8-2-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

401K Sports

Wed Recap 4-0 +6.3 units

2** Milwaukee RL -120(win)
1* Pitt -120(win)
1* Pitt RL +130(win)
2** St Louis -130(win)


1 unit on Cincinnati -1.5 runs +105 over San Diego(12:30pm) - I realize everyone and their grandmother will be on this game. Even though that is never a good sign, this one just lines up too well. Cueto, who we have been riding, is putting his daytime record of 10-0 1.36 ERA on the line here today. That is Cincy is 10-0 in his daytime starts. Ohlendorf has been a bit better lately but still has a 6.43 road ERA TY. Cincy is the best team in MLB during the day with a 25-11 record. San Diego. Let's try for the quick 1 unit bet here with JC.

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

100* Cincinnati (-200) over San Diego

50* Boston (-200) over Minnesota

50* Atlanta (-165) over Miami

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover | MLB Money Line

Double Dime
Angels

C.J. Wilson is an outstanding pitcher with a huge August history. The southpaw is 7-1 with a 2.45 ERA during his past 11 August starts spanning the past two years.

The Rangers are 43-28 against right-handers, but a less impressive 17-15 versus left-handers.

Wilson knows the Rangers having been an ex-Texas player before coming to the Angels. The Angels are 7-2 in Wilson's last nine road starts. Wilson knows how difficut it is to pitch in Arlington in August.

This is something Ryan Dempster isn't familiar with coming from the Cubs. Dempster also doesn't know the American League. Albert Pujols, though, is familiar with Dempster and is batting .327 against him with seven homers in 55 at bats.


Stephen Nover | MLB RunLine Thu, 08/02/12 - 7:10 PM
dime bet 961 MIN 1.5 (-110) BetOnline vs 962 BOS
Analysis: The Twins are 4-2 in their last six games with their two losses coming by just one run. They have been in every game and should be in this one facing Jon Lester.

Lester is 0-3 with a 12.27 ERA in his last four games. Until he gets things turned around, Lester is a fade. The lefty also has a 5.17 ERA in seven career outings versus Minnesota.

Boston is 1-6 the last seven times Lester has been home chalk. If you were to take 1 1/2 runs against the Red Sox the past 10 times Lester has taken the mound, you would be 8-2.

The Twins are just 44-60, but a far more respectable 14-16 against lefties.

Minnesota rookie hurler Samuel Deduno is 2-0 with a 3.13 ERA. Deduno is a ground ball pitcher, the type of pitcher you want going for you at Fenway Park. He's given up just one run during each of his last two starts.

[Mr. IWS]

Easy Baseball Betting

Our systems say to go for:

Mets (+122)

Royals (+100)

Angels (+103)

Athletics (-130)

Nationals (+106)

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard

Early Action Total Domination

Double Dime Bet

The San Diego Padres have a hard enough time scoring runs without having to face Johnny Cueto. The Padres are averaging just 3.75 runs per game this season and that number doesn't bode well for them facing Cueto, who has a 1.94 ERA at home this season. Factor in a getaway 12:30 start time for a west coast team flying back home after the game and the fact that the Padres aren't playing for anything but pride, and there's definitely a chance that they mail it in against Cueto. By the same token, the Reds know that they don't need to hang a big number against Ross Ohlendorf to give Cueto a good chance at win #14.

Ohlendorf really hasn't pitched well this season, but his last three starts have been something to build on with a 2.89 ERA over 18.2 innings of work. With travel always a consideration for the Padres during day games, they're hitting just .235 as a team during the day. With Cueto on the mound, it could be quick and painless for the Padres before they head back home.

The Reds also have a big series against the division rival Pittsburgh Pirates on the horizon, so they'll be looking forward to that. There's also the chance that the Reds sit some guys in light of the Brandon Phillips calf injury that will sideline him for a while and the fact that Joey Votto is still on the DL recovering from a torn meniscus.

Reds Under

[Mr. IWS]

Bobby Esposito

MLB LOCK OF THE MONTH: NY Mets+115

[Mr. IWS]

Ace-Ace

SF Giants ML over NY Mets

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* A's/Blue Jays Over 7

50* Rangers -115

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

N.Y. Mets/SAN FRAN Over 8 +110
12:45 PM EST. Barry Zito is 8-7 with a 3.89 ERA. At home, he’s 4-4 with a 3.41 ERA and over his last three starts, he’s 1-1 with a 3.26 ERA. Looks pretty consistent, doesn’t it? On paper, yes, but a peek under the hood reveals some issues. Over the last month, Zito’s very average groundball rate of 41% has dropped to 37%. He’s still allowed four runs or more in half of his past eight starts. His control and strikeout levels remain below average and his form suggests an xERA of 4.83 in these final two months.

Chris Young is even worse. Since coming off the DL on June 6 and subsequently starting 10 games, Young has 34’s K’s in 57 innings but has struck out two or less in three of his past four starts. More troublesome is that his groundball/fly-ball profile sits at 26%/58%, which is one of the major’s worst marks. Just how bad is he? Young has an xERA of 7.13. Alarming, to say the least.

Then there’s the park factor. The damp night time air makes this open-air park extremely pitcher-friendly. However, this is a day game in San Francisco and summer days favor hitters at AT&T Park. A check of the conditions shows the wind blowing out to right center at 16 MPH and with everything working in our favor this becomes a very playable total.
N.Y. Mets/SAN FRAN over 8 +110 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.20)

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions / Kevin

2 Unit = Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox - TWINS TO WIN (+170)
Listed Pitchers: Deduno vs Lester
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.40 units)

The Minnesota Twins had won 4 straight before losing the final two games versus the White Sox each by a single run. Over that 6 game span the Twins scored 40 runs (6.67 per game). They are now 44-60 on the season and 21-28 on the road. The Red Sox couldn't sweep the Tigers as they fell 7-5 in last night's ball game, but had won 4 straight heading into the game. They are 53-52 and 27-29 at home. Tonight's starter for Minnesota is Sam Deduno who is 2-0 through 4 starts with a 3.13 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, and .247 opponents batting average. Over his last two starts he has pitched 13.1 innings of work allowing just 2 earned runs and 8 hits. In AAA this season he had a solid 2.14 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and .185 opponents batting average. Southpaw Jon Lester will take the rubber for Boston and he is 5-8 on the season with a 5.49 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and .286 opponents batting average. Over his last 4 starts he has allowed 4, 6, 11, and 4 earned runs against (25 in 18.1 innings) only getting out of the 4th inning once. His July ERA was 9.36 over 5 starts with batters hitting .357 against him. Take note that the Red Sox are just 2-8 in their last 10 games as a favorite of -151 to -200, 1-4 in Lester's last 5 starts overall, and 1-6 in his last 7 home starts. They are also 0-5 in Lester's last 5 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. With the Twins averaging over 6 runs per game in their recent 6 game home stand there is a good chance they can get to Lester who has been struggling. Deduno has pitched relatively well and should give the Twins a good shot at upsetting Boston tonight. There is some good value on the Twins +170 tonight and we will take that for 2 units.

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* 28-0 MLB Underdog Game of the Week!

Los Angeles Angels +109

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Jones

St.Louis Cardinals

Washington Nationals

Miami Marlins

[Mr. IWS]

MTI Sports

Marlins
Angels

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAY

4 UNIT PLAY

Atlanta/ Miami Under 8.5: I will have writeup for this game a little later. Wanted to get it out before the line drops to 8.

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAY
San Diego/ Cincinnati Under 8.5: Only one of Johnny Cueto's starts have seen more than 8 runs scored this year and one of those was in Colorado.

1 UNIT PLAY
San Francisco/ NY Mets Over 7.5: Yes the Mets are facing a lefty again. These two pens have been solid in the last 2 games, but that can't last.

2 EXTRA POWER ANGLES FOR TODAY (17-3 RUN) (26-11 +12.45 UNITS)

Since 2005 the OVER is 12-1 in a Mets game when playing a day game after scoring 3 runs or less and winning as a dog. Play NY Mets/ San Francisco Over 7.5.

Since 2010 the Atlanta Braves are 27-8 at home off a loss in which they had at least 3 times as many hits as runs. Play on Atlanta -173 over Miami

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien

30 Dime MLB
WINNER #2 IN A ROW
A's

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

25 DimeTRIFECTA

Padres
Giants
Twins

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

40 Dime
Road Warrior
Game of the Year
Cards RL

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney

25 Dime MLB Winner #3 of 5
Braves RL

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis

30 Dime
Winner #8 of 11
Washington

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

200,000 Winner # 3 of 4
A's

[Mr. IWS]

Neil Larson

Top Sport Cappers

10* Miami Marlins +160

[Mr. IWS]

401K Sports

Minnesota +170 over Boston(7pm)

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Thursday 8/2/12 Plays...

5* METS/GIANTS (UNDER)

---SURGEON GENERAL'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success-

[Mr. IWS]

**********

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
MLB:
4* Cleveland Indians -110 over Kansas City Royals (8:10PM EST)

[Mr. IWS]

Tom Freese

Philadelphia