7-15-12

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We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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Sunday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Streaking

Jered Weaver, Los Angeles Angels (10-1, 1.96 ERA)

Weaver is making sure he’s not passed up for the AL Cy Young this season, stringing together four straight wins and going 5-0 in his last seven appearances. The Halos’ hurler gave up just one earned run in his 27 2-3 innings heading into the break.

A.J. Burnett, Pittsburgh Pirates (10-2, 3.68 ERA)

Burnett’s tenure with the Bucs got off to a rough start, breaking his face during spring training and then going 1-2 in his first three starts for Pittsburgh. Since then, the veteran righty is 9-0 in his last dozen trips to the mound. However, while Burnett has been superb at PNC Park (6-0, 2.10 ERA), he’s not as sharp on the road (4-2, 6.55 ERA).

Slumping

Stephen Strasburg, Washington Nationals (9-4, 2.82 ERA)

The Nationals are sticking to their guns when it comes to the innings limit for Strasburg, which doesn’t sit well with the budding ace. The right-hander has dropped three straight decisions after winning six in row, but that skid has more to do with a lack of run support and bad bullpen than Strasburg.

Josh Beckett, Boston Red Sox (4-7, 4.43 ERA)

Beckett hasn’t picked up a “W” since May 20, going 0-3 in the following six starts. The BoSox ace has traditionally suffered a dip in performance after the break, which doesn’t bode well for Red Sox Nation. Luckily, he owns the Rays with a 10-4 career record and 2.82 ERA versus Tampa Bay.

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Sunday Night Baseball: Cardinals at Reds
By STEVE MERRIL

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (-155, 8.5)

The Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals have the spotlight on Sunday night as they continue to battle for supremacy in a crowded National League Central division.

GO WEST YOUNG MAN

Jake Westbrook gets the start for the Cardinals. He has pitched consistently for St. Louis over the past month after a rough patch in May. The righty has allowed two runs or less in three of his last four starts.

Westbrook has been able to keep the walks down which has been the key to his recent success. Westbrook has walked two hitters or less in seven straight games and eight of his last 10 starts overall.

He hasn’t faced the Reds since April 9, when he picked up a win giving up only one run and three hits in seven innings. Westbrook has made three starts in Cincinnati between his time with St. Louis and Cleveland, allowing just three earned runs total in those outings for a fantastic 1.45 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.

TAKE THAT TONY

Johnny Cueto may have a little extra motivation for this game as he gets over the snub he received from former Cardinals' manager Tony La Russa.

Cueto has been great for the Reds this season and rightfully deserved a spot on the NL All-Star team. He has allowed two runs or less in six of his last 10 starts and hasn't really been hit hard since his May 25 appearance at home against Colorado, when he allowed five runs and 11 hits.

In a span of six days in April, the Reds starter faced the Cardinals twice, giving up only four runs and 14 hits in 12 innings of work for a solid 3.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. The Reds have now won three straight home starts versus the Cardinals with Cueto on the mound since last season.

CLEAN BILL OF HEALTH

Both teams enter Sunday night's game pretty healthy.

The Cardinals are without Jaime Garcia, Chris Carpenter and Kyle McClellan. They may have Lance Berkman in time for Sunday night's contest.

Cincinnati's injury list features Ryan Madson and Nick Masset from their bullpen. Scott Rolen is working his way back from injury getting some work on Friday.

TRENDS

Cardinals are 4-1 in Westbrook's last five Sunday starts
Cardinals are 1-4 in Westbrook's last five road starts vs. a team with a winning record
Reds are 11-4 in their last 15 Sunday games
Reds are 18-7 in Cueto's last 25 starts

HITTERS TO WATCH

Jon Jay 10-for-21 vs. Cueto
Matt Holliday 9-for-27 vs. Cueto
Brandon Phillips 7-for-17 vs. Westbrook
Jay Bruce 3-for-12 vs. Westbrook

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Brewers Saturday.

Sunday it’s the Brewers. The deficit is 637 sirignanos.

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Nolasco is 2-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.
-- Burnett is 5-0, 3.55 in his last six starts. Gallardo is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three outings.
-- Hamels is 1-1, 2.89 in his last four starts. Pomeranz has a 2.05 RA in his last four starts.
-- Cueto is 5-2, 2.37 in his last seven starts. Westbrook is 2-1, 3.21 in his last five starts.

-- Weaver is 4-0, 0.33 since coming off the DL. Nova is 2-0, 1.17 in his last two home outings.
-- Villanueva is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts for Toronto.
-- Verlander is 4-1, 2.77 in his last five starts. Gonzalez allowed one run in seven IP in his first '12 start.
-- Parker is 3-1, 2.59 in his last five starts.
-- Sale is 2-0, 1.21 in his last three starts.
-- Harrison is 8-1, 1.52 in his last nine starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Strasburg is 0-3, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- JSantana is 0-1, 8.53 in two starts against Atlanta this year. Sheets makes his first start since he made 20 starts in '10 (he also missed all of '09). For his career, Sheets is 90-92, 3.79 in 241 career starts.
-- Cahill is 2-2, 7.13 in his last four starts. Garza is 2-3, 5.72 in his last five.
-- Norris is 0-5, 8.35 in his last five starts. Cain is 1-1, 4.26 in his last four.
-- Billingsley is 0-5, 6.52 in his last five starts. Marquis is 0-4, 5.74 in his last five starts.

-- Lowe is 1-3, 7.94 in his last six starts.
-- Shields is 1-1, 6.07 in his last four starts.
-- Beckett is 0-3, 4.91 in his last five starts.
-- Duensing is 0-3, 7.15 in his last three starts.
-- Mendoza is 1-2, 3.93 in his last three outings.
-- Iwakuma allowed three runs in five IP in his first '12 start.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won seven of their last eight home games.
-- Washington won nine of its last 14 games. Marlins won five of their last six home games.
-- Reds won eight of their last eleven home games.
-- Braves won seven of their last eight games.
-- Pirates won 11 of their last 14 games. Milwaukee is 11-6 in its last 17 home games.

-- Bronx won six of its last seven games.
-- Indians are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.
-- Detroit won six of its last seven games.
-- White Sox won ten of their last fourteen games. Kansas City won four of its last five home games.
-- A's won eight of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona lost eight of its last ten road games.
-- Mets lost four of their last five games.
-- Philadelphia lost 11 of its last 13 games. Rockies lost 11 of their last 15 home games.
-- Dodgers lost 16 of their last 22 games. San Diego lost four of five.
-- San Francisco lost seven of its last eleven games. Astros lost their last 12 games on foreign soil.
-- Cardinals lost their last three road games, scoring eight runs.

-- Angels lost their last four road games, allowing 32 games.
-- Orioles lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Blue Jays are 4-6 in their last ten games.
-- Red Sox lost seven of their last nine games. Tampa Bay is 6-10 in its last 16 games, 6-9 in last fifteen at home.
-- Twins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Mariners lost five of their last seven games. Texas lost four of its last five games on the road.

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Miami home games.
-- Nine of last eleven Cincinnati home games stayed under.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Atlanta's last twelve home games.
-- Over is 24-5 in last 29 games at Miller Park.
-- Six of last eight games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- 15 of last 22 Houston road games went over the total.

-- Nine of Angels' last eleven road games went over total.
-- Under is 11-5-2 in Cleveland's last eighteen road games.
-- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight games at Camden Yards.
-- Under is 13-3 in Boston's last sixteen road games.
-- Last three White Sox games went over the total.
-- Under is 12-4 in last sixteen Oakland games (1-3 in last four).
-- Under is 10-3 in last thirteen games at Safeco Field.

Umpires
-- Phil-Col-- Five of last seven Barry games went over the total.
-- NY-Atl-- Home side won six of last seven Bucknor games.
-- Az-Chi-- Four of last five Runge games went over the total.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Four of last five Vanover games went over the total.
-- StL-Cin-- Under is 5-2-1 in West's last eight games behind plate.
-- Wsh-Mia-- Four of last five Foster games stayed under.
-- Hst-SF-- Road team won five of last six Winters games.
-- SD-LA-- Home side won seven of last nine Davis games.

-- LA-NY-- Last ten TWelke games stayed under the total.
-- Cle-Tor-- Six of last seven Marquez games stayed under total.
-- Det-Balt-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Timmons games.
-- A's-Min-- Three of last four Porter games went over total.
-- Chi-KC-- All three Baker games went under, with home side 3-0.
-- Bos-TB-- Seven of last ten Dimuro games stayed under; home team won the last five.
-- Tex-Sea-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Cederstrom games.

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Today's MLB Picks

Arizona at Chicago Cubs

The Cubs look to take advantage of an Arizona team that is 1-6 in its last 7 games as a road underdog. Chicago is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Cubs favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, JULY 15
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Washington at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 15.989; Miami (Nolasco) 15.419
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-140); Over


Game 953-954: NY Mets at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 14.518; Atlanta (Sheets) 15.835
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Under


Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 15.673; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.059
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+125); Under


Game 957-958: Arizona at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 14.862; Cubs (Garza) 16.435
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115); Over


Game 959-960: Philadelphia at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.252; Colorado (Pomeranz) 15.410
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Under


Game 961-962: Houston at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 14.430; San Francisco (Cain) 13.783
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-230); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+190); Over


Game 963-964: San Diego at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Marquis) 14.981; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.366
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+145); Under


Game 965-966: St. Louis at Cincinnati (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 15.440; Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.094
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-115); Over


Game 967-968: LA Angels at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.541; NY Yankees (Nova) 16.175
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-115); Over


Game 969-970: Cleveland at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Lowe) 16.436; Toronto (Villanueva) 15.456
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+120); Under


Game 971-972: Detroit at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.801; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 14.311
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-175); Over


Game 973-974: Boston at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 15.067; Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.365
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under


Game 975-976: Oakland at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 15.272; Minnesota (Duensing) 15.703
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-110); Over


Game 977-978: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 16.117; Kansas City (Mendoza) 14.880
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-150); Under


Game 979-980: Texas at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 15.390; Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.504
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-175); Under

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Hondo

Hondo was on his way to a victory yesterday until the Metamucils’ bullpen, aka The Imploders, ruined the fun and sent the deficit soaring to 1,490 peskys.

Today, Mr. Aitch expects the Rays to pummel Slosh Beckett -- 10 units on the one and only Jimmy Shields.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 870- 645 (57 %) over the last 4 years PLUS

Free play Sun Angels w/ Weaver

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Angels "even"

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Sports Wagers

TAMPA BAY vs Boston
TAMPA BAY -105 over Boston
Josh Beckett has four wins in 14 starts. The Red Sox have lost the last five times he’s taken the mound and it’s no mystery as to why he’s labored all year. Beckett comes in with a 4.43 ERA, which is right in line with his lackluster 4.53 xERA. He continues to get himself in more jams than most. What we‘re likely seeing is the affects from an injury plagued 2010 and a ton of mileage over the years on his arm. There’s another reason he’s not winning and that’s because Boston is just an average offensive team away from Fenway Park. James Shields is anything but average. Shields’ is inducing more groundballs this season with a wicked sinking fastball, a pitch that he seems to be emphasizing with runners on base. He has a 66% groundball % with men on compared to a 50% GB% with the bases empty. He has elite overall skills in both situations. He also has 109 K’s and just 34 walks in 119 innings. The guy is for real and is underpriced here at home.
TAMPA BAY -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)

MINNESOTA vs Oakland
MINNESOTA -107 over Oakland
Prior to his last start just before the break, Jarrod Parker had been dealing it with four outstanding starts in a row that included a three-hit, seven inning performance in Colorado and a six-hit, one run, 6.2 inning outing against the Red Sox. In those four starts, Parker allowed three runs in 26.2 frames. Parker came into the season with top prospect status and so far, he’s impressed. However, everything about his profile says his numbers are a mirage. He’s a fly-ball pitcher with a low and unsustainable HR/FB ratio of 5.1%. When that corrects, so too will his 2.86 ERA. He also walks far too many batters (41 in 85 innings) and when his 81% strand rate normalizes his ERA will do the same. Here’s a guy with an ERA under three with poor control and a fly-ball bias profile. There’s a reason he’s allowed six runs in three of his last 10 starts. Parker has an xERA of 4.59, which is more believable than his surface numbers. Expect the correction to begin.
MINNESOTA -107 (Risking 2.14 units - To Win: 2.00)

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Mike Anthony Sunday, July 15, 2012

Arizona D-Backs vs. Chicago Cubs (MLB) - 2:20 PM EDTPremium PickPick: Money Line: -105 Chicago Cubs Play Title: regular play

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) - 4:10 PM EDTPremium PickPick: Money Line: -157 Los Angeles Dodgers Play Title: regular play

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies (MLB) - 3:10 PM EDTPremium PickPick: Money Line: -125 Philadelphia Phillies Play Title: TOP PLAY N.L. GAME OF THE MONTH

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Soccer Crusher

Bahia + Flamengo UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil

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Mike Jacobs Sunday, July 15, 2012

5k dime

Angels +105

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Free Silver Key Pick for Sunday ML Baseball

Texas Harrison -L -165 over SEATTLE

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Jimmy Boyd

***TOP PLAY*** 5* Boyd's 25-2 MLB *BEST BET* Blowout!

Washington Nationals -136

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GC: MLB Power Angle Play







Sunday Card has the Sunday Night total of the Month from a 91% Totals system and the game has 11 statistical Indicators as well there is also an Early 18-0 Power System Side to start things off. Saturday Top play cashes big again. Free MLB Dominator Play below.

On Sunday the Free MLB Dominator Side is on the Phillies. Game 959 at 3:10 eastern. The Phillies have taken 25 of the last 32 from the Rockies and snapped their five game losing streak last night with an 8-5 victory. The Phillies have won 6 of 9 as a road favorite from -100 to -125 and have Cole Hamels making the start today. The Phillies are 6-2 on the road when Hamels starts and have won his last 3 decisions vs Colorado as he has allowed just 5 earned runs spanning 22 innings. Today he will oppose Drew Pomeranz, who has pitched well in his limited starts this season. Colorado is averaging just 3 runs over the past 7 and have lost 11 of 14 on Sunday. When installed as a home dog from +100 to +125 they have lost 5 of 6. Even worse they have lost 7 of the last 9 vs Lefthanders. Look for the Phillies to take the rubber game here today. On Sunday there are 2 Solid Plays up. The Sunday night Total of the Month led by a great 91% totals system and 11 statistical indicators and an Early 18-0 Power System Winner. End the week big and Jump on now. For the free play take the Philadelphia Phillies today. GC

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Ben lee once again kept his winning streak alive (4 in a row) on Saturday with the Cubs -$120/Diamondbacks.

For Sunday "Mr Chalk" likes the Brewers -$132/Pirates.

"Mr Chalk" is 53-40 -$1224 for the 2012 MLB Regular season.

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Rich Sports 7/15/2012

My chase system is now at +31 units YTD.

Sunday's Play: 3 units

Play Boston plus the money line versus Tampa Bay. Beckett seeks his third consecutive dominant road outing against the Rays when Boston and Tampa Bay play the deciding contest of their three-game set Sunday. Beckett is 10-4 with a 2.82 ERA in 21 starts against the Rays. His two outings at Tampa Bay last season were outstanding, as he allowed two hits, struck out 12 and did not walk a batter over 17 shutout innings. Shields has been inconsistent himself against Boston, going 8-12 with a 4.34 ERA in 22 career starts. The right-hander has struggled in recent weeks, surrendering 10 or more hits in each of his last three outings and allowing opponents to bat .362 in that span. This is a chase A play to win 1 unit.

Lean Detroit - RL

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Wunderdog Sports

Game: Cleveland at Toronto (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Toronto -150 (moneyline)

The Jays were shutout in the opener of this series, but hung up a snowman early (8 run inning) against the Tribe, to come away with the series equalizer yesterday. Carlos Villenueva has pitched well in a Jays uniform at 9-4, including 3-0 this year with an ERA of 3.05. The same can't be said for the recent performances of the Tribe's Derek Lowe. Lowe over his last nine starts has seen the Tribe go 3-6 while he pitches to a 7.53 ERA in his last eight starts. The Indians are just 9-21 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning home record. The Jays are making hay as a -110 to -150 favorite where they have declared victory in eight of their last ten. The Tribe has been pounded behind Lowe as a road dog losers of their last five. Make the play on Toronto