5-26-12

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We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 676-330 (.672)
ATS: 528-512 (.508)
ATS Vary Units: 1407-1310 (.518)
Over/Under: 511-526 (.493)
Over/Under Vary Units: 978-1057 (.481)

Eastern Conference Semifinals
Game 7, best-of-7
BOSTON 85, Philadelphia 80

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MMA Professor
Roy Nelson (-195) over Dave Herman
Junior Dos Santos (-460) over Frank Mir.

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Baseball Crusher

Los Angeles Dodgers -130 over Houston Astros

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Soccer Crusher

Portugesa Desportos + Vasco da Gama OVER 2
This match is happening in Brazil

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SPORTS WAGERS - MMA

Saturday May 26, 2012
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
MGM Grand Garden Arena
PPV 10pm EST
Duane Ludwig +106 over Dan Hardy
This fight can be watched live on the Prelim portion of the broadcast. "The Outlaw" Dan Hardy comes in with a 23-10 record, which includes a streak of four straight losses coming into this one. To be fair, they have not been against easy competition and the first loss was in a title fight with long time division kingpin George St Pierre. Duane "Bang" Ludwig comes in off a loss and has a near identical record to Hardy at 21-12. Both fighters prefer to keep it standing and this bodes well for Ludwig, who was a Muay Thai champ and is the more accomplished striker. While Hardy's fights are always entertaining, standing and trading isn't the best thing for him to do with Bang and will likely end with him losing a decision or getting KO'd. On the ground, Hardy would probably have a decided advantage and one has to wonder if he will attempt some takedowns. He is in danger of getting a pink slip and needs a win very badly but many fighters are creatures of habit and won't deviate from their preferred fighting style. If Hardy proves to be the rule and not the exception, Ludwig has a great chance at getting back on track with a win. Ludwig is a slight dog due to the small chance that this hits the mat but more because Hardy is a more well-known fighter to the casual fan due to his title fight run a few years ago and his flamboyant personality. Ludwig offers up all the value here.
Play: Duane Ludwig +106 (Risking 2 units).

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SPORTS WAGERS - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers +5½/+221 over BOSTON
The Celtics have had their chances to put away the 76ers but have failed to finish them off and now Boston finds itself in a one-game showdown for all the marbles. That’s not a great place to be for a older team that is hobbling and playing under a lot more pressure than these free-spirited intruders. The Sixers have plenty of reason to be confident. The Celts are expected to be without Avery Bradley as the defensive menace is likely done for the postseason with a shoulder injury. Sixers guard Lou Williams described Bradley as a pit bull on defense. Bradley’s replacement, Ray Allen, is suffering from bone spurs in his right ankle and has struggled to stay in front of Philadelphia’s guards. Allen’s offense is suffering too, as he’s shooting 60% from the free throw line and 28% from 3-point land. The Sixers exploited the C’s suddenly deficient perimeter defense in Game 6 and a similar attack figures to be in store here. So, while the C’s are more experienced, the 76ers feature seven players age 25 or younger in their nine-man rotation and they can’t wait for this game to start. A loose, young, energetic and talented team with nothing to lose certainly has a chance to pull the upset or stay within range.

Play: Philadelphia +5½ (Risking 1.04 units to win 1)

Play: Philadelphia +221 (Risking 1 unit)

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The Sports Capper

Hoops Plays

SATURDAY

100* Play Philadelphia (+5.5) over Boston (TOP NBA PLAY)
8:00 PM EST

Boston has lost 105 of the last 188 games against the spread when playing as a favorite and they have also lost 53 of the last 88 games against the spread coming off an UNDER the total.

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MLBPredictions / Kevin

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves - NATIONALS TO WIN (-129)

Listed Pitchers: Strasburg vs Minor
(Note: I'm risking 2.58 units to win 2.00 units)

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SCOTT STYLZE

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers +5 (1.5 unit play)

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Scott Beats the Man

Philadelphia
BOSTON**** -270**** * MONEY LINE

Philadelphia
BOSTON**** -5 ½ *** SPREAD

Philadelphia / Boston**** OVER 170 ½ **** POINTS TOTAL

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Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Streaking

Felipe Paulino, Kansas City Royals (2-1, 1.42 ERA)

The 28-year-old right-hander hasn’t allowed a run in three of his four starts this season, including two against the Yankees. He’s fanned 29 in 25 1/3 innings, and batters are hitting .232 against him. Paulino gets the Orioles in Baltimore on Saturday.

Derek Lowe, Cleveland Indians (6-2, 2.15 ERA)

The 38-year-old sinkerballer has allowed two or fewer runs in six consecutive starts heading into Saturday’s outing against the White Sox. Despite only striking out 15 batters all season, Lowe is excelling by getting batters to pound the ball into the ground. He needs to be careful with Orlando Hudson, who is 13-for-42 (.310) against him.

Slumping

Mike Minor, Atlanta Braves (2-4, 6.96 ERA)

The wheels have come off for the 24-year-old lefty. He’s served up 12 homers in his last five starts, including four last time out against the Reds. Batters are hitting .286 against him. Minor hasn’t produced a quality start since April 24. He gets the Nationals at home Saturday.

Jeremy Guthrie, Colorado Rockies (2-2, 5.55 ERA)

The 33-year-old right-hander has yielded six earned runs in each of his last three home starts, including last Sunday vs. Seattle. The good news is that Saturday he’ll be pitching in Cincinnati. In fact, Guthrie has a 1.68 ERA in three road starts, compared to 9.92 ERA at Coors Field.

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UFC 146 betting preview: Can dogs keep cashing in heavyweight title fights?
By CASE KEEFER

Favorites in UFC heavyweight title fights have burned many bankrolls over the last two years.

Underdogs are on a four-fight win streak in heavyweight championship bouts, heading into Saturday’s title fight between champion Junior dos Santos and Frank Mir at UFC 146 in Las Vegas. Not since Brock Lesnar came back to submit Shane Carwin at UFC 116 - 30 numbered UFC events ago - has a heavyweight champion kept his belt and cashed tickets for bettors.

“I think that’s just random,” MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas told Covers. “I think Junior dos Santos will put a stop to that. I think that streak comes to an end.”

If dos Santos can’t knock out Mir, then it’s time to officially consider the possibility that a curse is attached to the heavyweight title belt and bet the underdogs for the rest of eternity.

This matchup is custom-made for the champion to shine in his first title defense. The odds reflect as much, as dos Santos is posted around -500 with Mir coming back at +350.

“I can’t recommend people lay 5-1,” Kalikas said, “but I don’t think Mir is worth a bet, honestly. He’s going to have to get this fight to the ground to be successful, and I don’t see that happening.”

But plenty of public bettors do. The line has stayed steady for the most part since Kalikas opened it because more straight tickets are on Mir. UFC 146 is shaping up beautifully for many sportsbooks. They aren’t worried about exposure on Mir because the co-main event features a matchup with a favorite just as hefty.

Cain Velasquez enters as a -450 favorite over Antonio “Bigfoot” Silva, posted at +300. The excessive number of two-fight parlays pairing dos Santos and Velasquez makes a Mir victory far less dangerous for bookmakers.

“People that don’t know much about MMA are going to take a shot on the dog to cancel out the parlay money,” Kalikas explained. “The casual sports fan that’s starved for action is going to like the high price.”

It’s hard to blame them considering recent events. The dreaded “unstoppable” word was thrown around for both Lesnar and Velasquez before their reigns came to inglorious ends.

The upheaval has given the heavyweight division an inaccurate reputation as the most unstable class in the UFC. The big guys have more power - the sentiment goes - so the results tend to be more random and more dependent on one strike.

But truthfully, the upset rate in the heavyweight division is no greater than the smaller weight classes in the UFC. The surprises have just come at the top, making them more memorable.

The underdog success shouldn’t last past this weekend. Like the Macarena and rat tails, the run by underdogs in heavyweight title fights is a trend born to die.

UFC 146 leans

Junior dos Santos (-500) vs. Frank Mir (+350)

Kalikas wisely suggests checking out the price on dos Santos to win inside the distance on fight day. It’s a nice way to back dos Santos while trimming off a small amount of juice.

Cain Velasquez (-450) vs. Antonio “Bigfoot” Silva (+300)

The only interesting question here is whether Silva can last longer than he did against Daniel Cormier, Velasquez’s teammate, last year. Cormier knocked out Silva in 3:56. Give me the under with a motivated, healthy Velasquez.

Roy Nelson (-225) vs. Dave Herman (+175)

Herman claims he barely trained for this fight after taking it on short notice. Nelson claims he emptied his bank account in order to get the best preparation for UFC 146.

Stipe Miocic (-160) vs. Shane del Rosario (+130)

I hate to uncharacteristically take all the chalk, but that’s where the value rests this weekend. Miocic has a higher upside than del Rosario, who hasn’t fought in 14 months after suffering severe injuries when struck by a drunk driver.

Stefan Struve (-120) vs. Lavar Johnson (-110)

Shop to find Struve by submission at +110 or Even money for the best bet on the card.

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Hondo

Hudson was unable to hold the Nationals at bay last night, which resulted in a Brave loss that caused Hondo to fall 1,745 messersmiths below sea level.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will wing it with the Angels against King Felix – 10 units on Williams.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 849- 626 (58 %) over the last 4 years PLUS

Free winner Sat: Cinci w/ Leake

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Tigers/Twins over 8.5

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Today's NBA Picks

Philadelphia at Boston

The Celtics look to build on their 9-4 ATS record in their last 13 games as a favorite of 5 to 10 1/2 points. Boston is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks


SATURDAY, MAY 26
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 549-550: Philadelphia at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 122.422; Boston 130.125
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 7 1/2; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 5 1/2; 170
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-5 1/2); Over

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Today's MLB Picks

Toronto at Texas

The Blue Jays look to bounce back from yesterday's 14-3 blowout and take advantage of a Texas team that is 3-13 in its last 16 games following a win. Toronto is the pick (+160) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+160). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, MAY 26
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: San Diego at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 14.877; NY Mets (Santana) 14.201
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+150); Over


Game 953-954: Washington at Atlanta (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 14.935; Atlanta (Minor) 15.974
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+120); Under


Game 955-956: San Francisco at Miami (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.951; Miami (Buehrle) 14.219
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Miami (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+120); Over


Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Maholm) 13.320; Pittsburgh (Correia) 14.565
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-125); Under


Game 959-960: Philadelphia at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.744; St. Louis (Garcia) 14.926
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+145); Over


Game 961-962: Colorado at Cincinnati (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Guthrie) 14.906; Cincinnati (Leake) 15.553
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-145); Under


Game 963-964: Houston at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 14.591; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 16.143
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-140); Over


Game 965-966: Milwaukee at Arizona (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Greinke) 15.495; Arizona (Miley) 14.384
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-125); Under


Game 967-968: Detroit at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 14.050; Minnesota (Pavano) 14.956
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Under


Game 969-970: Toronto at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Alvarez) 16.252; Texas (Lewis) 15.252
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+160); Over


Game 971-972: NY Yankees at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 14.384; Oakland (Colon) 15.276
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+155); Over


Game 973-974: Kansas City at Baltimore (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Paulino) 15.254; Baltimore (Chen) 15.012
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110); Under


Game 975-976: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Lowe) 16.171; White Sox (Peavy) 15.414
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125); Over


Game 977-978: Tampa Bay at Boston (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.626; Boston (Beckett) 16.737
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-130); Under


Game 979-980: LA Angels at Seattle (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Williams) 15.286; Seattle (Hernandez) 16.201
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-150); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-150); Over

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Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Philadelphia +5.5 over BOSTON: Gonna look to the Sixers in this one. Philly just seems to be ready to take that next step. Actually I'm not sure they will win the game outright, but they are playing with plenty of heart right now and should at least keep this one close. The Sixers were blown out in game 5 here, but this one is for all the marbles and you can expect a game more like the 1st two in this series, which was won by each team by just 1 point. Both teams play excellent defense, but I feel the Sixers have a bit more at that end of the floor. On Paper Boston may have a bit more offense, but they are beat up so that evens things out a bit. I just feel the Sixers defense will really be able to keep this one close.

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Sports Wagers MLB

Kansas City +111 over BALTIMORE Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)
Wei-Yin Chen has just two losses on the year, which is the same number of losses as Clayton Kershaw. Somehow, the 26-year old keeps racking up wins but it cannot last for this very mediocre pitcher. Chen’s profile shows a groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate of 35%/20%/45%. Combine that fly-ball bias profile with his average strikeout rate and it’s trouble waiting to happen at Camden Yards. Chen’s xERA is 4.55, which is more than a run higher than his actual ERA of 3.45. Meanwhile Felipe Paulino is one of baseball’s best kept secrets. All he’s done is struck out 29 batters in 25 frames while walking a mere seven batters. He’s already beaten the Yanks twice by holding them to zero runs in 12.2 innings. Paulino has made just four starts this season after beginning the year on the DL and in three of those four starts he’s held the opposition scoreless. We see improved ERA, xERA, strikeout rate and groundball rate for three straight years and it’s all coming together for him now. The kid is the real deal. Play: Kansas City +111 (Risking 2 units).

CHICAGO -1½ +145 over Cleveland Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)
Very quietly, the White Sox have won seven of eight and own the second best BA in the majors over the past 10 games. The South Side won the opener, 9-3 last night and have now scored 26 runs over their past three games and six runs or more in seven of their past 10. They have a chance to put up a bunch more against one of the major’s biggest imposters, Derek Lowe. Lowe has a 2.15 ERA after nine starts but that does not coincide with 18 walks and 15 K’s in 59 innings. Lowe has been the lucky recipient of batted balls being hit right at people and once his 87% strand rate normalizes, his ERA will skyrocket. Don’t get blinded by the low ERA or 6-2 record, as Lowe still has some glaring weaknesses that this hot-hitting host has a great chance to expose. Jake Peavy has 55 K’s and 11 walks in 64 frames. Since April 23, Peavy has posted a 2.23 ERA and has also had good success against Cleveland in the past. However, this one is all about fading Derek Lowe. Play: Chicago -1½ +145 (Risking 2 units).

San Francisco +122 over MIAMI Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)
The Giants lost to a big inning last night when the Marlins put up five in the sixth frame. San Fran still scored six yesterday and 14 in the opener Thursday night so they’re clearly feeling very comfortable at the plate in this yard. Madison Bumgarner is a different pitcher this year, transforming from a fireball hurler to an extreme groundballer (53% GB%) this season. It really doesn’t get much sweeter than Bumgarner taking back a tag against Mark Buehrle. Buehrle brings very little to the table outside of a strong WHIP. He relies heavily on his defense to make plays because he doesn’t miss many bats. Buehrle has posted a 4.43 ERA over his last three starts and the Fish have won all three. They can’t keep bailing him out by scoring five runs every time he pitches and his string of luck is about to run out. Definite overlay. Play: San Francisco +122 (Risking 2 units).

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Jimmy Boyd ICE ICE COLD


***TOP PLAY*** 76ers/Celtics 5* 10-0 Game 7 *BEST BET*
Celtics -5.5

Boyd's 30-0 MLB Saturday *Afternoon Delight*
New York Mets

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EAGLE EYE SPORTS--DAVE MARSHALL
Your Pick: Cleveland Indians (+132)
Your Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (-135)
Your Pick: KC / Balt. Under 8 (-105)

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David Banks

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Boston Celtics

It was a truly ugly Game 6 between the Philadelphia 76ers (42-36, 40-37-1
ATS) and the Boston Celtics (46-32, 39-37-2 ATS), but in the end the
eight-seeds from Philadelphia prevailed 82-75 to force a winner-take-all Game 7.
Thus, the pattern of these teams alternating wins over the first six games
continued as the 76ers improved to 5-0 this post season when coming off of a
loss. At least the Celtics get to return home for Game 7, which takes place
Saturday night at TD Garden in Boston, MA at 8:00 ET and will be broadcast
nationally over the air on ABC.

The Sixers won Game 6 despite hitting on only one three-point attempt in
nine tries, shooting only 60.7 percent from the foul line (17-for-28) and
committing 12 turnovers, which should give you an idea of just how bad Boston
played. To their credit though, the Sixers did take control in the third
quarter after trailing 36-33 at halftime, committing only two of their turnovers
in that quarter. The highlight of the third stanza was a ferocious dunk by
Andre Iguodala on which he was fouled, giving the Sixers a five-point lead
after he made the free throw, which in itself was a rarity for Philadelphia on
Wednesday. The Sixers then kept the Celtics at arm's length the rest of the
way, a task made easier by Boston's sloppy play. Now keep in mind that Game
5 in Boston was the complete opposite of Game 6, as it was then the 76ers
that had the halftime lead on the road and it was the Celtics feeding off of
the home fans in the second half while exploding and pulling away. So, did
the Sixers merely prolong the inevitable by winning Game 6 or could they
become the first team to win two straight games in this series?

The Celtics have nowhere to go but up after playing their worst game of the
playoffs and one of their worst games all year at the most inopportune
time. Boston shot a miserable 33.3 percent from the field (26-for-78) including
3-for-14 from three-point land and committed 17 turnovers. Just about the
only reason the 76ers did not blow the doors off of Game 6 early was because
the Celtics hit on 20 of their 23 free throw attempts, including going a
perfect 17-for-17 over the first three quarters while making only 19 field goals
over that same span. Then, Kevin Garnett was the only Celtic hitting shots
in the fourth quarter, and many of those shots were outside jumpers as
Boston could get no easy looks near the basket. Garnett finished with 20 points
with most of those coming in the final 12:00, but Paul Pierce was the leading
scorer with 24 points, although he hit on only 5-of-11 from the field while
going 13-for-13 from the foul line. No other Boston player hit
double-digits, a far cry from Game 5 here in Beantown when Brandon Bass scored 27 and
Rajon Rondo had his customary double-double. Bass had only eight points on
Wednesday and Rondo had an off night with just nine points and six assists.

Game 6 was only the second 'under' of this series and the 'over' is still
6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meetings overall. One would think that the
Boston shooting would improve in this contest just like it do following the
Celtics' first two losses in this series, as they put up 107 points in Game
3 and 101 points in Game 5. The 76ers are 9-4 against the spread in the
last 13 meetings, but obviously none of those were a Game 7 in Boston
situation.

Pick: Under 170.5

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David Banks

Philadelphia 76ers +pts

170.5 - Philadelphia 76ers / Boston Celtics (analysis on post #33)

Atlanta Braves

Kansas City Royals

Cincinnati Reds

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 5/26
952 Mets -160 @ 1:10p
967 Tigers -130 @ 2:10p
953 Nationals -145 @ 4:05p
972 A's +155 @ 4:05p
973 Royals Even @ 4:05p
955 Giants +120 @ 4:10p
976 White Sox -145 @ 4:10p
958 Pirates -125 @ 7:15p
959 Phillies +145 @ 7:15p
962 Reds -145 @ 7:15p
977 Rays +115 @ 7:15p
980 Mariners -160 @ 7:15p
964 Dodgers -140 @ 10:10p
966 D-Backs +105 @ 10:10p

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB

Kansas City +111 over BALTIMORE Pinnacle
Wei-Yin Chen has just two losses on the year, which is the same number of losses as Clayton Kershaw. Somehow, the 26-year old keeps racking up wins but it cannot last for this very mediocre pitcher. Chen’s profile shows a groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate of 35%/20%/45%. Combine that fly-ball bias profile with his average strikeout rate and it’s trouble waiting to happen at Camden Yards. Chen’s xERA is 4.55, which is more than a run higher than his actual ERA of 3.45. Meanwhile Felipe Paulino is one of baseball’s best kept secrets. All he’s done is struck out 29 batters in 25 frames while walking a mere seven batters. He’s already beaten the Yanks twice by holding them to zero runs in 12.2 innings. Paulino has made just four starts this season after beginning the year on the DL and in three of those four starts he’s held the opposition scoreless. We see improved ERA, xERA, strikeout rate and groundball rate for three straight years and it’s all coming together for him now. The kid is the real deal. Play: Kansas City +111 (Risking 2 units).

CHICAGO -1½ +145 over Cleveland Pinnacle
Very quietly, the White Sox have won seven of eight and own the second best BA in the majors over the past 10 games. The South Side won the opener, 9-3 last night and have now scored 26 runs over their past three games and six runs or more in seven of their past 10. They have a chance to put up a bunch more against one of the major’s biggest imposters, Derek Lowe. Lowe has a 2.15 ERA after nine starts but that does not coincide with 18 walks and 15 K’s in 59 innings. Lowe has been the lucky recipient of batted balls being hit right at people and once his 87% strand rate normalizes, his ERA will skyrocket. Don’t get blinded by the low ERA or 6-2 record, as Lowe still has some glaring weaknesses that this hot-hitting host has a great chance to expose. Jake Peavy has 55 K’s and 11 walks in 64 frames. Since April 23, Peavy has posted a 2.23 ERA and has also had good success against Cleveland in the past. However, this one is all about fading Derek Lowe. Play: Chicago -1½ +145 (Risking 2 units).

San Francisco +122 over MIAMI Pinnacle
The Giants lost to a big inning last night when the Marlins put up five in the sixth frame. San Fran still scored six yesterday and 14 in the opener Thursday night so they’re clearly feeling very comfortable at the plate in this yard. Madison Bumgarner is a different pitcher this year, transforming from a fireball hurler to an extreme groundballer (53% GB%) this season. It really doesn’t get much sweeter than Bumgarner taking back a tag against Mark Buehrle. Buehrle brings very little to the table outside of a strong WHIP. He relies heavily on his defense to make plays because he doesn’t miss many bats. Buehrle has posted a 4.43 ERA over his last three starts and the Fish have won all three. They can’t keep bailing him out by scoring five runs every time he pitches and his string of luck is about to run out. Definite overlay. Play: San Francisco +122 (Risking 2 units).

[poopoo333]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

Washington/ Atlanta Over 7.5: (Added) Interesting to note here that Stephen Strasburg has it in his contract that he is not to go over 160 innings pitched this year and so he has pitched past 6 innings just once this year. Stephen does has a 2.21 ERA overall, but a 3.60 ERA in his last 3 starts, while the Nats pen has a 3.47 ERA on the road this year, so this struggling Braves offense should be good for a few runs off their pitching today, especially if we add in the fact that Stephen also has a 4.35 ERA in 2 career starts vs the Braves. The Nats offense hasn't been great this year, but they have turned it on a bit of late, averaging 4.8 rpg in their last 6 games and they will be taking on Mike Minor, who has struggled mightily of late. Mike actually has struggled all year with a 6.96 ERA overall, but in his last 5 starts he has allowed 6 ER's or more in 4 of those starts. Mike's starts this year have averaged 11.2 rpg, while his home starts have put up 9 rpg, Mike has averaged just 5.9 innings pitched per outing and behind him is a pen that has a 4.83 ERA in this park. We should get a few extra runs from both pens in this one as this ga,e flirts with DD runs.

3 UNIT PLAY

Detroit/ Minnesota Over 9: Not sure what happened yesterday as I started to make a write up for the over in that game and then deleted it, but was still supposed to go back to it. That didn't happen and i left a winner off the table. Not today. Since the return of Justin Morneau the Twins have been involved in a bunch of high scoring games. 8 of the 9 games played since his return have put up at least 9 runs on the board. The Twins scoring has been up over that stretch as they have averaged 6.4 rpg in the 9 games, compared to less than 3.8 rpg before hand. Pitching has been a problem for this team all year as they ar last in ERA (5.49) and they come in having allowed a whopping 9 rpg in their last 5 games. Today the Twins send out Carl Pavano, who has a 6.65 ERA in 4 home starts this year, with his home starts averaging 10.3 rpg. Carl also has a 6.61 ERA in his last 5 starts vs Detroit, with 4 of te 5 starts hitting at least 9 runs. Max Scherzer pitched well in his last starts, but that was vs a weak hitting Pitt squad. Max comes in with a 5.73 ERA on the year, including a 5.33 ERA on the road, with his 5 road starts averaging 11.2 rpg. Max also has a 6.03 ERA in 6 day starts this year, with those starts averaging 11.7 rpg, plus he has a 6.45 ERA in 6 starts vs te Twins, with 4 of those 6 starts putting up 10 runs or more. Detroit had been struggling on offense and I expected that a trip to Minnesota would cure that and it did as they banged out 16 hits and put up 10 run. I expect their hitting to continue today, while Minnesota's hot hitting will also continue as this one reaches DD with ease.

OTHER PLAY

2 UNIT PLAY

Texas/ Toronto Under 9.5

Kansas City/ Baltimore Over 8.5 (Added)

1 UNIT PLAY

Washington -1.5 (+130) over ATLANTA (Added)

[Mr. IWS]

VEGAS DAVIS
MLB
4 units on Baltimore Orioles -125
4 units on Pittsburgh Pirates -120
NBA
2 units on Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics over 170

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Indians +125

50* Nationals -140

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

300,000♦ Philadelphia 76ers

[Mr. IWS]

TEDDY COVERS
10* Boston -120 (978)

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

Baltimore Orioles -117

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan

4 Celtics
5 NYY over 7'
4 Blt under 8
3 Hst

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Chicago Cubs +112

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Tech Sports

‎5* San Francisco +110

5* LA Dodgers -120

5* Tampa +110

[Mr. IWS]

Keith Fredrick

Celtics -5

[Mr. IWS]

ASA
Under Cubs
Over Celtics

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Best Bet - Red Sox

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
MLB 151-185 Season-to-Date ($4120)
Game: Colorado at Cincinnati (7:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: Cincinnati -150 (moneyline)

The Colorado Rockies got a rare road win when they defeated the Reds here last night. The Reds have been a hot team and I'm sure they will be inspired to return the favor tonight. Jeremy Guthrie did nothing in Baltimore and he is doing worse in Colorado dealing a 5.55 ERA on the season. Guthrie has made six starts and in three of them gave up six runs. Guthrie is 42-62 in his last 104 MLB decisions. The Rockies have been a woeful 6-21 facing a team that allowed five runs or more in their previous gameand are just 26-57 in their last 83 as a dog. The Reds are 21-10 in their last 31 as a home favorite, including 16-5 when the line is from -110 to -150. Play on Cincinnati.

[Mr. IWS]

National Sports Service
5* Detroit (Scherzer) -120 over Minnesota (Pavano)
3* Philadelphia/Boston OVER 170½ (NBA)

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report

4* Washington (Strasburg) -140 over Atlanta (Minor) Range: -120 to -160
3* Boston (Beckett) -125 over Tampa Bay (Price) Range: -110 to -145
3* Boston -5½ over Philadelphia (NBA) Range: -3½ to -7

[Mr. IWS]

*kelso*

mariners (-145) angels < 25* >
astros (+110) dodgers < 10* >

[Mr. IWS]

*greg shaker*

tb rays(+111) red sox < double dime >
tb rays/red sox (over 8.5) < triple dime >
76ers/cetics (over 170) < double dime >

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo
KC @ BAL o8 (-125) [1:05pm PDT]
NYY (-170) @ OAK [1:05pm PDT]
SF @ MIA o7.5 (+100) [1:10pm PDT]
TB @ BOS u8.5 (+100) [4:15pm PDT]


PHI @ ATL o9 (-125) [4:15pm PDT]
MIL @ ARI o9 (+100) [7:10pm PDT]

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

30 dime Philadelphia 76ers +pts

[Mr. IWS]

NSA
20* NBA 76ers +5½
20* MLB Seattle UNDER 6½
20* MLB Washington UNDER 7½
10* MLB Yankees -160
10* NBA 76ers UNDER 171
10* MLB Detroit -140

[Mr. IWS]

Marco D'Angelo

3* cubs GOM
2* braves
2* d-back
1* celtics

[Mr. IWS]

LINES 2 WIN
Washington -128 (2.56 to win 2 Units) - Strasburg vs Minor - Minor has lost his mojo and has been rocked 5 straight games now. The Braves have a ton of offense, but Strasburg is opposing them. He was chased 2 games back against SD, but he bounced back nicely against the good hitting Orioles for the Win. Strasburg should limit the Atlanta bats and allow the Nats offense to get to Minor early.


Baltimore -120 (1.8 to win 1.50 Units) - Chen vs Paulino - Not buying the fact that Paulino is all of a sudden an elite pitcher. He has been awful his first 5 years in the majors and now he has gone 3 out of 4 games without giving up a run. He did blank the Yanks twice and the Orioles once, can he do it again today, we think not. Chen has been solid all year and you know the Orioles bats are itching to fire. Like Baltimore in this spot today.

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions / Kevin

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves - NATIONALS TO WIN (-129) **4:05 PM EST START**

Listed Pitchers: Strasburg vs Minor
(Note: I'm risking 2.58 units to win 2.00 units)

Washington took the first game of the battle of the two top NL East teams with a 7-4 win last night as +135 underdogs. The win moved the Nationals to a solid 27-18 on the season and 12-10 on the road. The Braves are 26-21 and 10-8 at home this season, and have lost 5 straight after being swept in Cincinnati. Tonight the Nationals will send Stephen Strasburg to the mound. Strasburg is 4-1 on the season with a 2.21 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and .214 opponents batting average. 8 of 9 of his starts have been quality starts, and he has struckout 64 batters on the season (compared to just 13 walks). Strasburg is battling a bit of an injury, but I would expect that if it was anything that would mess with his performance the team would have him skip a start. The Braves will counter with southpaw Mike Minor, who isn't have the best season thus far. Minor is just 2-4 with a 6.96 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, and .286 opponents batting average. His latest start was considered one of his better starts on the season but he allowed 4 earned runs on 5 hits with 5 walks in 6 innings of work against Cincinnati. He has allowed 4+ earned runs against in 7 of his 9 starts. Take note that the Nationals have won 4 of their last 5 games, while the Braves have dropped 5 in a row and 6 of their last 7. The Nationals are 6-2 in their last 8 road games, and 6-2 in their last 8 games vs a team with a winning record. They are also 7-1 in Strasburg's last 8 road starts, and 8-2 in his last 10 starts overall. The Braves are just 4-13 in their last 17 games vs divisional opponents, and are 0-4 in Minor's last 4 starts vs divisional opponents. Over his career Strasburg has pitched better in day games, and I expect him to take control of this game against the Braves who haven't seen him this year. Take the Nationals to win this afternoon.

[Mr. IWS]

spartan MLB Money Line Sat, 05/26/12 - 2:10 PM

dime bet 967 DET (-125) vs 968 MIN

[Mr. IWS]

Dwayne Bryant

Atlanta Braves +120

[Mr. IWS]

AL ROGERS

4* Detroit Tigers -125

3* Miami Marlins -135

[Mr. IWS]

Charlies Sports
500* Philadelphia @ Boston Under 171
500* Philadelphia+5½
500* Milwaukee @ Arizona Over 9
30*. Tampa Bay-125
20* Dodgers-135
10* Seattle-140 Free Play