6-20-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

2 UNIT PLAY

NY Yanks/ Atlanta Under 9: I haven't been doing writeups for my lesser plays, but after i got this one done I decided to make it a lesser play. Last night 7 runs were scored before the bottom of the 6th, but the pens shut down these teams the rest of the way and it ended at 7. The Yanks have a team ERA at just over 2.00 for the month of June and a big part of that has been Philip Hughes as he comes in with a 1.69 ERA in his last 3 starts. In his last 7 starts he has an ERA of 3.15 and has allowed 2 ER's or less in 6 of those 7 starts. Phil does have a 4.46 ERA at home, but just 8 rpg were scored in those starts. Tommy Hanson has pitched well for the Braves this year and he comes in hot as well, with a 1.77 ERA in his last 3 starts, while in his last 7 starts his ERA is just 3.02, and he has allowed 2 ER's or less in 7 of his last 8 starts. Tommy has a solid 2.44 ERA on the road, with just 6.12 rpg being scored in his 8 road starts. The Braves offense, that has averaged just 2 rpg in their last 8 games, should struggled vs Hughes today, while Hanson should have a good game vs a solid Yanks attack. Yanks interleague games have averaged 7.3 rpg, while their day games have averaged 8.9 rpg. For the Braves their Day games have averaged 7.7 rpg, while their interleague games have put up just 6.6 rpg. This will be a hot humid day for this game and that usually means the ball travels better, but still neither team is hitting great these days and both starters have been very good of late. About 7 runs just like last night.

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Wednesday

100* Play Washington (-200) over Tampa Bay (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST

Stephen Strasburg has won 11 of the last 13 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season and he has won 20 of the last 27 games as a favorite of -110 or higher. Stephen Strasburg has won 3 consecutive games vs. AL East Division Opponents and he is 3-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 1.89.

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50* Play Texas (-180) over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Arizona (-170) over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB
CHICAGO WS -1½+116 over Chicago Pinnacle
The Cubs going for a sweep on the road is not something you hear too often. This is a team that has 10 road wins in 35 games. Randy Wells has been working out of the pen since being demoted there on May 22. In his past three appearances, he worked 2.2 innings and allowed seven hits and two walks. Overall, in just 22 innings this season, Wells has walked 16 while striking out 11. Wells is an emergency starter without any notable skills. You would be hard pressed to find a larger disparity between an ERA and xERA than with Gavin Floyd, who has a 5.63 ERA and only a 3.65 xERA. Incredibly, Floyd has allowed five runs or more in five of his last six starts and has not had a quality start since shutting out the Royals on May 11. He still has 72 K’s and just 23 walks in 77 frames and it’s time for him to be rewarded. Play: Chicago -1½ +116 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

30 dime braves under

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Pittsburgh Pirates -123

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 6/20
903 Braves +130 @ 1:05p
906 Astros Even @ 2:05p
909 Mariners +150 @ 3:40p
913 Cards +105 @ 7:05p
916 Indians -125 @ 7:05p
917 Twins +110 @ 7:05p
921 Orioles +115 @ 7:10p
923 Marlins +130 @ 7:10p
926 White Sox -175 @ 8:10p
928 Angels -160 @ 10:05p

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Orioles +115
50* Over 9.5 Marlins/Red Sox

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAY

3 UNIT PLAY

NY YANKS -140 over Atlanta: Upon further review I have decided i like this one better. This write will be a bit shorter than the one below, so i don't duplicate a lot of what I wrote down there.The Yanks win streak was snapped last night but this is still a team that is playing very well. The Yanks play good ball in day games (12-7) and they score 5.2 rpg in those afternoon games. The Braves have not been do hot in day games, going just 8-12 and scoring just 3.6 rpg. Atlanta is also 5-9 in inter league games, while the yanks have gone 12-2. Both starters have been very good of late, but I have to feel that the yanks offense will have better results off of Hanson, than a Braves offense (2 rpg in their last 8) will have off of a hot Philip Hughes. In this humid weather neither starter may go more than 6 and then we must look to the pens and that give the Yanks even more of an edge. NY Lost a tough one last night, but they should bounce back nicely with a good win here.

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

NY Yanks/ Atlanta Under 9: I haven't been doing writeups for my lesser plays, but after i got this one done I decided to make it a lesser play. Last night 7 runs were scored before the bottom of the 6th, but the pens shut down these teams the rest of the way and it ended at 7. The Yanks have a team ERA at just over 2.00 for the month of June and a big part of that has been Philip Hughes as he comes in with a 1.69 ERA in his last 3 starts. In his last 7 starts he has an ERA of 3.15 and has allowed 2 ER's or less in 6 of those 7 starts. Phil does have a 4.46 ERA at home, but just 8 rpg were scored in those starts. Tommy Hanson has pitched well for the Braves this year and he comes in hot as well, with a 1.77 ERA in his last 3 starts, while in his last 7 starts his ERA is just 3.02, and he has allowed 2 ER's or less in 7 of his last 8 starts. Tommy has a solid 2.44 ERA on the road, with just 6.12 rpg being scored in his 8 road starts. The Braves offense, that has averaged just 2 rpg in their last 8 games, should struggled vs Hughes today, while Hanson should have a good game vs a solid Yanks attack. Yanks interleague games have averaged 7.3 rpg, while their day games have averaged 8.9 rpg. For the Braves their Day games have averaged 7.7 rpg, while their interleague games have put up just 6.6 rpg. This will be a hot humid day for this game and that usually means the ball travels better, but still neither team is hitting great these days and both starters have been very good of late. About 7 runs just like last night.
TOP PLAY

3 UNIT PLAY

Texas/ San Diego Over 7: (Added) Yu Darvish has been solid for the Rangers this year, with a 3.57 ERA overall, but he does have a 3.98 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP on the road this year, plus in his 4 day starts he has a 5.32 ERA and a high 2.05 WHIP. Overall teams have a .343 OBP vs him, including a .423 OBP vs him in day games. He just puts too many men on base and that should help a Padres team that has problems scoring at home, get some runs across here. YU has pitched in pitchers parks in his last 3 road starts and he allowed 6 ER's to a weak Oakland offense and 4 ER's to a weak Seattle offense in two of his last 3 road starts. Anthony Bass has really struggled of late, allowing 26 ER's in his last 5 starts. 4 of those were on the road, but he does have a 3.62 ERA at home, so he will give up some runs and behind him is a pen that has a 3.99 ERA in it's last 10 games. The Padres have scored just 3 rpg at home, but 4.3 rpg in Anthony's home starts. The Rangers average 5.1 rpg in day games, while San Diego puts up 3.4 rpg. I expect at least 9 in this one.

Oakland/ Dodgers Under 7: (Added) Don't even look at Tommy Milone's last 3 starts as all three of those starts were on the road and his last 2 were at Colorado and Arizona. A couple of hitters parks, but tonight he is at home where he has been awesome. Tommy has an 0.98 ERA at home (2nd best in the majors), plus an 0.85 WHIP to go along with it, with those home starts averaging just 4.6 rpg. He will be taking on an LA offense that has hit just .219 and put up 3 rpg in their last 7 games, plus they have averaged a mere 1 rpg in Nathan Eovaldi's 4 starts this year. Nathan has really pitched well for LA, with a 1.82 ERA, but thanks to that poor run support the Dodgers are 0-4 in his starts and those starts have averaged just 3 rpg. Tommy should have another solid outing tonight vs an A's squad that hits just .214 at home and scores 3.6 rpg. This should be a great pitcher's duel in a a pitchers park and we should see no more than 5 runs on the board in this one.

LA Angels/ San Francisco Under 7: (Added) Great pitching matchup on tap tonight as Ryan Vogelsong will square off vs Jered Weaver. Ryan has been solid this year with a 2.29 ERA overall. He has been even better in his last 9 starts, allowing more than 2 ER's just once, while posting an ERA of 1.70 during that stretch. Let's also note that in each of those games in which he allowed 2 ER's or less their has not been a game with more than 7 runs scored. The Angels offense has been struggling of late as they have averaged just 3.2 rpg and have hit just .235 in their last 8 games. For the Giants they have averaged 4.7 rpg on the road, but just 3.5 in interleague play. Tonight they will have a tough task getting runs on the board vs Jered Weaver, who has an 0.83 ERA at home on the year, while also posting a microscopic .055 WHIP in his home starts. Jered has allowed 2 ER's or less in 5 of his last 6 starts and should be fresh, having not pitched since May 28th. Neither team puts a lot of extra runners on base and that will make it hard for these team to put up the crooked numbers that would give us a loss here. I look for around 5 runs at best in this one.

2 UNIT PLAYS

PHILADELPHIA -143 over Colorado

1 UNIT PLAY

Arizona/ Seattle Over 8.5

St Louis +114 over DETROIT

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog Sports
Game: Miami at Boston (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Boston -140 (moneyline)

The Miami Marlins spent a lot of money in the offseason to revamp a rotation and lineup to be a player in the National League. The problem is that this team has been prone to some offensive slumps and pitching that has been less than anticipated. The Marlins are in the midst of one of those slumps once again, as they are just 2-11 in their last 13 games. They have been shutout three times in this stretch while generating exactly 2 runs per contest. The Red Sox have won three straight and five of their last six to move over the .500 mark and have things going now. The Marlins are a surprisingly sub-standard 1-10 in their last 11 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of greater than 1.30. Boston stands above all when facing an interleague right-hander, where they are an amazing 70-25 in their last 95 against them. Play Boston in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:
500* MLB Pirates -130
100* MLB Orioles +115
50* MLB Over 9.5 Redsox/Marlins

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Winning Crew

MLB 25 Dime Play
Pittsburgh

[Mr. IWS]

4-STAR DETROIT over St Louis - Both pitchers going tonight have had their struggles. However, pitching at home has made a big difference for Detroit starter Rick Porcello. He has the better lineup behind him as well and we look for Detroit to keep rolling here.
Detroit won the series opener yesterday, 6-3. They got out to a 4-0 lead in the first two innings and never trailed. The Cardinals are 6-14 since June 11, 2011 when playing a night game when they are off a loss in which they never led in a night game for a net profit of $1038 when playing against. Meanwhile, the Tigers are 23-7 since April 23, 2011 within 20 cents of pickem when they are off a win in which they never trailed for a net profit of $1583.

Detroit slugged 12 hits in that win. The Cardinals are 3-14 since May 14, 2011 after a loss in which they allowed 12+ hits in a night game for a net profit of $1335 when playing against.

Conversely, St. Louis plated their three runs on just five hits. The Tigers are 16-5 since April 22, 2011 as a home favorite after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $884.

That was Detroit's third straight win and Porcello usually pitches well while they're frontrunning. The Tigers are 8-1 since April 15, 2011 when Rick Porcello starts after the team won their last three games for a net profit of $723.

He won his last start over the Cubs, 8-4. The Tigers are 8-1 since July 08, 2011 when Rick Porcello starts as a favorite after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $675.

St. Louis' Jake Westbrook also won in his last outing, 5-3 over the White Sox. The Cardinals are 4-11 since June 01, 2011 when Jake Westbrook starts after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $866 when playing against.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: DETROIT 6, St Louis 4

4-STAR Cubs over WHITE SOX - Every time Gavin Floyd loses as a big favorite we assume it's going to be the last time we are lucky enough to capitalize on that situation. Yet it just keeps on happening again. This is a guy who has not got past the sixth inning or allowed less than four runs in any of his last six starts! Take the big dog here.

Floyd is needed tonight as the White Sox look to avoid a three-game sweep in the final game against their cross-town rival. The White Sox are 10-19 since June 05, 2011 at home and it is the last game of the series for a net profit of $1267 when playing against.

Somehow the bigger Floyd is favored the worse things seem to get for him. The White Sox are 2-8 since April 16, 2011 when Gavin Floyd starts as a 140+ favorite for a net profit of $910 when playing against.

His last start he faced 25 batters with 83 pitches, often pitching to contact. It didn't help as he couldn't get out of the fifth inning in a 5-3 loss. The White Sox are 0-5 since April 16, 2011 when Gavin Floyd starts as a 140+ favorite when he is off a start in which he needed fewer than 3.5 pitches per batter for a net profit of $713 when playing against.

That game was the third straight loss for Floyd. The White Sox are 3-15 since April 13, 2011 at home when they lost the last two games their starter started after playing in a night game for a net profit of $1433 when playing against.

The Cubs throw Randy Wells today. He's has some success against high strikeout teams. The Cubs are 6-3 since July 23, 2011 when Randy Wells starts vs a team that has averaged 7+ strikeouts per game for a net profit of $510.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Cubs 6, WHITE SOX 4

4-STAR Kansas City over HOUSTON - The difference in starting pitching in this game is enormous. Bruce Chen has an ERA of 5 but that has been due to some bad luck as he's been his typical average self. Meanwhile Jordan Lyles has an ERA of 5.50. pitching in the NL Central! KC has the better offense as well as a rested bullpen and should take this one today.

Kansas City won yesterday's matchup 2-0 behind a strong outing from Luke Hochevar. The Astros are 6-20 since April 03, 2011 when playing a day game when they are off a loss in which they never led for a net profit of $1140 when playing against.

Houston's Lyles starts in day action here and that has not been good for him. The Astros are 1-9 since June 05, 2011 when Jordan Lyles starts when the start time is earlier than 4:00 PM local time for a net profit of $760 when playing against.

Lyles last outing he was given an early 1-0 lead vs. Texas and that lasted until the fifth when he imploded for five runs and the loss. The Astros are 0-6 since June 16, 2011 when Jordan Lyles starts when he is off a start in which their team scored first and lost for a net profit of $600 when playing against.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Kansas City 7, HOUSTON 2

[Mr. IWS]

The Brian Laverty

2 Units Pirates -125

2 Units Tigers -123

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

3* Rangers -1.5 -102

[Mr. IWS]

GoodFella

3* Indians

2* Braves/Yankees OVER 9

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O`Brien

MLB Winner # 8 of 10

Interleague Game of the Year

50 DIME WINNER #2 IN A ROW

Tigers

[Mr. IWS]

ROBERT FERRINGO

CIN @ CLE (-120) [4:05pm PDT]

MIA @ BOS (-145) [4:10pm PDT]

LAD @ OAK (-115) [7:05pm PDT]

TEX -1.5 (-105) @ SD [3:35pm PDT]

CIN @ CLE UNDER 9.5 (-115) [4:05pm PDT]

CHC @ CWS -1.5 (+105) [5:10pm PDT]

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Wednesday 6/20/12 Plays...

HIGHEST RATED 6* RANGERS/PADRES (UNDER)

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