7-3-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

Kansas City +128 over TORONTO Pinnacle
The Blue Jays are in danger of falling below .500 and dropping back even further in the tough AL East. They’ve now lost two in a row, four of six and the injuries to their starting rotation is taking its toll. That puts a lot more pressure on guys like Brett Cecil, who didn’t even make the team out of spring. Cecil made nine starts in Double-A before a promotion to Triple-A. He had 40K/14 BB in 49.1 IP in the minors. In previous MLB stints, Cecil has displayed marginal command and below average xERAs in the 4.25-4.75 range. He has yet to show substantial skills growth and pitching for a troubled squad, he should be avoided when spotting a tag. The Royals have won five of eight. They’re currently seeing the ball real well with a .299 BA over their past 13 and took the opener last night 11-3. Vin Mazzaro returns to the rotation after a demotion to the bullpen. His surface stats are middling at best but he has an outstanding 55% groundball rate and a 2.16 xERA over his past two starts. We’re calling the pitching match-up pretty even. However, current form, momentum and confidence at the plate heavily favors the visitor and with the tag, it’s sensible to take a position. Play: Kansas City +128 (Risking 2 units).

CHICAGO -117 over Texas Pinnacle
Roy Oswalt and his 2-0 record pitching for the Rangers looks like a pretty sweet combination on paper. It’s not. Oswalt should really be 0-2. In his pair of starts, covering 12.2 frames, Oswalt has allowed 22 hits for a BAA of .397 and a 1.97 WHIP. Oswalt displayed skills erosion in an injury-plagued 2011, which included two DL stints with back ailments. This isn’t Hollywood and at the age of 34 and with too much mileage on a near “dead” arm, Oswalt is not making a Rocky-like comeback. Numerous pitchers have tried with a very low percentage succeeding. Nothing in Oswalt’s two starts suggest he’s going to defy the odds. As a result of his misleading 2-0 start, we get the White Sox at home with Chris Sale going at a very playable price. Sale has become a legit ace, a fact that is confirmed in his LH/RH skill splits. He’s just as good against righties as he is against lefties. Sale has a 2.27 ERA, 94 K’s in 95 innings, outstanding control and a groundball bias profile. Texas is dangerous but they’re likely going to need to score a bunch here to get Oswalt off the hook. Sale has been too good to allow that to happen. Play: Chicago -117 (Risking 2 units to win 1.7).

San Francisco +120 over WASHINGTON Pinnacle
Don’t look now but the Giants have leapfrogged over the Dodgers and are now in sole possession of first place. They’re 7-3 over their past 10, 45-35 overall and that’s with Tim Lincecum and Madison Bumgarner struggling in the first half. Lincecum is coming off his best outing of the year vs. LA in which he struck out eight batters over seven scoreless innings. His skills in June were much improved over April and May, as was his control. His 7.59 road ERA is merely an anomaly as Linceum has the pedigree and skills to be one of the best in the game. Jordan Zimmermann has been very consistent this season, going six innings or more in each outing this year. All but two of his 15 starts have been quality. No doubt, he gives the Nats a chance to win every time he takes the mound. However, he has just four wins in those 15 starts. The Nats rarely give him any run support and that plays on a pitcher’s mind, as he steps to the hill figuring he needs to be near perfect for a chance at a “W”. Still, this one is more about backing the red-hot Giants and their undervalued ace. Play: San Francisco +120 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:
500* MLB Mariners -135
100* MLB Yankees -120
50* MLB Angels -135

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Tuesday

100* Play Pittsburgh (-190) over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:15 PM EST

AJ Burnett has won 18 of the last 22 home games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have also won 5 consecutive games coming off a team win. AJ Burnett is 5-0 in home games this season with an ERA of 1.11 and he 3-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 2.33.

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50* Play LA Angels (-140) over Cleveland (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Atlanta (-190) over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[poopoo333]

Hondo

Hondo’s sail with the Pirates yielded some filthy lucre last night as they stomped the ’Stros to cut the NRN (nasty red number) to 1,595 lollars.

Tonight, Sale looks like a bargain – 10 units on the Chisox to handle Roy Harvey Oswalt’s firepower. Also, he will try to get over with Nova and Harrell – 10 units apiece on the Yanks and ’Stros.

[poopoo333]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 869- 639 (58 %) over the last 4 years PLUS

Tues: Pirates w/Burnett

[poopoo333]

Joe Wiz Daily Free Play

Under 7 runs bet. Baltimore and Seattle

[poopoo333]

Today's MLB Picks

LA Angels at Cleveland

The Indians look to build on their 4-1 record in Zach McAllister's last 5 starts. Cleveland is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+120). Here are all of today's picks.


TUESDAY, JULY 3
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Miami at Milwaukee (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Sanchez) 14.801; Milwaukee (Estrada) 15.834
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-115); Over


Game 953-954: San Francisco at Washington (6:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.250; Washington (Zimmermann) 15.582
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+115); Over


Game 955-956: Houston at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Harrell) 13.345; Pittsburgh (Burnett) 16.058
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-180); Over


Game 957-958: Philadelphia at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Worley) 15.502; NY Mets (Niese) 14.939
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); Over


Game 959-960: Chicago Cubs at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Volstad) 14.545; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.895
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-180); Under


Game 961-962: Colorado at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Francis) 14.891; St. Louis (Kelly) 14.170
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+130); Over


Game 963-964: San Diego at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 15.162; Arizona (Bauer) 16.050
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-145); Under


Game 965-966: Cincinnati at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.497; LA Dodgers (Capuano) 15.023
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+125); Over


Game 967-968: LA Angels at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 15.787; Cleveland (McAllister) 16.149
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+120); Over


Game 969-970: Minnesota at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Blackburn) 15.396; Detroit (Below) 14.759
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-185); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+165); Under


Game 971-972: Kansas City at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Mazzaro) 15.548; Toronto (Cecil) 14.682
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-150); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+130); Under


Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 14.793; Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.183
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+100); Over


Game 975-976: Texas at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Oswalt) 16.830; White Sox (Sale) 15.777
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+110); Under


Game 977-978: Boston at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.721; Oakland (Colon) 16.187
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+115); Under


Game 979-980: Baltimore at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 14.672; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.336
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-135); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+115); Over

[poopoo333]

Paul Leiner

100* NY Yanks -120
50* LA Angels -135

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* NY Yanks -120
50* LA Angels -135

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

***TOP PLAY*** Boyd's 5* MLB *BEST BET* (Back-to-back Winners)!

Whitesox -125

[Mr. IWS]

ACE ACE
10-5 MLB RUN

Chicago WS -125 over Texas
NY Yankees -120 over Tampa Bay

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets - METS TO WIN (-119)
Listed Pitchers: Worley vs Niese
(Note: I'm risking 2.38 units to win 2.00 units)

Philadelphia enters tonight's game with a 36-45 record, and 19-21 road record which has them in last place in the NL East division. The Mets are 2nd in the division with a 43-37 record and 23-17 home record. These two teams have met 9 times this year with the Mets taking 6 of the 9 meetings. Philadelphia has lost 5 straight games, while the Mets have won 4 of their last 5. We do see two good pitchers on the mound with Vance Worley and Jon Niese. Worley is 4-4 with a 2.92 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and .247 opponents batting average. Niese is 6-3 with a 3.55 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and .246 opponents batting average. In June he went 3-1 with a 1.89 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and .271 opponents batting average over 4 starts. He is 1-0 against the Phillies this season over 3 starts, where Philadelphia batters are hitting just .183 against him. None of those starts came in the month of June, where he has been pitching the best he has been all season. Philadelphia is just 8-20 over their last 28 games, and 0-6 in their last 6 road games. Despite Worley pitching well they are just 1-4 in his last 5 starts, and 2-5 in his last 7 road starts. The Mets are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs a team with a losing road record, and 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home favorite. Niese enjoyed 5 days of rest, and they are 12-5 in his last 17 starts with 5 days rest. They are also 6-1 in his last 7 vs a team with a losing record. New York is 9-4 in these two teams last 13 meetings overall, and I like them to win tonight.

1 UNIT = Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays - OVER 10.5 RUNS (+100)
Listed Pitchers: Mazzaro vs Cecil
(Note: I'm risking 1.00 unit to win 1.00 unit)

These two teams met last night with the Royals winning 11-3 as pretty big underdogs. The OVER last night was the 6th straight OVER for the Jays, with totals of 14, 16, 13, 12, 16, and 14. The Bats are going for Toronto, but their pitching is not. Toronto turns to Brett Cecil for his 4th start since being called up. In his last start he went just 5.1 innings giving up 10 hits and 8 earned runs, bumping his overall ERA up to 6.06 on the season. Vin Mazzaro comes out of the bullpen for a start for the Royals. He is 3-2 with a 5.48 ERA, 1.69 WHIP and .305 opponents batting average as a starter this season. Take note that the OVER is 12-3-1 in the Blue Jays last 16 games overall, and 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The OVER is 5-2 in Cecil's last 7 starts with a total set at 9-10.5. Take the OVER here tonight with these two pitchers on the mound and both teams swinging well.

1 UNIT = Colorado Rockies @ St Louis Cardinals - UNDER 9.5 RUNS (-120)
Listed Pitchers: Francis vs Kelly
(Note: I'm risking 1.20 units to win 1.00 unit)

If you take away Jeff Francis' first start of the season where he allowed 8 earned runs in 3.1 innings of work he would have a very respectable ERA. In fact the Rockies have won his last 4 starts, and over his last 3 starts his ERA is just 1.69. Joe Kelly will be making his 5th start for the Cardinals. He is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and .318 opponents batting average. At home (2 starts) he is 0-0 with a 2.89 ERA. Note that the UNDER is 10-4-1 in Francis' last 15 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. The UNDER is also 4-1 in their last 5 meetings overall, and 8-1 in their last 9 meetings in St Louis. Although Colorado has been playing to the over quite a bit lately they haven't really done too much with their bats besides a few big offensive games over their recent rough patch. With the two pitchers on the mound tonight pitching well as of late I think we have value going with the UNDER on this high total.

[Mr. IWS]

FREDDY WILLS
11-2 RUN

4.5* MLB POD NY Yankees -109 over Tampa Bay
For a third day in a row we are going with the world’s most famous franchise. I typically do not like betting these guys as you rarely see value on them. However, it’s a third day in a row we see value and if it wasn’t for Mark Teixera’s late error we could be talking about going 3-0. The Yankees in my opinion have a distinct advantage and the odds are in our favor as well.

For one James Shields has 23 career starts vs. the Yankees with a 5-13 record and a 4.55 ERA. The Yankees have gone 16-7 in his 23 starts and despite dominating some of the Yankee hitters Shields has struggled vs. some of the better hitters specifically Robinson Cano who is 27-65 with a .415 average 4HR. However, more importantly in 3 starts this year he’s got nearly a 2.00 WHIP in just 16 IP allowing 14 ER vs. the Yankees. Meaning the Yankees are figuring him out and I think that trend continues. If it doesn’t the Yankees still have Ivan Nova on the mound who is 12-0 with a 3.17 ERA in his last 16 road games. The Yankees are also 6-0 in all 6 of his starts vs. the Rays posting a 2.82 ERA.

Againt he Yankees huge advantage they are 2nd in OPS vs. RHP and 2nd on the road in OPS while the Rays are 100 points behind in each category ranking 23rd vs. RHP and 26th at home. The Rays were 29th with a .640 OPS last month and I don’t see that changing until Evan Longoria comes back. Nova has dominated this team holding Upton, Joyce, Zobrist and Pena to a 7-54 mark. Complete line up has his .169 with a .573 OPS vs. Nova in 118 AB. Nova has pitched well of late posting a 1.26 ERA in June and he’s got a 1.80 in 2 starts this year vs. the Rays. The Yankees will end their losing streak in Tampa tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
4* WNBA Take Over 167 Phoenix vs. San Antonio Silver Stars

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

4* WNBA Take Over 167 Phoenix vs. San Antonio Silver Stars

4-Unit Play. #953. Take San Francisco Giants +120 over Washington Nationals (Tuesday @ 6:35pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

Atlanta/ Chicago Over 8.5: Sweltering heat in the south, with a pitcher that has struggled mightily this year and one that throws a lot a fly balls. Oh yeah. I have to go with the Over in this one. Chris Volstad was sent down to the minors, due to poor showings up here, but the Cubs need him due to injuries. That helps us here. Chris has a 7.46 ERA in 8 starts this year, including a 6.50 ERA in 3 road starts. Dating back to last year, Chris has a 5.40 ERA in his last 37 starts and he didn't do much in the Minors this year, with a 4.44 ERA in 8 starts at AAA Iowa. The Braves should be able to get their offense back on track vs Chris tonight. Last night Atlanta scored just 1 run off of Cubs pitching, but they do score 4.5 rpg at home, and they had scored 5.2 rpg in their previous 6 home games before last night. There is no reason the Atlanta offense shouldn't have a good showing tonight. Jair jurrjens was also sent to the minors this year, but has since come back to have two pretty good outings. Still he has a 6.75 ERA at home on the year and he does toss a bunch of flyballs and in this heat that should help the ball carry very well. The Cubs have hit lefties at a .195 clip and have scored just 2.04 rp/9 off of them on the road this year, but it's a different story vs righties as they have hit .261 and have scored 4.2 rp/9 off of them away from home. Getting at least 4 runs from the Cubs in this one would be golden, because I expect at least 5 from Atlanta off of Volstad an company. Both pitchers may not last the whole game in this heat, but fear not as the Braves have a pen ERA of 4.54 at home, while the Cubs have a pen ERA of 4.86 on the road. I expect no less than 10 runs in this one.

3 UNIT PLAYS

Texas/ Chicago Under 9: The White sox were killing the ball on the recent road trip and then in their final two games of that trip they scored just 2 total runs. Now they are back home where they have averaged 4.98 rpg on the year, but recently they have struggled at home, putting up just 3.3 rpg in their last 6 games here. This offense will be facing Roy Oswalt, who will be making his first road start of the year. Roy had 1 good and 1 bad home start so far, but in his career he has been a good pitcher on the road, posting a 3.54 ERA. The Ranger offense struggles vs lefties at home, but on the road they have hit .325 and scored 6.21 rp/9 off of them. it will not be easy for them to get those kind of numbers off of tonight's pitcher. Chris sale has been awesome this year, especially at home, where he sports a nifty 1.69 ERA and an 0.83 WHIP in 7 starts. Chris comes in having allowed just 2 total ER's in his last 4 home starts (32 innings) and 0 ER's in his last 23 innings pitched at home. Let's also note that Chris' home starts have averaged just 6.4 rpg These teams met last in the first week of the season and no more than 7 runs were scored in any game and I don't expect more than 7 in this one as well.

POWER ANGLE PLAY

Washington/ San Francisco Over 7.5: Haven't had one of these in a while, but now that I'm settling in my new place I will look to have them more often. Tim Lincecum is off two solid starts, but let's not get that excited as one was in a big park in Oakland and the other was vs the offensively pathetic LA Dodgers. Tim still has a 5.60 ERA overall, with an average of 8.9 rpg being scored in his starts, while on the road his ERA is 7.59, with an average of 11.6 rpg being scored in those starts. Tim also has struggled with the Nats of late, posting a 7.16 ERA in his last 3 starts vs them. The Nats have played teir last 10 games on the road and that averaged 5.8 rpg in that stretch and the hope here is that offensive confidence will spill over at home where they have averaged just 3.7 rpg. The Giants don't score well at home at all, but on the road they have averaged 4.7 rpg and have hit a solid .260. Jordan Zimmerman has a 2.77 ERA overall, but it's slightly higher at home 3.25, so he will give up some runs at home. His home starts have averaged 7.9 rpg. I expect both offenses to come up with enough runs to push this one Over. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Since 2007 the OVER is 18-5 when the Nats are in game 1 of a series and the start time is 6:35 or earlier.

San Diego/ Arizona Under 9: Last night these teams put up 8 runs and than now means that no more than 8 runs have been scored in the 7 meetings between the teams this year. Granted 6 of those games were in San Diego, but I still don't expect more than 7 or 8 in this one. Trevor Bauer is off his first career start and he allowed just 2 ER's in 4 innings in that start. In the Minors this year he has a 2.23 ERA in 16 starts and allowed just 75 hit in 93 innings in those starts. This kid can pitch and he gets to take on anemic San Diego offense in this one. The Padres score just 3.8 rpg on the road and they have averaged just 2.9 rpg off of Arizona pitching this year, plus having never seen Bauer, that gives the Pitcher an edge. Andrew Cashner has just 2 starts on the year and both were on the road. His 4.50 ERA on the road is a bit deceiving as he has allowed just 3 ER's in the two starts. He allowed 2 ER's at Houston and 1 ER at Milwaukee, but he was lifted in the 3rd inning after suffering an injury in that Milwaukee game. Overall he has 3 career starts and has allowed just 4 ER's total in those starts, while in AA ball he had a 1.88 ERA in 3 starts this year. This kid can also pitch and his lone start last year was vs Arizona, in which he allowed just 1 ER in 5.1 innings of work. The D-Backs score 5+ rpg at home, but they do come in slumping some, having put up just 6 runs in their last 3 games. These two starters tonight should shut down these offenses as this game barley his 6 runs.

Cincinnati/ Dodgers Under 6.5: Google News Play. Last night I had the OVER in this game, but tonight we will look to the UNDER. not only is their good pitching on the mound, but both offenses are missing key stars and that will make it hard for a lot of scoring to happen here. The Reds have been with out Votto and Rolen for a couple of games, but should also be without Cozart tonight. The Reds put up 8 runs last night, but they had averaged 2.5 rpg in their previous 4 games on this trip and for the year they hit just .216 and score 3.36 rp/9 off of lefties on the road. The Reds offense will be going up against a tough lefty tonight in Chris Capuano, who has been nearly unhittable at home, posting a 1.87 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in 8 home starts, with those home starts averaging just 5.6 rpg. Johnny Cueto has been very good for the reds this year and may be looking for an awesome outing after being snubbed for the All Star game. Johnny has a 2.24 ERA in 9 road starts, with those starts averaging just 5.2 rpg. He should have no problems holding down an LA team with many key offensive injuries and a team that has scored just 12 runs in their last 8 games. A classic pitcher's duel in LA tonight.

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

NY Yanks -113 over TAMPA BAY

Baltimore/ Seattle over 6.5

1 UNIT PLAYS

St LOUIS -156 over Colorado

Baltimore +132 over SEATTLE

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan 300: Milwaukee Brewers

[Mr. IWS]

jeff benton

20 dime mets

[Mr. IWS]

Mti Sports 7/3
Blue Jays

[Mr. IWS]

Doc Sports 7/3
Indians
Padres

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Essler MLB Money Line Tue, 07/03/12 - 9:40 PM

dime bet 963 SDP (+135) vs 964 ARI