11-27-11

[timbob]

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[timbob]

Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 40-24 +40.80%

3% CINCINNATI –7 No higher than -7
3% DENVER +6
3% CAROLINA/INDIANAPOLIS OVER 45 No higher than 47


ST LOUIS –2.5 Arizona 40

Arizona qualifies in a road underdog situation, which is 151-83-4. Numbers favor the Rams by two points and predict about 40 points. Kevin Kolb is likely to get the start in this game. Both teams have numerous injuries and are missing key personnel. Over the last four games the Rams have played well enough they would qualify in some fundamental rushing situations based on those last few games. With the injuries, both teams being bad enough they are tough to rely on and the situations going both ways depending on how far back we look, this is a good game for me to pass on. ST LOUIS 23 ARIZONA 20

NY JETS –9.5 Buffalo 42

I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor the Jets by just 5.5 points and predict about 41 points. Those numbers do not take into account the fact Buffalo will be without RB Fred Jackson, WR Donald Jones, CB Terrence McGee, and S George Wilson. The good news for the Bills is some of their rookies have played decent, which may help them in the future but has not helped them recently. I don’t want any part of the Bills. They are playing horribly right now. Buffalo was destroyed here last year in the last game of the season, 38-7, and they have been beaten badly at home by the Jets in the two games Chan Gailey has coached against the Jets. Prior to last year, Buffalo had been pretty competitive here in NY by winning three of the previous six games, with all three losses coming by four or less points. I’m not about to guess when the Bills will turn it back around this year, especially with so many injuries. The Jets aren’t playing well but they have matched up well against Gailey’s teams and are at home badly in need of a win as well. NY JETS 23 BUFFALO 17

CINCINNATI –7 Cleveland 37.5

Cincinnati qualifies in fundamental rushing situations, which are 191-101-13, 506-321-22 and 550-399-23. Numbers favor Cincinnati by 8.5 points and predict about 42 points. Cleveland has been pathetic this year on offense and not fared well when they have gone on the road and faced a good team. They lost at home earlier this year to Cincinnati by 10, lost at Oakland by seven, lost at SF by ten and lost at Houston by 18 points. The only game they have scored more than 17 points this year was at Indianapolis, who hasn’t won a game this year. Cincinnati can score points and other than their games against good defensive teams like San Francisco and Pittsburgh, they have scored at least 22 points in every game. Knowing Cleveland will struggle just to get to 17 points and Cincinnati is likely to score at least 23-24 points, Cincinnati stands an excellent chance, along with line value and solid situations in their favor. Lone concern here is Cincinnati is just 2-12 ATS as a home favorite their last 14 tries (1-1 this year). CINCINNATI 30 CLEVELAND 13

Houston –6.5 JACKSONVILLE 37

Houston nearly qualifies in a very strong fundamental rushing situation, which is 191-101-13. Jacksonville qualifies in my turnover table, which is 436-286-18. Numbers favor Houston by 8.5 points and predict about 37 points. Matt Leinart will get the start in place of Matt Schaub, who was placed on IR this week. Jacksonville has been good at home this year but they have suffered key defensive injuries the last few weeks and that may be catching up to them as they allowed an anemic Cleveland offense to move the ball on them. Houston will likely get WR Andre Johnson back this week to help counter some of the loss of Schaub. Houston has lost four straight games here in Jacksonville. Houston has played well on the road against poor competition this year, winning by 10 at Miami, by 34 at Tennessee and by 28 at Tampa Bay. Meanwhile, Jacksonville did upset Baltimore at home but the Ravens have not played well on the road this year. At home against good competition, they have lost by 13 to New Orleans and by 10 to Cincinnati. Obviously Leinart is the wild card here but Houston should be able to move the ball on the ground and their defense has been so good and should be able to shut down a very bad Jacksonville offense. HOUSTON 24 JACKSONVILLE 13

Carolina –3.5 INDIANAPOLIS 45

Indianapolis qualifies in a winless situation, which is 107-57-7 (just 3-7 this year playing on these same Colts many times) and a 26-6-1 situation that plays on winless teams coming off their bye week, which Indianapolis is doing this week. Numbers favor Carolina by just one point and predict about 47 points. Just about every week I’ve had situations that applied to the Colts and I’ve avoided playing on them because I’m not about to guess when they may get the cover. If there was ever a game they are going to cover and maybe win, this is the game. But, I’ll avoid them again because, again, I’m not about to guess when they get that cover and/or win. I do, however, like their chances to score in this game and that gives this game an excellent chance to go over the total. The Colts have not scored many points as of late. They have only totaled 27 points in their last four games combined. But, the fact they have scored just three and seven points the last two weeks actually sets them up in a situation that plays to the over. When teams fail to score more than seven points in back to back games, like the Colts have failed to do the last two games, they are 102-69-6 to the over. If the opponent allowed more than 20 points in their previous game, it is 43-22-2 to the over, including 24-10-1 over if our anemic offensive team is at home and 7-0-0 if the total is higher than 41. None of those numbers alone are strong to play this game over the total but the predicted number is 47 points so the number is fair. In addition, Carolina has allowed 28 points at Arizona, 34 at Chicago, 31 at Atlanta and 49 at Detroit so Indy has every chance in the world to score some points here. Indy’s offense is terrible but they still have some playmakers at the skill positions and they have played some very good defenses this year, which have helped to contribute to their futility. When they have played below average pass defenses, they have scored some points (17 at Tampa Bay, 24 at home against KC and 17 at Cincinnati). They’ve allowed at least 23 points in every game but their last game against the anemic offense of Jacksonville. CAROLINA 28 INDIANAPOLIS 27

TENNESSEE –3.5 Tampa Bay 43

Tampa Bay qualifies in a road situation, which is 151-83-4. Numbers, however, favor Tennessee by 8.5 points and predict about 44 points. TB is now 12-3 ATS in last 15 games as road dogs under Raheem Morris (not counting the neutral site games in London). TB has struggled as of late but they have played a brutal schedule against teams like GB, Houston, New Orleans twice, Chicago and San Francisco. Meanwhile, Tennessee has struggled against tough competition as well but played pretty well against inferior opponents like Carolina, Indianapolis and Cleveland, winning all of those games by at least 17 points. So, the situations and history point towards TB but the line value points towards Tennessee. This game could be a little higher scoring than “they” think. Pass for me. TENNESSEE 24 TAMPA BAY 21


ATLANTA –9.5 Minnesota 44

The Vikings qualify in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 164-87-8, including 6-1 this year but that situation is assuming Adrian Peterson is playing this week but Peterson is likely not going to suit up this week. Numbers favor Atlanta by 11 points (and those numbers assume Peterson plays) and predict about 40 points. The Vikings have really struggled on the road this year losing by seven at SD, by five at KC, by 29 at Chicago and by 38 at Green Bay. They haven’t scored more than 17 points in any of those games. Their lone win was at Carolina by three, 24-21. Meanwhile, Atlanta has taken care of business at home this year against poor teams, winning by 14 over Carolina and defeating Tennessee last week by six, although they led 23-3 before letting the Titans back in the game. The Vikings are really banged up. In addition to being without Peterson, they are likely to miss their rookie TE Kyle Rudolph as well as their safety Husain Abdullah. Atlanta will more than likely be without their best secondary player in Brent Grimes and also without Kelvin Hayden. If Atlanta was healthy and the situation didn’t exist for Minnesota, even though without Peterson it’s basically non-existent, I would consider looking at Atlanta. Instead, I will just lean their way. ATLANTA 27 MINNESOTA 14

OAKLAND –4 Chicago 41

Chicago qualifies in a letdown situation, which is 65-29-6 and plays against them here. Numbers favor Oakland by .5 point and predict about 44 points. Those numbers assume Cutler plays but Cutler is lost for the rest of the regular season most likely will return if the Bears can make the playoffs. Caleb Hanie starts for Cutler and it’s anybody’s guess how he will do. He certainly performed well in the NFC Championship game last year although he did throw two interceptions, including one costly one which was returned for a touchdown. Without Cutler, this number is probably closer to 3.5 or so but the Raiders are just too banged up for me to play them. They are missing most of their key receivers and Richard Seymour is also questionable. Lack of line value and too many injuries will keep me on the sideline. OAKLAND 24 CHICAGO 20

SEATTLE –3.5 Washington 37

Washington qualifies in my turnover table, which is 436-286-18. Seattle, if favored by four or more points would qualify in a letdown situation, which is 117-42-3, and plays against the Seahawks here. Numbers favor Seattle by five points and predict about 37 points. Washington gets back Santana Moss this week. Moss, along with Rex Grossman, who isn’t great but I believe gives the Redskins their best chance to win a game and a fairly healthy offensive line, finally got back on track last week with a competitive game at home against Dallas. The Redskins were competitive earlier in the year when they were healthy, losing by two at Dallas (a game we had) and winning by seven at St. Louis. Meanwhile, Seattle is known to be very tough at home, which they are, but their largest home win of the season has been by five points over Baltimore. They also defeated Arizona by three points and lost to the better teams they played – Atlanta and Cincinnati. Both teams offenses and defenses are similar and with the points and the situations in their favor, I will lean with Washington. SEATTLE 20 WASHINGTON 17

New England –3.5 PHILADELPHIA 49.5

Philadelphia qualifies in a home momentum underdog role, which is 48-17-1. Interesting the last time this system popped, we used it with Pittsburgh over New England a few weeks ago. The Eagles also qualify in a home underdog fundamental rushing situation, which is 73-27-3 and another fundamental rushing situation, which is 683-533-36 although they don’t qualify in the best part of that situation. Numbers favor Philadelphia by three points and predict about 50 points. Vick is unlikely to play and it looks like Vince Young will get the start at quarterback again this week. Young will probably have to do it without WR Jeremy Maclin. Both CB’s, Nnamdi Asomugha and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie are extremely questionable. While the line value, assuming most of these guys were healthy, and the situations favor the Eagles, simply too many question marks for me to play them in this game. NEW ENGLAND 27 PHILADELPHIA 24

SAN DIEGO –6 Denver 42

SD qualifies in my turnover table, which is 436-286-18 but Denver qualifies in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 550-399-23. Numbers favor SD by only two points and predict about 45 points. Tim Tebow is now 4-1 SU as a starter with the only loss at home to Detroit. But, along the way, he has defeated a couple of decent teams in Oakland and the Jets. Denver has only been blown out of two games this year and that was on the road at Green Bay and at home to Detroit. SD is not either one of those teams and has now lost five games in a row. The Chargers were 4-1 SU earlier this year but those wins came against bad teams, such as Miami, Minnesota, Kansas City and Denver without Tebow. Actually Tebow came into that game late and almost rallied Denver to a win. Denver is a much different team right now. Yes, if they fall behind early, it could spell trouble for them, but they are like the Princeton’s of college basketball. They limit the possessions with their run style type offense, which also gives the defense a break, and has subsequently improved their overall defensive numbers. The Chargers continue to be very banged up on the offensive line and on defense and Denver should be able to take advantage of the generous numbers being given in this game. DENVER 24 SAN DIEGO 23

Pittsburgh –10.5 KANSAS CITY 40.5

I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor Pittsburgh by just 6.5 points and predict about 39 points. Hard to say what we will get from KC and if Kyle Orton will show up if Tyler Palko looks bad. But, there is some value with KC in this game and Pittsburgh hasn’t won a road game by more than 12 points this year, including winning by just three points at Indianapolis. But, KC has lost four games by at least 28 points this year, including two at home, so it’s very hard to take them as well. PITTSBURGH 24 KANSAS CITY 13

[timbob]

Robert Ferrringo

3-Unit Play. Take #233 New England (-4) over Philadelphia (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 27)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #216 St. Louis (-3) over Arizona (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 27)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #221 Houston (-3.5) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 27)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #224 Indianapolis (+3) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 27)

1-Unit Play. Take #219 Cleveland (+7.5) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 27)

2.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #124 N.Y. Jets (-2) over Buffalo (1 p.m.) AND Take #237 Pittsburgh (-3) over Kansas City (8:30 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #228 Atlanta (-2.5) over Minnesota (1 p.m.) AND Take #237 Pittsburgh (-3) over Kansas City (8:30 p.m.)

This Week's Totals:
1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 42.5 Buffalo at N.Y. Jets (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 27)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 45.5 Carolina at Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 27)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 41.5 Chicago at Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 27)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 42.0 Denver at San Diego (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 27)

[timbob]

Doc Sports

4* Take New York Jets -8.5 over Buffalo Bills (Sunday 1 p.m. CBS)

5* Take Chicago Bears +4.5 over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 4:05 p.m. FOX)
NFL Game of the Year.

4* Take San Diego Chargers -6 over Denver Broncos (Sunday 4:15 p.m. CBS)

[timbob]

Winning Points
Prf = 13 -7
B:B = 7 - 12 -2

Preferred
Oakland Raiders
NY Jets

Best Bets
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Diego Chargers

[timbob]

Red Sheet

RATING: HOUSTON TEXANS 89

Sports Reporter
Rec = 8 - 8
B.B = 12 - 13 -1

Recomended
Carolina Panthers

Best Bets
Houston Texans
NY Jets

[timbob]

Powerplay
1*=4-2-1
2*=13-2
3*=18-9
3.5*=1-0
4*=5-9

4* JETS 27 BILLS 13
3* BENGALS 24 BROWNS 13
3.5* TEXANS 34 JAGUARS 11
3* FALCONS 28 VIKINGS 13
2* SEAHAWKS 19 REDSKINS 13

Powersweep
2*=9-6
3*=7-5
4*=6-5

4* Houston
2* SEATTLE

[timbob]

Pointwise
2=10-5
3=12-6
4=6-6
5=10-10-1

HOU Texans RATING: 2
CAR Panthers RATING: 3
DEN Broncos RATING: 4
TAMPA BAY RATING: 5
NEW YORK GIANTS RATING: 5

[timbob]

Marc Lawrence - Playbook
AA=0-3
3*=7-4
4*=5-6
5*=7-4

3* Indianapolis Colts
5* Philadelphia Eagles
4* Chicago Bears

[timbob]

Nellys
1=9-5
2=4-8
3=9-3
4=7-3
5=4-5-3

rating 5 tampa bay (+3)
rating 4 houston (-3½)
rating 3 cleveland (+7½)
rating 2 oakland (+1)
rating 1 denver (+6½)

[timbob]

Gold Sheet
17 - 16 -1

CINCINNATI BY 18
HOUSTON by 14
OVER Chicago-Oakland

Gold Sheet - CKO
10* 20 - 17

10* TAMPA BAY

[timbob]

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 27



Time Posted: 1:00 p.m. EST (11/23)


Game 215-216: Arizona at St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 126.762; St. Louis 124.145
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 3; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3); N/A


Game 217-218: Buffalo at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 131.763; NY Jets 133.714
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 2; 39
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 9; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+9); Under


Game 219-220: Cleveland at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 124.494; Cincinnati 137.464
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 13; 40
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 7; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-7); Over


Game 221-222: Houston at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 137.093; Jacksonville 131.959
Dunkel Line: Houston by 5; 41
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3); Over


Game 223-224: Carolina at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 122.722; Indianapolis 121.771
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 1; 41
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+3 1/2); Under


Game 225-226: Tampa Bay at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 129.860; Tennessee 130.568
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1; 39
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3 1/2); Under


Game 227-228: Minnesota at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 124.530; Atlanta 138.469
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 14; 48
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 9 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-9 1/2); Over


Game 229-230: Chicago at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 128.125; Oakland 134.309
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 6; 39
Vegas Line: Oakland by 4 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-4 1/2); Under


Game 231-232: Washington at Seattle (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 124.176; Seattle 126.599
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Seattle 4; 37
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4); Over


Game 233-234: New England at Philadelphia (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 142.340; Philadelphia 135.662
Dunkel Line: New England by 6 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: New England by 3; No Total
Dunkel Pick: New England (-3); N/A


Game 235-236: Denver at San Diego (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 127.699; San Diego 134.644
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 7; 38
Vegas Line: San Diego by 6; 42
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-6); Under


Game 237-238: Pittsburgh at Kansas City (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 137.963; Kansas City 126.060
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 12; 37
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10; 40

[timbob]

Indian Cowboy

6* K.C. Chiefs +10.5

[timbob]

POINTWISE PHONES:

4* Houst

3* Jets, Giants(Mon)

2* Seattle, Chic, under in Wash/Seattle

BEST OF LUCK

[timbob]

Mike Francesa - WFAN -NFL Now (17-13) LW (2-0) Record does not include Miami play from Thurs
NYJ
Seattle

[timbob]

Evan Roberts - WFAN - Yr (20-12) LW (2-1) Record does not include SF play on Thur
Carolina
Oakland

[timbob]

Colin Cowherd

Denver
Washington

[timbob]

Football Jesus


NFL
OVER 44 panthers/Colts
OVER 39 Chiefs/Steelers
UNDER 42 Bears/Raiders
last week there were spots in vegas dealing SAINTS for Monday -6.5 ? My numbers say this line should be -8
I took Saints-6-120 ... dont lay more than -7!!!!

[timbob]

David Chan aka The Dragon NFL 11/27/11

Bills @ Jets Pick: 8* un42.5
Tampa @ Tennessee Pick: 8* Tenn -3
Houston @ Jax Pick: 8* Jax +3.5
Minn @ Atl Pick: 10* un44
Carolina @ Indy Pick: 10* Indy +3.5
Bears @ Raiders Pick: 10* un41.5 "NO-LIMIT TOTAL"
Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ British Columbia Lions Pick: 10* ov50.5 "GREY CUP WINNER"
Pittsburgh @ KC Pick: 10* KC +11.5 "BANZAI BLOWOUT"

[timbob]

NFL Poolies Cheat Sheet: WEEK 12
By Colin Kelly


Green Bay (-6.5) at Detroit
WHY PACKERS COVER: Can anything negative be said about this team? They’ve won a whole season’s worth of games straight up – 16 in a row, including their run to the Super Bowl title. And they’ve been stout against the spread that entire time, going 12-4. The Lions are losers of seven in a row straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) on Thanksgiving Day, including two double-digit defeats to Green Bay.
WHY LIONS COVER: These aren’t the same Lions who annually get rolled by double digits while all of us pound turkey and stuffing. They’ve cashed 10 of their last 13 at home and six of seven as an underdog. Plus, they’re ridiculously resilient, coming from behind to win three times this year in games they’ve trailed by 17 or more points, including last week’s 49-35 home win over Carolina. This is a huge statement game for Detroit, and the team will be amped.
TOTAL (55.5): That is a lot of points, but chew on this while waiting for the bird to finish cooking: Green Bay averages a league-leading 35.5 points per game while Detroit is close behind in third at 30.1. The game is indoors, so weather won’t hinder the offenses.

Miami at Dallas (-7)
WHY DOLPHINS COVER: By their standards, they are on fire, winning and covering three in a row after opening season 0-7 SU (1-5-1 ATS), with all three wins by 10 or more points. Miami is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 as road pup and Dallas is a meager 3-11-1 ATS in its last 15 when laying points.
WHY COWBOYS COVER: They enjoy Thanksgiving spotlight, covering five in a row on Turkey Day (4-1 SU), and they’ve beaten the books in the last six Thursday contests. Dallas has also won its last three at home by double digits (2-1 ATS) and is 17-7 ATS last 24 in November.
TOTAL (44): Something’s got to give here. Miami has the under on a major run including 8-0-1 overall, 7-0 catching points and 20-6 on highway. Dallas, meanwhile, is on over streaks of 20-6 overall, 11-3 at home and 6-1 in November.

San Francisco at Baltimore (-3.5)
WHY 49ERS COVER: They’re the best in the NFL against the spread this season, having not lost a single contest against the number at 9-0-1 ATS. In fact, they’re on an eight-game SU and ATS firestorm heading into Baltimore for a clash of the Fabulous Coaching Harbaugh Brothers.
WHY RAVENS COVER: John Harbaugh’s troops get up for quality opponents and tend to play down to lesser opponents. They’ve beaten defending AFC champ Steelers twice this season SU and ATS, drubbed the Jets and Texans, and were up 17 in the fourth quarter last week against Cincinnati before settling for a push as 7-point favorites.
TOTAL (38.5): Two of the NFL’s best defenses are involved, with Niners allowing a league-low 14.5 ppg and Baltimore third at 17.6 ppg. Jim Harbaugh’s San Fran squad has held foes to 20 points or fewer in six straight outings. Oddly enough, despite Ravens’ solid defense, the over has hit in four straight.

Carolina (-3.5) at Indianapolis
WHY COLTS COVER: Boy, you know you’ve hit rock bottom when you’re catching 3.5 points at home against a 2-8 team. But this might be the breakthrough week for Indianapolis (0-10 SU, 2-8 ATS). Carolina on three-game SU and ATS slide and in 1-6 ATS rut on road. Indy 4-0 ATS last four off bye week.
WHY PANTHERS COVER: There’s a reason Cam Newton & Co. are laying 3.5 points – Indy is awful. Carolina has cashed six straight as road favorite (a role they haven’t been in since October 2009), and Colts on slew of pointspread purges, including 0-6 overall and 1-6 at home dome.
TOTAL (45.5): Total has gone high six of last seven with Panthers a road favorite, and over 8-3-1 Colts’ last dozen off a SU loss.

Buffalo at N.Y. Jets (-9)
WHY BILLS COVER: This is it for them. After starting out 4-1 SU, they’ve lost four of last five. If they harbor any playoff hopes, they need to not only cash, but win outright. And they’ve got further motivation, having been whipped at home by Jets 27-11 three weeks ago. Additionally, in this AFC East rivalry, the road team is on 7-1 ATS roll and the underdog has beaten the number in nine of last 12.
WHY JETS COVER: Rex Ryan’s squad is in a similar spot to Buffalo, desperately needing strong performance to reassert itself as playoff contender after back-to-back SU and ATS losses. The Jets have beaten Bills SU and ATS in each of the last four meetings.
TOTAL (41.5): Buffalo has the over on an 8-2-1 run overall, 6-0-1 getting points and 5-0-1 on road. New York has the over on a 20-8 string overall, 8-3 off SU loss and 8-3 inside division.

Cleveland at Cincinnati (-9)
WHY BROWNS COVER: Not much to say in favor of Cleveland, but road teams in this rivalry have covered in eight of the last nine. Cincy's in 3-13 ATS rut laying points at home.
WHY BENGALS COVER: Cleveland can’t score. The Browns have put up 17 or fewer points in eight straight games, including 14 or fewer in last five outings. Conversely, Cincy has scored 23 or more in six of its last seven starts. The Bengals are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 while the Browns are 0-7 ATS as underdogs.
TOTAL (37.5): Cleveland’s lackluster offense certainly points to the under, which is 5-1 in Browns’ last six. The under has also cashed in the last four Browns-Bengals affairs in Cincy. On flip side, Cincinnati is on 6-1 over surge.

Arizona at St. Louis (N/A)
WHY CARDINALS COVER: Boy, this is one of those games where you want to take your parents’ advice – if you can’t say something nice, don’t say anything at all. That said, in a meeting of lousy teams, Cards (3-1 ATS last four) are 6-2 ATS in their last eight against the Rams, who are on 2-9 ATS nosedive.
WHY RAMS COVER: Despite the record, they’ve been better lately behind resurgent RB Steven Jackson, who had three straight games of 128 or more yards before last week’s letdown against Seattle. The Cards are 1-7 ATS in their last eight NFC West outings.
TOTAL: St. Louis is averaging a league-worst 12 ppg, so looking low appears smart. The Cardinals have played under in six of seven and the last seven between the two clubs have ducked under the total.

Tampa Bay at Tennessee (-3.5)
WHY BUCCANEERS COVER: They're heartened by good showing at Green Bay last week, cashing as 14-point pup in 35-26 loss. This won't seem like as tough of a test. The Bucs are among best in league ATS on the road at 15-5-1 in their last 21 overall and 13-3 when catching points.
WHY TITANS COVER: They’ve cashed in three of four, including last week at Atlanta and Mike Munchak’s unit is on a 6-1 ATS stretch when coming off a SU loss.
TOTAL (43): The under has been the play in Tennessee’s last four games.

Houston (-3.5) at Jacksonville
WHY TEXANS COVER: Sure, they lost QB Matt Schaub, but they’ve got stud RB Arian Foster, who leads league’s second-best running attack (158.1 ypg). They should still be able to control the clock and sit fifth in the NFL at 27.3 ppg. Jacksonville's 31st at 12.5 ppg.
WHY JAGUARS COVER: The home team is 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS in the last four of this AFC South rivalry.
TOTAL (37.5): Jacksonville’s inability to score points, coupled with Houston’s desire to run ball makes under look good. The Jags sport under streaks of 5-0 overall, 5-0 against winning teams and 4-0 when getting points.

Minnesota at Atlanta (-9.5)
WHY VIKINGS COVER: Not much to say in Minnesota’s defense – or about Minnesota’s defense (27.1 ppg, 30th). What Vikes do have going for them is Atlanta's on pair of 2-5 ATS skids, as a favorite and coming off SU win.
WHY FALCONS COVER: Minnesota's defense has allowed 27 points or more in four of last five weeks, including 39 at Chicago and 33 and 45 in home and road losses to Green Bay. Minny may not have stud RB Adrian Peterson (ankle), which will allow Atlanta to put heat on Vikes rookie QB Christian Ponder. The Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last nine against losing teams.
TOTAL (44): The Falcons have the under on a 6-0 run overall, 5-0 off SU wins and 5-1-1 as home favorites.

Chicago at Oakland (-4.5)
WHY BEARS COVER: They are among hottest teams in league at moment, beating opponents and pointspreads in five straight. In four of those games, they’ve piled up 30 or more points - thanks in large part to RB Matt Forte (926 rushing yards, 465 receiving yards).
WHY RAIDERS COVER: Chicago won’t have QB Jay Cutler (thumb) for several weeks, meaning the inexperienced Caleb Hanie will start for the Bears. And despite Oakland likely missing RB Darren McFadden again, Michael Bush (115 ypg last four) is more than serviceable. The Raiders own the third best rushing attack in the league 156.8 ypg and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11.
TOTAL (41.5): Oakland has scored 24 or more points in seven of its last nine and Chicago has topped 24 in six of seven, including five games of 30 or more.

Washington at Seattle (-3.5)
WHY REDSKINS COVER: Well, they haven’t won a game since Week 4, so not much to say here. About all they can hope for is that Seahawks QB Tarvaris Jackson plays poorly, which is surely within Jackson’s capabilities.
WHY SEAHAWKS COVER: As much as we rag on Jackson in this space, there's no denying Seattle is actually 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight overall, 5-1 ATS in its last six at home and 12-4 in its last 16 when laying points at home.
TOTAL (37.5): A fairly low number here, but perhaps merited by fact that ‘Skins average just 16.0 ppg (27th) with the Seahawks only a tick better at 16.8 ppg (26th). Washington has played under in seven of its last nine and five of six on the road. However, the over is 8-2 in Seattle's last 10 at home and 15-6 in its last 21 overall.

Denver at San Diego (-6.5)
WHY BRONCOS COVER: Haven’t you heard? The miraculous Tim Tebow is the comeback king, helping Denver to a 4-1 SU and ATS mark since he's been under center. San Diego's in absolute tailspin, losing last five in a row SU and ATS.
WHY CHARGERS COVER: If Norv Turner wants to stay employed, the Bolts must win not only this week, but pretty much every game for the rest of season. Denver may be just the cure for Chargers, who have won eight of last 10 in this rivalry (7-1-2 ATS). The Broncos are 10-22-2 ATS in the last 34 matchups.
TOTAL (43.5): Broncos have played over at a 22-9 clip in the last 31 overall, 21-8 last 29 against the AFC West), while Chargers play under at a 8-1 record in the last nine at home, 8-0 with Bolts as home favorites.

New England (-3) at Philadelphia:
WHY PATRIOTS COVER: After a midseason stumble of two consecutive SU and ATS losses, the Pats posted SU and ATS routs of the Jets and Chiefs and now have legitimate shot at No. 1 seed in AFC. Bill Belichick’s troops have provided long-term ATS stability on road, going 47-23-3 ATS in their last 73. Philly is 1-7 ATS in its last eight at home.
WHY EAGLES COVER: Desperation can be great motivator, as Eagles proved last week against the Giants behind backup QB Vince Young. Philly can’t afford to lose any more games. Quarterback Michael Vick (ribs) is not certain to play, but Young got the job done last week.
TOTAL: The under has hit in four of five at home and six of eight overall for Philly. On the flip side, New England is on over runs of 21-8 overall and 10-4 on the highway.

Pittsburgh (-10.5) at Kansas City
WHY STEELERS COVER: That’s a big number for a road team at Arrowhead, but K.C. has been awful lately, totaling just 16 points over three consecutive SU and ATS losses. The defending AFC champs, meanwhile, have won five of six (4-2 ATS) and own pair of 8-3 ATS streaks, as a favorite and against losing teams.
WHY CHIEFS COVER: QB Tyler Palko can’t be much worse than last week (three INTs), as he replaces the injured Matt Cassel for rest of season. Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in the last six as an underdog, 4-1 ATS in the last five as a home pup. Pittsburgh is 6-15 ATS in the last 21 when laying more than 10, while the Chiefs are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 when catching more than 10.
TOTAL (39.5): Almost all trends point to the over for Pittsburgh and to the under for the Chiefs. But in this occasional rivalry, the total has gone over in five straight overall and four in a row at Arrowhead.

N.Y. Giants at New Orleans (-7)
WHY GIANTS COVER: They’ve dumped two in a row SU and ATS and need to get the ship righted to keep NFC East hopes on track. Tom Coughlin’s squad likes the Monday night spotlight (4-0 ATS) and is a solid road bet (30-14 ATS in the last 44).
WHY SAINTS COVER: They’ve got home-dome advantage. New Orleans is 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four at the Superdome and coming off the bye week, the Saints have had extra week to rest up for Giants. Home team favorites are 6-1 ATS in the last seven Giants-Saints affairs.
TOTAL (50.5): Big number, but with Saints averaging 31.3 ppg (second), the over is always in play. The over has cashed in New Orleans’ last four off its bye week.

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Tip Sheet - Week 12
By Kevin Rogers

The Week 12 card on Sunday involves a handful of home teams without dynamic offenses laying points. Those squads include the Jets, Bengals, Seahawks, and Chargers – all teams that are ranked 12th or lower in the league in points per game. The question heading into Sunday is which clubs are worth backing? We’ll start at Met Life Stadium with an AFC East showdown in which the loser is likely knocked out of playoff contention.

Bills at Jets (-9, 42)

New York drilled Buffalo in Orchard Park three weeks ago, 27-11, beginning a tailspin for the Bills in which Chan Gailey's team has lost three consecutive games. The Jets have gone backwards since that blowout win with losses to the Patriots and Broncos the last two weeks to fall to 5-5. New York goes for the all-important sweep to gain the tiebreaker over Buffalo, while the Bills will try to end their skid without their most important offensive weapon.

Fred Jackson, the league's third-leading rusher, is out for the rest of the season with a broken bone in his left leg, further hurting Buffalo's shot at a Wild Card berth. Both teams haven't profited from an ATS standpoint, while the Bills are just 1-3-1 ATS away from home. The Jets are 3-2 ATS at home, including a 2-0 ATS mark as a touchdown favorite or more. New York is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this series, including three consecutive victories by double-digits.

Browns at Bengals (-7½, 37½)

The battle of Ohio takes place on the South Side at Paul Brown Stadium as the Bengals (6-4) look to sweep the Browns (4-6). Cincinnati stunned Cleveland in Week 1 as 6 ½-point road underdogs, 27-17, as the Bengals scored two late touchdowns to win outright. The victory by Cincinnati started an unlikely ATS run that resulted in seven of eight covers, while racking up a 6-2 SU record.

Marvin Lewis' club has crashed back to reality following consecutive losses to the big boys in the AFC North, falling to Pittsburgh and Baltimore. The Bengals are one of the top 'over' teams in the league with an 8-2 mark, including an 'over' in last Sunday's 31-24 setback to the Ravens. The Browns snapped a three-game skid by holding off the Jaguars, 14-10, but Cleveland has scored 17 points or less in nine of 10 games this season.

Redskins at Seahawks (-3½, 37)

There are no playoff implications when Washington (3-7) heads to the Pacific Northwest to battle Seattle (4-6), but this game does have some interesting storylines. The Redskins' dismal offense is expected to get back wide receiver Santana Moss after missing the last four games with a fractured left hand. Washington has dropped six straight games following a 3-1 start, while finally cashing a ticket in last Sunday's overtime loss to Dallas, 27-24 as seven-point 'dogs.

The Seahawks are listed as a favorite for the first time this season, as Pete Carroll's club has turned into a hidden gem for gamblers. Seattle owns a 6-3-1 ATS record, including three consecutive covers against Dallas, Baltimore, and St. Louis. The Seahawks are 3-1 ATS at Qwest Field, while going 7-4 ATS in Carroll's tenure at home. The Redskins are making their first visit to Seattle since a 20-17 victory over the Seahawks in 2008.

Broncos at Chargers (-6, 42)

The AFC West was San Diego's to lose this season after falling short in 2010. However, the Lightning Bolts have crashed and burned with five straight losses following a 4-1 start as the Chargers attempt to catch the Raiders in the West. San Diego will try to end its losing ways against a re-born Denver squad that is 4-1 since inserting Tim Tebow into the starting quarterback role.

The Broncos (5-5) aren't dead yet in the AFC West as John Fox's club is fresh off a 17-13 victory over the Jets as six-point home 'dogs. Denver has covered three straight games in the underdog role, but the Broncos are just 2-8 SU and 1-8-1 ATS the last 10 meetings against the Chargers. San Diego held off Denver, 29-24 in Week 5 as 3 ½-point favorites, the last victory for the Bolts prior to this five-game skid. The Chargers, are tied with the Colts and Rams with the worst pointspread records in the league at 2-8 ATS, while San Diego has compiled a 1-4 ATS mark at home.

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Sports Wagers

Chicago +181 over Oakland

Jay Cutler or Jay Leno, the Bears are the better team here and taking any points offered is a gift. Chicago has won five straight and with Matt Forte leading the way against the Raiders 25th ranked run defense, a sixth straight win would not surprise. Oakland remains beat up at all sorts of positions and the team continues to take costly penalties. Bears QB Caleb Hanie has been in the organization for four years. He’s familiar with the offense and when combined with Chicago’s defense and special teams play, he can lead his team to a win here. Yes, the loss of Cutler is a significant one but teams often rise to the occasion in times of adversity and you can expect the Bears to dig down deep in support of their fill-in QB. Play: Chicago +181 (Risking 2 units).

SAN DIEGO –6 over Denver

There are times in college football when an unranked team is actually favored against a ranked squad. That’s mainly because oddsmakers know the real truth and pointspreads are not based on myth. The same principle applies here. A San Diego team that has lost five straight is listed as a 6-point favorite. That is reality and it sends a loud message. This is the NFL and it has never been more of a passing league than it is today. Tebowmania is fantasy. He’s a great story and he’s also extremely likeable because he’s so humble and appreciative of the chance he’s been given. He has more wins than Cam Newton but his success is unsustainable. Tim Tebow is not an NFL quarterback and the success of the Broncos college play calling is about to come to an abrupt halt. The films have been studied and it’s over for Tebow. Give us one of the league’s best passers in Philip Rivers, facing off against Tim Tebow and his embarrassing passing abilities and a blowout would not surprise, just like that recent forgotten one that the Lions put on these Broncos a short time ago. Play: San Diego –6 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).

Cleveland +8 over CINCINNATI

Bengals battered and bruised both emotionally and physically after pair of losses to Steelers and Ravens respectively. That makes spotting its biggest spread of the year a considerable order for adolescent Cincinnati bunch. The Bengals are getting lots of love and respect for competing week in and week out and even sharing the lead in the NFC North for a time. However, a close look reveals that the Bengals last four wins have come against Tennessee, Seattle, Indy and Jacksonville and all were close with the exception of a 34-12 win over Seattle in a game that was 17-12 with seven minutes to go in the fourth quarter. The Bengals other two wins came against Buffalo by three and they opened the season with a 10-point win over these same Brownies. So yeah, they’ve been competitive all year but they’ve not come close to showing an ability to put away teams. Cleveland’s unheralded defense has actually allowed fewer points than Cincy’s and it’s also worth noting that the Browns have not quit playing. Overlay. Play: Cleveland +8 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

THE REST:

JACKSONVILLE +4 over Houston

The Texans go from ‘score Matt’ to ‘door Matt’ as Leinart replaces the injured Schaub. While the line has been adjusted to account for the change, we still prefer a Jacksonville side that plays solid defense and is returning home after three away. Jags last game as host was a win over Ravens. TAKING: JAGUARS +4 (No bets).

INDIANAPOLIS +3½ over Carolina

Panthers came out of the gates guns a blazin’. Now they appear to be shooting blanks. Their neophyte offense is making too many mistakes while the defense is giving up chunks every week and it’s not getting better. Cam Newton nailed it. This team has put on a clinic for “how to lose.” Every week we tune into the Panthers game and think, “hey, these guys are going to win this thing.” But then they don’t. Meanwhile John Fox is off winning a division with a team almost as bad as this one. Good times. Good times. Colts are unsightly but are offered home points from a weak opponent, after a bye week. Play: Indianapolis +3½ (No bets).

Minnesota +9½ over ATLANTA

The Falcons lack football’s killer instinct. Until they acquire it, we’re not anxious to be spotting prohibitive points with them. Obviously, the Vikings aren’t the same with Adrian Peterson on the shelf but as we observed when they lost him last week, Minnesota won’t roll over. Play: Minnesota +9½ (No bets).

N.Y. JETS –9 over Buffalo

While the Jets remain iffy, we’ll grant them a mulligan for their dismal performance in Denver, seeing that they had a difficult scheduling sequence. Off 10 days rest and facing a spiraling Bills team, New York should control a visitor that it defeated by 27-11 count in Buffalo just three weeks ago. Looks like Fred Jackson is on the rack for the Bills and he’s their best weapon. Play: New York Jets –9 (No bets).

Tampa Bay +3½ over TENNESSEE

Bucs have taken a step back this year or have they? Tampa’s previous six games was a nasty set that included the 49ers, Saints, Bears (in London), Saints again, Texans and Packers. This becomes a drop in class against a Tennessee that isn’t strong to begin with and could be without its starting quarterback. Play: Tampa Bay +3½ (No bets).

Arizona +3 over ST. LOUIS

St. Louis shouldn’t be favored over Arizona’s cheerleaders, let alone its football team. The Rams are an abomination and after getting smoked at home to the Seahawks, the morale on this untalented and injured squad has to be at an all time low. Not exactly a marquee game. Never expect bad teams to do something good. Play: Arizona +3 (No bets).

Washington +4 over SEATTLE

Amazingly, the Seahawks have not been favored in their past 17 games. Then again, unless they are playing within their feeble division (sans San Francisco) or facing the Colts, we see no reason that they should be. Tashard Choice had his big chance to exact revenge upon the team that allowed him to rot on the bench for years before discarding him. 7 yards on 6 carries. So much for revenge. Ryan Torain pitched in for 4 yards on 5 carries. After playing Skins for a few weeks, we just can’t get off them now. Washington’s pass rush enough to tip the scales in its favor. Play: Washington +4 (No bets).

Philadelphia +3½ over NEW ENGLAND

The Eagles playoff hopes remain on life support but at least there’s a pulse. After a crucial road win at Giants, Philly will host a New England squad that is traveling on a short week along with its share of injuries. Vick or no Vick, Eagles speedy playmakers pose problems for Patriots defensive schemes and this one looks like a huge trap, as the line is small and everyone you know will love the Patriots. Play: Philadelphia +3½ (No bets).

KANSAS CITY +10½ over Pittsburgh

It’s not easy to make a case for the Chiefs. Even if the Chiefs hadn’t lost their best players to injury this season, they had no business polluting prime time more than once this season. Two prime time games within a week? Hmm. That heap big ratings bump for show that not football on other channel. Paleface who buys ads lose 'em scalp on that deal. All kidding aside, these big favorites can’t keep getting the money in prime time games. The lines are inflated and they’re getting worse, as the chalk continues to cover. You’re paying a huge premium to wager on the Steelers here. With Ben Roethlisberger nursing a fractured thumb and facing a team that has limited ability, expect the Steelers to take a conservative approach to this one. That will suit the Chiefs, as they will hope to run the ball and keep Pittsburgh’s offense off the field, keeping this one within range. Big caution flag on the favorite. Play: Kansas City +10½ (No bets)

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Info Plays

7* Redskins / Seahawks Under 37½

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Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

Columbus Blue Jackets + St Louis Blues UNDER 5.5

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Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Chicago Bears +4.5 over the Oakland Raiders

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Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Wake Forest -1.5 over Texas Tech

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Today's CFL Picks
Winnipeg at BC

The Lions look to take advantage of a Winnipeg team that is coming off a 19-3 win over Hamilton and is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU win. BC is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: BC (-7). Here are all of this week's
CFL picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 27
Time Posted: 2:00 p.m. EST (11/24)

Game 291-292: Winnipeg at BC (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 114.840; BC 125.556
Dunkel Line: BC by 10 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: BC by 7; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-7); Over

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PREDICTION MACHINE

Paul's Picks:

Atlanta -9 60.9%
Houston -3 59.2%
Chicago +4.5 58.8%

Normal Plays:

Carolina -3.5 58.5%
Pittsburgh -10 58.3%
Denver +6.5 57.6%


remaining:

Cleveland +7.5 56.7%
Philadelphia +4 56.5%
Tennessee -3 53.9%
St. Louis -3 53.1%
Buffalo +8 51.4%
Washington +4 50.6%

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Cappers Access
Bears +3
Eagles +3-
Steelers -10-

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Super Dog Picks

NFL Football Top Notch Picks

Sunday, November 27, 2011
1:00 pm est. Buffalo at NY Jets

Pick: UNDER 42
Rating: 4 BONES
Analysis: The under is 8-0 when the Bills are playing a division game after losing ATS on the road in 2 straight games. The under is also 6-0 when NFL teams play as road dogs of 7->9.5 in division after going under on the road against a bad team. The Bills offense has been slowed down and staggered with injuries as they have averaged just 8.7 ppg over their last 3. The under is 12-2 in the Jets last 14 games in week 12. Their offense has struggled as well scoring just 13 and 16 points in their last 2 contests.

1:00 pm est. Cleveland at Cincinnati

Pick: Cleveland (+7)
Rating: 3 BONES
Analysis: The Bengals have been beat up by the Steelers and Ravens the past two weeks and will find it tough against an underrated Browns defense. The Bengals are giving the most points they have in any contest this year and we'll take em in this in state rivalry. Cincinnati has gone 0-6 ATS against Cleveland after a loss where the total went over. The underdog has gone 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings between these teams.

1:00 pm est. Minnesota at Atlanta

Pick: Atlanta (-9)
Rating: 3 BONES
Analysis: Minnesota will be without Peterson playing a Falcon team that has won 4 of their last 5 games SU. Minnesota has gone 2-9-1 ATS against teams with a winning record and are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games on the road. On the other hand, Atlanta has gone 8-1 ATS against teams with a losing record. Minnesota has been outscored by an average of 14 points over their last 3 games and Atlanta has outscored their opponents by 9. I like the Falcons with a 2 score win here.

1:00 pm est. Houston at Jacksonville

Pick: Jacksonville (+6.5)
Rating: 2 BONES
Analysis: Jacksonville has gone 6-0-1 ATS as home dogs in conference after losing SU + ATS on the road, of which 5 of those wins were when the spread was 3->6.5. They are returning home after 3 straight on the road. The Jags defense has been underrated all season as they have allowed 18 points per game. Hard to see Houston winning big here as they will be playing their first game without Shaub as QB. I am not sold on Matt Lienert leading this team to a big win. Good value at home with the Jags in a division game.

4:15 pm est. Denver at San Diego

Pick: Denver (+6)
Rating: 3 BONES
Analysis: Denver has gone 6-0 ATS as road dogs in division after going under against a good team. They are also 5-0-1 ATS against San Diego after winning SU+ATS and going under at home. San Diego has gone 0-8 ATS at home after losing SU + ATS and going over as dogs to a good team. Teams have gon 0-5-1 ATS as home favorites in division after going over on the road as dogs against a bad team. The Chargers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 against the AFC. San Diego has lost 5 in a row and don't have a reason to lay 6 points to a team that has won 3 straight.

8:20 pm est. Pittsburgh at Kansas City

Pick: Pittsburgh (-10.5)
Rating: 5 BONES
Analysis: Last Monday I won my MNF game of the year by taking the Patriots to blowout the Cheifs and they did by 31 points. That was the fourth team to blowout the Chiefs and tonight should be the 5th. The Chiefs are 0-6 ATS when playing the Steelers after a loss. The Cheifs are playing on a short week with a holiday in between and the Steelers have had 2 weeks off. Roethlisberger's thumb should not be an issue as he has played effectively in the same situation previously in his career. The Chiefs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 in November and 5-11 in their last 16 vs. the AFC. Although the Chiefs picked up Orton, Palko will start again against one of the best defenses in the league.

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Vegas Vic/Philadelphia Daily News

Saints (Best Bet) 4-6-1
Eagles
Jets
Falcons
Steelers
Bengals
Raiders
Rams
Jaguars
Panthers
Buccaneers
Redskins
Chargers
ytd 73-79 .480 pct

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DOUBLE DRAGON NFL

TEXANS -6 at jaguars
BENGALS -7 vs browns
FALCONS -9 vs vikings
BRONCOS +6 at chargers
PATRIOTS -3 at eagles
BEARS +3 at raiders
GIANTS +7 at saints (MNF)

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INSIDER EDGE

4 UNIT NFL Buffalo Bills +9 1/2
4 UNIT NFL SD Chargers -6
BONUS PLAY CFL BC Lions -7

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Free-Sports-Pix
Consensus play 11/27

NFL Oakland Raiders -3

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Strike Point Sports

nfl game of the month
6* seattle -4

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Priority Sports Info
5-1 friday
2-3 yesterday

Date: Nov-27-2011
NFL [223] Carolina Panthers -3.5 Rated: ***
NFL [218] New York Jets -9.5 Rated: ***
NFL [237] Pittsburgh Steelers -10 Rated: ***
NFL [228] Atlanta Falcns -9.5 Rated: Opinion

CBB [544} Bowling Green +8.5 Rated: ***
CBB [550} Indiana -10.5 Rated: ***
CBB [586] Weber St. -11.5 Rated: Opinion

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DCI NHL

Season: 101-86 (.540)

Carolina vs. OTTAWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
St. Louis vs. COLUMBUS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
MINNESOTA 3, Calgary 2
Toronto vs. ANAHEIM: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

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DCI NFL

Sunday, November 27, 2011
ATLANTA 30, Minnesota 16
CINCINNATI 23, Cleveland 10
TENNESSEE 24, Tampa Bay 17
Carolina 25, INDIANAPOLIS 22
Arizona 19, ST. LOUIS 16
N.Y. JETS 28, Buffalo 15
Houston 25, JACKSONVILLE 12
Chicago 29, OAKLAND 22
SEATTLE 23, Washington 12
New England 27, PHILADELPHIA 21
Denver vs. SAN DIEGO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Pittsburgh 25, KANSAS CITY 12

Monday, November 28, 2011
New Orleans 30, N.Y. Giants 22

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DCI CBB

Season
Straight Up: 629-185 (.773)
ATS: 210-270 (.438)
ATS Vary Units: 839-1225 (.406)
Over/Under: 246-227 (.520)
Over/Under Vary Units: 357-337 (.514)

76 Classic
at Anaheim Convention Center Arena, Anaheim, CA
New Mexico 72, Boston College 66
Washington State 71, UC Riverside 61
Villanova 75, Santa Clara 74
Championship
Saint Louis 65, Oklahoma 63

Auto Owners Insurance Spartan Invitational
Round Robin at campus sites
Michigan State 65, EASTERN MICHIGAN 51

Hoops for Hope Classic
Round Robin at New Orleans, LA
TULANE 68, San Diego 56

Hoosier Invitational
Round Robin at campus sites
Butler vs. INDIANA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CHATTANOOGA 68, Gardner-Webb 64

Jim Thorpe Classic
Round Robin at Laramie, WY
Portland State 75, Umes 64
WYOMING 68, Louisiana Tech 57

Old Spice Classic
at HP Fieldhouse, Lake Buena Vista, FL
Texas Tech 80, Wake Forest 73
Indiana State 59, Fairfield 57
Arizona State 73, DePaul 70
Championship
Minnesota 67, Dayton 65

Philly Hoop Group Classic
at campus sites
PITTSBURGH 76, Robert Morris 58

Shamrock Office Solutions Classic
1st Round at Moraga, CA
Weber State 70, Jacksonville State 61

TicketCity Legends Classic
Kingston Subregional at Kingston, RI
Hofstra 67, Boston U. 65
Cleveland State vs. RHODE ISLAND: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Lewisburg Subregional at Lewisburg, PA
BUCKNELL 65, Morehead State 63

Non-Conference
ALABAMA 67, Vcu 55
ALBANY 74, Fairleigh Dickinson 58
CORNELL 68, American 65
EASTERN WASHINGTON 81, UC Davis 68
ILLINOIS 92, Chicago State 50
ILLINOIS STATE 66, Bethune-Cookman 51
LOYOLA (MD.) 69, Florida Gulf Coast 62
MAINE 71, Holy Cross 70
MISSISSIPPI STATE 79, North Texas 66
MISSOURI 87, Binghamton 52
NAVY 68, Mount St. Mary's 60
NORFOLK STATE 66, Eastern Kentucky 63
NOTRE DAME 87, Bryant 55
SACRED HEART 77, Brown 69
SMU 71, Georgia Southern 52
Temple 73, BOWLING GREEN STATE 60
UAB 73, Tennessee-Martin 55
VIRGINIA TECH 73, St. Bonaventure 60

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Winnipeg +7 CFL

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Johnny Guild NFL 95-63-4 ATS
Sunday, November 27th, 2011

Panthers @ Colts
The Panthers organization is still a mess. Ron Rivera and crew isn’t the answer in regards to coaching and Cam Newton’s talent and potential are vastly overrated. The Colts, on the hand, are awful. Expect a high-scoring game in which the Colts finally get their first victory after their bye week.

Indianapolis Colts +3


Buccaneers @ Titans
Both teams are average. However, it might be Jake Locker time in Tennessee. He provided a spark for the Titans last week and that could happen again. At the same time, the Buccaneers defense will take advantage of rookie mistakes. This should be a tight one.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3


Texans @ Jaguars
The Texans lost Matt Schaub. They will have to go with Matt Leinart at QB, which is a big downgrade. Eventually, T.J. Yates will take over, but in the meantime, the Texans offense will struggle. This could be an upset.

Jacksonville Jaguars +3½


Cardinals @ Rams
John Skelton had one of the worst QB performances in NFL history for the Cardinals last week, but he was playing the 49’ers defense. The Rams defense is much softer. This should be a seesaw match where the last team with the ball wins.

St. Louis Rams -3


Bills @ Jets
The Bills are a mess. Ever since their colossal failure against the Jets at home and Ryan Fitzpatrick being signed to a big long-term deal, the Bills have fallen flat on their faces. Expect the same to continue. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games versus New York Jets.

New York Jets -9


Browns @ Bengals
The Browns offense will be ineffective against the Bengals. The Bengals will score at least 2 TDs and beat the Browns. Cincinnati has won 6 of its last 7 games at home against Cleveland and is 10-2-1 ATS in its last 13 games.

Cincinnati Bengals -7


Vikings @ Falcons
Christian Ponder has been pedestrian and Adrian Peterson is battling a high ankle sprain. The Falcons will win big at home.

Atlanta Falcons -9½


Redskins @ Seahawks
The Redskins should play well here, but it won’t be enough to overcome jetlag and one of the toughest places to play in the NFL.

Seattle Seahawks -3½


Bears @ Raiders
Without Cutler, the Bears have no chance. Caleb Hanie holds onto the ball way too long.

Oakland Raiders -4


Patriots @ Eagles
Regardless of who plays at QB for the Eagles, they will win. The Patriots strength is throwing the ball, but the Eagles best strength is at corner. The Patriots won’t be able to pound the ball due to lack of a running game. The Eagles will score on the Patriots with ease. New England is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games versus Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Eagles +3


Broncos @ Chargers
This is an odd matchup. Tim Tebow is incredibly overrated yet the Chargers defense is appalling. The Chargers will score enough to win. San Diego is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games versus Denver.

San Diego Chargers -6


Steelers @ Chiefs
The Steelers will be very well rested, which is bad news for Tyler Palko and the Chiefs. Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home and is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh Steelers -10½




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Monday Night Game


Monday, November 28th, 2011

Giants @ Saints
The Giants are dealing with injuries and they always falter down the stretch due to their small size. The Saints will protect their house. New Orleans has won 7 of its last 8 home games, unbeaten at home this season.

New Orleans Saints -7

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Mr A

Sunday, November 27th, 1:00 p.m. est.
Minnesota Vikings (2-8) at Atlanta Falcons (6-4)
Georgia Dome - Atlanta, Georgia
Atlanta Falcons -9
Oddsmakers line:
Atlanta as a -9 point home favorite over Minnesota with the total listed at 44 'over'


Sunday, November 27th, 1:00 p.m. est.
Houston Texans (7-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7)
EverBank Field - Jacksonville, Florida
Houston Texans -4
Oddsmakers line:
Houston as a -4 point road favorite over Jacksonville with the total listed at 37'over'


Sunday, November 27th, 1:00 p.m. est.
Buffalo Bills (5-5) at New York Jets (5-5)
MetLife Stadium - East Rutherford, New Jersey
New York Jets -9
Oddsmakers line:
New York as a -9 point home favorite over Buffalo with the total listed at 41½ 'over'


Sunday, November 27th, 4:15 p.m. est.
New England Patriots (7-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-6)
Lincoln Financial Field - Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
New England Patriots +3½
Oddsmakers line:
New England as a -3½ point road favorite over Philadelphia with the total listed at 50½ 'over'


Sunday, November 27th, 8:20 p.m. est.
Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-6)
Arrowhead Stadium- Kansas City, Missouri
Pittsburgh Steelers -10

[timbob]

SPORTS INSIGHTS MARKETWATCH

K.C.+10.5 ( betting against public ) 87 % all bets on Pitt.

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Maddux Sports
Big play Oakland -3
Regular plays
Denver +6
Washington +3.5
Cleveland +7.5
Indianapolis +3.5

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NHL DUNKEL

Toronto at Anaheim

The Leafs look to take advantage of an Anaheim team that is coming off a 6-5 loss to Chicago and is 0-4 in its last 4 games after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Toronto is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Leafs favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110). Here are all of today's picks.
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 27


Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Carolina at Ottawa (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.064; Ottawa 10.895
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+110); Under


Game 53-54: St. Louis at Columbus (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.929; Columbus 12.944
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+125); Over

Game 55-56: Calgary at Minnesota (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.728; Minnesota 11.265
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-135); Over


Game 57-58: Toronto at Anaheim (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.891; Anaheim 10.134
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Under

[timbob]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 38 bet. Washington and Seattle

[timbob]

Sportbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Chicago Bears +4.5 over the Oakland Raiders

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NCAA Basketball Picks

VCU at Alabama

The Rams look to take advantage of an Alabama team that is coming off an 82-45 win over Alabama A&M and is 3-10-2 ATS in its last 15 games after allowing less than 50 points in the previous game. VCU is the pick (+15 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tide favored by only 13. Dunkel Pick: VCU (+15 1/2) Here are all of today's games.


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 27

Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 541-542: Michigan State at Eastern Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 66.286; Eastern Michigan 50.373
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 16; 127
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 13 1/2; 122
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-13 1/2); Over

Game 543-544: Temple at Bowling Green (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 62.938; Bowling Green 56.957
Dunkel Line: Temple by 6; 129
Vegas Line: Temple by 8 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+6); Under


Game 545-546: North Texas at Mississippi State (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 49.891; Mississippi State 64.143
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 14 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 16; 143
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+16); Under


Game 547-548: St. Bonaventure at Virginia Tech (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 58.015; Virginia Tech 70.587
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 12 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 8 1/2; 128
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-8 1/2); Over


Game 549-550: Butler at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 58.449; Indiana 71.555
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 13; 130
Vegas Line: Indiana by 10 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-10 1/2); Under


Game 551-552: VCU at Alabama (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VCU 59.064; Alabama 72.294
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 13; 129
Vegas Line: Alabama by 15 1/2; 123
Dunkel Pick: VCU (+15 1/2); Over


Game 553-554: Texas Tech vs. Wake Forest (11:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 50.967; Wake Forest 54.724
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 4; 148
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 2; 151
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-2); Under


Game 555-556: Arizona State vs. DePaul (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 57.609; DePaul 55.034
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 2 1/2; 147
Vegas Line: Pick; 142
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State; Over


Game 557-558: Fairfield vs. Indiana State (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 58.145; Indiana State 59.040
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 1; 126
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 2; 120
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+2); Over


Game 559-560: Dayton vs. Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 59.530; Minnesota 65.149
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 5 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 4; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4); Under


Game 565-566: Washington State vs. UC-Riverside (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 58.869; UC-Riverside 48.169
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 10 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Washington State by 7; 130
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-7); Under


Game 567-568: Boston College vs. New Mexico (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 50.280; New Mexico 66.086
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 16; 135
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 14; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-14); Over


Game 569-570: Santa Clara vs. Villanova (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 56.832; Villanova 66.511
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 9 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Villanova by 8 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-8 1/2); Under


Game 571-572: Oklahoma vs. St. Louis (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 60.218; St. Louis 66.254
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 6; 129
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 5; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-5); Over

Game 585-586: Weber State vs. Jacksonville State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 59.080; Jacksonville State 45.003
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 14
Vegas Line: Weber State by 11 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-11 1/2)


Game 587-588: San Francisco State at St. Mary's (CA) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco State 28.764; St. Mary's (CA) 67.979
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 39
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 589-590: Georgia Southern at SMU (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 45.455; SMU 52.285
Dunkel Line: SMU by 7
Vegas Line: SMU by 9
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+9)


Game 591-592: Tennessee-Martin at UAB (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 42.941; UAB 61.570
Dunkel Line: UAB by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: UAB by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-16 1/2)

Game 593-594: UC-Davis at Eastern Washington (4:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 46.215; Eastern Washington 56.573
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 12
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+12)

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Arthur Ralph Sports

757- 560 57 % Free Play Run over 3 YEARS

Free play Sun : NE Pats -3

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday


4* Best Bet = HOUSTON

3* = TAMPA BAY

3* = "UNDER" on Raiders/Bears

2* = PHILADELPHIA

2* = N.Y. JETS

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Arthur Ralph Sports

SuperPick Texans - 6

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Totals 4 U

Buffalo/NY Jets over 41
Cleveland/Cincinnati under 37 1/2
Houston/Jacksonville under 37



Arizona/St. Louis over 40
Tampa Bay/Tennessee under 43
Minnesota/Atlanta over 44

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Sunday Comps.
Winner Line-Arizona
OTM-UNDER arolina
The "Hot Dog Man"/Gino's Frank(s)-OVER Buffalo
Kevin Kennedy-Seattle

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David banks member picks.

NFL

1:00 HOUST. TEXANS-6

1:00 ATL. FALCONS-9.5

4:05 CHIC. BEARS+3

4:15 NE PATRIOTS-3.5

8:30 2 TEAM 6PT. TEASER MAKE

******** PITT STEELERS-4.5/OVER 34* Any ? call

NCAAB

12:00 MICH ST. SPARTANS-14

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kelso

100 bears

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GREAT LAKES SPORTS

NFL

4* (236) San Diego Chargers 4:15est
3* (220) Cincinnati Bengals 1:00est
3* (224) Indianapolis Colts 1:00est

College Basketball

4* (560) Minnesota Golden Gophers 7:00est
3* (570) Villanova Wildcats 6:30est
3* (572) St Louis Billikens 9:00est

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Platinum Plays

Premier (Top Plays)

Clev
NE

500K (Medium)
Rams

400K (Medium)

Pitt
Pitt OVER

Regular

NY Jets
Houston
Indy
Tenn
Oakland
NE OVER
SD

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Falcon Sports

Denver +5.5 2 units
Carolina -3 (-1.15) 2 units

Dayton +4 2 units

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The Busted Bookie

5* HOUSTON TEXANS -6
5* N.E. PATRIOTS -3
5* SAN DIEGO CHARGERS -5
5* OAKLAND RAIDERS -3
5* TENNESSEE TITANS -3
5* PANTHERS @ COLTS - UNDER 47

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Kevin Thomas (ksp)

30* NY Giants +8.5

30* Pittsburgh -11

30* Cleveland +7

New England @ Philadelphia
50* Under 49.5

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Simon Green (ksp)

50* Cincinnati -7

50* Houston -6

50* NY Jets -9.5

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Gregory Mc Revor (LVLCH)

Basketball-NCAA

2* Mississippi State -16

2* Virginia Tech -8.5

2* Villanova -8.5

2* Indiana U -11

2* Weber State -11.5

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Matt Fargo

10* Chicago Bears

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Jamsportspicks

5* new england
4* falcons
3* bears
3* seattle

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Ethan Law

(2%) HOUTON/JACKSONVILLE OVER 37
(2%) CHICAGO +3

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GamingToday’s Consensus Picks November 27, 2011 6:34 AM by GT Staff

Pro Football

Buffalo Bills +9

Cleveland Browns +7½

Indianapolis Colts +3½

Minnesota Vikings +10

Chicago Bears +4½

Philadelphia Eagles +3½

Houston Texans -6

Washington Redskins +3 at Seattle Seahawks (Total 37½)

Washington has lost six straight and is 1-5 against the spread during the slide. Seattle is not an easy place to visit when things are going right. The Seahawks ride a raucous crowd to a cover.

SEAHAWKS -3 (Play of the Day)

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Best weekend wagers with the Weekend Warrior November 27, 2011 6:29 AM by GT Staff

Pro Football

Seattle Seahawks -3

Denver Broncos +5½

Minnesota / Atlanta OVER 44

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SPORTS WAGERS

Carolina +114 over OTTAWA

Just like the Hurricanes, the Senators are much more appealing taking back a price than laying one. Furthermore, this is not a good situational spot for the hosts, as they return from a six-game trip that started with two games against Toronto and Buffalo, followed by three games in Western Canada and ending with a game in Pittsburgh. Now the Sens are home for one lousy game before heading out for three more in Winnipeg, Dallas and Washington. That scheduling is bordering on unfair. Ottawa has also lost seven of its last 10. For the Canes, Cam Ward is still one of the best in the business. The Canes have picked up points in three of their last four and they probably deserved a better fate against Winnipeg on Friday night. After a slow start, Eric Staal has picked it up recently and that’s key. So, what we have here is the more rested team in a favorable spot, a big edge between the pipes and a tag. That works. Play: Carolina +114 (Risking 2 units).


Toronto +100 over ANAHEIM

As long as the Ducks continue to struggle, there’s no reason to back off fading them. Anaheim is coming off a 6-5 loss to Chicago in a game they led 4-2 after two periods. They scored with eight seconds left to make it closer than it looked and frankly, they had no business being in front to begin with. Anaheim continues to give up more scoring chances than any team in the NHL and it doesn’t help matters that its best defender, Lubomir Visnovsky is on the rack. The Ducks have allowed four goals or more in four straight and have been held to two or less in nine of its past 13 games. They have just two wins over its past 17 games and now they’ll face a Leafs club that is on an offensive tear. Toronto has scored 20 goals over its last four, winning three of them. The Leafs are getting great production from a bunch of young and enthusiastic kids and that rubs off on the whole team. The hottest offensive team versus the coldest defensive team gets the call. Play: Toronto +100 (Risking 2 units).

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Jim Feist
JETS -9

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C-STAR SPORTS

15 Units Chicago Plus the points over Oakland
15 Units Buffalo at N.Y. Jets over the total
10 Units Tampa Bay plus the points over Tennessee
10 Units San Diego Minus the points over Denver
7 Units Washington plus the points over Seattle

NCAA BASKETBALL
5 Units INDIANA -11.5
5 Units NORTH TEXAS +16
5 units CAL DAVIS +12

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real money sports

vip- bears +3

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Northcoast Sports
4* GOM Houst
3* Cinn
3* Jets
S/N: Pitt

ANY ATS LOCK GOY?

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Gameday-Bill Hilton

3 San Diego -5'
2 NY Jets -9
2 Tampa Bay +3'
1 NY Giants

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Jeff Benton
Sunday's Action
80 Dime One-and-Only Blowout Game of the Year is the Atlanta Falcons as the home favarite againast the Minnesota Vikings. At the time I am releasing this play to you, the Falcons are a 9 1/2-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore.

2O Dime bonus play on the undhrdog Chicago Bears as they play at Oakland. As I release this winner to you, the Bears are +4 both here in Vegas and offshore

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Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...

My 80 Dime play is on the Oakland Raiders as a home favorite to cover against the Chicago Bears. Checaking the sports books in Las Vegas at 5 a.m. and the Raid%2%ers are a 3-point favorhte. My 40 Dime play is the under in the Denver Broncos-San Diego Chargers game. The line has been set at 41 1/2.

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Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAY

POWER SYSTEM PLAY

Houston -6.5 OVER JACKSONVILLE: No Matt Schaub, but this team still has Arian Foster, the #1 ranked defense and they get Andre Johnson back for this one. Matt Leihart did not have a great time while in Arizona, but he also didn't play behind a good OL like the Texans have. Matt has also had the benefit of the bye week to get ready for this one, so I expect him to perform well. The Jags have played well vs the pass this year (4th), but they are average at best vs the run, allowing 111.2 ypg, including 129.3 ypg in their last 3 games. This team can be run on and that will only help open up throwing lanes for Liehart. Houston isn't all about their 6th ranked offense as they bring the #1 defense into this game as well. Houston is 1st in total defense (269.7 ypg), 2nd in pass defense (178.4 ypg), 4th vs the run (91.3 ypg) and 3rd in points allowed 16.6 ppg). I though only LSU and Alabama had complet defenses like that. This is a complete defense and they should have little problems stopping a Jacksonville offense that is 32nd overall (249.5 ypg), 32nd in passing (129.4 ypg) and 31st in scoring (12.5 ppg). This is a pathetic offense with no chance at all at putting 10 or more points on the board vs this very good Houston defense. The Texans are rolling right now and they are loaded on both sides of the ball (even without Schaub), plus the are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 as a favorite, while the Jags are 1-6 ATS after allowing 15 or less points. Houston by 10+ here. POWER SYSTEM FOR THIS PLAY--- In this one we play against any team that scored 14 points or less last week if they are facing a team off a Bye. This system is 37-12 since 1997, including 3-0 this year.

4 UNIT PLAY

Chicago/ Oakland Under 41.5: Caleb Hannie? Cmon. Its a good thing Chicago has a good running game that is 14th in the league at 116.8 ypg and in their last 3 games they have churned out 121.7 ypg on the ground. The Bears have put up 32.2 ppg in their last 5 games, but all of that was with Cutler and he will not be here for this one. I expect Forte and Barber to get plenty of carries and take aim at an Oakland defense that is 26th in the league vs the run allowing 131.6 ypg. This is a big game for Chicago and I don't expect them to put the game in Hannies hands, but they will rely on their run game and a defense that has been hot lately. The Bears defense has given up some yards of late but just 17 ppg and they are 11th in the league vs the run, allowing just 101.2 ypg, and the running game is the strength of the Raiders. The Raiders have aired it out a bit more with Carson Palmer, but they are still all about their 3rd ranked running game that averages 156 ypg. T he Bears have struggled vs the pass (30th), but they have the ability to make the plays at the right time and they are 6th in the league in defensive yards per point at 18.0. Chicago will not try an win this game on the arm of Caleb, so I look for them to run Forte and Barber alot and then rely on their defense. Palmer has the Raider offense playing well, but they won't get much off this Chicago defense today. I expect no more than 35 points in this one.

3 UNIT PLAYS

NY JETS -9.5 over Buffalo: the Bills looked like they may have turned the corner this year after a hot start, but injuries have hit them hard and they have now lost 3 games in a row and they have really looked bad in doing so. In their last 3 games the Bills have averaged just 8.7 ppg and 268 ypg, while their defense has been torched for 35.3 ppg and 341 ypg. The Bills have alos not taken care of the ball all that well in their last 3 games as they are -7 in TO's during the 3 games. That's not gonna win many games. Now this injury riddled team must take on a Jets team that is very desperate and very pissed off after a couple of bad losses. The Jets tho have the ability to stop this bad Buffalo offense as they bring in the leagues 8th ranked defense overall and 5th ranked pass defense. The Jets can be run on as they are 17th in that category, but Fred Jackson is out and they are very thin at RB so I don't expect the bills to have success running the ball here and a poor passing game certainly won't have success vs Revis and company. Buffalo just has too many injuries and even when they were healthier they lost at home by 16 to this Jets team 3 weeks ago. NY needs this one bad and will get it with ease.

2 UNIT PLAYS

ATLANTA -9.5 over Minnesota: The Falcons have won 4 of their last 5 games and are right behind New Orleans in the NFC South. This is a team that is in the thick of the playoff race and they need to win this easy games if they plan on staying in the race. Minnesota is not having a good year and they will be without Peterson in this one and that will hurt. The Falcons have the 2nd ranked rush defense so their is alot of pressure on their Rookie QB and I don't expect him to have a good showing here. Matt Ryan is 23-4 SU at home and has 41 TD's to just 17 INT's and he should have good success vs the leagues 28th ranked pass defense. The vikes just don't have enough offense or defense to keep this one close.


Tennessee/ Tampa Bay Under 43: Tampa's offense has scored just 16.3 ppg in their last 6 games and yes they scored 26 last week, but that was vs a weak Packer defense. The Tenness defense has played very well this year, allowing just 19.5 ppg overall and 16.7 ppg in thier last 3 games. The Tampa defense has been bad this year, but the titans offense has scored just 20.3 ppg overall and 18.8 ppg at home, plus Hasselbeck will not be at 100% in this one, which should lead to more a ground game for the Titans and that will chew up the clock. I expect a game in the mid 30's here.

1 UNIT PLAY

SAN DIEGO -5.5 over Denver: I still don't think the Chargers season is over. This is a team with too much talent to think they are done, especially in the weak AFC West. denver has had some good wins with Tebow behind center but his magic ends in this one.

[timbob]

GOODFELLA
Titans -3, he even likes it at -3.5

Also has a teaser of Pittsburgh -3.5 and Carolina O39

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powerplaywins
pats -3.5

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Franklin Marley - The Winning Prescription NFL
Bills/Jets Under 43
Falcons -9.5
Panthers -3
Chargers/Broncos Under 42

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Stu Feiner Sunday

Private Plays : Tenn., Eagles, Jacksonville.
High Rollers: Colts, Seattle, K.C.

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Hank Goldberg:

Philly +
Denver +
Houst -
Jets -
Chicago +

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jimmy the gent sports (cbb)

the win streak continued last night, daily card went 3-1 adding +$690 to the cookie jar.

ln 3-1 +$690
ytd 38-31-2 +$2920.00

games for sunday 11/27/11

cleve state /uri over 137 ................5* coldcocked super lock

hofstra /bu under 132.5 ...............5*preffered play

villanova / santa clara under 142.5 ..........4*best bet

texas tech +2 ......3*

oklahoma +4.5............3*

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William Kidd

QUADRUPLE NFL AFC CONFERENCE PLAY OF THE YEAR
221 Houston -6 1:00 EST

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kelso

100* upset gom chic
75* pitt
50* atlanta
10* jets

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Steve Budin

BALTIMORE CREW

50 Dime Winner # 5 out of 6

2011 Line Error Lock of the Year

14-5-1 Lifetime with 50 Dimers

Houston

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ATS LOY is 25*

Arizona

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Oc Dooley

5* TB
2* Wash
2* Phil
2* Phil Over
2* Pit Over

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King Creole | NFL Total

dime bet 226 TEN / 225 TAM Under 43.5 Bodog

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Davis

100 DIME

NFL Winner #17 OF 20

2011 Line Error Lock of the Year

Bears

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Anthony Redd

2nd Strongest NFL Play this Season!

75 DIME UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR

Tampa

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Derek Mancini

2nd Highest-Rated NFL Play Ever!

1st Ever 75 DIME

NFL Release of my Career

Eagles

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From the Real Time(with Bill Maher)Animal:

Free pick Sunday is 2* Denver Broncos +5 1/2.

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RICHIE CARRERA


CINCINNATI/Cleveland UNDER 37.5 10 Dimes
SEATTLE -3 over Washington 10 Dimes
SAN DIEGO -5.5 over Denver 10 Dimes
Pittsburgh -10 over KANSAS CITY 50 Dimes

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Paul Leiner

100* Panthers -3.5

50* Falcons -9.5

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JOHN CHANG

---Start Time 1:00 PM EST---
ATLANTA FALCONS -9.5 over Minnesota Vikings, 10 dimes
The Falcons are one of the best teams in the league at stuffing the run, and that's exactly what they'll have to do early in order to force Christian Ponder into a one dimensional passing attack. Matty Ice may be returning to form, and with Julio Jones coming back, the weapons are at his disposal.

---Start Time 1:00 PM EST---
NEW YORK JETS -9.5 over Buffalo Bills, 10 dimes
The Bills are getting outworked and outmuscled on a weekly basis, and the injuries on both sides of the ball have left them depleted and demoralized. The Jets are a physical bunch, and they've owned this series recently.

---Start Time 4:15 PM EST---
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS/Denver Broncos under 42, 10 dimes
A heavy dose of defense and ineptitude is what I expect to turn this game into a snoozer.

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RANDY BRUCE

NFL: 5 dimes each:
Raiders -3
Broncos/Chargers Over 41.5
Steelers -10.5

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Trace Adams

500* Denver
Over Phi

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Chuck O'Brien

Biggest Release of the NFL Season
75 Dime Winner #17 of 23
NFL BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR
2-Touchdown Winner
50 percent stronger than Southern Cal last night

75 dimes Atlanta

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MORTARMIKE

NFL
15* Rams -1
10* Houston -6
10* ATL -9
10* Pick:Carolina -3.5
10* Bengals -7

NCAA B-Ball
15* Minn -4

[Mr. IWS]

**********

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Mike Neri Sports

FOUR STAR: 221 Houston -6 1:00 EST

THREE STAR: 215 Arizona +2.5 1:00 EST

THREE STAR: 225 Tampa Bay +3 1:00 EST

THREE STAR: OVER 40 Pittsburgh and Kansas City 8:30 EST

COLLEGE BASKETBALL
THREE STAR: 550 Indiana -11.5 7:00 EST

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CHRIS JORDAN

3rd Ever
3000♦ NFL Release
in 28 Years

Texans - 6.5

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Matt Rivers

300,000♦ Stone Cold Lock
Winner # 4 of 5
Denver


BONUS PLAY
100,000♦ Best Bet Lock
Houston/Jacksonville Under

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Carolina Capper

15* NFL Cincinnati -7
15* NFL San Diego -5.5

15* NCAAB Wake Forest -2.5
15* NCAAB Michigan St. -14
15* NCAAB St.Bonaventure +8
15* NCAAB Butler +11.5

[timbob]

Cadillac Picks

NFL
15* Bengals -7
15* Cardinals +3

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LT Profits

Adding:

Browns/Bengals OVER 7 -110 (First Quarter)