1-21-12

[poopoo333]

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[poopoo333]

Big Al Free Play:

Our complimentary selection for Saturday, January 21 is:
Ohio Bobcats -11 over Miami-OH Red Hawks.


]Big Al McMordie

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over California
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish + the points over Syracuse
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over New

[poopoo333]

Brandon Lang


75 Dime Play

Michigan State -8.5 over Purdue

His Free pick is Dayton +1.5 over Xavier.

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness' 10* Conf Game of the Year-CBB (10-2 w/CBB 10*s since Jan 1)
My 10* WAC Game of the year is on Idaho at 11:00 ET.

Stew Morrill’s accomplishments at Utah State are quite special, as he’s led the Aggies to 12 consecutive postseasons, winning at least 23 games each season. The only other schools which can say that are Kansas and Gonzaga (pretty good company). However, Utah State lost FOUR, senior starters off LY’s team. The do-everything 6-7 Wesley (14.8-8.0) and 6-9 Bendall (6.5-5.8) up front plus guards Williams and Newbold. PG Pane (11.8) is the lone returning starter and the 6-7 Jardine (7.5-7.0) is the only other returning contributor of note. Paine is playing well as expected (12.8-3.6 APG) but the 6-7 Jardine (7.7-7.7) is out with a foot injury. The 6-4 Medlin (missed last year) has come back strong as a sophomore, leading the team ins coring (14.7-4.0-3.1) but this group of Aggies (10-9 overall, 2-2 in league play) can be ‘had.’ And, that’s great news for the rest of the WAC. Let me submit for your approval, Idaho. The Vandals were picked to finish eighth in the WAC last year but head coach Don Verdin led them to an 18-14 season, including an appearance in the CollegeInsider.com tourney. There were more than a few losses from LY’s team but returning starter Geiger (12.8) has been joined by a number of LY’s reserves (now starters), to form a pretty decent group. Tatum (7.9-4.3 APG) has settled in nicely at PG opposite Geiger, 6-5 swingman Madison (12.7-5.8) is the team's leading scorer plus two big men, the 6-10 Barone (11.9-7.7) and the 6-8 Bandoumel (8.2-3.9) have all made major improvements TY with increased playing time. Freshman guard Hill (5.8) has also contributed well in just over 10 MPG. The Vandals beat the Aggies, a 30-win team last year, 64-56 at this venue last season. This year’s Utah St team hardly resembles that group and note that the Aggies will playing their FOURTH straight road game, over a 10-day stretch. Big night tonight, in Moscow!

Good luck...Larry

[Mr. IWS]

Dr Bob






COLLEGE

3 Star Selection
Yale (-5) over BROWN
21-Jan-12 11:00 AM Pacific
These teams played last Saturday and Yale only won by 4 points as a 12 ½ point home favorite. However, Brown made 12 of 23 3-point shots in that game (instead of their normal 36%) and that is not likely to repeat itself – especially since that game sets up Brown in a very negative 49-132-3 ATS situation. Yale has been much better on the road under coach James Jones (73-54-8 ATS) and the Bulldogs are also good when Jones has time to prepare his team. Yale is 69-45-4 ATS under Jones when he’s had 5 or more days off to prepare (or game 1 of the season), including 42-19-3 ATS on the road with extra time to prepare. My ratings favor Yale by 7 ½ points so we have line value to go along with the good situation and team trends. I’ll take Yale in a 3-Star Best Bet at -6 points or less and for 2-Stars up to -7 points.
Play Strength: 3-Stars at -6 or less, 2-Stars up to -7.
2 Star Selection
Smu (+13) over MEMPHIS
21-Jan-12 11:00 AM Pacific
SMU is an improved team now that they have everyone playing, as the additions of Shawn Williams (10 games ago) and Leslee Smith (11 games ago) have added two good defensive players to the rotation (they combine for 2.4 steals per game). Memphis has the occasional great game but they continue to disappoint their backers under coach Josh Pastner. The Tigers are just 13-30-2 ATS as a favorite of more than 4 points under Pastner (3-6 ATS this season) and their 1 point loss at UCF isn’t likely to make them play any better (they’re 5-11-1 ATS after a loss under Pastner). SMU applies to a 133-57-3 ATS big road underdog momentum situation that is based on their 70-54 win over Houston and that angle is 52-15-1 ATS if the opponent is off a loss. My ratings favor Memphis by 13 points, so the line is fair, and SMU has covered the spread in 13 consecutive road games (23-5-2 ATS in their last 30 lined road games). I’ll take SMU in a 2-Star Best Bet at +13 points or more.
Play Strength: 2-Stars at +13 or more.
2 Star Selection
MICHIGAN STATE (-7 ½) over Purdue
21-Jan-12 09:00 PM Pacific
Michigan State is coming off consecutive road losses to Northwestern and Michigan, but the Spartans should bounce back at home, where they have been very good bets against other good teams. Michigan State is 60-25-1 ATS at home when not favored by 10 points or more (2-0 this year with easy wins over Florida State and Indiana), including 35-5 ATS if their opponent has a win percentage of less than .750 – as is the case here. The Spartans are also 18-7 ATS at home after back-to-back losses under coach Tom Izzo. Purdue, meanwhile, isn’t as good away from home (52-58-2 ATS) as they are at home (55-35-1 ATS) under coach Matt Painter. My ratings favor Michigan State by 9 points using a standard home court advantage but Purdue has been 2.0 points worse on the road than their overall average game rating under Painter while Michigan State has been 1.0 points better at home. I’ll take Michigan State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -8 points or less.
Play Strength: 2-Stars at -8 or less.
2 Star Selection
EASTERN MICHIGAN (-2) over Toledo
21-Jan-12 11:00 PM Pacific
Eastern Michigan has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games and the Eagles are certainly improved since defensive minded 7-footer DaShonte Riley began playing 8 games ago, as Riley’s 1.0 steals and 1.3 blocks per game has raised the level of Eastern Michigan’s defense. The Eagles’ compensated defensive efficiency was 1.01 points per possession in the 9 Division 1 games that Riley didn’t play in at the beginning of the season and it’s 0.93 ppp in the 8 games with Riley (that’s a difference of about 5 ½ points). Eastern Michigan applies to a solid 19-1 ATS subset of a 63-27-4 ATS momentum situation. My ratings favor the Eagles by 3 points and I’ll take Eastern Michigan in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 or less.
Play Strength: 2-Stars at -3 or less.

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Spreitzer's CBB MATCHUP MISMATCH GAME OF THE YEAR! *19-6, 76% Run! - Saturday!

I'm laying the points with CS-Fullerton on Saturday night

Scott Spreitzer's 25* CONF BLOCKBUSTER GAME OF THE YEAR! *19-6, 76% CBB Run! - Saturday!

I'm laying the points with Pittsburgh on Saturday

[Mr. IWS]

BIG AL's NHL DIVISION TOTAL OF THE YEAR (13-1 RUN)

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames and Edmonton Oilers 'over' the total

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness' 10* Conference Total G.O.M.-CBB (6-1, 86% TY)-Day game

My 10* CAA Total of the Month is on Northeastern/Drexel Over at 4:00 ET.

[Mr. IWS]

Ben burns
10* new york knicks
10* san antonio spurs over
9* detroit pistons
10* detroit univ

[Mr. IWS]

PPP
5 Florida St