7-16-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Los Angeles Angels @ Detroit Tigers - TIGERS TO WIN (-116)
Listed Pitchers: Santana vs Porcello
(Note: I'm risking 2.32 units to win 2.00 units)

2 UNIT = Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres - PADRES TO WIN (-114)
Listed Pitchers: Happ vs Wells
(Note: I'm risking 2.28 units to win 2.00 units)

1 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Tampa Bay Rays - INDIANS TO WIN (+126)
Listed Pitchers: McAllister vs Cobb
(Note: I'm risking 1.00 unit to win 1.26 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Monday

100* Play NY Yankees (-175) over Toronto (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST

Phil Hughes has won 27 of the last 34 home games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and he has won 29 of the last 37 home games as a favorite of -150 or higher. Phil Hughes has won 25 of the last 40 night games and he has an ERA of 2.11 over the last three starts.


50* Play Cincinnati (-140) over Arizona (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Tampa Bay (-135) over Cleveland (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

Chicago +124 over BOSTON
Dylan Axelrod is not going to dazzle many. He’s typically been a fill-in for injured players and to date, he has just five starts and three relief appearances. However, his 6.16 ERA is more than two runs higher than his xERA of 4.32. He also has a 49% groundball rate. Groundball pitchers always have a chance to do well but this isn’t about backing Axelrod. Aaron Cook goes for the Red Sox. In 23 innings, Cook has just two strikeouts. He has not struck out a single batter in three of his four starts. He relies on luck and defense. His last two starts were in Oakland and Seattle and those two parks have a way of making lousy starters look good. Get him in a hitter’s park like Fenway and the results should be much different. In two starts at Fenway, Cook has allowed 14 hits and eight runs in 7.2 innings for an ERA of 9.19. Expect the South Side to be a little extra jacked up here in support of Kevin Youkilis, who returns to Boston for the first time since changing his Sox. Aaron Cook is on our top list of pitchers to be faded when favored.

Washington -101 over MIAMI
Overall, the Nationals are 51-35. On the road, they’re 27-19 and they’ve won two of three in this four-game set so far. On paper, it appears as though Edwin Jackson is coming off consecutive rough starts with 12 runs allowed over 8.2 innings. However, one of those came in Colorado so we’re not going to put too much weight into that one. In his last start against the Giants, Jackson allowed a three-run homer to Pablo Sandoval in the first inning before settling down for the next four-plus frames. Truth is, Jackson has had one bad outing over his past 11 starts. Prior to outing at Coors, he had gone 11 straight allowing three runs or less and in seven of those starts, he allowed two runs or less. Carlos Zambrano’s career has not been rejuvenated in Miami. His flying start was mostly luck. He’s back to being the same pitcher he was in Chicago, long after his heyday. He’s still walking too many batters (53 in 101 IP). At home, he’s 1-4 with a 6.00 ERA. Zambrano has a history of being a volatile pitcher and now that things aren’t going so well, he’s not only going to have to fight to succeed with flat skills, he’s going to have to deal with his fragile psychological issues. Durability is also a concern. Zambrano has not reached the 200 IP level since 2007. He’s been struggling in the second half for several years now. His lacklustre skills and volatile emotional history question whether the season will end well. We’re betting it will not.

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 7/16
914 Tigers -117 @ 7:05p
902 Marlins -102 @ 7:10p
904 Reds -132 @ 7:10p
919 Indians +110 @ 7:10p
905 Cards -104 @ 8:10p
922 Twins -130 @ 8:10p
923 Mariners -105 @ 8:10p
912 Dodgers -102 @ 10:10p

[Mr. IWS]

401k Sports Monday Plays

Mon plays - Not a lot to like on tonight's card
2** Cincinatti/Arizona under 8.5(+105) - Both teams have quietly been under machines over the past couple of weeks. Arroyo has slipped into his 2nd half Cy Young mode that he pulls every year. Miley ended the 1st half weak, but I think the AS break will help him be 100% in this one.
2** Pitt +105 over Colorado(8:30pm) - Day 4 with Karstens and his 2 straight strong starts going for us

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Kansas City/ Seattle Over 9: This Seattle offense is light night and day when it comes to scoring at home as opposed to on the road. The Mariners struggle to score at home, putting up just 2.86 rpg with a .196 BA, but on the road they have averaged nearly 2 rpg more, putting up 4.78 rpg, while hitting .256. Those solid road numbers should continue here vs Jonathan Sanchez, who has really been bad this year. Overall Sanchez has a 6.75 ERA and a 1.94 WHIP in 11 starts, while at home he has an 8.44 ERA and a 2.11 WHIP in 5 starts. Very bad numbers indeed and Seattle should capitalize. Jonathan's starts overall have averaged 11.09 rpg, while his home starts have averaged 13.8 rpg. Jason Vargas comes in pitching well with a 1.52 ERA in his last 3 starts, but a closer look shows that 2 of those starts were at home and the 3rd starts was at offensively challenged Oakland. Overall on the road this year Jason may have a winning record (6-4), but he has a high 5.09 ERA to go along with it and that has helped produce 11.09 rpg in his l1 road starts. The Over is 8-3 in his road starts, compared to a 7-1 UNDER mark in his home starts. He will be facing a Royals offense that has come around a bit after averaging 4.9 rpg in their last 10 games. Seattle's last 10 games have averaged just 5.9 rpg, but 7 of those games were at home and the other 3 were in Oakland. Overall this year Mariner road games have averaged 9.7 rpg, while KC home games have put up 9.1 rpg. I don't see how this one doesn't hit at least 10 runs.


CINCINNATI -131 over Arizona: This should be a higher rated play, but with the Reds coming off an emotional weekend sweep of the Cards and with the possibility of no Chapman tonight (he pitched 3 days in a row), I will play it safe and keep it at a 3 Unit play. The Reds are hot right now and with Pittsburgh struggling a little they know they have a chance to put some distance between themselves and the Pirates, so I don't really expect a letdown after the St Louis series. Wade Miley had been rolling a long, but he has been touched for 12 ER's in his last 2 starts. On the road he is 3-3 with a 3.40 ERA overall, but in his last 3 on the road he is 0-3 with a 6.26 ERA. Those road number may not get any better after tonight. The Reds average 4.6 rpg at home, but they have really hit lefties well at home, hitting .292 and scoring 5.6 rp/9 off of them. In contrast we have a D-Backs team that has hit just .225 and have scored just 3.2 rp/9 off of righties on the road. They will be facing Bronson Arroyo, who is 1-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his last 3 starts. He may be 0-1 at home this year, but he has a good 3.71 ERA, with the Reds going 5-2 in his 7 home starts. Bronson has faced Arizona twice in each of the last 2 years and he is 3-1 with a 2,45 ERA in those 4 starts. The Reds have the momentum and should be motivated for this one, as they take care of a slumping Arizona team in game 1 of this 4 game series.


Philadelphia/ Dodgers Under 7.5: Joe Blanton has really struggled for the Phils this year, with a 4.98 ERA overall and a 5.23 ERa on the road, but he has looked somewhat better of late, allowing 3 ER's or less in 3 of his last 5 starts, while in his last two road starts vs Miami and Minnesota he has allowed 4 total ER's and the dodgers offense is not not even close to those two teams. LA is till struggling to score and they really don't score much with Nathan Eovaldi on the mound. in his 8 starts this year the dodgers have averaged just 1.12 rpg for him, while in his 3 home starts they have put up just 0.67 rpg for him. His starts have averaged just 4.38 rpg overall, while his home starts have averaged just 3.67 rpg. Nathan has pitched well at home with a 3.93 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP and should be able to hold down a Phiily offense that has averaged just 3.8 rpg in their last 10 games. I have been playing some overs in Dodgers games of late, but I will head the other way with this one as I expect no more than 6 runs to be scored here.

POWER ANGLES FOR TODAY (6-6 -1.68 UNITS)

Since 2009, when playing a 2:00 pm or later game after scoring 3 runs or less and winning, the Over is 21-4 in Toronto games. Play On the Over 10.5 in the Toronto/ Yanks Game.

Since 2006, The Blue Jays are 0-12 in a series opener when they are off a win vs an AL opponent and they scored 3 runs or less in that win. Play On New York Yanks -173

[Mr. IWS]

Marco d'angelos first look
PHI/LAD U 8

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe

3 unit--Baltimore

[Mr. IWS]

Strike Point Sports
3 unit--Reds

[Mr. IWS]

Allen Eastmen
2 unit- Reds
1.5 unit- Seattle

[Mr. IWS]

VSI- Reds

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Anthony

Monday July 16, 2012

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDTPremium PickPick: Money Line: -168 New York Yankees Play Title: regular play


Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals (MLB) - 8:10 PM EDTPremium PickPick: Money Line: -103 Seattle Mariners Play Title: regular play

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Betting Professor

Here are the Monday picks for MLB with the current Money Lines:

Miami Marlins +101
Milwaukee Brewers -107
Los Angeles Dodgers +102

[Mr. IWS]

Jeffrey James from YWN crew,


#912 Los Angeles Dodgers with Capuano moneyline -120 (10:10 edt)

[Mr. IWS]

Bob balfe

colorado-m.line

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Jacobs Monday, July 16, 2012

5k dime play

reds -130

[Mr. IWS]

Denver Money

1* Mariners/Royals UNDER 9

[Mr. IWS]

DOC SPORTS

3-unit Play Take #908 Houston Astros (+115) over San Diego Padres (10:05pm EST)
Two of the National League's worst square off today as the San Diego Padres host the Houston Astros. The Padres check in at 36-54 while the Astros are even worse at 33-56. Both teams are building for the future, but the games must go on in the meantime. Houston has slowly started to build a decent collection of arms in the starting rotation, and J.A.H app is one of those pieces. At 29 years old he's one of the elders on the staff, but he's definitely showed some signs of finally figuring things out. Happ is 6-9 with a 5.14 ERA, but don't let that tell you the whole story. He has a career high strikeout rate of 8.6 per nine innings and has also tempered his walk rate down to his career low at 3.4. He's inducing more groundballs than ever and his pitches are more refined. The only key ingredient he is lacking is more confidence, but that is slowly coming along. I expect to see a breakthrough second half for Happ and better numbers than he's posted in his young career.
Kip Wells was promoted to the major leagues a few weeks ago out of desperation. San Diego has incurred several injuries to its pitching staff and Wells was one of the few experienced players in the minor leagues that they thought could step right in. He didn't really deserve the chance to pitch again in the major leagues after his three year hiatus. Wells had a 4.97 ERA in Triple-A and his peripheral numbers were even worse. But the Padres brought him up anyways and today he'll make his fourth start of the season. He's posted a solid ERA at 2.50, but there are plenty of warning signs that Wells will find his way back to the minor leagues once again. He currently is walking more batters than he is striking out, and no pitcher can survive that for long. His fastball velocity is also down less than 90 mph and his stuff isn't all that impressive. He's throws a lot of junk up there and he's been fortunate to avoid disaster in his first three outings. Neither one of these offenses is very good, but the Astros have a slight leg up on the Padres. However, the Astros have lost 13 of their last 14 games, so the linesmakers were forced to put the Padres as the favorite in this one. Based on the pitching matchup, however, the Astros should be the favorites in this contest. Take Houston as an underdog tonight as we get some value with a struggling team.

3-unit Play Take #923 Seattle Mariners (+100) over Kansas City Royals (8:05pm EST)
We might have the worst starting pitcher in all of baseball on the mound in today's game between the Seattle Mariners and Kansas City Royals. It's unbelievable that Jonathan Sanchez is still in the rotation for the Royals, but he's at it again tonight versus the Mariners. Sanchez comes in at 1-5 with a miserable 6.75 ERA. He is walking 7.4 batters per game, which is a major league worst for qualifying starters. He's had mechanical problems and has lost some of his velocity. He's spent time of the disabled list and there's a good chance that he's still injured. So why is Jonathan Sanchez still pitching for a team that has aspirations for getting back into the hunt in the American League Central? That's a great question that nobody can really answer.
What's even more egregious is the fact that the linesmakers have inserted Sanchez as a favorite in today's game. His opponent Jason Vargas is having a good season at 8-7 with a 4.08 ERA and the Mariners aren't so bad that they can't take advantage of a weak pitcher. Kansas City is also one of the worst home teams in baseball at 15-25 while the Mariners aren't terrible on the road at 20-26 this season. Not much more to analyze in this contest. The linesmakers made an error on this one and we'll take advantage by playing Seattle tonight against probably the worst starter in the majors right now.

[Mr. IWS]

Carolina Sports

5* Miami -102
4* Arizona +122
4* Detroit -118

[Mr. IWS]

Rich Sports

3* Play UNDER the Total in the Chicago/Boston game.

Chicago (49 – 39), and winners in 7 of their last 9 games, travel to Boston to take on the Red Sox. The White Sox will send Floyd to the mound where he has allowed only 4 runs in his last 3 starts. Floyd is 7 – 0 against Boston with a 2.75 ERA. Boston (45 – 44), returns home after taking 2 of 3 from the Rays. Cook will be facing the White Sox for only his 3rd time and the 1st time this season. In Cook’s last 2 starts he has allowed 3 hits and 1 run in each game. This is a chase A play to win 1 unit

Lean: Pirates

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Experts

St. Louis at Milwaukee
Play: St. Louis

We'll back the 11-game winner in Lance Lynn tonight as a small road underdog against Michael Fiers and the hosting Milwaukee Brewers. Lynn had a bit of a rough stretch prior to the All-Star break, but did rebound with a very good outing his last time out - allowing no runs over six innings against Colorado. Lynn already shut down the Brewers here in Milwaukee to the tune of one run over 6 2/3 innings, and while Fiers has good numbers this season, the Brewers have one only once in his four home starts. Back the better pitcher tonight with a small underdog return!

[Mr. IWS]

Rob Vinciletti/Golden Contender

Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Boston Red Sox

Boston comes home for the Return of Youkilis. They do so with the benefit of a solid plays against system that applies to Chicago as we note that road dogs off a road favored win, while scoring 4 or less runs have struggled vs teams like Boston off a road win. Boston will look to snap a 7 game home losing streak to Chicago in this one. The Pitching looks about even, but one would think that Boston would want this one more.

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* Colorado Rockies -116

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
20 dime Yankees Run Line