4-14-12

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We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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MMA Professor - UFC From Sweden Picks (4/14)

Picks:

Thiago Silva (+196) over Alex Gustaffson

Diego Nunes (- 160) over Dennis Siver

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Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Colorado Rockies + Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5

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Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

New York Rangers -160 over Ottawa Senators

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Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Cleveland Cavaliers +4 over Washington Wizards

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Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:

Leeds United + Peterborough United OVER 2.5
This match is happening in England

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Hot lines: Saturday's best MLB bets

Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees (-120, 9.5)

The New York Yankees’ offense looked pretty good heading into Friday’s matinee against the Angels, and that was before Alex Rodriguez got cooking.

After going just 4-for-23 in the first two series of the season, A-Rod swatted his 630th career homer and finished with three hits to pace the Yanks to a 5-0 victory. The dinger pulled Rodriguez into a tie with Ken Griffey Jr. for fifth place on the all-time list.

Rodriguez moved to the No. 3 hole in the lineup instead of his usual clean-up spot, swapping places with Robinson Cano.

“No matter where you hit, you have to just basically produce,” Rodriguez told reporters. “I know it does one thing; it presents a situation or a decision for the opposing manager each and every day. At some point, someone should get a pretty favorable matchup.”

With Hiroki Kuroda dealing, the Angels were held to only five hits Friday but should be able to get to Phil Hughes a bit.

Pick: Over

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox (-135, 9)

With the BoSox sliding into their home opener, Fenway Park’s 101st anniversary season, something had to give.

Josh Beckett bounced back from a dreadful start that saw him give up five homers, throwing eight strong innings while the Red Sox offense exploded in a 12-2 destruction of the Rays.

Kelly Shoppach had three hits, two RBIs, and scored three runs against his former team and Boston sent 14 batters to the plate in the eighth inning, when they pushed across eight runs.

“It was a very fortuitous game for the Red Sox, a lot of things fell in,” Rays manager Joe Maddon told reporters. “It was just one of those days. It was the Red Sox’s day.”

With Clay Buchholz and Jeremy Hellickson sharing the hill Saturday afternoon, we could see some more runs on the board. Buchholz was drilled in his first start of the year and the over has cashed in 11 of Hellickson’s last 16 road starts.

Pick: Over

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Ice picks: Saturday's best NHL bets

Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins (-180, 5) odds provided by logans

The Boston Bruins look to take a 2-0 series lead and sweep the opening games of the series at TD Garden on Saturday afternoon.

Chris Kelly scored the lone goal at 1:18 of overtime and Tim Thomas posted his sixth career playoff shutout to lift Boston to a 1-0 victory on Thursday. Washington played a strong defensive game, but failed to mount any offense in the first two periods, only putting seven shots on goal.

Goaltending was a huge area of concern for the Capitals coming into the postseason because of injuries to Michal Neurvirth (lower body) and Tomas Vokoun (groin). Braden Holtby rose to the occasion, stopping 29 of the 30 shots he faced in Game 1.

The netminder has allowed only eight goals in his past six outings for the Capitals, including four starts where he has conceded one goal or less.

Part of the Bruins' defensive plan was to limit forward Alex Ovechkin's chances in the series. Ovechkin was held to just one shot while mostly matched up against Boston defenseman Zdeno Chara in Game 1.

Goals could be hard to come by again in Game 2.

Pick: Under

Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers (-165, 5) odds provided by logans

After missing the playoffs last season with a broken ankle, New York Rangers captain Ryan Callahan made his presence felt during Thursday's 4-2 victory over the Ottawa Senators.

Callahan scored his team's first goal and unleashed a game-high seven hits as the top-seeded Rangers claimed the early edge in the Eastern Conference quarterfinal series. The eighth-seeded Senators will look to respond on Saturday if they hope to return to Canada's capital with a split in the series.

While Callahan was solid, Lundqvist bordered on sensational. The likely Vezina Trophy candidate turned aside 30 shots before yielding two late third-period goals. With his 16th postseason triumph, Lundqvist pulled even with John Davidson for fourth place in the Rangers' all-time playoff wins list.

Brian Boyle has found his scoring touch, collecting his fourth goal in his last five games. Boyle had 11 tallies in the regular season.

Ottawa will be tighter in Game 2 but will still have a tough time solving Lundqvist.

Pick: Under

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Accuscore

Written By Shahan Ahmed
Follow him @perfectpass (http://twitter.com/perfectpass) on Twitter
Okay, so even I didn’t expect to be up over 700% (734% to be exact) when I started making picks. Currently, I’ve picked 6 in a row correctly and 8 of my last 9. Overall, our net profit is up to 3,670 units with a picks record of 52-27. Considering I only pick on value that returns better than even money, I dare you to find a better football handicapper this season. If you do, then, I’m happy for you, but I haven’t seen anyone who can provide picks at the level I’ve been operating at.


1. Blackburn Rovers v Swansea City:Blackburn Rovers +0.5 at 1.962

Swansea don’t have much to play for and have lost 4 in a row by rather convincing margins. Still, Swansea are 10 points safe at the moment, while Rovers are 3 points from safety. Blackburn have been playing well recently and were unfortunate not to get a point against Liverpool. Rovers were also better than the 2-0 loss they suffered to United, so even money is on offer for a relegation threatened side playing against an out of form team with nothing to play for.

2. Sevilla v Getafe:Sevilla 2.740

Sevilla have won 4 of their last 5 matches and have looked a good side recently. Their only loss during the last 5 matches was away to Athletic Bilbao, a 1-0 result. Getafe are a strong side at home, but we gp to the computer on this pick. The computer has Sevilla at 50% to win the match, whereas oddsmakers currently give Sevilla a 36% chance of winning. There’s value here and these odds are worth the play.

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Pick 'n' roll: Saturday's Best NBA Bets

Oddsmakers have yet to set a line for the Jazz-Grizzlies matchup. Pick should be considered an early lean.

Boston Celtics at New Jersey Nets (7, 184.5)

The aging Boston Celtics are getting their toughest test of the compacted lockout schedule with three games in three days.

After mailing in the first night at Toronto, the Celtics will be looking to rediscover their sense of urgency at the New Jersey Nets. Boston knocked off four straight playoff teams before shooting 37.5 percent against the Raptors. The Nets did the Celtics a solid by taking out the Philadelphia 76ers on Friday.

Boston had everyone anointing it as a title contender after rolling through the Indiana Pacers, 76ers, Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks. The Celtics were within two games of the Pacers for the No. 3 seed in the Eastern Conference entering Friday but fell three games back with an uncharacteristically poor performance at Toronto.

Boston’s big Achilles heel is rebounding, and the Raptors exposed that by crashing the boards. The highlight lately has been Rajon Rondo, who extended his streak of double-digit assist games to 20 with 12 on Friday.

Pick: Under

Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies (N/A)

The Memphis Grizzlies are trying to catch the Los Angeles Clippers for the fourth seed in the Western Conference, but they also have to be wary of a number of pursuers within striking distance of the No. 5 slot.

The Utah Jazz are on the outside of the playoff picture, sitting 1.5 games out of the final playoff spot as they prepare to visit the Grizzlies on Saturday night.

Memphis’ four-game winning streak was snapped at San Antonio on Thursday.

Memphis had held 11 consecutive opponents under 100 points until Thursday’s 107-97 loss to the Spurs. Zach Randolph had his fourth double-double in five games and is averaging 13.2 points and 11.4 rebounds during that stretch. After he was forced to sit out 2.5 months with a knee injury, Randolph is still not ready to rejoin the starting unit.

''Zach can come in and score anytime,” Grizzlies coach Lionel Hollins said. “He's getting his double-doubles, so what else is there?''

Pick: Grizzlies

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Saturday’s Betting Tips

"Cubs-Cards umpire cashing UNDER bets"

Weather to watch

Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals – 21 mph winds are expected to blow out to left-center field.

Who’s HOT

NBA: Golden State has covered in 10 of its last 13 road games.

NBA: Memphis is 4-1 against the spread in its last five.

NHL: The under is 39-19-4 in the last 64 meetings between Boston and Washington.

NHL: San Jose has won 11 of its last 16 games in St. Louis.

MLB: Phil Cuzzi, the scheduled plate umpire for Saturday’s Cubs-Cards matchup has seen the under go 30-14-6 in his last 50.

Who’s NOT

NBA: New Jersey is 3-8 against the spread in its last 11 home games against Boston.

NBA: Minnesota is 1-9 against the spread in its last 10.

NHL: Ottawa has lost four straight.

NHL: Chicago has lost four in a row against Phoenix.

MLB: Pittsburgh is 5-11 in its last 16 games against San Francisco.

Key Stat

6 – The Ottawa Senators have scored just six times over their last four games – all losses. During the regular season, the Senators owned the fourth-best offense in the NHL, averaging three goals per game.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Gerald Wallace, New Jersey Nets – The Nets ruled Wallace out of Friday’s game early as the 6-foot-7 forward deals with a hamstring issue and said he would be questionable for Saturday’s contest against the Boston Celtics. Wallace is averaging 13.6 points and 6.6 rebounds per game.

Game of the day

Phoenix Suns at San Antonio Spurs (-9, 208.5)

Notable quotable

"As a baseball player, going there to work, it's a dump. I mean, it's old. It does have a great feel and nostalgia, but at the end of the day, I'd rather be at a good facility where I can get my work in. A place where I can go hit in the cage, where I have space and it's a little more comfortable to come to work. You're packed in like sardines there. It's hard to get your work in. ... You have to go to their weight room if you want to lift. From a fan's perspective, it's probably pretty cool to go see a game at a historic park. But from a player's point of view, it's not a place where you want to go to work." – Tampa Bay Rays DH Luke Scott telling MLB.com about Fenway Park. The Rays had won five of their last six games at Fenway before getting hammered 12-2 on Friday.

Notes and Tips

The Phoenix Coyotes overcame the loss of 35-goal scorer Radim Vrbata to earn a Game 1 win over Chicago, but his status for Game 2 is questionable. He has been listed as day-to-day with the dreaded upper-body injury after playing just 30 seconds in the first game of the series. Reports out of Phoenix indicate he did work out with the team Friday.

Kansas City Royals manager Ned Yost is trying to be patient with closer Jonathan Broxton, who blew his first save of the year Wednesday. It was pretty ugly. Broxton came on in the 12th with a 4-3 lead over Oakland only to hit a pair of batters, issue two walks, pick up an error, and allow two runs in the 5-4 loss. “I talked to Broxton today, and he just lost command of his fastball,” Yost said. “But he’s a two-time All-Star, and he has really rebounded nicely from this arm surgery. He’s got his velocity back up to 97, 98, with an 86-, 87-mph slider, which is a killer, hard slider.”

Orlando Magic center Dwight Howard was diagnosed by a doctor in Los Angeles with a herniated disc in his lower back, a team spokesman said Friday. Howard flew out earlier Friday to receive a second opinion from Dr. Robert Watkins. His initial diagnosis was back spasms. Howard is expected to fly back to Orlando where he will undergo treatment on Saturday. There is no timetable for his return. Howard is averaging 20.6 points and 14.5 rebounds in 54 games this season.

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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 556-286 (.660)
ATS: 446-430 (.509)
ATS Vary Units: 1154-1046 (.525)
Over/Under: 424-445 (.488)
Over/Under Vary Units: 838-941 (.471)

L.A. CLIPPERS 104, Golden State 93
WASHINGTON 98, Cleveland 94
Boston 92, NEW JERSEY 86
Oklahoma City 107, MINNESOTA 98
MEMPHIS 99, Utah 94
MILWAUKEE 97, Indiana 96
SAN ANTONIO 105, Phoenix 98

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Rays.

Saturday it’s the Texas Rangers. The deficit is 496 sirignanos.

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Hondo

It was Double-Flusher Friday for Hondo yesterday as he swirled down the drain with the Rays and Twins, causing the losing streak to grow to five and the debt to a perfectly striking 300 kanehls.

Today, Mr. Aitch will take a shot with a 10-unit investment on Niese and the Metamucils to flush the Phillies. As they say in Nigeria: Goodluck Jonathon.

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Clippers -10

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Minnesota Timberwolves +11

Kansas City Royals -135

JIMMY BOYD

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 827- 607 (57 %) over the last 3 years PLUS

Free winner Sat wash nationals -130

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Today's MLB Picks

Arizona at Colorado

The Diamondbacks look to bounce back from yesterday's 7-6 loss to Colorado and take advantage of the Rockies' 0-8 record in their last 8 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Arizona is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Diamondbacks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+130). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, APRIL 14
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Volstad) 15.169; St. Louis (Lynn) 16.457
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-200); Over


Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Washington (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.575; Washington (Jackson) 15.070
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+110); Under


Game 955-956: NY Mets at Philadelphia (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 13.984; Philadelphia (Worley) 15.336
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-145); Under


Game 957-958: Houston at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 14.277; Miami (Zambrano) 13.260
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Miami (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+155); Over


Game 959-960: Milwaukee at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Marcum) 14.691; Atlanta (Minor) 15.603
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Under


Game 961-962: Arizona at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Collmenter) 15.624; Colorado (Chacin) 14.263
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+130); Over


Game 963-964: Pittsburgh at San Francisco (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.121; San Francisco (Zito) 14.439
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130); Under


Game 965-966: San Diego at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Wieland) 15.427; LA Dodgers (Lilly) 16.965
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-135); Over


Game 967-968: LA Angels at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 14.977; NY Yankees (Hughes) 14.187
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+105); Under


Game 969-970: Texas at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 17.038; Minnesota (Blackburn) 14.056
Dunkel Line: Texas by 3; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-160); Over


Game 971-972: Baltimore at Toronto (4:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hammel) 14.370; Toronto (Alvarez) 15.789
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-160); Under


Game 973-974: Tampa Bay at Boston (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 15.437; Boston (Buchholz) 14.945
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+115); Over


Game 975-976: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Wilk) 16.602; White Sox (Floyd) 16.195
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100); Under


Game 977-978: Cleveland at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Gomez) 14.792; Kansas City (Sanchez) 15.553
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-140); Over


Game 979-980: Oakland at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 14.804; Seattle (Noesi) 16.055
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-115); Under

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Today's NHL Picks

Washington at Boston

The Capitals look to bounce back from their 1-0 loss in Game 1 and build on their 9-1 record in their last 10 games when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Washington is the pick (+165) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+165). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, APRIL 14
Time Posted 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 73-74: Washington at Boston (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 13.001; Boston 12.225
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-185); 5
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+165); Under


Game 75-76: Ottawa at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.766; NY Rangers 11.404
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-165); Over


Game 77-78: San Jose at St. Louis (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.961; St. Louis 10.735
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+150); Under


Game 79-80: Chicago at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.457; Phoenix 11.778
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-105); Over

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Today's NBA Picks

Boston at New Jersey

The Celtics look to build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 games at New Jersey. Boston is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-6). Here are all of today's picks


SATURDAY, APRIL 14
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST


Game 701-702: Golden State at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 110.535; LA Clippers 120.607
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10; 201
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 11 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+11 1/2); Over


Game 703-704: Cleveland at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 108.782; Washington 111.125
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 198
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+4); Under


Game 705-706: Boston at New Jersey (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 123.517; New Jersey 113.232
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 10 1/2; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 6; 183
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-6); Under


Game 707-708: Utah at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 119.104; Memphis 128.130
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 9; 203
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 5 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-5 1/2); N/A


Game 709-710: Oklahoma City at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 122.498; Minnesota 112.970
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+11); Under


Game 711-712: Indiana at Milwaukee (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 121.448; Milwaukee 122.648
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 3 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3 1/2); Over


Game 713-714: Phoenix at San Antonio (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 122.041; San Antonio 132.325
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 10 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-9); Over

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Valley Sports
3* Washington (Jackson) Over Cincinnati (Bailey)
3* Milwaukee (Marcum)/Atlanta (Minor) Under The Total
3* San Antonio Spurs -9
3* San Antonio/Phoenix Over 208½
2* Colorado (Chacin) Over Arizona (Collmenter)
2* Detroit (Wilk) Over Chicago White Sox (Floyd)
2* Minnesota Timberwolves +10½
2* Indiana Pacers +3½

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Cardinals(RL)
A's
Spurs

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JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 7 runs bet. Oakland and Seattle

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Turner 4/14
4/14/2012
Game: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
Pick: Over 8 (-110)

MLB so far: 5-4
+18,9 Units.

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Sports Wagers MLB

Tampa Bay +126 over BOSTON Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com/)
Jeremy Hellickson was a big-time prospect that put up big-time ERA and WHIP a year ago but a decaying strikeout rate and control left him with soft skills set that was masked by low hit rate and high strand rate. Minor league pedigree suggests that if no injury involved, the skills should at least partially return and we saw that in his season debut when he three-hit the Yanks in 8.2 innings and shut them out. Hellickson was terrific against righties last year and he was outstanding when he pitched with the bases empty. His ceiling remains high. Clay Buchholz may have been the most fortunate starter in MLB in 2011. He had a 28% hit rate and a 77% strand rate along with a tiny 11% line-drive %. In addition, his average fastball velocity decreased from 94.1 mph in 2010 to 92.6 mph in 2011 to 91.1 in his season debut. He also saw his FB% increase from 32% to 39%. We can blame some of these concerns on a back problem that eventually sidelined him. But keep in mind that he still doesn't own the skills of a sub-4.00 ERA pitcher. We’re not going to put too much weight on Buchholz’s season debut against the Tigers in Detroit but what we are putting weight on is the value that Hellickson and the Rays offer up here. Play: Tampa Bay +126 (Risking 2 units).

Pittsburgh +136 over SAN FRANSICO Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com/)
The Giants were 0-3 on the season when the 126 Million Dollar Man, Barry Zito took the mound in Colorado. It didn’t look good for the Giants to get into the “W” column. All Zito did was go out and throw a complete game shutout to become the second lefty in history to shut out the Rockies at Coors Field. The old saying is that “even a blind squirrel finds a nut” and that certainly applies here. Zito is not back. His control and strikeout rate have been declining for years. This past spring, Zito continued to be very hittable, posting a 7.91 ERA over 19.IP in which he gave up 32 hits and 12 walks (2.28 WHIP). Opponents hit .405 against him. Whether the Rockies were sleeping that day or not is a mystery but what occurred defies logic. Based on logic and everything we understand about pitching a baseball, Zito remains a great fade because his skills are among the least appealing in the league. Don’t expect a repeat of his performance in Colorado. Play: Pittsburgh +136 (Risking 2 units).

N.Y. Mets +132 over PHILADELPHIA Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com/)
Jonathon Niese is an in-game adjustment away from becoming one of the NL's best starting pitchers. His skills were off the charts the first time through the lineup and remained elite the second time through. Rib cage strain ended his season in late August, perhaps mercifully, given the July-August hit and strand percentages that were wrecking his numbers. On base average history and health are issues but everything else screams breakout. Niese’s command now at elite levels, his groundball % continues upward creep and was outstanding all last season. Niese is under the radar right now and that allows us to step in and take back a pretty generous offer here. Vance Worley is another starter who could offer up some nice value down the road. He was fantastic in the spring and went 11-3 with a 3.01 ERA for the Phillies last season. He, too, is under the radar but fewer grounders and more line-drives in 2H cause for pause and he’s not the one taking back a tag. Additionally, the Mets are this year’s surprise so far after week one with a 5-2 record while the 3-4 Phillies are more beatable than they’ve been in some time. Play: N.Y. Mets +132 (Risking 2 units).

San Diego +128 over LOS ANGELES Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com/)
The Dodgers stock is way too high after opening the year with a 7-1 mark. A correction in their W/L record is forthcoming and it could very well begin here. Ted Lilly began the year on the DL but comes off to make this start. Traditionally he’s been a slow starter with a 5-5 record and 4.30 ERA in April over the past three seasons. At the age of 36 and without a full spring training, his risk increases. The Padres send out rookie Joe Wieland. Wieland is a strike-throwing machine who dominates without an overpowering fastball. His heater sits in the 88-92 range but does have some good late tailing action. He complements the fastball with a good curveball and a nice change-up for a solid three-pitch mix. He throws strikes and is fearless. He walked only 21 while striking out 155 in 2011 and has the disposition, arsenal and confidence to succeed at this level. He’s been on our radar for a couple of years and should be on yours too. Play: San Diego +128 (Risking 2 units).

Adam Wilk (LHP) Detroit
In a rather surprising decision, the Tigers have elected to call up Adam Wilk to start today and at least temporarily take the spot vacated by the injured Doug Fister. Wilk made five appearances with the Tigers last season, all in relief, and in 13.1 innings recorded a 5.40 ERA. He struggled during spring training with a 7.50 ERA and just five strikeouts in 12 innings. Wilk allowed just one hit in five innings in his first Triple-A start and it was apparently enough to earn himself at least one start with the Tigers. It's worth noting that he has had some issues with the long ball, as he allowed three home runs in 13.1 innings with Detroit and three more in spring training.

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National Sports Service
4* Dodgers (LILLY) -140 over San Diego (WIELAND)
3* Colorado (CHACIN) -130 over Arizona (COLLMENTER)
3* Oklahoma City -10½ over Minnesota (NBA)

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Sportbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Colorado Rockies + Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5

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Shaker

MLB: 977 CLE / 978 KAN
OVER 8.5 (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=57?AflId=63360)Justbet (http://justbet.cx/) triple dime

973 TAM / 974 BOS
OVER 9 Bookmaker.com (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=8?AflId=63360) double dime
NHL: 79 CHI (-105) BetOnline (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=7?AflId=63360) vs 80 PHO double dime (play is chi)

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NSA
20* Golden St @ LA Clippers Under 196
20* Detroit Tigers +105
20* L A Angels +115
10* Cincinnati Reds +105
10* Boston Celtics -6
10* Indiana Pacers +3½

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Paul Leiner:

1500* NBA Over 183 Nets/Celtics

100* MLB Braves -105

50* MLB Over 7 Pirates/Giants

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WUNDERDOG
MLB 25-29 Season-to-Date +$1680
Game: Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Los Angeles Angels +110 (moneyline)

The Angel bats were stymied yesterday afternoon at the Stadium as Hiroki Kuroda pitched a gem and shutout the Angels on 5 hits over 8+ innings of work. The Bombers unloaded a pair of home runs off the bats of Granderson and Arod which proved decisive. The Angels will send CJ Wilson to the mound who made a splash in his Angel debut allowing 1 run in 7 innings. Wilson is now 32-15 in his last 47 decisions and rapidly becoming an ace. Phil Hughes could not get out of the 5th inning, and the one prized Yankee prospect has not had a lot of success as a starter on the major league level. Angels have bounced back big after scoring 2 or less runs in their previous game at 38-15 in their last 53. Yanks lineup being shutdown by a pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1,15, as they are 1-6 in their last 7. Play on the Angels.

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Hoopsgooroo

968 Yanks -123 @ 1:05p
969 Rangers -160 @ 1:10p
953 Reds +102 @ 4:05p
973 Rays +125 @4:05p
976 White Sox -113 @ 4:10p
957 Astros +147 @ 7:10p
977 Indians +128 @ 7:10p
963 Pirates +138 @ 9:05p
965 Padres +127 @ 9:10p