7-26-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Mariners -115

50* A's -110

[Mr. IWS]

Spartan MLB Money Line

Triple-Dime Bet OAK (+109) vs 912 TOR

Been cashing like an ATM this season overall on the Oakland A's and I am going right back to them here with Tommy Milone taking the ball. Whether you want to believe it or not the A's have forged into contention and the way I'm seeing it they are more than serious contenders. This pitching staff is the real deal guys as the Yankee's would re‚adily testify to and now the Jays as well. Milone was exceptional last time out and what I like about him is his command. The Jays are swinging the bat's right now with all the authority of a folded lawn chair. Not a good spot against a guy like Milone who, IF he is on his game can tie these Toronto batters up in knots all afternoon long. Not going to over think this one. Triple on the streaking A's to keep the swagger going. Many sincere thanks as always and best of luck to us. Enjoy the game!

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Thursday

100* Play Pittsburgh (-155) over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST

Pittsburgh has won 22 of the last 28 games as a favorite of -110 or higher and they have also won 43 of the last 74 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. AJ Burnett has won 7 consecutive games as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 13 of the last 16 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.

50* Play Arizona (-160) over New York Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Milwaukee (-130) over Washington (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

Tampa Bay/ Baltimore Under 9: Since allowing 10 runs to the Indians last week the Tampa staff has done a great job, allowing just 9 total runs in their last 6 games. James shields has struggled of late allowing 4 ER's or more in 5 of his last 6 starts, but he will be taking on a struggling offense today. The O's have scored just 10 total runs in their last 5 games, including just 1 run in each of their last 3 games. The Orioles have hit just .234 and have scored 4 rpg vs righties this year, with those games going 42-27 to the UNDER. The Orioles have had one of the better staffs for much of the year and while they did allow 10 runs last night they has still allowed 3 ER's or less in each of their previous 7 games. Chris Tillman gets the ball today and he has a 2.15 ERA in three starts this year. He did have 1 rough start but he other two have been solid and he has allowed 3 ER's or less in 4 of his 5 career starts vs the Rays. Tampa's offense has been a mess for much of the year, as they have hit just .233 and have scored just 4.2 rpg overall this year.The Rays do average 4.5 rpg on the road, but they have averaged just 3.9 rpg this year in day games and just 3.8 rpg in their last 5 games overall, despite putting up 10 runs last night. Tampa's last 5 games have averaged just 5.6 rpg, while the O's last 5 have averaged just 6 rpg. I expect the pitchers to get the better of this one.

3 UNIT PLAYS

POWER ANGLE PLAY

ST LOUIS -135 over LA Dodgers: Google News Play. We will side with the Cardinals in this one. Some interesting stats for Chris Capuano here. Cris may be 5-3 ob the road this year, but his ERA is 4.10, compared to a 1.64 ERA at home. That has been pattern for him in his career as he has a 3.75 ERA in his home starts, compared to a 4.72 ERA in his road starts. Now in last night's game there were temps of over 100 at game time and you can expect similar temps for this one and for a pitcher that seems to tire in the second half that could be a factor. In his career Chris is 10 games over .500 with a 3.70 ERA in the first half, but in the second half he is 12 games under .500 with a 4.88 ERA. We also note that Chris was 3-0 with a 3.57 ERA in 3 career starts at the old Busch Stadium, but he has gone 0-3 with a 7.36 ERA in 4 career starts in this park. Jake Westbrook has been pitching very well for the Cards of late and even though he is just 1-2 in his last 3 starts he has a 2.14 ERA over that stretch. Jake is 5-3 with a 4.01 ERA at home, but in his last 2 home starts he is 1-0 with an 0.66 ERA. The Dodgers arenot a great road team, while the Cards are tough at home and looking to keep pace with the Reds. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play against road dogs of +125 to +175 that hits .250 or less and has a pitcher that allows 5.5 hits or less per game vs a team, who's starter has a .370 or better ERA. This Angle is 59-17 the last 5+ seasons.

Pittsburgh -155 over HOUSTON: In their home series vs the Cubs, Pittsburgh really looked disinterested at time and they lost 2 of three to Chicago. Their offense had troubles scoring, as they put up just 4 runs in the 3 games, but I believe that getting away from their big park and playing in a more offensive minded park vs one of the worst staffs in the league will really help this team. Also having AJ Burnett on the mound won't hurt either. AJ has allowed no more than 3 ER's in 13 of his 16 starts this year. He really has had just 2 bad starts and one of them was at home vs Houston, in which he allowed 6 ER's in 5 innings of work, so you can bet that he will be fully focused for a little payback in this one. AJ does have a 6.30 ERA on the road, but if you throw out the game vs St Louis, in which he allowed 12 ER's, then he would have a very nice 4-2 mark with a 3.86 ERA. In that last game that Houston rocked AJ they put up 7 runs, but have since (18 games) scored 7 or more just once and have averaged a mere 2.7 rpg. This is a team with a lot of offensive problems and they don't look to get better vs this staff this weekend. The Pirates score around 3.5 rpg at home, but on on the road they put up 4.6 rpg and should do well vs Dallas Keuchel, who has just 5 starts in his career. He did well in his first 3 starts, allowing just 1 ER in each, but has been hit in his last two starts, allowing 10 ER's in the two starts. One of those was vs the Pirates and they tagged him for 4 ER's on 7 hits in 5.2 innings of work. Now having faced the Pirates already he loses his advantage, Not that he really had one vs them the first time. Pittsburgh couldn't get up for the lowly Cubs and it cost them two games. They won't let that happen here vs a team that is just 2-22 in their last 24 games.

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

Toronto/ Oakland Under 9

Detroit/ Cleveland Under 7.5

1 UNIT PLAY

St Louis/ LA Dodgers Over 9

2 POWER ANGLES FOR TODAY (8-1 RUN) (17-9 +5.31 Units)

Since 2007 the OVER is 18-2 when the Cards are off a game which was tied in exactly 3 separate occasions. Play on St Louis/ Dodgers OVER 9.

Since 2004 the Royals are just 2-16 in game 1 of a series if the line is within 20 cents of a pick and they are off a 5+ run loss and their pitcher had a WHIP of more than 1.50 in that game. Play on Seattle -119 over Kansas City.

Well it was good day overall yesterday as I went 6-2 overall and 3-0 in my top plays. I have now gone 43-19-2 over the last 19 days and my top plays are on a 17-6 run

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo

910 Rays -115 @ 12:35p

912 Jays -110 @ 12:35p

902 Cards -145 @ 1:45p

913 Tigers -180 @ 7:05p

903 Pirates -165 @ 8:05p

905 Nationals +110 @ 8:10p

915 Royals Even @ 10:10p

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Kansas City +109 over SEATTLE
The Mariners are in a letdown spot after a sold out series against the Yankees that generated much hype after they dealt Ichiro to the Yanks. Seattle is just 18-29 at Safeco and will face a Royals club that is swinging some decent bats right now. Despite losing two of three at pitcher-friendly Angel Stadium, the Royals still scored 16 runs.

Luis Mendoza is one pitcher on this KC staff that is on the verge of something good. He has an elite 57% groundball rate and has allowed three earned runs or less in nine of his last 10 starts. He’s pitched well enough to win most of those games and the Royals are 4-3 in his past seven starts. Over his past five starts, Mendoza has been taken yard just one time. All arrows point to positive.

Jason Vargas is about as average as they come. He has an xERA of 4.91. He has a below average groundball/fly-ball split of 39%/41%. He’s had success over the past month due to an incredible and unsustainable 94% strand rate. Indications are an expected ERA increase in Vargas’s future and as home chalk, he and the Mariners are not to be trusted. Kansas City +109 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.18)

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

4-Unit Play. #904. Take Under 8.5 Runs Pittsburgh vs. Houston (Thursday @ 8:05pm est).

4-Unit Play. #908. Take Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 +110 over NY Mets (Thursday @ 9:40pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* Milwaukee Brewers -122

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

30 Dime Brewers

[Mr. IWS]

GoodFella

Double-Dime Bet

CFL GOW 2* on Winnipeg +2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Essler CFL Side

Double-Dime Winnipeg

[Mr. IWS]

Handicappster

Nationals (5 UNITS)

Royals (4 UNITS)

Detroit / Cleveland Under 7.5 (4 UNITS)

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Jones

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout

Detroit Tigers -162

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers

30 Dime
SHORT CHALK WINNER

Seattle Mariners

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney

25 Dime Value Chalk

Arizona Diamonbacks Runline-1.5

[Mr. IWS]

AL Demarco

5 Dime

Arizona Diamondbacks Runline -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

300,000 Detroit Tigers Runline-1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook CFL Side

Double-Dime Bet Winnipeg 2.0 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O`Brien

15 Dime Run Line Blowout

Detroit Tigers Runline-1.5