1-30-12

[Mr. IWS]

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

TEXAS +108 over Missouri

The Tigers come in as the second ranked team in the land while the Longhorns are currently unranked. That's according to the official AP Poll, the most widely recognized of them all. However, there are many polls and one could argue all day about which is the most accurate. These polls don't have Texas in the top 25, yet there are a couple of highly regarded “number crunchers” that insist otherwise. For instance Ken Pomeroy has the Longhorns ranked as high as #20 based on its strength of schedule, which is ranked 13th toughest in the nation while the Tigers schedule ranks 128th toughest. Big difference and when you consider that Texas will play its third road game in past four and third on the road in nine days, it makes the Longhorns even more appealing. Make no mistake, Missouri is a strong team but they really haven't had a difficult schedule, they're a poor rebounding team and they've only played five road games all year. Texas is as battle tested as anyone. They've lost four of five but losses to #7 Baylor, #22 K-State and #4 Kansas are nothing to hang your head over. Against #4 Kansas they lost by three and at K-State they lost by four. On Saturday, the Longhorns lost by five at Baylor. These two played at Mizzou just over two weeks ago. The Tigers won by nine but Texas outrebounded them 41-30 and lost because the Tigers hit 10-21 from long range and got to the line seven more times. Now the venue switches to the Frank Erwin Center, where the Longhorns are 12-1 with only loss coming to #4 Kansas. Mizzou has played just five road games all season and they're just 3-2 in those contests. They lost at Oklahoma State and at K-State and it surely doesn't get easier here. Play: Texas +108 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

PAUL LEINER
500* NBA Over 188.5 Blazers/Jazz

100* CBB Pitt +6.5
50* CBB Penn -2

[Mr. IWS]

Totals 4 U

Top Play
Chic/Wash UNDER

Reg Plays
Det/Milw OVER
SA/Memp UNDER
Port/Utah OVER
OKC/LAC OVER

[Mr. IWS]

GREG SHAKER

30 JAN
2* 747 W.Carolina / 748 Wofford Over 129.5

[Mr. IWS]

POWER PLAY WINS

Miami Heat (-12) Over New Orleans Hornets

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

PHILADELPHIA -7 over Orlando

Before the season began there were many questions about how the Magic were going to perform with an unhappy Dwight Howard setting the mood. A 12-5 start quashed any negativity but it now appears as things could blow up at any moment after three straight losses and four losses in five games. It started with the Magic blowing a 25-point lead against the Celts. They lost at home yesterday by 21 to Indiana. Now Orlando will play its sixth game since last Monday and fourth game in five days. Losing takes its toll and when your star played has been wanting out for months, it's magnified even more. This is about the worst spot possible for Orlando. They beat the 76ers all three times last season and they'll come in here as a fragile and uninspired bunch. Philly must be licking its chops for a chance to get at this team that has not only beaten them three straight but in eight of the past nine meetings. The 76ers are playing great ball and they'ren tei much healthier where it counts most, that being in their collective minds. Play: Philadelphia -7 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).

Portland +110 over UTAH

A well rested and superior Trail Blazers team offers up much more value than a young and overvalued Jazz team. Utah went on an unlikely run that saw them run its record to 9-4 after opening the year 1-3. They've gone 2-2 in its last four and they're coming off a win on Saturday. In other words, their stock has not dropped much at all and that allows us to take advantage of the wrong side being favored. Utah's last three games are more revealing of who they really are. They lost by 15 to Dallas, they lost at home to the Raptors and they're coming off a narrow three-point win at home over the Kings. The Jazz have some scoring with Al Jefferson, Devin Harris, Paul Millsap and C.J. Miles but all are suspect defensively and this team is oing to take its lumps because of it. The Taril Blazers are a fundamentally sound team that is so tough to beat. They work hard and they play hard on every possession. They come in just a game ahead of the Jazz but they've won three of four and Marcus Camby is coming off a 20 rebound game. The man is a monster in the middle when he's healthy. Bottom line is that the Jazz are much more flawed than the Trail Blazers. For a young team like the Jazz to beat a veteran and more talented team, the situation has to be in their favor and this one is not. Play: Portland +110 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

DOC SPORTS
4 Unit Play. #745 Take Missouri -1 over Texas (9 pm ESPN)

[Mr. IWS]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS
2-Unit Play. #741 Take Pittsburgh (+6.5) over West Virginia

[Mr. IWS]

Master Release Confidential
Plays for Monday, January 30
Princeton +2
Southeast Missouri State +2
Missouri -1

[Mr. IWS]

JOE SAKO

NBA
3 units Heat -12
2 units Wizards +9

NCAA
2 units Tennessee Tech -17

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK

3 Milw

[Mr. IWS]

charliesports 10* (free pick)


(NBA) New Orleans +12

[Mr. IWS]

SweetJones55

1.5* Portland Trail Blazers -1
1* Milwaukee Bucks -4 1st Half

[Mr. IWS]

David Malinsky

4* Spurs +6

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Penn -2

[Mr. IWS]

DOC SPORTS30 JAN
4-Unit Play #705 Take New Orleans +12 over Miami (7:30 p.m. EST Monday)
3-Unit Play #713 Take Portland/Utah OVER 187 (9 p.m. EST, Monday)
3-Unit Play #717 Take Oklahoma City -2 over LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST, Monday)

[Mr. IWS]

BETONE/ALL STARS
Tim Buzan
3* Tenn Tech/SIU/Edwardsville Ov 140.5
3* Pitt/West Va Un 137.5
3* Miami NewOrleans Un 186

[Mr. IWS]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS
3-Unit Play. Take #710 Memphis (-5.5) over San Antonio (8 p.m., Monday, Jan. 30)

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd 1/30
5* Orlando Magic +7.5

4* West Virginia -6

3* New Orleans Hornets +13

[Mr. IWS]

indian cowboy

4 units texas +1 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

11th hour

5 pitt +6
3 a.peay +3

[Mr. IWS]

Guy Murphy

NBA
5* Milwaukee Bucks -7

[Mr. IWS]

ROBERT FERRINGO

CBB:
#745 Missouri (-1) over Texas (9 p.m., Monday, Jan. 30)

NBA Game of the Month
Milwaukee (-7) over Detroit (8 p.m., Monday, Jan. 30)

Houston (-6.5) over Minnesota (8 p.m., Monday, Jan. 30)
New Orleans (+12) over Miami (7:30 p.m., Monday, Jan. 30)

[Mr. IWS]

Beat Your Bookie

NCAA
Princeton +2
Missouri -1

NBA
Phila -5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Illuminati

Detroit/Milwaukee UNDER 181.5 -110
Missouri/Texas UNDER 145.5 -110
Portland/Utah OVER 188.5 -110

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Bet Services

Milwaukee Bucks v Detroit Pistons
Line: Milwaukee -7

Portland Trailblazers v Utah Jazz
Line: Over 188

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN CHANG

---Start Time 7:00 PM EST---
Pittsburgh Panthers +5.5 over WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS, 10 dimes
Look out for Jamie Dixon's squad. After a disasterous start to Big East Play, it looks as though they've finally gotten it together in time for a longshot try at another NCAA tourney bid. WVU is fresh off a pair of losses, and I expect Pitt to catch them off balance tonight in this basketball edition of the Backyard Brawl.

---Start Time 7:05 PM EST---
PHILADELPHIA 76ERS -7 over Orlando Magic, 10 dimes
This Sixers team continues to surge SU and ATS, especially at home where they are 10-2 against the books. They are also catching the Magic at an opportune time. Orlando has dropped three straight, and coach Van Gundy is struggling to find answers.

---Start Time 8:05 PM EST---
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES -5.5 over San Antonio Spurs, 10 dimes
The Grizz have been a fiesty bunch all season, even without Z-Bo in the lineup. They've dropped three in a row, all on the road, but I like their chances tonight as they return home against the Spurs. San Antonio's old legs will be tired after yesterday's marathon against the Mavs, and I believe the younger Memphis squad will capitalize.

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio | NBA Sides
double-dime bet 714 UTA -1.5 (-110) Bodog (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=5) vs 713 POR Analysis: Play on Utah at 9:05 ET. Despite some recent struggles, we continue to like the Jazz at home. Particularly here against a poor traveler such as Portland. The Blazers enter Monday's action just 3-7 SU/ATS on the road this season, including a loss to Detroit on 1.21. Their previous road game was an eight-point loss at Golden State. They've also been blown out by 25 at Phoenix (who they just beat by 38 at home on Saturday). Meanwhile after a huge 9-2 SU/8-3 ATS run, Utah is just 1-4 ATS its last five games overall, including 0-3 ATS at home. Look for a bounce back tonight. This is a really small number considering the home/road dichotomy of both teams. Portland is just 5-15 ATS when getting six or less pts on the road & 8-19 ATS on the road off a home win. The Blazers' scoring average dips all the way down to 90.7 PPG on the road where they shoot just 28% from three-point range. Take Utah.

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Missouri Tigers vs. Texas Longhorns
Big Monday closes out on the college hardwood with a solid Big 12 battle between the Missouri Tigers (19-2, 10-6 ATS) and Texas Longhorns (13-8, 6-10 ATS) from Austin; tip-off form the Frank Erwin Special Events Center is set to go live on ESPN at 9:00 ET.

With the Kansas Jayhawks falling at Iowa State on Saturday, Missouri was able to gain a game on them in the Big 12 standings by taking out the Texas Tech Red Raiders at home a game after getting upset in Stillwater against the Oklahoma State Cowboys. With the “Border War” scheduled to go next Saturday, this is a huge road trip for Head Coach Frank Haith’s top 5 ranked squad who’ve only posted W’s in three of their five true road games played to date (2-3 ATS). Mizzou has beaten Baylor (89-88) and Iowa State (76-69) on the Big 12 road, but also has losses to K-State and OK State on its resume. A win here would allow them to remain only a game back of the Jayhawks who get to host an Oklahoma squad it pounded in the second half to pull out the 72-61 road win and cover; it’s safe to say they’ll sweep the season series on Wednesday night.

The Longhorns put up a heck of a fight in Waco over the weekend, but in the end, Head Coach Rick Barnes’ squad ultimately succumbed and fell by a 76-71 final count as seven-point underdogs. That means UT will enter tonight’s spot losers in four of their L/5 Big 12 tussles with the lone win coming at home in a non-covering effort against the Iowa State Cyclones. Losses to Mizzou, K-State, Kansas, and Baylor were incurred during that stretch, and that’s something that can’t sit well with the folks in Austin who once again had to sit through a mediocre football campaign. Already with eight losses under its belt, it’s time for Texas to circle the wagons and pull an upset that will impress the NCAA Tournament committee. To date, the only solid win it owns came against Temple back in mid December – a lot of losing has occurred since. As it is, UT’s won 12 of its 13 home games but only stands 3-5 ATS in its eight lined games.

These teams met a couple weeks back in Columbia where the Tigers handed the Horns an 84-73 loss as 9.5-point chalk. The win was Mizzou’s fourth both SU & ATS in the L/5 against UT; the ‘over’ is 3-2 during that stretch. The favorite has covered eight of the L/10 overall meetings, but the home team has come out on top of the pointspread battle in five of the L/6. Texas stands 6-1 SU & ATS the L/7 times it hosted Missouri, but stands a poor 5-11 ATS versus the L/16 +.500 opponents it’s faced. Mizzou’s 4-1 ATS its L/5 Big Monday battles, but has only posted a 17-38 ATS tally the L/55 times it went into a +.500 home team’s house. These teams have played to the ‘under’ at a 4-0-1 clip the L/5 in Austin.

PICK: UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers
100,000* Bulls