8-4-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard - Saturday MLB 3 Pack

Bryan Leonard | MLB Total Sat, 08/04/12 - 1:05 PM
double-dime bet 967 SEA / 968 NYY Under 8 Hilton

Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line Sat, 08/04/12 - 7:05 PM
double-dime bet 951 Mia (+162) Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2Flatest-promo%2F%3Fcmpid%3D1560_1308).com vs 952 WAS

Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line Sat, 08/04/12 - 7:05 PM
double-dime bet 953 ARI (+132) Hilton vs 954 PHI

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Saturday

100* Play LA Dodgers (-265) over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 10:00 PM EST

Clayton Kershaw has won 33 of the last 47 games as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 34 of the last 46 games when the total posted is seven runs or less. Clayton Kershaw has won 22 of the last 28 home games and he has won 17 of the last 22 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

50* Play St. Louis (-200) over Milwaukee (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Atlanta (-210) over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

MIKE HOOK

OLYMPIC BASKETBALL

RUSSIA +5.5 Spain (2 UNITS)
LITHUANIA +35.5 United States (2 UNITS)
NIGERIA +18 Argentina (2 UNITS)

WOMENS TENNIS

MARIA KIRILENKO +5 Victoria Azarenka (2 UNITS)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
30 Dime Stl Cardinals

[poopoo333]

UFC on Fox 4 betting: Can Vera, Bader shake up 205-pound division?
By JASON LOGAN

Unlike most sports, fans of the Ultimate Fighting Championship can dictate who fights for a title and who doesn’t.

That muscle is being flexed heading into Saturday’s UFC on Fox 4, where fight fans wouldn’t accept Brandon Vera as a true challenger to the light heavyweight crown after UFC president Dana White stated the winner of the Vera vs. MaurÃ*cio Rua bout would get a shot at the 205-pound belt holder.

Vera, who is just 1-2-1 in his last four bouts and never really lived up to the hype in the UFC, is seen as an unfit challenger who shouldn’t even be in the conversation for the light heavyweight strap. So, like any smart business, the UFC implemented “The customer is always right” philosophy and back peddled.

White changed his tone and included Saturday’s 205-pound matchup between former title holder Lyoto Machida and Ryan Bader into the contender mix, stating “Whoever wins the most impressively on Saturday night gets the shot at the title.”

That dangling carrot has spiced up the cable TV card and presented quite a conundrum for MMA bettors looking to wager on the dual main events. Vera and Bader both enter their respective fights as similarly priced underdogs, with Vera at +280 versus Rua (-370) and Bader set at +260 against Machida (-345).

Renowned MMA oddsmaker, Joey Oddessa, doesn’t like either man’s chances but believes if one underdog has a better shot at shocking the sport at UFC on Fox 4, it’s Bader. The American enters the weekend with a 14-2 record, with those two losses coming against elite-level fighters in reigning light heavyweight champ Jon Jones and UFC legend Tito Ortiz.

“Bader is my logical choice if there would be an upset because he is a wrestler and a very good one while Vera isn't particularly outstanding at anything,” Oddessa told Covers. “On the flip side, you wonder how serious Rua is taking Vera considering Vera hasn't looked good in ages.”

Bader’s opponent, Machida, was once the most feared striker in the UFC but hasn’t been the same fighter since winning a controversial decision over Rua at UFC 104 then getting knocked out cold in the rematch at UFC 113.

“Only Machida knows what’s going on in his head,” says Oddessa. “He has all the talent in the world but figuring out what's in his head is tougher than solving the offensive riddle he presented in years past.”

The former champ is just 1-3 in his last four bouts. Following the loss to Rua, Machida dropped a decision to Quinton “Rampage” Jackson and scored a KO victory over sacrificial-lamb Randy Couture before giving Jones a run for his money, losing via submission at UFC 140 in December.

The promise of a rematch with Jones – if Jones defeats veteran Dan Henderson at UFC 150 – is more than enough motivation for “The Dragon”. But will the pressure put on Machida and the other light heavyweight contenders to impress the crowd skew their game plans and force them to take bigger risks?

“The time for pressure and worrying is over. It's fight day focus time,” says Oddessa. “Looking ahead and losing focus usually results in a loss in any sport. As professionals in the UFC, I don't think or see why it will change up at all if they have common sense.”

UFC on Fox 4 leans

MaurÃ*cio Rua (-370) vs. Brandon Vera (+280)

Oddessa says the lines on the favorites will come down on fight night, which has us waiting and watching for the good price on Rua. Shogun is a changed man after the loss to Henderson, but for the good.

Lyoto Machida (-345) vs. Ryan Bader (+260)

Machida is so slick it’s going to be tough for a wrestler like Bader to get to him. However, Bader has shown some KO pop and could get Machida on his heels if he lands early and often.

Joe Lauzon (-125) vs. Jamie Varner (+100)

Varner comes in as a late replacement, throwing a curveball at Lauzon who was preparing to face Terry Etim. Varner is more of a brawler and holds solid value as a underdog.

Mike Swick (-240) vs. DaMarques Johnson (+185)

Swick has been out of the octagon for two years and has a loyal following thanks to his stint on the original TUF, which makes me feel like he’s overvalued for this bout with an unpredictable brawler.

[poopoo333]

Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Streaking

Gavin Floyd, Chicago White Sox (8-9, 4.28 ERA)

Floyd came off his first career stint on the DL in superb form. He's allowed just three earned runs in 12 2-3 innings since returning to the mound after taking the break due to soreness in his elbow. Floyd also allowed zero earned runs in three of his last six starts with the White Sox going 4-2 during that stretch.

Wei-Yin Chen, Baltimore Orioles (9-6, 3.65 ERA)

This major league rookie is getting better as the season wears on. Chen set a record for a Taiwanese player in his last game when he earned 12 strikeouts in a 6-1 win over the A's. It was also the first time an O's pitcher tossed at least 10 strikeouts in fewer than six innings. Chen is working a great fastball and a nasty curve ball. Baltimore is 3-1 in his last four starts.

Slumping

Roy Halladay, Philadelphia Phillies (4-6, 4.33 ERA)

The Phillies are 2-1 in Halladay's three starts since coming back from a shoulder injury but the Doc's record is 0-1 in those three with a 5.82 ERA. The good news might be that Halladay has noticed something he didn't like in his delivery and is making adjustments to correct.

"I had gotten into some bad habits, arm-slot wise," Halladay told the Philadelphia Inquirer. "I was a little low and side-to-side. I'm trying to get more top-to-bottom with it. That probably will affect the cutter more than anything and the curveball, too. I sort of started getting underneath the ball. Sometimes your body makes you do things to be comfortable."

[poopoo333]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Zimmerman is 5-0, 1.23 in his last seven starts.
-- Maholm was 5-0, 1.02 in his last six starts for the Cubs. Harrell is 1-1, 1.82 in his last four starts.
-- Wainwright is 1-0, 2.70 in his last couple starts.
-- Bumgarner is 1-1, 2.67 in his last four starts.
-- Volquez is 4-0, 2.76 in his last seven starts.
-- Dodgers won Kershaw's last three home starts (2-0, 2.14).

-- FHernandez is 3-0, 1.38 in his last five starts. Kuroda is 2-0, 1.23 in his lat three outings.
-- Griffin is 3-0, 2.51 in seven starts this season.
-- Feldman is 2-0, 0.60 in his last couple starts. Smith is 1-0, 2.77 in his last two outings.
-- Fister is 3-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
-- Hellickson is 2-0, 1.96 in his last three starts. WChen is 2-1, 2.84 in his last four starts.
-- Buchholz is 1-0, 1.96 in his last three starts.
-- Floyd is 2-1, 2.21 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Buehrle is 0-2, 8.16 in his last three starts.
-- Halladay is 0-3, 7.20 in his last five starts. Saunders is 1-3, 4.22 in his last five starts.
-- McDonald is 1-2, 9.15 in his last four starts. Leake is 1-1, 7.80 in his last three outings.
-- Rogers allowed two runs in 5.2 IP (98 PT) in his first '12 start.
-- Francis is 1-2, 5.76 in his last five starts.
-- Hefner is 0-2, 5.60 in his last three starts.
-- Cubs are 0-9 when Volstad starts (0-7, 8.34).

-- Romero is 0-7, 10.06 in his last seven starts.
-- Jimenez is 0-3, 7.97 in his last four starts.
-- De Vries is 0-1, 6.14 in his last four starts.
-- ESantana is 1-2, 12.32 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Washington won ten of its last fourteen games.
-- Reds won 14 of their last 15 games. Pittsburgh won six of nine.
-- Arizona won six of its last seven games.
-- Braves won twelve of their last fifteen home games.
-- Cardinals won ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Mets won four of their last six games.

-- Tigers won 12 of their last 13 home games.
-- Mariners won seven of their last eight games.
-- Orioles won seven of their last ten road games. Tampa Bay won seven of its last ten games.
-- White Sox won eight of their last ten games.
-- Minnesota won six of its last eight games.
-- Texas won its last three games, scoring 31 runs.
-- Oakland won eight of its last ten home games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost twelve of their last seventeen games.
-- Astros lost 23 of their last 24 road games.
-- Phillies lost five of their last seven games.
-- Milwaukee lost eight of its last nine road games.
-- Rockies lost ten of their last twelve games. Giants lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Padres lost five of their last seven games.
-- Cubs are 3-6 in their last nine road games. Dodgers are 4-6 in their last ten games overall.

-- Indians lost their last seven games, outscored 58-19.
-- Bronx lost four of its last six games.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Angels are 4-10 in their last 14 road games.
-- Kansas City lost six of its last eight games.
-- Toronto lost eleven of its last seventeen games.

Totals
-- Under is 11-5-1 in Miami's last 17 games.
-- Five of last seven Philly home games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta home games stayed under.
-- Under is 9-4-1 in last fourteen St Louis home games.
-- Over is 14-5-1 in Giants' last twenty road games.
-- 13 of last 19 San Diego games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Dodger games.

-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Cleveland home games.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Seattle road games.
-- Seven of last eight Tampa Bay home games stayed under.
-- Nine of last thirteen Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Last five White Sox home games went over the total.
-- Over is 10-5-1 in Royals' last sixteen home games.
-- Under is 12-5 in Oakland's last seventeen home games.

Umpires
-- Mia-Wsh-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Muchlinski games.
-- Az-Phil-- Underdogs are 7-5 in last dozen Kulpa games.
-- Pitt-Cin-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Gorman games.
-- Hst-Atl-- Underdogs won six of last eight Reynolds games.
-- Mil-StL-- Underdogs are 8-6 in last fourteen TWelke games.
-- SF-Col-- Home teams won last four Tschida games.
-- NY-SD-- Favorites won six of last seven Hernandez games.
-- Chi-LA-- 15 of last 18 Miller games stayed under total.

-- Sea-NY-- Seven of last ten Vanover games went over total.
-- Tor-A's-- Underdogs won six of last ten Davis games.
-- Tex-KC-- Underdogs won five of last six McClelland games.
-- Clev-Det-- Over is 14-7-1 in last 22 Drake games.
-- Balt-TB-- Last three Marquez games went over the total.
-- Min-Bos-- All three Rackley games stayed under the total.
-- LA-Chi-- Five of last six Nauert games went over the total.

[poopoo333]

Hondo

The sloppy Metamucils sent Hondo down the drain last night, coughing one up in San Diego to raise the runaway NRN (nasty red number) to a whopping 2,040 bilardellos.

Today, Mr. Aitch will kick up his heels and do the Hiroki-pokey with the Yankees – 10 units on Kuroda over the King.

[poopoo333]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 881- 653 (57 %) over the last 4 years PLUS

Free play Sat Phillies -145

[poopoo333]

DUNKEL MLB

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
The Reds look to build on their 10-1 record in their last 11 Saturday games. Cincinnati is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130)

Game 951-952: Miami at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Buehrle) 15.754; Washington (Zimmermann) 14.863
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+160); Over

Game 953-954: Arizona at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Saunders) 15.524; Philadelphia (Halladay) 15.831
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-150); Over

Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (McDonald) 15.400; Cincinnati (Leake) 16.633
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130); Under

Game 957-958: Houston at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Harrell) 14.509; Atlanta (Maholm) 14.195
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-210); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+185); Under

Game 959-960: Milwaukee at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Rogers) 16.022; St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.452
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+170); Under

Game 961-962: San Francisco at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.428; Colorado (Francis) 13.563
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 10
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Under

Game 963-964: NY Mets at San Diego (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hefner) 14.950; San Diego (Volquez) 15.253
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-135); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-135); Under

Game 965-966: Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Volstad) 14.243; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.325
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-270); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-270); Under

Game 967-968: Seattle at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 16.037; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.700
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+130); Over

Game 969-970: Toronto at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 14.846; Oakland (Griffin) 15.855
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-150); Under

Game 971-972: Texas at Kansas City (6:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 15.273; Kansas City (Smith) 14.293
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-160); Under

Game 973-974: Cleveland at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 14.700; Detroit (Fister) 14.284
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+170); Under

Game 975-976: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 16.142; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 15.813
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+115); Under

Game 977-978: Minnesota at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (De Vries) 14.740; Boston (Buchholz) 15.732
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-200); Over

Game 979-980: LA Angels at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 14.827; White Sox (Floyd) 15.780
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-130); Under

[poopoo333]

Dom Chambers


My 60 Dime play is on the Chicago White Sox to beat the Los Angeles Angels. Checking the sports books in Las Vegas at 4 a.m. and the White Sox are -125 favorites. Always list the pitchers. If they fail to make their start, the action is void.



ANALYSIS


The story of this game is two pitchers going in opposite directions.

The White Sox start Gavin Floyd. Overall, his statistics are mediocre, going 8-9 with a 4.28 ERA. But in his last three starts, he has really picked up his game, going 2-1 with a 1.35 ERA. He has given up three earned runs in 20 1/3 innings. In his last three starts, the one game he lost, he gave up only two runs, but failed to get run support.

That should not be a problem here.

The Angels start Ervin Santana, who has been the weak link in the Angels’ rotation.

He is 5-10 with a 5.97 ERA. On the road, he is 3-4 with a 6.83 ERA. In his last three starts, it gets even worse, as he went 1-1 with a 7.81 ERA and a WHIP of 1.815. In his last three starts, he has given up 13 runs in 12 2/3 innings.

The White Sox will get to him.

Chicago has been a hot team lately, going 8-2 in its last 10 games. The Angels have cooled off a bit lately, going 2-5 in its last seven games.

Take the hotter team with the hotter pitcher.

Take the White Sox.