8-7-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover - Three 'Dog Night Sweep

MLB Money Line Tue, 08/07/12 - 7:05 PM
double-dime bet 919 MIN (+105) Hilton vs 920 CLE
Analysis: Until the Indians show a pulse, they are fade material. Cleveland has lost 10 in a row. These are ugly losses, too, with the Indians being outscored, 88-31, during their losing streak.

The€ Twins continue to play hard. Their offense is hot and so is Sam Deduno. He's 3-0 in his last three starts with an ERA of 0.93. The Twins have won eight of their last 11 games and are averaging seven runs per game during their last five games. They have scored five or more runs in eight of their last 11 games.

Indians rookie Corey Kleiber doesn't figure to halt things. He will be making just his second start after getting clobbered by the Royals in his big league starting debut allowing six runs in the first inning. The Indians' bullpen continues to get lit up, too.



MLB Money Line Tue, 08/07/12 - 7:05 PM
dime bet 917 SEA (+112) BetOnline vs 918 BAL
Analysis: A hot pitcher with a plus price against a cold pitcher makes Seattle and Blake Beavan a play against Zack Britton.

Beavan has won all four of his starts since re-joining Seattle from Triple-A Tacoma. Beavan has a 2.01 ERA in his last three starts.

Britton, on the other hand, has struggled during thre€e of his past four starts. His strikeout-to-walk ratio during this time is 11-to-14. That spells trouble against a Seattle club that has been playing well.



MLB Money Line Tue, 08/07/12 - 7:05 PM
double-dime bet 901 ATL (+131) 5dimes (http://www.capperslounge.com/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cappersmall.com%2Fforum s%2Fredirect-to%2F%3Fredirect%3Dhttp%253A%252F%252Faffiliates.5 dimes.com%252Ftracking%252FAffiliate.asp%253FAffID %253DAF000189%2526mediaTypeID%253D220%2526AffUrlID %253D229) vs 902 PHI
Analysis:
It's always nice to get the better team at a plus price, especially when they have the hotter starter going.

The oddsmaker has to make the Phillies a fairly strong favorite playing at home with a pitching matchup of Mike Minor versus Cole Hamels.

But Minor has been out-pitching Hamels. Minor is 3-1 with a 2.50 ERA in his last six starts. Hamels is 0-2 with a 5.03 ERA during his past three starts. The Braves have faced him twice this seaso€n and hit him hard both times.

Atlanta is 11-2 in its last 13 games and has a much stronger offense than the re-tooled Phillies, who are mixing youth with over-the-hill veterans recuperating from serious injuries.

The Braves have also defeated the Phillies seven consecutive times.

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Tuesday

100* Play Washington (-185) over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST

Houston has lost 29 of the last 40 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and they have also lost 27 of the last 31 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season. Houston has lost 19 of the last 22 games after having lost 12 or more of the last 15 games and they have lost 70 of the last 97 games as an underdog of +100 or higher.

50* Play St. Louis (-190) over San Francisco (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Chicago White Sox (-200) over Kansas City (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Reds -110

50* Astros/Nationals Over 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

1 UNIT = Arizona Diamondbacks @ Pittsburgh Pirates - PIRATES TO WIN (-117)
Listed Pitchers: Corbin vs Karstens
(Note: I'm risking 1.17 units to win 1.00 unit)

1 UNIT = Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies - BRAVES TO WIN (+125)
Listed Pitchers: Minor vs Hamels
(Note: I'm risking 1.00 unit to win 1.25 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

DETROIT -102 over N.Y. Yankees
The Yankees continue to be overpriced. They’ve lost 11 of their past 17 games and yet they’re favored again against a Tigers club that is rolling along with nine straight wins at home.

Phil Hughes has an 8.31 ERA and 1.88 WHIP against RH batters, numbers that have been offset by his 2.52 ERA and 0.95 WHIP vs. LH bats. The problem for Hughes is that Detroit can load up either side of the plate and you can be absolutely sure that manager Jim Leyland will fill out his line-up card accordingly. Hughes is an extreme fly-ball pitcher with a groundball/fly-ball rate of 32%/49%. He has traditionally struggled in August and September and with the Tigers bats scorching, especially Prince Fielder (10 for his last 17) and Miguel Cabrera (8 for his last 22), chances are strong that he’ll run into trouble here.

Rick Porcello is 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA in his last three regular-season outings against the Yankees at Comerica Park. Porcello has not allowed a home-run in his past nine starts and unlike Hughes, he continues to thrive after the all-star break. Over the past three years, Porcello is 15-7 after the break with a 3.38 ERA. The Tigers have won six of his last seven starts and the only reason he and the Tigers are underdogs here is that the opposition is wearing pinstripes.

Minnesota +107 over CLEVELAND
The misery continues for the Indians. In the first inning last night they had bases loaded, none out and promptly hit into a double play. Yesterday, it was 10-1 in the 2nd inning and the 10 didn’t belong to the Tribe. Cleveland has now lost 10 straight, 15 of 17 and with a rookie pitcher being thrown into the fire, we’re not going to miss this opportunity to take-back a price against them.

Corey Kluber was called up and started August 2 against K.C. after Derek Lowe was designated for assignment and Josh Tomlin was sent to the bullpen. Kluber struggled in a brief four-inning stint in 2011, but has shown improvement in the minors this season to earn this opportunity. He has struck out 128 and against 49 BB in 125.1 IP at AAA-Columbus. However, this isn’t the best timing for a neophyte pitcher to get his feet wet again. He was whacked against the Royals to the tune of nine hits and six runs in 4.1 frames. He’s been watching every starter and reliever get pummelled since returning to the bigs. The Indians are in peril and it’s unlikely a rookie is going to perform well under these conditions.

The Twins have now won four of five. Sam Deduno is 3-0 in five starts with a 2.48 ERA. The Twins have won four of his five starts including this past weekend when Deduno two-hit the Red Sox in Boston over six frames. The kid has wicked stuff. He had a BAA against of .185 in the minors before his call-up and in five starts at this level, his BAA is .213. He’s also an extreme groundballer with a 54% rate, which is right in line with his minor-league groundball rate. He faced the Indians on July 28th and two-hit them in seven innings. Minnesota seems to get pumped up when Deduno pitches, as the Twins have given him 30 runs of support over his last four starts. Another seven or eight here would not surprise against this reeling host.

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Tuesday 8/7/12 Plays...

5* MARINERS/ORIOLES (OVER)

---SURGEON GENERAL'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success-