12-12-11

[Mr. IWS]

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[Mr. IWS]

Dunkel

MONDAY, DECEMBER 12
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (12/8) Game 133-134: St. Louis at Seattle (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 119.480; Seattle 134.089
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 14 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Seattle by 10; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-10); Over

[Mr. IWS]

DCI

Monday, December 12, 2011
SEATTLE 24, St. Louis 10

[Mr. IWS]

Sixth Sense

134 3% SEATTLE –10 No higher than -10

[Mr. IWS]

POINTWISE PHONES:

3* Seattle

[Mr. IWS]

Double Dragon

SEAHAWKS -10

[Mr. IWS]

LuckyDaySports

Monday’s Comp Play

NFL
St. Louis at Seattle OVER 36.5

[Mr. IWS]

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (N/A)

Why Rams cover: More important, why is this game in the Monday night spotlight? Not much to say in Rams’ defense, but Seattle 2-6 ATS last eight in December.

Why Seahawks cover: Despite starting Tarvaris Jackson at QB, Seattle 7-2-1 ATS last 10 games. And Seahawks have Rams’ number, cashing eight of last nine overall and four in a row at home.

Total: Rams are like pimply faced kid at the prom, hoping to score, but it never really happens. St. Louis averaging league-worst 11.7 ppg. That makes it reasonable to think under, which is 4-1 in Rams’ last five overall and 18-7-1 last 26 inside NFC West. Seattle, though, on over streaks of 5-0 at home, 6-0 in December and 17-6 overall.

[Mr. IWS]

What bettors need to know: St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-10, 36.5)

THE STORY: The last time the St. Louis Rams squared off with the Seattle Seahawks, the NFC West title and a berth in the playoffs were on the line. The stakes will be considerably lower when the Rams visit Seattle on Monday night. The Seahawks, who are making their second straight appearance in prime time, still have a fleeting chance at a wild card slot while the Rams have already assured themselves of double-digit losses for the fourth time in the past five seasons. Seattle has dominated the rivalry with St. Louis, winning the last 12 of 13 overall and six straight at CenturyLink Field.

LINE: Seahawks -10, O/U 37. Oddsmakers had Seattle set around -9.5 at the open, so it's up about half a point since then. The total is sitting around 36.5 or 37.

ABOUT THE RAMS (2-10): St. Louis bottomed out in last week’s 26-0 loss at San Francisco. The league’s lowest-scoring team managed a season-worst 157 yards of total offense and lost backup QB A.J. Feeley to a broken thumb on his throwing hand. With starter Sam Bradford still hampered by a high ankle sprain, St. Louis may have to turn to untested Tom Brandstater, who has never played a down in the NFL. However, Bradford did participate in Saturday's workout. Running back Steven Jackson was limited to 42 yards in a 24-7 loss to the Seahawks last month.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (5-7): RB Marshawn Lynch has been the catalyst for the turnaround in Seattle, which has won three of its last four games. Lynch has ripped off four 100-yard games in the last five and has scored a touchdown in eight consecutive games. The only game in which he failed to reach 100 in the last five came against the Rams, when he went for 88 yards on 27 carries. Much-maligned QB Tarvaris Jackson had his best game in the 31-14 rout of the Eagles, going 13 of 16 for 190 yards and a TD.

TRENDS:

- St. Louis is 3-13 against the spread in its last 16 games overall.
- Seattle is 6-2 against the spread in its last eight home games.
- The over is 5-0 in Seattle's last five home games.
- St. Louis is 1-8 against the spread in its last nine meetings with Seattle.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Lynch has rushed for 591 yards in the past five games, the most in the NFL.

2. Rams DE Chris Long has a six-game sack streak, collecting nine in that span.

3. In the last four meetings in Seattle, the Seahawks have outscored the Rams 114-25.

PREDICTION: Seahawks 27, Rams 10. St. Louis’ woes in the Pacific Northwest continue.

[Mr. IWS]

MNF Betting Notes

St. Louis (2-10 SU, 4-8 ATS) at Seattle (5-7 SU, 7-5 ATS)

Skinny

The Seahawks have an outside chance to earn a wild card spot in the NFC playoffs but they’ll need to win out and get some help along the way as well. Seattle looked sharp last Thursday when it beat Philadelphia 31-14 at home. The win could’ve been their fourth straight but in Week 12 the Seahawks blew a double-digit lead at home en route to a 23-17 loss to the Redskins. After starting the season 0-6, the Rams showed some life by winning two of three, which including a 31-21 victory at home against New Orleans. Since that three-game stretch, St. Louis had dropped three in a row both straight up and against the spread.

ATS Angles

The Rams are 2-10 ATS this season
The Rams have gone 1-5 both SU and ATS on the road, the lone win coming against Cleveland (13-12)
The Rams have scored more than 20 points on two occasions this season
The Rams have seen the ‘under’ go 8-3-1 this season, including 0-5-1 on the road
The Seahawks are 7-4-1 ATS this season
The Seahawks have gone 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS at home
The Seahawks have seen the ‘over’ go 4-2 at home

Odds

The opener was sent out at Seattle -9, with a total of 37. Currently the number is 10 at most shops, with one major offshore pushing 11 as of late Sunday. The total is still hovering between 36 and 37 points.

Seattle has been a favorite (-3) once this season and it lost at home to Washington, 23-17.

St. Louis has been a double-digit underdog four times in 2011, and its gone 1-3 both SU and ATS. The lone win and cover against the Saints.

Injury Notes

Sam Bradford (ankle) practiced on Saturday for the Rams but the quarterback is listed as ‘doubtful’ in most reports. Backup A.J. Feely (thumb) is also listed as ‘doubtful’ which means Tom Brandstarter could be the starter. College followers will recall his days with Fresno State, where he was decent. However, he hasn’t had a snap in the NFL.

Head-to-Head Notes

Seattle has won 12 of 13 against St. Louis, including the first meeting this season. In the last four trips to the Great Northwest, the Rams have been outscored 114-25. Four of the last five in this series has gone ‘under’ the total.

2011
Seattle 24 at St. Louis 7 (Seahawks +3, Under 40.5)

2010
Seattle 16 vs. St. Louis 6 (Seahawks +4, Under 42)
St. Louis 20 vs. Seattle 3 (Rams -2.5, Under 40)

2009
Seattle 27 at St. Louis 17 (Seahawks -3.5, Over 42.5)
Seattle 28 vs. St. Louis (Seahawks -7.5, Under 43)

MNF Trends

Favorites are 10-4 SU this season
Favorites are 8-6 ATS this season
Favorites have covered four straight on MNF, all wins by double digits
The ‘over’ has gone 7-6-1 on MNF this season and is on a 4-1 run the last five weeks
St. Louis has gone 0-1 both SU and ATS on MNF, losing at the N.Y. Giants 28-16 in Week 2

[Mr. IWS]

NHL

Hot teams
-- None

Cold teams
-- Devils lost five of their last seven games. Tampa Bay lost six of its last seven games.

Totals
-- Over is 7-2 in New Jersey's last nine road games.


Series records
-- Devils won 17 of their last 20 games against Tampa Bay.

Back-to-Back
-- None

[Mr. IWS]

Today's NHL Picks

New Jersey at Tampa Bay

The Lightning look to bounce back from a 5-2 loss to Philadelphia and build on their 5-0 record in their last 5 games after allowing 5 goals or more in the previous game. Tampa Bay is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120). Here are all of today's picks.


MONDAY, DECEMBER 12
Time Posted 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 1-2: New Jersey at Tampa Bay (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.787; Tampa Bay 11.570
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Over

[Mr. IWS]

DCI NHL

Season: 129-109 (.542)

TAMPA BAY 3, New Jersey 2

[Mr. IWS]

DCI CBB

Season
Straight Up: 1062-327 (.765)
ATS: 381-450 (.458)
ATS Vary Units: 1430-1867 (.434)
Over/Under: 411-405 (.504)
Over/Under Vary Units: 599-555 (.519)

Non-Conference
Oral Roberts 71, UALR 66
OREGON 85, Portland State 64
RUTGERS 73, Monmouth 55
SIENA 71, Fordham 60
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA 71, Southern 51
St. Francis (N.Y.) 65, HOWARD 59
ULM 69, Nicholls State 63
Vmi 98, LONGWOOD 94

[Mr. IWS]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Fordham at Siena

The Saints look to take advantage of a Fordham team that is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games as a road underdog of 7 to 12 1/2 points. Siena is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Saints favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Siena (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's games.


MONDAY, DECEMBER 12
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 741-742: Fordham at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 39.794; Siena 53.588
Dunkel Line: Siena by 14; 133
Vegas Line: Siena by 7 1/2; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (-7 1/2); Over


Game 743-744: Portland State at Oregon (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 46.473; Oregon 60.113
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 13 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Oregon by 14 1/2; 145
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+14 1/2); Under


Game 751-752: Oral Roberts at Arkansas-Little Rock (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 58.802; Arkansas-Little Rock 50.425
Dunkel Line: Oral Roberts by 8 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Oral Roberts by 7; 131
Dunkel Pick: Oral Roberts (-7); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Eagles (+3) Sunday.

Monday it’s the Rams. The correct deficit is 2969 sirignanos.

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

770- 563 57 % Free Play Run over 3 YEARS

Free play 13-3 run Mon Arkansas L/R + 7

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Monday

Sienna -8

[Mr. IWS]

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

St. Louis Rams +10.5 over Seattle Seahawks

[Mr. IWS]

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

New Jersey Devils + Tampa Bay Lightning UNDER 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Oregon -14 over Portland State

[Mr. IWS]

Sportbook Investing
Play of the Day:

New Jersey Devils + Tampa Bay Lightning UNDER 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Seahawks

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Portland State +15 over Oregon

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Rams / Seahawks Over 37

50* Oral Roberts -7.5

[Mr. IWS]

BANG THE BOOK

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-10, 36.5)

The St. Louis Rams and the Seattle Seahawks are set to square off in Monday Night Football betting action this week at CenturyLink Field. But before you make your NFL picks for the big game on Monday, check out some of the great NFL betting trends that we have for the duel!

St. Louis Rams Notes: The Rams really have nothing to play for but pride and draft positioning in this one, as they are clearly long since out of the playoff race. Head Coach Steve Spagnuolo needs to show some spunk in these final few games to feel relatively safe about keeping his job, as this is now the second disastrous season that he has had in the three in which he has been in the Gateway to the West. St. Louis might be 9-4 ATS in its last 13 road games against teams with a losing home record, but that’s where the positive NFL betting trends stop. The Rams are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games played in division, and they are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 against the NFC. They’re also 1-6 ATS in their last seven as road underdogs dating back to last year’s loss right here on this field in the game that proved to be for the NFC West title and the No. 4 seed in the playoffs.

Regardless of who is under center this week for the Rams, they are going to have to get something out of their ground game. Last week was tough for RB Steven Jackson, as he was going against a San Fran defense that hasn’t allowed a rushing touchdown all season long. He ended the day with 10 carries for 19 yards, the third straight game in which he has failed to average even four yards per carry. Jackson has rumbled for 832 yards and four scores this year in basically what has amounted to be nine games. Those are great numbers, but without a passing game to help him out, this offense is just dead in the water.

This St. Louis offense looks like a M*A*S*H* unit. QB Sam Bradford sat out last week wit an ankle injury, and then QB AJ Feeley busted up his thumb in the shutout loss to the Niners. Both quarterbacks are questionable, and neither is overly hopeful to be able to play, which leaves just QB Tom Brandstater to take snaps. WR Danny Amendola and WR Greg Salas are already on IR, as are reserves TE Michael Hoomanawanui and WR Mark Clayton. RB Cadillac Williams has a calf injury that has him listed as questionable, while three lineup have been ruled out of the lineup as well. Defensively, LB Josh Hull has a hamstring injury that will likely cost him a third straight game, while DE Chris Long has an ankle sprain that has him listed as questionable.

Seattle Seahawks Notes: This is the final game on a three-game home stand for the Seahawks, and it is the first of the bunch that there is no doubt they should win. They’ll rue the day that they were beaten by the Washington Redskins, as they would have had a chance to draw even in the Wild Card race with a win in this one had they not lost it. That being said, in all likelihood, the Hawks will be just a game back with three to play if they can win this game, which is remarkable for a team that was written off a month ago. Seattle has gone 3-0-1 ATS in its last four games on Monday Night Football, and it is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games against the NFC. The Seahawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 divisional tussles and 6-2 ATS in their last eight at home. The downer though, is the fact that they are a stunningly bad 3-24-2 ATS in their last 29 games following a two touchdown victory.

The Seahawks dominated time of possession when these two teams met earlier this year in a 24-7 victory for the visitors at the Edward Jones Dome. RB Marshawn Lynch had 27 carries for 88 yards and a TD, and he comes into this one having scored a TD in eight straight games. Lynch has had at least 22 carries in five straight games, and it should come as no surprise that that has translated into four covers in that stretch as well. Lynch could be working on a Pro Bowl season. He has 854 yards on the ground and 170 more as a receiver, and he has a total of nine TDs.

Believe it or not, there really aren’t that many injuries to report. T Russell Okung has a pectoral injury that landed him on IR this week, and WR Sidney Rice is also out for the season with a concussion. There are no new injuries aside from that.

Head To Head: This has been a bad series for the Rams. They are just 1-8 ATS in the last nine meetings in this series, and they haven’t even covered a game in Seattle since 2006, a streak of four in a row. This is also generally an ‘under’ series as well. The ‘under’ has gone 5-2 in the last seven meetings here at CenturyLink Field, while it is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings overall. Seattle won the first meeting of the season 24-7, and it is going for its fourth series sweep in the last five years in this rivalry on Monday.

PICK: Seattle Seahawks

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

SEATTLE –10 over St. Louis

Sam Bradford (ankle) and A.J. Feeley (thumb) have not practiced this week and will not play. That leaves Tom Brandstater as the starter. The Rams are 2-10 on a three game losing streak and bring their 1-5 road record to Seattle where the Seahawks are 3-3. This is just the replay from three weeks ago when the Seahawks won 24-7 in St. Louis, only this time the game is in Seattle and the Rams are going with a third string QB. There is no team with a lower morale than the Rams and while many teams suffering through this kind of season may welcome an opportunity to make some sort of amends on a Monday nighter, this St. Louis team quite simply does employ the personnel that is capable of doing so. The Seachickens are also playing on 11 days rest after that thumping over Philadelphia on a Thursday. We saw what Philly did to Miami yesterday on extra days rest and this late in the year it has an even bigger impact. How can this one go any other way? Play: Seattle –10 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).

Passing NHL

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers
200,000* Seattle
100,000* Rams-Seahawks Under

[Mr. IWS]

Chan
6:00 742 Siena -8 ***
7:00 752 Ark LR
Teaser Rams 17 U44***

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Rickenbach
6:00 Lightning O5.5 10*
7:00*751 Oral Roberts*10*
7:30*Rams 11.5 8*

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd
St Louis 10.5 3*

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
4* College Basketball: Portland State +13.5

[Mr. IWS]

Winnersforyou

Rams - Seahawks Under

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Portland State / Oregon Over 146

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 12/12
nfl

Seahawks -10

cbb

741 Fordham +7.5 @ 7p
751 Oral Roberts -8 @ 8p

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
4*NHL: New Jersey vs. Tampa Bay Under 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast - Monday comp line

Line 9 > Bowl Marquee - Over 58.5 UL Lafayette/San Diego State (Saturday)

Line 4 > (Red Dog Sports) 3* under 5.5 New Jersey/Tampa Bay (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

40 Dime Under in tonight's Rams/Seahawks game. As this play is released at 8am Pacific, the total is currently sitting at 37 here in Vegas and offshore.


25 Dime Siena as the home favorite against Fordham. The Saints are currently laying 8 points here in Vegas and offshore.

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
Today's Plays:

Free Pick: College Basketball Siena -7

Hockey: Under 5.5 goals in the NJ game
College Basketball: Portland State +13.5 over Oregon

[Mr. IWS]

Chip Chirimbes

Rams

[Mr. IWS]

Al Demarco
5 Dime Seattle

[Mr. IWS]

Trusted Picks 12-12
Sides:

Portland state +13.5

[Mr. IWS]

NorthCoast Monday Night Magic Play Seattle -9
NorthCoast Monday Night Marquee Seattle/St Louis UN 38.5

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Ferrall Comp Play

CBB Port St +14

[Mr. IWS]

Charliesports
NFL. St.Louis @ Seattle under 37 500*

[Mr. IWS]

James Jones Premium

2* St Louis Rams +9.5 8:35pm est

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
Monday's Action
20 Dime winner going out on the Seattle Seahawks as the home favaorite agaicst the St. Louis Rams. As I release this winner, the Seahawks are a solid 10-point favorste both here in Vegas and offshore.

[Mr. IWS]

Sean Murphy MNF
Seattle Seahawks -10
Under for 1st HT

[Mr. IWS]

The Vegas Nightmare

Daily Member: Seattle -9.5, 3*

[Mr. IWS]

Asian Executive

10 Dime Blowout

Oregon -13.5

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Fin - Under MNF

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits

NCAAB

Fordham +8 -105

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Davis didn't have a premium play or a free play. He had a "lean" on Arkansas LR.

Steve Janus
NCAAB FREE PICK: Siena -8

Siena is worthy of a small wager if you are looking for some action on the hardwood tonight. While both teams come in with a couple of bad records, Siena has played the much tougher schedule up to this point.

The Saints snapped a five-game losing streak with a 64-60 win over Albany at home and nearly went on the road and upset Massachusetts, losing 78-82 as 13-point underdogs.

Fordham is just 3-5, but those three wins all came at home against some pretty bad opponents in Binghamton, Colgate, and Hampton. Fordham has played four road games this season, and none of them have even been close, losing by an average of 22-points.

This will be the Rams third straight game on the road, and fourth game in eight days. In their last two games they lost 47-81 at Manhattan and 65-80 at Monmouth. They haven't shot better than 36% in each of their last three games, and are shooting just 37% on the season. I look for Fordham to have extremely tired legs in this game, which should allow the Saints to take control early and never look back.

Siena 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. Atlantic 10, while Fordham is just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. BET THE SAINTS -8!


Dave Price
Free Play for 12/12/11
1 Unit on Arkansas-Little Rock +8
The Key: The Oral Roberts Golden Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. The Arkansas-LR Trojans, meanwhile, are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record. Take the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Runner 12/12 MNF
MNF Bookie Bet Bomb
Over

[Mr. IWS]

Just Cover, Baby

2* Seattle -9.5

[Mr. IWS]

kelso 10 sea 10 under 5 parlay on both