add: Miami Dolphins

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Platinum Sheet - Stat Fox
Record
BB - 18 - 20 -2

Best Bets
Atlanta Falcons
Dallas Cowboys
NY Giants
Green Bay Packers
Philadelphia Eagles

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Marc Lawrence - Playbook
Record
AA=0-2
3*=4-3
4*=3-5
5*=4-2

3* BB Miami Dolphins

4* BB Denver Broncos

5* BB Cinncinati Bengals

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Pointwise
Record
2=6-5
3=9-5
4=5-4
5=7-7-1

KEY RELEASES
NEW ORLEANS RATING: 2
CINCINNATI RATING: 3
MIAMI RATING: 4
GREEN BAY RATING: 5
PHILADELPHIA RATING: 5

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Powerplay
Record
1*=0-2-1
2*=10-0
3*=14-7
4*=2-7

3* FALCONS 29 COLTS 11
3* SAINTS 29 BUCS 16
3.5* TEXANS 28 BROWNS 11
1* BILLS/JETS: UNDER
1* 49ERS 22 REDSKINS 10
1* 49ERS/REDSKINS: UNDER
3* BENGALS (+) 23 TITANS 20
4* PATRIOTS 32 GIANTS 20

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Powersweep
Record
2*=8-4
3*=5-3
4*=4-4

4* NEW ORLEANS
3* HOUSTON
2* SAN DIEGO

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Sports Reporter
Record
B.B - 10 - 11 -1
REC - 6 -6

Best Bet
SAN FRANCISCO
NEW ENGLAND

Recomended
CINCINNATI

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Winning Points
Record
BB=5-9-1
Pref=9-5

Best Bets
NY Jets
Oakland Raiders

Preferred
New Orleans Saints
NY Giants

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Defeat Your Bookie

Mat Earlson
Teasers of 6 pts

6* Seattle +18 & Kansas City +2

6* Seattle +18 & Patriots -3

6* Seattle +18 & NY Jets +7

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Sports Betting Star (SBS)

11/6/2011
GREEN BAY PACKERS* -6* (Take the spread)


11/6/2011
San Francisco 49ers* -3.5* (Take the Money Line)

NOTE:* For the Packers game take the spread at -6. For the San Francisco 49ers the system calls for us to take the money line however for you riskier gamblers you can buy down just one point and take the line down to -2.5 so all the 49ers will have to do is win by a field goal for you to win your bet. I see no reason why the 49ers won't cover the field goal if you want to take the risk and just buy 1 point, that decision is at your own risk, I personally bought it down to -2.5 and did not take the money line for this game but that is at my own risk.

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Doc Sports

4 Unit Play. #106 Take Buffalo Bills -1.5 over New York Jets (Sunday 1 p.m. CBS)
Buffalo by 8

5 Unit Play. #120 Take Oakland Raiders -8 over Denver Broncos (Sunday 4:05 p.m. CBS)
Oakland by 16

4 Unit Play. #125 Take New York Giants +9 over New England Patriots (Sunday 4:15 p.m. Fox)
New England by 3

3 Unit Play. #132 Take Philadelphia Eagles -8 over Chicago Bears (Monday 8:40 p.m. ESPN)
Philadelphia by 14

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Indian Cowboy

5* OVER 44.5 - Seattle / Dallas

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The Busted Bookie

Randy Denton

5* New York Jets +1
5* Atlanta Falcons -7

Allen Reese

5* San Diego Chargers +6
5* New York Giants +9
5* Tampa Bay Bucs +9

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Vegas Sports Informer

4 Unit Play. #412 Take Over 44 New York Jets at Buffalo (1:00p.m., Sunday, Nov 6)

6 Unit Play. #425 Take Over 51 New York Giants at New England (4:15p.m., Sunday, Nov 6)
(NFL Total Play of the Year)

3 Unit Play. #430 Take Pittsburgh -3 over Baltimore (8:25p.m., Sunday, Nov 6 NBC)

3 Unit Play. #431 Take Chicago +8 over Philadelphia (8:35p.m., Monday, Nov 7 ESPN)

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Strike Points Sports

5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 44 New York at Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 6)
NFL Total of the Week

3-Unit Play. Take #431 Chicago (+8) over Philadelphia (8:30 p.m., Monday, Nov. 7)

3-Unit Play. Take #414 Kansas City (-4) over Miami (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 6)

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Jason Sharpe

***NFL November Game of the Month***

6 Unit Play Take #428 San Diego +5.5 over Green Bay (4:15pm est)

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Robert Ferrringo

2-Unit Play. Take #411 N.Y. Jets (+2) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 6)

2-Unit Play. Take #417 Seattle (+12) over Dallas (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 6)

2-Unit Play. Take #409 Cleveland (+11) over Houston (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 6)

2-Unit Play. Take #422 Tennessee (-3) over Cincinnati (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 6)


2-Unit Play. Take #423 St. Louis (+2) over Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 6)

1-Unit Play. Take #430 Pittsburgh (-3) over Baltimore (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 6)

This Week's Totals:
3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 42.0 Cincinnati at Tennessee (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 6)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 40.0 Miami at Kansas City (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 6)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 44.0 Seattle at Dallas (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 6)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 44.0 N.Y. Jets at Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 6)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 44.0 Atlanta at Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 6)

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #420 Oakland (-1) over Denver (4 p.m.) AND Take #48 New Orleans (-1) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #413 Miami (+11) over Kansas City (1 p.m.) AND Take 'Under' 49.0 Baltimore at Pittsburgh (8:30 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #426 New England (-2) over N.Y. Giants (4 p.m.) AND Take #411 N.Y. Jets (+9) over Buffalo (1 p.m.)

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WUNDERDOG
1 OF 8
Game: Atlanta at Indianapolis (Sunday 11/06 1:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: Indianapolis +7.5 (-115)

There are now just a pair of teams left that have failed to win a game on the season, and leading the way are the 0-8 Colts. After losing 62-7 a couple of weeks ago, this is the ugliest of the teams this season, especially for the sportsbooks. Despite hanging big numbers on them, Indy continues to lose by a ton each week (they are 2-6 ATS). As a result, you can expect the numbers to remain inflated. The Colts have a chance here because they are facing a team in Atlanta that has surrendered over 5 yards per carry in their last two games. If Indianapolis can get something going on the ground, Curtis Painter has a chance to have an adequate game. If the Colts are in it, Mathis and Freeney become viable on defense. Atlanta is in a good letdown situation here. They are off an emotional upset win over a very good Detroit team and they have New Orleans on deck. The Falcons can't be too excited for this one. Atlanta also plays measurably worse on the road, where they are 1-3 ATS on the
season. I'm not going to sit here and try to make the Colts look good, they are not. What I can do is take a snapshot of history that shows teams like Indy are completely undervalued because no one wants them. Winless teams from Week 9 on in the NFL are a 74% bet ATS and it doesn't get any better than that! So, we'll swallow hard and back the Colts this week.

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Week 9 NFL Trends & Angles
We have now reached Week 9 of the NFL season, and this week features one of the wackiest lines we have seen all season.
The whole world watched the Kansas City Chiefs upset the San Diego Chargers Monday night (that was actually a case of San Diego fumbling the game away, but we digress), putting the Chiefs in a first place tie in the AFC West. Meanwhile, the Miami Dolphins are one of two winless teams in the NFL at 0-7 after blowing a second half lead to the New York Giants.
Now, Kansas City is home vs. Miami this week. The Chiefs are riding a four-game winning streak since an 0-3 start, they beat up on bad teams at home all year last season en route to winning the division, and their only home loss this season came opening week vs. what has turned out to be a good Buffalo team.
And the current line in this contest is Kansas City -4! What the…? Are the oddsmakers giving bettors an early Christmas gift or are they laying a bear-sized trap?
Well…

Play on any single-digit road underdog following a road loss (122-79-5, 60.7% ATS since 2002): This angle makes sense from a contrarian viewpoint because it combines two situations that bettors like to avoid, with one being betting on losing teams and another being teams on road trips. The fact that the team is now a dog usually means that it is inferior, so books are able to pad these lines a bit, and let's face it, finding something that is over 60 percent in 201 decisions in almost 10 years is remarkable. This angle has one play this week, and if you do not know who it is, you are not paying attention. (Miami +4)

Play against any favorite that just defeated a good team and is now facing a bad team (37-24-1, 60.7% ATS since 2002): For the purposes of our Trends & Angles, a good team is defined as a team that has won at least 12 of its previous 18 games while a bad team is defined as a team that has won no more than six of its previous 18 games. This angle is like the very definition of the Letdown Theory, as teams that just put a lot of energy into beating good teams often take a breather when they are favored over a bad team the following week. This angle has turned up three times this season and it is 3-0 ATS. There is one qualifier this week, and surprise, it is Miami +4 at Kansas City.

Play on any road underdog coming off of six or more consecutive straight up losses (78-52-1, 60.0% ATS since 1985): We went all the way back to 1985 to make this sample size as meaningful as possible, and the results are quite good. These are teams that most squares would never bet their hard earned money on but that sharps love, as they are almost always getting added line value. Do we really need to tell you who the only qualifier is this week? (Miami +4)

Play on any team that lost its last game by 20 or more points at home (101-75-2, 57.4% ATS since 2002): Professional teams do not like to get embarrassed, especially at home, and they usually come back strong in their next game. This angle won again in Week 8 with Tennessee covering vs. the Colts after getting blown out at home by Houston the prior week. There are three qualifying plays this week (and no, none of them involve Miami), but unfortunately, two of them are against each other with Denver facing Oakland. That still leaves one play though, the Seattle Seahawks +11½.

Play on any underdog that lost its last game by 28 or more points (77-51-2, 60.2% ATS since 2002): This angle combines the concepts of teams not liking to get embarrassed and bettors not wanting to bet on those teams immediately after those said embarrassments. There is one qualifying play for Week 9, the Denver Broncos +9.

Play on any road favorite coming off of a bye week (35-13-2, 72.9% ATS since 2002): You usually have to be a very good team to be a road favorite, and having an added week of preparation time has made the road chalk great investments over the years. This angle is only 2-2 in 2011, but it gets two chances to bounce back this week with Atlanta -7 at Indianapolis and Green Bay -5½ at San Diego.

Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (75-47-2, 61.5% ATS since 2008): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, bookmakers started to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on the results of the last three years, they may have over-adjusted the lines especially in this specific case of conference games where the visiting teams are fairly familiar with their next opponents. There are four big qualifiers for this angle this week: Cincinnati +3, Cleveland +10½, Chicago +9 (Monday) and our Trends & Angles Play of the Week, Miami +4

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Chris Bergman, 25-15 season and 2-3 last week

Buff 27 jets 24
SF 19 wash 9
Concur 20 tenn 17
Balt 23 Pitt 23
SD 30 GB 28

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David Chan aka "The Dragon"

8* SEA/DAL un 43.5
8* TB/NO un 51
8* NYJ/ BUF un 44
10* BAL/PIT un 42 "no limit total"
10* NYG/NE un 52.5
8* Tampa +9.5
10* Teaser (7-Saints, 7-Broncos)
10* Chargers "Big Tiger"

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Steve Janus

7* Seahawks / Cowboys Over 44

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Prediction Machine NFL

St. Louis -2 61.7%
KC -4 61.2%
San Diego +5.5 60.4%
Buffalo -1.5 59.9%
Cincy +3 59.6%
SF -3.5 59.6%
Houston -11 58.7%
Denver +8 58.3%


New England -9 56.7%
Atlanta -7 56.1%
Seattle +12 54.2%
Baltimore +3 54.1%
Tampa Bay +8 51.6%


under 43 Dallas 59.3%
over 45 Indy 58.1%

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Cappers Access
Bills -2
49er's -4
Cardinals -3
Steelers -3-

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mike hook gom

san diego + 6

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IGSports Picks

3 Star Pick - NFL Washington Redskins +4 (-110)

3 Star Pick - NFL Indianapolis Colts +7 (-110)

3 Star Pick - NFL San Diego Chargers +6 (-110)

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Steve Janus

5* AFC GAME OF THE MONTH Houston Texans -10.5

4* NFL WINNER: Packers -5.5

5* SNF ATS ABSOLUTE SMASH Steelers -3

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Kevin Thomas (ksp)

40* NY Jets +1

20* UNDER 40.5 - Miami / Kansas City

30* UNDER 41 - Cleveland / Houston

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Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAY

HOUSTON -10.5 over Cleveland: Tough spot for cleveland here as they have to travel for the 3rd time in the last 4 weeks and take on a Houston team that is dominating on both sides of the ball this year. Houston is the on'y team in the NFL that is in the top 10 in total offense, rush offense pass offense, total defense, rush defense and pass defense and they also have one of the top special teams units as well. Cleveland does have the 5th overall ranked defense, allowing just 299 ypg and they are 2nd vs the pass, allowing just 172 ypg) but they have really only play vs one good QB (Hasselbeck) and they allowed 31 points and 220 yards pasing in that one. This will be by far the best offense they have faced all year, as the Texans come in ranked 7th overall (395 ypg) and 11th in passing (253 ypg), plus 8th in scoring (25.8 ppg). The key for them here will be a stromng running game (4th, 142 ypg), going up againast a weak Cleveland run defense that has allowed 127.3 ypg ( 26th) overall and 144.7 ypg on the road. That Houston running game will really help open some lanes for Schaub and that will make them all the harder to stop here. On the other side of the ball we find a Cleveland offense that is a mess. They will be again with out Hillis and Hardesty and McCoy just doesn't have enough other weapons to make up for their loss. Cleveland has no ground attack right now and teams have been able to tee off on MCoy and pressure him into mistakes. Cleveland is 19th in sacks allowed per game (2.4), while Houston is 13th in getting sacks gained (2.5 spg). The last 3 games have really been bad for Cleveland as they have put up just 11 ppg and 286 ypg, including 90 ypg on the ground. There is no way this Cleveland offense can put enough points on the board to keep this one close. Houston is playing very well right now and can not afford to look past anyone. Look for them to win this one by about 17 points. KEY TRENDS--- Cleveland is just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs the AFC, while Houston is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing 250 yards or less.

4 UNIT PLAY

Buffalo/ NY Jets Under 44: Boy I think this OU line is a few points to high. The Bills are off a shutout and the Jets defense seems to be rounding into form. The Jet's come in with the 29th ranked offense as they have put up just 300.1 ypg and they are 22nd in passing (207.7 ypg) and 28th in rushing (92.4 ypg). Sanchez has not fared well vs the Bills as he has thrown for just 128 ypg, with 3 TD's and 5 INT's in his career vs Buffalo. The Jets have put up 272 ypg on the ground the last 2 years vs Buffalo, but that won't happen here as their Ground game has been non-existent and they are playing behind an OL that has been mess this year, mostly due to injuries. The Bills defense is nothing special, but they did totally shut down a Washington offense that is better than this Jets offense. The Bills offense has been the surprise of the league this year as they come in ranked 10th overall and 13th in passing, but I don't expect Fitzpatrick to challenge this very good Jet scondary too much. Instead I expect them to use Fred jackson and this strong running game to pound the ball at this Jets defense that is 25th vs the run, allowing 127 ypg. The Jets are 14th in points allowed (21.7 ppg), while the Bills have allowed just 21 ppg (12th). I just see both defenses ruling the day in this one as these teams put up around 37 points here. KEY STAT--- The Last 5 years after a bye week NY Jet games have averaged just 32.2 ppg, including just 28 ppg in their two games off a Bye under Rex Ryan.

2 UNIT PLAY

Cincinnati/ Tennessee Over 41.5: The Titans rushing defense has str***led the last 3 weeks, aloowing 184 ypg and 5.5 ypc and now get to face a Cincy team that gets Cedric Benson back from suspension. That running game will help open some throwing lanes for Dalton and this improving Cincy pass offense. The Bengals have one of the best defenses in the league, but Hasselbeck and company should be able to move the ball on them. The Titan's run game has str***led this year, but their passing game is a solid 14th, putting up 240 ypg. The Bengals have averaged 30 ppg in their last 3, while Tennessee has given up 30 ppg in that same stretch. I do expect a str***ling Teneessee offense (19.9 ppg) to get their share of points as both teams hit the 20+ point mark.

1 UNIT PLAY

San Francisco / Washington Under 37.5: Rex Grossman isn't the answer and niether is Beck and I see this Skins team having problems scoring all year long. Last week they were shutout by a pretty bad Bills defense and they allowed 9 sacks in the game. Now they face a SF team that is 10th in total defense (329 ypg), 1st vs the run (74 ypg) and 1st in points allowed (15.3 ppg). I don't see much coming from this Skins offense. The niners are 31st in passing, but 6th in rsuhing and all that running will eat somre clock. The Giants are 19th in yards per play (5.2), while the Skins are 25th (5.0 ypp), so niether team has many big plays and they will have to work their way down the field with long time consuming drives. I look for around 31 points in this one

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Football Jesus free pick: Baltimore +3.5

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LuckyDaySports

Sunday’s Comp Plays

NFL
New England -9
Pittsburgh -3

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Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Pittsburgh -3 over Baltimore

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Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

Chicago Blackhawks -142 over Vancouver Canucks

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Bills -2.5

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Arthur Ralph Sports

748- 548 57 % Free Play Run over 3 YEARS

Free play Sun Denver + 8

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Falcon Sports

San Fran -3 (-1.30) 2 units
Giants +9 (-1.10) 2 units
Steelers (-1.70) 2 units

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SB Professor

Original NFL Picks
Sunday's NFL Picks:

1 PM EST
417. Seattle Seahawks +11*

8:20 PM EST
429. Baltimore Ravens +3.5*

Rest of Games
415.San Francisco 49ers -4
414. Kansas City Chiefs -4


Reloaded Picks
1 PM EST
412. Buffalo Bills -2.5*

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NC Power Sweep

4* New Orleans
3* Houston
2* San Diego

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Today's NHL Picks
Tampa Bay at Florida

The Lightning look to take advantage of a Florida team that is 2-8 in its last 10 games as a home favorite. Tampa Bay is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 6
Time Posted 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Dallas at Carolina (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.847; Carolina 11.580
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-120); Over

Game 53-54: Tampa Bay at Florida (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.167; Florida 10.930
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Under

Game 55-56: Winnipeg at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.198; NY Rangers 11.876
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-175); Under

Game 57-58: Vancouver at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.526; Chicago 11.480
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+130); Over

Game 59-60: Calgary at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.911; Colorado 11.198
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-125); Over

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THE SHEPPARD:

SF
KC

Under BALT
Under DENVER
Under ST LOUIS
Under KC
Under TENN

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Platinum Plays

Premier (Top)

SF
GB

500K (Medium)

Buff
Pitt

Regular

Atl
NO
Clev
KC
Tenn
Rams
NE
Pitt OVER

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Totals 4 U

Top Play

NYJ/Buff OVER

Regular Play

Clev/Hous UNDER
Mia/KC UNDER
SF/Wash UNDER
Seatt/Dall UNDER
Den/Oak UNDER
Cincy/Tenn UNDER
NYG/NE OVER
GB/SD UNDER
Balt/Pitt UNDER

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Jeff Benton
Sunday's Action
30 Dime Division Rivalay Lock on the Buffalo Bills as the home favlorite against the New York Jets. As I release this winner to you, Buffalo is a 2 1/2-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore



10 Dime bonus on San Francisco as the road favorite vercus Washington. As I release this winner to you, San Francisco is the 4-point favorite over the Skins both here in Vegas and offshore.

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Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...

My 100 Dime play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover against their AFC North rival Baltimore Ravens. Checkang the sports books in Las Vegas at 4 a.m., the Steelers are a between a 3 and 3 ½-point favorite. If the hook remlains, you will want to buy the half-point to bring it down to three. I also have a 40 Dime play on the over for the New York Giants-New England Patriots game. The numbcer in Las Vegas is set at 51.

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JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 42 bet. St.Louis and Arizona

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SPORTS WAGERS

BUFFALO –2 over N.Y. Jets

Everyone expects the Bills to come crashing down to earth but it just hasn’t happened and may not. Buffalo remains underrated while the Jets are still a public team that is perceived to be better than they are. The Jets are coming off back-to-back wins over Miami and San Diego and that’s fresh in the betting public’s mind. What’s not fresh is that both those games were hosted by the Jets and prior to that they dropped three straight, allowing 30 or more in each. Buffalo will host its first ‘true’ home game in three weeks, prior to embarking on a three-game road trip. The Jets really aren’t much at all. They have no running game, Mark Sanchez has been brutal on the road and Ralph Wilson Stadium gets tougher to play at every week the weather gets colder. The Bills made the Redskins look like amateurs last week. Buffalo’s offense is vastly superior and the Jets are 0-3 on the road while the Bills are 4-0 at home. The Bills have scored more and allowed less points than all teams in this division and let’s also not ignore that the Jets put two beatings on the Bills a year ago by scores of 38-14 and 38-7. What a difference a year makes and the Bills prove once again that they’re for real. Play: Buffalo –2 (Risking 2.18 units to win 2).

Miami +188 over KANSAS CITY

While the Dolphins remain winless and the Chiefs are on a four-game winning streak, there isn’t that much that separates these two. Kansas City’s three wins, prior to Monday night’s miracle, were against the Donovan McNabb led Vikings, the winless Colts and the quarterback-less Raiders. San Diego dominated the Chiefs on Monday but came up short after a myriad of gaffs. Play that game 100 times and San Diego wins 38-3 99 times; that’s how one-sided it was. Now the Chiefs are off that big Monday night win with one less day to prepare and with games against Denver, New England and Pittsburgh on deck. The Chiefs are the biggest 4-3 fraud in a long, long time. This marks the first time since opening day that Kansas City is favored, a game they were lambasted in by a 41-7 count. Miami is on the verge of a win. They probably should’ve won its last two after blowing a 15-0 lead against Denver and just missing against the Giants last week. Matt Moore is playing well and the Fish just keep missing. That all ends here for the Fish, as they’re the better team and they’re in a favorable spot too. Play: Miami +188 (Risking 2 units).

INDIANAPOLIS +7½ over Atlanta

You Colts fans are the luckiest folks on the planet! You got the first overall in ’98, and picked Peyton Manning over Ryan Leaf. Manning carries you for over a decade, gets you a championship and a quality product to watch on a weekly basis. Then, the year he finally misses a game, he misses the whole damn season, the team falls apart, and it just happens to be the year before the next Peyton Manning is available in the draft. That aside, this one actually sets up beautifully for the Colts. The Falcons are coming off a bye after that huge win in Detroit. Atlanta is in big danger of taking its eyes off the task at hand here. The infamous "trap game" is the buzz word surrounding Atlanta this week, as the Falcons look ahead to a visit from the rival Saints next week. Atlanta’s run game, a key component for them, suffered a significant blow with the loss of fullback Ovie Mughelli. Colts return home after three weeks away and a close look at their home games reveals three close losses. They were beaten by Pittsburgh by three and they also had a 17-0 lead over KC before a late collapse. This is another one that has all the danger flags of an upset. Play: Indianapolis +7½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

Chicago +8 over PHILADELPHIA

We should thank the Cowboys for this one. Think about it. What would this line have been prior to Philly’s Sunday night dismantling of the enigmatic Cowboys? Four? Maybe five? Now we’re being handed a slew of extra points with a rested Bears team that had won two-straight and appeared quite solid in doing so. Chicago’s Cover-2 defensive scheme and strong linebacking corps will not allow receivers to roam freely as they did against Dallas. Philadelphia’s defense has been susceptible to top-tier running backs and none is more versatile than Chicago’s Matt Forte. This is a huge overreaction to the “Dream Team” finally getting off the mattress and putting a whipping on somebody. Not that the Bears need any more motivation but this line is a big insult to them and you can be damn sure they’ll have a response. This is a ridiculous line based on one strong win by Philadelphia and an upset would not surprise one bit. Play: Chicago +8 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

The rest (with no wagers).

HOUSTON –10½ over Cleveland

The Texans are not the type of team to continually be spotting double-digits with but as long as the schedule keeps presenting opponents with limited scoring ability, we have no choice but to give the points away. Cleveland’s only victory since September was a 6-3 home win over Seattle. Play: Houston –10½ (No bets).

DALLAS –11½ over Seattle

The Cowboys continue to disappoint but this visitor is more their speed, as evidenced by Dallas’ last win, a 34-7 romp over the Rams. Don’t expect the Cowboys to take this one lightly as they were humiliated in front of national audience on Sunday night and Uncle Jerry is miffed. The Seachickens travel badly, they were smoked at home by Cincinnati, they can’t move five yards and Pete Carroll is clueless. Play: Dallas –11½ (No bets).

NEW ORLEANS –8 over Tampa Bay

No problem figuring out these Saints after they won a game 62-7 and then lost to the 0-6 Rams. Doh! Perhaps New Orleans had sights on avenging loss to Tampa Bay from first division clash, just three weeks ago. Tampa’s depleted secondary allows the tables to be turned here. Play: New Orleans –8 (No bets).

WASHINGTON +3½ over San Francisco

Okay, so Kyle Shanahan spent the summer pimping John Beck as the next big thing, and we rolled our eyes. Then Rex Grossman was named the starter and we rolled our eyes. And now we are eight games in and the Redskins are keen to the fact that they are in a “lesser of two evils” situation at quarterback. Either that or Kyle Shanahan himself is defective as an offensive coordinator. Or both. Probably both. However, this is the NFL and despite the Redskins wretched performance last week, funny things happen to teams when they are asked to spot road points for first time, despite any recent success. The small, enticing line also warns of danger of laying the points. Play: Washington +3½ (No bets).

St. Louis +2 over ARIZONA

Okay, so Kevin Kolb has turf toe. Gee, we hope he doesn’t start playing like crap now. We hope they don't have to replace him with someone that sucks. Actually Kolb is out for the Cardinals, putting John Skelton at QB and that’s a big issue, as John Skelton past performances were no better than Red Skeleton’s. How did Monday night schedulers let this one slip through? While both have terrible records, the Rams can provide better excuses having played four of its seven games against division leaders and it’s actually somewhat absurd to lay points with Cardinals. Play: St. Louis +2 (No bets).

Denver +7½ over OAKLAND

Are we over this Tebow thing now? Yeah, you can spot the Dolphins 15 and live to tell but coming back from down 30 to the Lions is like trying to push a camel through the eye of a needle. So, can we take down the billboards and just pretend none of this ever happened? If you really love Tebow, you will drop to your knees and pray that he is benched and spared the degradation of these weekly public humiliations and mockings. Apparently likeability and faith fall somewhere behind accuracy, footwork, the ability to read complex defenses, protecting the football and mechanics as it pertains to being a successful NFL QB. John Fox gave into public pressure but it’s hard to imagine hiom leaving Tebopw out there for any length of time. We’re guessing that Tebow isn’t in for entire game and with prohibitive points to play with and Oakland still without star RB Darren McFadden, we’ll lean Broncos. Play: Denver +7½ (No bets).

Cincinnati +3 over TENNESSEE

The Titans are terrible and should not be favored against any winning team. Even last week’s home win over the woeful Colts was due largely in part to a blocked field goal and a pair of long field goals. Cincinnati is no fluke and with better players on both sides of ball, they take this one. Play: Cincinnati +3 (No bets).

NEW ENGLAND +8½ over N.Y. Giants

The ‘other’ Manning is playing quite well as Eli appears to be in a groove with his Giants. However, that cannot mask New York’s vulnerable run-stopping inabilities and with the Patriots off a loss and Bill Belichick’s master planning, expect the Patriots to exploit said weakness. Play: New England –8½ (No bets).

SAN DIEGO +6½ over GREEN BAY

The Chargers can be agonizing to watch, or even worse, invest in but with the champs coming to town and the bitter taste of Monday’s fiasco fresh on the betting public’s palate, this one gets over adjusted. Green Bay’s defense has just enough holes in it to allow this contest to stay close. Chargers have all the talent in the world to beat anyone but lack all the intangibles. Still, the last time they were a dog a home was in 2003. Play: San Diego +6½ (No bets).

Baltimore +3½ over PITTSBURGH

We know the story. Steelers on a roll. Steelers embarrassed by earlier 35-7 whipping in Baltimore, Steelers undefeated at home. We get it. However, the Ravens are at their best when facing this hated rival and with Pittsburgh hurting in some key spots, have to take any points being offered. Far too many folks on Steelers and while it may appeal like they woke up big time with rather easy win over New England, this pressure defense of the Ravens is a whole different animal. Play: Baltimore +3½ (No bets).

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Jeff Allen

TB
Houston
Pitt

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday 11/6

4* Best Bet = ATLANTA
3* = DALLAS
2* = OAKLAND
2* = TAMPA BAY
2* = MIAMI

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Ace Ace - Alan Eastman
411: Pittsburgh
big: Kansas City, sfo/was Under,
med: San Francisco, Cincinnati, Green Bay, Burralo,

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bookiemonsters

win yesterday with Texas

31-12 run

Colts +9

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APPLE HANDICAPPERS
Tony LaDuke
4*NFL Game of Month Miami Dolphins+4

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Sports n profits

Atlanta Falcons -6 1/2 vs. Indianapolis Colts @ 1PM

Houston Texans -10 1/2 vs. Cleveland Browns @ 1PM

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills over 44 1/2 @ 1PM

New England Patriots -9 vs. New York Giants @ 415PM

San Diego Chargers +5 1/2 vs. Green Bay Packers @ 415PM

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stu feiner

Jets, ravens , San Diego

fade away

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Arthur Ralph Sports

Super Pick Pats - 8 1/2

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tom stryker

underdog shocker of year miami

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Al DeMarco

15 dime play on Green Bay as the road favorite against San Diego. As I release this selection at 9:30 PM Pacific on Saturday evening, the Packers are currently laying -5 1/2 to -6 points depending on which book I've checked here in Vegas and offshore. No need to buy any points in this contest, but at the same time don't delay thinking the public is going to jump on the Chargers and bring this price down. In fact, I think the late public money comes in on Green Bay instead so get down early.
Final projected score: Green Bay 34, San Diego 20


Anthony Redd
Sunday's Card
100 Dime selection on the Chargers as the home underdog against the Packers. As this play is released at 4:30 am Pacific, San Diego is currently getting 5 1/2 points here in Vegas and offshore.

25 Dime selection on UNDER in the Broncos-Raiders game. The total is currently sitting at between 42 1/2 here in Vegas and offshore.

25 Dime selection on the UNDER in the Packers-Chargers game. The total is currently sitting at between 50 1/2 and 51 here in Vegas and offshore.

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Bob Valentino
60 DIME NFL release on the Bills minus the points over the NY Jets as these teams battle it out at Ralph Wilson Stadium this afternoon. At the time I publish this selection at just after 8 am Eastern on Sunday, the consensus odds have the Bills as a 2 1/2 point favorite both in Las Vegas and overseas.


Chuck O'Brien
My 60 Dime Winner is going to be on the Pittsburgh Steelers, covering tonight's AFC North showdown against the Baltimore Ravens in an 8:25 p.m. kickoff. As I go live with this selection at 12:30 a.m. pacific, the line I am seeing with this play is the Steelers -3, -120 at a majority of the places everywhere in Las Vegas and at Offshore sports books. Though it's going to force you to lay $1.30, I want you buying a half point off the point spread and laying only -2' points with the Steelers.



Craig Davis
100 Dime Play on the DENVER BRONCOS as the road underdog against the Oakland Raiders. As I release this selection at 11:30 PM Eastern on Saturday night, the Broncos are between a +7 and +7 1/2 point underdog in books offshore and in Vegas. Absolutely buy the 1/2 point UP on Denver if your price is +7 (or even +6 1/2). If you already have the Broncos at +7 1/2, there's no need to buy the hook.


100-DIME --- DENVER BRONCOS (ABSOLUTELY BUY THE 1/2 POINT AT +7 OR EVEN +6 1/2. AT +7 1/2 OR HIGHER YOU DO NOTHING) --- I know, I must be crazy for touting the lowly Broncos, on the road no less, against an Oakland team that has owned them as of late.

One-and-only play of the day on the Denver Broncos plus the number.


Derek Mancini
30 Dime play on the Tennessee Titans against the Cincinnati Bengals. As I release this selection at 9 am Eastern, the line is all over the place with the Titans currently listed at anywhere from a 1' to 3 point chalk. Buy the 1/2 point insurance on the Titans only at -3, but make sure to shop around for the best price before you do that.

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Matt Rivers
Your winner is: 500,000♦ Absolute Blowout Game of My Carter is the Dallas Cowboys as the home favorite against the visiting Seattle Seahawks. As I type my analysis, the Cowboys are an 11-point favorite over the Seahawks.

Bomb time baby...Cowboys roll!



Steven Budin CEO
The Baltimore crew has its 50 Dime play on the New York Giants as the road underdog at Foxboro against New England. As I release this selection at 10:45 PM Eastern on Saturday night, I see New York is a solid +9 point pup everywhere I’ve checked in sports books in Vegas and offshore.


Trace Adams
For Sunday in the NFL, 1500♦ Sunday Winner # 4 in a Row will be the Houston Texans as the home favorite against the Cleveland Browns. At the time I release this selection on Saturday night, Houston is -10 1/2-point favorites over Cleveland. Bonus 500♦ Best Bet on Pittsburgh as the home chalk over the visiting Baltimore Ravens. At the time I release this selection, the Steelers are a 3 1/2-point favorite over the Ravens.

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Arlon Sports
All picks are based on our 3 star ranking, 3 stars being the highest.

NFL
2* Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans. Play Tennessee.
2* Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers. Play Pittsburgh.
1* Atlanta Falcons @ Indianapolis Colts. Play Atlanta.

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Joey Cassano

Miami +4
Indy +7
Raiders -9

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SharpSides Investing
free play

Bills -2

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SquaresWanted Sharp - Xavier Singleton
Sports Picks, Sunday November 6, 2011

Game of the Year
Green Bay Packers vs San Diego Chargers 4pm
10-Units Chargers +5.5 @EasyStreetSports

The Packers are a great team, but they are not one of the best teams ever. I know they one they Super Bowl last year but don't forget the Packers were the 6 seed coming out of the NFC. This isn't a team that has established themselves as one of the greatest, they certainly do not deserve to be a 6 point favorite versus the Chargers on the Road! The Packers have actually been outgained in 4 of their 7 games this year! You absolutely can move the ball against this team. The Packers give up the 4th most "explosive" passing plays in the league, meaning plays that go for more than 20 yards. They are one of the worst. The Packers are vulnerable to down the field attacks. Here is the difference in this game: Packers cornerbacks Woodson 6'1, Williams 5'11, Shields 5'11. I could continue through the 3rd string and you will only find 1 corner on this entire team bigger than 6'. Vincent Jackson 6'5, Antonio Gates 6'4. And that doesn't include Malcolm Floyd 6'5 who is doubtful for this team. I like Woodson as a corner a lot, but it's not going to be easier for him against Jackson today. Philip Rivers is going to attack and challenge this Green Bay defense. I know the Chargers haven't looked great yet, but the Chargers were on a awful 3 consecutive road games. Any team will struggle with that. Saints went 1-2 ATS on their 3 game road trip, Jets went 0-3, and Colts went 0-3 also. It was a poor schedule for the Chargers, but teams are perfect in their first home game coming off that 3 game road trip. Chargers haven't been a home underdog since 2003, and quite frankly, they shouldn't be today.

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Vegas Vic/ Philly daily news

Cowboys-Best Bet (4-4)

Best to worst:
Bears
Giants
Chargers
Steelers
Buccaneers
Jets
Colts
Browns
Dolphins
Redskins
Raiders
Titans
Cardinals
57-53 .518 pct

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Mike Lineback

4* Titans

4* Jets

4* Teaser Saints -2.5 / Eagles -2

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Gregory MC Revor
NHL
Puck line

50* Dallas +1.5

50* Vancouver +1.5

*I know is a big juice but all winners 3 days in a row 8 - 0

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Jim Feist

Steelers -3 - really big
49ers -4 - big
Bills - big

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Maxlock Week 9: 4 Sunday Plays


Miami +4 (-110) over Kansas City
7.7 to win 7.0


NY Jets +1.5 (-110) over Buffalo
7.70 to win 7.0


St. Louis Rams +3.5 (-110) over Arizona
7.70 to win 7.0


2 team 6 point teaser:
New Orleans -2 & New York Jets +7.5
7.70 to win 7.0

.

Maxlock



Riggs


NFL Plays for Week #9
Play#1 - New Orleans -2, New York Jets +7.5 (2-team teaser) (-110) 7.70 units to win 7.00



Play#2 - New York Jets ML (+105) 7.00 units to win 7.35



Play#3 - San Diego Chargers +6 (-120) 8.40 units to win 7.00



Play#4 - Miami Dolphins +4 (-110) 7.70 units to win 7.00



Play#5 - Washington Redskins +3.5 (-110) 7.70 units to win 7.00



Play#6 - Baltimore @ Pittsburgh under 41.5 (-110) 5.50 units to win 5.00



Play#7 - St. Louis Rams +4??? (-110) 5.50 units to win 5.00 ***If the Line is +3.5 or better it’s a play***

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VAMBO SUNDAY

early plays

the afternoon plays will be posted tomorrow.

Indy (I would play +7 because you will need all you can get here) SHit I hate this pick

New Orleans under

Cleveland (1/2 Unit)

Buffalo Moneyline(won't cost much more -137 at Pinnacle)

Miami (1/2 Unit)

Miami over (1/2 Unit)

Wash (1/2 Unit)

Wash under

Seattle

Seattle over


The dogs have been covering on the early games the last few weeks and if you bet the team with the worst won loss record in each game has been winning also.

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Free Silver Key Pick for Sunday NFL Football

Baltimore +3.5 over PITTSBURGH

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Underground Sports Connection

Saints (-)
Jets (+)
Patriots (-)
Chargers (+)
Ravens (+)

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kelso

100 s.f
75 houston

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Northcoast

3.5 Houst -
3 Dallas -
3 New Orl -

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BOXSLAYER
Night Game by 5pm.
3* New England Patriots -9 -110
2* Tampa Bay Bucs +8.5 -110
0.5* Tampa Bay Bucs ML +395
1.5* Green Bay Packers -5.5 -110
1* NY Jets +3 -130
1* Cleveland Browns +11 -125
1* Cin/Tenn Under 41.5 -110

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The Boss

1000% godfather overDallas
500% untouchable San Fran
300% bookie buster parlay overdallas san Fran Houston
200% dog pound giants
100% silent assassins new Orleans buffalo overgiants

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper Nation

Andrea Vincent

5* Canucks o5.5

5* 49'ers -4 -110

5* Cowboys o45 -110

[Mr. IWS]

North Coast Marquee ( Sunday Night Game)

Pittsburg Steelers

[Mr. IWS]

Budin Nfl



Giants

[Mr. IWS]

BIGFELLA SPORTS -SPITTIN WINNERS

4units *FAT POCKETS* TENNESSEE TITANS -2

[Mr. IWS]

Ic
big dal over 44
normal nyr over
comp colts 6.5

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN MANUEL
ST. LOUIS RAMS +3 100 DIMES
ST. LOUIS RAMS ML 100 DIMES
NYG +9.5 100 DIMES
NYG +15.5, ST. LOUIS RAMS +9 100 DIME TEASER

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Football Play of the Day November 06, 2011 7:06 AM by GT Staff

Pro Football

Miami Dolphins +4 at Kansas City Chiefs (40½)

Miami is still winless but continues to play hard for probable lame duck head coach Tony Sparano. Chiefs have won four straight, but were fortunate to beat San Diego and come off short week.

DOLPHINS +4

[Mr. IWS]

Best weekend wagers with the Weekend Warrior November 06, 2011 7:01 AM by GT Staff

Pro Football

Miami Dolphins +4

Dallas Cowboys -11

San Diego Chargers +5½

[Mr. IWS]

Sharp Move

#51 - Carolina Hurricanes ML -110

[Mr. IWS]

GamingToday’s Consensus Picks November 06, 2011 6:50 AM by GT Staff

Pro Football

Indianapolis Colts +7

Buffalo Bills -1½

Washington Redskins +3 ½

Dallas Cowboys -13

New England Patriots -7½

San Diego Chargers On The Money Line**

[Mr. IWS]

IC

4-Unit Play. #56. Take Over 5.5 Goals Winnipeg vs. NY Rangers (Sunday @ 7pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

LEGIT PICKS
Sunday 11/6/11 Plays...

6* JETS (BUY 1/2 POINT)
1* CHARGERS

[Mr. IWS]

game day pulse
seattle

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Essler

3* Browns
3* Bengals +3
2* Chargers +6
2* Bills ML -125

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits

NFL

Colts +7.5 -120
Falcons/Colts UNDER 45.5-110
Bills -2.5 -115
Bengals +3 -125

[Mr. IWS]

NHL PREDICTIONS

1* NHL* Dallas Stars @ Carolina Hurricanes - UNDER 5.5 GOALS (-123)
(Note: I’m risking 1.23 units to win 1 unit)
I don’t have a full write up here today as I am getting ready for Sunday’s NFL games, but I will throw out some of the things I looked at for this pick. Lehtonen vs Ward in net. Lehtonen has a 9-1 record, 2.16 GAA and .936 SV%. Ward is 5-3-2 with a 2.57 GAA and .920 SV%. The Stars are averaging just 2 goals per game on the road, while the Hurricanes are averaging 2.33 goals per game at home (2.50 on the season). The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the Stars last 4 road games, 3-1-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog, and 4-0 in their last 4 vs Eastern Conference opponents. The UNDER is 4-0 in the ‘Canes last 4 vs Western Conference opponents, 6-2 in their last 8 vs a team with a winning % of more than .600, and 11-1 in their last 12 home games vs a team with a winning road record. The UNDER is also 14-2 in the Stars last 16 after allowing 5 or more goals in their previous game, and the UNDER is 6-2 in the Hurricanes last 8 after allowing 5 or more goals in their previous game.

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas insiders

Wash
Giants over
Pitt

[Mr. IWS]

executive

400 tenn
300 ne

[Mr. IWS]

chuck luck
6u
cinncy

[Mr. IWS]

Underdog
ny giants

[Mr. IWS]

Sports bank
500 arizona under

[Mr. IWS]

BK SPORTS

3U-Chargers+6
3U-Titans-2
2UTease-Saints-2.5/Skins+11
2U-Over 41 Titans
2U-Bills-2bh
1U-Cowboys-11
1U-Texans-10bh

[Mr. IWS]

Millionaires club
lock
new england

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS UNLIMITED
7 TENNESSEE
5 arizona under
3 pittsburgh