6-21-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

MIAMI -3½ over Oklahoma City

This one is largely about the presence of Chris Bosh and the difference he can make in favour of the Heat. Miami was 42-15 in the regular season when Bosh played but 4-5 when he didn't. They're 6-1 in the playoffs when Bosh plays at least 20 minutes and 6-5 the rest of the time. Combine the two and they're 48-16 with Bosh in the lineup and 10-10 without him. As long as they have Bosh, you have to like their odds. Oklahoma City faced a higher level of competition than the Heat did in the postseason but this difference has been grossly overblown. If you look at the quality of the opponents rather than the names on their jerseys, their entire advantage came in the conference finals. Before that, Miami foes Indiana and New York combined for more wins and a far better scoring margin than the Lakers and Mavs. Miami has been dominant when fully intact, both in the regular season and in the playoffs. The Heat have six double-digit wins in the seven playoff games that Bosh played at least 20 minutes. The Thunder have four this entire postseason. This is the game that Miami can put the proverbial nail in the Thunder’s coffin and they smell blood. Play: Miami -3½ (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Thursday

100* Play Philadelphia (-165) over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST

Colorado has lost 12 of the last 13 games and they have also lost 6 of the last 7 games when playing on a Thursday. Colorado has lost 9 of the last 10 games vs. NL East Division Opponents and they have lost 11 of the last 14 games as an underdog of +150 to +200.


50* Play Pittsburgh (-150) over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play LA Dodgers (-135) over Oakland (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Red Sox -130

50* Tigers / Cardinals Over 10

[Mr. IWS]

MARC LAWRENCE
Play: Oklahoma City (+3.5 -110)

Matchup: Oklahoma City at Miami
Time: 9:00 PM EDT (Thu)

Play On: Oklahoma City (Game 509)
Note: When the Thunder meets the Heat in Game Five of the NBA finals Thursday night, Oklahoma City will take the court knowing that games involving teams off three losses-exact in this round have seen the visiting team go 3-0 SU and ATS in this situation since 1991. In addition, home teams off back-to-back home playoff games in the championship round of the playoffs are just 8-17-1 ATS since 1991, including 3-8 SU and 0-10-1 ATS if they are note off a win of 7 or more points and are facing a sub .770 opponent. Meanwhile, the Thunder is 5-0 ATS away in games when riding a 0-3 SU and ATS losing streak since Kevin Durant joined the team in 2007. Knowing that only 3 of 27 teams have managed to sweep all three home games in the middle set of a championship finals round since the inception of the 2-3-2 concept, and with Miami 0-3 ATS as a favorite in games off three wins-exact when facing greater than .650 opponents since the arrival of the Big Three, look for the series to head back to Oklahoma City on Sunday. We recommend a 3-unit play on Oklahoma City. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Mr. IWS]

401 K Sports

Wed recap 3-2 +1.35 units
1* Arizona -155 over(win)
1* Arizona -1.5 runs +135(win)
2** Washington/Tampa bay under 7.5(-110)(win) 1* Washington -1.5 runs +120(loss)
2** San Francisco +140 over LA Angels(loss)

Thurs plays
2** St Louis/Detroit under 9.5(1pm) - While this isn't a MLB debut, It will be the 2012 debut for Tigers #1 prospect Turmer. He was throwing well in a hitters park. Lohse has had a good year, but he has really been dealing lately with a 1.74 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP. Detroit is playing better but it is due to good pitching, the offense has been average.

1* Philly -165 over Colorado(7pm)
1* Philly -1.5 runs +120 over Colo - The Rox are a mess. They have went with a 4 man rotation and limited their pitchers to 75 pitches per start. The result has been a 11.47 ERA during the experiment. Tulo is gone. Worley has been fantastic and they are getting healthy vs rox.

1* Pittsburgh -155 over minnesota(7pm)
1* Pittsburgh -1.5 runs +135 over Minny - Liam Hendricks isn't ready for the big time yet. Minny has been playing well since semi giving up on this year. Well except for Hendriks. His 2.67 WHIP and .450 BA when balls are hit in play off him are staggering. McDonald's 1.75 ERA at home this year is 3rd in the majors.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Oklahoma City +135 over MIAMI Pinnacle

Closeout games are commonly the toughest of all. The fact that the Heat are just a three-point choice tells us the odds makers give them a heck of a shot here. We can break it down with X’s and O’s but you can read about that anywhere. What we do know is that the Thunder cannot be counted out. They proved that after being down 0-2 to the Spurs before winning that series. They’ve lost three straight to the Heat but every game has come down to the final minute and the Thunder could just as easily be up 3-1. They’re under no pressure to win here. The Thunder are obviously a strong team. The difference in winning or losing could be the play of James Harden. If Harden steps up, this series could easily be headed back to OKC. The Thunder did not lose four straight all season. Their longest losing streak was three. The line strongly suggests they won’t lose four and with LeBron James a bad step away from aggravating his leg cramp issue, we’ll take a step in believing this visitor is too good to lose to the same team four in a row. Play: Oklahoma City +135 (Risking 2 units

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Detroit/ St Louis Under 10: No I didn't learn my lesson from yesterday. Other than the humidity, there wasn't a damn stat or any indication at all that would have indicated that the Yanks and Braves would hit 9 HR's, especialy with good pitching on the mound. In this game there will be SOME humidity and the temp will be at 90 by game time, but I feel a 17mph wind that blow directly across the field to third base will negate some of the temp and humidity. Now on to some stats. Forget about the fact that Kyle Lohse has a 12.67 ERA in his last 4 starts with Detroit, as he last faced them in 2008 and the other 3 were as a member of the Twins in 2006. This year Kyle has been very good with a 2.98 ERA overall and a 1.74 ERA in his last 3 starts. Kyle also has a 3.06 ERA in his road starts, with those starts averaging 8.8 rpg. Offensively the Cards have averaged 5.1 rpg in Day games this year, but they also come in slumping, having averaged just 3.6 rpg in their last 7 games and just 3 rpg vs the AL on the year. Yesterday I thought that Marco put out a couple of weak stats for the Yanks Over play, but here is one that I feel really makes sense. This year the Tigers have gone 21-10 UNDER in day games with an average of 8.1 rpg being scored, plus their interleague games have gone 7-6 UNDER, with just 8.3 rpg being scored. Jacob Turner gets the start for the Tigers tonight and this will be his first start of the year and 3rd start ever. Now having never faced the Cards he should have a slight advantage here, plus if he gets into trouble he does have a solid pen that has a 2.08 ERA behind him. to me it really doesn't make sense for this total to be going up. I know it will be hot, but that wind should knock the balls down and negate the heat. I look for around 8 runs in this one.


Boston/ Miami Over 10.5: Last night the Red Sox exploded for 15 runs and while i do not expect that much from them here they should be good for at least 6 or 7 in this one, especially with the heat and humidity still around. Carlos Zambrano has been hit hard in his last 2 starts as he allowed 11 ER's with 9 walks and just 4 K's in 4.1 total innings of work. Carlos does have a 2.36 ERA on the road, but a 4.38 ERA at night on the year. The Miami Staff as a hole comes in with a 6.55 ERA in their last 10 games, while allowing 6.9 rpg over that stretch. The Miami offense came in struggling, but in this park with the heat they have put up 5 runs in each game and should be good for at least that much vs Dice-K, who really hasn't looked solid in his return, with a 5.73 ERA in his 2 starts. This Boston offense is rolling right now as they have averaged 7.2 rpg in their last 6 games, and in those last 6 games they have faced Miami 3 times and have put 32 runs in the 3 games. Another hot and humid night in Boston, should produce plenty of runs here.

3 UNIT PLAY

Miami/ Oklahoma City Over 193.5: As Much as I would like to take the Heat in this one to wrap it all up, I will go with the Over. I still feel the heat would like to wrap it up at home, but the Only shot that the Thunder has is to speed the game up, like they did in quarter 1 of game 4. They had a 17 point lead and 52 total points were scored in that quarter. The Heat have allowed just 88.1 ppg at home in the playoffs, but they did allow 98 points in the last game to the Thunder, so Oklahoma City can score on them. Plus if the Thunder is down late you can bet they will start fouling a bit earlier to pro long the game. Overall the Thunder has averaged 96 ppg in the series and 100 ppg on the road this year. Miami has been a good scoring team all year long and at home they have averaged 100 ppg, including 99.1 ppg in home playoff games. Oklahoma city is not a great defensive team on the road as they have allowed 98 ppg away from home. This should be a close game with an uptempo pace to it. OKC has no tomorrow if they lose so you can expect them to come out running and if they are down late, a lot of fouling as well. I expect 200+ in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo

954 Tigers +102 @ 1:05p
956 A's +144 @ 3:35p
957 Rays +120 @ 7:05p
961 Marlins +125 @ 7:10p

[Mr. IWS]

jeff benton

100 dime okc

[Mr. IWS]

Denver Money
2* Colorado Rockies / Philadelphia Phillies OVER 9 -115
These two teams have been over machines this year and we have seen the last two games go over and I don't expect that
to stop tonight as they look to close out their 3 game series. The Rockies have gone 40-25-2 over this season while the
Phillies are 44-25-1 over this season. I will ride this over again tonight and won't be surprised if we see this line move to 9.5

[Mr. IWS]

EZWINNERS

3* Tampa Bay Rays +125

3* Minnesota Twins +150

2* Oakland A’s +136

1* Colorado Rockies +163

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Rays / Nationals Under 7½

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd 6/21
5* Miami Heat -3

3* Washington Nationals -129

[Mr. IWS]

al demarco on heat

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Game: Oklahoma City at Miami (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: First Half UNDER 96 -110

Oklahoma City has to do a better job with their defensive initiative early in this game, as it is the area with which they have struggled. The first two games here have failed to top the first half total posted here, and with so much on the line for the Thunder they will have their defensive hats on early - something the Heat has done all series. The Thunder have yet to reach 50 points in the first half while OKC has kept the Heat under 50 in each of the last two. As a small home favorite (favored by 3 or less), the Heat are 15-5 UNDER in the first half the past couple of seasons. They are also 16-5 UNDER in the first-half at home over that span when the total is set between 96 and 98, as it is here. OKC is a perfect 7-0 UNDER in the first-half in their last seven road games vs. good shooting teams like the Heat (teams hitting 46%+ from the field). Take the first half UNDER in this one.