5-23-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers

The Boston Celtics (46-31, 39-36-2 ATS) and the Philadelphia 76ers (41-36, 39-37-1 ATS) continued to alternate wins over the first five games of this series with the Celtics dominating the second half of Game 5 at home to take a 3-2 series lead. The Celtics went on a deciding 43-19 run spanning the third and fourth quarters en route to what became an easy 101-85 win Monday. Thus far, each team has won once on the road with the 76ers stealing Game 2 in Boston and the Celtics bouncing back with a blowout win on the road in Game 3, and the Celts now have a chance to close things out on the road in Game 6 from the Wells ***** Center from Philadelphia, PA on Wednesday night at 8:00 ET on ESPN.

Curiously it was not one of Boston's Big Three or even Rajon Rondo that carried the scoring load for the Celtics on Monday, but rather it was the least heralded member of the starting lineup Brandon Bass who poured in a career high 27 points at the most opportune time. Bass hit on nine of his 13 field goal attempts including quite a few mid-range jumpers that the Sixers were basically giving him. Bass scored 18 of his points in the third quarter alone to allow the Celtics to stay close before commencing on their monster run beginning at the tail end of the quarter. Kevin Garnett added 20 points and Rondo had his customary 14 assists, but was a quiet night for the other members of the Big Three as Paul Pierce had 16 points and Ray Allen scored only five while uncharacteristically making just one of his five three-point attempts. Boston still ended up shooting a blistering 52.2 percent (36-for-69) for the game however as even backup Greg Stiemsma was a perfect five for five from the field. Now the Celtics also dominated the first half of Game 4 here in Philadelphia before falling apart in the second half, a fate they would like to avoid this time around.

The 76ers actually played very well in the first half on Monday, yet Boston hung around and trailed only 50-47 despite Philadelphia appearing to be carrying the play by a much wider margin to the naked eye. That inability to gain separation proved costly in the end, and it just goes to show you just how much better a team Boston is in this series. Still, the Sixers did not win two games by accident as this is an excellent defensive team most of the time, although that was not apparent in Game 5. Perhaps the return home will motivate the 76ers to make some stops as they are allowing only 85.7 points per game on 44.1 percent shooting in this building all year combining the regular season and playoffs. Philadelphia held Boston to 42.3 percent shooting in Game 4, when the 76ers overcame a 15-point halftime deficit by holding the Celtics to 37 points in the second half. The Sixers will need that kind of defensive intensity from start to finish here to avoid beginning to make their summer plans.

Given that both of these teams are known for defense, it is rather surprising that the 'over' is 4-1 in this series so far, as well as 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head meetings overall. Also, when the Celtics reclaimed home court advantage by winning Game 3 here after losing Game 2 at home, it marked the only time in their last six trips to Philadelphia that the Celtics covered the point spread.

PICK: BOSTON +2

[Mr. IWS]

Chase Diamond

50 Dimes Brewers

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Investing Strategies

(903)SAN FRANCISCO (ZITO) at (904)MILWAUKEE (ESTRADA)
Pick: San Francisco
Moneyline only,5% starting bankroll

(909)COLORADO (WHITE) at (910)MIAMI (ZAMBRANO)
Pick: Miami
Moneyline only, 5% starting bankroll

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Philadelphia/ Boston Over 175.5: Would love to pick my Sixers in this one, but just can't pull the trigger, so I will look to the OVER in this one. These teams have been running a bit more lately and it has resulted in the teams averaging 186.3 ppg in the last 3 games of this series. Philadelphia has played some great defense this year and have allowed just 85.7 ppg at home, but Boston did score 101 and 107 points vs them in 2 of the last 3 games, including putting up 107 points on them in this building in game 3. Phily is not a great scoring team, but they still average 92 ppg at home while the Celtics give up 93 ppg on the road. Both teams are pushing tempo right now and with this being a possible elimination game for Philly you can expect them to throw everything offensively at the C's that they can, plus if they are down late they will start fouling as well. Both teams should hit 90+ points in this one as it goes over the total with ease.

3 UNIT PLAY

Baltimore/ Boston Over 9: I know Scotti will love this one right off the bat. Last night I had an easy winner on the Under in this game, but we will go the other way today. This is a day game in a hitters park and with the temps looking to be around 78 the ball should really carry in this one. We also have two pitchers on the mound who have been struggling. Daniel Bard comes in with a 5.50 ERA in his last 3 starts, with those games averaging 11 rpg, while on the road he carries a 6.20 ERA with him, with those games averaging 10.8 rpg. In his last 2 road starts, Bard has allowed 5 ER's in each and has given up 9 walks to just 4 K's in the two starts. Lot of baserunners to put on, especially when facing an O's team that is tops in HR's. Jake Arietta has really been struggling as he comes in with a 7.41 ERA in his last 3 starts, while at home this year he has a 6.41 ERA, with his home starts averaging 10.6 rpg. Jake has also faced Boston 3 times in his career and has a 5.51 ERA in those 3 starts. Boston was held in check by Lefty Matusz last night, but they do hit better vs righties on the road (.266) than lefties (.245) and they also score 5.05 rp/9 off of righties on the road. Baltimore puts up 4.5 rpg at home, but should be able to get a little more than that vs Bard. THis one should be fun, with about 12 runs put up.

More later

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Sixers / Celtics Over 175

50* Rays -120

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

400,000♦ Celtics

[Mr. IWS]

The Sports Capper

Hoops Plays

WEDNESDAY

100* Play Boston (+2) over Philadelphia (TOP NBA PLAY)
8:00 PM EST

Boston has covered the spread in 12 of the last 15 road games after allowing 85 points or less in their last game and they have also won and covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games coming off two or more division games.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS NHL

New Jersey +110 over N.Y. RANGERS

We have the Devils in the series but have no hesitation in playing them in this pivotal game five as well. One could argue that the Rangers should already be watching from the rail after being dominated in all four games by a significant margin. This is a one-sided series and the Rangers have few answers in slowing down the Devils. Getting outplayed by such a notable margin is not only disheartening but it’s exhausting and when you combine that with the Rangers' back-to-back seven game series against Ottawa and Washington, it adds to the fatigue. Brad Richards and Marion Gaborik have disappeared. The Rangers extensive use of four defensemen is taking its toll each and every game. Those numerous blocked shots are also taking its toll, as players keep taking pucks to the ankles, knees and mid-section. If this were a prize fight, the referee would have waved his hands already and declared a TKO. The Devils know they can beat this team and the Rangers know their only chance is Henrik Lundqvist bailing them out again. It’s time to put the Rangers out of their misery. Play: New Jersey +110 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Detroit Tigers -107

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

Baseball Wednesday

100* Play St. Louis (-205) over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 8:10 PM EST

San Diego has lost 7 of the last 8 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have also lost 11 of the last 14 road games as an underdog of +100 or higher. Jeff Suppan has lost 23 of the last 24 games as an underdog of +175 to +250 and he has lost 9 of the last 11 road games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less.

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50* Play Los Angeles Angels (-150) over Oakland (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Miami (-150) over Colorado (MLB BONUS PLAY)


Like (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/f101/wednesday-5-23-service-plays-485003/index5.html#)

[Mr. IWS]

TEDDY COVERS
5/23/12
MLB
10* Detroit -110 (927)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

Baltimore/ Boston Over 9: I know Scotti will love this one right off the bat. Last night I had an easy winner on the Under in this game, but we will go the other way today. This is a day game in a hitters park and with the temps looking to be around 78 the ball should really carry in this one. We also have two pitchers on the mound who have been struggling. Daniel Bard comes in with a 5.50 ERA in his last 3 starts, with those games averaging 11 rpg, while on the road he carries a 6.20 ERA with him, with those games averaging 10.8 rpg. In his last 2 road starts, Bard has allowed 5 ER's in each and has given up 9 walks to just 4 K's in the two starts. Lot of baserunners to put on, especially when facing an O's team that is tops in HR's. Jake Arietta has really been struggling as he comes in with a 7.41 ERA in his last 3 starts, while at home this year he has a 6.41 ERA, with his home starts averaging 10.6 rpg. Jake has also faced Boston 3 times in his career and has a 5.51 ERA in those 3 starts. Boston was held in check by Lefty Matusz last night, but they do hit better vs righties on the road (.266) than lefties (.245) and they also score 5.05 rp/9 off of righties on the road. Baltimore puts up 4.5 rpg at home, but should be able to get a little more than that vs Bard. This one should be fun, with about 12 runs put up.

LA Angels/ Oakland Under 6.5: On the surface it would look like these starters are struggling right now as Weaver has a 6.06 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Parker has a 6.14 ERA in his last 3 starts, but a closer look will paint a different picture for us. Jered Weaver has just 1 bad start on the year and it was at Texas (no shame there) on ESPN in a game in which he allowed 8 ER in just 3.1 innings of work, but in his other 6 starts this year he has allowed 3 runs just once and 2 runs or less in 5 of those starts. In those starts he pitched 6.2 shutout innings vs Oakland in his first start of the year and that now gives him a 1.50 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the A's and a 2.71 ERA in 21 starts vs them overall. Plus we note that Jered has a 2.69 ERA in 48 career day starts. Jarod Parker also has 1 bad start this year and it was in his last game, on the road vs the Giants, in a game in which he allowed 6 ER in just 2 innings. Now in his other 4 starts this year he allowed 2 ER's or less in each game and he has a 2.37 ERA at home this year. The Halos struggle to score this year and having never faced Parker should mean advantage to the pitcher. Oakland also struggles to score, especially at home where they have averaged just 3.3 rpg, plus current Okland players have hit just .229 with 4 HR's and a mere 13 RBI's in 188 AB's vs Weaver. This one has pitchers duel written all over it, especially when we add in the fact that when Oakland faces a righty this year the UNDER is 22-7-1.

OTHER PLAY

1 UNIT PLAY

TAMPA BAY -113 over Toronto

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

Celtics/76ers 4* 100% Perfect Game 6 *BEST BET*
Philadelphia 76ers -1


Boyd's 4* 'Never Lost' 7-0 MLB *BEST BET*
Atlanta Braves

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
MLB 142-174 Season-to-Date ($3550)
Game: Chicago Cubs at Houston (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Houston -125 (moneyline)

The Chicago Cubs are known for losing, and also for the phrase of one of their best ever Ernie Banks, who said, "Let's play two." The reality for the Cubs right now isn't to play two, but to pray for rain. The losing streak has now reached eight games. The Astros, who lost 106 games a year ago, are 15-10 at home and are getting treated like they are last year's team by the oddsmakers. The lines are simply too short on them, especially vs. a bad team that is going bad right now. The Cubs are just 23-48 in their last 71 as a road dog, while the rejuvenated Astros have collected the money seven straight times as a favorite of -110 to -150. Rodriguez is also their best pitching option, and he has beaten the Cubs five of the last six times he has faced them. Play on Houston.

[Mr. IWS]

SEABASS-early

50 balt arrieta
50 giants zito
50 seattle millwood

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Best Bet - later
NBA - Celts
MLB - Bst, Mia, Det

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe
4- Baltimore
3- Tampa Bay
3- Cubs

[Mr. IWS]

4.5-STAR La Dodgers and Arizona Under

Totals in Arizona have been inflated all year and this is yet another case. In the NL, there is absolutely no reason for a total of nine with this pitching matchup. Look for an easy under here.
LA is going for the sweep here in a three game series over Arizona. They have now won six straight games. The Diamondbacks are 0-11 OU since May 05, 2011 when playing a night game after a loss and it is the last game of the series for a net profit of $1100 when playing the under. Also, the Diamondbacks are 2-11 OU since May 01, 2011 vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is the last game of a series after playing in a night game for a net profit of $875 when playing the under. They've scored six runs in all of those games, winning last night 8-7. The Dodgers are 6-19-3 OU since July 08, 2011 when playing a night game after scoring 6+ runs for a net profit of $1245 when playing the under. It was a devastating loss for Arizona, after leading by five runs after the sixth inning. The Diamondbacks are 0-14 OU (-3.1 rpg) since May 2011 in the last game of a series after a loss, which did not end a 5+ game winning streak, where they led. They used six pitchers to try to stop the bleeding late in that one. The Diamondbacks are 2-12 OU since May 05, 2011 within 20 cents of pickem after a loss in which they used 5+ pitchers in a night game for a net profit of $985 when playing the under. Joe Saunders goes for Arizona, after allowing three runs over six innings, throwing 105 pitches in a loss to KC last outing. The Diamondbacks are 0-7 OU since May 03, 2011 when Joe Saunders starts at home after throwing more than 100 pitches for a net profit of $700 when playing the under. v LA's Ted Lilly threw seven innings, allowing four runs, none of which were earned, in a win over St. Louis. The Dodgers are 3-11 OU since August 14, 2010 when Ted Lilly starts after a quality start at home for a net profit of $780 when playing the under.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: La Dodgers 3, ARIZONA 2

[Mr. IWS]

Allen Eastmen
2.5-Tigers
2- Dodgers

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

3-Unit Play. #901. Take New York Mets +100 over Pittsburgh Pirates (Wednesday @ 12:35pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

jeff benton

20 dime celtics

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

St Louis/ San Diego Over 8: (Added) Boy, 2 days in a row that I have to agree with the Sharps. This play does make sense despite the fact that I have a stat below that says Under. The Cards have some players on the DL and that will certainly hurt their offense, but the middle of their lineup is still solid with Holliday and Beltran, plus the have Furcal at the top of the lineup. That's good news as those three are a combined 21-56 (.375), with 10 extra-basehits off of Suppan in their career. Now Jeff is also a huge dog in this one and that would suggest a St Louis win and he has a 7.14 ERA in his career when he losses the game (went off the grid a bit for that stat). As I said the Cards do have offensive injuries, but they still put up 4 runs in each of the first 2 games of the series, and that was vs better pitching than they will face tonight, plus let's also not that the Cards do score 6.05 rpg at home on the year. THe Padres do score better on the road at 3.44 rpg and they will be facing Lance Lynn, who has allowed 7 ER's in his last 2 starts. Cardinal home games have averaged 10.4 rpg, with the OVER going 15-5 in those games, while Lance's home starts have averaged 10.7 rpg. This one should hit DD with ease.

3 UNIT PLAYS

Baltimore/ Boston Over 9: I know Scotti will love this one right off the bat. Last night I had an easy winner on the Under in this game, but we will go the other way today. This is a day game in a hitters park and with the temps looking to be around 78 the ball should really carry in this one. We also have two pitchers on the mound who have been struggling. Daniel Bard comes in with a 5.50 ERA in his last 3 starts, with those games averaging 11 rpg, while on the road he carries a 6.20 ERA with him, with those games averaging 10.8 rpg. In his last 2 road starts, Bard has allowed 5 ER's in each and has given up 9 walks to just 4 K's in the two starts. Lot of baserunners to put on, especially when facing an O's team that is tops in HR's. Jake Arietta has really been struggling as he comes in with a 7.41 ERA in his last 3 starts, while at home this year he has a 6.41 ERA, with his home starts averaging 10.6 rpg. Jake has also faced Boston 3 times in his career and has a 5.51 ERA in those 3 starts. Boston was held in check by Lefty Matusz last night, but they do hit better vs righties on the road (.266) than lefties (.245) and they also score 5.05 rp/9 off of righties on the road. Baltimore puts up 4.5 rpg at home, but should be able to get a little more than that vs Bard. This one should be fun, with about 12 runs put up.

LA Angels/ Oakland Under 6.5: On the surface it would look like these starters are struggling right now as Weaver has a 6.06 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Parker has a 6.14 ERA in his last 3 starts, but a closer look will paint a different picture for us. Jered Weaver has just 1 bad start on the year and it was at Texas (no shame there) on ESPN in a game in which he allowed 8 ER in just 3.1 innings of work, but in his other 6 starts this year he has allowed 3 runs just once and 2 runs or less in 5 of those starts. In those starts he pitched 6.2 shutout innings vs Oakland in his first start of the year and that now gives him a 1.50 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the A's and a 2.71 ERA in 21 starts vs them overall. Plus we note that Jered has a 2.69 ERA in 48 career day starts. Jarod Parker also has 1 bad start this year and it was in his last game, on the road vs the Giants, in a game in which he allowed 6 ER in just 2 innings. Now in his other 4 starts this year he allowed 2 ER's or less in each game and he has a 2.37 ERA at home this year. The Halos struggle to score this year and having never faced Parker should mean advantage to the pitcher. Oakland also struggles to score, especially at home where they have averaged just 3.3 rpg, plus current Okland players have hit just .229 with 4 HR's and a mere 13 RBI's in 188 AB's vs Weaver. This one has pitchers duel written all over it, especially when we add in the fact that when Oakland faces a righty this year the UNDER is 22-7-1.

NY Yanks/ Kansas City Under 9: (Added) Will Smith has left Hollywood to pitch for the KC Royals. Ok maybe not, but this will be his first ever start in the majors and this gives him a major advantage over Yankee hitters in this one. Speaking of Yankee hitters, i feel that age may finally be catching up with them as they have averaged just 4.2 rpg in their own park this year, after putting up 5.8 rpg here last year. The Yanks come in hitting just .248 (.200 vs lefties) and they have scored just 2.8 rpg in their last 5 games (all at home), plus thyey have averaged just 3 rpg in Pettites 2 starts this year (both at home). Clearly this is a struggling offense. Pettrite has looked good in his two starts since returning to the rotation as he has a 2.51 ERA in those two starts, while in his last start, vs the Reds, he allowed 0 ER with 9 K's and just 1 walk in 8 innings of work. He should have little trouble vs a KC team that scores just 3.5 runs per 9 innings off lefties on the road. Both teams should have problems getting going vs these two pitchers tonight.

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAY

Chicago/ Minnesota Under 8 (Added)

Detroit -108 over CLEVELAND (Added)

1 UNIT PLAY

TAMPA BAY -113 over Toronto

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

3-Unit Play. #920. Take Tampa Bay -122 over Toronto Bluejays (Wednesday @ 1:10pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

Chase Diamond

50 Dimes Marlins

50 Dimes D`backs

[Mr. IWS]

ROBERT FERRINGO

May 22 Tue: (6-4) -$160
Season: (190-215-16 = 0.469) -$8,316.80...season low...lost 3 days in a row

Yet another loss on days with 10 + plays: (4-14) -$7,228.50

KC @ NYY OVER 9 (-115) [4:05pm PDT]

COL @ MIA OVER 8 (-105) [4:10pm PDT]

ATL (-110) @ CIN [4:10pm PDT]

LAD @ ARI UNDER 9.5 (-115) [6:40pm PDT]

NYM @ PIT OVER 7.5 (-110) [9:35am PDT]

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Wednesday 5/23/12 Plays...

3* RANGERS/MARINERS (UNDER)

---SURGEON GENERAL'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success--

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo

924 Mariners +123 @ 3:40p

906 Phillies -155 @ 7:05p

928 Indians -102 @ 7:05p

908 Reds Even @ 7:10p

909 Rockies +145 @ 7:10p

912 Astros -125 @ 8:05p

915 Dodgers +109 @ 9:40p

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Wednesday 5/23/12 Plays...

5* PADRES/CARDINALS (OVER)
3* DODGERS/DBACKS (OVER)

---SURGEON GENERAL'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success--