1-27-12

[Mr. IWS]

Note:

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[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness | NBA Sides
Free pick 824 POR -9.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=8) vs 823 PHOAnalysis: My free play is on the Por Blazers at 10:05 ET. The Blazers are happy to be home, after playing a stretch of SEVEN games away from home over their last nine. Portland went 2-5 SU and ATS in those games and fell to 3-7 SU and ATS on the road this season. The Blazers average a modest 90.4 PPG on 40.9 percent shooting in road games but here in the Rose Garden, the Blazers have gone 8-1 SU (7-1-1 ATS) while averaging 103.4 PPG on 45.8 percent shooting. About the only good news here for the Suns is that the team comes in well rested, having not played since Tuesday. However, that was hardly an impressive outing, as the Suns lost 99-96 at home to the 6-13 Raptors (4-8 on the road). It's hard to recognize this Suns team from recent additions, without a program. Steve Nash (14,5-10.4 APG) is still the PG but his 31.9 minutes per game are his fewest since the 1998-99 season (in Dallas) and his 10.4 assists per game are his least since 2008-09. Dudley (9.7) had been starting the in the backcourt with him (actually a forward) but now it's Price (4.7), which is hardly an improvement. Hill (9.2) is LONG past his prime at SF and now Kansas rookie Markieff Morris (7.5-5.1) has replaced Frye (7.1-5.9) in the starting lineup at PF (that is an improvement). It can be argued that former Orlando backup center Gortat (15.4-9.9), is now the team's best player, which pretty much sums up the state of the Suns. Warrick (8.6) was leading the team in scoring in the early going (coming off the bench) but his numbers keep dropping. Former Laker Shannon Brown (9.5) sometimes finds a good matchup and 'lights things up," but those efforts are not a nightly occurrence. Getting back to the Blazers, head coach Nate McMillan has an excellent seven-man rotation. Aldridge (22.5-8.9) and Wallace (13.3-7.3) surround Camby (3.2-9.4) up front with Matthews (13.4) taking over for Roy at SG and Felton (10.7-6.8) settling in nicely at PG. Crawford (13.3) was signed away from Atlanta to provide a scoring 'punch' off the bench while Batum (11.1-4.2) just may be the team's best athlete and is surely its best overall defender. Portland is seeking its SIXTH straight home victory over Phoenix tonight and should be well-focused. Phoenix caught Portland coming off a highly-satisfying win against the Lakers the previous night and handed Portland its worst defeat of the season back on Jan 6, winning 102-77. However, the Suns have hardly 'shown' since then, going 3-7 SU and ATS since besting the Blazers. What has also caught my attention is that the Suns have pretty much 'stopped playing defense." Except for a 79-71 win at Boston in the 10-game stretch since last taking on the Blazers, the Suns have allowed 100.3 PPG in their other nine games. I mentioned earlier that the Blazers are averaging 103.4 PPG at home this year and also that the Blazers have won FIVE straight home meetings vs the Suns. Let me add here that in those five wins, the Blazers are averaging a whopping 114.0 PPG! The Blazers should win this going away.
Good luck...Larry

[Mr. IWS]

Joe Gavezzi paid play $20
NBA ATL -6 over DET

[Mr. IWS]

Brandon lang

20 dime conference money move
yale +6