5-16-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

JAKE MANTON SPORTS:
4* san fran giants
4* okc thunder
2* mil brewers
2* ny rangers
1* oak a's

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Arizona +110 over COLORADO (1st 5 innings)

Patrick Corbin has made three starts since being called up on April 30. In 16 innings, he’s walked five while striking out 16. He has a nice groundball/fly-ball profile of 48%/26% to go along with a strong minor league career. He has a quality 89-94 mph fastball that he spots low in the zone. His slider exhibits an effective late break and he complements it with a change-up that is rapidly improving. The kid has a chance to stick around and he’s surely a better option than 49-year-old Jamie Moyer. The Rockies have won just once in Moyer’s seven starts so far. They’ve lost his last four starts and in his past three, he’s allowed 14 runs in 15 frames and hasn’t made it past five innings in any of them. Moyer has been taken yard six times. He’s allowed 53 hits in 38 frames for a BAA of .323. In four games at Coors, Moyer has allowed 35 hits in 22 innings. Jamie Moyer is probably the last pitcher in the majors that we’d want to spot anything with. Only one pitcher in the history of baseball has pitched more than 20 innings after the age of 48 and that was way back in 1933 by a guy named Jack Quinn. Nothing suggests Moyer can be that rare exception. Play: Arizona +110 in the first five innings (Risking 2 units).

Boston +129 over TAMPA BAY

The Red Sox are batting .305 over their past five games while the Rays are hitting .249 over that same span. Despite a 4-1 record, Clay Buchholz has been awful this season with an ERA of 8.31. However, Buchholz has had success versus the Rays in the past with a 5-2 record in nine starts, a 2.38 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP and 53 K in 56.2 IP. Surely his 8.31 ERA will come down. By contrast, Jeremy Hellickson continues to defy logic with results that don’t match his average skills. Last year, he continually escaped disaster and this year he’s at it again. His control and strikeout rate continue to deteriorate. He has a fly-ball bias profile and an xERA at home (4.34) almost three runs higher than his actual ERA of 1.42. Unless he starts missing more bats and inducing more groundballs, Hellickson remains a risky bet to continue to outperform his recent underwhelming skills. Boston’s hot bats should be able to handle this extremely lucky pitcher. Play: Boston +129 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Philadelphia/ Boston Under 172: Gotta love taking an Under in a Sixers home game. Philly home games have gone 25-11 UNDER on the year, with an average of 177.1 ppg being scored in those games. All 3 Sixers home games vs the Bulls went Under the total, with an average of just 160.3 ppg being scored. Philly has played great defense all year, especially at home where they have allowed just 85.1 ppg, while they have allowed just 80.3 ppg in their last 6 games overall. Boston has all it's parts on the floor, but Pierce and Allen are hurting so they are not at 100% and that makes it tough for this team to get out and run, so they are really relying on their defense right now and it has been good as well, as they have allowed just 88.76 ppg on the year, including allowing just 80.6 ppg in their last 10 games overall. This whole series will be a defensive battle as both teams have been known for their defense more than their offense this year. Philly has been a haven for low scoring games this year and their is another one in the offing tonight.


OKLAHOMA CITY -8 over LA Lakers: After taking care of the defending champs in 4 games the Thunder opened up their series with the Lakers by winning by 29 points. The Lakers are a tired bunch right now and the Thunder knows it, so you can expect them to keep the pace high and that will again wear this team down in the 2nd half. Oklahoma city scores 106.1 ppg at home, and will be facing a Lakers team that has allowed 105 pgg in their last 4 games and 99.6 ppg on the road this year. The Thunder will not be as pumpedd for this one as in game 1, but they have now seen Boston and Miami lose home court advantage so far in round 2 and you can bet that they will not allow that to happen here. The Lakers may stay with this team in the 1st half, but they will again tire in the 2nd half and that will lead to another easy DD win by the Thunder here.

2 UNIT PLAY

PHILADELPHIA -2 over Boston: Philadelphia is playing really well right now and they continue to surprise. Beating Boston in Boston is no easy task, but they pulled it off and now get the Celtics at home. The Sixers are playing great team basketball and have been getting contributions from many players. And their defense has been stellar, allowing just 80.7 ppg in their last 6 playoff games. Boston came into the series dinged up a bit and while pierce and Allen are playing, they are not at 100% and it hast hurt their scoring of late as the Celtics have averaged just 85.5 ppg in their last 4 games. Boston Averages just 90.8 ppg on the road, while the Sixers allow just 85.1 ppg at home. Philadelphia won all 3 home games vs Chicago and they will take their first home game with Boston as well. Looks for at least a 5 point Sixers win here.

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Wednesday

100* Play Texas (-230) over Oakland (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 8:10 PM EST

Oakland has lost 10 of the last 11 road games as an underdog of +200 or higher and they have also lost 28 of the last 48 road games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs. Tom Milone has an ERA of 7.84 in road games this season and he has an ERA of 7.02 in his last three starts.

50* Play Detroit (-185) over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play NY Mets (-140) over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

The Sports Capper

Hoops Plays

WEDNESDAY

100* Play Oklahoma City (-8) over Los Angeles Lakers (TOP NBA PLAY)
9:30 PM EST

Los Angeles has lost 23 of the last 31 games against the spread when the total posted is between 190 and 199.5 points and they have also lost 12 of the last 16 road games against the spread after failing to cover the spread in two of the last three games. Los Angeles has lost 4 consecutive games against the spread as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points and they are allowing an average of 101 points a game on defense over the last five games.

50* Play Boston (+2) over Philadelphia (Bonus)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Investing Strategies

(955)MIAMI (BUEHRLE) at (956)ATLANTA (MINOR)
Pick: Atlanta
Moneyline only, 5% starting bankroll

(953)PITTSBURGH (BEDARD) at (954)WASHINGTON (GONZALEZ)
Pick: Washington
Moneyline only, 5% starting bankroll

(971)MINNESOTA (BLACKBURN) at (972)DETROIT (PORCELLO)
Pick: Detroit
Moneyline only, 5% starting bankroll

(957)CINCINNATI (LEAKE) at (958)NY METS (SANTANA)
Pick: NY Mets
Moneyline only, 55 starting bankroll

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Seattle Mariners -120

50* Milwaukee Brewers EVEN

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

The well rested Oklahoma City Thunder (52-19. 38-33 ATS) certainly took
advantage of the tired Los Angeles Lakers (45-29, 31-43 ATS) in Game 1 of this
series as the Lake Show was just one day removed from playing a Game 7 vs.
the Nuggets. The Thunder effectively ran the Lakers out of the building early
and never let up in a 119-90 blowout, shooting 53.0 percent from the field
while limiting Los Angeles to 43.2 percent shooting. The Lakers better get
their game legs back under them for Game 2, which will again take place at
Chesapeake Energy Arena in Oklahoma City, OK on Wednesday night at 9:30 ET on
TNT.

Furthermore, the final result could have been even uglier on Monday night
as the Thunder got up by as many as 35 points but then just cruised though
the latter stages of the third quarter and the entire final stanza.
Incredibly, the Thunder committed only one turnover in the entire first half while
building a 59-44 halftime lead and they finished the game with an all
time-franchise low four turnovers! Apparently the Lakers' fatigue affected them
defensively, but there is now no rest for the weary with Game 2 on Wednesday and
Games 3 and 4 set for Friday and Saturday. Thus, look for Oklahoma City to
continue to run at every opportunity, and the Thunder are certainly fine with
that after finishing third in the NBA in both scoring (103.1 points per
game) and field goal percentage (47.1 percent) during the regular season and
also finishing fifth in tempo rating with 95.7 possessions per game. That
fast pace was actually a key reason why the Thunder only finished 17th in
scoring defense at 96.9 points, as they actually finished fourth in field goal
percentage against at 42.7 percent. Thus, it appears the Lakers have their
work cut out for them with the first four games of this series being so close
together after going seven games vs. Denver.

Now the Lakers are a proud bunch that has overcome adversity before and
their starting five are as good as any in basketball. That said, Kobe Bryant
had a low (for him) 20 points in Game 1 and should almost certainly improve in
this game, while Andrew Bynum added 20 points and 14 rebounds. Metta World
Peace was booed every time he touched the ball in his second game back after
being suspended for seven games for his vicious elbow on Oklahoma City's
James Harden, but he still contributed 12 points while hitting on two
three-pointers. However, Pau Gasol scored only 10 points and nobody else came close
to double-figures in a dismal performance. Now it should be noted that the
Lakers are 20-8 straight up this year following a loss combining regular
season and playoffs, including 10-2 following a double-digit loss, but that
resiliency will be put to the test by the second seeded Thunder, who have been
hitting on all cylinders in the last three games since struggling a bit in
the first two games of their opening series vs. the Dallas Mavericks. The
bottom line though is that Oklahoma City has yet to taste defeat in five
post-season games this year.

The Thunder are now 4-1 both straight up and against the spread in the last
five head-to-head meetings, and the only Lakers' win came in what was a
meaningless game for Oklahoma City in the final regular season meeting, aka the
World Peace Elbow Throw game. Also, the Thunder are now 6-2 ATS in the last
eight encounters here in Oklahoma.

Pick: OVER 195.5

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Tech Sports

‎5* Baltimore +120

[Mr. IWS]

Rockdemansports

BEST PITCHER SYSTEM -894..........BREWERS +115

SHUTOUT SYSTEM -495 ........... TIGERS RL +110

TOTAL SYSTEM +330 ................. W SOX - UNDER -110

DIAMOND DOG SYSTEM -510 ............... D- BACKS +115

HOT TREND SYSTEM - 570 ................. BALTIMORE +120

Moneyball = METS with Santana

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS - NHL


New Jersey +118 over N.Y. RANGERS Pinnacle
New Jersey dominated the first two periods of game one and there’s no reason they can’t dominate again. The Rangers continue to get by with great goaltending. When you wager on New York, you’re essentially wagering on Henrik Lundqvist because on its own, New York is the second best team on the ice. The Devils aren’t frustrated. They’ve adjusted to every style of play all season long and into the playoffs. New York has an edge in net and that’s it. The Rangers appear tired after back-to-back seven game series with one of those games going into triple OT. No team forced to play seven-game series in each of the first two rounds has gone on to win the Stanley Cup. The Rangers overachieved all season and it’s going to catch up to them. Eventually those blocked shots that the Rangers employ as one of their strategies to winning are going to have the same impact on them as they do on a boxer getting jabbed round after round. Ultimately the boxer hits the canvas and the same fate likely awaits this team that keeps getting outplayed. If Lundqvist beats us, so be it, as we’re going with the best of it again. Play: New Jersey +118 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* 12-0 ATS NBA Playoffs 2nd Rd Game of the Year!
LA Lakers +8

Boyd's 15-0 Humpday MLB *Mound Mismatch*
New York Mets

[Mr. IWS]

TEDDY COVERS
19-7 MLB RUN (73%)

10* Seattle -120
10* Kansas City Over 8.5 -120

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
MLB 125-143 Season-to-Date ($290)
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego (6:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 6.5 +100

The San Diego Padres own the dubious distinction of being the worst team in the NL, as they enter tonight's game with a record of 13-24. It is hard to win games when your team is batting .223 and through 37 games your team is at a major league low 14 home runs. To put how inept that is in perspective, the next worse NL team has hit 24 homers. What has kept them in a lot of games is a rotation that has a combined 3.40 ERA, while the Dodgers rank No. 2 in baseball coming in, so runs will be at a premium in this one. After an explosive start Matt Kemp is no longer hitting, and has not homered in 11 games, driving in just 3 runs, so the Dodgers' offense has been slowed. Clayton Richard has been great pitching at home as a dog, and with no offense that has led to a 9-0-2 mark for the Padres behind him as a home dog. Play the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

May 15 Tue: (4-6) +$132.50
Season: (159-176-15 = 0.475) -$6,849.30

LAD @ SD UNDER 6.5 (-105) [3:35pm PDT]

MIN @ DET -1.5 (+110) [4:05pm PDT]

CIN @ NYM (-135) [4:10pm PDT]

MIA @ ATL (-115) [4:10pm PDT]

ARI @ COL (-105) [5:40pm PDT]

CWS @ LAA (-110) [7:05pm PDT]

STL (-105) @ SF [7:15pm PDT]


PIT @ WSH UNDER 6.5 (-120) [4:05pm PDT]

PHI (+140) @ CHC [5:05pm PDT]

STL @ SF UNDER 6.5 (-110) [7:15pm PDT]

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
3* San Francisco Giants -105 over St. Louis Cardinals (10:15PM EST)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

30 dime Philadelphia 76ers -2

10 dime Baltimore Orioles

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | NHL ML - Wednesday, May 16 2012 8:05PM
ML 8 NYR (-130) 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229) vs 7 NJD triple-dime bet

Analysis:
**** NHL PLAYOFFS 3* GAME OF THE WEEK BOMB ****

NY RANGERS -130....(3*)

[Mr. IWS]

bookiemonsters

20-6 run

OKC/LA over 195

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

LA Dodgers -114 over SAN DIEGO: Last night i felt it was a good spot to go against the Dodgers and it was a winner for me. Tonight i look for them to get back on track. Chris Capuano has not been known in the past as a solid pitcher, but he has been one this year. Chris is 5-0 with a 2.06 ERA overall this year, including a 3-0 mark with an 0.44 ERA and an 0.68 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Chris is a lefty and the Padres are just 2-13 vs lefties this year. San Diego has hit just .218 and have scored a mere 2.6 rp/9 off of lefties at home this year. Overall the Padres have hit just .209 and have scored just 2.96 rpg at home this year, so Chris should have little trouble posting another good outing here. The Pads will send Clayton Richard to the mound tonight and they are just 1-6 in his starts this year, while he is 1-5 with a 5.32 ERA. He has pitched better at home, with a 2.21 ERA, but he still is just 1-2 in his home starts thanks to poor run support. Capuano has struggled with the Padres of late (1-1, 5.20 ERA in L% vs them), while Clayton has done a good job vs the Dodgers (2-1, 1.88 ERA in L5 vs them), but still the Dodgers are the better team and with the struggles the Pads have vs lefties, LA should make it 7-1 vs San Diego after tonight.

Boston/ Tampa Bay Under 8.5: Couple of very nice trends to start this p[lay off with. The Under is 38-13 in Tampa's last 51 home games vs a team with a losing record, while the UNDER is also 17-3-1 in Jeremy Hellickson's last 21 home starts. Clay Bucholz has really struggled this year, but his is off his best performance yet, getting a quality start vs Cleveland in his last time out. Let's also note that he has pitched very well at the Trop with a 2.23 ERA in his 5 starts here, plus he will be taking on a Tampa Offense that may not be fully focused as they come back from a long road trip, so this could end up being his best start of the year. As you can see above, Jeremy Hellickson's home games are usually low scoring and this year is no exception as his home starts have gone 3-0-1 UNDER with an average of just 5 rpg being scored. Jeremy has a 1.42 ERA in his home starts this year, while in his career he has a 2.31 ERA in this park. Boston hit Jeremy pretty hard at Boston earlier in the year, so you can expect him to make adjustments here. Both pens have been solid of late, as Boston has a 1.04 pen ERA in their last 5 games, while the Rays have a 2.04 pen ERA over the same stretch. This one should post no more than 6 runs.

St Louis/ San Francisco Over 6.5: Last night had the Giant's Rockies game Over 6.5 and it was a winner. Come come right back with another Over in this stadium. Just too low an OU line here, considering how good the cardinal offense is and how bad Garcia has pitched of late. Jaime Garcia comes in with a 6.23 ERA in his last 3 starts, while he has a 4.44 ERA on the road this year. should Garcia not last that long in this one, then the ball will be handed to a struggling Cardinal pen that has a 6.19 ERA in their last 5 games. The Giants really struggle to score at home (3 rpg), but it's getting better as they have averaged 4 rpg in their last 5 at home. Madison Bumgarner has a solid 1.74 ERA at home this year and his home starts have averaged 6 rpg, but still this Cardinals offense knows how to put runs on the board as they have averaged 5.5 rpg overall and 4.7 rpg on the road. John Jay is out for this one, but they still have Holliday, Berkman and Freese, plus Beltran should be back in the lineup as well, so they are still a formidable group. I look for at least 8 runs in this one.

WASHINGTON -145 over Pittsburgh: Boy i really hate having to play on Washington (Phillies fan here), but there are times when i feel i must and this is one of them. The Nats lost 6-1 to the Padres yesterday with their Ace on the mound and I expect them to bounce back tonight. Gio Gonzalez has been awesome at home this year, going 2-0 with an 0.43 ERA and an .052 WHIP in his 3 home starts this year. His numbers shouldn't drop all that much vs a Pirate team that scores just 2.4 rpg for Bedard, while on the road this team has averaged just 3.1 rpg. The Nats score a bit more at home (3.6 rpg) than the Pirates do on the road, but Washington hits well at home (.251), while the Pirates hit just .225 on the road. Erik Bedard has pitched well this year, with a 2.47 ERA, but lack of run support has his record at 2-4. I don't think Pitt will score enough runs tonight to help him out here either. Look for the Nats to bounce back here.

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

Philadelphia +141 over CHICAGO: The Phils have not had a great year thus far and are starting to feel the pressure from the home crowd and sometimes getting out on the road will help a team. Philly has won 3 in a row and while Chicago is at home and has an advantage on the mound (Garza vs Kendrick), I look for the phils to fight hard in this one, know a win will get them back to the .500 mark.

Colorado/ Arizona Over 10.5: If the Rockies weren't off such a long trip then this play might have been higher, but sometimes it takes a team a game or so to get their timing back. Still Rockie home games have averaged 12'6 rpg, while Moyer's 4 home starts have averaged 11.8 rpg. Patrick Corbin has a 7.00 ERA on the road, with those games averaging 10.5 rpg. Should be a fun one tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo

954 Nationals -145 @ 7:05p
967 Mariners -125 @ 7:05p
969 Yanks -140 @ 7:05p
956 Braves -115 @ 7:10p
958 Mets -135 @ 7:10p
974 Rays -145 @ 7:10p
977 Orioles +110 @ 8:10p
963 D-Backs -110 @ 8:40p
979 White Sox Even @ 10:05p
966 Giants -105 @ 10:15p

[Mr. IWS]

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Wednesday Regular *8* TOTAL: OVER in Seattle at
Cleveland @ 7:05 PM ET - Seattle travels to Cleveland to take on the Indians
here on Wednesday evening. This is the first game of a small two game series
between these two. Cleveland is allowing 6.1 runs per game their past seven
games overall. Ubaldo Jiminez is 3-3 with a 5.17 ERA overall this year and 1-2
with a 6.19 ERA his last 3 starts. Jiminez has 30 walks compared to 24 strike
outs on the season which is terrible control of the ball. The Over is 5-1-1 last
7 games when Cleveland faces a right handed starter. The Over has cashed 7 of
the past 10 games when Cleveland is an underdog. The Over is 8-1 last 9 games
when Jiminez starts as an underdog. The Over is 4-0 last 4 meetings in Cleveland
between these two teams. With Jiminez lack of control, Seattle may go over the
total by themselves in this one. Play on OVER in Cleveland as a *8* Regular Play
selection!

[Mr. IWS]

Andrew Lange

20* jays+115

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers
100,000* Lakers
100,000* Braves (With Minor and Buehrle)
100,000* Red Sox (With Buchholz and Hellickson)

[Mr. IWS]

BOB BALFE
15-5 MLB RUN (75%)

Atlanta Braves -114 over Miami

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo

Enforcer

LA LAKERS +8

[Mr. IWS]

CRAIG ALEXANDER

4* Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
3* Baltimore Orioles +120


Los Angeles Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder
Wager 3 units on under 196

[Mr. IWS]

ODDS CRUSHER

LA Dodgers -120
NY Mets -130


Los Angeles Lakers +8

[Mr. IWS]

Power Play Wins

OKC Thunder -8 over Lakers

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Wednesday 5/16/12 Plays...

4* MARINERS/INDIANS (OVER)
3* MARLINS/BRAVES (UNDER)

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