6-28-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Germany -108 over Italy

Italy coach Cesare Prandelli has his hands full trying to field a strong starting line-up for today’s semi-final with the likes of Daniele De Rossi, Giorgio Chiellini and Antonio Cassano all doubtful. On top of the injury woes, Italy has had two days' less rest than Germany. The Germans have no such concerns and actually rested their entire starting forward line last game versus Greece where they netted four goals from four different players. Resting comfortably on the sidelines were first string forwards Mario Gomez, Lukas Podolski and Thomas Muller. Italy has quality players and have one the better field generals in Andrea Pirlo. Against England, the Italians had time and space to control the game as England posed little threat offensively. Against this rested juggernaut, the Italians will be in full retreat for the majority of the contest. Play: Germany (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Thursday

100* Play New York Yankees (-200) over Chicago WS (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST

Ivan Nova has won 12 of the last 14 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season and he has won 9 of the last 11 games as a favorite of -110 or higher. Ivan Nova is 2-0 vs. Chicago over his career with an ERA of 1.37 and he is 2-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 1.33.

50* Play Texas (-220) over Oakland (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Washington (-145) over Colorado (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

ACE ACE

Houston under 8.5
LA Dodgers -125

[Mr. IWS]

Chase Diamond

50 Dime - Padres

[Mr. IWS]

Goodfella

3* LAA over 9 (He still likes it at 9.5)

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

Cleveland Indians @ Baltimore Orioles - ORIOLES TO WIN (-136)
Listed Pitchers: McAllister vs Chen
(Note: I'm risking 2.72 units to win 2.00 units)

Neither of these two teams who are still right in the thick of a mid-season playoff picture have been playing well as of late. The Cleveland Indians have lost 5 straight games, which includes being swept by the Yankees and losing 2 of 3 to Houston. Baltimore is coming off of a two game sweep from Los Angeles which includes a 13-1 loss last night and have now lost 6 of 8. Cleveland sits at 37-37 and 17-19 on the road, while the Orioles are a better 41-33 and 21-17 at home. The Indians will turn to Zach McAllister who is coming up from Triple A to make his first start in the Majors in over a month. McAllister is 1-1 with a 3.96 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and .255 opponents batting average over his 4 starts. Baltimore will send lefty Wei-Yin Chen to the mound who has been solid all year. Chen is 7-3 in his rookie year with a 3.38 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, and .258 opponents batting average. In his last three starts he is 2-1 with a 2.95 ERA. The Indians should have troubles hitting Chen tonight as they are hitting just .213 as a team against lefties. Take note that the Indians are 7-20 in their last 27 games vs a left handed starter, and are 7-21 in their last 28 road games vs a team with a winning record. They are also just 6-13 overall vs a team with a winning record, 0-7 in their last 7 games as an underdog, and 0-6 in their last 6 vs AL East opponents. The Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 as a home favorite, 16-5 in their last 21 vs AL Central opponents, and 7-3 in their last 10 home games. They are also 9-4 in Chen's last 13 starts. Tonight we have an average road team who has lost 5 straight and who struggles against left handed starters facing a tough lefty starter and a team that plays well at home. I like Baltimore to win tonight and will lay a little bit of chalk on them with confidence.

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog (8-15-1)(-13.3*) Since last Sat.

Game: Detroit at Tampa Bay (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Detroit -120 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 1.7)

The Tampa Bay Rays come limping home after getting swept in their three-game series at Kansas City. This is a team that has not played well recently, or for quite some time now. The Rays are 5-10 in their last 15 and just 21-27 in their last 48. They were dominating at home early in the season, but just 8-14 in their last 22 played here. The Tigers have taken a step forward at 11-8 over their last 19 and the pitching has been going much better, as they have held 12 of their last 15 opponents to 4 runs or less. The Tigers have really stepped it up after a loss where they are 58-28 in their last 86 when following a setback. The Rays are now just 3-7 when Shields starts as a favorite from -110 to -150 in his last 10, and the Tigers have won 9 of their last 11 vs. the Rays. Play on Detroit.

Game: Oakland at Texas (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Oakland +170 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 3.4)

The Rangers’ bats are dictating inflated price in this one vs. the A's. They have what has been their weakest pitching link on the mound tonight in Scott Feldman. Feldman was impressive in 2009 when he delivered a 17-8 mark for the Rangers and looked to have a bright future, but has stumbled since with a 10-18 record and just 1-6 this season with a huge 6 ERA. Tyson Ross has not done any better for Oakland with a 6.02 ERA, but the numbers are misleading as he had back-to-back starts early in the season allowing 16 runs in just 7 innings. He has otherwise pitched to a 3.98 ERA in his other nine starts and has been at his best off two solid starts. The A's have been lethal vs. right-hand pitching at 9-1 in their last 10, and also as a dog where they are 6-1 as a dog from +151 to +200. The Rangers are on shaky ground behind Feldman in division play where they are 1-11 in his last 12 starts. Play on Oakland.

Game: New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on New York Mets +120 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.4)

The Los Angeles Dodgers can't be feeling too good about their offense right now. They just went to San Francisco, and produced 0 runs in a three game series. The Dodgers are 2-8 in their last 10 games and the offense has struggled to score, as they have produced just 15 runs in the 10 games. They have also been shutout four times, and are averaging 1.5 runs per contest. The Mets’ offense produced 17 runs in their game yesterday vs. the Cubs. The Mets have dominated struggling offenses as they are 36-17 in their last 53 when facing a team that scored 2 runs or less in their last contest, while the Dodgers’ struggling offense has lost six straight after posting 2 or less in their previous game. The Mets have also taken five of the last seven in this series, so play on New York.

Game: Boston at Seattle (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Boston +100 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2)

The Boston pitching rotation has taken a lot of injury hits, and Franklin Morales has been called upon to get it done while they await the return of injured starters. Morales has opened some eyes as he has pitched 34.2 innings to an ERA of 3.12, which is better than what Felix Hernandez has done on the season. The Mariner's weak bats have simply not been productive enough to get wins behind Hernandez, as they are 7-11 in his last 18 starts dating back to the close of 2011. Boston has been a hot team at 11-3 in their last 14, behind an offense generating 7.4 runs per game over their last 10, and a pitching staff that has held opponents to 4 runs or less in 15 of their last 20. The Sox are trampling struggling offenses now at 38-17 in their last 55 vs. a team scoring 2 or less in their previous game. The Mariners’ struggles vs. left-hand pitching continues, as they are 15-41 in their last 56 when facing one. Play on Boston.

[Mr. IWS]

spartan MLB Money Line Thu, 06/28/12 - 10:10 PM

dime bet 923 BOS (+100) vs 924 SEA

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

PIT @ PHI UNDER 8.5 (+113) [10:05am PDT]

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

TOP PLAY*** Boyd's 5* 22-0 Thursday MLB *BEST BET* (7-2 L9)!

Baltimore Orioles -145

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS - MLB


Arizona +118 over ATLANTA Pinnacle
Jair Jurrjens tossed a strong game in his first start since April 23 in his last time out. It was his best outing this year but considering how poorly he pitched in April and at the end of last year, he's still a risk when spotting a price. Jurrjens has always had average skills with a fly-ball bias profile, an average strikeout rate and a xERA that has always been higher than his actual one. Now he’s having control issues with 11 walks (and 12 K’s) in 24 innings. With oblique and knee issues nagging at Jurrjens and his below average profile, he’s a pitcher we’d prefer to avoid. Trevor Bauer will be making his much anticipated MLB debut. He’s one of the premier prospects in baseball that posted an 11-1 record with a 2.23 ERA through two minor-league levels this season. He was selected as the #3 overall pick in the ’11 draft and he projects as a true #1 starter in the big leagues. With a plus fastball that features electric life, a wipe-out curveball that dominated minor league hitters, a solid slider and excellent change-up, he has weapons at his disposal. Not only does he toy with hitters, but he gets them to swing and miss at ease. His minor league numbers are off the charts and there is no debating that he has star-level stuff. He should rack up plenty of strikeouts immediately and is likely to be at the front-end of this rotation by next season. Despite his inexperience at this level, he’s the better option here taking back a tag. Play: Arizona +118 (Risking 2 units).

Pittsburgh -108 over PHILADELPHIA Pinnacle
1:05 PM. The oddsmakers are sharp. In a horrible slump, they made the Marlins a -130 favorite over the red-hot Cardinals yesterday and sure enough, the Fish pulled off a 5-3 win. One would have to go deep into the archives to find the last time the Pirates were favored in Philadelphia. The fact that they are should not be ignored. Strip away a 2.2 IP, 12 ER start at Busch Stadium in April and A. J. Burnett would be among the top starters in the game. Burnett's skills have been outstanding with a 57% groundball rate and an xERA of 3.39. He’s 8-2 so far and deserved every win he recorded. With his performance so far, Burnett is turning the clock back to his days in South Florida and his early years in Toronto. Kyle Kendrick has the make-up up a pitcher that could implode during any start. His low strikeout rate combined with a sub-50% groundball rate is a profile that spells trouble. Kendrick has already has his fair share of trouble this season and little optimism is offered going forward. Oddsmakers share the same sentiment and we’re not about to overlook it. Play: Pittsburgh -108 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).

Detroit +118 over TAMPA BAY Pinnacle
Getting swept by the Royals, the team with the worst pitching staff in the AL and second worst in the entire league, speaks volumes about how this Tampa Bay team is laboring right now. The Rays offense has often struggled at home this season and lately their bats have struggled everywhere (.213/.288/.317 since May 26). They scored six runs in a three-game set in Kansas City and made Everett Teaford, Bruce Chen and Luke Hochevar look like Cliff Lee, Roy Halladay and Cole Hamels. With Evan Longoria and Matt Joyce on the rack, not one player is to be feared in this Rays lineup. The Tigers have many to be feared. Their offense had a bad spell recently, scoring only eight runs over a five-game stretch June 20-24 but before that Detroit was on a month-long spree, scoring nearly five runs per game, while posting an .802 OPS. They also scored 22 runs in their past three games. With Max Scherzer and James Shields being near equals over the past month, we’ll wash the starting pitchers and lean heavily to the superior offense in deciding this one. Play: Detroit +118 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

401 K SPORTS

2** Arizona/Atlanta under 8.5(-105)(7pm) - MLB debut of D-Backs UBER prospect Trevor Bauer. This guy and Dylan Bundy of the Orioles are all we keep hearing about. 95 MPH heater. Absolutely filthy curve ball. Breaks from your waist to the dirt in the last 10 feet. Devastating change up. All out of a guy 185 pounds. Jurrjens looked great vs the sox. Hopefully he is back to full health and back to being solid again.


1* Oakland +170 over Texas(8pm) - Is Scott Feldman ever worth being a -190 fave? You are going to tell me that Oakland wins this game 62% of the time? We have 2 teams playing well with 2 pitchers going horribly pitching. This is a lot closer to a toss up than a total mismatch. I am willing to put up a unit to take that chance.


2** Cincinnati +115 over San Francisco(10pm) - SF coming off perfect performance vs the Dodgers. rivalry series are always tough to bounce back from. The letdown factor is high here in this one. Cueto could easily start the all star game he is having that good of a year. Polar opposites also on how they have done vs the other team. Cueto 2-0 with 1.64 ERA and Bumgarner 0-3 with 8.89 ERA and 2.15 WHIP.

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin

Game of the Week

Padres

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo


LAA (-115) @ TOR [4:05pm PDT]

DET @ TB (-120) [4:10pm PDT]

NYM (+120) @ LAD [7:10pm PDT]

ARI @ ATL OVER 8.5 (-110) [4:10pm PDT]

WSH (-140) @ COL [12:10pm PDT]

CLE (+135) @ BAL [4:05pm PDT]

CLE @ BAL UNDER 9 (-110) [4:05pm PDT]

OAK @ TEX OVER 10.5 (-125) [5:05pm PDT]

NYM @ LAD UNDER 7 (-120) [7:10pm PDT]

BOS @ SEA UNDER 7 (-115) [7:10pm PDT]