4-20-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

The Sports Capper

100* Play Memphis (-13.5) over Charlotte (TOP NBA PLAY)
7:00 PM EST

Charlotte has lost 18 of the last 26 games against the spread as a home underdog and they have also lost 21 of the last 30 games against the spread when playing eight or more games in ten days. Charlotte has lost 25 of the last 36 games against the spread coming off two or more UNDER the totals and they have also lost 8 of the last 9 games against the spread coming off a combined score of 175 points or less in their last game.

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Friday

100* Play Tampa Bay (-180) over Minnesota (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST

Tampa Bay has won 39 of the last 63 games when playing in the month of April and they have also won 106 of the last 51 games as a home favorite of -150 to -200. Tampa Bay has won 91 of the last 158 games coming off an OVER the total and they have also won 97 of the last 166 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.

50* Play LA Angels (-145) over Baltimore (MBL BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Miami (+105) over Washington (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* LA Dodgers -130

50* NY Yankees -110

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Los Angeles Lakers at San Antonio Spurs

The Los Angeles Lakers (40-23, 27-36 ATS) did not meet the current top seeds in the Western Conference, the San Antonio Spurs (45-16, 38-20-3 ATS), this season until April 11th, but the teams now face each other for the third time in nine days on Friday night at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX at 9:30 ET on ESPN. The teams exchanged double-digit road wins in the first two meetings and each club won its last game on the road Wednesday night to maintain its position in the standings.

The Spurs gave Tim Duncan the night off and limited the minutes of Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker on Wednesday, but it did not matter as they still routed the Sacramento Kings 127-102, improving their NBA-best record against the spread to 38-20-3. San Antonio maintained a one-half game lead over the Oklahoma City Thunder, which also won on the road Wednesday at Phoenix, for the top seed in the West, although you may not know that based on how little media hype the Spurs have been getting this year in relation to the Thunder and the top teams in the East. The Spurs rank third in the NBA in scoring, second in field goal percentage and first in three-point shooting, and they are outscoring their opposition by an amazing average of 114.2-96.0 during their current five-game winning streak. Duncan is expected to be back for this game, but there is no telling what Coach Gregg Popovich will do with Parker and Ginobili as of yet. All three played in the 112-91 Spurs' win over the Lakers at Los Angeles on Tuesday and they combined to score 63 points as Parker led the way with 29.

The Lakers played without Kobe Bryant for the seventh straight game on Wednesday, but luckily they had basically a bye vs. an injury riddled Golden State Warriors team that started four rookies. The Lakers won 99-87 as seven-point road favorites, marking the third straight time that they have covered as favorites following a streak where they went 0-12 against the spread in that role. Bryant is expected to return before the end of the regular season, but whether or not this is the game where he makes his return is questionable. To its credit, Los Angeles has gone 5-2 straight up and 4-3 against the spread in Bryant's absence as Andrew Bynum has elevated his play. Bynum had 16 points and a spectacular 30 rebounds when the Lakers upset the Spurs in San Antonio in the first meeting, and he is coming off of a 31-point effort vs. the Warriors on Wednesday. With that win, the Lakers held on to their half-game lead over the Los Angeles Clippers in the Pacific Division, with those two teams currently seeded third and fourth in the West. The Clippers play at Phoenix on Thursday, so the Lakers will either be tied atop the division or have a one-game lead heading into this contest.

While the game between these teams in LA on Tuesday went 'over', that has been a rare occurrence in this head-to-head series as the 'under' is still a lucrative 20-7 in the last 27 meetings. The first contest here in San Antonio did stay safely 'under', extending the 'under' streak to 5-0 in the last five encounters in the Lone Star State.

Pick: SA SPURS-6

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:

1500* NBA Over 201 Mavericks/Warriors
100* MLB Dodgers -130
50* MLB Yankees -110

[Mr. IWS]

GREG SHAKER

Triple Dime Play - Yankees/Red Sox over 10 runs

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Colorado Rockies +130

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

LA ANGELS -137 over Baltimore: Glad I grabbed this one last night as it is now at -145. The Halos have really struggled out the gate and with all the money they put out in the offseason, this shouldn't be happening. They are off a home series loss to the A's and now get a chance at getting back on track vs the surprising Baltimore Orioles. The Angles offense has been struggling and it really shouldnt be as this team has plenty of good hitters on, but if their is one pitcher in baseball that I would like to face if Im in a slump, its Brian Matusz. This guy is just horrible. Since the start of last year he is now 1-11 with a 10.31 ERA, including an 0-2 mark with an 8.38 ERA in 2 starts this year. He has now lost his last 11 decisions in a row and he has an 11.48 ERA in those 11 losses. Want more? Ok, he is 0-6 in his last 8 road starts, with a 9.60 ERA and 4-15 with a 5.76 ERA in the first half of the season in his career, plsu he is 1-2 with a 5.74 ERA in 3 starts vs the Halos, including 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA in 1 start here. Ouch. This guy is bad and I marvel at how he still has a job. Last night Albert had 3 doubles and he is starting to get his swing. He may get his first HR in an Angels uniform tonight vs this guy. Jerome Williams struggled in his opener, but he will get that ship righted. Jerome did go 4-0 with a 3.68 ERA last year and he is 2-0 with a 2.51 ERA in 2 career starts vs the O's. The O's are hot, but the Halos are desperate for a win here and should tee of on Brian tonight and stop their 3 game slide.


Philadelphia -126 over SAN DIEGO: Glad I grabbed this one last night as well as the line is over -130 now. As No Limit said "It'll be hard to get Cole Hamels at this price again" I have been playing more Phils games this year and it's partly due to the lower lines they have had than in the last few years. Cole Hamels would be an ace on most other teams, but with Lee and Halladay on the same team he is their 3rd best. Nice to have a pitcher with his stuff as 3rd best. Cole has a 1-1 mark with a 3.65 ERA, while he is 6-2 with a 2.28 ERA in 11 starts vs the Padres, including a 3-1 mark with a 1.23 ERA in 5 starts at Petco. The Padres have never hit will at home and this year is no exception. The Padres have hit a paultry .173 and have scored just 2.62 rpg in their home park this year. Not the kind of numbers you want to have when facing a Philly staff that has allowed just 1 run in their last 23.33 innings. The Phils offense hasn't been that great as they have hit just .198 and have scored 2.14 rpg on the road this year, but they are facing Edison Volquez, who is 0-3 in his teams starts with a 4.24 ERA. Yes he is 2-0 with an 0.73 ERA vs the Phils, but he hasn't faced them since 2008 and the Phils offense is still a bit better than the Padres, so they should do well vs Volquez in this one, while the Padres offense will struggle vs Hamels. Look for Philly to get back to .500 here.


NY Yanks/ Boston Over 10: (Added) Ivan Nova is 14-0 in his last 18 starts, but two of those ND were vs Boston, in which he allowed 8 ER in just 10.67 innings of work in the two starts. Overall Ivan has faced the Sox 3 times and he has a 7.04 ERA in those starts, with all 3 games hitting at least 10 runs.That should help jump start this Boston offense that has struggled of late. Boston will need their offense to get going as the Pitching has been horrible. Boston is last in the league in ERA (6.20) and 29th inj WHIP (1.53). Clay Buchholz is 1-0 on the year but with a 9.82 ERA, and his two starts have averaged 21.5 rpg so far. WOW!!! Clay also has a 4.97 ERA in his last 5 meetings with yanks and he will be facing a team that is 5th in runs scored (5.31 rpg) and 3rd in hitting (.276). Yankee starters have a 5.29 ERA on the road, while Boston's home ERA is 6.00 and their home games have averaged 12.2 rpg. I see this one hitting at least that much as the offenses should put on a good show for Boston's 100 year celebration of Fenway.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS NHL

Detroit +105 over NASHVILLE

What a great round one of the NHL playoffs. It’s entertainment at its highest level with every series having plots, storylines and bizarre occurrences. This series has seen the dominant team lose every game. The Predators are up 3-1 and the only game in which they outplayed the Wings was the game they lost. Detroit outshot Nashville 37-26 in game 1, 43-22 in game 3 and 41-17 in game 4 and they’re down 3-1 in the series. As we saw with Los Angeles and Philadelphia, the close-out game is the toughest to win and when we apply Detroit’s dominance over Nashville in this series, the smart play is to take the small offering. With a wager on Nashville to win the series, we’re essentially free-rolling on this game and that’s a nice position to be in. The Red Wings have seen every scenario over the years and know how to prepare to avoid elimination. They were down 0-3 to San Jose just a year ago before forcing a game seven. Nashville has just one series win in their history and all the pressure is on them to close it out. Play: Detroit +105 (Risking 2 units).

Philadelphia +165 over PITTSBURGH

No crystal ball in the world could predict which one of these goalies, if any, is going to fall flat on their face tonight. But here’s what we do know. The Flyers are too dangerous to be getting a take-back like this against a team they thrive against in a venue they thrive in. They’ve won four of their past five visits here including the first two games of this series. The Penguins responded with a big effort in the last game in Philly and as a result of that 10-goal outburst, they’re grossly overvalued here. Of course the Penguins can win here. They still have one of the most potent attacks in the league but the defense is still a mess, allowing far too many scoring chances to warrant this tag. Play: Philadelphia +165 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS MLB

Miami +104 over WASHINGTON

After a tough start to open the year, the Marlins are off and running with four wins in a row and five wins in six games. During its four game streak, Miami has outscored the opposition 24-10 while batting a combined .307. That’s with Jose Reyes still batting just .226 and when he gets going at the top of the lineup, the Fish instantly become much more potent. Carlos Zambrano pitches his best at this park. Zambrano has won all four of his starts in Washington with a 0.69 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 26 innings. Overall, he's won six of his last seven starts versus the Nationals behind a 2.84 ERA. Ross Detwiler has never lived up to expectations. He posted outstanding minor league numbers but has never been able to bring that success to the majors. He’s beginning to look like another failed prospect but there is a glimmer of hope after two decent starts to the season. It’s going to take a lot more than that to back him as the chalk against a talented Marlins club that is heating up. Play: Miami +104 (Risking 2 units).

Texas +101 over DETROIT

The Rangers look unstoppable with some sick numbers right across the board. To beat this intruder you have to score at least five runs or more because scoring five for them is like scoring one for most other teams. Texas is 6-0 on the road. Overall, they’ve won seven in a row. Over that span they’re batting .367. Over their past five games they’ve hit 11 jacks, scored 44 runs and have walked 22 times. They came in here last night and whacked the Tigers 10-3. That was a flattering score to Detroit, as the Rangers had seven hits and two walks in the first two innings and scored twice. Current Rangers batters have hit .372 over Tigers starter today, Rick Porcello. Meanwhile, Matt Harrison has raced out to a 2-0 record with a glistening 0.64 ERA. He has yielded just one run over 14 innings pitched while recording seven strikeouts and establishing himself as another solid starter in the Texas rotation. It makes a huge difference on the mound for pitchers knowing that if they allow runs the offense will get them back in a hurry. This is a Rangers club with no easy outs in the lineup and they’re playing like they know they’re going to win. Play: Texas +101 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 4/20
951 Reds -125 @ 2:20p
968 Red Sox -105 @ 3:05p
954 Pirates +115 @ 7:05p
956 Marlins +105 @ 7:05p
969 Rangers -110 @ 7:05p
958 Mets -135 @ 7:10p
972 Rays -180 @ 7:10p
962 Brewers -140 @ 8:10p
973 Jays -110 @ 8:10p
963 Braves -120 @ 9:40p
965 Phillies -135 @ 10:05p
975 Orioles +130 @ 10:05p
978 A's Even @ 10:05p
979 White Sox -130 @ 10:10p

[Mr. IWS]

scott stylze baseball
Nyy -120
colorado +120
houston +120

[Mr. IWS]

Rockdemansports

TOTAL SYSTEM TODAY

TAKE INDIANS/A`S - UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions / Kevin

Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Angels - OVER 9 RUNS (-109)
Listed Pitchers: Matusz vs Williams
(Note: I'm risking 2.18 units to win 2 units)

Brian Matusz will go for the Orioles looking for his first win of the season. Matusz is 0-2 with a start at home and a start in Toronto. He has a 8.38 ERA after pitching 9.2 innings allowing 13 hits and 9 earned runs. His WHIP is sitting at 2.17 and his opponents bating average is a high .342. Lifetime against the Angels Matusz is 1-2 with a 5.74 ERA. Jerome Williams will take the mound for the Angels and he has had his struggles as well. Williams has had just one start but went just 2.2 innings against the Yankees allowing 5 hits and 5 earned runs while walking 3 and striking out just 1. In 2011 he spent some time with the Angels and had a decent 3.68 ERA despite a 1.36 WHIP and .269 opponents batting average. Before that his last time in the majors was in 2007 with Washington where he had an 0-5 record and 7.20 ERA. Take note that the Orioles are scoring 4.54 runs per game and allowing 4.38 against, but those numbers are higher at 4.86 and 5.00 on the road. The Angels, despite some recent struggles at the plate, are averaging 4.08 runs per game and allowing 4.77 against. The OVER is 37-16-5 in the Orioles last 58 road games, and 6-1-1 in their last 8 games overall. The OVER is 5-1 in Matusz' last 6 starts overall, and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. The OVER is also 5-2 in these two teams last 7 meetings. Tonight we have two pitchers who aren't very good and who are struggling to start the season vs two pretty solid line ups. I'll take the OVER 9.

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:
1500* NBA Over 201 Mavericks/Warriors
100* MLB Dodgers -130
50* MLB Yankees -110

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
MLB 40-50 Season-to-Date +$920
Game: San Francisco at New York Mets (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: San Francisco +125 (moneyline)

These teams have done an expected reversal. The Giants have gotten off to a sluggish start, but have now answered the bell by going 5-2 in their last seven, out-pitching Philly for two straight wins to close that series. After a 4-0 start the Mets have cooled off as expected to go 3-5 over their last eight games. They have allowed a staggering 8 runs per game over their last four, so the pen is shot coming into this one. The Mets' struggles vs. left-hand pitching continue with a 5-11 mark in their last 16 against them, and overall they have dropped six straight in the role of a favorite. The Giants were built on pitching and have carried that momentum to a 9-2 mark in a game following one in which they allowed 2 runs or less. The Giants have taken control of this series at 8-3 in their last 11 vs. the Mets. Play on San Francisco.

[Mr. IWS]

Brandon Lovell

10 Star MLB Cardinals vs Pirates Over 8

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker | NHL Total - Friday, Apr 20 2012 7:35PM
27 PHI / 28 PIT OVER 7.0 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229) double-dime bet

[Mr. IWS]

Goodfella

955 Mia / 956 WAS OVER 7.5 HiltonAnalysis: "N.L. Total of the Week"
3* on the MARLINS/NATIONALS OVER

Note: There are still a few "7.5" out there, however if u are limited in your "outs/books" and can only get "8" this is still a (3*) bet. I feel confident we see at least 9 runs here.

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd 4/20
5* New York Mets -135

4* Dallas Mavericks -12

[Mr. IWS]

Falcon Sports

2012 MLB: 13-3 (+20.90 units)
81 pct Winners (+1.03 juice)
　
Top program play for today
　
Dodgers (-1.25) 2 units MLB
Lilly-Happ must go

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien
60 DIME
MLB VALUE CHALK
Kansas City Royals

[Mr. IWS]

4-STAR Philadelphia over SAN DIEGO - Cole Hamels should be able to dominate San Diego here. The spacious park sets up perfectly for his style of pitching and the Padres offense is not formidable to begin with. He has the extra incentive of pitching in his hometown. Hamels has won three consecutive starts in San Diego and facing the Padres and will make it four here.
However, the last of those was at home in July last year and he allowed one run in eight innings, the only run he's allowed against San Diego in his last 24 innings of work against them, in a 3-1 win. The Phillies are 35-16 since September 16, 2006 when Cole Hamels starts on the road after his team won the last time he started vs this opponent for a net profit of $1350. Philadelphia's Vince Worley dominated San Diego in the series opener yesterday in a 2-0 win. The Padres had just four hits while Worley struck out 11. The Phillies are 13-1 since July 30, 2011 after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1210. On the other side, the Padres are 3-16 since April 20, 2011 as a dog after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits in a night game for a net profit of $1222 when playing against. That loss was San Diego's third straight entering tonight's action. The Phillies are 13-1 since August 02, 2011 as a road favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games for a net profit of $1135. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Philadelphia 5, SAN DIEGO 1

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd
80 DIME
WINNER # 7 IN A ROW

NBA Dog Play of the Year Part 3
Lakers

[Mr. IWS]

JACK JONES ( 5-0 yesterday)

20* Lakers un 203
15* Tigers -105
15* Phillys -135
f/p hawks un 178.5

[Mr. IWS]

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

4* St. Louis (Lynn) -130 over Pittsburgh (Morton)
Range: -115 to -150

3* Toronto (Drabek) +100 over Kansas City (Hochevar)
Range: +120 to -120

3* Atlanta (Beachy)/Arizona (Cahill) UNDER 9
Range: 9.5 to 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

4* Take Golden State Warriors +12.5 over Dallas Mavericks (Friday @ 8:30pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Best Bet - Tigers
NBA - Dal, SA, Sac
Bases - TB, NYM

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

CIN (-120) @ CHC [11:20am PDT]

NYY @ BOS UNDER 10.5 (-105) [12:05pm PDT)

TEX (-105) @ DET [4:05pm PDT]

SF @ NYM (-135) [4:10pm PDT]

LAD (-125) @ HOU [5:05pm PDT]

LAD @ HOU UNDER 7.5 (-110) [5:05pm PDT)

TOR (-110) @ KC [5:10pm PDT]

BAL @ LAA (-140) [7:05pm PDT]

PHI @ SD UNDER 6 (-120) [7:05pm PDT]

[Mr. IWS]

DAVE COKIN
4/20 Baltimore (Matusz)-LA ANGELS (Williams) (Over 9)

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Scalleat, CharlieScottSports (4-4 last week)

4/20 CHICAGO CUBS (Volstad +110) over Cincinnati (Bailey)
4/20 PITTSBURGH (Morton +115) over St. Louis (Lynn)
4/20 ARIZONA (Cahill +105) over Atlanta (Beachy)
4/20 SEATTLE (Noesi +115) over Chicago White Sox (Sale)

[Mr. IWS]

Micah Roberts, VegasInsider
4/20 LA Dodgers (Lilly -125) over HOUSTON (Happ)
The best value here is that J.A. Happ has appeared to have some good games, but the truth is he really isn’t that good of a pitcher. He has allowed five earned runs in 12 innings, so instead of laying -160 like we would have last season, we only have to lay -125. The Astros had their fun for the week against the Nationals on Thursday, but Andre Ethier and Matt Kemp are set to rip Happ today. The best support beyond the Dodgers' bats in this game is that Ted Lilly came out strong in his first game by allowing one run in seven innings.

[Mr. IWS]

Lee Earnest

(Guaranteed Play)

Golden State Warriors +13

[Mr. IWS]

Chase Diamond

All Plays 50 Dimes

Atlanta Braves ML

Houston Astros ML

Seattle Mariners ML

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

100,000♦ on the St. Louis Cardinals

100,000♦ on the Los Angeles Dodgers

100,000♦ on the Detroit Tigers