6-25-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* White Sox -125

50* Yankees /Indians Over 9.5

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Milwaukee +126 over CINCINNATI

Mat Latos is not right. He’s posted a 6.97 ERA in four June starts against the Tigers, the Astros and then the Indians twice. He’s throwing too many pitches in his starts and the result is that his skills decline rapidly the second and third time through an opposing lineup (when he manages to gets that far). He allowed three jacks in his last start and as a consequence of that poor showing, Dusty Baker pushed him back a day for this start. Yovani Gallardo tossed a gem against Cinci on May 8, giving up four hits while striking out eight over six innings. Through four starts in June, his base skills have been elite (52% groundball rate, high strikeout rate and xERA of 3.07). Gallardo had a rough first two months of the year but he’s back to being the dominant pitcher that we’ve been accustomed to seeing over the past three years. He’s always escalated his game as the season progressed and he’s a much better option taking back a tag than Latos is spotting one. Play: Milwaukee +126 (Risking 2 units).

Los Angeles +105 over SAN FRANCISCO

Nate Eovaldi is a solid prospect who could either become a top-notch starter or a dominant late-innings reliever. He pitched 34.2 innings with Los Angeles in '11 and posted a 3.63 ERA. He has a 92-98 MPH fastball and induces a high percentage of groundballs with that late breaking pitch that he keeps low. He was called up on May 29 and the Dodgers are 0-5 in his five starts but he’s pitched well. He has yet to allow more than three earned runs in any of his starts and that includes one at Coors Field. He has a strong groundball rate of 48% and a decent strikeout rate. The kid can pitch and deserves much better than his one career win in 11 major league starts. Barry Zito should not be favored here given his 4.92 xERA so far this season. He has given up at least four runs and struck out no more than three batters in each of his last three outings. Zito is still Zito. He’s hittable, he walks too many and he’s as beatable as any pitcher in the majors. The Dodgers have scored five times in support of Eovaldi in his five starts. They have a good chance of matching that output here. Play: Los Angeles +105 (Risking 2 units).

Tampa Bay -107 over KANSAS CITY

The Royals were swept by the Cardinals on the weekend with the pitching staff allowing 30 runs over the three-game set. The starters lasted a combined 12.2 innings over the weekend, meaning that the pen was used extensively for over 16 frames. The Royals’ pen has pitched the most innings in baseball and they’ll likely be called upon again here. Luke Hochevar has six starts in his career against the Rays, where he is 1-2 with a 7.42 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 30.1 IP. He has a 5.65 ERA this season and while he’s been better recently, few starters were worse than him in May. At home this season, Hochevar is 0-4 with an ERA of 8.59. That combination of pitching at home against a team that he keeps imploding upon cannot have him feeling too good about this start. Tampa arrives here after taking a doubleheader in Philadelphia yesterday. The Rays will be running to the park to face this staff after playing their past six games against the stingy staff of the Nationals and Phillies. Alex Cobb has started six games for the Rays and in five of those starts he didn’t allow a home run. He’s coming off a brilliant two-hit shutout in seven frames against the Marlins. Cobb has an elite 62% groundball rate and a very good strikeout rate of 32 batters in 38 innings. We get the superior team in better form with the better pitcher and we spot a puny price to do so. Stand in line. Play: Tampa Bay -107 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

Chicago (AL) -119 over Minnesota

NY Yanks/ Cleveland Over 9.5

Tampa Bay/ Kansas City Under 8.5

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

Boston/ Toronto Over 10.5

Dodgers/ Giants Over 7.5

1 UNIT PLAY

SEATTLE +108 over Oakland

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Monday

100* Play Washington (-175) over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 8:30 PM EST

Stephen Strasburg has won 10 of the last 11 road games as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 14 of the last 19 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season. Stephen Strasburg is 5-0 in road games this season with an ERA of 2.30 and he is 3-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 2.84.

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50* Play NY Yankees (-175) over Cleveland (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Texas (-155) over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:
500* MLB Rays -115
100* MLB White Sox -125
50* MLB Over 9.5 Yankees/Indians

[Mr. IWS]

Top Sport Cappers

Neil Larson 67% Run

10* LA Dodgers +105

[Mr. IWS]

401k Sports Monday Plays
1* NY Mets -130 over Chic Cubs(8pm)
1* NY Mets -1.5 runs +130 over Cubs - After last night Cubs are now 3-19 vs lefty starters on the season. Tonight lefty Johan Santana will try to make it 20 L's for the Cubs on the year. Santana is 3-0 w/1.61 ERA vs Cubs in his career. Why get in the way of the train wreck that is the Cubs vs Lefties. Wood has been good on the road but has a 6.11 ERA at home.
2** Seattle/Oakland over 7.5(10pm) - Milone has been night and day between home and away. Not unusual for a young pitcher. 0.99 @ Home and 7.42 w/1.67 WHIP on the road. Erasmo Ramirez has been a didsaster so far in th rotation. Why fight that till he shows anything different. The offenses are starting to click. Seattle has scored 32 in L5 games and Oak is consistently putting up 4 a game over the L20 or so games.

[Mr. IWS]

Chase Diamond

50 Dime Seattle Mariners

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

Tonight's pick below... we are splitting up one unit on the moneyline and one on the run line.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox - RED SOX TO WIN (-147) and RED SOX -1.5 (+130)
Listed Pitchers: Alvarez vs Doubront
(Note: I'm risking 1.47 units to win 1.00 unit on the moneyline and 1 unit to win 1.30 units on the run line)

So instead of going two units on the Red Sox to win we are going to put one unit on them to win, and one unit on them to win by 2 or more (run line). I've done this earlier in the season with success and think it is the best way to break down tonight's play.

The Blue Jays are coming off a series win in Miami, but lost their game yesterday 9-0. Boston has won two straight games coming into tonight, and they have won 7 of their last 8 games overall. Boston has moved ahead of Toronto in the AL East with a 38-34 record, while the Blue Jays are 37-35. Toronto is 18-20 on the road and Boston is 19-20 at home. Tonight's pitcher for Toronto will be Henderson Alvarez who hasn't won since May 10th. He is 3-6 on the season with a 4.30 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, and .289 opponents batting average. In his last outing he went 4 innings allowing 11 hits and 6 earned runs against. Southpaw Felix Doubront will take the mound for Boston, and he is 8-3 on the season with a 4.31 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, and .254 opponents batting average. His last outing wasn't his best as he allowed 4 earned runs against in 6 innings of work, but he was rewarded the win. In his start prior to that he went 7 innings striking out 9 batters and allowed just 2 earned runs against. Take note that the Blue Jays are just 3-11 in Alvarez' starts this year, while the Red Sox are 10-4 when Doubront starts. Last season the Red Sox were 6-2 against the Blue Jays at home. Take note that Toronto is 4-10 in their last 14 games as a road underdog, 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs a left handed starter, and 3-10 in their last 13 games following a game where they scored 2 or fewer runs. The Jays are also 0-7 in Alvarez' last 7 starts, and 2-5 in his last 7 road starts. Boston is 4-1 in Doubront's last 5 starts, and 5-2 in his last 7 starts as a favorite. Doubront has already beaten the Blue Jays twice this season (both in Toronto). The Red Sox are heating up right now, while the Blue Jays are trying to battle through some injuries and are coming off being shut out on Sunday. I expect Henderson Alvarez to struggle again tonight at Fenway. Take the Red Sox here with a split play between the run line and money line.

[Mr. IWS]

CHRIS JORDAN

400* Pirates +125 over Phillies (list Karstens and Blanton)

[Mr. IWS]

Chip Chirimbes

Marlins +105

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 6/25
952 Phillies -135 @ 7:05p
966 Yanks -175 @ 7:05p
953 Brewers +118 @ 7:10p
955 Cards -115 @ 7:10p
967 Jays +139 @ 7:10p
958 Cubs +120 @ 8:05p
959 Padres +138 @ 8:05p
969 Tigers +133 @ 8:05p
972 Twins -102 @ 8:10p
974 Royals -106 @ 8:10p
963 Dodgers -102 @ 10:15p

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

Jun 25 Mon

STL (-115) @ MIA [4:10pm PDT]
MIL @ CIN u8.5 (-115) [4:10pm PDT]
NYM (-130) @ CHC [5:05pm PDT]
CWS (-110) @ MIN [5:10pm PDT]
TB (-110) @ KC [5:10pm PDT]
LAD @ SF (-105) [7:15pm PDT]


WSH (-170) @ COL [5:40pm PDT]

[Mr. IWS]

jeff benton

30 dime dodgers

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy


MLB:
4* Seattle Mariners +100 over Oakland Athletics (10:10PM EST)

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin St. Louis Cards.

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Monday 6/25/12 Plays...

5* DODGERS/GIANTS (UNDER)

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