7-21-12

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We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[poopoo333]

UFC 149 betting preview: MMA odds believe Barao can break out
By JASON LOGAN

Urijah Faber is one of the biggest names in the 135-pound division let alone the UFC. So why is the former WEC star and No. 2-ranked bantamweight a +150 underdog against a relatively unknown opponent?

Faber’s foe at UFC 149 in Calgary, Alberta Saturday is Brazilian Renan Barao, a 25-year-old, beyond-his-years fighter who cut his teeth in WEC and other smaller promotions before making the jump to the UFC in 2011.

Barao, a -190 favorite Saturday, has quietly climbed the MMA ranks and brings an impressive 29-fight undefeated streak into this weekend’s bantamweight interim title bout. Outside of hardcore fight fans, the black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu is a bit of a mystery.

“Barao is good. His record speaks for itself,” renowned MMA oddsmaker Joey Oddessa told Covers. “Barao got all the early money.”

Barao has blossomed since debuting in the UFC in May 2011, defeating his last three opponents and earning a shot at the interim 135-pound championship thanks to a rash of injuries that plagued the original card.

Current bantamweight title holder, Dominick Cruz, was Faber’s initial opponent, concluding what would have been an exciting trilogy. However, Cruz suffered a knee injury and opportunity came knocking on Barao’s door.

"I feel fine, I feel comfortable and I'll be ready for Saturday," Barao told reporters through an interpreter. "I've been working very hard for such a long time. I'm very happy and grateful for this opportunity and I’ll make the most of it."

Fans who have followed Barao’s rise in the sport believe UFC 149 will be his breakout fight and the first step toward a great UFC career. Many experts are comparing his path to that of teammate and training partner Jose Aldo, who defeated Faber in a WEC featherweight title bout in 2010.

“People say Barao trains with Jose Aldo. Well, a lot of guys have trained with George St-Pierre. It doesn't always make a guy a world beater,” says Oddessa. “If he beats Faber Saturday and convincingly, he will be on same path as Aldo and he will start making some career life-changing money.”

To do so, he’ll need to overcome one of the best bantamweight fighters in the history of the sport. Faber is a dangerous submission threat, having forced nearly half of his opponents to tap out en route to a 26-5 (7 KOs, 14 submissions) professional record.

“Several analysts and fighters have picked a Faber win but his status as a near 2-1 underdog has held steady,” says Oddessa. “Faber’s been around long enough that Barao knows what to expect from him.”

UFC 149 leans

Urijah Faber (+150) vs. Renan Barao (-190)

I expect the price to come down a bit on Barao the closer fight fans get to the main event. Faber will likely have the Canadian crowd on his side but this is Barao’s big break in the UFC, something that isn’t lost on him.

Hector Lombard (-335) vs. Tim Boetsch (+250)

Boetsch has shown how dangerous a striker he can be with a KO of Yushin Okami at UFC 144. He was originally set to face Michael Bisping, but gets thrown to the MMA wolves against Lombard, who carries a 25-fight unbeaten streak. However, fighters from outside promotions have struggled with transitions to the UFC. Flyer on Boetsch or stear clear of the heavy chalk.

Cheick Kongo (+105) vs. Shawn Jordan (-130)

I’ve never been sold on Kongo. He was originally set to face Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira in a name-power bout, but now it looks like he may be used to give Jordan a push in a lackluster heavyweight division.

Brian Ebersole (-400) vs. James Head (+310)

Ebersole is another replacement fighter – kind of a theme for UFC 149 – taking the place of Canadian Claude Patrick, who he defeated at UFC 140. If you subscribe to “MMA Math”, Erbersole looks like a lock. But, if you subscribe to not wasting money on juiced-up odds, leave this one alone.

Chris Clements (+135) vs. Matt Riddle (-160)

Canadian fighters are just 4-9 on the main card when competing on home soil – and three of those four wins have come from St-Pierre.

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Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Streaking

Chris Sale, Chicago White Sox (11-2, 2.11 ERA)

Sale is creeping up the favorites list for AL Cy Young, taking a 10-game unbeaten streak into Saturday’s matinee with the Tigers. The ChiSox southpaw allowed 10 hits versus the Royals in his last start but didn’t let those translate to the scoreboard, holding K.C. to just one earned run.

Zach McAllister, Cleveland Indians (4-1, 3.17 ERA)

The Tribe is getting the most out of their young righty, going 6-2 when McAllister toes the rubber this season. He’s riding a six-game unbeaten streak heading into the weekend, posting a 4-0 record and not allowing more than three earned runs in a start during that span.

Slumping

Chris Capuano, Los Angeles Dodgers (9-5, 2.75 ERA)

Capuano started the season with a strong push but has hit a bit of a wall in recent outings, posting a 0-3 record in his last four starts. His most recent effort was a tough one to swallow, allowing four unearned runs to score on five errors versus the Padres.

Randall Delgado, Atlanta Braves (4-9, 4.52 ERA)

Delgado wasn’t won since June 6, going 0-4 in his last five appearances, and got booted from the rotation when Ben Sheets joined the roster. However, with the Braves playing a doubleheader Saturday, the right-hander is back. He went four innings against the Nats, allowing two earned runs (four unearned) off eight hits on June 29.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Tigers on Friday.

Saturday it’s the Tigers. The deficit is 468 sirignanos.

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Joe Wiz Free Play

Padres under 7

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Hondo

Hondo posted a modest gain last night when he connected with the Jays and whiffed with the Metamucils to reduce the nasty number to 1,425 blanchards.

Today, Mr. Aitch expects the able Cain to reign in Philly -- 10 units on the Giants.

[poopoo333]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 873- 648 (57 %) over the last 4 years PLUS

Free play Sat: Pirates -130

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Rangers/Angels over 8

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Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 Unit = Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates - PIRATES TO WIN (-130)
Listed Pitchers: Zambrano vs Burnett
(Note: I'm risking 2.60 units to win 2.00 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Saturday

100* Play Pittsburgh (-130) over Miami (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST

Pittsburgh has won 19 of the last 23 games as a favorite of -110 or higher and they have won 27 of the last 41 home games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Pittsburgh has won 13 of the last 15 games when playing on a Saturday and they have won 19 of the last 24 games when the line posted is between -100 to -150.

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50* Play Tampa Bay (-150) over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play St. Louis (-140) over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 Unit = Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates - PIRATES TO WIN (-130)
Listed Pitchers: Zambrano vs Burnett
(Note: I'm risking 2.60 units to win 2.00 units)

[Mr. IWS]

BRANDON LEE

3* Cubs/Cardinals MLB Free Pick

BET: Cubs +130

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

NY Mets/ Dodgers Over 8.5: Google News Play A few days ago I had a thread on some OVER stats that the Mets have when they take on a left handed pitcher so it's only logical I go with the OVER in this one. When the Mets have faced a lefty this year there has been an average of 11 rpg being scored and the Over has gone 27-5-3 in those games. At home the Over is 10-1-1 in their last 11 games when they have faced a lefty with an average of 11.2 rpg being scored. The last 5 home games this situation has come up there have been at least 10 runs scored in each game. Aside from those stats we do have pitchers on the mound that should give up some runs. Chris Capuano has been awesome at home this year, but on the road he has been hit some with a 4.13 ERA. In his last 4 road starts he has allowed 4 ER's or more in three of those games. He also has a 5.90 ERA in 6 starts vs the Mets. Miguel Batista has a good home start and a bad home start in his 2 starts here and overall he has a 5.66 ERA, allowing 25 hits and 11 walks in 20.2 innings of work at Citi Field this year. 13 runs were scored last night and I expect at least 10 or 11 in this one.

[poopoo333]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Nationals(GM#1)
125 Phillies
Brewers

[poopoo333]

Free Silver Key Pick for Saturday ML Baseball

Under 7 Total Runs, Colorado at SAN DIEGO (8:35 et)

[poopoo333]

Today's MLB Picks

Texas at LA Angels

The Rangers look to take advantage of an Angels team that is 2-8 in Ervin Santana's last 10 home starts. Texas is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Texas (-120). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, JULY 21
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: LA Dodgers at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Capuano) 14.605; NY Mets (Batista) 15.839
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+100); Over


Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Garza) 16.854; St. Louis (Westbrook) 15.800
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+120); Under


Game 955-956: San Francisco at Philadelphia (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.225; Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.614
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-130); Over


Game 957-958: Atlanta at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Delgado) 16.039; Washington (Lannan) 15.024
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+100); Under


Game 959-960: Miami at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Zambrano) 15.394; Pittsburgh (Burnett) 16.535
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-135); Under


Game 961-962: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 16.311; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.709
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+100); Over


Game 963-964: Houston at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 13.276; Arizona (Miley) 15.925
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 965-966: Colorado at San Diego (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Francis) 15.313; San Diego (Wells) 14.584
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110); Over


Game 967-968: Texas at LA Angels (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 16.227; LA Angels (Santana) 15.249
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-120); Over


Game 969-970: Baltimore at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 13.769; Cleveland (McAllister) 15.016
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-145); Under


Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 15.801; Detroit (Porcello) 15.515
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115); Over


Game 973-974: Minnesota at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 15.064; Kansas City (Mendoza) 16.661
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-125); Under


Game 975-976: Toronto at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Villanueva) 15.436; Boston (Cook) 16.306
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under


Game 977-978: Seattle at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 15.480; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 15.171
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+130); Over


Game 979-980: NY Yankees at Oakland (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Hughes) 17.442; Oakland (Parker) 16.383
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-120); Under


Game 981-982: Atlanta at Washington (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Sheets) 14.223; Washington (Jackson) 15.840
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-125); Over